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Buku Prediksi Togel Sydney Malam ini 4d 100 perak MAGNUMTOGEL
Solar resource measurements and sattelite data
1. Solar Resource Measurements
and Satellite Data
4th Sfera Summer School 2013
Hornberg Castle, Germany
Dr. Norbert Geuder
CSP Services – Almería – Cologne
2. Outline
1) Introduction
2) Fundamentals on Solar Irradiation
3) Variability of Irradiation
4) Irradiation Sensors
5) Sensor calibration and measurement accuracy enhancement
6) Satellite Based Assessment
7) Outlook / Summary
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3. General Procedure at Solar Resource Assessment
Irradiation map: spatial distribution
Geographical data: land use, etc.
+
GIS analysis
Selection of promising sites
Meteorological Station:
Accurate irradiation data
Long-term time series
(>10 years)
Plant design, inter-annual variability, uncertainty analysis, financing, …
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4. Solar Resource Assessment for CSP Plants
• Direct Beam Irradiation data required for CSP Applications
not global irradiation – this is quite a difference!
• Usually not available in suitable sunny regions in the world
• Accessible via measurements or derived from satellite data
Restrictions:
– Measurements: expensive, long duration, not for the past
– Satellite data:
high uncertainty (≈ 10 % or more)
• High accuracy required for DNI with long-term performance
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5. Impact of Solar Resource Uncertainty
on CSP Plant rentability
DNI
uncertainty
expected long-term value (100%)
(e.g. ±10 %)
Annual DNI
Electricity
production
Earnings
Losses
Annual
expenses
(redemption,
O&M, …)
Irradiation uncertainty decides over project realization !
With thoroughly performed measurements an accuracy of approximately 2 % is achievable.
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7. Solar Constant
1367 W/m²
Calculation:
L
W
1367 2
4r 2
m
Luminosity of the sun: L = 3.86 x 1026 W
Astronomical unit:
r = 149.60×109 m
Annual Variation of Solar Constant
1420
Irradiance Outside Atmosphere (W/m²)
Mean solar irradiance (flux density
in W/m²) at normal incidence
outside the atmosphere
at the mean sun-earth distance r.
1410
1400
1390
1380
1370
1360
1350
1340
1330
1320
0
90
180
270
360
Day of Year
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8. Path of Solar Radiation through the atmosphere
Radiation at the top of atmosphere
Ozone.……….…....
Absorption (ca. 1%)
Air molecules..……
Rayleigh scattering and absorption (ca. 15%)
Aerosol…….………..…...……
Scatter and Absorption ( ca. 15%, max. 100%)
Clouds………….………..
Reflection, Scatter, Absorption (max. 100%)
Water Vapor…….……...………
Direct normal irradiance at ground
Absorption (ca. 15%)
Source: DLR
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9. Radiative Transfer in the Atmosphere
1400
Extraterrestrial
O2 and CO2
1000
Ozone
800
Rayleigh
600
Water Vapor
400
Aerosol
200
Clouds
Hour of Day
00:00
22:00
20:00
18:00
16:00
14:00
12:00
10:00
08:00
06:00
04:00
02:00
0
00:00
Direct Normal Irradiation
(W/m²)
1200
Source: DLR
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10. Air Mass
AM = 0 (outside of atmosphere)
Source: DLR
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11. Solar Spectrum and Atmospheric Influence
1 Planck curve T=5780 K at mean sunearth distance
2 extraterrestrial solar spectrum
3 absorption by 03
4 scattering by 02 und N2
5 scattering by aerosols
6 absorption by H2O vapor
7 absorption by aerosols
UV radiation:
0.01 - 0.39 µm, ~ 7 %
Visible Spectrum: 0.39 – 0.75 µm, ~ 46 %
Near infrared:
0.75 – 2.5 µm, ~ 47 %
www.volker-quaschning.de/articles/fundamentals1/index.php
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12. Characteristics of solar irradiation data
•
Component:
– DNI (Direct-Normal Irradiation)
– DHI (Diffus-Horizontal Irradiation)
– GHI (Global-Horizontal Irradiation)
•
Source:
– ground measurements:
• precise thermal sensors (thermopiles)
• Rotating Shadowband Irradiometers (RSI)
– satellite data
•
Properties of irradiation:
– spatial variability
– inter-annual variability
– long-term drifts
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13. Direct, Diffuse and Global Irradiance
When measuring solar irradiance, the
following components are of particular
interest:
Zenith angle θ,
solar elevation
Direct normal irradiance (DNI)
(also: beam irradiance)
Diffuse horizontal irradiance (DHI)
(also: diffuse sky radiation)
Global horizontal irradiance (GHI)
(also: total solar irradiance)
