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Flexible in Approach, Firm on Results
Disruption in
Indian Furniture
Retailing – an RSC
perspective
D i s r u p t i o n i n
I n d i a n Fu r n i t u r e
Re t a i l i n g – a n
R S C p e r s p e c t i v e
Digital disruption has been upending one
traditional industry after the other across
the globe. As digitization accelerates in
India as well, what will it mean for the fur-
niture retailing industry?
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing2
Table ofC O N T E N T
Indian furniture retailing is getting more organized and digitized
Digital disruption is being engineered by 4 key trends playing out
Retailers need to align their strengths with these emerging trends to stay relevant for customers
4
13
36
An RSC perspective 3
Indian
furniture
retailing is
gettingmore
organized
and digitized
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing4
Furniture and furnishings retail in India has grown
steadily to become a USD 28 Bn opportunity- with
~60% of the market being furniture (~USD 17 Bn).
Over next few years, we expect the category
to accelerate in growth- driven by continued
urbanization, increasing access to branded furniture
and growing willingness to upgrade to premium
furniture.
Market is expected to record steady growth over next few
years owing to continued urbanization…
Indian Furniture/Furnishings Market- Overall Market
Source: RedSeer IP
Furniture & Furnishings in India is a $28 bn
market, and growing steadily
…with furniture accounting for 60% of market
20
FY15
28
FY18
44
FY22
12%
USD Bn
FY18
60%
40%
Furnishings
Furniture
Furniture & Furnishings market
Size, Growth
An RSC perspective 5
Furniture market has historically been highly
fragmented- with 86% share of sales from
unorganized channels. We believe that this is set
to change- with strong growth in online channels,
organized share can potentially reach ~20% by
2022.
Large products like beds, sofas and wardrobes
dominate the market, with little change expected in
this mix going forward.
Low share of organized retail is
quickly changing in furniture…
…large items like beds,
wardrobes and sofa’s account
for ~80% of market
Within this market, furniture accounts for
~ USD 17 Bn in size; this market is currently only
~14% organized
24%
19%
27%
30%
Others
Sofas
Wardrobes/
Storage
Beds
FY18 FY22F
81%
19%
86%
14%
USD 25 Bn
USD 16.5 Bn
FY18
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing6
Two megatrends are changing the demand side of
furniture buying- 1) increased digitization and 2)
growing share of urban millenials- which is causing
a major disruption to the customer needs and
purchase journeys.
As an example, the growing popularity of rentals
(vs ownership) and solution based offerings (e.g.
design solutions) is completely changing the nature
of demand. Additionally, buyers are extensively
digitizing their purchase journeys- right from
research to payment stage.
Retailers need to not only actively look at offering
superior digital journeys to their customers, but
also fundamentally rethink the very nature of their
offerings for these segment.
Source: RedSeer IP
The composition and nature of the furniture
buying population is changing due to digitization
and lifestyle driven trends
1 2 3
1 2 3
Digital channels
to research
Digital payment
methods
Need for
customization
Lifestyle driven trends
Preferring rentals
to ownership
Solution based
offerings
Extremely value
conscious
Digitization driven trends
1
Consumer behavior
An RSC perspective 7
The aforementioned digitization trends have
its roots in the advent of Reliance Jio and easy
availability of cheap smartphones, which has led to
an exponential rise in ‘digital shoppers’ in India.
Today, India has ~500 Mn internet users, out of
which ~100 Mn are online shoppers- who are
highly engaged online, from discovery to purchase
stage. This population is driving the growth of
online furniture retailers and other similar players
in India, and this long term trend shows no sign of
stopping.
This is being driven by more ‘digital first’
shoppers in India
500M
250M
200M
165M
100M
Online shoppers in India
Stage 0
Access to internet
Stage 1
WhatsApp, Facebook and other
social media
Stage 2
Google, Wikipedia, E-mail etc.
Stage 3
Banking and basic paid services
like recharge
Stage 4
E-tailing Annual Online Shoppers
100%
~52%
~42%
30-35%
~20%
IncreasingOnlineMaturity
Internet Users Funnel
2017 figures
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing8
We believe we are only at the start of the
digitization wave. With the impending mega launch
of Reliance Jio Fiber and similar home broadband
services, we expect an explosion in the count of
digitally native users in India- with their number
expected to double from the current to reach ~190
Mn by 2020.
This development will have far reaching
consequences for all industries- from content
to transportation to finance. As such, retailers
including in furniture space need to actively craft
a strategy to identify and solve the needs of
this emerging digital population in order to stay
relevant.
These shoppers will become 185 mn in size
by 2020
Stage 0
Access to internet
Stage 1
WhatsApp, Facebook and other
social media
Stage 2
Google, Wikipedia, E-mail etc.
Stage 3
Banking and basic paid services
like recharge
Stage 4
E-tailing Annual Online Shoppers
100%
~55%
~48%
40-45%
~30%
IncreasingOnlineMaturity
650M
360M
310M
270M
185MCAGR
CY 17-20:18%
CAGR
CY 17-20:27%
Significant
widening at the top
of this figure,
driven, by 27%
CAGR in product e-
commerce users
and 18% in service
e-commerce (CY17-
20 CAGR)
Internet Users Funnel
2020 figures
An RSC perspective 9
The digitization wave has impacted retailing of all
categories in India- big and small. Smartphones
stands as the most digitized category, driven by
exclusive offers and strong online distribution.
The online success of smartphones and offline
shutdowns also holds important lessons for
traditional retailers on not missing the digital bus.
Compared to smartphones, digital retail in furniture
is a lowly 3%. However, given the high level of
fragmentation in furniture retailing and lack of price
transparency and product standardization, we argue
that the furniture category is equally (if not more)
ready for a digital disruption that solves for the
current 3P problems of the sector around product,
price and platform.
Although online channel accounts for only
3% of Home and Furniture sales…
5%
10%
Stable
GrowthMaturing
E-tailingmarketas%overallretail
(2017)
Grocery
(<1%)
BPC
(2-3%)
Home furniture
(3%)
Fashion
(3+%)
Large appliance
(8+%)
Western Music Equipment
(~9%)
Smartphones
(~37%)
Online Retail Penetration
2017
Online retail penetration
2017
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing10
Another reason why we are bullish on the future of
online retail in furniture category is the high % of
digitally influenced purchases. These are purchases
where some part of the customer journey takes
place online. Here, India stands at par with its more
digitally evolved peers and furniture category in
India stands at par with more digitally evolved
categories.
Which gives us the indication that latent need for
online furniture purchase is likely very strong. As
e-tailers reduce friction in the online buying process
over time-via omnichannel, faster deliveries, virtual
reality and other such tools- high chunk of ‘digitally
influenced furniture buyers’ will turn into ‘digital
furniture buyers’
…‘digitally influenced purchases*’ account
for 60% sales of furniture, and this number is
increasing rapidly
India China USA UK
61%
59%
49%
28%
Digital influence* across markets
Electronic
67%
Apparel
66%
Home
60%
Books/
Music
59%
Beauty&
Wellness
57%
Food
45%
Digital influence* in India across categories
Share of digitally influenced retail purchases
2017
Digital influence* across markets Digital influence* in India across categories
Hence it is imperative for every player, irrespective of which channel they operate in, to have a sound digital
strategy to ensure customer acquisition and retention.
Source: Secondary research
*Note: Digital influence % is calculated on digitally connected consumers only and not entire customer base
An RSC perspective 11
India’s ~500 Mn internet users and ~100 Mn
online shopping population drives digitization
of customer journeys across categories-and
furniture is no exception. Share of ‘digitall
influenced’ furniture buyers in India is already
60%; with the buying experience becoming
ever more frictionless over time, online fur-
niture buying (and renting) will become ever
more mainstream. Retailers who have not
factored this development into their strate-
gic planning risk fading into irrelevance over
time.
As we speak, digital and
demographic disruption
is completely changing
the furniture buying
process- with strong
implications for tradi-
tional furniture retailers
Furniture
& Furnishings
market
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing12
Digital
disruption
is being
engineered
An RSC perspective 13
Two strong online channel based players
Pepperfry and Urban ladder are growing
aggressively through Omni-channel offerings
– Pepperfry has observed a revenue CAGR of
83% over past 5 years
Furlenco has created a space for itself
offering a variety of products and seamless
services – revenues grew by 207% in FY17
The Livspace solution based model with its
full stack of service offerings for home design
and furnishing make it an attractive option
for consumers – triple digit revenue growth
past two years
IKEA has entered Indian with aggressive
expansion plans and by 2025 hopes to
employ 50,000 people in the country, open
25 stores and 3 distribution centres
Online / Omni-channel
retail growth
Furniture rentals
become more popular
Solution based models
gain traction
IKEA’s entry to shake
up the market
On the supply side, 4 mega trends are disrupting furniture retail. These disruption are changing not
just the customer journeys but also reimagining the offering itself.
Key disruptions happening in the furniture market
1
3
2
4
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing14
An RSC perspective 15
1. Online /
Omni-channel
retail growth
Furniture retailing in India has traditionally been
highly fragmented and unorganized (86% in FY18).
