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MBA290:
 ADVANCED
 STRATEGIC
MANAGEMENT
 Professor Stanley Han
College of Business Administration
                   hans@csus.edu


                                     1
Course Overview: Objectives
   To acquire familiarity with the principal concepts,
    frameworks and techniques of strategic management.
   To gain expertise in applying these concepts,
    frameworks and techniques in order to
    -   understand the reasons for good or bad
    performance by an enterprise,
    -   generate strategy options for an enterprise,
    -   assess available options under conditions of
    imperfect knowledge,
    -   select the most appropriate strategy,
    -   recommend the best means of implementing the
        chosen strategy.
                                                    2
Course Overview: Objectives (cont’d)

   To integrate the knowledge gained in previous
    courses.
   To develop your capacity as a general manager in
    terms of
    -   an appreciation of the work of the general
    manager,
    -   the ability to view business problems from a
    general management perspective,
    -   the ability to develop original and innovative
    approaches to strategic problems,
    -   developing business judgment.
                                                         3
THE CONCEPT OF
     THE CONCEPT OF
      STRATEGY
      STRATEGY

The Concept of Strategy and the Pursuit of
     Sustainable Above-Normal Profits
Domain of Strategy
         Domain of Strategy
• strategic competitiveness and above normal returns
• concerns managerial decisions and actions which
  materially affect the success and survival of business
  enterprises
• involves the judgment necessary to strategically
  position a business and its resources so as to
  maximize long-term profits in the face of irreducible
  uncertainty and aggressive competition
• strategy is the linkage between a business and its
  current and future environment
Definition
                Definition
• The determination of the long run goals
  and objectives of an enterprise, the
  adoption of courses of action and the
  allocation of resources necessary for
  carrying out these goals


 Alfred Chandler, Strategy and Structure
Levels of Strategy

CORPORATE                       CORPORATE
STRATEGY                        HEAD OFFICE




BUSINESS
STRATEGY           Division A                 Division B




                         R&D                        R&D
FUNCTIONAL               Personnel                  Personnel
STRATEGIES
                         Finance                    Finance
                         Production                 Production
                         Marketing/Sales            Marketing/Sales
Levels of Strategy
          Levels of Strategy
• Corporate strategy... defines the scope of the
  business in terms of the industries and markets in
  which it competes.
   • includes decisions about diversification, vertical
     integration, acquisitions, new ventures,
     divestments, allocation of scarce resources
     between business units
• Business strategy... is concerned with how the firm
  competes within a particular industry or market... to
  win a business unit must adopt a strategy that
  establishes a competitive advantage over its rivals.
• Functional strategy... the detailed deployment of
  resources at the operational level
Common Elements in Successful Strategy
Common Elements in Successful Strategy




                          Successful
                           Strategy


                    EFFECTIVE IMPLEMENTATION


                          Profound             Objective
Long-term, simple
                          understanding of     appraisal of
and agreed upon
                          the competitive      resources
objectives
                          environment


                                                  $
Strategy as a Quest for Profit
         Strategy as a Quest for Profit
•   The stakeholder approach : The firm is a coalition of interest groups
    —it seeks to balance their different objectives

 The shareholder approach : The firm exists to maximize the wealth of
    its owners (= max. present value of profits over the life of the firm)


For the purposes of strategy analysis we assume that the primary goal
    of the firm is profit maximization.
Rationale:
1) Boards of directors legally obliged to pursue shareholder interest
2) To replace assets firm must earn return on capital > cost of capital
     (difficult when competition strong).
3) Firms that do not max. stock-market value will be acquired

 Hence: Strategy analysis is concerned with identifying and accessing
the sources of profit available to the firm
From Profit Maximization to Value Maximization
From Profit Maximization to Value Maximization

 • Profit maximization an ambiguous goal
    –   Total profit vs. Rate of profit
    –   Over what time period?
    –   What measure of profit?
    –   Accounting profit versus economic profit (e.g. Economic
        Value Added: Post-tax operating profit less cost of capital



  Maximizing the value of the firm:

  Max. net present value of free cash flows: max. V = Σ t          Ct
                                                                 (1 + r)t
                Where:   V    market value of the firm.
                         Ct   free cash flow in time t
                         r    weighted average cost of capital
The World’s Most Valuable Companies:
           The World’s Most Valuable Companies:
     Performance Under Different Profitability Measures
     Performance Under Different Profitability Measures

 COMPANY            MARKET      NET    RETURN   RETURN   RETURN   RETURN
                      CAP.    INCOME     ON       ON       ON        TO
                     ($BN.)    ($BN)    SALES   EQUITY   ASSETS    SHARE-
                                         (%)      (%)      (%)    HOLDERS
                                                                     (%)

Exxon Mobil           372      36.1     19.9     34.9     17.8      11.7
General Electric      363      16.4     10.7     22.2     14.7      (1.5)
Microsoft             281      12.3     40.3     30.0     18.8      (0.9)
Citigroup             239      24.6     22.0     21.9      1.5      4.6
BP                    233      22.3      9.9     27.9     10.7      10.2
Bank of America       212      16.5     27.0     14.1      1.2      2.4
Royal Dutch Shell     211      25.3     14.7     26.7     11.6      11.8
Wal-Mart              197      11.2      5.5     21.4      8.1     (10.3)
Toyota Motor          197      12.1     10.7     13.0      4.8     (22.1)
Gazprom               196      7.3      28.1     9.8       7.1      n.a.
HSBC                  190      15.9     23.0     16.3      1.0     (11.8)
Procter & Gamble      190      8.7      17.3     13.7      6.4      7.2
Shareholder Value Maximization and Strategy Choice
    Shareholder Value Maximization and Strategy Choice

The Value Maximizing Approach to Strategy Formulation:
•    Identify strategy alternatives
•    Estimate cash flows associated with cash strategy
•    Estimate cost of capital for each strategy
•    Select the strategy which generates the highest NPV

Problems:
•     Estimating cash flows beyond 2-3 years is difficult
•     Value of firm depends on option value as well as DCF value

Implications for strategy analysis:
•     Some simple financial guidelines for value maximization
      a) On existing assets—maximize after-tax rate of return
      b) On new investment—seek rate of return > cost of capital
•     Utilize qualitative strategy analysis to evaluate future profit
      potential
A Comprehensive Value Metrics Framework
           A Comprehensive Value Metrics Framework



 Shareholder              Intrinsic              Financial                Value
   Value                    Value                Indicators               Drivers
Measures:                                                              Sources:
                        Measures:             Measures:
• Market value of the                                                  • Market share
                        • Discounted cash     • Return on Capital
   firm                                                                • Scale economies
                          flows               • Growth (of
•Market value added                                                    • Innovation
                        •Real option values     revenues & operating
 (MVA)                                                                 • Brands
                                                profits
•Return to
                                              •Economic profit (EVA)
  shareholders
Sources of Superior Performance
    Sources of Superior Performance

                            Above Normal
                               Profits
                           (in Excess of the Competitive Level)




               Avoid                                   Be Better Than
             Competitors                                Competition
Attractive    Attractive   Attractive
Industry      Strategic     Niche                    Cost         Differentiation
               Group                               Advantage       Advantage
  Entry        Mobility      Isolating
 Barriers      Barriers     Mechanisms
Sources of Competitive Advantage
   Sources of Competitive Advantage



                                            COST
                                             COST
                               t
                         ro duc           ADVANTAGE
                                          ADVANTAGE
                      rp        t
                 mil
                     a      cos
               Si        er
                  at low
COMPETITIVE
COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE
 ADVANTAGE          Pri
              fro       ce
                  m        pre
                    un         mi
                        iqu      um
                           ep
                               rod       DIFFERENTIATION
                                         DIFFERENTIATION
                                  uc
                                     t      ADVANTAGE
                                            ADVANTAGE
The Experience Curve
                The Experience Curve


                                      The “Law of Experience”
             1992         The unit cost value added to a standard product
                          declines by a constant % (typically 20-30%) each
                                  time cumulative output doubles.
                1994
Cost per
 unit of
output (in             1996
 real $)
                               1998
                                             2000
                                                         2002     2004


                         Cumulative Output
Examples of Experience Curves
                 Examples of Experience Curves



      Japanese clocks & watches, 1962-72                          UK refrigerators, 1957-71




                                                      50 100 200 300
     20K 30K
    1960 Yen




                                                         Price Index
15K




                                          75%
                                                                           70% slope


               100K   200K        500K      1,000K                     5   10                   50
                        Accumulated unit production                        Accumulated units
                                (millions)                                           (millions)
Drivers of Cost Advantage
      Drivers of Cost Advantage

   ECONOMIES OF SCALE                • Indivisiblities
                          • Specialization and division of labor

ECONOMIES OF LEARNING            • Increased dexterity
                          • Improved organizational routines

                                  • Process innovation
PRODUCTION TECHNIQUES      • Reengineering business processes

      PRODUCT DESIGN      • Standardizing designs & components
                                 • Design for manufacture

                              • Location advantages
          INPUT COSTS     • Ownership of low-cost inputs
                                 • Non-union labor
                                • Bargaining power

   CAPACITY UTILIZATION   • Ratio of fixed to variable costs
                          • Speed of capacity adjustment

   RESIDUAL EFFICIENCY    • Organizational slack; Motivation &
                              culture; Managerial efficiency
Economies of Scale: The Long-Run
 Economies of Scale: The Long-Run
      Cost Curve for a Plant
       Cost Curve for a Plant


                          Sources of scale economies:
                      - technical input/output relationships
                                - indivisibilities
                                 - specialization

Cost per
 unit of
 output



                  Minimum            Units of output
               Efficient Plant        per period
               Size: the point
              where most scale
               economies are
                 exhausted
Scale Economies in Advertising: U.S. Soft Drinks
  Scale Economies in Advertising: U.S. Soft Drinks

Despite the massive advertising budgets of brand leaders Coke and Pepsi, their main
   brands incur lower advertising costs per unit of sales than their smaller rivals.
                                       0.20
      Advertising Expenditure ($ per case)




                                                   Schweppes
                                                       SF Dr. Pepper
                              0.15




                                                                    Tab
                                                      Diet 7-Up     Diet Pepsi
                                                         Diet Rite
                      0.10




                                                                 Fresca
                                                                                               Seven Up
             0.05




                                                                            Sprite         Dr. Pepper
                                                                                                          Pepsi
                                                                                                                  Coke
     0.02




                                              10          20           50            100         200        500     1,000
                                                                  Annual sales volume (millions of cases)
Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis:
             Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis:
               The Case of Automobile Manufacture
               The Case of Automobile Manufacture


             STAGE 1. IDENTIFY THE PRINCIPLE ACTIVITIES




                    R&D                      TESTING,   GOODS    SALES DISTRI- DEALER &
         PARTS
PURCH-             DESIGN COMPONENT ASSEMBLY QUALITY    INVEN-     &
         INVEN-                                                        BUTION CUSTOMER
 ASING            ENGNRNG    MFR             CONTROL    TORIES   MKITG         SUPPORT
         TORIES




                     STAGE 2. ALLOCATE TOTAL COSTS
Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case
         Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case
               of Automobile Manufacture (continued)
               of Automobile Manufacture (continued)

                         --Plant scale for each         -- Level of quality targets    -- No. of dealers
STAGE 3.                        component               -- Frequency of defects        -- Sales / dealer
IDENTIFY                 -- Process technology                                         -- Level of dealer
                         -- Plant location                                                    support
COST                     -- Run length                                                 -- Frequency of defects
DRIVERS                  -- Capacity utilization                                              under warranty




            PARTS       R&D   COMPONENT ASSEMBLY TESTING,                 GOODS
PURCH-                                                                             SALES
            INVEN-     DESIGN                    QUALITY                  INVEN-              DISTRI- DEALER &
ASING                            MFR                                                 &
            TORIES    ENGNRNG                    CONTROL                  TORIES              BUTION CUSTOMER
                                                                                   MKITG              SUPPORT


Prices paid          --Size of commitment       -- Plant scale                 --Cyclicality &
depend on:           --Productivity of          -- Flexibility of production     predictability of sales
-- Order size          R&D/design               -- No. of models per plant     --Customers’
--Purchases per      --No. & frequency of new   -- Degree of automation          willingness to wait
   supplier            models                   -- Sales / model
-- Bargaining power                             -- Wage levels
-- Supplier location                            -- Capacity utilization
Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case
         Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case
               of Automobile Manufacture (continued)
                of Automobile Manufacture (continued)
 STAGE 4. IDENTIFY LINKAGES


                                            Designing different models around
 Consolidation of orders to increase       common components and platforms
  discounts, increases inventories            reduces manufacturing costs



PRCHSNG        PARTS           R&D         COMPONENT       ASSEM-      TESTING GOODS         SALES DSTRBTN DLR
               INVNTRS         DESIGN          MFR          BLY        QUALITY  INV          MKTG         CTMR




                  Higher quality parts and materials                            Higher quality in manufacturing
                      reduces costs of defects                                     reduces warranty costs
                           at later stages


STAGE 5. RECCOMENDATIONS FOR COST REDUCTION
The Nature of Differentiation
                The Nature of Differentiation

  DEFINITION: “Providing something unique that is valuable to the
      buyer beyond simply offering a low price.” (M. Porter)
            THE KEY IS TO CREATE VALUE FOR THE CUSTOMER


  TANGIBLE DIFFERENTATION                           INTANGIBLE
Observable product characteristics:              DIFFERENTATION
   • size, color, materials, etc.           Unobservable and subjective
           • performance                    characteristics that appeal to
             • packaging                      customer’s image, status,
    • complementary services              identity, and desire for exclusivity


                      TOTAL CUSTOMER RESPONSIVENESS
      Differentiation not just about the product, it embraces the whole
             relationship between the supplier and the customer.
Identifying Differentiation Potential:
            Identifying Differentiation Potential:
                      The Demand Side
                      The Demand Side

THE PRODUCT        What needs             What are key
                  does it satisfy?         attributes?           FORMULATE
                                                              DIFFERENTIATION
                                        Relate patterns of        STRATEGY
                                            customer
                                         preferences to          • Select product
                      By what
                                        product attributes    positioning in relation
                  criteria do they
                                                               to product attributes
                      choose?
   THE                                                            • Select target
CUSTOMER                                  What price
                                                                 customer group
                                         premiums do
                                       product attributes     • Ensure customer /
                                          command?            product compatibility
                    What                    What are          • Evaluate costs and
                  motivates              demographic,              benefits of
                   them?                  sociological,          differentiation
                                         psychological
                                     correlates of customer
                                           behavior?
Using the Value Chain to Identify
            Using the Value Chain to Identify
      Differentiation Potential on the Supply Side
      Differentiation Potential on the Supply Side
     MIS that supports            Training to support                Unique product features.
      fast response                customer service                     Fast new product
        capabilities                  excellence                          development



 FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE
 HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
 TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT


 INBOUND        OPERATIONS        OUTBOUND          MARKETING         SERVICE
 LOGISTICS                        LOGISTICS             & SALES
                                                                                Customer technical
                                                                                support. Consumer
                                                                                credit. Availability of
  Quality of     Defect free    Fast delivery.      Building brand                      spares
components &      products.     Efficient order       reputation
  materials      Wide variety    processing
Identifying Differentiation Opportunities through
                     Identifying Differentiation Opportunities through
                       Linking the Value Chains of the Firm and its
                       Linking the Value Chains of the Firm and its
                               Customers: Can Manufacture
                               Customers: Can Manufacture


                                                                         1
                                                                                                                                                                    5
                                                                             2                                      3                                   4




                                                                                                                                                                         Inventory holding
Supplies of steel




                                       Inventory holding




                                                                                         Inventory holding




                                                                                                                                    technical support
                                                                         Manufacturing
  & aluminum




                                                                                                                                                            Purchasing




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                             Processing
                                                           Engineering




                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Marketing
                                                                                                             Distribution
                          Purchasing




                                                                                                                                                                                                          Canning
                                                                                                                                        Service &
                                                             Design




                                                                                                                            Sales




                                                                                                                              CAN MAKER                                                                              CANNER

                                       1. Distinctive can design can assist canners’ marketing activities.

                    2. High manufacturing tolerances can avoid breakdowns in customer’s canning lines.
                          3. Frequent, reliable delivery can permit canner to adopt JIT can supply.
                        4. Efficient order processing system can reduce customers’ ordering costs.
                    5. Competent technical support can increase canner’s efficiency of plant utilization.
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
 INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
AND POSITIONING
AND POSITIONING

Determining Industry Attractiveness and
   Identifying Strategic Opportunities
Profitability of US Industries (selected industries only)
       Profitability of US Industries (selected industries only)
                         Median return on equity (%), 1999-2005


Household & Personal Products       22.7    Gas & Electric Utilities       10.4
Pharmaceuticals                     22.3    Food and Drug Stores           10.0
Tobacco                             21.6    Motor Vehicles & Parts          9.8
Food Consumer Products              19.6    Hotels, Casinos, Resorts        9.7
Securities                          18.9    Railroads                       9.0
Diversified financials              18.3    Insurance: Life and Health      8.6
Beverages                           18.8    Packaging & Containers          8.6
Mining & crude oil                  17.8    Insurance: Property & Casualty 8.3
Petroleum Refining                  17.3    Building Materials, Glass       8.3
Medical Products & Equipment        17.2    Metals                          8.0
Commercial Banks             15.5   Food Production                  7.2
Scientific & Photographic Equipt.   15.0    Forest and Paper Products       6.6
Apparel                             14.4    Semiconductors &
Computer Software                   13.9    Electronic Components           5.9
Publishing, Printing                13.5    Telecommunications              4.6
Health Care                         13.1    Communications Equipment        1.2
Electronics, Electrical Equipment   13.0    Entertainment                   0.2
Specialty Retailers                 13.0    Airlines                      (22.0)
Computers, Office Equipment         11.7
The Profitability of Global Industries: Return on Invested Capital, 1963-2003
                                    Utilities                  6.2

                         Telecom services                      6.5

                             Transporation                      6.9

                                    Energy                           7.7

                                  Materials                           8.4

                       OVERALL AVERAGE                                 9

                                   Retailing                           9

           Consumer durables and apparel                                   9.5

                              Food retailing                               9.6

                              Capital goods                                 9.9

              Automobiles and components                                    9.9

       Technology hardware and equipment                                    10.3

                Hotels, restaurants, leisure                                10.3

                  Food, beverages, tobacco                                       11

        Healthcare equipmernt and services                                        11.3

                          Semiconductors                                           11.9

                      Commercial services                                             12.8

                                     Media                                                14.7

           Computer software and services                                                    15

          Household and personal products                                                    15.2

                          Pharmaceuticals                                                           18.4

                                                0          5               10             15         20

                                                    Average ROIC 1963-2003 (%)
From Environmental Analysis
              From Environmental Analysis
                  to Industry Analysis
                   to Industry Analysis

The national/                                         The natural
international                                        environment
  economy              THE INDUSTRY
                       ENVIRONMENT
                                                      Demographic
 Technology            • Suppliers                      structure
                       • Competitors
                       • Customers

Government                                             Social structure
 & Politics

•The Industry Environment lies at the core of the Macro Environment.
•The Macro Environment impacts the firm through its effect on the Industry
 Environment.
Drawing Industry Boundaries ::
           Drawing Industry Boundaries
          Identifying the Relevant Market
           Identifying the Relevant Market
•   What industry is BMW in:
    – World Auto industry
    – European Auto industry
    – World luxury car industry?


•   Key criterion: SUBSTITUTABILITY
    – On the demand side : are buyers willing to substitute between
      types of cars and across countries
    – On the supply side : are manufacturers able to switch
      production between types of cars and across countries

•   We may need to analyze industry at different levels of
    aggregation for different types of decision
The Spectrum of Industry Structures
            The Spectrum of Industry Structures

                    Perfect
                                     Oligopoly       Duopoly         Monopoly
                  Competition


Concentration      Many firms        A few firms     Two firms        One firm


Entry and Exit No/Low barriers          Significant barriers        High barriers
  Barriers

    Product       Homogeneous
Differentiation                         Potential for product differentiation
                    Product

                       Perfect
 Information                             Imperfect availability of information
                  Information flow
Porter’s Five Forces of Competition Framework
Porter’s Five Forces of Competition Framework


                        SUPPLIERS
              Bargaining power of suppliers

                         INDUSTRY
                       COMPETITORS

 POTENTIAL Threat of                       Threat of
                                                    SUBSTITUTES
 ENTRANTS
             new        Rivalry among    substitutes
           entrants     existing firms


              Bargaining power of buyers
                         BUYERS
The Structural Determinants of Competition
The Structural Determinants of Competition
                                SUPPLIER POWER
                              • Supplier concentration
                              • Relative bargaining
                                power



THREAT OF ENTRY                INDUSTRY RIVALRY             SUBSTITUTE
•Capital requirements         •Concentration                COMPETITION
•Economies of scale           •Diversity of
•Absolute cost advantage       competitors                  • Buyers’ propensity
                              •Product differentiation        to substitute
•Product differentiation
                                                            • Relative prices &
•Access to distribution       •Excess capacity &
 channels                      exit barriers                  performance of
                                                              substitutes
•Legal/ regulatory barriers   •Cost conditions
•Retaliation


                                  BUYER POWER
                              • Buyers’ price sensitivity
                              • Relative bargaining
                                power
SUPPLIER POWER
                           LOW
                                                             DRUG
                                                             INDUSTRY
                                                             (ROE=22%)
THREAT OF ENTRY
LOW                          INDUSTRY
                             COMPETITIVENESS
•economies of scale          LOW                                THREAT OF
•capital requirements                                          SUBSTITUTES
   for R&D and clinical      •high concentration                     LOW
   trials                    •product differentiation
•product differentiation     •patent protection                  No substitutes.
•control of distribution     •steady demand growth         (Changing as managed care
   channels                  •no cyclical fluctuations        encourages generics.)
•patent protection           of demand



                             BUYER POWER
                                 LOW
                           Physician as buyer:
                            Not price sensitive
                            No bargaining power.
                           (Changing with managed care.)
Applying Five-Forces Analysis
          Applying Five-Forces Analysis

Forecasting Industry Profitability
       • Past profitability a poor indicator of future
         profitability.
       • If we can forecast changes in industry
         structure we can predict likely impact on
         competition and profitability.
Strategies to Improve Industry Profitability
        • What structural variables are depressing profitability
        • Which of these variables can be changed by
          individual or collective strategies?
Neutralizing The Five
          Neutralizing The Five
           Competitive Forces
           Competitive Forces
Force         Method for Neutralizing Force
Entry         Erecting barriers (isolating
              mechanisms) create & exploit economies of
              scale, aggressive deterrence, design in switching
              costs, etc.
Rivalry       Compete on nonprice dimensions:
              cost leadership, differentiation, cooperation, etc.

Substitutes   Improve attractiveness compared to
              substitutes: better service, more features, etc..
              Reduce buyer uniqueness: forward
Buyers        integrate, differentiate product, new customers, etc..
              Reduce supplier uniqueness: backward
Suppliers     integrate, obtain minority position, second source, etc..
The Traditional Model of Industry Life Cycle



                  Fermentation   Shakeout          Maturity   Decline
e ml ov s e a S
   u      l




                                            Time
How Typical is the Life Cycle Pattern?
    How Typical is the Life Cycle Pattern?
• Technology-intensive industries (e.g. pharmaceuticals,
  semiconductors, computers) may retain features of
  emerging industries.
• Other industries (especially those providing basic
  necessities, e.g. food processing, construction, apparel)
  reach maturity, but not decline.
• Industries may experience life cycle regeneration.

       Sales                   Sales           Color
                                        B&W            Portable


                                                              HDTV ?

               1900 50 90 07           1930    50 70     90    07
                MOTORCYCLES                   TV’s

• Life cycle model can help us to anticipate industry
  evolution—but dangerous to assume any common, pre-
  determined pattern of industry development
Evolution of Industry Structure over the Life Cycle
    Evolution of Industry Structure over the Life Cycle

              INTRODUCTION         GROWTH                 MATURITY          DECLINE
DEMAND        Affluent buyers      Increasing            Mass market     Knowledgeable,
                                   penetration           replacement     customers, resi-
                                                         demand          dual segments

TECHNOLOGY    Rapid product        Product and        Incremental        Well-diffused
              innovation           process innovation innovation         technology

PRODUCTS      Wide variety,       Standardization        Commoditiz-      Continued
              rapid design change                        ation            commoditization

MANUFACT-     Short-runs, skill   Capacity shortage, Deskilling           Overcapacity
URING                   intensive           mass-production

TRADE          -----Production shifts from advanced to developing countries-----

COMPETITION   Technology-          Entry & exit          Shakeout &       Price wars,
                                                         consolidation    exit

KSFs          Product innovation   Process techno-     Cost efficiency    Overhead red-
                                   logy. Design for                       uction, ration-
                                                                          alization, low
                                                                          cost sourcing
The Driving Forces of Industry Evolution
          The Driving Forces of Industry Evolution

BASIC CONDITIONS            INDUSTRY STRUCTURE                    COMPETITION

Customers become
more knowledgeable             Customers become
  & experienced                more price conscious
                                                                   Quest for new
                                                                    sources of
                                                                   differentiation
                                 Products become
                                 more standardized

     Diffusion of
                                                                  Price competition
     technology           Production                                  intensifies
                                              Production shifts
                         becomes less
                                                 to low-wage
                              R&D
                                                   countries
                        & skill-intensive

                                   Excess capacity
                                      increases
   Demand growth                                                  Bargaining power
   slows as market                                                 of distributors
saturation approaches          Distribution channels                  increases
                                     consolidate
Changes in the Population of Firms over the
            Changes in the Population of Firms over the
         Industry Life Cycle: US Auto Industry 1885-1961
          Industry Life Cycle: US Auto Industry 1885-1961

          250

          200

          150
                                                                 No. of firms
          100

           50

            0
                1895   1905   1915   1925   1935   1945   1955


rce: S. Klepper, Industrial & Corporate Change, August 2002, p. 654.
Preparing for the Future :: The Role of Scenario
Preparing for the Future The Role of Scenario
   Analysis in Adapting to Industry Change
   Analysis in Adapting to Industry Change

Stages in undertaking multiple Scenario Analysis:
       • Identify major forces driving industry change
       • Predict possible impacts of each force on the industry
         environment
       • Identify interactions between different external forces
       • Among range of outcomes, identify 2-4 most likely/ most
         interesting scenarios: configurations of changes and
         outcomes
       • Consider implications of each scenario for the company
       • Identify key signposts pointing toward the emergence of
         each scenario
       • Prepare contingency plan
Innovation & Renewal over the
               Innovation & Renewal over the
                Industry Life Cycle: Retailing
                 Industry Life Cycle: Retailing
                                      Warehouse
                                        Clubs                   Internet
                                   e.g. Price Club             Retailers
                                      Sam’s Club             e.g. Amazon;
                           Discount                             Expedia
                                                  “Category
                            Stores                 Killers”
                          e.g. K-Mart          e.g. Toys-R-Us,
Mail order,                Wal-Mart
catalogue       Chain                            Home Depot
                                                                       ?
                Stores
 retailing
               e.g. A&P
e.g. Sears
   Roebuck




  1880s           1920s               1960s                        2000
Gary Hamel: Shaking the Foundations
      OLD BRICK                             NEW BRICK
Top management is responsible        Everyone is responsible
     for setting strategy              for setting strategy

Getting better, getting faster        Rule-busting innovation
      is the way to win                  is the way to win

IT creates competitive advantage      Unconventional business concepts
                                        create competitive advantage

Being revolutionary is high risk     More of the same is high risk

We can merge our way to               There’s no correlation between
    competitiveness                      size and competitiveness

Innovation equals new products        Innovation equals entirely new
      and new technology                    business concepts

 Strategy is the easy part,           Strategy is the easy only if you’re
Implementation the hard part               content to be an imitator

Change starts at the top             Change starts with activists


Our real problem is execution         Our real problem is innovation

Big companies can’t innovate          Big companies can become gray-haired
                                                revolutionaries
An Alternate Model of Industry Life Cycle



                  Emergence   Convergence     Coexistence    Dominance




                                                            Established
                                                             Industry
e ml ov s e a S
          l




                              Emerging Industry
   u




                                       Time
The Industry Life Cycle as an S curve

Performance
                        Maturity


                                      Discontinuity
              Takeoff



                        Ferment

                                   Time
The S-curve Maps Major Transitions

                        Maturity

Performance

                                          Discontinuity
              Takeoff



                   Ferment

                                   Time
RESOURCES,
    RESOURCES,
 CAPABILITIES, AND
 CAPABILITIES, AND
CORE COMPETENCES
CORE COMPETENCES
Shifting the Focus of Strategy Analysis:
    Shifting the Focus of Strategy Analysis:
 From the External to the Internal Environment
 From the External to the Internal Environment


  THE FIRM                                  THE
 Goals and                               INDUSTRY
  Values                               ENVIRONMENT
Resources and
 Capabilities        STRATEGY           •Competitors
                      STRATEGY
Structure and                            •Customers
   Systems                                •Suppliers


                 The                The
           Firm-Strategy   Environment-Strategy
              Interface          Interface
Rationale for the Resource-based
     Rationale for the Resource-based
           Approach to Strategy
           Approach to Strategy



• When the external environment is subject to
  rapid change, internal resources and capabilities
  offer a more secure basis for strategy than
  market focus.

