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Investing in hardware
What is hardware?
Techno trends
Investing in hardware
Unicorns in HW
Venture model & business model
Role of crowdfunding
Hardware startup
What is consumer hardware product?
Hardware product is a connected device with a
set of features. Hardware is a platform.
Software does not exist without hardware.
PCB + Industrial Design + Algorithm + Cloud
Hardware device components
Sensors Connectivity Brains
blood, air, etc. ZigBee, Bluetooth,
WiFi
Microcontrollers
Microprocessors
New hardware startups on Angelist
3500 - 6000
HW startups
globally
200-400
HW startups
in Russia
Drivers of growth - IoT, Moore’s Law & beyond
3D printing &
prototyping
technology
open
hardware
connectivity of
devices - IoT,
sensors
Nanotechnology
Cheap sensors, Cheap bandwidth, Cheap processing
Semiconductors’ price falling
100x times decrease
Components
price
decrease
100x times decrease
2015 vs. 2012
Microcontrollers' market growth
CAGR 11%
Drivers of growth - IoT, Moore’s Law & beyond
crowdfunding
10,000,000 backers
1.5 billion
smartphones as
controllers
(IDC)
Pipes &
apps
Techno trends
Internet of Things: Technology Roadmap
2000 2010 2020 Time
RFID tags (routing,
inventorying, loss
prevention)
Surveillance, security,
healthcare, transport ,
document management
Locating people &
everyday objects
Teleoperation &
Telepresence
Advanced sensor
fusion
Miniaturisation,
power-efficient
electronics
Indoor communication
Technologyreach
we are here
CES trends 2016
CES, also known as the Consumer
Electronics Show, is an internationally
renowned electronics and technology
trade show, attracting major companies
and industry professionals worldwide.
Inaugurated in 1967, it hosts 140 000
attendees & nearly 1000 companies.
New products & technologies are often
debuted on CES.
CES Innovation Awards (large companies)
Diet sensor based on SCIO Smart fish finder Vehicle intelligence by Ford
360 degree camera 

Ricoh Theta S
OURA - Smart ring with biosignal
tracking
Video headphones
Lily drone Musical seaboard RIDE Robotic bartender
Gartner: Which technologies will get adopted at
scale?
Smart robots
Human augmentation
Connected home
Autonomous vehicles
Smart workplace
Quantified self
IoT
Wearables
3D printing
3D printing innovation -
new materials, incl.
advanced nickel alloys,
carbon fiber, glass,
conductive ink,
electronics,
pharmaceuticals and
biological materials
Connected things -
Digital Mesh
AI: autonomous
learning (DNN) &
agents
User need & demand
USER NEEDTechnology Push Market Pull
push through R&D,
production & sales
function
response to an
identified market
need
x
AR Smart watches
need to test market & user needs
can be validated via
crowdfunding
Investing in Hardware - Facts
Investment in HW rocketed in 2012-2013
Hardware startups by the year of funding
Source: O’Reilly «Hardware by the numbers» (2015)
Hardware is booming
Chances to find/build unicorn hardware startup is 2x times higher than
pure software startup.
There are still few: 6000 hardware startups - 11+ unicorns
investment
hardware
startups is
booming
Source: TechCrunch, Bolt
$3.5 bln
IoT investments soar
Share of HW investment in total investment?
US data
$48 billion
$3.5 billion
4,356 deals
200+ deals
$19.8 billion 1,799 deals
100%
4.6%
41%
100%
7.3%
41%
Global VC funding vs. HW VC funding
Total VC
HW VC
Soft VC
Source: PWC MoneyTree (2015), bolt.io (2015)
Hardware ecosystem growth
Community Accelerators Fablabs
over 1000
hackerspaces
worldwide
Physical things are great. They
just haven't been as great a way
to start a rapidly growing
business as software.
Paul Graham
Most funded hardware startups & exits
Features of hardware unicorns
• Software is a key: there is (almost) no hardware without software
• Exit: mostly M&A, only 1 IPO
• Most companies are B2C. Robotics are mostly B2B
• Wearables and smartwatches are a smaller percentage
• Crowdfunding is becoming a platform for top hardware startups
• Hardware unicorns are growing faster
• Unicorns ship products
Source: http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/17/lean-hardware-breeding-hardware-unicorns/
Business Model in Hardware
Other business models - unlock Venture Model &
stable cash flows
Jawbone
Portfolio model
Pebble
Hardware-as-a-Platform
Kindle Dropcam
Hardware-enabled services
Software
$46 m$818 m $48 m
HES
HaaP
Other business models - unlock Venture Model &
stable cash flows
CreoPop Petnet
Consumables Ecosystem
Makerbot
$4m $10m
Economies of scale in HWBOMmark-upprice
1
1,25
1,5
1,75
2
1 10 100 1000 1000000
Units
depends on product
demand
2015 2020
7,1
2,7
IoT Market Challenge: «Things» is a small slice…
Internet of Things Total Market
(in USD billion)
Hardware vs. Software IoT Sales in
B2B by 2020
Hardware
10 %
Software
90 %
Source: IDC, 2014 Source: Business Insider (BI), 2014
• 23 billion active IoT devices is
expected by the year 2019,
which is expected to push
down device pricing.