This has been caused by high offline rentals along
with challenges of consolidating the supply and
demand at a national scale- leading to absence of
many nationally recalled brands.
Over the last few years, e-tailers have put in
significant efforts to solve these issues. On the
supply side, they have worked to organize their
suppliers- either by bringing them onto a managed
marketplace or by creating private labels. On the
demand side, a combination of strong marketing
and offline experience stores is driving demand
creation. Together with heavy investments in
purchase enablers like strong logistics and high
quality selection, these e-tailers have grown rapidly
and are poised to grow their share of total furniture
market further to ~8% by 2022.
We expect that this trend over time will drive online
leapfrogging of offline organized retail in India-
similar to what is playing out in other countries like
China.
Growing digital readiness of buyers and
improved consumer experience will drive
online% of furniture retail to 8-9% by FY22E
FY18 FY22F
81%
19%
USD 25 Bn
86%
11%
USD 16.5 Bn
3%
8%
Online
Organized offline
Unorganised
Share of online Shoppers
will exceed 200 Mn by
2022- many of these will be
comfortable buying goods
online
Efficient large goods supply
chain covering most
pincodes of country- will
make online furniture
buying hassle free
Large network of offline
experience stores- to
remove obstacles to online
buying
1
2
3
3 big drivers of increased online retail
Key disruptions happening in
the furniture market
Source: RedSeer IP
1. Online / Omni-
channel retail growth
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing16
The online furniture market is being driven by ~5
year old players Pepperfry and Urban Ladder. These
players have attacked the market differently on the
supply side - with Pepperfry focusing on creating
a managed marketplace supported by private
labels while Urban Ladder is a wholly private label
platform focusing on premium curated offerings.
Both players are heavily funded by marquee
investors- who have invested a cumulative ~USD
300 Mn into these players, who have a cumulative
GMV of ~USD 250 Mn. While Pepperfry has
managed to gain a significant lead, it is still early
days for the industry and players and investors
will need to continually invest in supply, demand
and enablers to drive market creation and growth
over the long term in this capex and opex heavy
category.
Pepperfry and Urban Ladder are the key players
driving this market
Key disruptions happening in the
furniture market
Ÿ Marketplace, but has
10 in house brands
contributing 50% of
revenue currently
Ÿ GMV grew at a CAGR
of 83% for past 5 years
Ÿ Has 60% market share
in online channel
A
Ÿ Design led Omni-
channel brand – 5000
designs in around 35
categories
Ÿ 3,00,000+ customer
base, 1m+ products
sold
B
Pepperfry
Urban Ladder
Source: RedSeer IP
2011
~$200 mn
in FY2018
Founded
GMV
$ 185 mn
till date
$107 mn
till date
2012
~$50 mn
in FY2018
1. Online / Omni-
channel retail growth
An RSC perspective 17
In their early stages of growth, both the e-tailers
faced challenges of solving the ‘touch and feel’
problem in furniture e-tailing. This drove a push
into creation of a network of experience stores
that enable users to experience the products
before buying- thus providing a strong level of trust
which was missing online till then and which was a
habitual need of any furniture buyer in India.
Post this expansion of the store network, both
players have seen a strong growth in their overall
sales- and grown to reach the scale of many of the
major offline retailers. The stores have not only
enabled ‘last mile order conversions’ but also driven
discovery and awareness of the platforms- by virtue
of being situated in high traffic areas like airports
for example.
Omnichannel has played key role in driving
their growth and they are reaching the scale of
traditional players rapidly
Key disruptions happening in the
furniture market
Source: RedSeer Analysis, Secondary research
Note:
1) Conversion at 1$:INR 60 for 2013 and 1$= INR 65 for 2018
2) * Estimates based on growth forecasted on FY17 figures
NilkamalGodrej
250
270
FY13
Godrej Nilkamal
350*
324
FY18
Traditional players revenue growth
GMV($Mn)
NilkamalGodrej
10 1
FY13
Godrej Nilkamal
200
50
FY18
GMV($Mn)
Online players revenue growth
Urban LadderPepperfry
0 0
35
10
# of offline stores
Urban LadderPepperfry
1. Online / Omni-
channel retail growth
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing18
Having consolidated their presence amongst the
traditional digitally active furniture buyers, furniture
e-tailers are targeting the next wave of furniture
buyers. Focus is on expanding to a wider set of
income groups and on younger buyers.
To achieve the above product expansion goals,
players are focusing on including second-hand and
rental services on their platform- which reduces the
price barriers to purchases thus bringing many new
segments into the fold. In tandem, Pepperfry is also
targeting the buyers who want a turnkey solution
that takes care of design as well.
These product expansions put Pepperfry in direct
competition with specialist players like Furlenco
and Livspace- which should be an interesting
dynamic playing out in the market.
Consolidating their position, these online retailers
are increasingly diversifying their offerings to cater
to a larger audience and use cases
Future Strategy of Online Retailers
Source: RedSeer Analysis
Furniture e-tailers initially focused
on a specific segment only
Online furniture sales
1.	 Marketplace and
2.	 Private label play as they evolved
But their recent moves indicate that they
are expanding to other TGs as well
Providing furniture rental services –
Pepperfry has started rentals in ~10 cities
Old furniture sales –
Pepperfry tied up with Zefo to venture into
old furniture
Design solutions –
Pepperfry has “Pepperfry privilege”
(partnership with architects  designers) and
Urban ladder has “Design network”
By addressing needs of a wider range of segments which have traditionally bought from typical offline retailers, online retailers
will be a growing threat going forward.
1. Online / Omni-
channel retail growth
An RSC perspective 19
2. Solution
based models
gain traction
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing20
Over last few years, India’s online retail space has
evolved from a sub 5 Bn market in 2015 to ~USD
20 Bn in 2017.While horizontals have grown rapidly
to serve the typical online shoppers, verticals have
increasingly focused on the ‘solution seeker’ who
is looking for a comprehensive engagement with
platform including on content, overall experience.
Verticals like Nykaa Firstcry and others precisely
this strategy to emerge as both sales and NPS
leaders in the space. Given their adoption, We see
furniture category also being disrupted by this trend
going forward.
Solution based offerings having an ‘ecosystem play’
or ‘full stack play’ are increasingly growing popular
in various online segments
Key disruptions happening in
the furniture market
2. Solution based
models gain traction
Beauty and
Personal Care
Medicine Delivery Babycare
50+%
Higher GMV off market
leader(using this play) vs
no 2 player
NPS score off market
leader which offers a
bouquet of services
Annual growth rate in
GMV on Indian online
babycare market
Components
of Ecosystem
Play
40+%50+%Impact of
Ecosystem
Play
Full catalogue of products
infant to school
Fast DeliveryBeauty Services
Parenting
blogs
Share kids
pictures
Lab Testing E-consultation
Blogs and
videos
Beauty routine
finder
CORE CORE CORE
An RSC perspective 21
Livspace is the leader in offering solution based
services in furniture retail. It has replicated the
traditional buying experience by creating a platform
that brings together consumer, designer and
suppliers into an online/offline world.
This play enables it to target a wide range of
customer groups who may not be interested in
pure-play product offering. Use of pre-designed
looks and deployment of virtual reality is a further
enabler that Livspace is using to pull off this
offering.
This trend is reflected in furniture category as well,
with Livspace being the prime example
Key disruptions happening in the
furniture market
Business Model
Who does it target?
Livspace is an online home
design startup
Convenience Seeker
CEO speaks
Deal Hunters “Do It Yourself”
The platform creates a “three-way
marketplace” between a consumer,
interior designer, and product suppliers
“Our design centres allow consumers to select one of the pre-designed looks on our website, customize them from our library of
over 10000 finishes, see the various looks in our design centres, get a virtual reality experience, and do this all seamlessly between
our website and physical locations”
Full Stack
Offline Furniture
Online Furniture
Modular Kitchen
Design Studio
Freelancers
Full Stack Full Stack
Offline Furniture Offline Furniture
Online Furniture Online Furniture
Modular Kitchen Modular Kitchen
Design Studio Design Studio
Freelancers Freelancers
2. Solution based
models gain traction
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing22
Livspace is using a combination of organic growth
across cities along with acquisitions to stregthen
both the demand and supply side of its offerings.
Growth accelerated in FY18 to reach USD 17 Mn of
GMV, up 380% from previous year- showing strong
traction for a solution based offering in the market.
Strong initial growth of Livspace validates the
business model, customers extremely satisfied
with service
Key disruptions happening in the
furniture market
Livspace Customer Speaks
“My friends love my new kitchen. It’s been a smooth-sailing
project. Would definitely recommend Livspace.“
-Customer from Mumbai
“So impressed by the expertise of our designer. Our home
looks beautiful. Very happy we chose Livspace!“
-Customer from Noida
Fy2016 Fy2017 FY2018E
1
4
17*
150%
380%
$Mn
Livspace GMV Geographical and Catagory Expansion
Ÿ Competing in this fragmented and
unorganised market, LivSpace in 2015
acquired startups like DezignUp,
Dwll.In, YoFloor, and Klozee to scale
up quickly
Ÿ The company plans on expanding to
cities such as Hyderabad, Chennai,
Pune in 2018
Ÿ Has raised total funding of over $ 26
mn
Livspace GMV Geographical and Category Expansion
Source: RedSeer Analysis, * $ 17 mn number is based on run-rate till Jan-18.
