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Integration of Seismic Data and
     Uncertainties in the Facies Model
     P. Nivlet*, S. Ng, M.A. Hetle, K. Børset, A.B. Rustad (Statoil ASA),
     P. Dahle, R. Hauge & O. Kolbjørnsen (Norwegian Computing Center)



1-   Classification: Internal   2010-06-10
Motivation: 3D reservoir modelling



                                                                                            Reservoir
                                                                                            simulations




                                                                                                          Production data

                                                                       3D reservoir model




2-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
The Snorre field

                                                                            • Location: Blocks 34/4 and 34/7 in the
                                                                              Tampen area, in the northern part of the
                                                                              North Sea (191 km2)


                                                                            • Production start: 1992


                                                                            • Production (2009): ~180,000 bbl/day




3-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Motivations: Data integration




                 seismic amplitudes
                    (angle-stacks)




                                                         Well log data      3D reservoir model

               Structure, stratigraphy




4-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Challenges in integrating the data




     • Multi-scale issue

5-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Challenges in integrating the data


                                                                                          Shale

                                                 2.0
                                               Vp/Vs




                                                                     Sand
                                                 1.7


                                                       6,000                               10,000
                                                                      AI    (g/cm3.m/s)
     • Non-unique relationship between seismic amplitudes and geology
     • A multivariate problem

6-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
The data uncertainty challenge




     • Random noise
     • Acquisition / Processing footprint
     • Angle Misalignments
     • Imperfect physical model


7-    72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Geological setting




 1,000 m




                  •Reservoir depth: 2-2.7 km

8-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Traditional workflow

                                                                                           Reservoir grid
                                                                                              (depth)


                                                                                             geometry
     Seismic attribute
                                                                   Well facies+extracted
         (depth)
                                                                    seismic attribute


                                                                            conditioning

                                                 integration
                                                                                             Facies model


9-   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Proposed workflow

                                                                                             Reservoir grid
                                                                                                (depth)


                                                                                               geometry
       Seismic attribute
           (depth)                                                   Well facies+extracted
                                                                      seismic attribute


                                                                              conditioning

                                                   integration
                                                                                               Facies model


10 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Workflow from inversion to facies prediction
                                                           Bayesian wavelet
                                                           extraction

                                                                    Seismic
                                                                    modelling
                                                                                    Vp
                                                                                                             Seismic facies
                                                                                                             analysis

                                                                                    Vs
           Seismic (partial angle-stacks)
                                                                Inversion

                                                                                    ρ
                                                                                                             34/4-1
                                                                                                             34/4-


                                                                                m         BCU




            =
                                                                                                                      OWCLunde   Increasing
                                                                                                                                 probability
                                                                                                                                  of shale
                                                                                         SN ML




                                                                                         SN LL                                   Decreasing
                                                                                                                                 probability
                                                                                                                                  of shale




                                                                                                  Lomvi Fm




       m         mBG           mS           mHF                                                  Facies probability

11 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Geostatistical seismic inversion

       • 1D modelling of seismic amplitudes (Aki&Richards’ model): linear in
         m=(log(vp), log(vs), log))


                                                     d  Gm  n

       • Normal distribution of elastic properties m

                                mm|d = mBG+mG*(GmG* + e )-1(d - GmBG)

                                m|d = m - mG*(GmG* + e )-1G m

       • Data (e) stationary uncertainties estimated from analysis of amplitudes
       • Prior (m) stationary uncertainties estimated from well log analysis


12 -    72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Advantages/limitations of the technique




                                                                              Stationary uncertainty model:
       Lateral correlations
                                                                                       - Global matrix
                      - Different stratigraphy settings                                - Lateral correlations
                      - Grid built from max. 2 horizons                                - Vertical correlations

13 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Inversion result: Elastic properties




14 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Impact on elastic parameter uncertainties
                                                                                         Seismic bandwidth (Near)
               0                 10                20                 30