• Resources and capabilities are the primary
  sources of profitability.
Canon: Products and Core Technical Capabilities
Canon: Products and Core Technical Capabilities


 Precision                                          Fine
 Mechanics                                         Optics

           35mm SLR camera                  Plain-paper copier
         Compact fashion camera                Color copier
          EOS autofocus camera              Color laser copier
              Digital camera
                                  Basic fax Laser copier
            Video still camera
                                  Laser fax
               Mask aligners                 Inkjet printer
           Excimer laser aligners           Laser printer
            Stepper aligners             Color video printer
                               Calculator
                           Notebook computer

    Micro-
  Electronics
Eastman Kodak’s Dilemma


             Resources & Capabilities             Businesses
             Chemical Imaging                       Film
1980’s           •Organic Chemistry                 Cameras
                 •Polymer technology                Fine Chemicals
                 •Optomechtronics
                                                    Pharmaceuticals
                 •Thin-film coatings
             Brands                                 Diagnostics
             Global Distribution

1990’s   DIVESTS: Eastman Chemical, Sterling Winthrop, Diagnostics

             Need to build digital                 Digital Imaging
             imaging capability                    Products (e.g. Photo CD
                                                   System; Advantix
                                                   cameras & film
The Links between Resources, Capabilities
The Links between Resources, Capabilities
       and Competitive Advantage
        and Competitive Advantage

                                             INDUSTRY KEY
COMPETITIVE                                SUCCESS FACTORS
                      STRATEGY
ADVANTAGE
                ORGANIZATIONAL
                 CAPABILITIES

                      RESOURCES
         TANGIBLE      INTANGIBLE       HUMAN

         •Financial                  •Skills/know-how
                       •Technology   •Capacity for
         •Physical     •Reputation
                                     communication
                       •Culture
                                     & collaboration
                                     •Motivation
Appraising Resources
                        Appraising Resources
RESOURCE                   CHARACTERISTICS                           INDICATORS

             Financial     Borrowing capacity                       Debt/ Equity ratio
                           Internal funds generation                Credit rating
Tangible                                                            Net cash flow
Resources    Physical      Plant and equipment:                     Market value of
                           size, location, technology               fixed assets.
                           flexibility.                             Scale of plants
                           Land and buildings.                      Alternative uses for
                           Raw materials.                           fixed assets

             Technology    Patents, copyrights, know how            No. of patents owned
                           R&D facilities.                          Royalty income
Intangible                 Technical and scientific                 R&D expenditure
Resources                  employees                                R&D staff

             Reputation    Brands. Customer loyalty. Company        Brand equity
                           reputation (with suppliers, customers,   Customer retention
                           government)                              Supplier loyalty

Human                      Training, experience, adaptability,      Employee qualifications,
Resources                  commitment and loyalty of employees      pay rates, turnover.
The World’s Most Valuable Brands, 2006
     The World’s Most Valuable Brands, 2006

Rank Company           Brand     Rank   Company           Brand
                       value                              value
                       ($bn.)                             ($bn.)

1    Coca-Cola         67.5       11    Mercedes Benz     20.0
2    Microsoft         59.9       12    Citi              20.0
3    IBM               53.4       13    Hewlett-Packard   18.9

 4   GE                47.0       14    American Express 18.6
 5   Intel             35.6       15    Gillette         17.5
 6   Nokia             26.5       16    BMW              17.1
 7   Disney            26.4       17    Cisco            16.6
 8   McDonald’s        26.0       18    Louis Vuitton    16.1
 9   Toyota            24.8       19    Honda            15.8
10   Marlboro          21.2       20    Samsung          15.0

http://www.interbrand.com/best_brands_2007.asp    Source: Interbrand
Defining Organizational Capabilities
         Defining Organizational Capabilities


Organizational Capabilities = firm’s capacity for
  undertaking a particular activity. (Grant)

Distinctive Competence = things that an organization
  does particularly well relative to competitors. (Selznick)

Core Competence = capabilities that are fundamental to a
  firm’s strategy and performance. (Hamel and Prahalad)
Identifying Organizational Capabilities:
          Identifying Organizational Capabilities:
                A Functional Classification
                 A Functional Classification
FUNCTION              CAPABILITY                               EXEMPLARS
Corporate             Financial management                     ExxonMobil, GE
Management            Strategic control                        IBM, Samsung
                      Coordinating business units              BP, P&G
                      Managing acquisitions                    Citigroup, Cisco
MIS                   Speed and responsiveness through         Wal-Mart, Dell
                      rapid information transfer               Capital One
R&D                   Research capability                      Merck, IBM
                      Development of innovative new products   Apple, 3M
Manufacturing         Efficient volume manufacturing           Briggs & Stratton
                      Continuous Improvement                   Nucor, Harley-D
                      Flexibility                              Zara, Four Seasons
Design                Design Capability                        Apple, Nokia
Marketing             Brand Management                         P&G, LVMH
                      Quality reputation                       Johnson & Johnson
                      Responsiveness to market trends          MTV, L’Oreal
Sales, Distribution   Sales Responsiveness                     PepsiCo, Pfizer
& Service             Efficiency and speed of distribution     LL Bean, Dell
                      Customer Service                         Singapore Airlines
                                                               Caterpillar
The Value Chain:
                      The Value Chain:
               The McKinsey Business System
               The McKinsey Business System




TECHNOLOGY   PRODUCT DESIGN   MANUFACTURING   MARKETING   DISTRIBUTION   SERVICE
The Porter Value Chain
                 The Porter Value Chain

FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE
                                                           SUPPORT
HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT                                  ACTIVITIES
TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT
PROCUREMENT




INBOUND     OPERATIONS OUTBOUND      MARKETING   SERVICE
LOGISTICS                LOGISTICS   & SALES

                                                           PRIMARY
                                                           ACTIVITIES
The Rent-Earning Potential
               The Rent-Earning Potential
             of Resources and Capabilities
             of Resources and Capabilities

                        THE EXTENT OF THE        Scarcity
                      COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
                           ESTABLISHED          Relevance


                                                  Durability
    THE PROFIT
EARNING POTENTIAL      SUSTAINABILITY OF THE    Transferability
OF A RESOURCE OR           COMPETITIVE
    CAPABILITY              ADVANTAGE            Replicability


                                               Property rights

                                                   Relative
                          APPROPRIABILITY      bargaining power

                                                 Embeddedness
Assessing a Companies Resources
                   Assessing a Companies Resources
                   and Capabilities: The Case of VW
                    and Capabilities: The Case of VW
                      Importan    VW’s                                        VW’s
  RESOURCES              ce      Relative
                                            CAPABILITIES        Importance
                                                                             Relative
                                 Strength                                    Strength
                                            C1. Product
R1. Finance              6          4                               9           4
                                            development

R2. Technology           7          5       C2. Purchasing          7           5

                                            C3. Engineering         7           9
R3. Plant and            8          8
equipment
                                            C4. Manufacturing       8           7
R4. Location             7          4
                                            C5. Financial
                                                                    6           3
                                            management
R5. Distribution         8          5
                                            C6. R&D                 6           4

                                            C7. Marketing &
                                                                    9           4
                                            sales

                                            C8. Government
                                                                    4           8
                                            relations
Appraising VW’s Resources and Capabilities
                             Appraising VW’s Resources and Capabilities
                                                                   (Hypothetical only)


                    10                                                 Key Strengths
                               Superfluous Strengths
                                                                       C3
                                                     C8                            R3
Relative Strength




                                                                                   C4
                                                                       C2
                    5                                                 R2           R5
                                                              R1      R4                 C1
                                                              C6                         C7
                                                                      C5

                               Zone of Irrelevance                     Key Weaknesses
                    1
                         1                                5                                   10
                                                Strategic Importance
Approaches to Capability Development
            Approaches to Capability Development
1) Acquire and develop the underlying resources. Especially
 1) Acquire and develop the underlying resources. Especially
    human resources
    human resources
       --Externally (hiring)
        --Externally (hiring)
       --Internally through developing individual skills
        --Internally through developing individual skills
2) Acquire/access capabilities externally through acquisition or
 2) Acquire/access capabilities externally through acquisition or
    alliance
     alliance
3) Greenfield development of capabilities in separate
 3) Greenfield development of capabilities in separate
    organizational unit (IBM & the PC, Xerox & PARC, GM & Saturn)
     organizational unit (IBM & the PC, Xerox & PARC, GM & Saturn)
4) Build team-based capabilities through training and team
 4) Build team-based capabilities through training and team
    development (i.e. develop organizational routines)
    development (i.e. develop organizational routines)
5)
 5)   Align structure & systems with required capabilities
      Align structure & systems with required capabilities
6)
 6)   Change management to transform values and behaviors (GE,
      Change management to transform values and behaviors (GE,
      BP)
      BP)
7)
 7)   Product sequencing (Intel , ,Sony, Hyundai)
      Product sequencing (Intel Sony, Hyundai)
8)
 8)   Knowledge Management (systematic approaches to acquiring,
      Knowledge Management (systematic approaches to acquiring,
      storing, replicating, and accessing knowledge)
       storing, replicating, and accessing knowledge)
COMPETITIVE
   COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE AND THE
ADVANTAGE AND THE
SCOPE OF THE FIRM
 SCOPE OF THE FIRM
From Business Strategy to Corporate
   From Business Strategy to Corporate
      Strategy: The Scope of the Firm
      Strategy: The Scope of the Firm


• Business Strategy is concerned with how a firm
  computes within a particular market
• Corporate Strategy is concerned with where a
  firm competes, i.e. the scope of its activities
• The dimensions of scope are
         • product scope
         • vertical scope
         • geographical scope
Transactions Costs and the
                  Transactions Costs and the
                      Scope of the Firm
                       Scope of the Firm

              Vertical              Product          Geographical
              Scope                 Scope            Scope

 [A] Single        V1
 Integrated        V2
                               P1      P2     P3       C1     C2     C3
  Firm             V3

 [B] Several  V1
 Specialized                    P1     P2      P3       C1     C2     C3
              V2
 Firms linked
 by Markets V3
In situation [A] the business units are integrated within a single firm.
In situation [B] the business units are independent firms linked by markets.
Are the administrative costs of the integrated firm less than the transaction
costs of markets?
Determinants of Changes in Corporate Scope
   Determinants of Changes in Corporate Scope

1800 – 1980 Expanding scale and scope of industrial corporations due to
declining administrative costs of firms:
 • Advances in transportation, information and communication
   technologies
 • Advances in management—accounting systems, decision sciences,
   financial techniques, organizational innovations, scientific management

1980 – 1995 Shrinking size and scope of biggest industrial corporations.
Increasingly          Increased no. of managerial         Admin. costs of
turbulent             decisions. Need for fast            firms rise relative
external              responses to external                to transaction
environment           change                              costs of markets

1995 – 2007 Rapid increase in global concentration (steel, aluminium,
oil, beer, banking, cement).
Key drivers: quest for market power and scale economies.
Also, large corporations better at reconciling size with agility
The Basic Issues in Diversification Decisions
The Basic Issues in Diversification Decisions

  Superior profit derives from two sources:


                                INDUSTRY
                             ATTRACTIVENESS
 RATE OF PROFIT
 > COST OF CAPITAL
                               COMPETITIVE
                               ADVANTAGE




 Diversification decisions involve these same two issues:
       • How attractive is the sector to be entered?
     •Can the firm achieve a competitive advantage?
Diversification among the US Fortune 500, 1949-74
Diversification among the US Fortune 500, 1949-74

      70.2       63.5          53.7          53.9          39.9          37.0
          29.8          36.5          46.3          46.1          60.1          63.0




      1949        1954         1959           1964          1969           1974
             Percentage of Specialized Companies (single-business,
             vertically-integrated and dominant-business)
             Percentage of Diversified Companies (related-business
             and unrelated business)


    Note:    During the 1980s and 1990s the trend reversed as large
             companies refocused upon their core businesses
Diversification among Large UK
         Diversification among Large UK
              Corporations, 1950-93
              Corporations, 1950-93



70
60
                                      Single business
50
40                                    Dominant
                                      business
30                                    Related business
20
                                      Unrelated
10                                    business
 0
     1950 1960 1970 1983 1993
Motives for Diversification
            Motives for Diversification

GROWTH      --The desire to escape stagnant or declining industries
              is a powerful motive for diversification (e.g. tobacco,
              oil, newspapers).
            --But, growth satisfies managers not shareholders.
            --Growth strategies (esp. by acquisition), tend to
              destroy shareholder value


RISK        --Diversification reduces variance of profit flows
SPREADING   --But, doesn’t create value for shareholders—they can
              hold diversified portfolios of securities.
            --Capital Asset Pricing Model shows that diversification
              lowers unsystematic risk not systematic risk.


PROFIT       --For diversification to create shareholder value, then
               bringing together of different businesses under
               common ownership & must somehow increase
               their profitability.
Diversification and Shareholder Value:
    Diversification and Shareholder Value:
        Porter’s Three Essential Tests
        Porter’s Three Essential Tests
If diversification is to create shareholder value, it must meet
    three tests:

1. The Attractiveness Test: diversification must be directed
   towards attractive industries (or have the potential to
   become attractive).

2. The Cost of Entry Test: the cost of entry must not capitalize
   all future profits.

3. The Better-Off Test: either the new unit must gain
   competitive advantage from its link with the company, or
   vice-versa. (i.e. some form of “synergy” must be present)

    Additional source of value from diversification: Option value
Competitive Advantage from Diversification
  Competitive Advantage from Diversification


                • Sharing tangible resources (research labs, distribution
                systems) across multiple businesses
                • Sharing intangible resources (brands, technology) across
ECONOMIES       multiple businesses
    OF          • Transferring functional capabilities (marketing, product
  SCOPE         development) across businesses
                • Applying general management capabilities to multiple
                businesses


              • Economies of scope not a sufficient basis for
  ECONOMIES   diversification ----must be supported by transaction costs
    FROM      • Diversification firm can avoid transaction costs by
INTERNALIZING
TRANSACTIONS
              operating internal capital and labor markets
              • Key advantage of diversified firm over external markets---
              superior access to information
Relatedness in Diversification
         Relatedness in Diversification

  Economies of scope in diversification derive from two
  types of relatedness:
• Operational Relatedness-- synergies from sharing
  resources across businesses (common distribution
  facilities, brands, joint R&D)
• Strategic Relatedness-- synergies at the corporate level
  deriving from the ability to apply common management
  capabilities to different businesses.