2. Solution based
models gain traction
An RSC perspective 23
Having seen the strong initial traction received
by Livspace and similar players, larger horizontals
furniture e-tailers have launched competing
offerings.
While their high brand recall and deeper pockets
should give them a leg up over the specialists, it
remains to be seen whether their offering quality/
breadth would be competitive with the specialists
(and with the offline players).
Players like Pepperfry and Urban ladder are also
realizing the potential in design solutions and
ensuring that they are well equipped to provide it
Case study
Pepperfry, Urban Ladder
Source: Company websites
2. Solution based
models gain traction
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing24
Smaller players have also been driving the growth
of online home solutions market- with a focus on
creating a marketplace for designing solutions.
However, given the deep pockets of their
competitors and difficulty in aggregating demand
for these smaller player, many of them would
likely need to engage with bigger players- either
via partnership or MA route- in order to gain
significant traction.
Some other prominent players in the space in
India include HomeLane and Foyr
Case study
Homelane, Foyr
Source: Secondary Reports, RedSeer Analysis
•	 Marketplace for interior designing
solutions
•	 Offers personalization, fixed period
installation guarantee and a 5-year
warranty
•	 Virtual home design through its new
feature called Spacecraft
•	 Marketplace for Home buyers,
Designers and builders
•	 Offers high end proprietary
technology, world class interior
designs, tailor made services at
wholesale prices
•	 Modular kitchens, wardrobes 
storage, study tables, crockery,
entertainment units, false ceiling,
loose furniture etc.
•	 Furniture, furnishings, wardrobes,
artefacts, basic electricals, services
such as painting, false ceiling etc.
•	 Delivered 2500+ projects, network of
300 interior designers across India
•	 Raised around $68M in various rounds
•	 Delivered 600+ consultancy projects
•	 Raised around $9.7M in various rounds
with the latest round of Series A
amounting to $4.2M in July
•	 Bangalore
•	 New Delhi
•	 Gurgaon
•	 Pune	
•	 Jaipur
•	 Hyderabad
•	 Hyderabad
•	 Noida
•	 Mumbai
•	 Ghaziabad
•	 Chennai
•	 Thane
•	 Design consultation
services across Pan India
Business
model
Scale 
Funding
Cities
present
Offerings
2. Solution based
models gain traction
An RSC perspective 25
3. Furniture
rentals become
more popular
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing26
The mass popularization of smartphones since
2007 has led to an exponential growth in the
so-called ‘sharing economy’ companies. These
companies have catered to needs of millenials by
offering ‘services’ instead of products for a wide
range of categories including cars, homes etc.
Over time, this trend has become representative
of a new form of consumption, that prioritize
convenience over ownership and which offer high
flexibility to the always mobile millenials. With
explosive growth in sharing economy companies,
more and more sectors and even traditional
incumbents are embracing this new consumption
pattern.
Sharing economy is being driven by new
generation of millennials who value convenience
and flexibility over ownership
Sharing Economy Key Players
Descriptive
Ÿ Disrupting traditional taxi services
by offering app-based on demand
booking
Ÿ 50 Mn 7 Mnriders and Uber
drivers globally (2017)
Ÿ Airbnb has scaled up its multi-
sided technology platforms to
become a real threat to the hotel
industry
Ÿ USD 2.6 Bn revenue in 2017
Sharing economy companies have
grown rapidly…
…and this reflects a broader megatrend of
change in customer needs/expectations
Preference of andsharing
rentals over ownership
Need for andconvenience flexibility
Preference of andcustomization
emergence of end to end solution
based models
Transportation
Hospitality
Sharing economy companies have
grown rapidly…
…and this reflects a broader megatrend
of change in customer needs/
expectations
Source: RedSeer Analysis
Ÿ Disrupting traditional taxi services
by offering app-based on demand
booking
Ÿ 50 Mn 7 Mnriders and Uber
drivers globally (2017)
Ÿ Airbnb has scaled up its multi-
sided technology platforms to
become a real threat to the hotel
industry
Ÿ USD 2.6 Bn revenue in 2017
Sharing economy companies have
grown rapidly…
…and this reflects a broader megatrend of
change in customer needs/expectations
Preference of andsharing
rentals over ownership
Need for andconvenience flexibility
Preference of andcustomization
emergence of end to end solution
based models
Transportation
Hospitality
3. Furniture rentals
become more popular
An RSC perspective 27
Furniture retailing is also being engulfed by the
sharing economy wave. Players like Furlenco and
Rentomojo have grown rapidly in a short span
of time and have started to offer all varieties of
product rentals and associated value added services
for growth.
Investors are betting heavily on this market, as
observed by USD 40+Mn of funding received till
date (although with a small GMV to show for it).
Similar trend is spilling over to furniture space,
with rental companies growing rapidly
Furniture Rental Key Players
Descriptive
Source: RedSeer Analysis
Ÿ Offers renting of
furniture, swapping of old
furniture, relocation to
new location
Ÿ 120,000+ downloads on
Play Store
A
Ÿ Offers rentals on
Furniture, bikes,
appliances, packages
(bedroom, dining, 1BHK
etc)
Ÿ More than 100,000
downloads on Play store,
30000+ users
B
Furlenco
Rentomojo
2011
~$3 mn
in FY2018
Founded
GMV
$ 23 mn
till date
$17.1 mn
till date
2012
~$1 mn+
in FY2018
3. Furniture rentals
become more popular
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing28
Furlenco has emerged as a leader in this yet nascent
market. Its success levers? Largely around ensuring
a ‘high quality experience’ for the customer-
enabled in turn by high quality furniture and
superior customer service.
Superior customer service has turned out to be
the big differentiatior for Furlenco to create much
needed customer trust- since this category is
bogged down by concerns regarding the product
quality/cleanliness and lifetime.
Furlenco is the largest and most well funded player
in space and is growing rapidly by providing best
quality products and top notch service
Furniture Rental – Furlenco Profile
Descriptive
207%
$Mn
Furlenco sales growth
FY2016 FY2017
1
3
Ÿ Frequent travel and relocation of people in
India
Ÿ Consumers are increasing moving to rentals
and shared services (Eg: cabs) against
complete ownership model
Ÿ Furlenco provide deep cleaned furniture
with impeccable quality
Ÿ Customer service is extremely responsive
and hence customer NPS is quite high - they
are currently getting a lot of referrals
What enabled it to succeed
Furlenco sales growth Offerings
Source: RedSeer Analysis
Living room Bedroom Appliances
Essentials
Kids Room
Dining Room Study Room
Storage
Super Value
3. Furniture rentals
become more popular
An RSC perspective 29
Source: RedSeer Analysis
Investors are betting on furniture rentals growth
as a long term megatrend rather than a blip on
the radar. Global case studies would validate their
hypothesis. Players like CORT have emerged as
a one stop solution for all types of personal and
corporate relocation services, with furniture rental
at its core.
High revenue growth and successful expansion into
100+ offices globally has proven the model- and
perhaps provides an indication of how such models
could evolve in India as well.
Such rental models have seen success globally as
well, with CORT being a shining example
Furniture Rental Key Players
CORT
1 2 3 4 5 6
7 98
Furniture rentals Area Orientation School search Settling In Departure
services
Corporate
housing
Home finding Furniture
clearance
Market Surveys
Ÿ Seized growth opportunities in the market as they came without limiting themselves to core
offerings
Ÿ Extensive range of products, designs and services suiting all customer archetypes
Ÿ Drove consumers up the affordability ladder by offering luxury items at discounted prices and
for rentals
Ÿ Convenient and hassle-free offerings – relocation services, destination services for events etc
Ÿ On-demand and personalized service experience
Ÿ Ideal for both short term and long term solutions making it economically feasible
Key
Success
drivers
Has a presence of around 100 offices and
showrooms across the US, operations in UK and
partners in more than 80 countries catering to ~8
industries and offering a wide spread of services
with furniture rentals as core
Started off as a
combination of 4 family
run businesses
Service/Product offerings
3. Furniture rentals
become more popular
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing30
4. IKEA’s entry
to shake up
the market
An RSC perspective 31
IKEA has a total of 355 stores across 29 countries;
China where it opened its first store only in 2006
has already made it to top 5 markets for IKEA
Case study
IKEA global footprint
4. IKEA’s entry to shake
up the market
Ÿ IKEA has a presence in 29 countries across 4 continents and is increasing its stronghold across the
globe steadily.
Ÿ IKEA opened its first store in China in 2006 and it has been one of the fastest growing markets for IKEA
having already made it to the top 5 countries in terms of sales contribution, indicating aggressive
market penetration over the past decade of operations
Key
Takeaways
Germany
15%
USA
14%
France
8%
UK
6%
China
6%
Fy17 Sales $ 41 bn
IKEA sales split - top5
countries
Ÿ IKEA has a presence in 29 countries across 4 continents and is increasing its stronghold across the
globe steadily.