GHI = DHI + DNI * sin ()
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14. Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI)
DNI = BHI / sin
with: BHI = Beam Horizontal Irradiation
direct
Example:
BHI = 600W/m²
= 50°
DNI = 848W/m²
DNI > BHI
Direct-Normal- Irradiation (DNI)
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17. Long-term variability of solar irradiance
GHI from Potsdam, Germany
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18. Long-term variability of solar irradiance
Source: DLR
7 to 10 years of measurement to get long-term mean within 5%
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21. Absolute Cavity Radiometer
Principle of Measurements:
-
-
Possibility to measure absolute irradiance
values. All other irradiance measurement
devices need to be calibrated using an absolute
cavity radiometer
Its principle of operation is based on the
substitution of radiative power by electrical
(heating) power
-
Measurement in intervals with minimal length
of 45 s. Constant irradiation required for
measurement campain
-
Tracking device required
-
No continuous measurement (!)
ftp.pmodwrc.ch/pub/pmo6-cc/user_guide_11.pdf
Valid for calibration purposes
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22. Suitable equipment for irradiance measurements for
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)
Thermal sensors
Semiconductor sensor
Rotating Shadowband Irradiometer,
RSI
(photodiode)
Pyranometer,
pyrheliometer
(thermopiles)
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23. Thermopile Sensors
Shading assembly with shading ball
CMP21 Pyranometer (GHI, DHI shaded)
with ventilation unit CVF3
CHP1 Pyrheliometer (DNI)
Sun sensor
Solys 2 sun tracker
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24. Thermopile Sensors – Pyrheliometer
Principle of Measurement:
-
Pyrheliometer = radiometer suitable to
measure direct normal irradiance
-
Highly transparent window 97 – 98 %
transmission of solar radiation
-
Housing geomerty with 200 mm absorber tube
restricting acceptance angle to 5°
-
Sensing element with black coating and
built-in termopile device
-
www.kippzonen.com/?product/18172/CHP+1.aspx
Pt-100 temperature sensor for temperature
corrections
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26. Thermopile Sensors – Pyranometer
Principle of Measurements:
-
Pyrheliometer = radiometer suitable to
measure short-wave (0.2 - 4 µm)
global or diffuse radiation
-
Highly transparent glass dome 97 – 98 %
transmission of solar radiation
-
Full view on 2π hemisphere
(horizontal levelling required)
-
Sensing element with black coating and
built-in termopile
-
www.kippzonen.com/?product/18172/CHP+1.aspx
Pt-100 temperature sensor for temperature
corrections
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29. RSI – Principle of Measurement
Simplified sensor signal during shadow band rotation:
once per minute, rotation lasts about 1.5 seconds
Source: Solar Millennium AG
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30. Licor Li-200 Pyranometer Sensor
Specifications:
Sensitivity:
Typically 90 µA per 1000 W/m²
Response time: 10 µs.
Spectral range: 0.4 – 1.1 µm
Calibration:
Calibrated against an Eppley Precision
Spectral Pyranometer under natural
daylight conditions.
Typical error under these conditions is
±3% up to ±5%.
www.licor.com/env/Products/Sensors/200/li200_description.jsp
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31. Precise thermal sensors:
Pyrheliometer and Pyranometer on sun tracker
Advantages:
+ high accuracy (1 to 2%)
-GHI
-DNI
-DHI
+ separate sensors for
GHI, DNI and DHI
(cross-check through redundancy)
Disadvantages:
- high acquisition costs
- high maintenance costs
- high susceptibility for soiling
- high power demand
(grid connection required)
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32. Sensor with photo diode:
Rotating Shadowband Irradiometer, RSI
Advantages:
+ fair acquisition costs
+ low maintenance
+ low susceptibility for soiling
+ low power demand (PV-Panel)
Disadvantage:
- reduced accuracy due to systematic
deviations of the photodiode sensor
response:
primordial DNI: ≈ 6 to 10 %
(or even higher)
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33. Measurement uncertainty
Precise instruments (HP) versus RSI
Error source:
Pyrheliometer:
RSI:
Calibration
< ±1.1%
±3% (... ±5%)
Temperature
< ±0.5%
0% ... ±5%
Linearity
< ±0.2%
±1%
Stability
< ±0.5%/a
< ±2%/a
Spectral dependence
<±0.1%
Sensor soiling
-0.7% per day
0% ... ±8%
-0.07% per day
systematic errors
can be corrected!!
