SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  23
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Global
Ad Spend
Forecasts
June 2021
1.	 Top 10 trends for the year ahead
2.	 Global outlook
3.	 Market outlook
4.	 Media outlook
5.	 Leader perspectives
6.	 Brand recommendations
3
4
6
10
16
20
Contents
2. Ad Spend June 2021
1.	 Global advertising is forecast to
recover to 10.4% growth, reflecting a
total spend of US$634 billion, based
on proprietary dentsu data from
across 59 markets.
2.	 This spend will exceed pre-pandemic
levels, with 2020 upgraded from
-8.8% forecast in January 2021 to
-7.2% following increased spend
during Q4 2020.
3.	 On a like-for-like basis versus 2020,
2.4% growth in Q1 (reflecting the
pandemic impact) is forecast to be
followed by a Q2 recovery of 20.9%
and 10.1% growth in H2.
4.	 All regions are forecast to return to
growth in 2021, with US$59.7 billion
in incremental ad spend driven by the
US, China, the UK and Japan.
5.	 The three fastest growing markets
in 2021 are expected to be Canada,
the US and Australia, with ad spend
forecasts revised upwards in 7 of the
13 top spending ad markets since
January 2021.
6.	 Digital will continually drive 2021
recovery, returning to double
digit growth of 15.6% and a total
forecasted spend of US$311 billion.
7.	 Above-predicted growth in Social
23.0%, Video 17.0%, and Search
16.3% will drive a 50.0% share of
global spend in Digital this year.
8.	 Linear TV will maintain a 30.3%
share of global spend and 7.1%
forecasted growth, boosted by
the UEFA European Football
championships and Olympic &
Paralympic Games sporting events.
9.	 Most channels are returning to
growth in 2021 (Cinema 35.1%,
OOH 14.6%, Radio 10.4% and
Linear TV 7.1%).
10.	Continued growth of 7.2% and
US$680 billion in spend are
predicted for 2022.
Top 10 ad spend
trends in 2021
Ad Spend June 2021
3.
The pandemic-induced decline in global
advertising spend during 2020 has
proved less severe than anticipated.
While 2020 remains the weakest
performing year since the global financial
crisis, the decline in growth during 2020
has improved since the January 2021
forecast from -8.8% to -7.2%.
The overall ad market outlook for 2021 is
a recovery of 10.4% growth and a spend
of US$634 billion, which represents an
improvement of 4.6 percentage points
versus January’s 2021 prediction. The
ad market is forecast to fully recover in
2021, exceeding pre-pandemic spend
sooner than was previously forecast. The
IMF (June 2021) predicts 6.0% world
growth in Real GDP in 2021 following the
3.3% decline in 2020.i
Based on the top 13 ad markets, Q2
remains the crucial point of recovery
at 21% growth in ad spend, reflecting
the severe impact of lockdowns on ad
spend during this period last year, with
the second half of the year predicted to
deliver 10.1% growth. The recovery is set
to continue into 2022, when ad spend is
predicted to grow 7.2% to reach US$680
billion.
All forecasts continue to be dependent
on a number of factors and are subject
to change. All historical advertising
spend figures have been revised to May
2021 average exchange rates. Page 22
provides detailed information regarding
the assumptions and methodology that
underpin our forecasts.
Global outlook
4. Ad Spend June 2021
2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f
Global 4.2 -7.2 (-8.8) 10.4 (5.8) 7.2 (6.9)
North America 5.1 -7.6 (-7.6) 13.7 (4.0) 8.1 (8.0)
US 5.1 -7.5 (-7.5) 13.7 (3.8) 8.0 (8.0)
Canada 5.4 -9.6 (-9.6) 14.0 (7.2) 9.2 (9.3)
Western Europe 3.1 -9.6 (-10.9) 7.5 (7.5) 6.2 (6.6)
UK 6.1 -7.7 (-7.6) 12.0 (10.4) 8.5 (10.5)
Germany -1.1 -7.3 (-8.4) 3.3 (4.3) 4.0 (2.5)
France 7.1 -9.2 (-13.9) 7.0 (8.9) 6.0 (6.0)
Italy -1.3 -12.2 (-14.4) 5.4 (5.9) 3.1 (3.2)
Spain -0.1 -18.1 (-20.6) 3.4 (4.5) 6.7 (7.0)
Central & Eastern
Europe
8.7 -2.3 (-1.9) 8.9 (7.2) 8.4 (6.2)
Russia 5.6 -4.2 (-5.9) 8.6 (3.0) 8.2 (3.3)
Asia-Pacific 4.1 -5.2 (-8.0) 8.0 (5.9) 6.3 (5.8)
Australia 1.8 -11.2 (-11.2) 12.7 (5.9) 2.9 (6.2)
China 3.0 1.6 (1.6) 8.5 (5.3) 6.9 (5.0)
India 9.4 -12.9 (-17.5) 10.8 (10.8) 12.4 (12.4)
Japan 6.2 -11.2 (-16.6) 4.4 (5.3) 4.2 (6.8)
Latin America 4.5 -12.2 (-18.4) 13.6 (10.2) 12.1 (8.1)
Brazil 1.8 -22.6 (-22.3) 8.8 (5.2) 5.5 (2.6)
Figure 1: Growth in global ad spend between 2019 and 2022
Year-on-year % growth at current prices (January 2021 figures in brackets)
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
5. Ad Spend June 2021
A return to growth is predicted for all regions in 2021: North America 13.7%, Latin
America 13.6%, Central and Eastern Europe 8.9%, Asia Pacific 8.0% and Western
Europe 7.5%. Pre-pandemic levels of spend are forecast in North America, Asia Pacific
and Central and Eastern Europe – all of which have exceeded January forecasts for this
year.
By market, the top five contributors to the US$59.7 billion of growth in incremental ad
spend during 2021 will be the US, China, UK, Japan and Australia. The US share of ad
spend remains significantly above all other markets in 2021 (see Figure 2).
The highest growth rates in 2021 are forecast to come from spend in Canada, the US,
Australia, the UK and India (see Figure 3), with this year’s ad spend expected to exceed
2019 pre-pandemic levels in China by 10.2%, the US 5.1%, Russia 4.1%, the UK 3.4%
and Canada 3.0%.
Figure 2: Top five markets by share
of global ad spend in 2021
Figure 3: Top five markets by ad
spend growth rate in 2021
% Share of total ad spend Year-on-year % growth
37.8%
14.0%
40% 40%
30% 12%
20% 8%
10% 4%
35% 14%
25% 10%
15% 6%
5% 2%
0% 0%
US Canada
China US
Japan Australia
UK UK
Germany India
17.6%
13.7%
9.4%
12.7%
5.1%
12.0%
2.8%
10.8%
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
Market outlook
6. Ad Spend June 2021
United States
Spend is forecast to re-bound faster
than previously predicted in 2021,
growing 13.7% to reach US$239.9
billion. Digital spending accelerated
throughout the pandemic, significantly
in e-commerce, and will achieve a
44.8% share of spend in 2021. Many
advertisers turned their 2020 buys
to digital advertising, with Video and
CTV/OTT (Connected TV / Over-The-
Top) advertising soaring as consumers
stayed at home. The increase in CTV
and OTT spend will continue as supply
erodes in Linear TV, despite advertiser
demand. In 2022, growth in ad spend
is expected across most sectors, with
8.0% forecasted growth.
China
Following 1.6% growth in 2020, spend is
forecast to grow 8.5% in 2021 to reach
US$111.6 billion, 3.2 percentage points
above predictions in the January report.
Digital and OOH spend are expected
to drive growth whilst other traditional
media are expected to decline, with
Digital forecast to grow by 12.6% in
2021, accounting for US$77.8 billion
and a 69.7% share of spend. The number
of mobile internet users continues
to increase - there were 8.2 million
additional users year-on-year in March
2021.ii
Overall, the China ad market is
forecast to grow by a further 6.9% in
2022.
Japan
A gradual recovery is forecast in Japan,
with 4.4% growth in 2021 ad spend
generating US$59.9 billion. Increased
mobility as the pandemic eases, the
hosting of the Tokyo 2020 Games, and
the House of Representatives election
all constitute important elements in the
recovery, with TV ad spend expected
to grow 4.8% in 2021 as a result of the
Tokyo 2020 Olympic and Paralympic
Games. Digital ad spend is forecast to
increase by 10.0%, an upward revision
from the previous forecast of 7.8%
in January 2021 driven by a larger
than expected increase in Digital
spend during Q1 2021, with Digital
representing a 38.1% share of spend this
year. A further 4.2% increase in overall
spend forecast for 2022.
Top markets by share of
global ad spend in 2021
7. Ad Spend June 2021
United Kingdom
12.0% growth in ad spend is predicted in
2021, representing US$32.4 billion and
exceeding the US$31.3 billion ad market
size in 2019 by 3.4%. This has been
adjusted up from January’s forecast of
10.4% as the vaccination programme
progresses, social restrictions ease and
economic forecasts improve. 2022 ad
spend is forecast to grow by 8.5%, with
Digital driving 70.5% of overall growth.
OOH and Cinema will also contribute
to the growth in 2022, particularly in 1H
2022 given the comparison against 1H
2021, when lockdown restrictions were
in place.
Germany
The initial months of 2021 saw
continued lockdowns and restrictions
impact many sectors’ performance, with
economic improvement now expected
in the second half and sectors such as
tourism, hospitality, culture and sports
forecast to gain momentum in Q3 2021.
Germany's Digital share of spend is
at 42.9%. Overall spend is expected
to increase 3.3% in 2021, driven by a
US$11.6 billion forecast growth in spend
in the second half. A steady, incremental
increase in advertising spend of 4.0%,
equal to US$712 million is expected in
2022, when ad spend will continue its
recovery at a total value of US$18.6
billion.
8. Ad Spend June 2021
Canada
14.0% growth is predicted in 2021 at
a total of US$10.5 billion. Year-on-
year data suggests increased optimism
for recovery, driven by the return of
Covid-impacted categories such as
travel and entertainment and positive
developments in the vaccine rollout.
Overall recovery will be driven by
15.6% growth in Digital spend, primarily
in retail e-commerce and Video,
representing a 59.7% share of spend
which is expected to maintain trajectory
throughout 2021. The Canadian ad
market is forecast to fully recover in
2021, before continuing with 9.2%
market growth and US$11.4 billion in ad
spend during 2022.
Australia
Stronger than expected economic
recovery in Australia has created
improvements in overall ad spend.
Following a 11.2% decline in 2020, ad
spend is expected to recover in 2021
and grow by 12.7% to US$12.8 billion.
The recovery has been much faster than
expected in 1H 2021 - particularly for
TV and Digital. TV is the key beneficiary
of broad market ad spend in addition to
Government Covid-related campaigns,
whilst Digital ad spend has been driven
by a surge in retail advertising and will
represent 61.1% of spend in this market.
2H 2021 is expected to be further
buoyed by the Tokyo Olympics in Q3 and
a possible Federal election in Q4, with a
further 2.9% increase expected in 2022,
reaching US$13.2 billion in ad spend.
India
