Andy Stirling - STEPS Centre 'Pathways Methods'
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Presentation at the ESRC Methods Festival In Bath, July 2016.
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Andy Stirling - STEPS Centre 'Pathways Methods'
- 1. STEPS Centre ‘Pathways Methods’ helping appreciate alternative pathways Andy Stirling SPRU & STEPS Centre University of Sussex presentation to conference session on Nexus Methods ESRC Methods Festival University of Bath 5th July 2016 www.steps-centre.org/ www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/ www.multicriteriamapping.com www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/people/peoplelists/person/7513
- 2. Conventional Risk-Based Politics incumbent ‘sound science’ and ‘pro-innovation’ control political space
- 3. specific tech technological ‘lock-in’ risk regulation ‘closed down’ politics risk Options single ‘best’ / ‘optimal’ / most ‘legitimate’ decisions risk presumed benefits case-by-case focus narrow remits aggregated attention regulatory capture technocratic procedures narrow assessment knowledge economy $ IIIIII € Conventional Innovation Policy incumbent ‘sound science’ and ‘pro-innovation’ control political space
- 4. possible paths multiple feasible Innovation trajectories choice discourse risk options perspective ss plural conditional recommendations dissensus processes sceptical politics catalyse, not suppress, democracy risk neglected issues excluded values alternative pathways ignored uncertainties marginalised interests precautionary principle Sustainability innovation democracy “letting go” diversity, discontinuity, experiment risk “broadening out” “opening up” Opening Up Space for More Democratic Struggle
- 5. possible paths multiple feasible Innovation trajectories choice discourse risk options perspective ss risk Sustainability innovation democracy risk “broadening out” “opening up” METHODS catalyse, provoke & help enable more open political space Opening Up Space for More Democratic Struggle
- 6. Help Appreciate Alternative Pathways Overall Aims
- 7. Help Appreciate Alternative Pathways Overall Aims Method alone can’t do whole job: also involves encompassing process
- 8. Help Appreciate Alternative Pathways Method underpins both understanding and judgement; knowledge and action Method alone can’t do whole job: also involves encompassing process Overall Aims
- 9. Help Appreciate Alternative Pathways Method underpins both understanding and judgement; knowledge and action Critical focus on alternatives: reflecting and favouring marginal interests Method alone can’t do whole job: also involves encompassing process Overall Aims
- 10. STEPS Methodology: An ordered repertoire of conditionally-appropriate methods Help Appreciate Alternative Pathways Method underpins both understanding and judgement; knowledge and action Critical focus on alternatives: reflecting and favouring marginal interests Repertoires: sensitive to context, positioning and plural views and pathways Method alone can’t do whole job: also involves encompassing process Overall Aims
- 11. Intervention histories / futures - narratives, interventions, futures Innovation histories - deep history, broad of innovation Deliberative / Multicriteria mapping - values, knowledges, pathways Open Space Technology - diversity, passion, responsibility Participatory Impact Pathways Analysis - planning, monitoring, impacts Participatory Rural Appraisal - empowering marginal voices Participatory Scenarios - alternative views of drivers of change Photovoice - participants is the researcher Q Method - makes contrasting discourses visible Scientometric Mapping - makes research more accountable Sensitivity Analysis - destabilises technocratic modelling Sociotechnical Imaginaries - pluralises foundations for politics System Histories - grounded contrasts in system frames Some Indicative Examples
- 15. ENGAGE ACTORS help appreciate alternative pathwaysBASIC STEPS EXPLORE NARRATIVES CHARACTERISE DYNAMICS REVEAL STRATEGIES
- 16. ENGAGE ACTORS help appreciate alternative pathwaysBASIC STEPS EXPLORE NARRATIVES CHARACTERISE DYNAMICS REVEAL STRATEGIES A: ENGAGE ACTORS - together: 1: review relevant histories 2: analyse associated networks 3: snowball salient interests 4: prioritise most marginal 5: examine power relations 6: identify basic pathway visions 7: be alert for hidden plurality 8: seek critical feedback
- 17. KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE Looking at alternative pathways for agricultural livelihoods around Sakai and Mmbasu in East & West Provinces of Kenya Involving STEPs with African Centre for Technology Studies Centre for African Bio-Entrepreneurship Tegemeo Institute, Egerton University images and results courtesy of John Thompson, et al, STEPS A: ENGAGE ACTORS - together: 1: review relevant histories 2: analyse associated networks 3: snowball salient interests 4: prioritise most marginal 5: examine power relations 6: identify basic pathway visions 7: be alert for hidden plurality 8: seek critical feedback
- 18. KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE A: ENGAGE ACTORS - together: 1: review relevant histories 2: analyse associated networks 3: snowball salient interests 4: prioritise most marginal 5: examine power relations 6: identify basic pathway visions 7: be alert for hidden plurality 8: seek critical feedback Scoping interviews Historic panel data Trends analysis Rapid rural appraisals Focus groups Key informant interviews Disaggregate gender, wealth, productivity Focus on 5 “low potential” villages (Sakai) also 3 “high potential” villages (Mmbasu)
