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C r navirus Impact Assessment
& Mitigation Strategies
on
F d Service Industry
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Food Service Industry Overview
› How COVID 19 is Impacting Global Food Industry
› Month Over Month Average Change in Sales at Top 200
Food Chains
› Scenario Analysis of COVID 19 Outbreak on Food
Service Industry
› Analyzing Estimated Food Service Spending Behavior
› Percent of Sales Originate from Third-Party
Delivery Partners
› Assessing Percent Decrease in Food and Beverage Sales
Risk Assessment and its Impact
Risk 1: Disruption Due to Social Distancing
› Social Distancing Impact on Food Service Industry
Risk 2: Plummeting Employee Productivity
› Issues that Represents COVID 19 Impact on
Employee Productivity
Risk 3: Stressed Supply Chains
› How COVID 19 Disrupted US Food Supply Chain
› Likely Impact of Coronavirus on FSCs in
Developing Regions
Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment &
Investment Pull-back
› Global GDP falls under the Terrain of Recession
› Industry Wise Jobs Vulnerable to Layoffs during COVID
19 in US
› COVID 19 Impact on Unemployment Claims in US
Risk 5: Economic Instability and Civil Unrest
› Potential Impact of COVID 19 on Consumer Expenditure
in G7 Economies
› COVID 19 Impact results a Growth Recession in US
How Risks are Mitigated
Business Impact Analysis
› Assessing COVID 19 Impact on Food Service Business
› Impact Assessment Matrix for Food Service Business
Risk Readiness Assessments
› Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist for Reopening
Food Business
› Ensuring Food Safety with Risk Readiness Assessment
Checklist
Risk Management Plans
› Basic Prevention and Control Measures for COVID
19 Pandemic
› Risk Mitigation Activities According to Impact of COVID
19 Spread
› What Food Service Businesses can do to Protect
themselves from COVID 19
› How to Ensure Food Safety at Workplace
› Enforce Safety Measures at Workplace to Reduce
Transmission among Workers
Business Continuity Plans
› Key Strategies for Food Service Companies to Tackle
COVID 19 Outbreak
› Share the Results of your Risk Assessment
› What Kind of Food and Menu Operators are Promoting
› Smarter Approach to Ensure Food Safety in Future
› How to Stay Relevant in COVID 19 Crisis
Policy Management
› Social Distancing Policies for Restaurants and Third-
Party Delivery Services
Risk Maturity Model Survey Questionnaire
› How Far should Tables be placed to Make you Feel
Comfortable in Dining at Restaurants
› For Dine-in at a Restaurant, What Measure would you
be Willing to Do
› How Long Do you Anticipate News of COVID 19
Outbreak Impact your Dinning-out Behaviors
› How Likely COVID 19 Outbreak Impacts your Attitude
towards Foodservice
Incident Management
› Food Incident Response Process to Mitigate Risk
› Incident Reporting Form for Food Service Businesses
2
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Food Service Industry Overview
› How COVID 19 is Impacting Global Food Industry
› Month Over Month Average Change in Sales at Top 200
Food Chains
› Scenario Analysis of COVID 19 Outbreak on Food
Service Industry
› Analyzing Estimated Food Service Spending Behavior
› Percent of Sales Originate from Third-Party Delivery Partners
› Assessing Percent Decrease in Food and Beverage Sales
3
How COVID 19 is Impacting Global Food Industry
Following slide portrays impact of coronavirus pandemic on global food industry. It includes the statistics about monetary loss as well as employment loss
According to National Restaurant
Association, Food service industry
could suffer a loss of $224 Billions
and 7 Millions jobs due to
coronavirus pandemic
In America, dairy farmers are dumping
3.7 million gallons of milk every day
due to disrupted supply routes
In April 2020, sales volume at
restaurants reached $32.4billion,
the lowest in 35 years
According to National Cattleman’s
Beef Association, cattle ranchers
will face a loss of $13 Billions and
while the loss projection for hog
industry is $5 Billions
4
Month Over Month Average Change in Sales at Top 200 Food Chains
This slide displays the impact of COVID 19 on monthly average sales of top 200 food chains. It illustrates both optimistic and pessimistic statistics about change in sales.
Key
Takeaways
› Top 200 food chains will face -30.8%
(optimistic) decline in monthly average
sales in the year 2020
› Top 200 food chains will record -
48.1% (pessimistic) decline in monthly
average sales in the year 2020
-7.9%
-2.3%
12.2%
-2.3%
4.6%
-3.1%
-0.5% 1.3%
-8.8%
8.3%
-6.9%
3.6%
-0.1
-30.8
-4.9
-0.1
-48.1
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2017-2019 2020 Optimistic 2020 Pessimistic
5
Scenario Analysis of COVID 19 Outbreak on Food Service Industry
Mentioned slide illustrates scenario analysis of coronavirus pandemic on food service industry. It includes three scenarios namely best case, middle case and worst case.
Key
Takeaways
As per the nominal projections, food
industry will record -18% (best case
scenario) year over year growth for 2020
As per the real projections, food industry
will record -20% (best case scenario) year
over year growth for 2020
-26%
-22%
-18%
Worst Care Middle Case Best Case
2020 Nominal Projections
% YOY Growth
2020 Real Projections
% YOY Growth
-28%
-24%
-20%
6
Analyzing Estimated Food Service Spending Behavior
Following slide shows estimated spending behavior of food service businesses during COVID 19 outbreak. It includes stats of % consumer planned to reduce visits to restaurant, cumulative impact, weekly
change and estimated spend per 100 consumers.
32%
53%
77%
77% 79% 79%
72% 72%
-17%
-22%
-29% -32%
-34% -35% -35% -34%
-17%
-13%
-20%
2%
-6%
6%
18%
2%
54,686
45,310
39,494
31,671
32,435 30,476
32,411
38,377
$20000
$25000
$30000
$35000
$40000
$45000
$50000
$55000
$60000
-50%
-30%
-10%
10%
30%
50%
70%
% Consumers palnned reduced visits to resturants Comulative impact***
Week-to-week change Estimated spend per 1,000 consumers***
Key
Takeaways
› Estimated spend per 1000
consumers will get decline from
$54,686 in April 2019 to $39,003
in April 2020
› Cumulative impact on food
service spending behavior will
get decline from -17% in March
2020 to -34% in April 2020
2020
7
Percent of Sales Originate from Third-Party Delivery Partners
This slide portrays informational statistics about how much of sales percentage is generated by third-party delivery partners to food businesses.
12%
13%
24%
29%
13%
7%
3%
4%
2%
12%
17%
24%
26%
15%
1-3%
3-5%
5-10%
10-20%
20-40%
40-60%
Above 60%
Before March 15 After March 15
Key
Takeaways
2020
About 29% food businesses says
that third-party food delivery
partners have generated 10-20%
of sales to their food businesses
before 15 March 2020
26% food businesses says that
third-party food delivery partners
have generated 40-60% of sales to
their food businesses after 15
March 2020
8
Assessing Percent Decrease in Food and Beverage Sales
Mentioned slide shows the informational stats of percent decrease in food and beverage sales by food businesses in April month of 2020.
Key Takeaways
16%
7%
7%
8%
17%
21%
16%
8%
More than 70%
61%-70%
51%-60%
41%-50%
31%-40%
21%-30%
11%-20%
Less than 10%
% DECREASE IN SALES IN APRIL 2020
About 21% food and beverage
businesses accounted 21-30%
decrease in their sales in April 2020
when compared to march stats.
17% food and beverage businesses
accounted 31-40% decrease in their
sales in April 2020 when compared to
march stats
9
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Risk Assessment and its Impact
› Social Distancing Impact on Food Service Industry
Risk 1: Disruption Due to Social Distancing
10
Social Distancing Impact on Food Service Industry
Following slide portrays impact of social distancing measure on food industry. Impacts highlighted in the slide are change in purchasing behavior, impact on farm sector and restaurant closure.