Spend is forecast to grow 10.8% in
2021 to reach US$9.0 billion, following
a steep 12.9% decline in 2020. TV
continues to be the most popular media
in India, with a leading 40.9% share of
spend that shows resilience despite the
pandemic and a 7.7% growth compared
to 2020 spend. Digital’s share of spend
has grown rapidly, from 20.0% in 2019
to 29.4% in 2021, and is expected to
reach 32.7% by the end of 2022. The
ad market is forecast to grow by a
further 12.4% in 2022, recovering to
pre-pandemic levels, particularly led by
Digital and TV versus a longer recovery
for Print, Cinema, OOH and Radio.
Top markets by year-on-year
growth rate
9. Ad Spend June 2021
Media outlook
While ad spend across TV, Print, Radio,
OOH and Cinema declined by 14.8%
in 2020, spend in digital increased by
4.0%. A return to growth is forecast for
linear media in 2021 by 6.3%, however
at US$312 billion; spend levels will
remain below pre-pandemic levels
of US$344 billion in 2021. Following
the acute impact of the pandemic on
Cinema and OOH, both channels are
predicted to see the biggest increases in
2021 of 35.1% and 14.6% respectively,
while Radio will grow 10.4%, TV 7.1%
and Print will decline by 4.4%.
10. Ad Spend June 2021
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
Figure 4: Share of global ad spend by channel between 2019 and 2022
Figure 5: Growth in global ad spend by channel between 2019 and 2022
2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f
Digital 42.9 47.8 (48.0) 50.0 (50.0) 51.5 (51.2)
Linear Television 33.1 31.3 (31.1) 30.3 (29.9) 29.5 (29.6)
OOH 6.2 5.3 (5.1) 5.5 (5.6) 5.6 (5.7)
Radio 5.9 5.7 (5.8) 5.7 (5.8) 5.4 (5.5)
Newspapers 6.8 5.7 (5.7) 5.1 (5.3) 4.7 (4.7)
Magazines 4.5 3.8 (3.9) 3.1 (3.2) 2.8 (2.8)
Cinema 0.6 0.3 (0.3) 0.3 (0.4) 0.4 (0.4)
2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f
Digital 11.9 4.0 (3.2) 15.6 (10.1) 10.6 (9.3)
Linear Television 0.7 -11.9 (-13.6) 7.1 (1.7) 4.7 (5.9)
OOH 2.0 -19.6 (-23.3) 14.6 (14.9) 9.2 (9.6)
Radio -0.5 -9.4 (-10.1) 10.4 (4.7) 1.8 (1.6)
Newspapers -9.1 -21.7 (-23.3) -0.5 (-3.1) -1.9 (-3.4)
Magazines -7.6 -19.7 (-20.1) -10.3 (-14.3) -4.2 (-6.4)
Cinema 9.6 -59.6 (-58.3) 35.1 (41.7) 28.1 (23.0)
Year-on-year % growth at current prices in order of share of global ad spend
(January 2021 figures in brackets)
(January 2021 figures in brackets)
11. Ad Spend June 2021
Digital dominates
The 4.0% growth in Digital spend in
2020 helped grow the channel’s share
of global ad spend by 5 percentage
points versus 2019 (42.9% to 47.8%),
an additional 2% higher than the yearly
average over the 10 years prior to 2020.
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
Figure 6: Growth in global digital ad spend sub-category between 2019 and 2022
2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f
Social Media 27.4 15.1 (13.9) 23.0 (18.3) 17.2 (16.6)
Video 15.2 -1.6 (-2.0) 17.0 (10.8) 12.7 (11.5)
Paid Search 9.9 10.9 (10.1) 16.3 (11.0) 9.9 (8.7)
Display 8.2 -1.8 (-3.0) 13.5 (8.1) 9.7 (7.2)
Classified 4.2 -3.6 (-4.0) 8.8 (3.5) 5.1 (4.1)
Year-on-year % growth at current prices (January 2021 figures in brackets)
Forecasts for 2021 suggest a return to
double digit growth in digital ad spend
of 15.6% (revised up from the 10.1%
predicted in January 2021) to reach
US$311.0 billion, representing a 50.0%
share of global ad spend.
12. Ad Spend June 2021
Classified
Search
Video
Social
Banners
In 2021 Social and Video ad spend is
forecast to grow at 23.0% and 17.0%
respectively, upgraded from 18.3% and
10.8% predicted in the January 2021
report.
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
Figure 7: Share of global digital ad spend by sub-category in 2022
37%
28%
14%
15%
6%
Search spend is expected to grow by
16.3% to reach US$110.1 billion in 2021
and will continue to account for over
a third of digital spend in 2022 (see
Figure 7).
13. Ad Spend June 2021
OOH returns
Following significant impact from the
pandemic outbreak, ad spend in OOH is
predicted to increase by 14.6% to account
for US$34.4 billion, with share of spend
increasing slightly to 5.5%. Growth will
be driven by the return of passenger and
foot traffic and expanding opportunities in
digital, personalisation and programmatic
will continue to be central to delivery. Spend
is forecast to recover by the end of 2022,
reaching US$37.6 billion.
TV turns it up
Linear TV ad spend is forecast to grow by
7.1% in 2021 to reach US$188.4 billion and
a 30.3% share of total spend, following a
decline in ad spend of 11.9% in 2020. Spend
will remain below 2019 pre-pandemic levels
of US$199.7 billion in all but 3 of the top 13
markets (Australia, Russia and India). The
highest share of spend will come from Brazil
61.6%, Italy 50.9% and India 40.9%. While the
UEFA European Football Championships and
Olympic and Paralympic Games are expected
to provide a boost to TV ad spend in 2021,
global spend will remain below pre-pandemic
levels beyond 2022.
Print perseveres
Overall spend in Print (Newspapers and
Magazines combined) is forecast to decline by
4.4% in 2021 (Newspaper -0.5% and Magazine
-10.3%) but is expected to return to growth
in 6 of the top 13 markets. Share of spend is
decreasing year-on-year by 1-2 percentage
points on average, with a 2.7% decline in spend
expected in 2022. Newspaper’s share of total
spend (5.1%) will be overtaken by OOH in 2021
(5.5%) as it continues to evolve towards new
modes of digital delivery.
14. Ad spend June 2021
Cinema set for success
Cinema ad spend is predicted to increase
35.1% in 2021. Boosted by the number
of new titles ready to be distributed,
the demand for cinema advertising will
be matched by audience increases as
lockdowns ease globally and consumer
confidence in sharing space with people
outside of their households grows.
Relative success in outdoor cinema,
which has been trialled in markets
outside of the drive-in tradition,iii
also
suggests a strong appetite among
audiences and a new opportunity to
reshape the landscape in the longer-term.
Radio evolves
With Radio consumption shifting to in-
home, the channel saw a 9.4% decline in
growth during 2020. In 2021, a forecast
of 10.4% global growth is heavily driven
by Digital Audio and Podcasting, as well
as the continued rise of smart assistants
supporting hands-free engagement.
Looking ahead, Radio will increasingly
be used in conjunction with OOH to
deliver geo-targeted, location-based
advertising.iv
Spend is forecast to
recover by the end of 2021, reaching
US$35.6 billion.
15. Ad Spend June 2021
We see the TV market making a strong recovery in 2021. TV is still a
critical brand building medium and, on the road out of the pandemic
restrictions, we are seeing strong consumer and advertiser demand
for appointment to view events such as UEFA Euro 2020, the
Copa America, and with the Olympics still to come, this should
continue through July and August. More systemic changes are also
playing a part in the TV markets growth. A trend pre-pandemic
which has accelerated is the continued rise of OTT players and the
proliferation of smart TVs and connected screens.
As consumer behaviour has shifted, traditional TV players and
new entrants have focused their efforts on developing for a world
where content is streamed. This has led to a significant growth in
connected TV advertising which is helping to fuel the recovery in TV
in 2021 and is further blurring the lines between what constitutes
TV advertising and “digital” advertising.
Alastair Shearly-Sanders,
Global President,
Amplifi
Empowering brands to make informed decisions regarding media
channels is more important than ever. The swift pace of change in
consumer’s media consumption and lifestyles means we are working
even more collaboratively with our clients to interpret our industry-
leading insights and data. This approach ensures that the campaigns
we deliver are rooted in evidence-based strategies driving positive
and effective engagement, as well as brand advocacy.
Fiona Lloyd,
Global Client & Brand
President, Carat
Leader perspectives
The return to ad growth in the US, replicates the conversations
we are having with clients and confidence is growing at a strong
and steady rate as we look towards the remainder of the year
and into 2022. It is no surprise that digital spending continues
to accelerate. Additionally, as linear TV viewership falls and
streaming platforms continue to grow substantially, we have seen
an acceleration in demand for CTV/OTT as well as other non-
linear video options. Next year, we will see a meaningful growth
in spend for key channels like OOH, Cinema, and Audio.
Mike Law,
President, US, Amplifi
The progress towards ad spend recovery is gaining strong
momentum, following a period which has changed our industry
landscape while also accelerating and cementing several trends
that we had seen developing long before the last 18 months. The
forecasted return to growth across all regions this year, continuing
into 2022, is a cause for brand optimism that we hope will create a
springboard for innovation and creativity.
Amanda Morrissey,
Global Brand President,
iProspect
16. Ad Spend June 2021
It is reassuring to see positive growth in global GDP and overall
media spend in EMEA. Digital is the heartbeat for business
growth and it is our responsibility as the agency partner to
overcommunicate with our clients and guide them through
the changing landscape of digital advertising and regulations,
especially in emerging markets. Our priority remains to help clients
better understand their target audience through data and analytics
and maximise their media spend ROIs across different channels to
accelerate their growth agenda.
Media’s role has never been more important in creating deeper
relationships with brands. The challenges we have seen in the past
18 months in building that connection have provided key learnings
and great insights into what is effective and what deliver value
for our clients. As media consumption grows, we have seen the
acceleration in ecommerce and digital marketing. Creating new,
relevant and engaging experiences which bring people together with
brands has never been more important.
Giulio Malegori,
CEO EMEA,
dentsu international
Peter Huijboom,
Global CEO, Media
and Global Clients,
dentsu international