         AI
                                                                                 0
         Vp

         Rho
                                                                               -50
         SI

         Vs

       Vp/Vs
                                                                                     0        20             40     60
                                                                                                   Frequency (Hz)


                        Prior Posterior uncertainty                                 Prior Posterior uncertainty
                               variation (%)                                               variation AI (%)


15 -    72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Inversion results QC
                                                                                            Band-pass filtered

                                                                                       AI        SI              Rhob




                                                                              100 ms
                                                                                                                        Well

                                                                                                                        Inversion




                                                                                Multivariate correlation (RV) between band-
                                                                                pass well-logs and inversion results

                                                                                 35% of wells RV > 0.8
                                                                                 33% of wells 0.8 > RV > 0.7
                                                                                 32% of wells RV < 0.7

16 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Workflow from inversion to facies prediction
                                                           Bayesian wavelet
                                                           extraction

                                                                    Seismic
                                                                    modelling
                                                                                    Vp
                                                                                                             Seismic facies
                                                                                                             analysis

                                                                                    Vs
           Seismic (partial angle-stacks)
                                                                Inversion

                                                                                    ρ
                                                                                                             34/4-1
                                                                                                             34/4-


                                                                                m         BCU




            =
                                                                                                                      OWCLunde   Increasing
                                                                                                                                 probability
                                                                                                                                  of shale
                                                                                         SN ML




                                                                                         SN LL                                   Decreasing
                                                                                                                                 probability
                                                                                                                                  of shale




                                                                                                  Lomvi Fm




       m         mBG           mS           mHF                                                  Facies probability

17 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Supervised seismic facies analysis




                                          Kernel
                                          estimator




                                                              p(m | Sand)
                                                                              p(Sand | m)




18 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Supervised seismic facies analysis

                                          Different resolution scales

                         Raw Well logs
                         Filtered well logs
                         Inversion results at well position
                         Inversion filtered well logs



                        μ m|d = μm+(I- Σm/dΣm-1)(m – μm) + e*

19 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Cross plots: Inversion filtered well logs



                                                                                                                            1
             2.0                                                                2.0
                                                  Shale




                                                                              Vp/Vs
           Vp/Vs




                               Sand
             1.7                                                                1.7

                                                                                                                            0
                     6,000                                  10,000                    6,000                        10,000
                                    AI   (g/cm3   m/s)                                        AI   (g/cm3   m/s)


              Inversion frequency filtered                                              Predicted SAND probability

20 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Seismic facies analysis: Sand probability results




                                                                              Sand
                                                                              probability

21 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Inversion results QC: Finding optimal well
       position

                                                                              Confidence index (khi2):
                                                                              Vertical sand proportion from well
       100
       ms                                                                     compared with seismic sand probability




         Seismic sand probability section




22 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Facies probability QC




                                                                               31% of wells: Good confidence
                                                                               61% of wells: Medium
                                                                               8% of wells: Bad confidence




23 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Inversion results QC

                                      Potential factors impacting mismatch

                                              Stratigraphic level             ++

                                   Position with respect to OWC               +

                                              Presence of faults              +

                                       Average shale proportion               +




24 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
3D confidence index
                                                                              • Measurement of prediction


                                                                              • Weighting function in facies
                                                                                modelling




                                                                                                               1

              Well                              Confidence
             Inversion result                   [0,1]

                                                                                                                   0




25 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Proposed workflow

                                                                                             Reservoir grid
                                                                                                (depth)


                                                                                               geometry

                                                                     Well facies+extracted
                                                                      seismic attribute


                                                                              conditioning

                                                   integration
                                                                                               Facies model


26 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Snorre: Average proportion of channel
                                  Average map estimated from 8 realizations




                                                                1             1




                                                                0             0



27 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Concluding remarks

       • Integrated workflow from seismic inversion to consistent seismic constrained
         facies modelling


       • Fast geostatistical inversion approach and facies prediction


       • Consistent resolution between inversion results and facies probabilities gives
         realistic predictions and facies models




28 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Concluding remarks: Further work


       • How to refine the upscaling of elastic parameters from well log to seismic
         scales? How to have a more local approach?