In order to stay safe from COVID 19
transmission, consumers are
preferring to order food online from
restaurant apps or third-party food
delivery services
Change in Purchasing
Behaviour
Countries are imposing lockdown
scenarios to control COVID 19
spread, this will directly impact small
farmers of developing countries as
their crops will not reach to
consumer market due to supply
chain disruptions
Direct Impact on
Farm sector
Restaurants or food chains
operating in dense urban areas are
advised to shutdown as they can
act as a contributing factor in
facilitating the spread of
coronavirus
Restaurant
Closure
11
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Risk Assessment and its Impact
› Issues that Represents COVID 19 Impact on Employee Productivity
Risk 2: Plummeting Employee Productivity
12
Issues that Represents COVID 19 Impact on Employee Productivity
This slide illustrates informational statistics about top issues due to COVID 19 outbreak that have direct impact on employee productivity.
About 54% of employees have
concerns about their job security at
the beginning of April month of 2020
38% of the employees have concerns
about their personal health at the
beginning of April month of 2020
4%
5%
7%
8%
8%
9%
12%
13%
15%
17%
38%
54%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Managing Schedule
Social Isolation
Productivity
Family Health
Work Life Balance
Stress & Mental Health
Viability of Employer
Remote Work
Personal Finances
Childcare & Home Schooling
Personal Health
Job Security Key Takeaways
Top Issues Weeks of April 1-18, 2020
13
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Risk Assessment and its Impact
› How COVID 19 Disrupted US Food Supply Chain
› Likely Impact of Coronavirus on FSCs in Developing Regions
Risk 3: Stressed Supply Chains
14
How COVID 19 Disrupted US Food Supply Chain
Mentioned slide shows information on how coronavirus disrupted US food supply chain. It includes the impact of disruption like rise in food product prices, impact on downstream FSCs and impact on
source of food production.
Rise in Price of
Food Product
Impact on Downstream
Food Supply Chain will
be Higher
Direct Impact on source
of Food Production
Food supply chain gets disrupted as
government imposes import and
export restrictions resulting an
increase in the cost of raw materials
and finished food products
Downstream firms of food supply
network will experience the greatest
impact as they are labor intensive
with high densities of workers in
small spaces and have little control
over hygiene practices
As government is imposing
lockdowns in infected areas to
restrict the transmission, this will
lead to food supply chain disruption
in that area resulting in packed
food shortages
15
Likely Impact of Coronavirus on FSCs in Developing Regions
Following slide shows the impact of COVID 19 outbreak on FSCs in developing regions like Africa and south Asia. Type of food supply chains covered in the slide are traditional, transitional and modern.
Traditional FSC Transitional FSC Modern FSC
Approximate prevalence
in Africa & south Asia as
share of food economy
10% 70% 20%
Approximate prevalence
in southeast Asia &
Latin America
5% 50% 45%
Main Enterprise Type Home Microenterprise SMs, Wet Markets
Super Markets,
Large processors
Length Short, Local Long, Rural-Urban
Long, Rural-
Urban, International
Use of Arrangements
No Contacts,
No Standards
No Contacts,
Public Standards
Emerging Contacts,
Private Standards
Technology Labor-Intensive Labor-Intensive Capital-Intensive
COVID 19 Impact on Food
Supply Chains (FSCs)
Both Traditional and Transitional FSCs will
experience the highest impact of COVID 19
pandemic as:
› They are labor intensive
› They have no contracts with government
or any other part
› They have no hygiene standards or
control over hygiene practices
16
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Risk Assessment and its Impact
› Global GDP falls under the Terrain of Recession
› Industry Wise Jobs Vulnerable to Layoffs during COVID 19 in US
› COVID 19 Impact on Unemployment Claims in US
Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment and Investment Pull-back
17
Global GDP falls under the Terrain of Recession
This slide displays informational statistics about the impact of coronavirus pandemic on both world GDP as well as GDP of China.
Key Takeaways
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020(F)
Financial Crisis COVID 19 Crisis
COVID 19 pandemic disrupt
economic activity across both
developing and developed
economies resulting decline in world
GDP from 2.9 in 2019 to 2.4 in 2020
GDP of china will also get impacted
due to COVID 19 outbreak resulting
GDP decline from 6.1% in 2019 to
1.2% (estimated) in 2020
Annual Percent Change
China
World
18
Recession Threshold
Industry Wise Jobs Vulnerable to Layoffs during COVID 19 in US
Mentioned slide portrays key statistics of job vulnerable to laid off due to COVID 19 crisis in various industries of US. It indicates that food and beverage services industry will have the highest
impact of pandemic.
High –
Wage Jobs
Low –
Wage Jobs
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Food & Beverages Services
Clothing & Retail
Support & Accommodation Services
Automobile Services
Education
Travel & Attractions
Membership Associations & Organizations
Sports & Entertainment
Real Estate
1.2 millions of job in US real
estate industry will be laid off
due to Coronavirus Outbreak
About 11.2 millions low-wage
jobs in US food and beverage
services industry will get laid off
due to Coronavirus Pandemic
Key Takeaways
19
COVID 19 Impact on Unemployment Claims in US
Following slide shows informational stats about COVID 19 outbreak on weekly initial unemployment claims in United states of America.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2000 2010 2020
Mar 28, 2009 665,000 claims
Mar 28, 2020 6,648,000 claims
Key Takeaways
Weekly initial unemployment claims
in US reached to 6.6 millions in
March 2020 which is equivalent to
unemployment claims registered
during financial crisis in 2008
Add text here
Add text here
Need
Job
20
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Risk Assessment and its Impact
› Potential Impact of COVID 19 on Consumer Expenditure in
G7 Economies
› COVID 19 Impact results a Growth Recession in US
Risk 5: Economic Instability and Civil Unrest
21
Potential Impact of COVID 19 on Consumer Expenditure in G7 Economies
This slide portrays potential impact of COVID 19 pandemic on consumer expenditure of G7 economies. It indicates that Hotels. Restaurants and package holidays businesses will have the highest impact
of pandemic.
22
COVID 19 outbreak will
impact hotels, restaurants
and package holidays
businesses the most in all
G7 economies
Clothing and footwear
businesses will have the
least impact due to
coronavirus pandemic
Key Takeaways
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
CAN DEU FRA GBR ITA JPN USA
Clothing & Footwear Household Equipment
transport Expenditure Arts & Recreation
Hotels, Resturants & Package Holidays Other Personal Services
Total
COVID 19 Impact results a Growth Recession in US
Mentioned slide illustrates informational statistics about COVID 19 spread on US GDP in 2020. It shows that impact will results a growth recession in US.
2.9
2.3
0.8
0.3
2.5
2.6
0
1
2
3
4
2018 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020
Growth
Recession
GDP Percent Change, Annualized Rate
Actual
Forecast
Key Takeaways
GDP of US is projected
to reach at 0.8% in first
quarter of 2020
GDP of US is projected to
reach at 0.8% in Q1 2020 to
0.3% in Q2 2020
Add Text Here
23
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
How Risks are Mitigated
› Assessing COVID 19 Impact on Food Service Business
› Impact Assessment Matrix for Food Service Business
Business Impact Analysis
24
Assessing COVID 19 Impact on Food Service Business
Following slide displays impact assessment of COVID 19 outbreak on food service business. It includes information about key function, people, premises, processes, providers and profile
Food Preparation
Online Food Delivery
Add Text Here
Key Staff:
Mention here what staff do you
require to carry out your restaurant
key functions during the crisis
Buildings:
Define your restaurant location
IT:
Mention here the IT infrastructure
required to carry out your restaurant
key functions
Reciprocal Arrangements:
Do you have any reciprocal arrangement
with other organizations?
Reputation:
Who are your
key stakeholders?
Skills / Expertise / Training:
Define skills and expertise required
to undertake restaurant key
functions during crisis
Facilities:
Mention here what facilities are
essential to carry out your restaurant
key functions
Documentation:
What documents are essential to
carry out your restaurant
key functions
Contractors / External Providers:
Do you tender key services out to another
organization? If so to whom & for What?
Legal Considerations:
Define your legal and
regulatory requirements
Minimum Staffing Levels:
Mention here how much staff do you
require to resume your restaurant
operations during the crisis
Equipment / Resources:
List the equipment required to carry
out your restaurant key functions
Systems & Communications
What Systems & Means of
Communication are required to carry
out your restaurant key functions
Suppliers:
Mention here your priority suppliers
Add Text Here
Add Text Here
25
Key Functions
Impact Assessment Matrix for Food Service Business
This slide shows assessment matrix for assessing COVID 19 impact on food businesses. It includes details about impact area and impact intensity on business whether low, medium or high.