It is promising to see a return to growth in the APAC region with
two of our markets in the top five contributors of ad spend growth;
China and Japan. While China continues to see strong levels of
growth driven by Digital and OOH, Japan’s growth will be buoyed by
events like the 2020 Olympic & Paralympic Games, and the House
of Representative elections and the advertising spend associated
with it, particularly in TV.
In addition, Australia and India are two of the top year-on-year
growth markets, forecasting a surge in ad spend. Australia has had
a stronger economic recovery after the pandemic particularly in TV
and Digital where the government focused much of their Covid-
related campaigns, while India is expected to see a resurgence in
Digital advertising spend though TV is still the main contributor with
a 40.9% share.
Ashish Bhasin,
CEO APAC,
dentsu international
17. Ad Spend June 2021
As reflected in dentsu’s forecast, social distancing has made the
world recognise how much it values and misses "social proximity".
The real winners in the recovery are those media which bring people
together – most obviously Social, but most notably TV.
During the pandemic lockdowns shared stories emerged, as people’s
daily routines were dictated by their home environment and became
more similar, which we could further amplify on digital channels. In
short, TV gave us something to talk about. Equally, people trusted
TV more than other media to deliver accurate and practical health
information from politicians and scientists.
In our forecasts, the winning factor is, quite simply, ‘talkability’:
those media which disseminate the information and stories which
we want to share. The forecast growth should therefore serve as a
useful strategic pointer for other media.
Sanjay Nazerali,
Global Client & Brand
President, dentsu X
In 2020, we saw shift in consumer’s digital behaviours and this
trend continues in 2021. Consumers are living more of their life
in digital media and as a result, we are seeing digital ad spend
grow at an accelerated rate, now making up 50% of all ad spend
globally. Advertisers are fast adapting to this change in order to
capture market share through more personalised and relevant
consumer experiences.
Will Swayne,
Chief Client Officer, Media,
dentsu international
We are optimistic that the region will bounce back to positive
growth in ad spend, with some channels likely boosted higher
than pre-pandemic levels. The main drivers behind the growth is
economic recovery, with the APAC GDP set to increase by 7.3%, and
a stronger-than-ever push to digital marketing.
Serving as a stimulus the pandemic has accelerated digital adoption.
Digital media will continue to drive ad revenue growth this year with
strong performance in Social (+33%) and Video (+11%) and majority
of spends in mobile. We will also see more investments diverted
towards addressable and the digitalisation of OOH channels.
Programmatic DOOH will also be a key growth driver in the future.
With the growing numbers of SSPs and DSPs partnerships and an
increasing demand for location-based solutions to ad-reaching
consumers in these times of uncertainty, advertisers will benefit
from the speed, flexibility and the targeting capability that the
medium will provide.
Prerna Mehrotra,
CEO Media APAC and
MD Media Singapore,
dentsu international
18. Ad Spend June 2021
2021F
2020A
An industry lens on spend
Based on analysis across industries,
Government spending remains a key area of
spend growth, supporting the Covid vaccine
rollout and other related initiatives.
The Travel and Transport sector continues
to be affected by the uncertainty of the
pandemic, border shutdowns and travel
restriction, with ad spend in this sector revised
down versus January 2021 forecasts. An
overall 8.7% increase in demand is forecast in
2021 following the 47.0% decline in 2020 as
international travel begins to resume.
Media & Entertainment is forecast to achieve
8.9% following a 15.2% reduction in 2020,
while spend in Automotive advertising is set to
grow by 9.5% from a 15.2% reduction in 2020.
Figure 8: 2021 ad spend growth forecasts by industryi
Year-on-year % growth at current prices
Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Government Tech Telecomms Auto Retail Cosmetic
& Personal
Care
Media &
Ent
Travel &
Transport
Finance Beverages Food Pharma
4.4% 5.5%
-6.7%
-15.2%
-9.4%
-7.9%
-15.2%
-47.0%
-2.5%
1.0%
10.9%
20.0%
9.8%
12.5%
9.5% 9.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%
0.1%
i.	
2020 change based on: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Russia, Spain, UK, US
2021 change based on: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France. Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Russia, US
19. Ad Spend June 2021
•	 To empower brands in making informed
decisions regarding media channels,
data and insights into changing
consumer media consumption and
lifestyle patterns will continue to be
important. Sustained investment in
analytics will particularly help to build
a view of how behaviours are evolving
as the months progress and develop
predictive capabilities.
•	 In light of changing lifestyle patterns,
many media channels have evolved in
recent months to serve new purposes
– such as broadcast e-commerce via
livestream. Brands can use this period
to explore new arenas in which to
deliver brand messages and diversify
their campaigns across new platforms
to drive engagement.
Brand
recommendations
While the fragmented impact of the pandemic continues to shape ad spend
across markets there are key considerations to help brands respond with agility
and flexibility:
•	 Consumer expectations of
communications and actions spanning
everything from the environment to
employee wellbeing are here to stay.
Brands that consistently reinforce
a social responsibility dimension in
their identity will win consumer trust.
The leaders in this space will work
collaboratively and beyond their
industry to deliver large scale change.
•	 With the much-anticipated sports
events that were postponed in 2020
giving TV a boost this year, the many
brands who will be seeking to target
sports fans in specific timeframes
may create a counterprogramming
scenario. Potentially reduced
ratecards for targets outside of this
group will offer many other brands
new opportunities for reach at scale.
Ad Spend June 2021
20.
•	 Continuing digitisation across OTT
platforms, Digital Print and Audio
services this year also present brands
with opportunities to devise new
engagement strategies, delivery
options, and the chance to create a
broader range of content formats that
will ultimately create a richer brand
experience for consumers.
•	 The continued rise of e-commerce
has successfully converted previously
reluctant targets and become the go-
to method of purchase for products
traditionally thought of as in-store
only. It has also created a different
playing field for brands, who must
now ensure that they communicate
not only the strength of their products
and services, but also the strength of
their online experience and customer
service in order to leverage earned
media coverage to its full potential.
•	 As consumer behaviour continues
to skew towards digital modalities,
brands can also leverage the return to
public events in some markets to bring
people who remain in a heightened
stage of the pandemic closer to the
action. Innovative creative solutions
such as immersive, virtual worlds are
increasingly being used to drive brand
engagement and conversation in this
context.
•	 Personalised offers and messaging
delivered to increasingly tailored
customer segments are more
important than ever as digital
continues to grow. Ensuring that
audience profiles are sufficiently
nuanced and adapted to pandemic-
context behaviours will help to achieve
more convenient and useful shopping
experiences, wherever the consumer
might be.
Ad Spend June 2021
21.
Assumptions and methodology
These forecasts should be read in the context of significant ongoing uncertainty
related to the global pandemic and government measures to contain it. As the global
vaccination programme is rolled out dentsu will be closely monitoring market ad spend
to ensure our figures remain an accurate reflection of the sector.
Advertising expenditure forecasts are compiled from data collated from dentsu’s brands
and based on our local market expertise until the second half of June 2021. We use a
bottom-up approach, with forecasts provided for 59 markets covering the Americas,
EMEA, Asia Pacific and Rest of World by medium: Linear Television, Newspapers,
Magazines, Radio, Cinema, Out-of-Home and Digital Media. The advertising spend
figures are provided net of negotiated discounts and with agency commission deducted,
in current prices and in local currency. For global and regional figures, we convert the
figures centrally into USD at the May 2021 average exchange rate. The forecasts are
produced bi-annually with actual figures for the previous year and latest forecasts for
the current and following year all restated at constant exchange rates.
References
i.	 The World Bank, 'GDP Growth', April 2021.
ii.	 QuestMobile, ‘Spring Report on China Mobile Internet', March 2021.
iii.	 The Drum, ‘Cinema advertising post-pandemic: what does the future hold for the silver screen?’, April 2021.
iv.	 WARC, ‘Media owner profile: Global sets out its plans to combine audio and OOH media’, Jan 2020.
Ad Spend June 2021
22.
dentsu Ad Spend, June 2021
23.
About dentsu
international
Part of dentsu, dentsu international
is made up of six leadership brands
- Carat, dentsu X, iProspect, Isobar,
dentsumcgarrybowen, Merkle and
supported by its specialist brands.
Dentsu International helps clients to win,
keep and grow their best customers and
achieve meaningful progress for their
businesses.
With best-in-class services and solutions
in media, CXM, and creative, dentsu
international operates in over 145 markets
worldwide with more than 45,000
dedicated specialists.
www.dentsu.com
For further information about
this report please contact:
DATA INQUIRIES:
Lin Liu
Research Manager
Lin.Liu@dentsu.com
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Fiona Magill
Senior PR Consultant
Fiona.Magill@dentsu.com