• Most of the spending will go
to software & services, while
hardware sales will account
for a very small slice.
• Barriers to entry are high cost
& time associated with setting
up IoT systems.
Software is key!
Crowdfunding:
funding or validation?
Top hardware startups & crowdfunding
Source: http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/17/lean-hardware-breeding-hardware-unicorns/
Top hardware startups & crowdfunding
Source: http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/17/lean-hardware-breeding-hardware-unicorns/
- top crowdfunded
Crowdfunding is
becoming a
systematic
validation method
for hardware
startups
VC funding or Crowdfunding first?
Crowdfunding
campaigns are
launched after
the VC round
Case-study: Canary
http://www.fastcolabs.com/3035852/how-vcs-use-crowdfunding-to-make-sure-their-hardware-startups-pay-out
The all-in-one home
security system you
control from your
phone. It’s built to
learn and sends
intelligent alerts
with HD video and
audio directly to
your phone.
2013 $1.2 million seed
2013 $2 million on
Indiegogo with a
goal of $100,000
2014 $10 million from Khosla
2015 $30 million from Walden
Crowdfunding - Unlocking Venture Model
0
4
8
12
16
Pre-seed Seed Pre-Round A Round A
Company value
growth 4-10x after
crowdfunding
Product validation
Marketing
Valuation growth
1
2
3
Crowdfunding - findings by CB Insights
• $321 million – Total VC financing to-date to crowdfunded hardware projects
• 9.5% – The percentage of crowdfunded hardware campaigns that have gone
onto raise VC
• 2013 – The momentum has been building as might be expected and 2013 was a
big year for funding. 2014, if the current run-rate continues, we will see a new
deal high for crowdfunded hardware campaigns.
• Misfit, Formlabs and SmartThings – The top 3 most well-funded crowdfunded
hardware startups (un-exited)
• Unrelated – Surprisingly, there doesn’t appear to be a relationship between the
amount a campaign raises on a crowdfunding platform and the amount it raises
from VCs.
Unrelated crowdfunding vs. VC funding size
Key takeaways
• Crowdfunding is a model of validation & value growth
• Hardware unicorns - software+hardware monetization model
• Crowdfunding is launched after seed funding
• Hardware startups & investment boomed after 2012
• Key hardware market drivers - cheap components, technology
shifts, crowdfunding, smartphones
Alexa Zotova
az@ruvento.com
Checklist of a successful hardware startup
• Business model - recurring revenue
• CEO is proven leader
• Domain expertise
• Speed of execution
• Product ecosystem change for roadmap of future products
• Product economics
• Market & dynamics
• Innovation

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Investing in hardware

  • 2. What is hardware? Techno trends Investing in hardware Unicorns in HW Venture model & business model Role of crowdfunding
  • 4. What is consumer hardware product? Hardware product is a connected device with a set of features. Hardware is a platform. Software does not exist without hardware. PCB + Industrial Design + Algorithm + Cloud
  • 5. Hardware device components Sensors Connectivity Brains blood, air, etc. ZigBee, Bluetooth, WiFi Microcontrollers Microprocessors
  • 6. New hardware startups on Angelist 3500 - 6000 HW startups globally 200-400 HW startups in Russia
  • 7. Drivers of growth - IoT, Moore’s Law & beyond 3D printing & prototyping technology open hardware connectivity of devices - IoT, sensors Nanotechnology Cheap sensors, Cheap bandwidth, Cheap processing
  • 8. Semiconductors’ price falling 100x times decrease Components price decrease
  • 11. Drivers of growth - IoT, Moore’s Law & beyond crowdfunding 10,000,000 backers 1.5 billion smartphones as controllers (IDC) Pipes & apps
  • 13. Internet of Things: Technology Roadmap 2000 2010 2020 Time RFID tags (routing, inventorying, loss prevention) Surveillance, security, healthcare, transport , document management Locating people & everyday objects Teleoperation & Telepresence Advanced sensor fusion Miniaturisation, power-efficient electronics Indoor communication Technologyreach we are here
  • 14. CES trends 2016 CES, also known as the Consumer Electronics Show, is an internationally renowned electronics and technology trade show, attracting major companies and industry professionals worldwide. Inaugurated in 1967, it hosts 140 000 attendees & nearly 1000 companies. New products & technologies are often debuted on CES.
