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Artificial Intelligence: How Enterprises
Can Crush It With Apache Spark
Mike Gualtieri, VP & Principal Analyst
February 9, 2017
Twitter: @mgualtieri
#Priority
© 2015 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 3
52%
53%
53%
54%
58%
64%
64%
65%
66%
73%
75%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Better leverage big data and analytics in business decision-making
Create a comprehensive strategy for addressing digital technologies like mobile,
social & smart products
Create a comprehensive digital marketing strategy
Better comply with regulations and requirements
Improve differentiation in the market
Increase influence and brand reach in the market
Address rising customer expectations
Improve our ability to innovate
Reduce costs
Improve our products /services
Improve the experience of our customers
Customer experience and product innovation
are top priorities.
› Base: 3,005 global data and analytics decision-makers
› Source: Global Business Technographics Data And Analytics Online Survey
For you For all For segments For you
Demographic
Relationships
Hyper-Personal,
Digital
Relationships
Personal
Relationships
Mass
Relationships
CustomerExperience
1800 1900 1950 2000 2015
#Friends
Customers want and increasingly expect you
to know them as well as friends know them.
• Learn individual customer
characteristics and
behaviors
• Predict customer needs
and desires in real-time
• Adapt applications to serve
individual customers
Hyper-personal customer
experiences must:
~150
NUMBER
DUNBAR’SThe cognitive limit to the number of
people with whom one can maintain
stable social relationships (friends).
“We can only ever
have 150 friends at
most.”
Robin Dunbar
- University of Oxford, Head of the
Social and Evolutionary
Neuroscience Research
• Our relationships form a
hierarchically inclusive series
of circles of increasing size but
decreasing intensity.
• 150 is the limit on
personalized, reciprocated
relationships.
• 1,500 = limit on memory for
faces.
5
15
50
150
Dunbar
500
1500 Who are the 5 people
you care about the
most?
#Customers
25 million investors
How many customers does your organization
have?
6 million active customers
390 million visitors/month
1.8 vehicles per year
320 million citizens
#Quiz
© 2015 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 15
How well do you know this consumer?
› Male
› 35 years old
› Single
› Resides in New York
City
› Makes $100,000 per
year
What do you predict he would do
if the bank accidently transferred
$5,000 into his bank account?
A. Give the money back
B. Take the money and run
Spark Summit Quiz
George Costanza
#AI
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 18
Enterprises that plan to invest in AI expect customer
experience and business model benefits
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 19
Artificial intelligence (AI) interest is high; adoption is
nascent
Opportunity
AI is now on the syllabus at top-tier business schools
such as Harvard, Insead, MIT, Northwestern, Stanford
#PureAI
The purest benchmark for AI is technology
that strives to mimic human intelligence…
“ . . . within a
generation, the
problem of creating
‘artificial intelligence’
will substantially be
solved.” (1967)
Marvin Minsky (1927-2016)
Co-founder of MIT’s AI Laboratory in
1959
#PragmaticAI
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 26
Enterprises can use AI building blocks today to
add a modicum of intelligence to apps
Pragmatic AI
Nope!
Yep!
#BuildingBlocks
Pragmatic 1 Pragmatic 2 Pragmatic 3Research
Use one or more of these AI building block technologies
to build a modicum of intelligence in your apps.
Pure
?
None yet
Good Enough Pretty Good Creepy Good
#ML
Machine learning is used by data scientists
to train probabilistic predictive models.
A recommendation engine is a finely tuned
prediction about what you might enjoy watching.
Leading financial services firm uses machine
learning to predict clients’ portfolio actions.
InteractiveTel AI listens in real-time to 200,000 minutes
of car buyer conversation per month at a large
dealership.
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 34
Machine learning augments programmed logic
with learned logic to create AI apps
Streaming data
Application
interface
App logic
Appli-
cations
Context
Actions
Real-time
context
Programmed
logic
Learned logicMachine learning Learning
External
actions
External
context
From other data
sources of
applications
To other data
sources or
applications
#GoDeep
Deep learning requires “stupidly powerful”
compute processing for more accurate models.
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 38
Deep learning open source libraries are
available now
›Caffé
›Deeplearningforj
›MxNet
›OpenAI
›Theano
›Tensorflow
›Torch
Property insurers can use DL to automatically
assess damage and repair costs.
#
#Models
10 characteristics + 10 behaviors + 10 needs =
30 AI models per customer
1 million customers x 30 models =
30 million AI models
AI Models
#Data
All data originates in real-time…
110010011011001
010010011011001
010011001101101
010010011011001
CustomerData
Transactions
Everything
IoT
…but, traditional analytics to gain insights and
build models is usually done much, much later.
Millions of AI models…
…updated continuously
with real-time data!
Great data pipelines are a pre-requisite to
pragmatic AI.
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 52
Enterprises can use AI building blocks today to
add a modicum of intelligence to apps
Pragmatic AI
Nope!
Yep!
Prerequisite
#
Spark is designed for speed.
Spark is designed to scale.
Spark is designed for
distributed machine learning.
Spark does deep learning.
Spark has a vibrant ecosystem.
#Pragmatic
© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 60
Pragmatic use cases can work today.
Pragmatic AI
Nope!
Yep!