Contenu connexe

Tendances

Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02
Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02
Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02DataReportal
 
Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01
Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01
Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01DataReportal
 
What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?
What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?
What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?Boston Consulting Group
 
Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01DataReportal
 
McKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis
McKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisisMcKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis
McKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisisMcKinsey on Marketing & Sales
 
WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022
WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022
WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022Clément LEDORMEUR
 
Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01DataReportal
 
Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19
Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19
Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19Boston Consulting Group
 
Spark Digital: Mixed Reality
Spark Digital: Mixed RealitySpark Digital: Mixed Reality
Spark Digital: Mixed RealityFalcon.io
 
Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01DataReportal
 
The Emergence of Retail Media
The Emergence of Retail MediaThe Emergence of Retail Media
The Emergence of Retail MediaTinuiti
 
Digital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen Badr
Digital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen BadrDigital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen Badr
Digital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen BadrShereen Badr
 
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their GameBoston Consulting Group
 
Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)
Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)
Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)DataReportal
 
Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01DataReportal
 
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective Social Samosa
 
Digitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix Study
Digitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix StudyDigitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix Study
Digitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix Studyssuserf1f48a
 
Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...
Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...
Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...Boston Consulting Group
 

Tendances (20)

Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02
Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02
Digital 2022 Local Country Headlines Report (January 2022) v02
 
Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01
Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01
Digital 2022: Essential Facebook Stats for Q2 2022 v01
 
What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?
What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?
What Does the Recovery of Demand for Urban Mobility Look Like Post-COVID-19?
 
Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Nigeria (January 2021) v01
 
McKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis
McKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisisMcKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis
McKinsey Survey: Australian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis
 
Trends2022
Trends2022Trends2022
Trends2022
 
WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022
WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022
WeChat Min Program analytics toolkit 2022
 
Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 United Arab Emirates (February 2023) v01
 
Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19
Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19
Urban Mobility Is Evolving in Unexpected Ways Due to COVID-19
 
Spark Digital: Mixed Reality
Spark Digital: Mixed RealitySpark Digital: Mixed Reality
Spark Digital: Mixed Reality
 
Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01
Digital 2023 India (February 2023) v01
 
The Emergence of Retail Media
The Emergence of Retail MediaThe Emergence of Retail Media
The Emergence of Retail Media
 
Digital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen Badr
Digital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen BadrDigital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen Badr
Digital Marketing Trends 2023- Shereen Badr
 
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
2018 Local Dynamos: Emerging-Market Companies Up Their Game
 
Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)
Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)
Digital 2015 Nigeria (January 2015)
 
Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01
Digital 2021 Ireland (January 2021) v01
 
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective
Global Entertainment & Media Outlook 2023–2027 - India perspective
 
2019 CPG Growth Leaders Report
2019 CPG Growth Leaders Report2019 CPG Growth Leaders Report
2019 CPG Growth Leaders Report
 
Digitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix Study
Digitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix StudyDigitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix Study
Digitising Consumers in India - BCG & Matrix Study
 
Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...
Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...
Chinese Internet Economy White Paper 2.0 - Decoding the Chinese Internet 2.0:...
 

Similaire à Ad Spend 2021 - Dentsu Report

Dan global ad spend report june 2018
Dan global ad spend report  june 2018Dan global ad spend report  june 2018
Dan global ad spend report june 2018Social Samosa
 
Global Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdf
Global Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdfGlobal Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdf
Global Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdfUreka Media Vietnam CO., LTD
 
Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15
Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15
Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15AdCMO
 
Carat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları Raporu
Carat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları RaporuCarat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları Raporu
Carat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları RaporuMarketing Türkiye
 
worldwide media upsurge in spends by format :
worldwide media upsurge in  spends by format : worldwide media upsurge in  spends by format :
worldwide media upsurge in spends by format : Sumit Roy
 
GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021
GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021
GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021Social Samosa
 
Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014
Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014
Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014Lamia Mosbah
 
GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021
GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021
GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021Social Samosa
 
GroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecast
GroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecastGroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecast
GroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecastSocial Samosa
 
Economic of Latin America and Caribean
Economic of Latin America and CaribeanEconomic of Latin America and Caribean
Economic of Latin America and CaribeanBryanKuoKy
 
CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016
CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016
CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016Vikrant Mudaliar
 
Tyny mid year june 2018 spreads
Tyny mid year june 2018 spreadsTyny mid year june 2018 spreads
Tyny mid year june 2018 spreadsSocial Samosa
 
Preview Content Asia digital consumption
Preview Content Asia digital consumptionPreview Content Asia digital consumption
Preview Content Asia digital consumptionAyushi743068
 
Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013
Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013
Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013Dung Tri
 
E marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimates
E marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimatesE marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimates
E marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimatesAdCMO
 
Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016
Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016
Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016Manish Chugh
 
Swiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continues
Swiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continuesSwiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continues
Swiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continuesΔρ. Γιώργος K. Κασάπης
 

Similaire à Ad Spend 2021 - Dentsu Report (20)

Dan global ad spend report june 2018
Dan global ad spend report  june 2018Dan global ad spend report  june 2018
Dan global ad spend report june 2018
 
Global Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdf
Global Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdfGlobal Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdf
Global Ad Spend Forecasts - Shared by WorldLine Technology.pdf
 
Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15
Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15
Warc international ad_forecast_2014-15
 
Carat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları Raporu
Carat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları RaporuCarat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları Raporu
Carat Ad Global Reklam Yatırımları Raporu
 
Carat ad spend sept 2015 final
Carat ad spend sept 2015 finalCarat ad spend sept 2015 final
Carat ad spend sept 2015 final
 
worldwide media upsurge in spends by format :
worldwide media upsurge in  spends by format : worldwide media upsurge in  spends by format :
worldwide media upsurge in spends by format :
 
GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021
GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021
GroupM global TYNY forecast report december 2021
 
Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014
Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014
Magna Global - Advertising Forecasts - Global Advertising Market | 12/06/2014
 
Group M TYNY Report
Group M TYNY ReportGroup M TYNY Report
Group M TYNY Report
 
GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021
GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021
GroupM-Global-TYNY-Mid-Year-forecast-2021
 
GroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecast
GroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecastGroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecast
GroupM_TYNY_Adex_forecast
 
Economic of Latin America and Caribean
Economic of Latin America and CaribeanEconomic of Latin America and Caribean
Economic of Latin America and Caribean
 
CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016
CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016
CARAT GLOBAL AD SPEND REPORT 2016
 
Tyny mid year june 2018 spreads
Tyny mid year june 2018 spreadsTyny mid year june 2018 spreads
Tyny mid year june 2018 spreads
 