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34. Choice of Measurement Equipment
Which equipment is suitable for measurements in Solar Resource Assessment?
?
High Precision sensors (thermopiles)
Rotating Shadowband Irradiometer:
RSI
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35. Objectives for Irradiance Measurements
Solar Resource Assessment
Power Plant Monitoring
•
at remote site
•
no qualified staff
•
always qualified staff on site
•
no electric grid
•
electric power available
•
often dusty and arid areas
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36. Pyrheliometer soiling in southern Spain
Plataforma Solar de Almería
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37. Comparison of sensor soiling
University of Almería
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38. Soiling characteristics of pyrheliometers and RSI‘s
Solar
Irradiation
direct
sunlight
glass plate
tube with
200 mm
length
diffusor disk
over
photodiode
absorber
Pyrheliometer
RSI
sensor head
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39. Choice of the adequate equipment
For Solar Resource Assessment
• at remote sites and
• daily maintenance not feasible
an RSI is the premium choice for DNI measurements.
However:
• Proper calibration
• Corrections of systematic signal response
• regular maintenance inspections (2 to 4 weeks)
are indispensable for reliable measurements.
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41. Sensor Calibration – Fundamentals I
- The World Standard Group
(WSG) is an assembly of highly
precise absolute cavity
radiometers.
www.pmodwrc.ch/pmod.php?topic=wrc
- The measured mean value
(World Radiometric Reference)
is the measurement standard
representing the SI unit of
irradiance with an estimated
accuracy of 0.3 %.
- All other short wave irradiation
measurement systems are
calibrated against this single
value.
Precision measurement at the
WorldRadiation Center (WRC)
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42. RSI sensor calibration by DLR on PSA
2-monthly calibration of each RSI against
high-precision instruments
at Plataforma Solar de Almería (PSA)
(recommended every 2 years)
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43. RSI sensor calibration duration
Variations of the Calibration Constant with calibration duration
DNI
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44. Variability of the Correction Factors (CF)
Variability of
correction factors
(CF):
radiation components
need to be corrected
with separate CFs.
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45. Recalibration of RSIs
Drift of Calibration Factor within 2 to 4 years
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46. Correction of raw RSI measurement values
Origin of systematic errors of RSI response
• Temperature dependence of semiconductor sensor
• Spectrally varying irradiation
– different for irradiation components (direct beam / diffuse)
– depending on Air Mass
• Angle of incidence
• Pre-calibration of the sensor head (from the manufacturer)
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47. Spectral correction of diffuse irradiation
raw values
variation with
air mass + altitude
corrected
Π spec
DNI GHI
DHI 2
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48. Dependence of response on solar elevation
BHIref / BHIRSI
so called „cat-ear effect“
solar elevation angle in degree
Correction applied only on direct beam portion of the global response
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49. BHIref / BHIRSI
Dependence of response on solar elevation
corrected
solar elevation angle in degree
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50. Reachable accuracy for DNI with RSIs
Accuracy of RSI
measurements
as derived from a comparison
of the data from 23 RSIs
RMSD = 13 W/m²
with precise thermopile
measurements
within the course
of a whole year
GHI
DHI
DNI
raw
cor
raw
cor
raw
cor
reference
(CHP 1)
average MB
-10.3 ± 4.0
0.3 ± 1.3
-17.3 ± 1.6
-0.4 ± 0.7
24.6 ± 10.5
1.0 ± 0.5
1.0 ± 3.9
W/m²
RMSD
14.2
7.6
18.9
4.5
33.3
13.0
5.3
W/m²
Annual sum
up to -2.5
< ±1
up to -15
< ±3.5
up to +7
< ±1
up to 1.3
%
RSP
unit
10 min time resolution
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51. Transferability of the results?