- 19. B: EXPLORE NARRATIVES 1: review relevant histories 2: elicit notions of systems 3: explore related framings 4: address Sustainability values 5: scope possible pathways 6: review aspects of incertitude 7: differentiate perspectives 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE Explore framings: particularly ideas about ‘resilience’, ‘innovation’ and ‘pathways‘ Test concepts in relation to environmental change and maize in Kenya
- 20. B: EXPLORE NARRATIVES 1: review relevant histories 2: elicit notions of systems 3: explore related framings 4: address Sustainability values 5: scope possible pathways 6: review aspects of incertitude 7: differentiate perspectives 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE Low Maize High Maize Low- External Input High- External Input
- 21. B: EXPLORE NARRATIVES 1: review relevant histories 2: elicit notions of systems 3: explore related framings 4: address Sustainability values 5: scope possible pathways 6: review aspects of incertitude 7: differentiate perspectives 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE Low Maize High Maize Low- External Input High- External Input
- 22. C CHARACTERISE DYNAMICS: 1: review relevant histories 2: explore challenges/opportunities 3: scrutinise likely shocks/stresses 4: look at actors’ strength/weakness 5: examine decision/branch points 6: identify winners/losers 7: attend to issues of power/politics 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE Alternative dryland staples for subsistence Alternative dryland staples for market Local improvement of local maize Assisted seed multiplication of maize Assisted seed multiplication of alternative dryland staples Individual high-value crop commercialization Group-based high-value crop commercialization Commercial delivery of new DT maize varieties Public delivery of new DT maize varieties
- 23. C CHARACTERISE DYNAMICS: 1: review relevant histories 2: explore challenges/opportunities 3: scrutinise likely shocks/stresses 4: look at actors’ strength/weakness 5: examine decision/branch points 6: identify winners/losers 7: attend to issues of power/politics 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE pathways served as starting point for opening up the discussion with farmers, scientists and policy makers on: Diversity of pathways in and out of maize Relevant criteria for choosing one pathway over another Alternative visions of the future and institutional support arrangements
- 24. REVEAL STRATEGIES D: REVEAL POLITICAL ACTIONS 1: review relevant histories 2: confirm key protagonists 3: explore forms of agency 4: define possible interventions 5: identify coping strategies 6: examine possible responses 7: establish accountabilities 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE Quantitative and qualitative data from multicriteria mapping Interviews and group discussions prompted by this process
- 25. REVEAL STRATEGIES D: REVEAL POLITICAL ACTIONS 1: review relevant histories 2: confirm key protagonists 3: explore forms of agency 4: define possible interventions 5: identify coping strategies 6: examine possible responses 7: establish accountabilities 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
- 26. REVEAL STRATEGIES D: REVEAL POLITICAL ACTIONS 1: review relevant histories 2: confirm key protagonists 3: explore forms of agency 4: define possible interventions 5: identify coping strategies 6: examine possible responses 7: establish accountabilities 8: seek critical feedback KENYA MAIZE RESILIENCE
- 27. Pathways Out of Maize: Orphans or Siblings? Performance rankings for different groups of stakeholders shows a surprising amount of optimism about alternative dryland staple crops, especially under a set of stress tolerance criteria
- 28. Pathways in Maize: Sakai farmer performance rankings show a preference for local maize, not new maize
- 29. broadening out opening up STEPS Methodology A framework for balancing power and making space for political action to help build alternative pathways
Notes de l'éditeur
- roland: analytic believe in method, intuitive believe in results Abstract The governance of science and technology is conditioned by some pervasive fallacies and fantasies. None are more extensive or deeply embedded, than those concerning the ability of human agency deliberately to control key features of interest in the world. Aspects and implications of the associated dilemmas arise both in the ways knowledge itself is understood, as well as the styles of intervention that society seeks to undertake. Common to both areas, are the neglected dynamics of power - encouraging exaggeration both of the quality of knowledge and the tractability of action. Focusing on the example of energy systems, this talk will quickly review some of the practical policy implications. It will argue for attention to a range of neglected 'broader based' methods for 'opening up' policy appraisal of energy systems. It will also conclude for greater attention to governance strategies that do not depend on claims and aspirations to control. Again, some practical implications will be discussed relating to resilience rather than stability in energy systems and transformation rather than deterministic transition. In all these respects, a concrete energy policy strategy that repeatedly comes to the fore is that of deliberate diversification.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.
- The four distinct stages in this process are overlapping and mutually co-constituting. The logical sequence is therefore heuristic. The actual practice is more iterative and recursive. Each stage includes a number of discrete tasks. Tasks can be met in different ways. All are relevant in any context. But not all tasks are equally crucial in all contexts. So roles and styles of adopted methods may differ radically. Any ‘broadening out’ or ‘opening up’ of social appreciations of alternative pathways must in some way consider all these stages and tasks and thoroughly address a majority of tasks defined in each stage.