Contenu connexe Similaire à Reducing Costs with Digitalization (20) Plus de Sentient Science (15) Reducing Costs with Digitalization1. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
Title:
Presenter:
2. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
Sentient Science Materials Science Differentiation
1. Asset Management for Operators 2. Computational Testing & Reconfiguration for Suppliers
☑ Life Extension☑ Root Causes☑ Predict Earlier
Key Industries Served
WIND ENERGY
• 22,000 assets under contract globally
AEROSPACE
• Rotorcraft, Fixed Wing, & Defense
• (15 Years of R&D)
RAIL
• Wheel Rail Interface
• New Market for Sentient
Sentient Science is a trusted third party enabling life extension of rotating equipment through a digital platform,
connecting operators and suppliers through asset actions that lowers the cost of energy.WindEurope 2017 - Give me the BOM
3. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
What's New at Sentient Science?
1. New Product: DigitalClone Bearing available beginning of 2018 as part of our
strategy to enable suppliers to create their own DigitalClone life models
2. We have Business Value Assessments (BVA) to share on how operators are
reducing costs with DigitalClone Live
3. We have 2 digitalization panel sessions at the booth
1. Tuesday & Wednesday at 13:00
4. We have a jazz band and party Tuesday night starting at 16:00
5. Do you like scotch? Drop your card to win €400 bottle of scotch
4. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
Small Data (10 Yrs R&D)
No Physical Test needed
Material science-based approach to predict life
& Life Extension through asset actions
FEA (20 Yrs)+Physical Test
Statistics-based computational method to
predict how a product reacts to real world forces
Big Data (30 Yrs)+Physical Test
Computational analysis of large data sets that
reveal patterns & trends to predict behavior
•Prognostics
•Insight into performance
•Sensor & Condition Based Monitoring
•Predictive Health Maintenance
•Assumption-based decision assistance
•Insight into asset performance
•Sensor & Condition Based Monitoring
•Corrective Maintenance
•Material Science
•No Sensors
•SCADA monitoring
•Life Extension Solutions
•Planned Predictive Maintenance
•Visibility Today Through 30 Years
II Annual International Conference on Life Extension of Wind Farms
“From Big Data to Small Data”
5. SentientScienceCorp.-Proprietary/PrivateLevel1
New
Development
• Win new deals
• Competitive PPA biding
• Buy on Life & Price
• Optimize suppler choices
Business
Strategy
• Optimal Governance by digitizing wind fleets
• Integration with existing MAXIMO and other IT systems
• Optimize Key Performance Indicators to lower Cost of Energy
• Benchmark performance against industry competitors
Operations
Management
• Lower the cost of asset operations
• Reduce technical visits due to bundling & false alarms
• Reduce costs from scheduling technician time and
equipment
Asset
Management
• 18 month rolling budgets and forecasts
• Avoid down-tower rebuilds with increased up-tower
replacements
• Reduce mobilization cost by bundling crane visits
• Avoid downtime with inventory available
Risk
Management
• Reduce insurance and extended warranty
costs
• Reduce annual gearbox replacements with
preventative O&M recommendations
• Reduce long-term gearbox O&M cost with
“right first time” procurement
• Reduce insurance premium from risk
management
Supply
Chain
• Improve terms and costs with key suppliers
• Reduce risk of exceeding O&M budgeting
• Reduce inventory storage required to mitigate failure risk
• Reduce unit cost of gearbox purchases with long-term
agreements
DigitalClon
e Lifing
Model
Reducing Costs with Digitalization
6. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
“As Is”
DigitalClone® provides the Return on Investment (ROI) and quantifies the life extension
achieved for aftermarket replacements
DigitalClone® to quantify “what-if” scenarios to extend Remaining Useful Life (RUL)
“To Be”