Preview Content Asia digital consumption
Preview Content Asia digital consumptionPreview Content Asia digital consumption
Preview Content Asia digital consumption
 
Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013
Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013
Global ad spend by vertical jan 2013
 
Global Media Report 2013
Global Media Report 2013Global Media Report 2013
Global Media Report 2013
 
E marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimates
E marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimatesE marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimates
E marketer us_ad_spending-q3_2013_forecast_and_comparative_estimates
 
Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016
Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016
Digital ad spends trend 2015 2016
 
Swiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continues
Swiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continuesSwiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continues
Swiss Re sigma 3/2019: World insurance: the great pivot east continues
 

Plus de Social Samosa

The+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdf
The+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdfThe+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdf
The+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdfSocial Samosa
 
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdfTAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdfSocial Samosa
 
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdfSocial Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdfSocial Samosa
 
Kantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdf
Kantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdfKantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdf
Kantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdfSocial Samosa
 
TAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto Sector
TAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto SectorTAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto Sector
TAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto SectorSocial Samosa
 
TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23
TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23
TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23Social Samosa
 
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...Social Samosa
 
TAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdf
TAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdfTAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdf
TAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdfSocial Samosa
 
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...Social Samosa
 
Media and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara C
Media and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara CMedia and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara C
Media and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara CSocial Samosa
 
LinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdf
LinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdfLinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdf
LinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdfSocial Samosa
 
Brand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report Listings
Brand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report ListingsBrand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report Listings
Brand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report ListingsSocial Samosa
 
TAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdf
TAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdfTAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdf
TAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdfSocial Samosa
 
Cricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance report
Cricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance reportCricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance report
Cricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance reportSocial Samosa
 
TheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdf
TheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdfTheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdf
TheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdfSocial Samosa
 
Voter engagement - Election iCubesWire Report
Voter engagement - Election iCubesWire ReportVoter engagement - Election iCubesWire Report
Voter engagement - Election iCubesWire ReportSocial Samosa
 
TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023
TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023
TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023Social Samosa
 
D2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis Commerce
D2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis CommerceD2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis Commerce
D2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis CommerceSocial Samosa
 
Report on the future of Digital Advertising in India
Report on the future of Digital Advertising in IndiaReport on the future of Digital Advertising in India
Report on the future of Digital Advertising in IndiaSocial Samosa
 
Redseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdf
Redseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdfRedseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdf
Redseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdfSocial Samosa
 

Plus de Social Samosa (20)

The+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdf
The+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdfThe+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdf
The+State+of+Careers+In+Retention+Marketing-2.pdf
 
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdfTAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
TAM Sports_IPL 17 Till Match 37_Celebrity Endorsement _Report.pdf
 
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdfSocial Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
 
Kantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdf
Kantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdfKantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdf
Kantar AI Summit- Under Embargo till Wednesday, 24th April 2024, 4 PM, IST.pdf
 
TAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto Sector
TAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto SectorTAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto Sector
TAM AdEx 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - Auto Sector
 
TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23
TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23
TAM Sports IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M23
 
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M15.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
 
TAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdf
TAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdfTAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdf
TAM AdEx - 2023 Cross Media Advertising Recap - FMCG Sector.pdf
 
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
TAM Sports-IPL 17 Advertising Report- M01 - M07.xlsx - IPL 17 FCT (Commercial...
 
Media and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara C
Media and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara CMedia and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara C
Media and Internet Preview Q4FY24 Elara C
 
LinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdf
LinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdfLinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdf
LinkedIn-Deep-Sales-Playbook-Report-.pdf
 
Brand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report Listings
Brand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report ListingsBrand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report Listings
Brand Trust Report 2024 TRA Report Listings
 
TAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdf
TAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdfTAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdf
TAM AdEx-A Pixelated view into Digital Advertising Trends for Y 2023.pdf
 
Cricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance report
Cricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance reportCricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance report
Cricket Playbook for Growth Marketers: Adjust x Glance report
 
TheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdf
TheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdfTheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdf
TheOrmaxSportsAudienceReport2024-MediaHighlights.pdf
 
Voter engagement - Election iCubesWire Report
Voter engagement - Election iCubesWire ReportVoter engagement - Election iCubesWire Report
Voter engagement - Election iCubesWire Report
 
TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023
TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023
TAM AdEx report - Print Advertising 2023
 
D2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis Commerce
D2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis CommerceD2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis Commerce
D2C Advantage X Toolkit MMA Global & Publicis Commerce
 
Report on the future of Digital Advertising in India
Report on the future of Digital Advertising in IndiaReport on the future of Digital Advertising in India
Report on the future of Digital Advertising in India
 
Redseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdf
Redseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdfRedseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdf
Redseer_Ear-It-All_Report Design 2_16022024_final.pdf
 

Dernier

Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.DanielaQuiroz63
 
9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men
9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men
9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking MenSapana Sha
 
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail SuccessHow to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail SuccessAggregage
 
Forecast of Content Marketing through AI
Forecast of Content Marketing through AIForecast of Content Marketing through AI
Forecast of Content Marketing through AIRinky
 
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentationKraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentationtbatkhuu1
 
Google 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best Strategies
Google 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best StrategiesGoogle 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best Strategies
Google 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best StrategiesSearch Engine Journal
 
marketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdf
marketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdfmarketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdf
marketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdfarsathsahil
 
Uncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 Reports
Uncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 ReportsUncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 Reports
Uncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 ReportsVWO
 
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceBDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceDelhi Call girls
 
Brand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdf
Brand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdfBrand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdf
Brand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdftbatkhuu1
 
Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...
Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...
Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...Search Engine Journal
 
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web RevolutionGreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web RevolutionWilliam Barnes
 
pptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptx
pptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptxpptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptx
pptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptxarsathsahil
 
April 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting Group
April 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting GroupApril 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting Group
April 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting GroupVbout.com
 
TOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdf
TOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdfTOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdf
TOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdfasiyahanif9977
 

Dernier (20)

Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.
 
Turn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel Lemin
Turn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel LeminTurn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel Lemin
Turn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel Lemin
 
9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men
9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men
9654467111 Call Girls In Mahipalpur Women Seeking Men
 
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail SuccessHow to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
 
Forecast of Content Marketing through AI
Forecast of Content Marketing through AIForecast of Content Marketing through AI
Forecast of Content Marketing through AI
 
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentationKraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
 
How to Create a Social Media Plan Like a Pro - Jordan Scheltgen
How to Create a Social Media Plan Like a Pro - Jordan ScheltgenHow to Create a Social Media Plan Like a Pro - Jordan Scheltgen
How to Create a Social Media Plan Like a Pro - Jordan Scheltgen
 
Google 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best Strategies
Google 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best StrategiesGoogle 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best Strategies
Google 3rd-Party Cookie Deprecation [Update] + 5 Best Strategies
 
Generative AI Master Class - Generative AI, Unleash Creative Opportunity - Pe...
Generative AI Master Class - Generative AI, Unleash Creative Opportunity - Pe...Generative AI Master Class - Generative AI, Unleash Creative Opportunity - Pe...
Generative AI Master Class - Generative AI, Unleash Creative Opportunity - Pe...
 
marketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdf
marketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdfmarketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdf
marketing strategy of tanishq word PPROJECT.pdf
 
Uncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 Reports
Uncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 ReportsUncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 Reports
Uncover Insightful User Journey Secrets Using GA4 Reports
 
The Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison Kaltman
The Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison KaltmanThe Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison Kaltman
The Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison Kaltman
 
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceBDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 150 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
 
Brand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdf
Brand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdfBrand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdf
Brand experience Dream Center Peoria Presentation.pdf
 
Turn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel Lemin
Turn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel LeminTurn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel Lemin
Turn Digital Reputation Threats into Offense Tactics - Daniel Lemin
 
Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...
Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...
Do More with Less: Navigating Customer Acquisition Challenges for Today's Ent...
 