The reachable accuracy of the measured beam irradiance data
for the client at his prospected sites depends on 2 crucial points:
• Stability of the sensor sensitivity
• Transferability of the results to other sites
• Regular inspections and data controlling
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52. Transferability to other sites and climates
Parallel measurement campaigns
in UAE:
• Comparision of 6 RSIs to high-precision
thermal sensors
• Measurement periods >3 weeks
• in summer and winter
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53. Relative deviation of DNI sum within measurement
campaign
only summer:
DNI < 730 W/m²
summer + winter:
DNI until 1000 W/m²
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55. Satellite Derived Data
www.solemi.de/method.html
Principle of Measurements:
Analyze satellite data in two steps:
1. Atmosphere: Gather satellite information of
atmospheric composition (ozone, water vapor
and aerosols) and apply the ‘clear sky model’ to
calculate the fractions of direct and diffuse
irradiance
1400
O2 and CO2
1000
Ozone
800
Rayleigh
600
Water Vapor
400
Aerosol
200
Clouds
00:00
22:00
20:00
18:00
16:00
14:00
12:00
10:00
08:00
06:00
04:00
02:00
0
00:00
Direct Normal Irradiation
(W/m²)
2. Clouds: Calculate the cloud index as the
difference between actual reflectivity of the
earth as it is seen by the satellite and a
reference image which only includes
reflectance of the ground
Extraterrestrial
1200
Hour of Day
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56. How to derive irradiance data from satellites
The Meteosat satellite is
located in a
geostationary orbit
The satellite scans the
earth line by line every
half hour
Scan
Source: DLR
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57. How to derive irradiance data from satellites
Scan in visible spectrum
Derivation of a
cloud index
from the two
channels
Scan in infra-red spectrum
Source: DLR
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58. Different Cloud Transmission for GHI and DNI
Global Irradiation
Direct Irradiation
Sun-satellite angle 60-80
1.2
1.2
-26 °C
-16 °C
-6 °C
4 °C
14 °C
-30°C - -20°C
-20°C - -10°C
-10 °C - 0°C
0°C - 10 °C
>10°C
1
cloud transmission
1
0.8
0.8
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.2
0
Different exponential
functions for varying
viewing angles and
brightness
temperatures
0
-0.2
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
cloud index
0.8
1
1.2
-0.2
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Source: DLR
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59. Clear sky Model input data
Aerosol optical thickness
GACP Resolution 4°x5°, monthly data
MATCH Resolution 1.9°x1.9°, daily data
Water Vapor:
NCAR/NCEP Reanalysis
Resolution 1.125°x1.125°, daily values
Ozone:
TOMS sensor
Resolution 1.25°x1.25°, monthly values
Source: DLR
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60. Uncertainty in Aerosols
GADS
Toms
GOCART
NASA GISS v1 / GACP
All graphs are for
July
Scales are the same!
(0 – 1.5)
Large differences in
Aerosol values and
distribution
NASA GISS v2 1990
AeroCom
Linke Turbidity
Source: DLR
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61. Comparing ground and satellite data:
“sensor size”
solar thermal
power plant
(200MW 2x2
km²
satellite pixel
( 3x4 km²)
ground
measurement
instrument
(2x2 cm²)
Source: DLR
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62. Comparing ground and satellite data:
accuracy
general difficulties:
• point versus area
• time integrated versus
area integrated
1200
ground
1000
satellite
W/m²
800
600
400
200
0
0
6
12
hour of day
18
24
Source: DLR
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63. Comparing ground and satellite data:
time scales
12:45
13:00
13:15
Hourly average
13:30
13:45
Meteosat image
14:00
14:15
Measurement
Ground measurements are typically
pin point measurements which are
temporally integrated
Hi-res satellite pixel in Europe
Satellite measurements are
instantaneous spatial averages
Hourly values are calculated from
temporal and spatial averaging
(cloud movement)
Source: DLR
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64. Results of the satellite-based solar assessment
Digital maps: e.g. annual sum of direct normal irradiation
in 2002 in the Mediterranean Region
The original digital maps can
be navigated and zoomed with
Geographical Informations
Systems like ArcView or Idrisi.