Ÿ IKEA opened its first store in China in 2006 and it has been one of the fastest growing markets for IKEA
having already made it to the top 5 countries in terms of sales contribution, indicating aggressive
market penetration over the past decade of operations
Key
Takeaways
Germany
15%
USA
14%
France
8%
UK
6%
China
6%
Fy17 Sales $ 41 bn
IKEA sales split - top5
countries
Source: Secondary Reports, RedSeer Analysis
As if digital disruption was not enough, traditional
retailers in India also face the spectre of a global
giant-IKEA. IKEA has built its cult brand on a
combination of high quality affordable products
sold at giant stores that offer a comprehensive
shopping experience.
It is a combination that has been remarkably
durable and financially successful across
geographies- IKEA now has a 355 stores across
continents and a foothold in all of the world’s major
markets- including in China where it entered in
2006.
355 IKEA STORES
IN 29 IKEA GROUP
COUNTRIES!
NORTH AMERICA
56 Stores
6 Pick-up and Order points
8 Store Distribution sites
8 Customer Distribution sites
RUSSIA
14 Stores
1 Store Distribution sites
14 Shopping centres
AUSTRALIA
10 Stores
1 Store Distribution sites
EUROPE
242 Stores
15 Pick-up and Order points
16 Store Distribution sites
18 Customer Distribution sites
26 Shopping centres
ASIA
33 Stores
3 Pick-up and Order points
5 Store Distribution sites
3 Shopping centres
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing32
IKEA’s strong focus on offering a value price for its
customer is enabled by their local sourcing focus
and high investment in RD. Recently, it has also
expanded its online offerings and augmented it
with latest technology to drive sales.
We believe that these strategies should give them
an edge in their Indian market entry- where users
value pricing above all other factors and which is in
midst of an online retail wave.
The firm is a world leader in technology
innovation in the furniture space, and it adopts a
4 pronged strategy while entering new markets
Case study
IKEA
Technology differentiation
Ÿ AR (Augmented Reality) Gallery features:- the AR app lets people experience, experiment
and share how good design transforms any space – be it home, office, school or studio.
Ÿ The Ikea Place app automatically scales products based on room dimensions with 98%
accuracy.
Ÿ The company uses the technology which is so precise that one can see the texture of the
fabric as well as the chiaroscuro of furnishings.
IKEA philosophy while entering new markets
Re-invest profits from market to
expand operations1
Highly competitive pricing2
Local manufacturing to reduce
import cost and delay3
Set up manufacturing hubs and then
stores in close proximity to start with4
4. IKEA’s entry to shake
up the market
An RSC perspective 33
It plans to follow a similar approach in India, aiming
to open 25 stores by 2025 having a wide and deep
assortment of offerings at competitive prices
Case study
IKEA
Source: Secondary Reports, RedSeer Analysis
IKEA’s ambitions in India are clearly vast- as
indicated by its aggressive expansion plans and the
vast amount of committed capital- with a significant
share of its capital invested in ‘Indianising’ its
product offerings and store experience.
Given the ongoing flux in the demand trends
and consumer behaviors, it remains to be seen
whether IKEA can replicate its global success here
in the longer term. However, initial signs indicate
that it has made a strong start in the market and
traditional players will find it a force to be reckoned
with.
1
Plans to invest INR 11,000
CR ($ 1.8 bn)
2
to set up 25 stores
3
and 3 distribution centres
4
Source 30% raw materials
locally
India expansion plan
IKEA already offers products for every nook and corner of your home ranging from Kitchens to Bathrooms and also
designing solutions; it is now also actively exploring the option of rentals realising the significant shift in consumer
behaviour to renting as opposed to ownership.
Local touch in offerings
IKEA representatives did 1000+
home visits to understand the need
of the local customer base and
apply that to their store design and
product offerings
Wide range, competitive pricing
1) The Ikea store will have a wide
range of products ~ 7500
2) ...with competitive pricing - 1,000
of them priced under INR 200
India expansion plan
IKEA already offers products for every nook and corner of your home ranging from Kitchens to Bathrooms and also designing
solutions; it is now also actively exploring the option of rentals realising the significant shift in consumer behaviour to renting as
opposed to ownership.
4. IKEA’s entry to shake
up the market
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing34
Online players are changing the very nature
of furniture consumption itself- by offering
rental and used goods, integrated home
design solutions and regular furniture.
Strong initial growth validates their model
and global trends indicate its a long term
megatrend.
Traditional retailers need to acknowledge
these trends and constructively engage
with these digital disruptors in order to
drive their next wave of growth.
The competitive landscape
is evolving rapidly- with
online players focusing
on going mainstream and
IKEA bringing its global
might to change the furni-
ture retailing landscape in
India
Furniture
 Furnishings
market
An RSC perspective 35
Retailers need
to align their
strengthswith
these emerging
trends to stay
relevant for
customers
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing36
Traditional players need to leverage their strengths
to tackle these disruptive trends
Digital disruption is changing the market landscape
significantly and is unquestionably a threat for
Indian traditional retailers. However, retailers
can survive- and even thrive-by embracing these
changes and tackling them head-on with a coherent
strategy.
Global examples show that by leveraging their
strong assets- a wide store network, a strong
brand and a vast product portfolio- traditional
retailers can potentially compete effectively with
digital disruptors. What will it take to convert
this potential into reality for traditional furniture
retailers in India?
Challenges/Opportunities Traditional players strength
How do you create a strong strategy to ride the wave of emerging trends by
leveraging existing strengths?
Challenges/Opportunities
Omni-channel
players
IKEA’s
aggressive entry
Rentals over
ownership
Online retail
growth
Solution based
offerings
Value conscious
customers
Lack of time, need
for convenience
Need for
customization
Price comparison
online
Rise of digital
payments
Strong physical
network
1
High brand
recall
2
Large product
portfolio
3
How do you create a strong strategy to ride the wave of emerging
trends by leveraging existing strengths?
Traditional players strength
An RSC perspective 37
This will need a deep understanding of current
needs of customers and a digital readiness
assessment of company
Converting this vast potential into reality will need
an in-depth understanding of the customer and
one’s own readiness to ride the digital wave.
This will need deep customer insights backed up
research along with a strong understanding of the
organization and what is needed to make it ready
for a digital future.
Customer Needs Understanding
Is the customer able to interact with company along his/her preferred touch
points (online, offline)? Is the interaction seamless across channels?
1
What is the conversion rate of customers coming to a company store? How does it
compare to industry peers, online and offline? How can conversion be improved?
2
How does the customer rate his experience at a company store as compared to online
peers?
3
Digital Readiness Understanding
Is customer preferences and feedback being effectively taken as inputs into company
product design, supply chain, store design?
1
Is company effectively leveraging its existing assets (physical presence, brand recall) in its
digital strategy?
2
Does it make sense to enter into partnerships/acquire new age companies to fast track
digital transformation?
3
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing38
RedSeer can support firms in its digital
transformation journey
Our offerings cover the entire value chain of digitization for retailers and brands
Consumer
Understanding
Market
Landscaping and
Benchmarking
Digital Strategy
Design
Implementation
Support
Go-to-Market
Strategy
Ÿ Benchmarking
key metrics for
offline and
online furniture
retailers- for
digital
readiness
assessment
Ÿ Growth of key
markets
including
rentals, solution
based buying
etc.
Ÿ Key opportunity
areas to
expand into
Ÿ Segmenting the
consumer
buying base by
key needs and
behaviours,
extent of
digitisation
Ÿ Consumer
preferences for
online vs offline
purchases and
experience on
the same
Ÿ Opportunity
mapping for
various Tgs
Ÿ Basis market
landscaping
and consumer
understanding,
building the
digital retail
strategy
Ÿ Omnichannel
strategy design
Ÿ Build vs buy
decision
including
identifying
potential start-
ups for
acquisition
Ÿ Consumer
facing strategy-
including
marketing ,
product and
channel
Ÿ Backend
strategy design
incl partners
identification for
rollouts
Ÿ End to end
implementation
support run via
a PMO
Ÿ Support on
hiring for
marketing,
supply chain
and other
functions of
digital team
Ÿ Onboarding
process design
for partners
Research and Consulting Toolkit- Available for quick hypothesis testing6
Ÿ Hypothesis testing on key digital growth areas
Ÿ Hypothesis testing on consumers needs/behaviour
Retainer Support7
5421 3
RedSeer has been at the forefront of mapping
India’s digital disruption over last 5 years- across
sectors as diverse as retail and education.
Our comprehensive set of advisory services backed
by pioneering research approaches supports
traditional retailers throughout their digital
journey- right from market understanding to actual
implementation.
An RSC perspective 39
About Authors
Shubham Anand
AD Retail-CPG practice
shubham@redseerconsulting.com
Shubham Anand is leading RedSeer`s growth into new verticals and working with
clients across fashion, retail and other CPG verticals on Growth, Market Entry 
Store Roll-out Strategy. He is also working with PE  VC funds to help them with
sector scanning and their portfolio growth. Shubham has an overall work experience
of 12 years across Management Consulting, Strategy, Marketing, PL, etc. He has
done his MBA from IIM Lucknow.