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web RevolutionGreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
 
pptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptx
pptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptxpptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptx
pptx.marketing strategy of tanishq. pptx
 
April 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting Group
April 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting GroupApril 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting Group
April 2024 - VBOUT Partners Meeting Group
 
TOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdf
TOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdfTOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdf
TOP DUBAI AGENCY OFFERS EXPERT DIGITAL MARKETING SERVICES.pdf
 

Ad Spend 2021 - Dentsu Report

  • 2. 1. Top 10 trends for the year ahead 2. Global outlook 3. Market outlook 4. Media outlook 5. Leader perspectives 6. Brand recommendations 3 4 6 10 16 20 Contents 2. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 3. 1. Global advertising is forecast to recover to 10.4% growth, reflecting a total spend of US$634 billion, based on proprietary dentsu data from across 59 markets. 2. This spend will exceed pre-pandemic levels, with 2020 upgraded from -8.8% forecast in January 2021 to -7.2% following increased spend during Q4 2020. 3. On a like-for-like basis versus 2020, 2.4% growth in Q1 (reflecting the pandemic impact) is forecast to be followed by a Q2 recovery of 20.9% and 10.1% growth in H2. 4. All regions are forecast to return to growth in 2021, with US$59.7 billion in incremental ad spend driven by the US, China, the UK and Japan. 5. The three fastest growing markets in 2021 are expected to be Canada, the US and Australia, with ad spend forecasts revised upwards in 7 of the 13 top spending ad markets since January 2021. 6. Digital will continually drive 2021 recovery, returning to double digit growth of 15.6% and a total forecasted spend of US$311 billion. 7. Above-predicted growth in Social 23.0%, Video 17.0%, and Search 16.3% will drive a 50.0% share of global spend in Digital this year. 8. Linear TV will maintain a 30.3% share of global spend and 7.1% forecasted growth, boosted by the UEFA European Football championships and Olympic & Paralympic Games sporting events. 9. Most channels are returning to growth in 2021 (Cinema 35.1%, OOH 14.6%, Radio 10.4% and Linear TV 7.1%). 10. Continued growth of 7.2% and US$680 billion in spend are predicted for 2022. Top 10 ad spend trends in 2021 Ad Spend June 2021 3.
  • 4. The pandemic-induced decline in global advertising spend during 2020 has proved less severe than anticipated. While 2020 remains the weakest performing year since the global financial crisis, the decline in growth during 2020 has improved since the January 2021 forecast from -8.8% to -7.2%. The overall ad market outlook for 2021 is a recovery of 10.4% growth and a spend of US$634 billion, which represents an improvement of 4.6 percentage points versus January’s 2021 prediction. The ad market is forecast to fully recover in 2021, exceeding pre-pandemic spend sooner than was previously forecast. The IMF (June 2021) predicts 6.0% world growth in Real GDP in 2021 following the 3.3% decline in 2020.i Based on the top 13 ad markets, Q2 remains the crucial point of recovery at 21% growth in ad spend, reflecting the severe impact of lockdowns on ad spend during this period last year, with the second half of the year predicted to deliver 10.1% growth. The recovery is set to continue into 2022, when ad spend is predicted to grow 7.2% to reach US$680 billion. All forecasts continue to be dependent on a number of factors and are subject to change. All historical advertising spend figures have been revised to May 2021 average exchange rates. Page 22 provides detailed information regarding the assumptions and methodology that underpin our forecasts. Global outlook 4. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 5. 2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f Global 4.2 -7.2 (-8.8) 10.4 (5.8) 7.2 (6.9) North America 5.1 -7.6 (-7.6) 13.7 (4.0) 8.1 (8.0) US 5.1 -7.5 (-7.5) 13.7 (3.8) 8.0 (8.0) Canada 5.4 -9.6 (-9.6) 14.0 (7.2) 9.2 (9.3) Western Europe 3.1 -9.6 (-10.9) 7.5 (7.5) 6.2 (6.6) UK 6.1 -7.7 (-7.6) 12.0 (10.4) 8.5 (10.5) Germany -1.1 -7.3 (-8.4) 3.3 (4.3) 4.0 (2.5) France 7.1 -9.2 (-13.9) 7.0 (8.9) 6.0 (6.0) Italy -1.3 -12.2 (-14.4) 5.4 (5.9) 3.1 (3.2) Spain -0.1 -18.1 (-20.6) 3.4 (4.5) 6.7 (7.0) Central & Eastern Europe 8.7 -2.3 (-1.9) 8.9 (7.2) 8.4 (6.2) Russia 5.6 -4.2 (-5.9) 8.6 (3.0) 8.2 (3.3) Asia-Pacific 4.1 -5.2 (-8.0) 8.0 (5.9) 6.3 (5.8) Australia 1.8 -11.2 (-11.2) 12.7 (5.9) 2.9 (6.2) China 3.0 1.6 (1.6) 8.5 (5.3) 6.9 (5.0) India 9.4 -12.9 (-17.5) 10.8 (10.8) 12.4 (12.4) Japan 6.2 -11.2 (-16.6) 4.4 (5.3) 4.2 (6.8) Latin America 4.5 -12.2 (-18.4) 13.6 (10.2) 12.1 (8.1) Brazil 1.8 -22.6 (-22.3) 8.8 (5.2) 5.5 (2.6) Figure 1: Growth in global ad spend between 2019 and 2022 Year-on-year % growth at current prices (January 2021 figures in brackets) Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 5. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 6. A return to growth is predicted for all regions in 2021: North America 13.7%, Latin America 13.6%, Central and Eastern Europe 8.9%, Asia Pacific 8.0% and Western Europe 7.5%. Pre-pandemic levels of spend are forecast in North America, Asia Pacific and Central and Eastern Europe – all of which have exceeded January forecasts for this year. By market, the top five contributors to the US$59.7 billion of growth in incremental ad spend during 2021 will be the US, China, UK, Japan and Australia. The US share of ad spend remains significantly above all other markets in 2021 (see Figure 2). The highest growth rates in 2021 are forecast to come from spend in Canada, the US, Australia, the UK and India (see Figure 3), with this year’s ad spend expected to exceed 2019 pre-pandemic levels in China by 10.2%, the US 5.1%, Russia 4.1%, the UK 3.4% and Canada 3.0%. Figure 2: Top five markets by share of global ad spend in 2021 Figure 3: Top five markets by ad spend growth rate in 2021 % Share of total ad spend Year-on-year % growth 37.8% 14.0% 40% 40% 30% 12% 20% 8% 10% 4% 35% 14% 25% 10% 15% 6% 5% 2% 0% 0% US Canada China US Japan Australia UK UK Germany India 17.6% 13.7% 9.4% 12.7% 5.1% 12.0% 2.8% 10.8% Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Market outlook 6. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 7. United States Spend is forecast to re-bound faster than previously predicted in 2021, growing 13.7% to reach US$239.9 billion. Digital spending accelerated throughout the pandemic, significantly in e-commerce, and will achieve a 44.8% share of spend in 2021. Many advertisers turned their 2020 buys to digital advertising, with Video and CTV/OTT (Connected TV / Over-The- Top) advertising soaring as consumers stayed at home. The increase in CTV and OTT spend will continue as supply erodes in Linear TV, despite advertiser demand. In 2022, growth in ad spend is expected across most sectors, with 8.0% forecasted growth. China Following 1.6% growth in 2020, spend is forecast to grow 8.5% in 2021 to reach US$111.6 billion, 3.2 percentage points above predictions in the January report. Digital and OOH spend are expected to drive growth whilst other traditional media are expected to decline, with Digital forecast to grow by 12.6% in 2021, accounting for US$77.8 billion and a 69.7% share of spend. The number of mobile internet users continues to increase - there were 8.2 million additional users year-on-year in March 2021.ii Overall, the China ad market is forecast to grow by a further 6.9% in 2022. Japan A gradual recovery is forecast in Japan, with 4.4% growth in 2021 ad spend generating US$59.9 billion. Increased mobility as the pandemic eases, the hosting of the Tokyo 2020 Games, and the House of Representatives election all constitute important elements in the recovery, with TV ad spend expected to grow 4.8% in 2021 as a result of the Tokyo 2020 Olympic and Paralympic Games. Digital ad spend is forecast to increase by 10.0%, an upward revision from the previous forecast of 7.8% in January 2021 driven by a larger than expected increase in Digital spend during Q1 2021, with Digital representing a 38.1% share of spend this year. A further 4.2% increase in overall spend forecast for 2022. Top markets by share of global ad spend in 2021 7. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 8. United Kingdom 12.0% growth in ad spend is predicted in 2021, representing US$32.4 billion and exceeding the US$31.3 billion ad market size in 2019 by 3.4%. This has been adjusted up from January’s forecast of 10.4% as the vaccination programme progresses, social restrictions ease and economic forecasts improve. 2022 ad spend is forecast to grow by 8.5%, with Digital driving 70.5% of overall growth. OOH and Cinema will also contribute to the growth in 2022, particularly in 1H 2022 given the comparison against 1H 2021, when lockdown restrictions were in place. Germany The initial months of 2021 saw continued lockdowns and restrictions impact many sectors’ performance, with economic improvement now expected in the second half and sectors such as tourism, hospitality, culture and sports forecast to gain momentum in Q3 2021. Germany's Digital share of spend is at 42.9%. Overall spend is expected to increase 3.3% in 2021, driven by a US$11.6 billion forecast growth in spend in the second half. A steady, incremental increase in advertising spend of 4.0%, equal to US$712 million is expected in 2022, when ad spend will continue its recovery at a total value of US$18.6 billion. 8. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 9. Canada 14.0% growth is predicted in 2021 at a total of US$10.5 billion. Year-on- year data suggests increased optimism for recovery, driven by the return of Covid-impacted categories such as travel and entertainment and positive developments in the vaccine rollout. Overall recovery will be driven by 15.6% growth in Digital spend, primarily in retail e-commerce and Video, representing a 59.7% share of spend which is expected to maintain trajectory throughout 2021. The Canadian ad market is forecast to fully recover in 2021, before continuing with 9.2% market growth and US$11.4 billion in ad spend during 2022. Australia Stronger than expected economic recovery in Australia has created improvements in overall ad spend. Following a 11.2% decline in 2020, ad spend is expected to recover in 2021 and grow by 12.7% to US$12.8 billion. The recovery has been much faster than expected in 1H 2021 - particularly for TV and Digital. TV is the key beneficiary of broad market ad spend in addition to Government Covid-related campaigns, whilst Digital ad spend has been driven by a surge in retail advertising and will represent 61.1% of spend in this market. 