  Problem of operational relatedness:- the benefits in terms
  of economies of scope may be dwarfed by the
  administrative costs involved in their exploitation.
Transactions Costs and The
           Transactions Costs and The
              Existence of the Firm
               Existence of the Firm

• Transaction cost theory explains not just the boundaries
  of firms, also the existence of firms.
• In 18th century English woollen industry, no firms –
  independent spinners and weavers linked by merchants.
• Residential remodeling industry -- mainly independent self-
  employed builders, plumbers, electricians, painters.
• Key issue -- transaction costs of the market vs.
  administrative costs of firms.
• Where transaction costs high—firm is more efficient means
  of organization

  Note: transaction costs comprise costs of search and contract
  negotiation and enforcement
The Costs and Benefits of Vertical
    The Costs and Benefits of Vertical
         Integration: BENEFITS
          Integration: BENEFITS

• Technical economies from integrating processes e.g. iron
  and steel production
      —but doesn’t necessarily require common ownership
• Superior coordination
• Avoids transactions costs of market contracts in situations
  where there are:
              -- small numbers of firms
              -- transaction-specific investments
              -- opportunism and strategic misrepresentation
              -- taxes and regulations on market transactions
The Costs and Benefits of Vertical
      The Costs and Benefits of Vertical
            Integration: COSTS
             Integration: COSTS
• Differences in optimal scale of operation between different
  stages prevents balanced VI
• Strategic differences between different vertical stages create
  management difficulties
• Inhibits development of and exploitation of core
  competencies
• Limits flexibility -- in responding to demand cycles
                       -- in responding to changes in technology,
                          customer preferences, etc.
   (But, VI may be conducive to system-wide flexibility)
• Compounding of risk
When is Vertical Integration More Attractive
     When is Vertical Integration More Attractive
                 than Outsourcing?
                  than Outsourcing?
How many firms are available              The fewer the companies
to undertake the activities?              the more attractive is VI
Is transaction-specific investment        If yes, VI more attractive
needed?
Does limited information permit           VI can limit opportunism
cheating?
Are taxes or regulation imposed           VI can avoid them
on transactions?
Do the different stages have similar      Greater the similarity, the
optimal scales of operation?              more attractive is VI
Are the two stages strategically          Greater the strategic
similar?                                  similarity ---the more
                                          attractive is VI
How great the need for entrepreneurship   Greater the need, the greater
& continual upgrading of capabilities     the disadvantages of VI
How uncertain is market demand?           Greater the unpredictability
                                          ----the more costly is VI
Are risks compounded by                   VI increases risk.
linkages between vertical stages
The value chain for steel cans



                                                             Canning of
Iron ore         Steel        Steel strip       Can
 mining                       production                     food, drink,
              production                       making          oil, etc.


                                                     VERTICAL
                       VERTICAL
                     INTEGRATION                   INTEGRATION,
                                                    AND MARKET
                                                    CONTRACTS
                                      MARKET
      MARKET
                                     CONTRACTS
     CONTRACTS



      What factors explain why some stages are vertically integrated,
             while others are linked by market transactions?
Designing Vertical Relationships: Long-Term
Designing Vertical Relationships: Long-Term
  Contracts and Quasi-Vertical Integration
  Contracts and Quasi-Vertical Integration


•   Intermediate between spot transactions and vertical
    integration are several types of vertical relationships
    ---such relationships may combine benefits of both market
    transactions and internalization

•   Key issues in designing vertical relationships
         -- How is risk allocated between the parties?
         -- Are the incentives appropriate?
Recent Trends in Vertical Relationships
Recent Trends in Vertical Relationships

• From competitive contracting to supplier partnerships, e.g.
  in autos
• From vertical integration to outsourcing (not just
  components, also IT, distribution, and administrative
  services).
• Diffusion of franchising
• Technology partnerships (e.g. IBM- Apple; Canon- HP)
• Inter-firm networks

  General conclusion: boundaries between firms and
  markets becoming increasingly blurred.
Patterns of Internationalization
           Patterns of Internationalization
HIGH


                      Trading                      Global
                      Industries                   Industries
                       --aerospace                  --automobiles
                       --military hardware          --oil
International Trade




                       --diamond mining             --semiconductors
                       --agriculture                --consumer electronics




                      Domestic                     Multidomestic
                      Industries                   Industries
                      --railroads
                      --laundries/dry cleaning     --retail banking
                      --hairdressing               --hotels
LO W




                      --milk                       --consulting


                      LOW            Foreign Direct Investment          HIGH
Implications of Internationalization
           Implications of Internationalization
                 for Industry Analysis
                  for Industry Analysis
                          INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
•   Lower entry barriers around national markets
•   Increased industry rivalry   --- lower seller concentration
                                 --- greater diversity of competitors
•   Increased buyer power: wider choice for dealers & consumers



                             COMPETITION
                • Increased intensity of competition


                              PROFITABILITY
     • Other things remaining equal, internationalization tends to
       reduce an industry’s margins & rate of return on capital
Competitive Advantage within an International
         Competitive Advantage within an International
               Context: The Basic Framework
                Context: The Basic Framework

FIRM RESOURCES
                                                        THE INDUSTRY
& CAPABILITIES
                                                        ENVIRONMENT
-- Financial resources
-- Physical resources                                  Key Success Factors
-- Technology
-- Reputation
-- Functional capabilities           COMPETITIVE
-- General management
                                     ADVANTAGE
   capabilities


                    THE NATIONAL ENVIRONMENT
                    -- National resources and capabilities (raw materials;
                       national culture; human resources; transportation,
                       communication, legal infrastructure
                    -- Domestic market conditions
                    -- Government policies
                    -- Exchange rates
                    -- Related and supporting industries
National Influences on
        National Influences on
    Competitiveness: The Theory of
    Competitiveness: The Theory of
       Comparative Advantage
       Comparative Advantage
A country has a relative efficiency advantage in those products
that make intensive use of resources that are relatively
abundant within the country. E.g.

    • Philippines relatively more efficient in the production of
      footwear, apparel, and assembled electronic products than in
      the production of chemicals and automobiles.
    • U.S. is relatively more efficient in the production of
      semiconductors and pharmaceuticals than shoes or shirts.


     When exchange rates are well-behaved, comparative
        advantage becomes competitive advantage.
Revealed Comparative Advantage for
         Revealed Comparative Advantage for
          Certain Broad Product Categories
           Certain Broad Product Categories

                                USA    Canada       W. Germany         Italy   Japan
Food, drink & tobacco            .31     .28           -.36            -.29     -.85
Raw materials                    .43     .51           -.55            -.30     -.88
Oil & refined products          -.64     .34           -.72            -.74     -.99
Chemicals                        .42    -.16            .20            -.06     -.58
Machinery and trans-             .12    -.19            .34            .22      .80
portation equipment
Other manufacturers             -.68    -.07            .01            .29      .40



    Note:       Revealed comparative advantage for each product group
                is measured as: (Exports less Imports)/ Domestic production
Porter’s Competitive Advantage
      Porter’s Competitive Advantage
                 of Nations
                 of Nations

  Extends and adapts traditional theory of comparative
  advantage to take account of three factors:
 International competitive advantage is about companies
  not countries—the role of the national environment is
  providing a home base for the company.
 Sustained competitive advantage depends upon dynamic
  factors-- innovation and the upgrading of resources and
  capabilities
 The critical role of the national environment is its impact
  upon the dynamics of innovation and upgrading.
Porter’s National Diamond Framework
             Porter’s National Diamond Framework

                                 FACTOR CONDITIONS



                                                              RELATING AND
             DEMAND                                            SUPPORTING
            CONDITIONS                                         INDUSTRIES



                              STRATEGY, STRUCTURE,
                                  AND RIVALRY



.   FACTOR CONDITIONS—“Home grown” resources/capabilities more important
    than natural endowments.
.   RELATED AND SUPPORTING INDUSTRIES—Key role of “industry clusters”
.   DEMAND CONDITIONS—Discerning domestic customers drive quality & innovation
.   STRATEGY, STRUCTURE, RIVALRY. E.g. domestic rivalry drives upgrading.
Consistency Between Strategy
        Consistency Between Strategy
           and National Conditions
           and National Conditions

In globally-competitive industries, firm strategy needs to
take account of national conditions:

– U.S. textile manufacturers must compete on the basis of
  advanced process technologies and focus on high quality,
  less price-sensitive market segments
– In the semiconductor industry, CA-based firms concentrate
  mainly upon design of advanced chips, Malaysian firms
  concentrate upon fabrication of high volume, less
  technologically advanced items (e.g. DRAM chips)
– Dispersion of value chain to exploit different national
  environments (e.g. Nike conducts R&D in US, components in
  Korea and Thailand, assembly in Indonesia, China, and India,
  marketing in Europe and North America)
International Location of Production
  International Location of Production


– National resource conditions: What are the major
  resources which the product requires? Where are these
  available at low cost?

– Firm-specific advantages: to what extent is the
  company’s competitive advantage based upon firm-
  specific resources and capabilities, and are these
  transferable?

– Tradability issues: Can the product be transported at
  economic cost? If not, or if trade restrictions exist, then
  production must be close to the market.
The Role of Labor Costs
                  The Role of Labor Costs

Hourly Compensation for Production Workers, 1999 ($)
                      Germany         26.93
                      Japan           20.89
                      U.S.            19.20
                      France          19.98
                      U.K.            16.56
                      Spain           12.11
                      Korea            6.75
                      Mexico           2.12
BUT, wages are only one element of costs:
        Cost of Producing a Compact Automobile
                                        U.S.           Mexico
        Parts & components             7,750             8,000
        Labor                            700                40
        Shipping cost                    300             1,000
        Inventory                         20                40
        TOTAL                          8,770             9,180
Location and the Value Chain
              Location and the Value Chain

   Comparative advantage in textiles and apparel by stage of processing


    Country      Stage      Index of     Country          Stage    Index of
                   of       Revealed                        of     Revealed
              Processing   Comparative                 Processing Comparative
                           Advantage                               Advantage

    Hong Kong       1       -0.96          Japan             1      -0.36
                    2       -0.81                            2      +0.48
                    3       -0.41                            3      +0.48
                    4       +0.75                            4      -0.48
    Italy           1       -0.54          U.S.A.            1      +0.96
                    2       +0.18                            2      +0.64
                    3       +0.14                            3      +0.22
                    4       +0.72                            4      -0.73

Note:
1 = production of fiber (natural & synthetic)      2 = production of spun yarn
3 = production of textiles                         4 = production of clothing
Determining the Optimal Location
            Determining the Optimal Location
                of Value Chain Activities
                 of Value Chain Activities
                                          Where is the optimal location
                                          of X in terms of the cost and
         The optimal location             availability of inputs?
         of activity X considered
         independently                 What government incentives/ penalties
                                           affect the location decision?


                                                   What internal
WHERE TO LOCATE                        resources and capabilities does the firm
ACTIVITY X?                                possess in particular locations?


                                         What is the firm’s business strategy
                                       (e.g. cost vs. differentiation advantage)?
        The importance of links
        between activity X and
        other activities of the firm     How great are the coordination
                                         benefits from co-locating activities?
Alternative Modes of Overseas Market Entry
    Alternative Modes of Overseas Market Entry

 TRANSACTIONS                           DIRECT INVESTMENT


   Exporting           Licensing        Joint venture              Wholly
                                                                   owned
                                     Marketing &    Fully
Spot     Foreign                     Distribution   integrated
                                                                   subsidiary
sales    agent /                     only
         distributor

   Long-          Licensing     Franchising                 Marketing&     Fully
   term           patents &                                 Distribution   integrated
   contract       other IP                                  only




   Low                        Resource commitment                            High
Alliances and Joint Ventures:
         Alliances and Joint Ventures:
              Management Issues
              Management Issues
•   Benefits:
    --Combining resources and capabilities of different companies
    --Learning from one another
    --Reducing time-to-market for innovations
    --Risk sharing
•   Problems:
    --Management differences between the two partners. Conflict
       most likely where the partners are also competitors.
•   Benefits are seldom shared equally. Distribution of benefits
    determined by:
      – Strategic intent of the partners- which partner has the clearer
        vision of the purpose of the alliance?
      – Appropriability of the contribution-- which partner’s resources
        and capabilities can more easily be captured by the other?
      – Absorptive capacity of the company-- which partner is the
        more receptive learner?
General Motors’ Alliances with Competitors
  General Motors’ Alliances with Competitors
                                                                  SAAB                                   5).
                                                                                                      00- ology
                                                                                                  (20
AVTOVAZ                                                                                       ed techn                         FIAT
                                                                                         own on          ts
                Ru
                     ssi                                             50%          20% ation ponen
                           an                                                           or       m
                                JV                                  owned      C oll a b n d c o
                                     to p                                               a
SUZUKI                                      r od
                                                uc e
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                own                                    c ar
                      ed.                                     s
                            C o-
                                     pr od                                     20% owned; join
                                          uctio
                                              n                   GM                                     t production
                                                                                                                                   FUJI
                                                                                    JV
                                        duction                    60%                   to p
                       o-pro                                                                    rod
ISUZU     49%o wned. C                                            owned                             u   ce
                                                                                                             c ar
                                                                                                                 s in
                                                                                                                        Ch




                                                                                          50 pro
    40% investment                      IBC Vehicles                                                                         ina




                                                                                            . 9 du
                                         Ltd. (U.K.)




                                                                                               % c ti
                                                                             50%
                                                                                                                                   SAIC




                                                                                                 ow on
                                                                            owned




                                                                                                   n e co
                                     (Makes vans in UK)




                                                                                                      d; lla
                                                                                                        t e bo
                                                                                                           ch ra
                                                                  New United Motor




                                                                                                             n i t io
                                                                                                                ca n
  TOYOTA                                                           Manufacturing




                                                                                                                  l&
                     50% owned                                      Inc. (NUMMI)
                                                                  (Makes cars in US)                     DAEWOO
Multinational Strategies:
                   Multinational Strategies:
           Globalization vs. National Differentiation
           Globalization vs. National Differentiation
    The case for a global strategy:

•    National preferences in decline—world becoming a single, Ted
     if segmented, market                                     Levitt
                                                                 “Globaliz-
                                                                 -ation of
•    Accessing global scale economies—in purchasing,             Markets”
                                                                 Thesis
     manufacturing, product development, marketing.