High Add Text Here Add Text Here $150k to $300K
High Add Text Here Add Text Here At local level
Medium Add Text Here Significant infringement Add Text Here
High Add Text Here Add Text Here Add Text Here
Medium Add Text Here Add Text Here Add Text Here
High Add Text Here Add Text Here Add Text Here
Impact
Area
Impact Impact Low Impact Medium Impact High
Financial
Reputation
Regulatory
Legal
Operational
Policy
26
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
How Risks are Mitigated
› Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist for Reopening
Food Business
› Ensuring Food Safety with Risk Readiness
Assessment Checklist
Risk Readiness Assessments
27
Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist for Reopening Food Business
Mentioned slide illustrates readiness assessment checklist for mitigating COVID 19 risk and resuming food business operations.
Response (Yes/No)
Reconfiguration of workstations to maintain social distancing between employees
Establishment of physical barrier at billing counter
Proper functioning of HVAC at workstation
Areas allocated for placing hand Sanitizers
Reconfiguration of Break Rooms to promote social distancing
Developed risk mitigation strategies to tackle the spread
Parameters
28
Ensuring Food Safety with Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist
Following slide portrays risk assessment checklist for ensuring food safety to gain consumer confidence. It includes both workstation safety and food safety.
Washing hands frequently after preparing a food order
Disinfecting dishwashing equipment and food storage refrigerator
Delivery guy is supposed to sanitize his hands after each customer interaction
Disinfecting workspaces multiple time on daily basis
Following government guidelines and recommendations
Employee temperature screening on daily basis before going to workstation
Asking employees to stay home if symptomatic
Parameters Met Needs Work Not applicable
Workstation Safety
Food Safety
29
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
How Risks are Mitigated
› Basic Prevention and Control Measures for COVID 19 Pandemic
› Risk Mitigation Activities According to Impact of COVID 19 Spread
› What Food Service Businesses can do to Protect themselves from
COVID 19
› How to Ensure Food Safety at Workplace
› Enforce Safety Measures at Workplace to Reduce Transmission
among Workers
Risk Management Plans
30
Basic Prevention and Control Measures for COVID 19 Pandemic
This slide shows basic prevention and control measure to tackle coronavirus pandemic. It includes engineering controls, administrative controls and safe work practices.
› Installation of high
efficiency air filters
at workstations and
dining tables
› Physical barrier
installation at
workspaces, rest
rooms and
billing counter
› Build a drive through
window for
customer service
Engineering Controls
› Establish and modify
current sick
leaves policy
› Plan alternative
shifts for ensuring
employees safety
and maintaining
social
distancing measures
Administrative Controls
› Mark areas for
hand sanitization
at workspaces
› Provide face mask
and gloves to all
the employees
› Develop daily plan for
workplace sanitization
Safe Work Practices
31
Risk Mitigation Activities According to Impact of COVID 19 Spread
Mentioned slide illustrates risk mitigation activities based on coronavirus level of transmission. Level of transmission covered are none to minimal, minimal to moderate and substantial.
What restaurants
can do to prevent
COVID 19 spread if
encountered with
any case at
their workplace
Level of Transmission
› Know about the signs and
symptoms of COVID-19 and
keep in mind the measures
to be taken if staff
become symptomatic
› Develop alternate day
working schedules for
the staff
› Disinfect frequently touched
areas and equipment's
None to Minimal
› Encourage staff to telework if
coming from highly
infected area
› Implement social distancing
measures by establishing
physical barriers at
workplace and break rooms
› Do temperature screening of
staff on daily basis
Minimal to Moderate
› Encourage customer to order
food online via
restaurant app
› Ensure flexible leave policies
for staff who need to stay
at home due to
lockdown scenarios
› Restrict dine-in facilities
provided by the restaurant
Substantial
Factor
32
What Food Service Businesses can do to Protect themselves from COVID 19
Following slide portrays information on what measures food service businesses can take to protect themselves from coronavirus crisis. Areas where measures should be taken are workplace, supply chain,
business continuity and financial liquidity and risk.
Ensuring Workplace
Safety by
› Providing face mask, gloves
and hand sanitizers to staff
at workstations
› Establishing physical barriers at
workstations and billing counter
› Encouraging staff to stay at home
if symptomatic
Workforce
Overcoming Supply Chain
disruptions by
› Identifying critical products required
for restaurant operation by carrying
out operational risk assessment
› Finding a raw material supplier from
the low infected area
› Preparing a contingency plan to re-
address the balance of supply chain
Supply Chain
Ensuring Business
Continuity by
› Focusing on online food
delivery facility
› Establish a drive-through window
for taking customer orders
› Disinfecting workspaces for
multiple times on daily basis
Business Continuity
Overcoming Financial
Liquidity challenges by
› Evaluating cash flow and
performing scenario analysis
› Setting milestones according to
various scenarios and level
of measures
Financial Liquidity & Risk
33
How to Ensure Food Safety at Workplace
This slide shows information about on how to ensure food safety at workplace. It includes 4 steps namely clean, separate, clock and chill.
Step 1
CLEAN
› Wash your hands for
minimum 20 seconds
before and after handling
any food item
› Disinfect or clean your
cutting boards, utensils and
billing counter on daily basis
Step 2
SEPARATE
› Separate raw meat,
seafood and poultry from
other food items
› Use different cutting boards
for fresh produce and raw
meat, seafood and poultry
Step 3
COOK
› Use food thermometers for
ensuring safety of meat,
seafood and poultry
› Bring sauces, soups and gravy
to a boil when reheating
Step 4
CHILL
› Use an appliance having inbuilt
thermometer for ensuring
freezing temperature
› Refrigerate or freeze meat,
seafood and poultry within 2
hours of cooking
34
Enforce Safety Measures at Workplace to Reduce Transmission among Workers
Mentioned slide illustrates information on how to ensure safety measures at workplace to minimize COVID transmission among workers.
Be Healthy,
Be Clean
Encourage staff to stay home if
found symptomatic
Do temperature screening of
workers who are exposed to
COVID 19 infected areas
Instruct your staff to wash their
hands for minimum 20 seconds
before & after handling any
food item
Avoid touching your eyes, nose
and mouth with unwashed
hands
Do not touch raw material with
bare hands
Wrap food containers to
prevent cross contamination
Clean &
Disinfect
Plan and implement workplace
sanitization schedules
Train & educate employees
on disinfecting food
preparing equipment’s
Disinfect highly contact
surfaces on frequent basis
Ensure the sanitization of food
containers and freezers
Mark areas & place hand
sanitizers for ensuring
Employee safety
Provide sanitized wipes
to customers
Social
Distance
Educate employees on social
distancing guidelines provided
by the government officials
Place Floor markings and
signs to promote social
distancing measures
Set-up drive through window to
cater customer orders
Pick-up
& Delivery
Ensure the sanitization of
transport containers after every
customer interaction
Encourage customer to use “no
touch” deliveries
Offer a designated pickup
zones for customer
35
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
How Risks are Mitigated
› Key Strategies for Food Service Companies to Tackle COVID
19 Outbreak
› Share the Results of your Risk Assessment
› What Kind of Food and Menu Operators are Promoting
› Smarter Approach to Ensure Food Safety in Future
› How to Stay Relevant in COVID 19 Crisis
Business Continuity Plans
36
Key Strategies for Food Service Companies to Tackle COVID 19 Outbreak
Following slide displays key strategies that food service businesses can implement to tackle coronavirus outbreak. Strategies covered are prioritize staff health and wellness, customer reassurance and
focus on premium deliveries.
Prioritize Staff Health & Wellness
Restaurant businesses are facing labor shortages due to COVID 19 crisis. For
business continuity they must consider and ensure employees safety by providing
hand sanitizer at workplace, providing face mask, gloves and PPE kits
Customer Reassurance
For business continuity, customer retention is as much important as to maintain cleanliness
at workplace. Food businesses can communicate any change or modifications in their
service offering to its valuable customers via social media platform
Focus on Premium Deliveries
Millennials are showing preferences for budget-friendly meals and enhance
experience in delivered food. Food businesses should grab this opportunity by
providing customers with higher quality cooked food at minimum pricing
37
Share the Results of your Risk Assessment
This slide portrays the risk assessment results of a food service providers in order to tackle COVIF 19 pandemic.