Mrigank Gutgutia
Engagement Manager
mrigank@redseerconsulting.com
Mrigank leads the internet practice at RedSeer and brings expertise in driving
engagements across internet sectors including e-tailing, cabs, online travel and
fintech. He has successfully completed multiple projects around market entry
strategy, opportunity scoping, competitive intelligence and due diligence with leading
global and Indian corporates, PE/VC companies and global financial institutions.
Mrigank is an alumnus of IIM Indore and IIT Roorkee.
Akshay Jayaprakasan
Consultant
akshay@redseerconsulting.com
Akshay brings in deep expertise in developing E-commerce and Omni-channel
strategy for leading clients in MENA and Indian market. He has also worked
on competitive benchmarking, consumer behaviour analysis and performance
optimization projects. He holds an MBA from IIM Kozhikode and a B.Tech from NIT
Raipur.
Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing40
An RSC perspective 41
Bangalore I Mumbai I New Delhi I Dubai I New-York | Singapore
Thank You!
query@redseerconsulting.com
Flexible in Approach, Firm on Results
© 2018 RedSeer Consulting Confidential and Proprietary Information
www.redseerconsulting.com | Query@redseerconsulting.com

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Disruption in indian furniture retailing

  • 1. Flexible in Approach, Firm on Results Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing – an RSC perspective
  • 2. D i s r u p t i o n i n I n d i a n Fu r n i t u r e Re t a i l i n g – a n R S C p e r s p e c t i v e Digital disruption has been upending one traditional industry after the other across the globe. As digitization accelerates in India as well, what will it mean for the fur- niture retailing industry? Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing2
  • 3. Table ofC O N T E N T Indian furniture retailing is getting more organized and digitized Digital disruption is being engineered by 4 key trends playing out Retailers need to align their strengths with these emerging trends to stay relevant for customers 4 13 36 An RSC perspective 3
  • 5. Furniture and furnishings retail in India has grown steadily to become a USD 28 Bn opportunity- with ~60% of the market being furniture (~USD 17 Bn). Over next few years, we expect the category to accelerate in growth- driven by continued urbanization, increasing access to branded furniture and growing willingness to upgrade to premium furniture. Market is expected to record steady growth over next few years owing to continued urbanization… Indian Furniture/Furnishings Market- Overall Market Source: RedSeer IP Furniture & Furnishings in India is a $28 bn market, and growing steadily …with furniture accounting for 60% of market 20 FY15 28 FY18 44 FY22 12% USD Bn FY18 60% 40% Furnishings Furniture Furniture & Furnishings market Size, Growth An RSC perspective 5
  • 6. Furniture market has historically been highly fragmented- with 86% share of sales from unorganized channels. We believe that this is set to change- with strong growth in online channels, organized share can potentially reach ~20% by 2022. Large products like beds, sofas and wardrobes dominate the market, with little change expected in this mix going forward. Low share of organized retail is quickly changing in furniture… …large items like beds, wardrobes and sofa’s account for ~80% of market Within this market, furniture accounts for ~ USD 17 Bn in size; this market is currently only ~14% organized 24% 19% 27% 30% Others Sofas Wardrobes/ Storage Beds FY18 FY22F 81% 19% 86% 14% USD 25 Bn USD 16.5 Bn FY18 Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing6
  • 7. Two megatrends are changing the demand side of furniture buying- 1) increased digitization and 2) growing share of urban millenials- which is causing a major disruption to the customer needs and purchase journeys. As an example, the growing popularity of rentals (vs ownership) and solution based offerings (e.g. design solutions) is completely changing the nature of demand. Additionally, buyers are extensively digitizing their purchase journeys- right from research to payment stage. Retailers need to not only actively look at offering superior digital journeys to their customers, but also fundamentally rethink the very nature of their offerings for these segment. Source: RedSeer IP The composition and nature of the furniture buying population is changing due to digitization and lifestyle driven trends 1 2 3 1 2 3 Digital channels to research Digital payment methods Need for customization Lifestyle driven trends Preferring rentals to ownership Solution based offerings Extremely value conscious Digitization driven trends 1 Consumer behavior An RSC perspective 7
  • 8. The aforementioned digitization trends have its roots in the advent of Reliance Jio and easy availability of cheap smartphones, which has led to an exponential rise in ‘digital shoppers’ in India. Today, India has ~500 Mn internet users, out of which ~100 Mn are online shoppers- who are highly engaged online, from discovery to purchase stage. This population is driving the growth of online furniture retailers and other similar players in India, and this long term trend shows no sign of stopping. This is being driven by more ‘digital first’ shoppers in India 500M 250M 200M 165M 100M Online shoppers in India Stage 0 Access to internet Stage 1 WhatsApp, Facebook and other social media Stage 2 Google, Wikipedia, E-mail etc. Stage 3 Banking and basic paid services like recharge Stage 4 E-tailing Annual Online Shoppers 100% ~52% ~42% 30-35% ~20% IncreasingOnlineMaturity Internet Users Funnel 2017 figures Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing8
  • 9. We believe we are only at the start of the digitization wave. With the impending mega launch of Reliance Jio Fiber and similar home broadband services, we expect an explosion in the count of digitally native users in India- with their number expected to double from the current to reach ~190 Mn by 2020. This development will have far reaching consequences for all industries- from content to transportation to finance. As such, retailers including in furniture space need to actively craft a strategy to identify and solve the needs of this emerging digital population in order to stay relevant. These shoppers will become 185 mn in size by 2020 Stage 0 Access to internet Stage 1 WhatsApp, Facebook and other social media Stage 2 Google, Wikipedia, E-mail etc. Stage 3 Banking and basic paid services like recharge Stage 4 E-tailing Annual Online Shoppers 100% ~55% ~48% 40-45% ~30% IncreasingOnlineMaturity 650M 360M 310M 270M 185MCAGR CY 17-20:18% CAGR CY 17-20:27% Significant widening at the top of this figure, driven, by 27% CAGR in product e- commerce users and 18% in service e-commerce (CY17- 20 CAGR) Internet Users Funnel 2020 figures An RSC perspective 9
  • 10. The digitization wave has impacted retailing of all categories in India- big and small. Smartphones stands as the most digitized category, driven by exclusive offers and strong online distribution. The online success of smartphones and offline shutdowns also holds important lessons for traditional retailers on not missing the digital bus. Compared to smartphones, digital retail in furniture is a lowly 3%. However, given the high level of fragmentation in furniture retailing and lack of price transparency and product standardization, we argue that the furniture category is equally (if not more) ready for a digital disruption that solves for the current 3P problems of the sector around product, price and platform. Although online channel accounts for only 3% of Home and Furniture sales… 5% 10% Stable GrowthMaturing E-tailingmarketas%overallretail (2017) Grocery (<1%) BPC (2-3%) Home furniture (3%) Fashion (3+%) Large appliance (8+%) Western Music Equipment (~9%) Smartphones (~37%) Online Retail Penetration 2017 Online retail penetration 2017 Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing10
  • 11. Another reason why we are bullish on the future of online retail in furniture category is the high % of digitally influenced purchases. These are purchases where some part of the customer journey takes place online. Here, India stands at par with its more digitally evolved peers and furniture category in India stands at par with more digitally evolved categories. Which gives us the indication that latent need for online furniture purchase is likely very strong. As e-tailers reduce friction in the online buying process over time-via omnichannel, faster deliveries, virtual reality and other such tools- high chunk of ‘digitally influenced furniture buyers’ will turn into ‘digital furniture buyers’ …‘digitally influenced purchases*’ account for 60% sales of furniture, and this number is increasing rapidly India China USA UK 61% 59% 49% 28% Digital influence* across markets Electronic 67% Apparel 66% Home 60% Books/ Music 59% Beauty& Wellness 57% Food 45% Digital influence* in India across categories Share of digitally influenced retail purchases 2017 Digital influence* across markets Digital influence* in India across categories Hence it is imperative for every player, irrespective of which channel they operate in, to have a sound digital strategy to ensure customer acquisition and retention. Source: Secondary research *Note: Digital influence % is calculated on digitally connected consumers only and not entire customer base An RSC perspective 11
  • 12. India’s ~500 Mn internet users and ~100 Mn online shopping population drives digitization of customer journeys across categories-and furniture is no exception. Share of ‘digitall influenced’ furniture buyers in India is already 60%; with the buying experience becoming ever more frictionless over time, online fur- niture buying (and renting) will become ever more mainstream. Retailers who have not factored this development into their strate- gic planning risk fading into irrelevance over time. As we speak, digital and demographic disruption is completely changing the furniture buying process- with strong implications for tradi- tional furniture retailers Furniture & Furnishings market Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing12
  • 14. Two strong online channel based players Pepperfry and Urban ladder are growing aggressively through Omni-channel offerings – Pepperfry has observed a revenue CAGR of 83% over past 5 years Furlenco has created a space for itself offering a variety of products and seamless services – revenues grew by 207% in FY17 The Livspace solution based model with its full stack of service offerings for home design and furnishing make it an attractive option for consumers – triple digit revenue growth past two years IKEA has entered Indian with aggressive expansion plans and by 2025 hopes to employ 50,000 people in the country, open 25 stores and 3 distribution centres Online / Omni-channel retail growth Furniture rentals become more popular Solution based models gain traction IKEA’s entry to shake up the market On the supply side, 4 mega trends are disrupting furniture retail. These disruption are changing not just the customer journeys but also reimagining the offering itself. Key disruptions happening in the furniture market 1 3 2 4 Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing14