•    Strategic strength from global leverage—ability to cross-   Hamel &
                                                                 Prahalad
     subsidize a national subsidiary with cash flows from        Thesis
     other national subsidiaries
                                                                 Kenichi
                                                                 Ohmae’s
•    Need to access market trends and technological              “Triad
     developments in each of the world’s major economic          Power”
     centers- N. America, Europe, East Asia.                     Thesis
Globalization & Global Strategy —What are they?
     Globalization & Global Strategy —What are they?

••    GLOBALIZATION ?
       GLOBALIZATION ?
      --Something to do with increasing interdependence
       --Something to do with increasing interdependence
      between countries.
       between countries.

••    GLOBAL STRATEGY
       GLOBAL STRATEGY
      --At simplest level: Treating the world as a single market
       --At simplest level: Treating the world as a single market
         E.g. Japanese companies during the 1970s & 1980s,
          E.g. Japanese companies during the 1970s & 1980s,
         (YKK, Honda) standard products, developed &
          (YKK, Honda) standard products, developed &
         manfactured within Japan; distributed & marketed
          manfactured within Japan; distributed & marketed
         worldwide
          worldwide
      --At more sophisticated level: Strategy that recognizes
       --At more sophisticated level: Strategy that recognizes
         and exploits linkages between countries (e.g. exploits
          and exploits linkages between countries (e.g. exploits
         global scale, national resource differences, strategic
          global scale, national resource differences, strategic
         competition)
          competition)
     World as                World as inter-            World as
     single mkt.             related mkts.            separate
                                                      national mkts.

                   global strategy              multidomestic strategy
Analyzing benefits/costs of a global strategy
Analyzing benefits/costs of a global strategy

Forces for globalization
 Forces for globalization         Forces for localization / /national
                                   Forces for localization national
                                      differentiation
                                       differentiation
MARKET DRIVERS
 MARKET DRIVERS
--Common customer needs
 --Common customer needs          MARKET DRIVERS
                                   MARKET DRIVERS
--Global customers
 --Global customers               --Different languages
                                   --Different languages
--Cross-border network effects
 --Cross-border network effects   --Different customer preferences
                                   --Different customer preferences
                                  --Cultural differences
                                   --Cultural differences
COST DRIVERS
 COST DRIVERS
--Global scale economies          COST DRIVERS
                                   COST DRIVERS
 --Global scale economies         --Transportation costs
--Differences in national          --Transportation costs
 --Differences in national        --Transaction costs
     resource availability         --Transaction costs
      resource availability       --Economic & political risk
--Learning                         --Economic & political risk
 --Learning                       --Speed of response
                                   --Speed of response
                                  GOVERNMENT DRIVERS
                                   GOVERNMENT DRIVERS
COMPETITIVE DRIVERS
 COMPETITIVE DRIVERS              --Barriers to trade & inward inv.
                                   --Barriers to trade & inward inv.
--Potential for strategic
 --Potential for strategic        --Regulations
                                   --Regulations
     competition (e.g. cross-
      competition (e.g. cross-
     subsidization)
      subsidization)
Jet engines


                             Autos
  Benefits
                   Consumer
    of
                   electronics                       Telecom
  global
integration                                         equipment




                Steel                          Investment
                                                 banking
                    Cement        Online C2C auctions             Restaurant
                                                           Retail   chains
                                             Beer         banking
                 Dry      Auto                                       Funeral
              cleaning   repair                                     services

                                  Benefits of national differentiation
Positioning industries in terms of benefits of
       Positioning industries in terms of benefits of
         globalization and national differentiation
         globalization and national differentiation

              Jet engines


                                Autos
  Benefits
                  Consumer
    of
                  electronics                        Telecom
  global
integration                                         equipment




                                                Investment
                                                  banking

                                                            Retail
              Cement                                       banking
                        Auto                                              Funeral
                       repair                                             services

                                   Benefits of national differentiation
The Evolution of Multinational Strategies and
     The Evolution of Multinational Strategies and
   Structures: (1) 1900-1939—Era of the Europeans
   Structures: (1) 1900-1939—Era of the Europeans




The European MNC as Decentralized Federation :
        • National subsidiaries self-sufficient and autonomous
        • Parent control through appointment of subsidiaries senior
          management
        • Organization and management systems reflect conditions of
          transport and communications at the time e.g. Unilever, Phillips,
          Courtaulds, Royal Dutch/Shell.
The Evolution of Multinational Strategies
      The Evolution of Multinational Strategies
   and Structures: (2) 1945-1970—U.S. Dominance
   and Structures: (2) 1945-1970—U.S. Dominance




American MNC’s as Coordinated Federations :
       • National subsidiaries fairly autonomous
       • Dominant role as U.S. parent-- especially in developing
         new technology and products
       • Parent-subsidiary relations involved flows of technology
         and finance, and appointment of top management. e.g.
         Ford, GM, Coca Cola, IBM
Stragic anlysis
Stragic anlysis
Stragic anlysis
Stragic anlysis