       • Constraining observed 4D signals by using predicted facies sand probability
         (Ayzenberg and Theune, “Stratigraphically constrained seismic 4D inversion”
         M017, Room 127/128, Wednesday, 9h30)


       • Flow simulations of constrained facies models and history matching with 4D for
         more predictive production prognoses




29 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Acknowledgements




          Thanks to Statoil, Norwegian Computing Center and the
                                Snorre partners
       Petoro, ExxonMobil Norge, Idemitsu Petroleum, RWE Dea
           Norge, Total E&P Norge and Amerada Hess Norge
                  for discussions and permission to publish this work.



30 -   72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
Thank you
       Integration of Seismic Data and Uncertainties in the
       Facies Model

       Philippe Nivlet
       Principal Geophysicist –Petek Tyrihans
       pniv@statoil.com, tel: +47 958 16 589
       www.statoil.com




31 -    72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010

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Integrating Seismic Data and Uncertainties in Facies Modeling

  • 1. Integration of Seismic Data and Uncertainties in the Facies Model P. Nivlet*, S. Ng, M.A. Hetle, K. Børset, A.B. Rustad (Statoil ASA), P. Dahle, R. Hauge & O. Kolbjørnsen (Norwegian Computing Center) 1- Classification: Internal 2010-06-10
  • 2. Motivation: 3D reservoir modelling Reservoir simulations Production data 3D reservoir model 2- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 3. The Snorre field • Location: Blocks 34/4 and 34/7 in the Tampen area, in the northern part of the North Sea (191 km2) • Production start: 1992 • Production (2009): ~180,000 bbl/day 3- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 4. Motivations: Data integration seismic amplitudes (angle-stacks) Well log data 3D reservoir model Structure, stratigraphy 4- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 5. Challenges in integrating the data • Multi-scale issue 5- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 6. Challenges in integrating the data Shale 2.0 Vp/Vs Sand 1.7 6,000 10,000 AI (g/cm3.m/s) • Non-unique relationship between seismic amplitudes and geology • A multivariate problem 6- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 7. The data uncertainty challenge • Random noise • Acquisition / Processing footprint • Angle Misalignments • Imperfect physical model 7- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 8. Geological setting 1,000 m •Reservoir depth: 2-2.7 km 8- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 9. Traditional workflow Reservoir grid (depth) geometry Seismic attribute Well facies+extracted (depth) seismic attribute conditioning integration Facies model 9- 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 10. Proposed workflow Reservoir grid (depth) geometry Seismic attribute (depth) Well facies+extracted seismic attribute conditioning integration Facies model 10 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 11. Workflow from inversion to facies prediction Bayesian wavelet extraction Seismic modelling Vp Seismic facies analysis Vs Seismic (partial angle-stacks) Inversion ρ 34/4-1 34/4- m BCU = OWCLunde Increasing probability of shale SN ML SN LL Decreasing probability of shale Lomvi Fm m mBG mS mHF Facies probability 11 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 12. Geostatistical seismic inversion • 1D modelling of seismic amplitudes (Aki&Richards’ model): linear in m=(log(vp), log(vs), log)) d  Gm  n • Normal distribution of elastic properties m mm|d = mBG+mG*(GmG* + e )-1(d - GmBG) m|d = m - mG*(GmG* + e )-1G m • Data (e) stationary uncertainties estimated from analysis of amplitudes • Prior (m) stationary uncertainties estimated from well log analysis 12 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 13. Advantages/limitations of the technique Stationary uncertainty model: Lateral correlations - Global matrix - Different stratigraphy settings - Lateral correlations - Grid built from max. 2 horizons - Vertical correlations 13 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 14. Inversion result: Elastic properties 14 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 