Years Until Gearbox FailureYears Until Gearbox Failure
Forward Visibility to Compare Supplier Performance
Case Study #1
7. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
DigitalClone® predicts bearing life based on material microstructure, surface finish, and
material quality at the specific location and stresses experienced, e.g.: GE 1.5 SLE Gearbox
Forward Visibility to Predict Gearbox Life
Case Study #2
Bearing
Supplier
Hardness (Ra)
Range 0 to
4500 um
depth
Microstructure
Inclusions
Microstructure
Quality
A 60–58 HRC
B
60-53 HRC
(Design
requirement >58
HRC)
DigitalClone®Simulation
HSS Bearing DigitalClone Comparison
BEST BEST BEST
Stress / Life Curve
Cycles to Damage (L66)
MaxContactPressure(MPa)
Stress – Life Curve
A
B
Better Life
BetterStressPerformance
BEST
8. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
• Fleeet-wide assessment on GE 1.5MW gearboxes
• DigitalClone® predicts O&M cost increase over the next 6 years
• DigitalClone® provides operators actions to reduce O&M costs & enabling
turbine life extension by …
1. Optimizing Uptower component replacements
2. Gearbox upgrades & operational changes (Lubricants, Derate/Uprate)
3. Major component long lead time planning
4. Scheduled versus unscheduled maintenance
5. Evaluate new gearbox & components life extension before procurement
Forward Visibility to Predict Failure Rates
Supplier 1
Supplier 2
Supplier 3
Supplier 4
5 years 10 years 15 years 20 years
Case Study #3
GE 1.5 MW Fleet Failure-Rate Predictions Gearbox Supplier Differentiation through DigitalClone®
9. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
DigitalClone® Provides Operators with Forecasts for Component Replacement over 4 years to Extend Life
Forward Visibility to Increase Uptower vs. Gearbox Replacement
Case Study #4
Year
GBX
Replaced
% GBX
Failures
Cost
$M Year
IM/HS
Replaced
Planet
Replaced
%
Replaced
Cost
$M
2016 100 3.6% 30.0 2016 60 24 3.1% 4.3
2017 110 4.0% 33.0 2017 75 30 3.8% 5.2
2018 115 4.2% 34.5 2018 85 34 4.3% 5.9
2019 121 4.4% 36.3 2019 98 39 5.0% 6.9
Total 446 16.2% $ 133.8 Total 318 127 16.2% $ 22.3
Option 1 · Gearbox Replacement Option 2 · Uptower Component Replacement
Customer X
WTG Model GE 1.5
Total Units 2,748
10. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
Materials Science. Digitalization. Life Extension.
• Prognostics have evolved to contribute to lower the COE
o Big Data
• Computational analysis of large data sets
• Reveals patterns & trends to predict behavior
o FEA
• Statistics-based computational method
• Predicts how products react to real world forces
o Small Data
• Uses a material science-based approach
• Predicts life & Life Extension through asset actions
• DigitalClone® combines material science with data science
• Simulates how components interact under actual operating conditions
• Predicts when cracks initiate in the microstructure prior to failure
Materials Science Prognostic Models to Reduce Risk = Cost
A Digital Platform Connecting Operators and Suppliers
11. © 2016 Sentient Science Corporation – Confidential & Proprietary
Learn More and Meet the Team!
Sentient Presentation Schedule WindEurope 2017
1. Introducing DigitalClone Live
2. Duke Energy Case Study
3. Main Bearing RCA
4. How to Value Digitalization
5. DigitalClone Live Product Update
6. Why Data Science Alone Wont Lower the Cost
of Energy
7. Moventas XL Life Extension Program
9. Rewitec Additives to Extend Gearbox Life
10. DigitalClone Bearing Product Release
11. Wind Loads Modeling
12. Data Fusion: Material Science & Data Science
13. Drivetrain Modeling
14. Reducing Costs with Digitalization
WindEurope 2017 - Give me the BOM
Notes de l'éditeur 1- We computational model rotating components to understand the life through a material science based approach
2- this allows us to understand prior to failure where a crack is occurring and provide our customers with asset actions to extend the life of their machines
3- Different industries
4-Supplier vs. operator side