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Stragic anlysis

  • 1. MBA290: ADVANCED STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT Professor Stanley Han College of Business Administration hans@csus.edu 1
  • 2. Course Overview: Objectives  To acquire familiarity with the principal concepts, frameworks and techniques of strategic management.  To gain expertise in applying these concepts, frameworks and techniques in order to - understand the reasons for good or bad performance by an enterprise, - generate strategy options for an enterprise, - assess available options under conditions of imperfect knowledge, - select the most appropriate strategy, - recommend the best means of implementing the chosen strategy. 2
  • 3. Course Overview: Objectives (cont’d)  To integrate the knowledge gained in previous courses.  To develop your capacity as a general manager in terms of - an appreciation of the work of the general manager, - the ability to view business problems from a general management perspective, - the ability to develop original and innovative approaches to strategic problems, - developing business judgment. 3
  • 4. THE CONCEPT OF THE CONCEPT OF STRATEGY STRATEGY The Concept of Strategy and the Pursuit of Sustainable Above-Normal Profits
  • 5. Domain of Strategy Domain of Strategy • strategic competitiveness and above normal returns • concerns managerial decisions and actions which materially affect the success and survival of business enterprises • involves the judgment necessary to strategically position a business and its resources so as to maximize long-term profits in the face of irreducible uncertainty and aggressive competition • strategy is the linkage between a business and its current and future environment
  • 6. Definition Definition • The determination of the long run goals and objectives of an enterprise, the adoption of courses of action and the allocation of resources necessary for carrying out these goals Alfred Chandler, Strategy and Structure
  • 7. Levels of Strategy CORPORATE CORPORATE STRATEGY HEAD OFFICE BUSINESS STRATEGY Division A Division B R&D R&D FUNCTIONAL Personnel Personnel STRATEGIES Finance Finance Production Production Marketing/Sales Marketing/Sales
  • 8. Levels of Strategy Levels of Strategy • Corporate strategy... defines the scope of the business in terms of the industries and markets in which it competes. • includes decisions about diversification, vertical integration, acquisitions, new ventures, divestments, allocation of scarce resources between business units • Business strategy... is concerned with how the firm competes within a particular industry or market... to win a business unit must adopt a strategy that establishes a competitive advantage over its rivals. • Functional strategy... the detailed deployment of resources at the operational level
  • 9. Common Elements in Successful Strategy Common Elements in Successful Strategy Successful Strategy EFFECTIVE IMPLEMENTATION Profound Objective Long-term, simple understanding of appraisal of and agreed upon the competitive resources objectives environment $
  • 10. Strategy as a Quest for Profit Strategy as a Quest for Profit • The stakeholder approach : The firm is a coalition of interest groups —it seeks to balance their different objectives  The shareholder approach : The firm exists to maximize the wealth of its owners (= max. present value of profits over the life of the firm) For the purposes of strategy analysis we assume that the primary goal of the firm is profit maximization. Rationale: 1) Boards of directors legally obliged to pursue shareholder interest 2) To replace assets firm must earn return on capital > cost of capital (difficult when competition strong). 3) Firms that do not max. stock-market value will be acquired Hence: Strategy analysis is concerned with identifying and accessing the sources of profit available to the firm
  • 11. From Profit Maximization to Value Maximization From Profit Maximization to Value Maximization • Profit maximization an ambiguous goal – Total profit vs. Rate of profit – Over what time period? – What measure of profit? – Accounting profit versus economic profit (e.g. Economic Value Added: Post-tax operating profit less cost of capital Maximizing the value of the firm: Max. net present value of free cash flows: max. V = Σ t Ct (1 + r)t Where: V market value of the firm. Ct free cash flow in time t r weighted average cost of capital
  • 12. The World’s Most Valuable Companies: The World’s Most Valuable Companies: Performance Under Different Profitability Measures Performance Under Different Profitability Measures COMPANY MARKET NET RETURN RETURN RETURN RETURN CAP. INCOME ON ON ON TO ($BN.) ($BN) SALES EQUITY ASSETS SHARE- (%) (%) (%) HOLDERS (%) Exxon Mobil 372 36.1 19.9 34.9 17.8 11.7 General Electric 363 16.4 10.7 22.2 14.7 (1.5) Microsoft 281 12.3 40.3 30.0 18.8 (0.9) Citigroup 239 24.6 22.0 21.9 1.5 4.6 BP 233 22.3 9.9 27.9 10.7 10.2 Bank of America 212 16.5 27.0 14.1 1.2 2.4 Royal Dutch Shell 211 25.3 14.7 26.7 11.6 11.8 Wal-Mart 197 11.2 5.5 21.4 8.1 (10.3) Toyota Motor 197 12.1 10.7 13.0 4.8 (22.1) Gazprom 196 7.3 28.1 9.8 7.1 n.a. HSBC 190 15.9 23.0 16.3 1.0 (11.8) Procter & Gamble 190 8.7 17.3 13.7 6.4 7.2
  • 13. Shareholder Value Maximization and Strategy Choice Shareholder Value Maximization and Strategy Choice The Value Maximizing Approach to Strategy Formulation: • Identify strategy alternatives • Estimate cash flows associated with cash strategy • Estimate cost of capital for each strategy • Select the strategy which generates the highest NPV Problems: • Estimating cash flows beyond 2-3 years is difficult • Value of firm depends on option value as well as DCF value Implications for strategy analysis: • Some simple financial guidelines for value maximization a) On existing assets—maximize after-tax rate of return b) On new investment—seek rate of return > cost of capital • Utilize qualitative strategy analysis to evaluate future profit potential
  • 14. A Comprehensive Value Metrics Framework A Comprehensive Value Metrics Framework Shareholder Intrinsic Financial Value Value Value Indicators Drivers Measures: Sources: Measures: Measures: • Market value of the • Market share • Discounted cash • Return on Capital firm • Scale economies flows • Growth (of •Market value added • Innovation •Real option values revenues & operating (MVA) • Brands profits •Return to •Economic profit (EVA) shareholders
  • 15. Sources of Superior Performance Sources of Superior Performance Above Normal Profits (in Excess of the Competitive Level) Avoid Be Better Than Competitors Competition Attractive Attractive Attractive Industry Strategic Niche Cost Differentiation Group Advantage Advantage Entry Mobility Isolating Barriers Barriers Mechanisms
  • 16. Sources of Competitive Advantage Sources of Competitive Advantage COST COST t ro duc ADVANTAGE ADVANTAGE rp t mil a cos Si er at low COMPETITIVE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE ADVANTAGE Pri fro ce m pre un mi iqu um ep rod DIFFERENTIATION DIFFERENTIATION uc t ADVANTAGE ADVANTAGE
  • 17. The Experience Curve The Experience Curve The “Law of Experience” 1992 The unit cost value added to a standard product declines by a constant % (typically 20-30%) each time cumulative output doubles. 1994 Cost per unit of output (in 1996 real $) 1998 2000 2002 2004 Cumulative Output
  • 18. Examples of Experience Curves Examples of Experience Curves Japanese clocks & watches, 1962-72 UK refrigerators, 1957-71 50 100 200 300 20K 30K 1960 Yen Price Index 15K 75% 70% slope 100K 200K 500K 1,000K 5 10 50 Accumulated unit production Accumulated units (millions) (millions)
  • 19. Drivers of Cost Advantage Drivers of Cost Advantage ECONOMIES OF SCALE • Indivisiblities • Specialization and division of labor ECONOMIES OF LEARNING • Increased dexterity • Improved organizational routines • Process innovation PRODUCTION TECHNIQUES • Reengineering business processes PRODUCT DESIGN • Standardizing designs & components • Design for manufacture • Location advantages INPUT COSTS • Ownership of low-cost inputs • Non-union labor • Bargaining power CAPACITY UTILIZATION • Ratio of fixed to variable costs • Speed of capacity adjustment RESIDUAL EFFICIENCY • Organizational slack; Motivation & culture; Managerial efficiency
  • 20. Economies of Scale: The Long-Run Economies of Scale: The Long-Run Cost Curve for a Plant Cost Curve for a Plant Sources of scale economies: - technical input/output relationships - indivisibilities - specialization Cost per unit of output Minimum Units of output Efficient Plant per period Size: the point where most scale economies are exhausted
  • 21. Scale Economies in Advertising: U.S. Soft Drinks Scale Economies in Advertising: U.S. Soft Drinks Despite the massive advertising budgets of brand leaders Coke and Pepsi, their main brands incur lower advertising costs per unit of sales than their smaller rivals. 0.20 Advertising Expenditure ($ per case) Schweppes SF Dr. Pepper 0.15 Tab Diet 7-Up Diet Pepsi Diet Rite 0.10 Fresca Seven Up 0.05 Sprite Dr. Pepper Pepsi Coke 0.02 10 20 50 100 200 500 1,000 Annual sales volume (millions of cases)
  • 22. Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case of Automobile Manufacture The Case of Automobile Manufacture STAGE 1. IDENTIFY THE PRINCIPLE ACTIVITIES R&D TESTING, GOODS SALES DISTRI- DEALER & PARTS PURCH- DESIGN COMPONENT ASSEMBLY QUALITY INVEN- & INVEN- BUTION CUSTOMER ASING ENGNRNG MFR CONTROL TORIES MKITG SUPPORT TORIES STAGE 2. ALLOCATE TOTAL COSTS
  • 23. Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case of Automobile Manufacture (continued) of Automobile Manufacture (continued) --Plant scale for each -- Level of quality targets -- No. of dealers STAGE 3. component -- Frequency of defects -- Sales / dealer IDENTIFY -- Process technology -- Level of dealer -- Plant location support COST -- Run length -- Frequency of defects DRIVERS -- Capacity utilization under warranty PARTS R&D COMPONENT ASSEMBLY TESTING, GOODS PURCH- SALES INVEN- DESIGN QUALITY INVEN- DISTRI- DEALER & ASING MFR & TORIES ENGNRNG CONTROL TORIES BUTION CUSTOMER MKITG SUPPORT Prices paid --Size of commitment -- Plant scale --Cyclicality & depend on: --Productivity of -- Flexibility of production predictability of sales -- Order size R&D/design -- No. of models per plant --Customers’ --Purchases per --No. & frequency of new -- Degree of automation willingness to wait supplier models -- Sales / model -- Bargaining power -- Wage levels -- Supplier location -- Capacity utilization
  • 24. Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case Applying the Value Chain to Cost Analysis: The Case of Automobile Manufacture (continued) of Automobile Manufacture (continued) STAGE 4. IDENTIFY LINKAGES Designing different models around Consolidation of orders to increase common components and platforms discounts, increases inventories reduces manufacturing costs PRCHSNG PARTS R&D COMPONENT ASSEM- TESTING GOODS SALES DSTRBTN DLR INVNTRS DESIGN MFR BLY QUALITY INV MKTG CTMR Higher quality parts and materials Higher quality in manufacturing reduces costs of defects reduces warranty costs at later stages STAGE 5. RECCOMENDATIONS FOR COST REDUCTION
  • 25. The Nature of Differentiation The Nature of Differentiation DEFINITION: “Providing something unique that is valuable to the buyer beyond simply offering a low price.” (M. Porter) THE KEY IS TO CREATE VALUE FOR THE CUSTOMER TANGIBLE DIFFERENTATION INTANGIBLE Observable product characteristics: DIFFERENTATION • size, color, materials, etc. Unobservable and subjective • performance characteristics that appeal to • packaging customer’s image, status, • complementary services identity, and desire for exclusivity TOTAL CUSTOMER RESPONSIVENESS Differentiation not just about the product, it embraces the whole relationship between the supplier and the customer.
  • 26. Identifying Differentiation Potential: Identifying Differentiation Potential: The Demand Side The Demand Side THE PRODUCT What needs What are key does it satisfy? attributes? FORMULATE DIFFERENTIATION Relate patterns of STRATEGY customer preferences to • Select product By what product attributes positioning in relation criteria do they to product attributes choose? THE • Select target CUSTOMER What price customer group premiums do product attributes • Ensure customer / command? product compatibility What What are • Evaluate costs and motivates demographic, benefits of them? sociological, differentiation psychological correlates of customer behavior?
  • 27. Using the Value Chain to Identify Using the Value Chain to Identify Differentiation Potential on the Supply Side Differentiation Potential on the Supply Side MIS that supports Training to support Unique product features. fast response customer service Fast new product capabilities excellence development FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT INBOUND OPERATIONS OUTBOUND MARKETING SERVICE LOGISTICS LOGISTICS & SALES Customer technical support. Consumer credit. Availability of Quality of Defect free Fast delivery. Building brand spares components & products. Efficient order reputation materials Wide variety processing
  • 28. Identifying Differentiation Opportunities through Identifying Differentiation Opportunities through Linking the Value Chains of the Firm and its Linking the Value Chains of the Firm and its Customers: Can Manufacture Customers: Can Manufacture 1 5 2 3 4 Inventory holding Supplies of steel Inventory holding Inventory holding technical support Manufacturing & aluminum Purchasing Distribution Processing Engineering Marketing Distribution Purchasing Canning Service & Design Sales CAN MAKER CANNER 1. Distinctive can design can assist canners’ marketing activities. 2. High manufacturing tolerances can avoid breakdowns in customer’s canning lines. 3. Frequent, reliable delivery can permit canner to adopt JIT can supply. 4. Efficient order processing system can reduce customers’ ordering costs. 5. Competent technical support can increase canner’s efficiency of plant utilization.
  • 29. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS INDUSTRY ANALYSIS AND POSITIONING AND POSITIONING Determining Industry Attractiveness and Identifying Strategic Opportunities
  • 30. Profitability of US Industries (selected industries only) Profitability of US Industries (selected industries only) Median return on equity (%), 1999-2005 Household & Personal Products 22.7 Gas & Electric Utilities 10.4 Pharmaceuticals 22.3 Food and Drug Stores 10.0 Tobacco 21.6 Motor Vehicles & Parts 9.8 Food Consumer Products 19.6 Hotels, Casinos, Resorts 9.7 Securities 18.9 Railroads 9.0 Diversified financials 18.3 Insurance: Life and Health 8.6 Beverages 18.8 Packaging & Containers 8.6 Mining & crude oil 17.8 Insurance: Property & Casualty 8.3 Petroleum Refining 17.3 Building Materials, Glass 8.3 Medical Products & Equipment 17.2 Metals 8.0 Commercial Banks 15.5 Food Production 7.2 Scientific & Photographic Equipt. 15.0 Forest and Paper Products 6.6 Apparel 14.4 Semiconductors & Computer Software 13.9 Electronic Components 5.9 Publishing, Printing 13.5 Telecommunications 4.6 Health Care 13.1 Communications Equipment 1.2 Electronics, Electrical Equipment 13.0 Entertainment 0.2 Specialty Retailers 13.0 Airlines (22.0) Computers, Office Equipment 11.7
  • 31. The Profitability of Global Industries: Return on Invested Capital, 1963-2003 Utilities 6.2 Telecom services 6.5 Transporation 6.9 Energy 7.7 Materials 8.4 OVERALL AVERAGE 9 Retailing 9 Consumer durables and apparel 9.5 Food retailing 9.6 Capital goods 9.9 Automobiles and components 9.9 Technology hardware and equipment 10.3 Hotels, restaurants, leisure 10.3 Food, beverages, tobacco 11 Healthcare equipmernt and services 11.3 Semiconductors 11.9 Commercial services 12.8 Media 14.7 Computer software and services 15 Household and personal products 15.2 Pharmaceuticals 18.4 0 5 10 15 20 Average ROIC 1963-2003 (%)
  • 32. From Environmental Analysis From Environmental Analysis to Industry Analysis to Industry Analysis The national/ The natural international environment economy THE INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Demographic Technology • Suppliers structure • Competitors • Customers Government Social structure & Politics •The Industry Environment lies at the core of the Macro Environment. •The Macro Environment impacts the firm through its effect on the Industry Environment.
  • 33. Drawing Industry Boundaries :: Drawing Industry Boundaries Identifying the Relevant Market Identifying the Relevant Market • What industry is BMW in: – World Auto industry – European Auto industry – World luxury car industry? • Key criterion: SUBSTITUTABILITY – On the demand side : are buyers willing to substitute between types of cars and across countries – On the supply side : are manufacturers able to switch production between types of cars and across countries • We may need to analyze industry at different levels of aggregation for different types of decision
  • 34. The Spectrum of Industry Structures The Spectrum of Industry Structures Perfect Oligopoly Duopoly Monopoly Competition Concentration Many firms A few firms Two firms One firm Entry and Exit No/Low barriers Significant barriers High barriers Barriers Product Homogeneous Differentiation Potential for product differentiation Product Perfect Information Imperfect availability of information Information flow
  • 35. Porter’s Five Forces of Competition Framework Porter’s Five Forces of Competition Framework SUPPLIERS Bargaining power of suppliers INDUSTRY COMPETITORS POTENTIAL Threat of Threat of SUBSTITUTES ENTRANTS new Rivalry among substitutes entrants existing firms Bargaining power of buyers BUYERS
  • 36. The Structural Determinants of Competition The Structural Determinants of Competition SUPPLIER POWER • Supplier concentration • Relative bargaining power THREAT OF ENTRY INDUSTRY RIVALRY SUBSTITUTE •Capital requirements •Concentration COMPETITION •Economies of scale •Diversity of •Absolute cost advantage competitors • Buyers’ propensity •Product differentiation to substitute •Product differentiation • Relative prices & •Access to distribution •Excess capacity & channels exit barriers performance of substitutes •Legal/ regulatory barriers •Cost conditions •Retaliation BUYER POWER • Buyers’ price sensitivity • Relative bargaining power
  • 37. SUPPLIER POWER LOW DRUG INDUSTRY (ROE=22%) THREAT OF ENTRY LOW INDUSTRY COMPETITIVENESS •economies of scale LOW THREAT OF •capital requirements SUBSTITUTES for R&D and clinical •high concentration LOW trials •product differentiation •product differentiation •patent protection No substitutes. •control of distribution •steady demand growth (Changing as managed care channels •no cyclical fluctuations encourages generics.) •patent protection of demand BUYER POWER LOW Physician as buyer: Not price sensitive No bargaining power. (Changing with managed care.)