data produced by
(DLR, 2004) for MED-CSP
Temporal resolution of input data: 1 hour
Spatial resolution of digital map: 1 km x 1 km per Pixel
Long term analysis: up to 20 years of data
Source: DLR
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65. Results of the satellite-based solar assessment
Time series: for single sites, e.g. hourly, monthly or annual
Hourly DNI [Wh/m²] for one site in Spain
Annual sums of DNI [kWh/m²] for one site in Spain
Monthly sums of DNI [kWh/m²] for one site in Spain
Hourly monthly mean of DNI in Wh/m², Solar Village 2000
hour
Source: DLR
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66. Satellite data and nearest neighbour
stations
Satellite derived
data fit better
to a selected
site than
ground
measurements
from a site
farther than
25 km away.
Source: DLR
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67. Ground measurements vs. satellite derived data
Ground measurements
Satellite data
Advantages
Advantages
+ high accuracy
(depending on sensors)
+ high time resolution
+ spatial resolution
+ long-term data
(more than 20 years)
+ effectively no failures
+ no soiling
+ no ground site necessary
+ low costs
Disadvantages
- high costs for installation and O&M
Disadvantages
- soiling of the sensors
- lower time resolution
- possible sensor failures
- low accuracy at high time resolution
- no possibility to gain data of the past
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68. Combining Ground and Satellite Assessments
• Satellite data
– Long-term average
– Year to year variability
– Regional assessment
• Ground data
– High Precision (if measurements taken thoroughly)
– High temporal resolution possible
(up to 1 min to model transient effects)
– Good distribution function
– Site specific
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69. Procedure for Matching Ground and Satellite Data
Ground
measurements
Recalculation
Separation of clear sky
and cloud conditions
clear sky correction
Comparison
with alternative cloud
transmission tables
Recalculation
Selection
with alternative
atmospheric input
Selection
of best atmospheric input
of best cloud
transmission table
cloud correction
Satellite
assessment
Transfer MSG to MFG
Recalculation of
long term time series
Best fit
satellite data
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70. What you should care for in good
Solar Resource Assessment
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71. Procedure to Follow for Proper Solar Resource
Assessment
•
Find a good location: close to site, safe, suitable for collocation of Weather
Station
•
Clarify the ground property conditions
•
Check/define the budget for:
instrumentation, maintenance and measurement related services
•
Select the appropriate measurement equipment and provider
(based on budget considerations, local conditions on site and maintenance
possibilities)
•
Find local maintenance personnel
•
Prepare the measurement site according to the supplier’s specifications
(foundations, fencing, etc.)
•
Installation and commissioning of the measurement equipment
•
Steady monitoring of the measurement data,
duration minimum 1 year
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72. Procedure to Follow for Proper Solar Resource
Assessment
•
Documenting the selection of instruments
•
Choosing a renowned company or institution to conduct or assist the
measurement campaign
•
Documenting sensor calibration with proper calibration certificates
•
Meticolously documenting the instrument installation and alignment
•
Performing and documenting regular sensor cleaning, maintenance and
verification of alignment
•
Cautiously and continuously checking data for errors and outliers
•
Flagging suspect data, and applying corrections if possible, during and after
the measurement campaign
•
Stating and justifying the uncertainty estimate in a detailed report after the
measurement campaign.
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73. Usual Expert Service for Solar Resource Assessment
Expert office
On site
Daily data retrieval via
modem (GSM/GPRS)
Data collection and processing:
•
•
Installation & commissioning
Operational supervision and
control
Equipment monitoring
with inspection visits on site
Client
quality and functionality check
•
Delivery of hardware
accuracy enhancement
(correction)
graphical visualization
Daily, monthly,
annual report with
good quality data
to client (via e-mail)
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74. Quality Control of Measurement Data
Are values physically possible ?
Measurement values must met
physical limits
Are they reasonable?
e.g. comparison to a clear sky
model (Bird) or in kd-kt-space
Are they consistent?
Comparison of redundant
information
Visual inspection by an expert
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75. Summary
• Knowledge of accurate irradiation data is indispensable for CSP
projects
(→ proper plant design, financial calculation, efficient plant operation)
•
site selection, pre‐feasibility with satellite data
•
colocation of a measurement station, taking care on thorough operation
•
match long‐term satellite data with good quality measurement data from ground
•
monitor the operating plant efficiency thoroughly with high‐precision data
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