We confirm that we have followed the government
guidelines to tackle and manage the risk of COVID 19
Five Steps to Safer
Working Together
We have carried out COVID 19 risk assessment and shared
the results with the working staff and customers
We have provided face mask, gloves and hand sanitizers to
our workers
We have made work from home arrangements if any worker
feels symptomatic
We have placed floor markings and signs to maintain 6 feet of
distance for each customer waiting
We are offering drive through service to restrict
customer gathering
Employer ___________ Date ___________
Who to Contact: Your Health & Safety Representative
Staying
COVID-19
Secure in 2020
38
What Kind of Food and Menu Operators are Promoting
Mentioned slide illustrates information on what kind of food and menu is promoted by food service operators during COVID 19 crisis to stay ahead of competitors.
21%
22%
24%
30%
33%
40%
45%
16%
25%
23%
21%
29%
39%
33%
Larger Portions
Value Items
Grab-and-Go
Healthy Foods
Ready-to-Heat Meals
Family-Style Meals/ Food that can
be shared
Comfort Foods
22%
28%
37%
52%
47%
68%
Ready-to-heat meals
Comfort foods
Family-style meals/food
that can be shared
Week beginning April 19
Week beginning April 5
Top Seven Food/Meals Operators Are Promoting Most Successful Menu Promotions
Key Takeaways
45% of top seven food operators are offering
comfort foods for the week beginning April 5
About 68% of operators are promoting family-style
meals in their menu for the week beginning April 19
39
Smarter Approach to Ensure Food Safety in Future
Following slide displays various smart approaches that food businesses will adopt post COVID 19 to ensure food safety. It includes technology enabled food traceability, risk prevention tools, new business
model adoption and food safety culture.
Risk Prevention tools
› Data analysis tools will help the business and its
stakeholders to better identify and mitigate food
safety risks in advance
Food Safety Culture
› Encouraging food safety practices at workplace
will work as a contributing factor in developing
consumer confidence for dining at food chains
and restaurants
New Business Model Adoption
› Shifting the focus to online food delivery business
from traditional retail food establishment is the
new necessity to sustain business
Technology Enabled Food Traceability
› Using food ordering and tracking management
software’s will help the food chains and restaurants in
effectively tracking the origin of contaminated food
respond to the risk accordingly
40
How to Stay Relevant in COVID 19 Crisis
This slide shows information on how food service businesses can stay relevant during coronavirus crisis. The focusses on three key points namely stay transparent, stay ahead and stay flexible.
Be transparent with your customers about what measure
you are taking to tackle COVID 19 crisis. Be honest
about your limitations and what changes customers can
expect in the coming weeks
Offer your valuable customers something
different that your competitors can not
deliver. Adopt cross selling approach by
offering essential items at workplace like
eggs, toilet paper and hand sanitizer
Make a habit of adopting rules and
regulations given by government authorities
for ensuring workplace and consumer safety.
Understand the regulations and adopt your
business offerings accordingly
Stay
Transparent
41
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies
on Food Service Industry
How Risks are Mitigated
› Social Distancing Policies for Restaurants and
Third-Party Delivery Services
Policy Management
42
Social Distancing Policies for Restaurants and Third-Party Delivery Services
Mentioned slide illustrates various social distancing policies for both restaurant and third-party delivery services to operate during COVID 19 pandemic.
Policies for Third-Party Delivery Services
› Provide face mask, gloves and hand sanitizers to all
delivery personnel
› Sanitize food container frequently after delivering
customer order
› Avoid touching door handles and other commonly
touched areas
› Encourage customer to use “no touch” deliveries
Policies for Restaurants
› Use sign boards to maintain social distancing measures
› Place Floor markings and signs to maintain 6 feet of
distance for each customer waiting
› Offer drive through service to restrict customer gathering
› Stagger pickup timings to avoid customer waiting
› Provide hand washing stations for staff and workers
43
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies
on Food Service Industry
How Risks are Mitigated
› Food Incident Response Process to Mitigate Risk
› Incident Reporting Form for Food Service Businesses
Incident Management
44
Food Incident Response Process to Mitigate Risk
Following slide portrays food incident reporting procedure to mitigate coronavirus spread. It covers six stages where the first one is to conduct preliminary assessment and last one is to close the
incident file.
Conduct a
Preliminary Assessment
› Open an incident file in
incident management system
› Determine jurisdiction
› Define the urgency to
respond the incident
› Immediate control action
Assess
the Risk
› Evaluate the need for
risk assessment
› Conduct a risk assessment
› Classify the risks in
specified categories
Mitigate
the Risk
› Communicate & implement the
risk mitigation plan
› Verify completeness &
effectiveness of mitigation plan
› Conduct follow-up activities
Conduct a Food
Safety Investigation
› Develop and implement a
food safety investigation plan
› Collect information
› Verify and analyze the data
› Scope the incident by
conducting a root
cause analysis
Make a
Decision
› Review the risk assessment
› Identify risk mitigation options
› Develop risk mitigation plan
Close the
Incident File
› Develop a rationale
› Demobilize resources
› Communicate lessons learned
from the incident
01 02 03 04 05 06
45
Incident Reporting Form for Food Service Businesses
This slide shows incident reporting form which can be used by food service businesses to report any COVID 19 case at workplace. It covers details about incident, treatment information, action taken, and
form completed by.
DETAILS OF THE ACCIDENT/INCIDENT
Date: ___________________ Time: _____________________ Location (Dinning Room, Kitchen): ______________
Describe the Incident:
List down the symptoms found:
Were there any witnesses? ________ If so, give their contact details (name, phone, address)
WAS ANYONE INFECTED?
Name: ____________ Age: ____________ M F Employer: ____________
Address: ___________________________________________________________________________ Phone: _______________
(if more than one person was injured, complete a separate “incident & Accident Report Form”)
TREATMENT DETAILS
None First Aid Outpatient Clinic Hospital Hospital Stay? How many nights? ________
Absent from work? How many days? ___________ Other treatment details: ___________________
ACTION
What action has been taken to prevent transmission?
FORM COMPLETED BY:
Name: ____________ Title: ____________ Phone: _______________
Address: ___________________________________________________________________________ Date: _______________
46
Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on
Food Service Industry
Risk Maturity Model Survey Questionnaire
› How Far should Tables be placed to Make you Feel Comfortable
in Dining at Restaurants
› For Dine-in at a Restaurant, What Measure would you be
Willing to Do
› How Long Do you Anticipate News of COVID 19 Outbreak
Impact your Dinning-out Behaviors
› How Likely COVID 19 Outbreak Impacts your Attitude towards
Food service
47
How Far should Tables be placed to Make you Feel Comfortable in Dining at Restaurants
Following slide shows the survey result on how far should tables be placed to make customers feel comfortable in Dining at a restaurant.
15%
2%
5%
20%
50%
9%
In the near future, I would not feel comfortable dining in
15 Feet
12 Feet
9 Feet
6 Feet
3 Feet
20% people agree that tables
should be placed at 9 feet distance
to make them feel comfortable in
dining at restaurants
About 50% people agree that tables
should be placed at 6 feet distance
to make them feel comfortable in
dining at restaurants
48
Key
Takeaways
For Dine-in at a Restaurant, What Measure would you be Willing to Do
This slide displays the survey result on what measure would customers be willing to do for dine-in at a restaurant.
5%
22%
24%
32%
40%
42%
61%
I would not be willing to do any of the above
I would not visit a restaurant for dine-in service
Sign a paper to say that you are healthy
Wear gloves
Wear a mask
Get your temperature taken
Follow the 6-ft social distancing protocol
Key
Takeaways
About 61% people says that
they will follow 6-foot social
distancing protocol for dine-in
at a restaurant
About 42% people says that
they will feel comfortable for
dine-in at a restaurant after
going through temperature
screening process
49
How Long Do you Anticipate News of COVID 19 Outbreak Impact your Dinning-out Behaviors
Mentioned slide illustrates the survey result on how long do the customers anticipate news of COVID 19 outbreak Impact their dinning-out behaviors.