  • 38. Applying Five-Forces Analysis Applying Five-Forces Analysis Forecasting Industry Profitability • Past profitability a poor indicator of future profitability. • If we can forecast changes in industry structure we can predict likely impact on competition and profitability. Strategies to Improve Industry Profitability • What structural variables are depressing profitability • Which of these variables can be changed by individual or collective strategies?
  • 39. Neutralizing The Five Neutralizing The Five Competitive Forces Competitive Forces Force Method for Neutralizing Force Entry Erecting barriers (isolating mechanisms) create & exploit economies of scale, aggressive deterrence, design in switching costs, etc. Rivalry Compete on nonprice dimensions: cost leadership, differentiation, cooperation, etc. Substitutes Improve attractiveness compared to substitutes: better service, more features, etc.. Reduce buyer uniqueness: forward Buyers integrate, differentiate product, new customers, etc.. Reduce supplier uniqueness: backward Suppliers integrate, obtain minority position, second source, etc..
  • 40. The Traditional Model of Industry Life Cycle Fermentation Shakeout Maturity Decline e ml ov s e a S u l Time
  • 41. How Typical is the Life Cycle Pattern? How Typical is the Life Cycle Pattern? • Technology-intensive industries (e.g. pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, computers) may retain features of emerging industries. • Other industries (especially those providing basic necessities, e.g. food processing, construction, apparel) reach maturity, but not decline. • Industries may experience life cycle regeneration. Sales Sales Color B&W Portable HDTV ? 1900 50 90 07 1930 50 70 90 07 MOTORCYCLES TV’s • Life cycle model can help us to anticipate industry evolution—but dangerous to assume any common, pre- determined pattern of industry development
  • 42. Evolution of Industry Structure over the Life Cycle Evolution of Industry Structure over the Life Cycle INTRODUCTION GROWTH MATURITY DECLINE DEMAND Affluent buyers Increasing Mass market Knowledgeable, penetration replacement customers, resi- demand dual segments TECHNOLOGY Rapid product Product and Incremental Well-diffused innovation process innovation innovation technology PRODUCTS Wide variety, Standardization Commoditiz- Continued rapid design change ation commoditization MANUFACT- Short-runs, skill Capacity shortage, Deskilling Overcapacity URING intensive mass-production TRADE -----Production shifts from advanced to developing countries----- COMPETITION Technology- Entry & exit Shakeout & Price wars, consolidation exit KSFs Product innovation Process techno- Cost efficiency Overhead red- logy. Design for uction, ration- alization, low cost sourcing
  • 43. The Driving Forces of Industry Evolution The Driving Forces of Industry Evolution BASIC CONDITIONS INDUSTRY STRUCTURE COMPETITION Customers become more knowledgeable Customers become & experienced more price conscious Quest for new sources of differentiation Products become more standardized Diffusion of Price competition technology Production intensifies Production shifts becomes less to low-wage R&D countries & skill-intensive Excess capacity increases Demand growth Bargaining power slows as market of distributors saturation approaches Distribution channels increases consolidate
  • 44. Changes in the Population of Firms over the Changes in the Population of Firms over the Industry Life Cycle: US Auto Industry 1885-1961 Industry Life Cycle: US Auto Industry 1885-1961 250 200 150 No. of firms 100 50 0 1895 1905 1915 1925 1935 1945 1955 rce: S. Klepper, Industrial & Corporate Change, August 2002, p. 654.
  • 45. Preparing for the Future :: The Role of Scenario Preparing for the Future The Role of Scenario Analysis in Adapting to Industry Change Analysis in Adapting to Industry Change Stages in undertaking multiple Scenario Analysis: • Identify major forces driving industry change • Predict possible impacts of each force on the industry environment • Identify interactions between different external forces • Among range of outcomes, identify 2-4 most likely/ most interesting scenarios: configurations of changes and outcomes • Consider implications of each scenario for the company • Identify key signposts pointing toward the emergence of each scenario • Prepare contingency plan
  • 46. Innovation & Renewal over the Innovation & Renewal over the Industry Life Cycle: Retailing Industry Life Cycle: Retailing Warehouse Clubs Internet e.g. Price Club Retailers Sam’s Club e.g. Amazon; Discount Expedia “Category Stores Killers” e.g. K-Mart e.g. Toys-R-Us, Mail order, Wal-Mart catalogue Chain Home Depot ? Stores retailing e.g. A&P e.g. Sears Roebuck 1880s 1920s 1960s 2000
  • 47. Gary Hamel: Shaking the Foundations OLD BRICK NEW BRICK Top management is responsible Everyone is responsible for setting strategy for setting strategy Getting better, getting faster Rule-busting innovation is the way to win is the way to win IT creates competitive advantage Unconventional business concepts create competitive advantage Being revolutionary is high risk More of the same is high risk We can merge our way to There’s no correlation between competitiveness size and competitiveness Innovation equals new products Innovation equals entirely new and new technology business concepts Strategy is the easy part, Strategy is the easy only if you’re Implementation the hard part content to be an imitator Change starts at the top Change starts with activists Our real problem is execution Our real problem is innovation Big companies can’t innovate Big companies can become gray-haired revolutionaries
  • 48. An Alternate Model of Industry Life Cycle Emergence Convergence Coexistence Dominance Established Industry e ml ov s e a S l Emerging Industry u Time
  • 49. The Industry Life Cycle as an S curve Performance Maturity Discontinuity Takeoff Ferment Time
  • 50. The S-curve Maps Major Transitions Maturity Performance Discontinuity Takeoff Ferment Time
  • 51. RESOURCES, RESOURCES, CAPABILITIES, AND CAPABILITIES, AND CORE COMPETENCES CORE COMPETENCES
  • 52. Shifting the Focus of Strategy Analysis: Shifting the Focus of Strategy Analysis: From the External to the Internal Environment From the External to the Internal Environment THE FIRM THE Goals and INDUSTRY Values ENVIRONMENT Resources and Capabilities STRATEGY •Competitors STRATEGY Structure and •Customers Systems •Suppliers The The Firm-Strategy Environment-Strategy Interface Interface
  • 53. Rationale for the Resource-based Rationale for the Resource-based Approach to Strategy Approach to Strategy • When the external environment is subject to rapid change, internal resources and capabilities offer a more secure basis for strategy than market focus. • Resources and capabilities are the primary sources of profitability.
  • 54. Canon: Products and Core Technical Capabilities Canon: Products and Core Technical Capabilities Precision Fine Mechanics Optics 35mm SLR camera Plain-paper copier Compact fashion camera Color copier EOS autofocus camera Color laser copier Digital camera Basic fax Laser copier Video still camera Laser fax Mask aligners Inkjet printer Excimer laser aligners Laser printer Stepper aligners Color video printer Calculator Notebook computer Micro- Electronics
  • 55. Eastman Kodak’s Dilemma Resources & Capabilities Businesses Chemical Imaging Film 1980’s •Organic Chemistry Cameras •Polymer technology Fine Chemicals •Optomechtronics Pharmaceuticals •Thin-film coatings Brands Diagnostics Global Distribution 1990’s DIVESTS: Eastman Chemical, Sterling Winthrop, Diagnostics Need to build digital Digital Imaging imaging capability Products (e.g. Photo CD System; Advantix cameras & film
  • 56. The Links between Resources, Capabilities The Links between Resources, Capabilities and Competitive Advantage and Competitive Advantage INDUSTRY KEY COMPETITIVE SUCCESS FACTORS STRATEGY ADVANTAGE ORGANIZATIONAL CAPABILITIES RESOURCES TANGIBLE INTANGIBLE HUMAN •Financial •Skills/know-how •Technology •Capacity for •Physical •Reputation communication •Culture & collaboration •Motivation
  • 57. Appraising Resources Appraising Resources RESOURCE CHARACTERISTICS INDICATORS Financial Borrowing capacity Debt/ Equity ratio Internal funds generation Credit rating Tangible Net cash flow Resources Physical Plant and equipment: Market value of size, location, technology fixed assets. flexibility. Scale of plants Land and buildings. Alternative uses for Raw materials. fixed assets Technology Patents, copyrights, know how No. of patents owned R&D facilities. Royalty income Intangible Technical and scientific R&D expenditure Resources employees R&D staff Reputation Brands. Customer loyalty. Company Brand equity reputation (with suppliers, customers, Customer retention government) Supplier loyalty Human Training, experience, adaptability, Employee qualifications, Resources commitment and loyalty of employees pay rates, turnover.
  • 58. The World’s Most Valuable Brands, 2006 The World’s Most Valuable Brands, 2006 Rank Company Brand Rank Company Brand value value ($bn.) ($bn.) 1 Coca-Cola 67.5 11 Mercedes Benz 20.0 2 Microsoft 59.9 12 Citi 20.0 3 IBM 53.4 13 Hewlett-Packard 18.9 4 GE 47.0 14 American Express 18.6 5 Intel 35.6 15 Gillette 17.5 6 Nokia 26.5 16 BMW 17.1 7 Disney 26.4 17 Cisco 16.6 8 McDonald’s 26.0 18 Louis Vuitton 16.1 9 Toyota 24.8 19 Honda 15.8 10 Marlboro 21.2 20 Samsung 15.0 http://www.interbrand.com/best_brands_2007.asp Source: Interbrand
  • 59. Defining Organizational Capabilities Defining Organizational Capabilities Organizational Capabilities = firm’s capacity for undertaking a particular activity. (Grant) Distinctive Competence = things that an organization does particularly well relative to competitors. (Selznick) Core Competence = capabilities that are fundamental to a firm’s strategy and performance. (Hamel and Prahalad)
  • 60. Identifying Organizational Capabilities: Identifying Organizational Capabilities: A Functional Classification A Functional Classification FUNCTION CAPABILITY EXEMPLARS Corporate Financial management ExxonMobil, GE Management Strategic control IBM, Samsung Coordinating business units BP, P&G Managing acquisitions Citigroup, Cisco MIS Speed and responsiveness through Wal-Mart, Dell rapid information transfer Capital One R&D Research capability Merck, IBM Development of innovative new products Apple, 3M Manufacturing Efficient volume manufacturing Briggs & Stratton Continuous Improvement Nucor, Harley-D Flexibility Zara, Four Seasons Design Design Capability Apple, Nokia Marketing Brand Management P&G, LVMH Quality reputation Johnson & Johnson Responsiveness to market trends MTV, L’Oreal Sales, Distribution Sales Responsiveness PepsiCo, Pfizer & Service Efficiency and speed of distribution LL Bean, Dell Customer Service Singapore Airlines Caterpillar
  • 61. The Value Chain: The Value Chain: The McKinsey Business System The McKinsey Business System TECHNOLOGY PRODUCT DESIGN MANUFACTURING MARKETING DISTRIBUTION SERVICE
  • 62. The Porter Value Chain The Porter Value Chain FIRM INFRASTRUCTURE SUPPORT HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT PROCUREMENT INBOUND OPERATIONS OUTBOUND MARKETING SERVICE LOGISTICS LOGISTICS & SALES PRIMARY ACTIVITIES
  • 63. The Rent-Earning Potential The Rent-Earning Potential of Resources and Capabilities of Resources and Capabilities THE EXTENT OF THE Scarcity COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE ESTABLISHED Relevance Durability THE PROFIT EARNING POTENTIAL SUSTAINABILITY OF THE Transferability OF A RESOURCE OR COMPETITIVE CAPABILITY ADVANTAGE Replicability Property rights Relative APPROPRIABILITY bargaining power Embeddedness
  • 64. Assessing a Companies Resources Assessing a Companies Resources and Capabilities: The Case of VW and Capabilities: The Case of VW Importan VW’s VW’s RESOURCES ce Relative CAPABILITIES Importance Relative Strength Strength C1. Product R1. Finance 6 4 9 4 development R2. Technology 7 5 C2. Purchasing 7 5 C3. Engineering 7 9 R3. Plant and 8 8 equipment C4. Manufacturing 8 7 R4. Location 7 4 C5. Financial 6 3 management R5. Distribution 8 5 C6. R&D 6 4 C7. Marketing & 9 4 sales C8. Government 4 8 relations
  • 65. Appraising VW’s Resources and Capabilities Appraising VW’s Resources and Capabilities (Hypothetical only) 10 Key Strengths Superfluous Strengths C3 C8 R3 Relative Strength C4 C2 5 R2 R5 R1 R4 C1 C6 C7 C5 Zone of Irrelevance Key Weaknesses 1 1 5 10 Strategic Importance
  • 66. Approaches to Capability Development Approaches to Capability Development 1) Acquire and develop the underlying resources. Especially 1) Acquire and develop the underlying resources. Especially human resources human resources --Externally (hiring) --Externally (hiring) --Internally through developing individual skills --Internally through developing individual skills 2) Acquire/access capabilities externally through acquisition or 2) Acquire/access capabilities externally through acquisition or alliance alliance 3) Greenfield development of capabilities in separate 3) Greenfield development of capabilities in separate organizational unit (IBM & the PC, Xerox & PARC, GM & Saturn) organizational unit (IBM & the PC, Xerox & PARC, GM & Saturn) 4) Build team-based capabilities through training and team 4) Build team-based capabilities through training and team development (i.e. develop organizational routines) development (i.e. develop organizational routines) 5) 5) Align structure & systems with required capabilities Align structure & systems with required capabilities 6) 6) Change management to transform values and behaviors (GE, Change management to transform values and behaviors (GE, BP) BP) 7) 7) Product sequencing (Intel , ,Sony, Hyundai) Product sequencing (Intel Sony, Hyundai) 8) 8) Knowledge Management (systematic approaches to acquiring, Knowledge Management (systematic approaches to acquiring, storing, replicating, and accessing knowledge) storing, replicating, and accessing knowledge)
  • 67. COMPETITIVE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE AND THE ADVANTAGE AND THE SCOPE OF THE FIRM SCOPE OF THE FIRM
  • 68. From Business Strategy to Corporate From Business Strategy to Corporate Strategy: The Scope of the Firm Strategy: The Scope of the Firm • Business Strategy is concerned with how a firm computes within a particular market • Corporate Strategy is concerned with where a firm competes, i.e. the scope of its activities • The dimensions of scope are • product scope • vertical scope • geographical scope
  • 69. Transactions Costs and the Transactions Costs and the Scope of the Firm Scope of the Firm Vertical Product Geographical Scope Scope Scope [A] Single V1 Integrated V2 P1 P2 P3 C1 C2 C3 Firm V3 [B] Several V1 Specialized P1 P2 P3 C1 C2 C3 V2 Firms linked by Markets V3 In situation [A] the business units are integrated within a single firm. In situation [B] the business units are independent firms linked by markets. Are the administrative costs of the integrated firm less than the transaction costs of markets?
  • 70. Determinants of Changes in Corporate Scope Determinants of Changes in Corporate Scope 1800 – 1980 Expanding scale and scope of industrial corporations due to declining administrative costs of firms: • Advances in transportation, information and communication technologies • Advances in management—accounting systems, decision sciences, financial techniques, organizational innovations, scientific management 1980 – 1995 Shrinking size and scope of biggest industrial corporations. Increasingly Increased no. of managerial Admin. costs of turbulent decisions. Need for fast firms rise relative external responses to external to transaction environment change costs of markets 1995 – 2007 Rapid increase in global concentration (steel, aluminium, oil, beer, banking, cement). Key drivers: quest for market power and scale economies. Also, large corporations better at reconciling size with agility
  • 71. The Basic Issues in Diversification Decisions The Basic Issues in Diversification Decisions Superior profit derives from two sources: INDUSTRY ATTRACTIVENESS RATE OF PROFIT > COST OF CAPITAL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE Diversification decisions involve these same two issues: • How attractive is the sector to be entered? •Can the firm achieve a competitive advantage?
  • 72. Diversification among the US Fortune 500, 1949-74 Diversification among the US Fortune 500, 1949-74 70.2 63.5 53.7 53.9 39.9 37.0 29.8 36.5 46.3 46.1 60.1 63.0 1949 1954 1959 1964 1969 1974 Percentage of Specialized Companies (single-business, vertically-integrated and dominant-business) Percentage of Diversified Companies (related-business and unrelated business) Note: During the 1980s and 1990s the trend reversed as large companies refocused upon their core businesses
  • 73. Diversification among Large UK Diversification among Large UK Corporations, 1950-93 Corporations, 1950-93 70 60 Single business 50 40 Dominant business 30 Related business 20 Unrelated 10 business 0 1950 1960 1970 1983 1993
  • 74. Motives for Diversification Motives for Diversification GROWTH --The desire to escape stagnant or declining industries is a powerful motive for diversification (e.g. tobacco, oil, newspapers). --But, growth satisfies managers not shareholders. --Growth strategies (esp. by acquisition), tend to destroy shareholder value RISK --Diversification reduces variance of profit flows SPREADING --But, doesn’t create value for shareholders—they can hold diversified portfolios of securities. --Capital Asset Pricing Model shows that diversification lowers unsystematic risk not systematic risk. PROFIT --For diversification to create shareholder value, then bringing together of different businesses under common ownership & must somehow increase their profitability.
  • 75. Diversification and Shareholder Value: Diversification and Shareholder Value: Porter’s Three Essential Tests Porter’s Three Essential Tests If diversification is to create shareholder value, it must meet three tests: 1. The Attractiveness Test: diversification must be directed towards attractive industries (or have the potential to become attractive). 2. The Cost of Entry Test: the cost of entry must not capitalize all future profits. 3. The Better-Off Test: either the new unit must gain competitive advantage from its link with the company, or vice-versa. (i.e. some form of “synergy” must be present) Additional source of value from diversification: Option value
  • 76. Competitive Advantage from Diversification Competitive Advantage from Diversification • Sharing tangible resources (research labs, distribution systems) across multiple businesses • Sharing intangible resources (brands, technology) across ECONOMIES multiple businesses OF • Transferring functional capabilities (marketing, product SCOPE development) across businesses • Applying general management capabilities to multiple businesses • Economies of scope not a sufficient basis for ECONOMIES diversification ----must be supported by transaction costs FROM • Diversification firm can avoid transaction costs by INTERNALIZING TRANSACTIONS operating internal capital and labor markets • Key advantage of diversified firm over external markets--- superior access to information