  • 15. An RSC perspective 15 1. Online / Omni-channel retail growth
  • 16. Furniture retailing in India has traditionally been highly fragmented and unorganized (86% in FY18). This has been caused by high offline rentals along with challenges of consolidating the supply and demand at a national scale- leading to absence of many nationally recalled brands. Over the last few years, e-tailers have put in significant efforts to solve these issues. On the supply side, they have worked to organize their suppliers- either by bringing them onto a managed marketplace or by creating private labels. On the demand side, a combination of strong marketing and offline experience stores is driving demand creation. Together with heavy investments in purchase enablers like strong logistics and high quality selection, these e-tailers have grown rapidly and are poised to grow their share of total furniture market further to ~8% by 2022. We expect that this trend over time will drive online leapfrogging of offline organized retail in India- similar to what is playing out in other countries like China. Growing digital readiness of buyers and improved consumer experience will drive online% of furniture retail to 8-9% by FY22E FY18 FY22F 81% 19% USD 25 Bn 86% 11% USD 16.5 Bn 3% 8% Online Organized offline Unorganised Share of online Shoppers will exceed 200 Mn by 2022- many of these will be comfortable buying goods online Efficient large goods supply chain covering most pincodes of country- will make online furniture buying hassle free Large network of offline experience stores- to remove obstacles to online buying 1 2 3 3 big drivers of increased online retail Key disruptions happening in the furniture market Source: RedSeer IP 1. Online / Omni- channel retail growth Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing16
  • 17. The online furniture market is being driven by ~5 year old players Pepperfry and Urban Ladder. These players have attacked the market differently on the supply side - with Pepperfry focusing on creating a managed marketplace supported by private labels while Urban Ladder is a wholly private label platform focusing on premium curated offerings. Both players are heavily funded by marquee investors- who have invested a cumulative ~USD 300 Mn into these players, who have a cumulative GMV of ~USD 250 Mn. While Pepperfry has managed to gain a significant lead, it is still early days for the industry and players and investors will need to continually invest in supply, demand and enablers to drive market creation and growth over the long term in this capex and opex heavy category. Pepperfry and Urban Ladder are the key players driving this market Key disruptions happening in the furniture market Ÿ Marketplace, but has 10 in house brands contributing 50% of revenue currently Ÿ GMV grew at a CAGR of 83% for past 5 years Ÿ Has 60% market share in online channel A Ÿ Design led Omni- channel brand – 5000 designs in around 35 categories Ÿ 3,00,000+ customer base, 1m+ products sold B Pepperfry Urban Ladder Source: RedSeer IP 2011 ~$200 mn in FY2018 Founded GMV $ 185 mn till date $107 mn till date 2012 ~$50 mn in FY2018 1. Online / Omni- channel retail growth An RSC perspective 17
  • 18. In their early stages of growth, both the e-tailers faced challenges of solving the ‘touch and feel’ problem in furniture e-tailing. This drove a push into creation of a network of experience stores that enable users to experience the products before buying- thus providing a strong level of trust which was missing online till then and which was a habitual need of any furniture buyer in India. Post this expansion of the store network, both players have seen a strong growth in their overall sales- and grown to reach the scale of many of the major offline retailers. The stores have not only enabled ‘last mile order conversions’ but also driven discovery and awareness of the platforms- by virtue of being situated in high traffic areas like airports for example. Omnichannel has played key role in driving their growth and they are reaching the scale of traditional players rapidly Key disruptions happening in the furniture market Source: RedSeer Analysis, Secondary research Note: 1) Conversion at 1$:INR 60 for 2013 and 1$= INR 65 for 2018 2) * Estimates based on growth forecasted on FY17 figures NilkamalGodrej 250 270 FY13 Godrej Nilkamal 350* 324 FY18 Traditional players revenue growth GMV($Mn) NilkamalGodrej 10 1 FY13 Godrej Nilkamal 200 50 FY18 GMV($Mn) Online players revenue growth Urban LadderPepperfry 0 0 35 10 # of offline stores Urban LadderPepperfry 1. Online / Omni- channel retail growth Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing18
  • 19. Having consolidated their presence amongst the traditional digitally active furniture buyers, furniture e-tailers are targeting the next wave of furniture buyers. Focus is on expanding to a wider set of income groups and on younger buyers. To achieve the above product expansion goals, players are focusing on including second-hand and rental services on their platform- which reduces the price barriers to purchases thus bringing many new segments into the fold. In tandem, Pepperfry is also targeting the buyers who want a turnkey solution that takes care of design as well. These product expansions put Pepperfry in direct competition with specialist players like Furlenco and Livspace- which should be an interesting dynamic playing out in the market. Consolidating their position, these online retailers are increasingly diversifying their offerings to cater to a larger audience and use cases Future Strategy of Online Retailers Source: RedSeer Analysis Furniture e-tailers initially focused on a specific segment only Online furniture sales 1. Marketplace and 2. Private label play as they evolved But their recent moves indicate that they are expanding to other TGs as well Providing furniture rental services – Pepperfry has started rentals in ~10 cities Old furniture sales – Pepperfry tied up with Zefo to venture into old furniture Design solutions – Pepperfry has “Pepperfry privilege” (partnership with architects designers) and Urban ladder has “Design network” By addressing needs of a wider range of segments which have traditionally bought from typical offline retailers, online retailers will be a growing threat going forward. 1. Online / Omni- channel retail growth An RSC perspective 19
  • 20. 2. Solution based models gain traction Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing20
  • 21. Over last few years, India’s online retail space has evolved from a sub 5 Bn market in 2015 to ~USD 20 Bn in 2017.While horizontals have grown rapidly to serve the typical online shoppers, verticals have increasingly focused on the ‘solution seeker’ who is looking for a comprehensive engagement with platform including on content, overall experience. Verticals like Nykaa Firstcry and others precisely this strategy to emerge as both sales and NPS leaders in the space. Given their adoption, We see furniture category also being disrupted by this trend going forward. Solution based offerings having an ‘ecosystem play’ or ‘full stack play’ are increasingly growing popular in various online segments Key disruptions happening in the furniture market 2. Solution based models gain traction Beauty and Personal Care Medicine Delivery Babycare 50+% Higher GMV off market leader(using this play) vs no 2 player NPS score off market leader which offers a bouquet of services Annual growth rate in GMV on Indian online babycare market Components of Ecosystem Play 40+%50+%Impact of Ecosystem Play Full catalogue of products infant to school Fast DeliveryBeauty Services Parenting blogs Share kids pictures Lab Testing E-consultation Blogs and videos Beauty routine finder CORE CORE CORE An RSC perspective 21
  • 22. Livspace is the leader in offering solution based services in furniture retail. It has replicated the traditional buying experience by creating a platform that brings together consumer, designer and suppliers into an online/offline world. This play enables it to target a wide range of customer groups who may not be interested in pure-play product offering. Use of pre-designed looks and deployment of virtual reality is a further enabler that Livspace is using to pull off this offering. This trend is reflected in furniture category as well, with Livspace being the prime example Key disruptions happening in the furniture market Business Model Who does it target? Livspace is an online home design startup Convenience Seeker CEO speaks Deal Hunters “Do It Yourself” The platform creates a “three-way marketplace” between a consumer, interior designer, and product suppliers “Our design centres allow consumers to select one of the pre-designed looks on our website, customize them from our library of over 10000 finishes, see the various looks in our design centres, get a virtual reality experience, and do this all seamlessly between our website and physical locations” Full Stack Offline Furniture Online Furniture Modular Kitchen Design Studio Freelancers Full Stack Full Stack Offline Furniture Offline Furniture Online Furniture Online Furniture Modular Kitchen Modular Kitchen Design Studio Design Studio Freelancers Freelancers 2. Solution based models gain traction Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing22
  • 23. Livspace is using a combination of organic growth across cities along with acquisitions to stregthen both the demand and supply side of its offerings. Growth accelerated in FY18 to reach USD 17 Mn of GMV, up 380% from previous year- showing strong traction for a solution based offering in the market. Strong initial growth of Livspace validates the business model, customers extremely satisfied with service Key disruptions happening in the furniture market Livspace Customer Speaks “My friends love my new kitchen. It’s been a smooth-sailing project. Would definitely recommend Livspace.“ -Customer from Mumbai “So impressed by the expertise of our designer. Our home looks beautiful. Very happy we chose Livspace!“ -Customer from Noida Fy2016 Fy2017 FY2018E 1 4 17* 150% 380% $Mn Livspace GMV Geographical and Catagory Expansion Ÿ Competing in this fragmented and unorganised market, LivSpace in 2015 acquired startups like DezignUp, Dwll.In, YoFloor, and Klozee to scale up quickly Ÿ The company plans on expanding to cities such as Hyderabad, Chennai, Pune in 2018 Ÿ Has raised total funding of over $ 26 mn Livspace GMV Geographical and Category Expansion Source: RedSeer Analysis, * $ 17 mn number is based on run-rate till Jan-18. 2. Solution based models gain traction An RSC perspective 23