35%
46%
53%
27%
21%
30%
28%
65%
54%
47%
73%
79%
70%
72%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Overall A Large City A Medium-Sized
City
A Small Town A Suburb outside of
a Large City
A Suburb outside of
a Small City
A Rural Area
Week Beginning May 10
Less than 4 Months 4 Months or Longer
Key Takeaways
Overall, 35% of people says
that news of coronavirus
outbreak will impact their
dinning-out behavior for less
than 4 months
Overall, 65% people says that
news of COVID 19 outbreak
will impact their dinning-out
behavior for more than
4 months
50
How Likely COVID 19 Outbreak Impacts your Attitude towards Food Service
This slide displays the survey result on how likely COVID 19 outbreak Impacts their attitude towards food service
Key Takeaways About 32% people says that they will not go
out to eat at restaurants as often due to
coronavirus outbreak
About 27% people says that they will order
more from food businesses that offers drive-
through facility
27%
25%
48%
53%
13%
31%
32%
I will order more food from the drive-thru
I will order more restaurant food for delivery
I will likely not order food or beverages away from home as often
I will not to go out to eat at restaurants as often
Week Ending March 6 Week Ending March 13
51
Icons Slide For Coronavirus Impact
Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Food Service Industry
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Additional Slides
About us
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62%
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4.25%
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Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Food Service Industry Complete Deck

  • 1. C r navirus Impact Assessment & Mitigation Strategies on F d Service Industry
  • 2. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Food Service Industry Overview › How COVID 19 is Impacting Global Food Industry › Month Over Month Average Change in Sales at Top 200 Food Chains › Scenario Analysis of COVID 19 Outbreak on Food Service Industry › Analyzing Estimated Food Service Spending Behavior › Percent of Sales Originate from Third-Party Delivery Partners › Assessing Percent Decrease in Food and Beverage Sales Risk Assessment and its Impact Risk 1: Disruption Due to Social Distancing › Social Distancing Impact on Food Service Industry Risk 2: Plummeting Employee Productivity › Issues that Represents COVID 19 Impact on Employee Productivity Risk 3: Stressed Supply Chains › How COVID 19 Disrupted US Food Supply Chain › Likely Impact of Coronavirus on FSCs in Developing Regions Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment & Investment Pull-back › Global GDP falls under the Terrain of Recession › Industry Wise Jobs Vulnerable to Layoffs during COVID 19 in US › COVID 19 Impact on Unemployment Claims in US Risk 5: Economic Instability and Civil Unrest › Potential Impact of COVID 19 on Consumer Expenditure in G7 Economies › COVID 19 Impact results a Growth Recession in US How Risks are Mitigated Business Impact Analysis › Assessing COVID 19 Impact on Food Service Business › Impact Assessment Matrix for Food Service Business Risk Readiness Assessments › Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist for Reopening Food Business › Ensuring Food Safety with Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist Risk Management Plans › Basic Prevention and Control Measures for COVID 19 Pandemic › Risk Mitigation Activities According to Impact of COVID 19 Spread › What Food Service Businesses can do to Protect themselves from COVID 19 › How to Ensure Food Safety at Workplace › Enforce Safety Measures at Workplace to Reduce Transmission among Workers Business Continuity Plans › Key Strategies for Food Service Companies to Tackle COVID 19 Outbreak › Share the Results of your Risk Assessment › What Kind of Food and Menu Operators are Promoting › Smarter Approach to Ensure Food Safety in Future › How to Stay Relevant in COVID 19 Crisis Policy Management › Social Distancing Policies for Restaurants and Third- Party Delivery Services Risk Maturity Model Survey Questionnaire › How Far should Tables be placed to Make you Feel Comfortable in Dining at Restaurants › For Dine-in at a Restaurant, What Measure would you be Willing to Do › How Long Do you Anticipate News of COVID 19 Outbreak Impact your Dinning-out Behaviors › How Likely COVID 19 Outbreak Impacts your Attitude towards Foodservice Incident Management › Food Incident Response Process to Mitigate Risk › Incident Reporting Form for Food Service Businesses 2
  • 3. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Food Service Industry Overview › How COVID 19 is Impacting Global Food Industry › Month Over Month Average Change in Sales at Top 200 Food Chains › Scenario Analysis of COVID 19 Outbreak on Food Service Industry › Analyzing Estimated Food Service Spending Behavior › Percent of Sales Originate from Third-Party Delivery Partners › Assessing Percent Decrease in Food and Beverage Sales 3
  • 4. How COVID 19 is Impacting Global Food Industry Following slide portrays impact of coronavirus pandemic on global food industry. It includes the statistics about monetary loss as well as employment loss According to National Restaurant Association, Food service industry could suffer a loss of $224 Billions and 7 Millions jobs due to coronavirus pandemic In America, dairy farmers are dumping 3.7 million gallons of milk every day due to disrupted supply routes In April 2020, sales volume at restaurants reached $32.4billion, the lowest in 35 years According to National Cattleman’s Beef Association, cattle ranchers will face a loss of $13 Billions and while the loss projection for hog industry is $5 Billions 4
  • 5. Month Over Month Average Change in Sales at Top 200 Food Chains This slide displays the impact of COVID 19 on monthly average sales of top 200 food chains. It illustrates both optimistic and pessimistic statistics about change in sales. Key Takeaways › Top 200 food chains will face -30.8% (optimistic) decline in monthly average sales in the year 2020 › Top 200 food chains will record - 48.1% (pessimistic) decline in monthly average sales in the year 2020 -7.9% -2.3% 12.2% -2.3% 4.6% -3.1% -0.5% 1.3% -8.8% 8.3% -6.9% 3.6% -0.1 -30.8 -4.9 -0.1 -48.1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2017-2019 2020 Optimistic 2020 Pessimistic 5
  • 6. Scenario Analysis of COVID 19 Outbreak on Food Service Industry Mentioned slide illustrates scenario analysis of coronavirus pandemic on food service industry. It includes three scenarios namely best case, middle case and worst case. Key Takeaways As per the nominal projections, food industry will record -18% (best case scenario) year over year growth for 2020 As per the real projections, food industry will record -20% (best case scenario) year over year growth for 2020 -26% -22% -18% Worst Care Middle Case Best Case 2020 Nominal Projections % YOY Growth 2020 Real Projections % YOY Growth -28% -24% -20% 6
  • 7. Analyzing Estimated Food Service Spending Behavior Following slide shows estimated spending behavior of food service businesses during COVID 19 outbreak. It includes stats of % consumer planned to reduce visits to restaurant, cumulative impact, weekly change and estimated spend per 100 consumers. 32% 53% 77% 77% 79% 79% 72% 72% -17% -22% -29% -32% -34% -35% -35% -34% -17% -13% -20% 2% -6% 6% 18% 2% 54,686 45,310 39,494 31,671 32,435 30,476 32,411 38,377 $20000 $25000 $30000 $35000 $40000 $45000 $50000 $55000 $60000 -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% % Consumers palnned reduced visits to resturants Comulative impact*** Week-to-week change Estimated spend per 1,000 consumers*** Key Takeaways › Estimated spend per 1000 consumers will get decline from $54,686 in April 2019 to $39,003 in April 2020 › Cumulative impact on food service spending behavior will get decline from -17% in March 2020 to -34% in April 2020 2020 7
  • 8. Percent of Sales Originate from Third-Party Delivery Partners This slide portrays informational statistics about how much of sales percentage is generated by third-party delivery partners to food businesses. 12% 13% 24% 29% 13% 7% 3% 4% 2% 12% 17% 24% 26% 15% 1-3% 3-5% 5-10% 10-20% 20-40% 40-60% Above 60% Before March 15 After March 15 Key Takeaways 2020 About 29% food businesses says that third-party food delivery partners have generated 10-20% of sales to their food businesses before 15 March 2020 26% food businesses says that third-party food delivery partners have generated 40-60% of sales to their food businesses after 15 March 2020 8
  • 9. Assessing Percent Decrease in Food and Beverage Sales Mentioned slide shows the informational stats of percent decrease in food and beverage sales by food businesses in April month of 2020. Key Takeaways 16% 7% 7% 8% 17% 21% 16% 8% More than 70% 61%-70% 51%-60% 41%-50% 31%-40% 21%-30% 11%-20% Less than 10% % DECREASE IN SALES IN APRIL 2020 About 21% food and beverage businesses accounted 21-30% decrease in their sales in April 2020 when compared to march stats. 17% food and beverage businesses accounted 31-40% decrease in their sales in April 2020 when compared to march stats 9
  • 10. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Risk Assessment and its Impact › Social Distancing Impact on Food Service Industry Risk 1: Disruption Due to Social Distancing 10
  • 11. Social Distancing Impact on Food Service Industry Following slide portrays impact of social distancing measure on food industry. Impacts highlighted in the slide are change in purchasing behavior, impact on farm sector and restaurant closure. In order to stay safe from COVID 19 transmission, consumers are preferring to order food online from restaurant apps or third-party food delivery services Change in Purchasing Behaviour Countries are imposing lockdown scenarios to control COVID 19 spread, this will directly impact small farmers of developing countries as their crops will not reach to consumer market due to supply chain disruptions Direct Impact on Farm sector Restaurants or food chains operating in dense urban areas are advised to shutdown as they can act as a contributing factor in facilitating the spread of coronavirus Restaurant Closure 11