  • 77. Relatedness in Diversification Relatedness in Diversification Economies of scope in diversification derive from two types of relatedness: • Operational Relatedness-- synergies from sharing resources across businesses (common distribution facilities, brands, joint R&D) • Strategic Relatedness-- synergies at the corporate level deriving from the ability to apply common management capabilities to different businesses. Problem of operational relatedness:- the benefits in terms of economies of scope may be dwarfed by the administrative costs involved in their exploitation.
  • 78. Transactions Costs and The Transactions Costs and The Existence of the Firm Existence of the Firm • Transaction cost theory explains not just the boundaries of firms, also the existence of firms. • In 18th century English woollen industry, no firms – independent spinners and weavers linked by merchants. • Residential remodeling industry -- mainly independent self- employed builders, plumbers, electricians, painters. • Key issue -- transaction costs of the market vs. administrative costs of firms. • Where transaction costs high—firm is more efficient means of organization Note: transaction costs comprise costs of search and contract negotiation and enforcement
  • 79. The Costs and Benefits of Vertical The Costs and Benefits of Vertical Integration: BENEFITS Integration: BENEFITS • Technical economies from integrating processes e.g. iron and steel production —but doesn’t necessarily require common ownership • Superior coordination • Avoids transactions costs of market contracts in situations where there are: -- small numbers of firms -- transaction-specific investments -- opportunism and strategic misrepresentation -- taxes and regulations on market transactions
  • 80. The Costs and Benefits of Vertical The Costs and Benefits of Vertical Integration: COSTS Integration: COSTS • Differences in optimal scale of operation between different stages prevents balanced VI • Strategic differences between different vertical stages create management difficulties • Inhibits development of and exploitation of core competencies • Limits flexibility -- in responding to demand cycles -- in responding to changes in technology, customer preferences, etc. (But, VI may be conducive to system-wide flexibility) • Compounding of risk
  • 81. When is Vertical Integration More Attractive When is Vertical Integration More Attractive than Outsourcing? than Outsourcing? How many firms are available The fewer the companies to undertake the activities? the more attractive is VI Is transaction-specific investment If yes, VI more attractive needed? Does limited information permit VI can limit opportunism cheating? Are taxes or regulation imposed VI can avoid them on transactions? Do the different stages have similar Greater the similarity, the optimal scales of operation? more attractive is VI Are the two stages strategically Greater the strategic similar? similarity ---the more attractive is VI How great the need for entrepreneurship Greater the need, the greater & continual upgrading of capabilities the disadvantages of VI How uncertain is market demand? Greater the unpredictability ----the more costly is VI Are risks compounded by VI increases risk. linkages between vertical stages
  • 82. The value chain for steel cans Canning of Iron ore Steel Steel strip Can mining production food, drink, production making oil, etc. VERTICAL VERTICAL INTEGRATION INTEGRATION, AND MARKET CONTRACTS MARKET MARKET CONTRACTS CONTRACTS What factors explain why some stages are vertically integrated, while others are linked by market transactions?
  • 83. Designing Vertical Relationships: Long-Term Designing Vertical Relationships: Long-Term Contracts and Quasi-Vertical Integration Contracts and Quasi-Vertical Integration • Intermediate between spot transactions and vertical integration are several types of vertical relationships ---such relationships may combine benefits of both market transactions and internalization • Key issues in designing vertical relationships -- How is risk allocated between the parties? -- Are the incentives appropriate?
  • 84. Recent Trends in Vertical Relationships Recent Trends in Vertical Relationships • From competitive contracting to supplier partnerships, e.g. in autos • From vertical integration to outsourcing (not just components, also IT, distribution, and administrative services). • Diffusion of franchising • Technology partnerships (e.g. IBM- Apple; Canon- HP) • Inter-firm networks General conclusion: boundaries between firms and markets becoming increasingly blurred.
  • 85. Patterns of Internationalization Patterns of Internationalization HIGH Trading Global Industries Industries --aerospace --automobiles --military hardware --oil International Trade --diamond mining --semiconductors --agriculture --consumer electronics Domestic Multidomestic Industries Industries --railroads --laundries/dry cleaning --retail banking --hairdressing --hotels LO W --milk --consulting LOW Foreign Direct Investment HIGH
  • 86. Implications of Internationalization Implications of Internationalization for Industry Analysis for Industry Analysis INDUSTRY STRUCTURE • Lower entry barriers around national markets • Increased industry rivalry --- lower seller concentration --- greater diversity of competitors • Increased buyer power: wider choice for dealers & consumers COMPETITION • Increased intensity of competition PROFITABILITY • Other things remaining equal, internationalization tends to reduce an industry’s margins & rate of return on capital
  • 87. Competitive Advantage within an International Competitive Advantage within an International Context: The Basic Framework Context: The Basic Framework FIRM RESOURCES THE INDUSTRY & CAPABILITIES ENVIRONMENT -- Financial resources -- Physical resources Key Success Factors -- Technology -- Reputation -- Functional capabilities COMPETITIVE -- General management ADVANTAGE capabilities THE NATIONAL ENVIRONMENT -- National resources and capabilities (raw materials; national culture; human resources; transportation, communication, legal infrastructure -- Domestic market conditions -- Government policies -- Exchange rates -- Related and supporting industries
  • 88. National Influences on National Influences on Competitiveness: The Theory of Competitiveness: The Theory of Comparative Advantage Comparative Advantage A country has a relative efficiency advantage in those products that make intensive use of resources that are relatively abundant within the country. E.g. • Philippines relatively more efficient in the production of footwear, apparel, and assembled electronic products than in the production of chemicals and automobiles. • U.S. is relatively more efficient in the production of semiconductors and pharmaceuticals than shoes or shirts. When exchange rates are well-behaved, comparative advantage becomes competitive advantage.
  • 89. Revealed Comparative Advantage for Revealed Comparative Advantage for Certain Broad Product Categories Certain Broad Product Categories USA Canada W. Germany Italy Japan Food, drink & tobacco .31 .28 -.36 -.29 -.85 Raw materials .43 .51 -.55 -.30 -.88 Oil & refined products -.64 .34 -.72 -.74 -.99 Chemicals .42 -.16 .20 -.06 -.58 Machinery and trans- .12 -.19 .34 .22 .80 portation equipment Other manufacturers -.68 -.07 .01 .29 .40 Note: Revealed comparative advantage for each product group is measured as: (Exports less Imports)/ Domestic production
  • 90. Porter’s Competitive Advantage Porter’s Competitive Advantage of Nations of Nations Extends and adapts traditional theory of comparative advantage to take account of three factors:  International competitive advantage is about companies not countries—the role of the national environment is providing a home base for the company.  Sustained competitive advantage depends upon dynamic factors-- innovation and the upgrading of resources and capabilities  The critical role of the national environment is its impact upon the dynamics of innovation and upgrading.
  • 91. Porter’s National Diamond Framework Porter’s National Diamond Framework FACTOR CONDITIONS RELATING AND DEMAND SUPPORTING CONDITIONS INDUSTRIES STRATEGY, STRUCTURE, AND RIVALRY . FACTOR CONDITIONS—“Home grown” resources/capabilities more important than natural endowments. . RELATED AND SUPPORTING INDUSTRIES—Key role of “industry clusters” . DEMAND CONDITIONS—Discerning domestic customers drive quality & innovation . STRATEGY, STRUCTURE, RIVALRY. E.g. domestic rivalry drives upgrading.
  • 92. Consistency Between Strategy Consistency Between Strategy and National Conditions and National Conditions In globally-competitive industries, firm strategy needs to take account of national conditions: – U.S. textile manufacturers must compete on the basis of advanced process technologies and focus on high quality, less price-sensitive market segments – In the semiconductor industry, CA-based firms concentrate mainly upon design of advanced chips, Malaysian firms concentrate upon fabrication of high volume, less technologically advanced items (e.g. DRAM chips) – Dispersion of value chain to exploit different national environments (e.g. Nike conducts R&D in US, components in Korea and Thailand, assembly in Indonesia, China, and India, marketing in Europe and North America)
  • 93. International Location of Production International Location of Production – National resource conditions: What are the major resources which the product requires? Where are these available at low cost? – Firm-specific advantages: to what extent is the company’s competitive advantage based upon firm- specific resources and capabilities, and are these transferable? – Tradability issues: Can the product be transported at economic cost? If not, or if trade restrictions exist, then production must be close to the market.
  • 94. The Role of Labor Costs The Role of Labor Costs Hourly Compensation for Production Workers, 1999 ($) Germany 26.93 Japan 20.89 U.S. 19.20 France 19.98 U.K. 16.56 Spain 12.11 Korea 6.75 Mexico 2.12 BUT, wages are only one element of costs: Cost of Producing a Compact Automobile U.S. Mexico Parts & components 7,750 8,000 Labor 700 40 Shipping cost 300 1,000 Inventory 20 40 TOTAL 8,770 9,180
  • 95. Location and the Value Chain Location and the Value Chain Comparative advantage in textiles and apparel by stage of processing Country Stage Index of Country Stage Index of of Revealed of Revealed Processing Comparative Processing Comparative Advantage Advantage Hong Kong 1 -0.96 Japan 1 -0.36 2 -0.81 2 +0.48 3 -0.41 3 +0.48 4 +0.75 4 -0.48 Italy 1 -0.54 U.S.A. 1 +0.96 2 +0.18 2 +0.64 3 +0.14 3 +0.22 4 +0.72 4 -0.73 Note: 1 = production of fiber (natural & synthetic) 2 = production of spun yarn 3 = production of textiles 4 = production of clothing
  • 96. Determining the Optimal Location Determining the Optimal Location of Value Chain Activities of Value Chain Activities Where is the optimal location of X in terms of the cost and The optimal location availability of inputs? of activity X considered independently What government incentives/ penalties affect the location decision? What internal WHERE TO LOCATE resources and capabilities does the firm ACTIVITY X? possess in particular locations? What is the firm’s business strategy (e.g. cost vs. differentiation advantage)? The importance of links between activity X and other activities of the firm How great are the coordination benefits from co-locating activities?
  • 97. Alternative Modes of Overseas Market Entry Alternative Modes of Overseas Market Entry TRANSACTIONS DIRECT INVESTMENT Exporting Licensing Joint venture Wholly owned Marketing & Fully Spot Foreign Distribution integrated subsidiary sales agent / only distributor Long- Licensing Franchising Marketing& Fully term patents & Distribution integrated contract other IP only Low Resource commitment High
  • 98. Alliances and Joint Ventures: Alliances and Joint Ventures: Management Issues Management Issues • Benefits: --Combining resources and capabilities of different companies --Learning from one another --Reducing time-to-market for innovations --Risk sharing • Problems: --Management differences between the two partners. Conflict most likely where the partners are also competitors. • Benefits are seldom shared equally. Distribution of benefits determined by: – Strategic intent of the partners- which partner has the clearer vision of the purpose of the alliance? – Appropriability of the contribution-- which partner’s resources and capabilities can more easily be captured by the other? – Absorptive capacity of the company-- which partner is the more receptive learner?
  • 99. General Motors’ Alliances with Competitors General Motors’ Alliances with Competitors SAAB 5). 00- ology (20 AVTOVAZ ed techn FIAT own on ts Ru ssi 50% 20% ation ponen an or m JV owned C oll a b n d c o to p a SUZUKI r od uc e 10% own c ar ed. s C o- pr od 20% owned; join uctio n GM t production FUJI JV duction 60% to p o-pro rod ISUZU 49%o wned. C owned u ce c ar s in Ch 50 pro 40% investment IBC Vehicles ina . 9 du Ltd. (U.K.) % c ti 50% SAIC ow on owned n e co (Makes vans in UK) d; lla t e bo ch ra New United Motor n i t io ca n TOYOTA Manufacturing l& 50% owned Inc. (NUMMI) (Makes cars in US) DAEWOO
  • 100. Multinational Strategies: Multinational Strategies: Globalization vs. National Differentiation Globalization vs. National Differentiation The case for a global strategy: • National preferences in decline—world becoming a single, Ted if segmented, market Levitt “Globaliz- -ation of • Accessing global scale economies—in purchasing, Markets” Thesis manufacturing, product development, marketing. • Strategic strength from global leverage—ability to cross- Hamel & Prahalad subsidize a national subsidiary with cash flows from Thesis other national subsidiaries Kenichi Ohmae’s • Need to access market trends and technological “Triad developments in each of the world’s major economic Power” centers- N. America, Europe, East Asia. Thesis
  • 101. Globalization & Global Strategy —What are they? Globalization & Global Strategy —What are they? •• GLOBALIZATION ? GLOBALIZATION ? --Something to do with increasing interdependence --Something to do with increasing interdependence between countries. between countries. •• GLOBAL STRATEGY GLOBAL STRATEGY --At simplest level: Treating the world as a single market --At simplest level: Treating the world as a single market E.g. Japanese companies during the 1970s & 1980s, E.g. Japanese companies during the 1970s & 1980s, (YKK, Honda) standard products, developed & (YKK, Honda) standard products, developed & manfactured within Japan; distributed & marketed manfactured within Japan; distributed & marketed worldwide worldwide --At more sophisticated level: Strategy that recognizes --At more sophisticated level: Strategy that recognizes and exploits linkages between countries (e.g. exploits and exploits linkages between countries (e.g. exploits global scale, national resource differences, strategic global scale, national resource differences, strategic competition) competition) World as World as inter- World as single mkt. related mkts. separate national mkts. global strategy multidomestic strategy
  • 102. Analyzing benefits/costs of a global strategy Analyzing benefits/costs of a global strategy Forces for globalization Forces for globalization Forces for localization / /national Forces for localization national differentiation differentiation MARKET DRIVERS MARKET DRIVERS --Common customer needs --Common customer needs MARKET DRIVERS MARKET DRIVERS --Global customers --Global customers --Different languages --Different languages --Cross-border network effects --Cross-border network effects --Different customer preferences --Different customer preferences --Cultural differences --Cultural differences COST DRIVERS COST DRIVERS --Global scale economies COST DRIVERS COST DRIVERS --Global scale economies --Transportation costs --Differences in national --Transportation costs --Differences in national --Transaction costs resource availability --Transaction costs resource availability --Economic & political risk --Learning --Economic & political risk --Learning --Speed of response --Speed of response GOVERNMENT DRIVERS GOVERNMENT DRIVERS COMPETITIVE DRIVERS COMPETITIVE DRIVERS --Barriers to trade & inward inv. --Barriers to trade & inward inv. --Potential for strategic --Potential for strategic --Regulations --Regulations competition (e.g. cross- competition (e.g. cross- subsidization) subsidization)
  • 103. Jet engines Autos Benefits Consumer of electronics Telecom global integration equipment Steel Investment banking Cement Online C2C auctions Restaurant Retail chains Beer banking Dry Auto Funeral cleaning repair services Benefits of national differentiation
  • 104. Positioning industries in terms of benefits of Positioning industries in terms of benefits of globalization and national differentiation globalization and national differentiation Jet engines Autos Benefits Consumer of electronics Telecom global integration equipment Investment banking Retail Cement banking Auto Funeral repair services Benefits of national differentiation
  • 105. The Evolution of Multinational Strategies and The Evolution of Multinational Strategies and Structures: (1) 1900-1939—Era of the Europeans Structures: (1) 1900-1939—Era of the Europeans The European MNC as Decentralized Federation : • National subsidiaries self-sufficient and autonomous • Parent control through appointment of subsidiaries senior management • Organization and management systems reflect conditions of transport and communications at the time e.g. Unilever, Phillips, Courtaulds, Royal Dutch/Shell.
  • 106. The Evolution of Multinational Strategies The Evolution of Multinational Strategies and Structures: (2) 1945-1970—U.S. Dominance and Structures: (2) 1945-1970—U.S. Dominance American MNC’s as Coordinated Federations : • National subsidiaries fairly autonomous • Dominant role as U.S. parent-- especially in developing new technology and products • Parent-subsidiary relations involved flows of technology and finance, and appointment of top management. e.g. Ford, GM, Coca Cola, IBM

Notes de l'éditeur

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  2. 2 2 3 routine decisions are not strategic can be replaced by policy or delegated Importance of making a decision Soccer analogy Road analogy Macro environment Stakeholders suppliers customers competitors Government Owners Employees
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  33. VHS vs. DVD Cell phones vs. landline phones Dial-up vs. high-speed Internet services Yellow pages vs. Internet-based local service
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