  • 24. Having seen the strong initial traction received by Livspace and similar players, larger horizontals furniture e-tailers have launched competing offerings. While their high brand recall and deeper pockets should give them a leg up over the specialists, it remains to be seen whether their offering quality/ breadth would be competitive with the specialists (and with the offline players). Players like Pepperfry and Urban ladder are also realizing the potential in design solutions and ensuring that they are well equipped to provide it Case study Pepperfry, Urban Ladder Source: Company websites 2. Solution based models gain traction Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing24
  • 25. Smaller players have also been driving the growth of online home solutions market- with a focus on creating a marketplace for designing solutions. However, given the deep pockets of their competitors and difficulty in aggregating demand for these smaller player, many of them would likely need to engage with bigger players- either via partnership or MA route- in order to gain significant traction. Some other prominent players in the space in India include HomeLane and Foyr Case study Homelane, Foyr Source: Secondary Reports, RedSeer Analysis • Marketplace for interior designing solutions • Offers personalization, fixed period installation guarantee and a 5-year warranty • Virtual home design through its new feature called Spacecraft • Marketplace for Home buyers, Designers and builders • Offers high end proprietary technology, world class interior designs, tailor made services at wholesale prices • Modular kitchens, wardrobes storage, study tables, crockery, entertainment units, false ceiling, loose furniture etc. • Furniture, furnishings, wardrobes, artefacts, basic electricals, services such as painting, false ceiling etc. • Delivered 2500+ projects, network of 300 interior designers across India • Raised around $68M in various rounds • Delivered 600+ consultancy projects • Raised around $9.7M in various rounds with the latest round of Series A amounting to $4.2M in July • Bangalore • New Delhi • Gurgaon • Pune • Jaipur • Hyderabad • Hyderabad • Noida • Mumbai • Ghaziabad • Chennai • Thane • Design consultation services across Pan India Business model Scale Funding Cities present Offerings 2. Solution based models gain traction An RSC perspective 25
  • 26. 3. Furniture rentals become more popular Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing26
  • 27. The mass popularization of smartphones since 2007 has led to an exponential growth in the so-called ‘sharing economy’ companies. These companies have catered to needs of millenials by offering ‘services’ instead of products for a wide range of categories including cars, homes etc. Over time, this trend has become representative of a new form of consumption, that prioritize convenience over ownership and which offer high flexibility to the always mobile millenials. With explosive growth in sharing economy companies, more and more sectors and even traditional incumbents are embracing this new consumption pattern. Sharing economy is being driven by new generation of millennials who value convenience and flexibility over ownership Sharing Economy Key Players Descriptive Ÿ Disrupting traditional taxi services by offering app-based on demand booking Ÿ 50 Mn 7 Mnriders and Uber drivers globally (2017) Ÿ Airbnb has scaled up its multi- sided technology platforms to become a real threat to the hotel industry Ÿ USD 2.6 Bn revenue in 2017 Sharing economy companies have grown rapidly… …and this reflects a broader megatrend of change in customer needs/expectations Preference of andsharing rentals over ownership Need for andconvenience flexibility Preference of andcustomization emergence of end to end solution based models Transportation Hospitality Sharing economy companies have grown rapidly… …and this reflects a broader megatrend of change in customer needs/ expectations Source: RedSeer Analysis Ÿ Disrupting traditional taxi services by offering app-based on demand booking Ÿ 50 Mn 7 Mnriders and Uber drivers globally (2017) Ÿ Airbnb has scaled up its multi- sided technology platforms to become a real threat to the hotel industry Ÿ USD 2.6 Bn revenue in 2017 Sharing economy companies have grown rapidly… …and this reflects a broader megatrend of change in customer needs/expectations Preference of andsharing rentals over ownership Need for andconvenience flexibility Preference of andcustomization emergence of end to end solution based models Transportation Hospitality 3. Furniture rentals become more popular An RSC perspective 27
  • 28. Furniture retailing is also being engulfed by the sharing economy wave. Players like Furlenco and Rentomojo have grown rapidly in a short span of time and have started to offer all varieties of product rentals and associated value added services for growth. Investors are betting heavily on this market, as observed by USD 40+Mn of funding received till date (although with a small GMV to show for it). Similar trend is spilling over to furniture space, with rental companies growing rapidly Furniture Rental Key Players Descriptive Source: RedSeer Analysis Ÿ Offers renting of furniture, swapping of old furniture, relocation to new location Ÿ 120,000+ downloads on Play Store A Ÿ Offers rentals on Furniture, bikes, appliances, packages (bedroom, dining, 1BHK etc) Ÿ More than 100,000 downloads on Play store, 30000+ users B Furlenco Rentomojo 2011 ~$3 mn in FY2018 Founded GMV $ 23 mn till date $17.1 mn till date 2012 ~$1 mn+ in FY2018 3. Furniture rentals become more popular Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing28
  • 29. Furlenco has emerged as a leader in this yet nascent market. Its success levers? Largely around ensuring a ‘high quality experience’ for the customer- enabled in turn by high quality furniture and superior customer service. Superior customer service has turned out to be the big differentiatior for Furlenco to create much needed customer trust- since this category is bogged down by concerns regarding the product quality/cleanliness and lifetime. Furlenco is the largest and most well funded player in space and is growing rapidly by providing best quality products and top notch service Furniture Rental – Furlenco Profile Descriptive 207% $Mn Furlenco sales growth FY2016 FY2017 1 3 Ÿ Frequent travel and relocation of people in India Ÿ Consumers are increasing moving to rentals and shared services (Eg: cabs) against complete ownership model Ÿ Furlenco provide deep cleaned furniture with impeccable quality Ÿ Customer service is extremely responsive and hence customer NPS is quite high - they are currently getting a lot of referrals What enabled it to succeed Furlenco sales growth Offerings Source: RedSeer Analysis Living room Bedroom Appliances Essentials Kids Room Dining Room Study Room Storage Super Value 3. Furniture rentals become more popular An RSC perspective 29
  • 30. Source: RedSeer Analysis Investors are betting on furniture rentals growth as a long term megatrend rather than a blip on the radar. Global case studies would validate their hypothesis. Players like CORT have emerged as a one stop solution for all types of personal and corporate relocation services, with furniture rental at its core. High revenue growth and successful expansion into 100+ offices globally has proven the model- and perhaps provides an indication of how such models could evolve in India as well. Such rental models have seen success globally as well, with CORT being a shining example Furniture Rental Key Players CORT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 98 Furniture rentals Area Orientation School search Settling In Departure services Corporate housing Home finding Furniture clearance Market Surveys Ÿ Seized growth opportunities in the market as they came without limiting themselves to core offerings Ÿ Extensive range of products, designs and services suiting all customer archetypes Ÿ Drove consumers up the affordability ladder by offering luxury items at discounted prices and for rentals Ÿ Convenient and hassle-free offerings – relocation services, destination services for events etc Ÿ On-demand and personalized service experience Ÿ Ideal for both short term and long term solutions making it economically feasible Key Success drivers Has a presence of around 100 offices and showrooms across the US, operations in UK and partners in more than 80 countries catering to ~8 industries and offering a wide spread of services with furniture rentals as core Started off as a combination of 4 family run businesses Service/Product offerings 3. Furniture rentals become more popular Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing30
  • 31. 4. IKEA’s entry to shake up the market An RSC perspective 31
  • 32. IKEA has a total of 355 stores across 29 countries; China where it opened its first store only in 2006 has already made it to top 5 markets for IKEA Case study IKEA global footprint 4. IKEA’s entry to shake up the market Ÿ IKEA has a presence in 29 countries across 4 continents and is increasing its stronghold across the globe steadily. Ÿ IKEA opened its first store in China in 2006 and it has been one of the fastest growing markets for IKEA having already made it to the top 5 countries in terms of sales contribution, indicating aggressive market penetration over the past decade of operations Key Takeaways Germany 15% USA 14% France 8% UK 6% China 6% Fy17 Sales $ 41 bn IKEA sales split - top5 countries Ÿ IKEA has a presence in 29 countries across 4 continents and is increasing its stronghold across the globe steadily. Ÿ IKEA opened its first store in China in 2006 and it has been one of the fastest growing markets for IKEA having already made it to the top 5 countries in terms of sales contribution, indicating aggressive market penetration over the past decade of operations Key Takeaways Germany 15% USA 14% France 8% UK 6% China 6% Fy17 Sales $ 41 bn IKEA sales split - top5 countries Source: Secondary Reports, RedSeer Analysis As if digital disruption was not enough, traditional retailers in India also face the spectre of a global giant-IKEA. IKEA has built its cult brand on a combination of high quality affordable products sold at giant stores that offer a comprehensive shopping experience. It is a combination that has been remarkably durable and financially successful across geographies- IKEA now has a 355 stores across continents and a foothold in all of the world’s major markets- including in China where it entered in 2006. 355 IKEA STORES IN 29 IKEA GROUP COUNTRIES! NORTH AMERICA 56 Stores 6 Pick-up and Order points 8 Store Distribution sites 8 Customer Distribution sites RUSSIA 14 Stores 1 Store Distribution sites 14 Shopping centres AUSTRALIA 10 Stores 1 Store Distribution sites EUROPE 242 Stores 15 Pick-up and Order points 16 Store Distribution sites 18 Customer Distribution sites 26 Shopping centres ASIA 33 Stores 3 Pick-up and Order points 5 Store Distribution sites 3 Shopping centres Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing32