  • 12. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Risk Assessment and its Impact › Issues that Represents COVID 19 Impact on Employee Productivity Risk 2: Plummeting Employee Productivity 12
  • 13. Issues that Represents COVID 19 Impact on Employee Productivity This slide illustrates informational statistics about top issues due to COVID 19 outbreak that have direct impact on employee productivity. About 54% of employees have concerns about their job security at the beginning of April month of 2020 38% of the employees have concerns about their personal health at the beginning of April month of 2020 4% 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 12% 13% 15% 17% 38% 54% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Managing Schedule Social Isolation Productivity Family Health Work Life Balance Stress & Mental Health Viability of Employer Remote Work Personal Finances Childcare & Home Schooling Personal Health Job Security Key Takeaways Top Issues Weeks of April 1-18, 2020 13
  • 14. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Risk Assessment and its Impact › How COVID 19 Disrupted US Food Supply Chain › Likely Impact of Coronavirus on FSCs in Developing Regions Risk 3: Stressed Supply Chains 14
  • 15. How COVID 19 Disrupted US Food Supply Chain Mentioned slide shows information on how coronavirus disrupted US food supply chain. It includes the impact of disruption like rise in food product prices, impact on downstream FSCs and impact on source of food production. Rise in Price of Food Product Impact on Downstream Food Supply Chain will be Higher Direct Impact on source of Food Production Food supply chain gets disrupted as government imposes import and export restrictions resulting an increase in the cost of raw materials and finished food products Downstream firms of food supply network will experience the greatest impact as they are labor intensive with high densities of workers in small spaces and have little control over hygiene practices As government is imposing lockdowns in infected areas to restrict the transmission, this will lead to food supply chain disruption in that area resulting in packed food shortages 15
  • 16. Likely Impact of Coronavirus on FSCs in Developing Regions Following slide shows the impact of COVID 19 outbreak on FSCs in developing regions like Africa and south Asia. Type of food supply chains covered in the slide are traditional, transitional and modern. Traditional FSC Transitional FSC Modern FSC Approximate prevalence in Africa & south Asia as share of food economy 10% 70% 20% Approximate prevalence in southeast Asia & Latin America 5% 50% 45% Main Enterprise Type Home Microenterprise SMs, Wet Markets Super Markets, Large processors Length Short, Local Long, Rural-Urban Long, Rural- Urban, International Use of Arrangements No Contacts, No Standards No Contacts, Public Standards Emerging Contacts, Private Standards Technology Labor-Intensive Labor-Intensive Capital-Intensive COVID 19 Impact on Food Supply Chains (FSCs) Both Traditional and Transitional FSCs will experience the highest impact of COVID 19 pandemic as: › They are labor intensive › They have no contracts with government or any other part › They have no hygiene standards or control over hygiene practices 16
  • 17. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Risk Assessment and its Impact › Global GDP falls under the Terrain of Recession › Industry Wise Jobs Vulnerable to Layoffs during COVID 19 in US › COVID 19 Impact on Unemployment Claims in US Risk 4: Recession, Unemployment and Investment Pull-back 17
  • 18. Global GDP falls under the Terrain of Recession This slide displays informational statistics about the impact of coronavirus pandemic on both world GDP as well as GDP of China. Key Takeaways -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020(F) Financial Crisis COVID 19 Crisis COVID 19 pandemic disrupt economic activity across both developing and developed economies resulting decline in world GDP from 2.9 in 2019 to 2.4 in 2020 GDP of china will also get impacted due to COVID 19 outbreak resulting GDP decline from 6.1% in 2019 to 1.2% (estimated) in 2020 Annual Percent Change China World 18 Recession Threshold
  • 19. Industry Wise Jobs Vulnerable to Layoffs during COVID 19 in US Mentioned slide portrays key statistics of job vulnerable to laid off due to COVID 19 crisis in various industries of US. It indicates that food and beverage services industry will have the highest impact of pandemic. High – Wage Jobs Low – Wage Jobs 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Food & Beverages Services Clothing & Retail Support & Accommodation Services Automobile Services Education Travel & Attractions Membership Associations & Organizations Sports & Entertainment Real Estate 1.2 millions of job in US real estate industry will be laid off due to Coronavirus Outbreak About 11.2 millions low-wage jobs in US food and beverage services industry will get laid off due to Coronavirus Pandemic Key Takeaways 19
  • 20. COVID 19 Impact on Unemployment Claims in US Following slide shows informational stats about COVID 19 outbreak on weekly initial unemployment claims in United states of America. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2000 2010 2020 Mar 28, 2009 665,000 claims Mar 28, 2020 6,648,000 claims Key Takeaways Weekly initial unemployment claims in US reached to 6.6 millions in March 2020 which is equivalent to unemployment claims registered during financial crisis in 2008 Add text here Add text here Need Job 20
  • 21. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Risk Assessment and its Impact › Potential Impact of COVID 19 on Consumer Expenditure in G7 Economies › COVID 19 Impact results a Growth Recession in US Risk 5: Economic Instability and Civil Unrest 21
  • 22. Potential Impact of COVID 19 on Consumer Expenditure in G7 Economies This slide portrays potential impact of COVID 19 pandemic on consumer expenditure of G7 economies. It indicates that Hotels. Restaurants and package holidays businesses will have the highest impact of pandemic. 22 COVID 19 outbreak will impact hotels, restaurants and package holidays businesses the most in all G7 economies Clothing and footwear businesses will have the least impact due to coronavirus pandemic Key Takeaways -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 CAN DEU FRA GBR ITA JPN USA Clothing & Footwear Household Equipment transport Expenditure Arts & Recreation Hotels, Resturants & Package Holidays Other Personal Services Total
  • 23. COVID 19 Impact results a Growth Recession in US Mentioned slide illustrates informational statistics about COVID 19 spread on US GDP in 2020. It shows that impact will results a growth recession in US. 2.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 2.5 2.6 0 1 2 3 4 2018 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Growth Recession GDP Percent Change, Annualized Rate Actual Forecast Key Takeaways GDP of US is projected to reach at 0.8% in first quarter of 2020 GDP of US is projected to reach at 0.8% in Q1 2020 to 0.3% in Q2 2020 Add Text Here 23
  • 24. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry How Risks are Mitigated › Assessing COVID 19 Impact on Food Service Business › Impact Assessment Matrix for Food Service Business Business Impact Analysis 24
  • 25. Assessing COVID 19 Impact on Food Service Business Following slide displays impact assessment of COVID 19 outbreak on food service business. It includes information about key function, people, premises, processes, providers and profile Food Preparation Online Food Delivery Add Text Here Key Staff: Mention here what staff do you require to carry out your restaurant key functions during the crisis Buildings: Define your restaurant location IT: Mention here the IT infrastructure required to carry out your restaurant key functions Reciprocal Arrangements: Do you have any reciprocal arrangement with other organizations? Reputation: Who are your key stakeholders? Skills / Expertise / Training: Define skills and expertise required to undertake restaurant key functions during crisis Facilities: Mention here what facilities are essential to carry out your restaurant key functions Documentation: What documents are essential to carry out your restaurant key functions Contractors / External Providers: Do you tender key services out to another organization? If so to whom & for What? Legal Considerations: Define your legal and regulatory requirements Minimum Staffing Levels: Mention here how much staff do you require to resume your restaurant operations during the crisis Equipment / Resources: List the equipment required to carry out your restaurant key functions Systems & Communications What Systems & Means of Communication are required to carry out your restaurant key functions Suppliers: Mention here your priority suppliers Add Text Here Add Text Here 25 Key Functions
  • 26. Impact Assessment Matrix for Food Service Business This slide shows assessment matrix for assessing COVID 19 impact on food businesses. It includes details about impact area and impact intensity on business whether low, medium or high. High Add Text Here Add Text Here $150k to $300K High Add Text Here Add Text Here At local level Medium Add Text Here Significant infringement Add Text Here High Add Text Here Add Text Here Add Text Here Medium Add Text Here Add Text Here Add Text Here High Add Text Here Add Text Here Add Text Here Impact Area Impact Impact Low Impact Medium Impact High Financial Reputation Regulatory Legal Operational Policy 26