Prerequisite
Make it
converse
Make it
predict
Make it
see
Make it
discover
Make it
move
#DoYourJob
Do your job…
Do your job…with Apache Spark!
forrester.com
Thank you
Mike Gualtieri
mgualtieri@forrester.com
Twitter: @mgualtieri

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Artificial Intelligence: How Enterprises Can Crush It With Apache Spark: Keynote by Mike Gualtieri

  • 1. Artificial Intelligence: How Enterprises Can Crush It With Apache Spark Mike Gualtieri, VP & Principal Analyst February 9, 2017 Twitter: @mgualtieri
  • 3. © 2015 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 3 52% 53% 53% 54% 58% 64% 64% 65% 66% 73% 75% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Better leverage big data and analytics in business decision-making Create a comprehensive strategy for addressing digital technologies like mobile, social & smart products Create a comprehensive digital marketing strategy Better comply with regulations and requirements Improve differentiation in the market Increase influence and brand reach in the market Address rising customer expectations Improve our ability to innovate Reduce costs Improve our products /services Improve the experience of our customers Customer experience and product innovation are top priorities. › Base: 3,005 global data and analytics decision-makers › Source: Global Business Technographics Data And Analytics Online Survey
  • 4. For you For all For segments For you Demographic Relationships Hyper-Personal, Digital Relationships Personal Relationships Mass Relationships CustomerExperience 1800 1900 1950 2000 2015
  • 6. Customers want and increasingly expect you to know them as well as friends know them.
  • 7. • Learn individual customer characteristics and behaviors • Predict customer needs and desires in real-time • Adapt applications to serve individual customers Hyper-personal customer experiences must:
  • 9. NUMBER DUNBAR’SThe cognitive limit to the number of people with whom one can maintain stable social relationships (friends).
  • 10. “We can only ever have 150 friends at most.” Robin Dunbar - University of Oxford, Head of the Social and Evolutionary Neuroscience Research
  • 11. • Our relationships form a hierarchically inclusive series of circles of increasing size but decreasing intensity. • 150 is the limit on personalized, reciprocated relationships. • 1,500 = limit on memory for faces. 5 15 50 150 Dunbar 500 1500 Who are the 5 people you care about the most?
  • 13. 25 million investors How many customers does your organization have? 6 million active customers 390 million visitors/month 1.8 vehicles per year 320 million citizens
  • 14. #Quiz
  • 15. © 2015 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 15 How well do you know this consumer? › Male › 35 years old › Single › Resides in New York City › Makes $100,000 per year What do you predict he would do if the bank accidently transferred $5,000 into his bank account? A. Give the money back B. Take the money and run Spark Summit Quiz
  • 17. #AI
  • 18. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 18 Enterprises that plan to invest in AI expect customer experience and business model benefits
  • 19. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 19 Artificial intelligence (AI) interest is high; adoption is nascent Opportunity
  • 20. AI is now on the syllabus at top-tier business schools such as Harvard, Insead, MIT, Northwestern, Stanford
  • 21.
  • 23. The purest benchmark for AI is technology that strives to mimic human intelligence…
  • 24. “ . . . within a generation, the problem of creating ‘artificial intelligence’ will substantially be solved.” (1967) Marvin Minsky (1927-2016) Co-founder of MIT’s AI Laboratory in 1959
  • 26. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 26 Enterprises can use AI building blocks today to add a modicum of intelligence to apps Pragmatic AI Nope! Yep!
  • 28. Pragmatic 1 Pragmatic 2 Pragmatic 3Research Use one or more of these AI building block technologies to build a modicum of intelligence in your apps. Pure ? None yet Good Enough Pretty Good Creepy Good
  • 29. #ML
  • 30. Machine learning is used by data scientists to train probabilistic predictive models.
  • 31. A recommendation engine is a finely tuned prediction about what you might enjoy watching.
  • 32. Leading financial services firm uses machine learning to predict clients’ portfolio actions.
  • 33. InteractiveTel AI listens in real-time to 200,000 minutes of car buyer conversation per month at a large dealership.
  • 34. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 34 Machine learning augments programmed logic with learned logic to create AI apps Streaming data Application interface App logic Appli- cations Context Actions Real-time context Programmed logic Learned logicMachine learning Learning External actions External context From other data sources of applications To other data sources or applications
  • 36. Deep learning requires “stupidly powerful” compute processing for more accurate models.
  • 37.
  • 38. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 38 Deep learning open source libraries are available now ›Caffé ›Deeplearningforj ›MxNet ›OpenAI ›Theano ›Tensorflow ›Torch
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. Property insurers can use DL to automatically assess damage and repair costs.
  • 43. #
  • 45.
  • 46. 10 characteristics + 10 behaviors + 10 needs = 30 AI models per customer 1 million customers x 30 models = 30 million AI models AI Models
  • 47. #Data
  • 48. All data originates in real-time…
  • 50. Millions of AI models… …updated continuously with real-time data!
  • 51. Great data pipelines are a pre-requisite to pragmatic AI.
  • 52. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 52 Enterprises can use AI building blocks today to add a modicum of intelligence to apps Pragmatic AI Nope! Yep! Prerequisite
  • 53. #
  • 54. Spark is designed for speed.
  • 55. Spark is designed to scale.
  • 56. Spark is designed for distributed machine learning.
  • 57. Spark does deep learning.
  • 58. Spark has a vibrant ecosystem.
  • 60. © 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Reproduction Prohibited 60 Pragmatic use cases can work today. Pragmatic AI Nope! Yep! Prerequisite Make it converse Make it predict Make it see Make it discover Make it move
  • 63. Do your job…with Apache Spark!