  • 33. IKEA’s strong focus on offering a value price for its customer is enabled by their local sourcing focus and high investment in RD. Recently, it has also expanded its online offerings and augmented it with latest technology to drive sales. We believe that these strategies should give them an edge in their Indian market entry- where users value pricing above all other factors and which is in midst of an online retail wave. The firm is a world leader in technology innovation in the furniture space, and it adopts a 4 pronged strategy while entering new markets Case study IKEA Technology differentiation Ÿ AR (Augmented Reality) Gallery features:- the AR app lets people experience, experiment and share how good design transforms any space – be it home, office, school or studio. Ÿ The Ikea Place app automatically scales products based on room dimensions with 98% accuracy. Ÿ The company uses the technology which is so precise that one can see the texture of the fabric as well as the chiaroscuro of furnishings. IKEA philosophy while entering new markets Re-invest profits from market to expand operations1 Highly competitive pricing2 Local manufacturing to reduce import cost and delay3 Set up manufacturing hubs and then stores in close proximity to start with4 4. IKEA’s entry to shake up the market An RSC perspective 33
  • 34. It plans to follow a similar approach in India, aiming to open 25 stores by 2025 having a wide and deep assortment of offerings at competitive prices Case study IKEA Source: Secondary Reports, RedSeer Analysis IKEA’s ambitions in India are clearly vast- as indicated by its aggressive expansion plans and the vast amount of committed capital- with a significant share of its capital invested in ‘Indianising’ its product offerings and store experience. Given the ongoing flux in the demand trends and consumer behaviors, it remains to be seen whether IKEA can replicate its global success here in the longer term. However, initial signs indicate that it has made a strong start in the market and traditional players will find it a force to be reckoned with. 1 Plans to invest INR 11,000 CR ($ 1.8 bn) 2 to set up 25 stores 3 and 3 distribution centres 4 Source 30% raw materials locally India expansion plan IKEA already offers products for every nook and corner of your home ranging from Kitchens to Bathrooms and also designing solutions; it is now also actively exploring the option of rentals realising the significant shift in consumer behaviour to renting as opposed to ownership. Local touch in offerings IKEA representatives did 1000+ home visits to understand the need of the local customer base and apply that to their store design and product offerings Wide range, competitive pricing 1) The Ikea store will have a wide range of products ~ 7500 2) ...with competitive pricing - 1,000 of them priced under INR 200 India expansion plan IKEA already offers products for every nook and corner of your home ranging from Kitchens to Bathrooms and also designing solutions; it is now also actively exploring the option of rentals realising the significant shift in consumer behaviour to renting as opposed to ownership. 4. IKEA’s entry to shake up the market Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing34
  • 35. Online players are changing the very nature of furniture consumption itself- by offering rental and used goods, integrated home design solutions and regular furniture. Strong initial growth validates their model and global trends indicate its a long term megatrend. Traditional retailers need to acknowledge these trends and constructively engage with these digital disruptors in order to drive their next wave of growth. The competitive landscape is evolving rapidly- with online players focusing on going mainstream and IKEA bringing its global might to change the furni- ture retailing landscape in India Furniture Furnishings market An RSC perspective 35
  • 36. Retailers need to align their strengthswith these emerging trends to stay relevant for customers Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing36
  • 37. Traditional players need to leverage their strengths to tackle these disruptive trends Digital disruption is changing the market landscape significantly and is unquestionably a threat for Indian traditional retailers. However, retailers can survive- and even thrive-by embracing these changes and tackling them head-on with a coherent strategy. Global examples show that by leveraging their strong assets- a wide store network, a strong brand and a vast product portfolio- traditional retailers can potentially compete effectively with digital disruptors. What will it take to convert this potential into reality for traditional furniture retailers in India? Challenges/Opportunities Traditional players strength How do you create a strong strategy to ride the wave of emerging trends by leveraging existing strengths? Challenges/Opportunities Omni-channel players IKEA’s aggressive entry Rentals over ownership Online retail growth Solution based offerings Value conscious customers Lack of time, need for convenience Need for customization Price comparison online Rise of digital payments Strong physical network 1 High brand recall 2 Large product portfolio 3 How do you create a strong strategy to ride the wave of emerging trends by leveraging existing strengths? Traditional players strength An RSC perspective 37
  • 38. This will need a deep understanding of current needs of customers and a digital readiness assessment of company Converting this vast potential into reality will need an in-depth understanding of the customer and one’s own readiness to ride the digital wave. This will need deep customer insights backed up research along with a strong understanding of the organization and what is needed to make it ready for a digital future. Customer Needs Understanding Is the customer able to interact with company along his/her preferred touch points (online, offline)? Is the interaction seamless across channels? 1 What is the conversion rate of customers coming to a company store? How does it compare to industry peers, online and offline? How can conversion be improved? 2 How does the customer rate his experience at a company store as compared to online peers? 3 Digital Readiness Understanding Is customer preferences and feedback being effectively taken as inputs into company product design, supply chain, store design? 1 Is company effectively leveraging its existing assets (physical presence, brand recall) in its digital strategy? 2 Does it make sense to enter into partnerships/acquire new age companies to fast track digital transformation? 3 Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing38
  • 39. RedSeer can support firms in its digital transformation journey Our offerings cover the entire value chain of digitization for retailers and brands Consumer Understanding Market Landscaping and Benchmarking Digital Strategy Design Implementation Support Go-to-Market Strategy Ÿ Benchmarking key metrics for offline and online furniture retailers- for digital readiness assessment Ÿ Growth of key markets including rentals, solution based buying etc. Ÿ Key opportunity areas to expand into Ÿ Segmenting the consumer buying base by key needs and behaviours, extent of digitisation Ÿ Consumer preferences for online vs offline purchases and experience on the same Ÿ Opportunity mapping for various Tgs Ÿ Basis market landscaping and consumer understanding, building the digital retail strategy Ÿ Omnichannel strategy design Ÿ Build vs buy decision including identifying potential start- ups for acquisition Ÿ Consumer facing strategy- including marketing , product and channel Ÿ Backend strategy design incl partners identification for rollouts Ÿ End to end implementation support run via a PMO Ÿ Support on hiring for marketing, supply chain and other functions of digital team Ÿ Onboarding process design for partners Research and Consulting Toolkit- Available for quick hypothesis testing6 Ÿ Hypothesis testing on key digital growth areas Ÿ Hypothesis testing on consumers needs/behaviour Retainer Support7 5421 3 RedSeer has been at the forefront of mapping India’s digital disruption over last 5 years- across sectors as diverse as retail and education. Our comprehensive set of advisory services backed by pioneering research approaches supports traditional retailers throughout their digital journey- right from market understanding to actual implementation. An RSC perspective 39
  • 40. About Authors Shubham Anand AD Retail-CPG practice shubham@redseerconsulting.com Shubham Anand is leading RedSeer`s growth into new verticals and working with clients across fashion, retail and other CPG verticals on Growth, Market Entry Store Roll-out Strategy. He is also working with PE VC funds to help them with sector scanning and their portfolio growth. Shubham has an overall work experience of 12 years across Management Consulting, Strategy, Marketing, PL, etc. He has done his MBA from IIM Lucknow. Mrigank Gutgutia Engagement Manager mrigank@redseerconsulting.com Mrigank leads the internet practice at RedSeer and brings expertise in driving engagements across internet sectors including e-tailing, cabs, online travel and fintech. He has successfully completed multiple projects around market entry strategy, opportunity scoping, competitive intelligence and due diligence with leading global and Indian corporates, PE/VC companies and global financial institutions. Mrigank is an alumnus of IIM Indore and IIT Roorkee. Akshay Jayaprakasan Consultant akshay@redseerconsulting.com Akshay brings in deep expertise in developing E-commerce and Omni-channel strategy for leading clients in MENA and Indian market. He has also worked on competitive benchmarking, consumer behaviour analysis and performance optimization projects. He holds an MBA from IIM Kozhikode and a B.Tech from NIT Raipur. Disruption in Indian Furniture Retailing40
  • 42. Bangalore I Mumbai I New Delhi I Dubai I New-York | Singapore Thank You! query@redseerconsulting.com Flexible in Approach, Firm on Results © 2018 RedSeer Consulting Confidential and Proprietary Information www.redseerconsulting.com | Query@redseerconsulting.com