  • 27. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry How Risks are Mitigated › Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist for Reopening Food Business › Ensuring Food Safety with Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist Risk Readiness Assessments 27
  • 28. Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist for Reopening Food Business Mentioned slide illustrates readiness assessment checklist for mitigating COVID 19 risk and resuming food business operations. Response (Yes/No) Reconfiguration of workstations to maintain social distancing between employees Establishment of physical barrier at billing counter Proper functioning of HVAC at workstation Areas allocated for placing hand Sanitizers Reconfiguration of Break Rooms to promote social distancing Developed risk mitigation strategies to tackle the spread Parameters 28
  • 29. Ensuring Food Safety with Risk Readiness Assessment Checklist Following slide portrays risk assessment checklist for ensuring food safety to gain consumer confidence. It includes both workstation safety and food safety. Washing hands frequently after preparing a food order Disinfecting dishwashing equipment and food storage refrigerator Delivery guy is supposed to sanitize his hands after each customer interaction Disinfecting workspaces multiple time on daily basis Following government guidelines and recommendations Employee temperature screening on daily basis before going to workstation Asking employees to stay home if symptomatic Parameters Met Needs Work Not applicable Workstation Safety Food Safety 29
  • 30. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry How Risks are Mitigated › Basic Prevention and Control Measures for COVID 19 Pandemic › Risk Mitigation Activities According to Impact of COVID 19 Spread › What Food Service Businesses can do to Protect themselves from COVID 19 › How to Ensure Food Safety at Workplace › Enforce Safety Measures at Workplace to Reduce Transmission among Workers Risk Management Plans 30
  • 31. Basic Prevention and Control Measures for COVID 19 Pandemic This slide shows basic prevention and control measure to tackle coronavirus pandemic. It includes engineering controls, administrative controls and safe work practices. › Installation of high efficiency air filters at workstations and dining tables › Physical barrier installation at workspaces, rest rooms and billing counter › Build a drive through window for customer service Engineering Controls › Establish and modify current sick leaves policy › Plan alternative shifts for ensuring employees safety and maintaining social distancing measures Administrative Controls › Mark areas for hand sanitization at workspaces › Provide face mask and gloves to all the employees › Develop daily plan for workplace sanitization Safe Work Practices 31
  • 32. Risk Mitigation Activities According to Impact of COVID 19 Spread Mentioned slide illustrates risk mitigation activities based on coronavirus level of transmission. Level of transmission covered are none to minimal, minimal to moderate and substantial. What restaurants can do to prevent COVID 19 spread if encountered with any case at their workplace Level of Transmission › Know about the signs and symptoms of COVID-19 and keep in mind the measures to be taken if staff become symptomatic › Develop alternate day working schedules for the staff › Disinfect frequently touched areas and equipment's None to Minimal › Encourage staff to telework if coming from highly infected area › Implement social distancing measures by establishing physical barriers at workplace and break rooms › Do temperature screening of staff on daily basis Minimal to Moderate › Encourage customer to order food online via restaurant app › Ensure flexible leave policies for staff who need to stay at home due to lockdown scenarios › Restrict dine-in facilities provided by the restaurant Substantial Factor 32
  • 33. What Food Service Businesses can do to Protect themselves from COVID 19 Following slide portrays information on what measures food service businesses can take to protect themselves from coronavirus crisis. Areas where measures should be taken are workplace, supply chain, business continuity and financial liquidity and risk. Ensuring Workplace Safety by › Providing face mask, gloves and hand sanitizers to staff at workstations › Establishing physical barriers at workstations and billing counter › Encouraging staff to stay at home if symptomatic Workforce Overcoming Supply Chain disruptions by › Identifying critical products required for restaurant operation by carrying out operational risk assessment › Finding a raw material supplier from the low infected area › Preparing a contingency plan to re- address the balance of supply chain Supply Chain Ensuring Business Continuity by › Focusing on online food delivery facility › Establish a drive-through window for taking customer orders › Disinfecting workspaces for multiple times on daily basis Business Continuity Overcoming Financial Liquidity challenges by › Evaluating cash flow and performing scenario analysis › Setting milestones according to various scenarios and level of measures Financial Liquidity & Risk 33
  • 34. How to Ensure Food Safety at Workplace This slide shows information about on how to ensure food safety at workplace. It includes 4 steps namely clean, separate, clock and chill. Step 1 CLEAN › Wash your hands for minimum 20 seconds before and after handling any food item › Disinfect or clean your cutting boards, utensils and billing counter on daily basis Step 2 SEPARATE › Separate raw meat, seafood and poultry from other food items › Use different cutting boards for fresh produce and raw meat, seafood and poultry Step 3 COOK › Use food thermometers for ensuring safety of meat, seafood and poultry › Bring sauces, soups and gravy to a boil when reheating Step 4 CHILL › Use an appliance having inbuilt thermometer for ensuring freezing temperature › Refrigerate or freeze meat, seafood and poultry within 2 hours of cooking 34
  • 35. Enforce Safety Measures at Workplace to Reduce Transmission among Workers Mentioned slide illustrates information on how to ensure safety measures at workplace to minimize COVID transmission among workers. Be Healthy, Be Clean Encourage staff to stay home if found symptomatic Do temperature screening of workers who are exposed to COVID 19 infected areas Instruct your staff to wash their hands for minimum 20 seconds before & after handling any food item Avoid touching your eyes, nose and mouth with unwashed hands Do not touch raw material with bare hands Wrap food containers to prevent cross contamination Clean & Disinfect Plan and implement workplace sanitization schedules Train & educate employees on disinfecting food preparing equipment’s Disinfect highly contact surfaces on frequent basis Ensure the sanitization of food containers and freezers Mark areas & place hand sanitizers for ensuring Employee safety Provide sanitized wipes to customers Social Distance Educate employees on social distancing guidelines provided by the government officials Place Floor markings and signs to promote social distancing measures Set-up drive through window to cater customer orders Pick-up & Delivery Ensure the sanitization of transport containers after every customer interaction Encourage customer to use “no touch” deliveries Offer a designated pickup zones for customer 35
  • 36. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry How Risks are Mitigated › Key Strategies for Food Service Companies to Tackle COVID 19 Outbreak › Share the Results of your Risk Assessment › What Kind of Food and Menu Operators are Promoting › Smarter Approach to Ensure Food Safety in Future › How to Stay Relevant in COVID 19 Crisis Business Continuity Plans 36
  • 37. Key Strategies for Food Service Companies to Tackle COVID 19 Outbreak Following slide displays key strategies that food service businesses can implement to tackle coronavirus outbreak. Strategies covered are prioritize staff health and wellness, customer reassurance and focus on premium deliveries. Prioritize Staff Health & Wellness Restaurant businesses are facing labor shortages due to COVID 19 crisis. For business continuity they must consider and ensure employees safety by providing hand sanitizer at workplace, providing face mask, gloves and PPE kits Customer Reassurance For business continuity, customer retention is as much important as to maintain cleanliness at workplace. Food businesses can communicate any change or modifications in their service offering to its valuable customers via social media platform Focus on Premium Deliveries Millennials are showing preferences for budget-friendly meals and enhance experience in delivered food. Food businesses should grab this opportunity by providing customers with higher quality cooked food at minimum pricing 37
  • 38. Share the Results of your Risk Assessment This slide portrays the risk assessment results of a food service providers in order to tackle COVIF 19 pandemic. We confirm that we have followed the government guidelines to tackle and manage the risk of COVID 19 Five Steps to Safer Working Together We have carried out COVID 19 risk assessment and shared the results with the working staff and customers We have provided face mask, gloves and hand sanitizers to our workers We have made work from home arrangements if any worker feels symptomatic We have placed floor markings and signs to maintain 6 feet of distance for each customer waiting We are offering drive through service to restrict customer gathering Employer ___________ Date ___________ Who to Contact: Your Health & Safety Representative Staying COVID-19 Secure in 2020 38