  • 15. CES Innovation Awards (large companies) Diet sensor based on SCIO Smart fish finder Vehicle intelligence by Ford 360 degree camera 
 Ricoh Theta S OURA - Smart ring with biosignal tracking Video headphones Lily drone Musical seaboard RIDE Robotic bartender
  • 16. Gartner: Which technologies will get adopted at scale? Smart robots Human augmentation Connected home Autonomous vehicles Smart workplace Quantified self IoT Wearables 3D printing 3D printing innovation - new materials, incl. advanced nickel alloys, carbon fiber, glass, conductive ink, electronics, pharmaceuticals and biological materials Connected things - Digital Mesh AI: autonomous learning (DNN) & agents
  • 17. User need & demand USER NEEDTechnology Push Market Pull push through R&D, production & sales function response to an identified market need x AR Smart watches need to test market & user needs can be validated via crowdfunding
  • 19. Investment in HW rocketed in 2012-2013 Hardware startups by the year of funding Source: O’Reilly «Hardware by the numbers» (2015)
  • 20. Hardware is booming Chances to find/build unicorn hardware startup is 2x times higher than pure software startup. There are still few: 6000 hardware startups - 11+ unicorns investment hardware startups is booming Source: TechCrunch, Bolt $3.5 bln
  • 22. Share of HW investment in total investment? US data $48 billion $3.5 billion 4,356 deals 200+ deals $19.8 billion 1,799 deals 100% 4.6% 41% 100% 7.3% 41% Global VC funding vs. HW VC funding Total VC HW VC Soft VC Source: PWC MoneyTree (2015), bolt.io (2015)
  • 23. Hardware ecosystem growth Community Accelerators Fablabs over 1000 hackerspaces worldwide
  • 24. Physical things are great. They just haven't been as great a way to start a rapidly growing business as software. Paul Graham
  • 25.
  • 26. Most funded hardware startups & exits
  • 27.
  • 28. Features of hardware unicorns • Software is a key: there is (almost) no hardware without software • Exit: mostly M&A, only 1 IPO • Most companies are B2C. Robotics are mostly B2B • Wearables and smartwatches are a smaller percentage • Crowdfunding is becoming a platform for top hardware startups • Hardware unicorns are growing faster • Unicorns ship products Source: http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/17/lean-hardware-breeding-hardware-unicorns/
  • 29. Business Model in Hardware
  • 30. Other business models - unlock Venture Model & stable cash flows Jawbone Portfolio model Pebble Hardware-as-a-Platform Kindle Dropcam Hardware-enabled services Software $46 m$818 m $48 m HES HaaP
  • 31. Other business models - unlock Venture Model & stable cash flows CreoPop Petnet Consumables Ecosystem Makerbot $4m $10m
  • 32. Economies of scale in HWBOMmark-upprice 1 1,25 1,5 1,75 2 1 10 100 1000 1000000 Units depends on product demand
  • 33. 2015 2020 7,1 2,7 IoT Market Challenge: «Things» is a small slice… Internet of Things Total Market (in USD billion) Hardware vs. Software IoT Sales in B2B by 2020 Hardware 10 % Software 90 % Source: IDC, 2014 Source: Business Insider (BI), 2014 • 23 billion active IoT devices is expected by the year 2019, which is expected to push down device pricing. • Most of the spending will go to software & services, while hardware sales will account for a very small slice. • Barriers to entry are high cost & time associated with setting up IoT systems. Software is key!
  • 35. Top hardware startups & crowdfunding Source: http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/17/lean-hardware-breeding-hardware-unicorns/
  • 36. Top hardware startups & crowdfunding Source: http://techcrunch.com/2014/11/17/lean-hardware-breeding-hardware-unicorns/ - top crowdfunded Crowdfunding is becoming a systematic validation method for hardware startups
  • 37. VC funding or Crowdfunding first? Crowdfunding campaigns are launched after the VC round
  • 38. Case-study: Canary http://www.fastcolabs.com/3035852/how-vcs-use-crowdfunding-to-make-sure-their-hardware-startups-pay-out The all-in-one home security system you control from your phone. It’s built to learn and sends intelligent alerts with HD video and audio directly to your phone. 2013 $1.2 million seed 2013 $2 million on Indiegogo with a goal of $100,000 2014 $10 million from Khosla 2015 $30 million from Walden
  • 39. Crowdfunding - Unlocking Venture Model 0 4 8 12 16 Pre-seed Seed Pre-Round A Round A Company value growth 4-10x after crowdfunding Product validation Marketing Valuation growth 1 2 3
  • 40. Crowdfunding - findings by CB Insights • $321 million – Total VC financing to-date to crowdfunded hardware projects • 9.5% – The percentage of crowdfunded hardware campaigns that have gone onto raise VC • 2013 – The momentum has been building as might be expected and 2013 was a big year for funding. 2014, if the current run-rate continues, we will see a new deal high for crowdfunded hardware campaigns. • Misfit, Formlabs and SmartThings – The top 3 most well-funded crowdfunded hardware startups (un-exited) • Unrelated – Surprisingly, there doesn’t appear to be a relationship between the amount a campaign raises on a crowdfunding platform and the amount it raises from VCs.
  • 41. Unrelated crowdfunding vs. VC funding size
  • 42.
  • 43. Key takeaways • Crowdfunding is a model of validation & value growth • Hardware unicorns - software+hardware monetization model • Crowdfunding is launched after seed funding • Hardware startups & investment boomed after 2012 • Key hardware market drivers - cheap components, technology shifts, crowdfunding, smartphones
  • 45. Checklist of a successful hardware startup • Business model - recurring revenue • CEO is proven leader • Domain expertise • Speed of execution • Product ecosystem change for roadmap of future products • Product economics • Market & dynamics • Innovation