15. Impact on elastic parameter uncertainties Seismic bandwidth (Near) 0 10 20 30 AI 0 Vp Rho -50 SI Vs Vp/Vs 0 20 40 60 Frequency (Hz) Prior Posterior uncertainty Prior Posterior uncertainty variation (%) variation AI (%) 15 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 16. Inversion results QC Band-pass filtered AI SI Rhob 100 ms Well Inversion Multivariate correlation (RV) between band- pass well-logs and inversion results  35% of wells RV > 0.8  33% of wells 0.8 > RV > 0.7  32% of wells RV < 0.7 16 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 17. Workflow from inversion to facies prediction Bayesian wavelet extraction Seismic modelling Vp Seismic facies analysis Vs Seismic (partial angle-stacks) Inversion ρ 34/4-1 34/4- m BCU = OWCLunde Increasing probability of shale SN ML SN LL Decreasing probability of shale Lomvi Fm m mBG mS mHF Facies probability 17 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 18. Supervised seismic facies analysis Kernel estimator p(m | Sand) p(Sand | m) 18 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 19. Supervised seismic facies analysis Different resolution scales Raw Well logs Filtered well logs Inversion results at well position Inversion filtered well logs μ m|d = μm+(I- Σm/dΣm-1)(m – μm) + e* 19 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 20. Cross plots: Inversion filtered well logs 1 2.0 2.0 Shale Vp/Vs Vp/Vs Sand 1.7 1.7 0 6,000 10,000 6,000 10,000 AI (g/cm3 m/s) AI (g/cm3 m/s) Inversion frequency filtered Predicted SAND probability 20 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 21. Seismic facies analysis: Sand probability results Sand probability 21 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 22. Inversion results QC: Finding optimal well position Confidence index (khi2): Vertical sand proportion from well 100 ms compared with seismic sand probability Seismic sand probability section 22 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 23. Facies probability QC  31% of wells: Good confidence  61% of wells: Medium  8% of wells: Bad confidence 23 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 24. Inversion results QC Potential factors impacting mismatch Stratigraphic level ++ Position with respect to OWC + Presence of faults + Average shale proportion + 24 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 25. 3D confidence index • Measurement of prediction • Weighting function in facies modelling 1 Well Confidence Inversion result [0,1] 0 25 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 26. Proposed workflow Reservoir grid (depth) geometry Well facies+extracted seismic attribute conditioning integration Facies model 26 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 27. Snorre: Average proportion of channel Average map estimated from 8 realizations 1 1 0 0 27 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 28. Concluding remarks • Integrated workflow from seismic inversion to consistent seismic constrained facies modelling • Fast geostatistical inversion approach and facies prediction • Consistent resolution between inversion results and facies probabilities gives realistic predictions and facies models 28 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 29. Concluding remarks: Further work • How to refine the upscaling of elastic parameters from well log to seismic scales? How to have a more local approach? • Constraining observed 4D signals by using predicted facies sand probability (Ayzenberg and Theune, “Stratigraphically constrained seismic 4D inversion” M017, Room 127/128, Wednesday, 9h30) • Flow simulations of constrained facies models and history matching with 4D for more predictive production prognoses 29 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 30. Acknowledgements Thanks to Statoil, Norwegian Computing Center and the Snorre partners Petoro, ExxonMobil Norge, Idemitsu Petroleum, RWE Dea Norge, Total E&P Norge and Amerada Hess Norge for discussions and permission to publish this work. 30 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010
  • 31. Thank you Integration of Seismic Data and Uncertainties in the Facies Model Philippe Nivlet Principal Geophysicist –Petek Tyrihans pniv@statoil.com, tel: +47 958 16 589 www.statoil.com 31 - 72nd EAGE Conference and Exhibition – Barcelona, June 14th-17th 2010