  • 39. What Kind of Food and Menu Operators are Promoting Mentioned slide illustrates information on what kind of food and menu is promoted by food service operators during COVID 19 crisis to stay ahead of competitors. 21% 22% 24% 30% 33% 40% 45% 16% 25% 23% 21% 29% 39% 33% Larger Portions Value Items Grab-and-Go Healthy Foods Ready-to-Heat Meals Family-Style Meals/ Food that can be shared Comfort Foods 22% 28% 37% 52% 47% 68% Ready-to-heat meals Comfort foods Family-style meals/food that can be shared Week beginning April 19 Week beginning April 5 Top Seven Food/Meals Operators Are Promoting Most Successful Menu Promotions Key Takeaways 45% of top seven food operators are offering comfort foods for the week beginning April 5 About 68% of operators are promoting family-style meals in their menu for the week beginning April 19 39
  • 40. Smarter Approach to Ensure Food Safety in Future Following slide displays various smart approaches that food businesses will adopt post COVID 19 to ensure food safety. It includes technology enabled food traceability, risk prevention tools, new business model adoption and food safety culture. Risk Prevention tools › Data analysis tools will help the business and its stakeholders to better identify and mitigate food safety risks in advance Food Safety Culture › Encouraging food safety practices at workplace will work as a contributing factor in developing consumer confidence for dining at food chains and restaurants New Business Model Adoption › Shifting the focus to online food delivery business from traditional retail food establishment is the new necessity to sustain business Technology Enabled Food Traceability › Using food ordering and tracking management software’s will help the food chains and restaurants in effectively tracking the origin of contaminated food respond to the risk accordingly 40
  • 41. How to Stay Relevant in COVID 19 Crisis This slide shows information on how food service businesses can stay relevant during coronavirus crisis. The focusses on three key points namely stay transparent, stay ahead and stay flexible. Be transparent with your customers about what measure you are taking to tackle COVID 19 crisis. Be honest about your limitations and what changes customers can expect in the coming weeks Offer your valuable customers something different that your competitors can not deliver. Adopt cross selling approach by offering essential items at workplace like eggs, toilet paper and hand sanitizer Make a habit of adopting rules and regulations given by government authorities for ensuring workplace and consumer safety. Understand the regulations and adopt your business offerings accordingly Stay Transparent 41
  • 42. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry How Risks are Mitigated › Social Distancing Policies for Restaurants and Third-Party Delivery Services Policy Management 42
  • 43. Social Distancing Policies for Restaurants and Third-Party Delivery Services Mentioned slide illustrates various social distancing policies for both restaurant and third-party delivery services to operate during COVID 19 pandemic. Policies for Third-Party Delivery Services › Provide face mask, gloves and hand sanitizers to all delivery personnel › Sanitize food container frequently after delivering customer order › Avoid touching door handles and other commonly touched areas › Encourage customer to use “no touch” deliveries Policies for Restaurants › Use sign boards to maintain social distancing measures › Place Floor markings and signs to maintain 6 feet of distance for each customer waiting › Offer drive through service to restrict customer gathering › Stagger pickup timings to avoid customer waiting › Provide hand washing stations for staff and workers 43
  • 44. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry How Risks are Mitigated › Food Incident Response Process to Mitigate Risk › Incident Reporting Form for Food Service Businesses Incident Management 44
  • 45. Food Incident Response Process to Mitigate Risk Following slide portrays food incident reporting procedure to mitigate coronavirus spread. It covers six stages where the first one is to conduct preliminary assessment and last one is to close the incident file. Conduct a Preliminary Assessment › Open an incident file in incident management system › Determine jurisdiction › Define the urgency to respond the incident › Immediate control action Assess the Risk › Evaluate the need for risk assessment › Conduct a risk assessment › Classify the risks in specified categories Mitigate the Risk › Communicate & implement the risk mitigation plan › Verify completeness & effectiveness of mitigation plan › Conduct follow-up activities Conduct a Food Safety Investigation › Develop and implement a food safety investigation plan › Collect information › Verify and analyze the data › Scope the incident by conducting a root cause analysis Make a Decision › Review the risk assessment › Identify risk mitigation options › Develop risk mitigation plan Close the Incident File › Develop a rationale › Demobilize resources › Communicate lessons learned from the incident 01 02 03 04 05 06 45
  • 46. Incident Reporting Form for Food Service Businesses This slide shows incident reporting form which can be used by food service businesses to report any COVID 19 case at workplace. It covers details about incident, treatment information, action taken, and form completed by. DETAILS OF THE ACCIDENT/INCIDENT Date: ___________________ Time: _____________________ Location (Dinning Room, Kitchen): ______________ Describe the Incident: List down the symptoms found: Were there any witnesses? ________ If so, give their contact details (name, phone, address) WAS ANYONE INFECTED? Name: ____________ Age: ____________ M F Employer: ____________ Address: ___________________________________________________________________________ Phone: _______________ (if more than one person was injured, complete a separate “incident & Accident Report Form”) TREATMENT DETAILS None First Aid Outpatient Clinic Hospital Hospital Stay? How many nights? ________ Absent from work? How many days? ___________ Other treatment details: ___________________ ACTION What action has been taken to prevent transmission? FORM COMPLETED BY: Name: ____________ Title: ____________ Phone: _______________ Address: ___________________________________________________________________________ Date: _______________ 46
  • 47. Table of Contents for Coronavirus Impact Assessment and Mitigation Strategies on Food Service Industry Risk Maturity Model Survey Questionnaire › How Far should Tables be placed to Make you Feel Comfortable in Dining at Restaurants › For Dine-in at a Restaurant, What Measure would you be Willing to Do › How Long Do you Anticipate News of COVID 19 Outbreak Impact your Dinning-out Behaviors › How Likely COVID 19 Outbreak Impacts your Attitude towards Food service 47
  • 48. How Far should Tables be placed to Make you Feel Comfortable in Dining at Restaurants Following slide shows the survey result on how far should tables be placed to make customers feel comfortable in Dining at a restaurant. 15% 2% 5% 20% 50% 9% In the near future, I would not feel comfortable dining in 15 Feet 12 Feet 9 Feet 6 Feet 3 Feet 20% people agree that tables should be placed at 9 feet distance to make them feel comfortable in dining at restaurants About 50% people agree that tables should be placed at 6 feet distance to make them feel comfortable in dining at restaurants 48 Key Takeaways
  • 49. For Dine-in at a Restaurant, What Measure would you be Willing to Do This slide displays the survey result on what measure would customers be willing to do for dine-in at a restaurant. 5% 22% 24% 32% 40% 42% 61% I would not be willing to do any of the above I would not visit a restaurant for dine-in service Sign a paper to say that you are healthy Wear gloves Wear a mask Get your temperature taken Follow the 6-ft social distancing protocol Key Takeaways About 61% people says that they will follow 6-foot social distancing protocol for dine-in at a restaurant About 42% people says that they will feel comfortable for dine-in at a restaurant after going through temperature screening process 49
  • 50. How Long Do you Anticipate News of COVID 19 Outbreak Impact your Dinning-out Behaviors Mentioned slide illustrates the survey result on how long do the customers anticipate news of COVID 19 outbreak Impact their dinning-out behaviors. 35% 46% 53% 27% 21% 30% 28% 65% 54% 47% 73% 79% 70% 72% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Overall A Large City A Medium-Sized City A Small Town A Suburb outside of a Large City A Suburb outside of a Small City A Rural Area Week Beginning May 10 Less than 4 Months 4 Months or Longer Key Takeaways Overall, 35% of people says that news of coronavirus outbreak will impact their dinning-out behavior for less than 4 months Overall, 65% people says that news of COVID 19 outbreak will impact their dinning-out behavior for more than 4 months 50
  • 51. How Likely COVID 19 Outbreak Impacts your Attitude towards Food Service This slide displays the survey result on how likely COVID 19 outbreak Impacts their attitude towards food service Key Takeaways About 32% people says that they will not go out to eat at restaurants as often due to coronavirus outbreak About 27% people says that they will order more from food businesses that offers drive- through facility 27% 25% 48% 53% 13% 31% 32% I will order more food from the drive-thru I will order more restaurant food for delivery I will likely not order food or beverages away from home as often I will not to go out to eat at restaurants as often Week Ending March 6 Week Ending March 13 51
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