2H 2021 is expected to be further buoyed by the Tokyo Olympics in Q3 and a possible Federal election in Q4, with a further 2.9% increase expected in 2022, reaching US$13.2 billion in ad spend. India Spend is forecast to grow 10.8% in 2021 to reach US$9.0 billion, following a steep 12.9% decline in 2020. TV continues to be the most popular media in India, with a leading 40.9% share of spend that shows resilience despite the pandemic and a 7.7% growth compared to 2020 spend. Digital’s share of spend has grown rapidly, from 20.0% in 2019 to 29.4% in 2021, and is expected to reach 32.7% by the end of 2022. The ad market is forecast to grow by a further 12.4% in 2022, recovering to pre-pandemic levels, particularly led by Digital and TV versus a longer recovery for Print, Cinema, OOH and Radio. Top markets by year-on-year growth rate 9. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 10. Media outlook While ad spend across TV, Print, Radio, OOH and Cinema declined by 14.8% in 2020, spend in digital increased by 4.0%. A return to growth is forecast for linear media in 2021 by 6.3%, however at US$312 billion; spend levels will remain below pre-pandemic levels of US$344 billion in 2021. Following the acute impact of the pandemic on Cinema and OOH, both channels are predicted to see the biggest increases in 2021 of 35.1% and 14.6% respectively, while Radio will grow 10.4%, TV 7.1% and Print will decline by 4.4%. 10. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 11. Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Figure 4: Share of global ad spend by channel between 2019 and 2022 Figure 5: Growth in global ad spend by channel between 2019 and 2022 2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f Digital 42.9 47.8 (48.0) 50.0 (50.0) 51.5 (51.2) Linear Television 33.1 31.3 (31.1) 30.3 (29.9) 29.5 (29.6) OOH 6.2 5.3 (5.1) 5.5 (5.6) 5.6 (5.7) Radio 5.9 5.7 (5.8) 5.7 (5.8) 5.4 (5.5) Newspapers 6.8 5.7 (5.7) 5.1 (5.3) 4.7 (4.7) Magazines 4.5 3.8 (3.9) 3.1 (3.2) 2.8 (2.8) Cinema 0.6 0.3 (0.3) 0.3 (0.4) 0.4 (0.4) 2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f Digital 11.9 4.0 (3.2) 15.6 (10.1) 10.6 (9.3) Linear Television 0.7 -11.9 (-13.6) 7.1 (1.7) 4.7 (5.9) OOH 2.0 -19.6 (-23.3) 14.6 (14.9) 9.2 (9.6) Radio -0.5 -9.4 (-10.1) 10.4 (4.7) 1.8 (1.6) Newspapers -9.1 -21.7 (-23.3) -0.5 (-3.1) -1.9 (-3.4) Magazines -7.6 -19.7 (-20.1) -10.3 (-14.3) -4.2 (-6.4) Cinema 9.6 -59.6 (-58.3) 35.1 (41.7) 28.1 (23.0) Year-on-year % growth at current prices in order of share of global ad spend (January 2021 figures in brackets) (January 2021 figures in brackets) 11. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 12. Digital dominates The 4.0% growth in Digital spend in 2020 helped grow the channel’s share of global ad spend by 5 percentage points versus 2019 (42.9% to 47.8%), an additional 2% higher than the yearly average over the 10 years prior to 2020. Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Figure 6: Growth in global digital ad spend sub-category between 2019 and 2022 2019a 2020a 2021f 2022f Social Media 27.4 15.1 (13.9) 23.0 (18.3) 17.2 (16.6) Video 15.2 -1.6 (-2.0) 17.0 (10.8) 12.7 (11.5) Paid Search 9.9 10.9 (10.1) 16.3 (11.0) 9.9 (8.7) Display 8.2 -1.8 (-3.0) 13.5 (8.1) 9.7 (7.2) Classified 4.2 -3.6 (-4.0) 8.8 (3.5) 5.1 (4.1) Year-on-year % growth at current prices (January 2021 figures in brackets) Forecasts for 2021 suggest a return to double digit growth in digital ad spend of 15.6% (revised up from the 10.1% predicted in January 2021) to reach US$311.0 billion, representing a 50.0% share of global ad spend. 12. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 13. Classified Search Video Social Banners In 2021 Social and Video ad spend is forecast to grow at 23.0% and 17.0% respectively, upgraded from 18.3% and 10.8% predicted in the January 2021 report. Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 Figure 7: Share of global digital ad spend by sub-category in 2022 37% 28% 14% 15% 6% Search spend is expected to grow by 16.3% to reach US$110.1 billion in 2021 and will continue to account for over a third of digital spend in 2022 (see Figure 7). 13. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 14. OOH returns Following significant impact from the pandemic outbreak, ad spend in OOH is predicted to increase by 14.6% to account for US$34.4 billion, with share of spend increasing slightly to 5.5%. Growth will be driven by the return of passenger and foot traffic and expanding opportunities in digital, personalisation and programmatic will continue to be central to delivery. Spend is forecast to recover by the end of 2022, reaching US$37.6 billion. TV turns it up Linear TV ad spend is forecast to grow by 7.1% in 2021 to reach US$188.4 billion and a 30.3% share of total spend, following a decline in ad spend of 11.9% in 2020. Spend will remain below 2019 pre-pandemic levels of US$199.7 billion in all but 3 of the top 13 markets (Australia, Russia and India). The highest share of spend will come from Brazil 61.6%, Italy 50.9% and India 40.9%. While the UEFA European Football Championships and Olympic and Paralympic Games are expected to provide a boost to TV ad spend in 2021, global spend will remain below pre-pandemic levels beyond 2022. Print perseveres Overall spend in Print (Newspapers and Magazines combined) is forecast to decline by 4.4% in 2021 (Newspaper -0.5% and Magazine -10.3%) but is expected to return to growth in 6 of the top 13 markets. Share of spend is decreasing year-on-year by 1-2 percentage points on average, with a 2.7% decline in spend expected in 2022. Newspaper’s share of total spend (5.1%) will be overtaken by OOH in 2021 (5.5%) as it continues to evolve towards new modes of digital delivery. 14. Ad spend June 2021
  • 15. Cinema set for success Cinema ad spend is predicted to increase 35.1% in 2021. Boosted by the number of new titles ready to be distributed, the demand for cinema advertising will be matched by audience increases as lockdowns ease globally and consumer confidence in sharing space with people outside of their households grows. Relative success in outdoor cinema, which has been trialled in markets outside of the drive-in tradition,iii also suggests a strong appetite among audiences and a new opportunity to reshape the landscape in the longer-term. Radio evolves With Radio consumption shifting to in- home, the channel saw a 9.4% decline in growth during 2020. In 2021, a forecast of 10.4% global growth is heavily driven by Digital Audio and Podcasting, as well as the continued rise of smart assistants supporting hands-free engagement. Looking ahead, Radio will increasingly be used in conjunction with OOH to deliver geo-targeted, location-based advertising.iv Spend is forecast to recover by the end of 2021, reaching US$35.6 billion. 15. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 16. We see the TV market making a strong recovery in 2021. TV is still a critical brand building medium and, on the road out of the pandemic restrictions, we are seeing strong consumer and advertiser demand for appointment to view events such as UEFA Euro 2020, the Copa America, and with the Olympics still to come, this should continue through July and August. More systemic changes are also playing a part in the TV markets growth. A trend pre-pandemic which has accelerated is the continued rise of OTT players and the proliferation of smart TVs and connected screens. As consumer behaviour has shifted, traditional TV players and new entrants have focused their efforts on developing for a world where content is streamed. This has led to a significant growth in connected TV advertising which is helping to fuel the recovery in TV in 2021 and is further blurring the lines between what constitutes TV advertising and “digital” advertising. Alastair Shearly-Sanders, Global President, Amplifi Empowering brands to make informed decisions regarding media channels is more important than ever. The swift pace of change in consumer’s media consumption and lifestyles means we are working even more collaboratively with our clients to interpret our industry- leading insights and data. This approach ensures that the campaigns we deliver are rooted in evidence-based strategies driving positive and effective engagement, as well as brand advocacy. Fiona Lloyd, Global Client & Brand President, Carat Leader perspectives The return to ad growth in the US, replicates the conversations we are having with clients and confidence is growing at a strong and steady rate as we look towards the remainder of the year and into 2022. It is no surprise that digital spending continues to accelerate. Additionally, as linear TV viewership falls and streaming platforms continue to grow substantially, we have seen an acceleration in demand for CTV/OTT as well as other non- linear video options. Next year, we will see a meaningful growth in spend for key channels like OOH, Cinema, and Audio. Mike Law, President, US, Amplifi The progress towards ad spend recovery is gaining strong momentum, following a period which has changed our industry landscape while also accelerating and cementing several trends that we had seen developing long before the last 18 months. The forecasted return to growth across all regions this year, continuing into 2022, is a cause for brand optimism that we hope will create a springboard for innovation and creativity. Amanda Morrissey, Global Brand President, iProspect 16. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 17. It is reassuring to see positive growth in global GDP and overall media spend in EMEA. Digital is the heartbeat for business growth and it is our responsibility as the agency partner to overcommunicate with our clients and guide them through the changing landscape of digital advertising and regulations, especially in emerging markets. Our priority remains to help clients better understand their target audience through data and analytics and maximise their media spend ROIs across different channels to accelerate their growth agenda. Media’s role has never been more important in creating deeper relationships with brands. The challenges we have seen in the past 18 months in building that connection have provided key learnings and great insights into what is effective and what deliver value for our clients. As media consumption grows, we have seen the acceleration in ecommerce and digital marketing. Creating new, relevant and engaging experiences which bring people together with brands has never been more important. Giulio Malegori, CEO EMEA, dentsu international Peter Huijboom, Global CEO, Media and Global Clients, dentsu international It is promising to see a return to growth in the APAC region with two of our markets in the top five contributors of ad spend growth; China and Japan. While China continues to see strong levels of growth driven by Digital and OOH, Japan’s growth will be buoyed by events like the 2020 Olympic & Paralympic Games, and the House of Representative elections and the advertising spend associated with it, particularly in TV. In addition, Australia and India are two of the top year-on-year growth markets, forecasting a surge in ad spend. Australia has had a stronger economic recovery after the pandemic particularly in TV and Digital where the government focused much of their Covid- related campaigns, while India is expected to see a resurgence in Digital advertising spend though TV is still the main contributor with a 40.9% share. Ashish Bhasin, CEO APAC, dentsu international 17. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 18. As reflected in dentsu’s forecast, social distancing has made the world recognise how much it values and misses "social proximity". The real winners in the recovery are those media which bring people together – most obviously Social, but most notably TV. During the pandemic lockdowns shared stories emerged, as people’s daily routines were dictated by their home environment and became more similar, which we could further amplify on digital channels. In short, TV gave us something to talk about. Equally, people trusted TV more than other media to deliver accurate and practical health information from politicians and scientists. In our forecasts, the winning factor is, quite simply, ‘talkability’: those media which disseminate the information and stories which we want to share. The forecast growth should therefore serve as a useful strategic pointer for other media. Sanjay Nazerali, Global Client & Brand President, dentsu X In 2020, we saw shift in consumer’s digital behaviours and this trend continues in 2021. Consumers are living more of their life in digital media and as a result, we are seeing digital ad spend grow at an accelerated rate, now making up 50% of all ad spend globally. Advertisers are fast adapting to this change in order to capture market share through more personalised and relevant consumer experiences. Will Swayne, Chief Client Officer, Media, dentsu international We are optimistic that the region will bounce back to positive growth in ad spend, with some channels likely boosted higher than pre-pandemic levels. The main drivers behind the growth is economic recovery, with the APAC GDP set to increase by 7.3%, and a stronger-than-ever push to digital marketing. Serving as a stimulus the pandemic has accelerated digital adoption. Digital media will continue to drive ad revenue growth this year with strong performance in Social (+33%) and Video (+11%) and majority of spends in mobile. We will also see more investments diverted towards addressable and the digitalisation of OOH channels. Programmatic DOOH will also be a key growth driver in the future. With the growing numbers of SSPs and DSPs partnerships and an increasing demand for location-based solutions to ad-reaching consumers in these times of uncertainty, advertisers will benefit from the speed, flexibility and the targeting capability that the medium will provide. Prerna Mehrotra, CEO Media APAC and MD Media Singapore, dentsu international 18. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 19. 2021F 2020A An industry lens on spend Based on analysis across industries, Government spending remains a key area of spend growth, supporting the Covid vaccine rollout and other related initiatives. The Travel and Transport sector continues to be affected by the uncertainty of the pandemic, border shutdowns and travel restriction, with ad spend in this sector revised down versus January 2021 forecasts. An overall 8.7% increase in demand is forecast in 2021 following the 47.0% decline in 2020 as international travel begins to resume. Media & Entertainment is forecast to achieve 8.9% following a 15.2% reduction in 2020, while spend in Automotive advertising is set to grow by 9.5% from a 15.2% reduction in 2020. Figure 8: 2021 ad spend growth forecasts by industryi Year-on-year % growth at current prices Source: dentsu Ad Spend Forecasts June 2021 -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% Government Tech Telecomms Auto Retail Cosmetic & Personal Care Media & Ent Travel & Transport Finance Beverages Food Pharma 4.4% 5.5% -6.7% -15.2% -9.4% -7.9% -15.2% -47.0% -2.5% 1.0% 10.9% 20.0% 9.8% 12.5% 9.5% 9.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 0.1% i. 2020 change based on: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Russia, Spain, UK, US 2021 change based on: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France. Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Russia, US 19. Ad Spend June 2021
  • 20. • To empower brands in making informed decisions regarding media channels, data and insights into changing consumer media consumption and lifestyle patterns will continue to be important. Sustained investment in analytics will particularly help to build a view of how behaviours are evolving as the months progress and develop predictive capabilities. • In light of changing lifestyle patterns, many media channels have evolved in recent months to serve new purposes – such as broadcast e-commerce via livestream. Brands can use this period to explore new arenas in which to deliver brand messages and diversify their campaigns across new platforms to drive engagement. Brand recommendations While the fragmented impact of the pandemic continues to shape ad spend across markets there are key considerations to help brands respond with agility and flexibility: • Consumer expectations of communications and actions spanning everything from the environment to employee wellbeing are here to stay. Brands that consistently reinforce a social responsibility dimension in their identity will win consumer trust. The leaders in this space will work collaboratively and beyond their industry to deliver large scale change. • With the much-anticipated sports events that were postponed in 2020 giving TV a boost this year, the many brands who will be seeking to target sports fans in specific timeframes may create a counterprogramming scenario. Potentially reduced ratecards for targets outside of this group will offer many other brands new opportunities for reach at scale. Ad Spend June 2021 20.
  • 21. • Continuing digitisation across OTT platforms, Digital Print and Audio services this year also present brands with opportunities to devise new engagement strategies, delivery options, and the chance to create a broader range of content formats that will ultimately create a richer brand experience for consumers. • The continued rise of e-commerce has successfully converted previously reluctant targets and become the go- to method of purchase for products traditionally thought of as in-store only. It has also created a different playing field for brands, who must now ensure that they communicate not only the strength of their products and services, but also the strength of their online experience and customer service in order to leverage earned media coverage to its full potential. • As consumer behaviour continues to skew towards digital modalities, brands can also leverage the return to public events in some markets to bring people who remain in a heightened stage of the pandemic closer to the action. Innovative creative solutions such as immersive, virtual worlds are increasingly being used to drive brand engagement and conversation in this context. • Personalised offers and messaging delivered to increasingly tailored customer segments are more important than ever as digital continues to grow. Ensuring that audience profiles are sufficiently nuanced and adapted to pandemic- context behaviours will help to achieve more convenient and useful shopping experiences, wherever the consumer might be. Ad Spend June 2021 21.
  • 22. Assumptions and methodology These forecasts should be read in the context of significant ongoing uncertainty related to the global pandemic and government measures to contain it. As the global vaccination programme is rolled out dentsu will be closely monitoring market ad spend to ensure our figures remain an accurate reflection of the sector. Advertising expenditure forecasts are compiled from data collated from dentsu’s brands and based on our local market expertise until the second half of June 2021. We use a bottom-up approach, with forecasts provided for 59 markets covering the Americas, EMEA, Asia Pacific and Rest of World by medium: Linear Television, Newspapers, Magazines, Radio, Cinema, Out-of-Home and Digital Media. The advertising spend figures are provided net of negotiated discounts and with agency commission deducted, in current prices and in local currency. For global and regional figures, we convert the figures centrally into USD at the May 2021 average exchange rate. The forecasts are produced bi-annually with actual figures for the previous year and latest forecasts for the current and following year all restated at constant exchange rates. References i. The World Bank, 'GDP Growth', April 2021. ii. QuestMobile, ‘Spring Report on China Mobile Internet', March 2021. iii. The Drum, ‘Cinema advertising post-pandemic: what does the future hold for the silver screen?’, April 2021. iv. WARC, ‘Media owner profile: Global sets out its plans to combine audio and OOH media’, Jan 2020. Ad Spend June 2021 22.
  • 23. dentsu Ad Spend, June 2021 23. About dentsu international Part of dentsu, dentsu international is made up of six leadership brands - Carat, dentsu X, iProspect, Isobar, dentsumcgarrybowen, Merkle and supported by its specialist brands. Dentsu International helps clients to win, keep and grow their best customers and achieve meaningful progress for their businesses. With best-in-class services and solutions in media, CXM, and creative, dentsu international operates in over 145 markets worldwide with more than 45,000 dedicated specialists. www.dentsu.com For further information about this report please contact: DATA INQUIRIES: Lin Liu Research Manager Lin.Liu@dentsu.com MEDIA INQUIRIES: Fiona Magill Senior PR Consultant Fiona.Magill@dentsu.com