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June 2012   1
Mining Social Data to make informed
Risk Evaluations
Session 673 Tuesday June 5, 2012 3:30 PM



June 2012                                  2
Survey Results
 (Thank you to those who participated)

Does your company have a formal Social Media strategy?




Does your company have a formal Social Media use policy for employees?




   June 2012                                                      3
Survey Results
 (Thank you to those who participated)

How well does your company currently use each of the following?
0 = Not at All, 1 = Fairly Well, 2 = Well, 3 = Very well




    June 2012                                                     4
Survey Results

What is the main purpose for your company’s website?




What is the main purpose for your company’s use of LinkedIn?




  June 2012                                             5
Survey Results

What is the main purpose for your company’s use of YouTube?
              Other/Na
              Servicing
                 Leads
          Relationships
            Advertising
                          0%        20%    40%    60%    80%
100% of respondents answered “Other/Na” for Pinterest.
What is the main purpose for your company’s use of Blogs?
                   Other/Na
                   Servicing
                      Leads
               Relationships
                 Advertising
   June 2012                   0%    20%    40%    60%    80%   6
Survey Results

What is the main purpose for your company’s Facebook page?
              Other/Na
              Servicing
                 Leads
          Relationships
            Advertising
                             0%   20%   40%   60%   80%
What is the main purpose for your company’s use of Twitter?
                Other/Na
                Servicing
                   Leads
          Relationships
               Advertising
   June 2012                 0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   7
Survey Results

How are you capturing your online chats or posts?




NOTE: Negative posts / blogs / tweets can be considered to be
“complaints” under insurance department regulations and could
require the same logging and reporting as if written or called in.
   June 2012                                                 8
Survey Results

Support / Staff availability hours for online presence:
                                  No Presence

                20%
                                  Multiple Business
                            40%   Time Zones

               20%                Local Business Time
                                  Zone

                                  24 Hours
                      20%

The average number of staff supporting social media strategy
was 1 after discounting an answer of 160 that was probably
total service staff.
   June 2012                                              9
Survey Results

Capturing analytics on social media site(s) usage:
           Claims
Customer Service
    Underwriting
        Marketing

                    0%   20%   40%   60%     80%     100%
Capturing demographics about users of social media site(s):




   June 2012                                                10
Survey Results

Tracking ROI for the use of Social Media:
              Claims
 Customer Service
       Underwriting
          Marketing

                       0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   100%
Capturing customer information from social media site(s):




  June 2012                                                 11
Survey Results

Monitoring company reputation across the internet:
              Claims
Customer Service
    Underwriting
        Marketing

                       0%        20%         40%     60%   80%     100%
Which departments in your company use information
collected from social media?
                       Claims
       Customer Service
               Underwriting
                 Marketing
                                0%     20%     40%   60%   80%   100%
  June 2012                                                               12
Survey Results

How does your company use mobile apps:
              Claims
Customer Service
    Underwriting
        Marketing

                       0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   100%

100% of Respondents stated they attempt to collect email
addresses from customers.

27% of Respondents stated they attempt to collect Facebook
account name.
  June 2012                                                13
LIMRA’s Research on Social Media use
  by Insurance Carriers

    Currently On or Plan To Be                                                EXPAND BRAND
  Tumblr       15%                                                            AWARENESS 56%
             0%
                                                                Companies Expanding Presence
 Google+             45%                               70%              65%
             0%                                                                        59%
                                                       60%                       56%
YouTube                          88%                   50%                                   47%
                          65%                                                                      43%
                                                       40%
  Twitter                      81%                     30%
                         54%
                                                       20%
LinkedIn                         95%                   10%
                          65%
                                                        0%
Facebook                         98%
                               85%

            0%      50%        100%           150%

     June 2012
                  2011    2010                                                                     14
                                       LIMRA 2012 Life Insurance Conference
Social Data (not Social Media and not
Social Networks) comes from all over

                                                  Acxiom
                                                  Dun & Bradstreet
                                                  ISO
                                                  LexisNexis
                                                  Merckle
                                                  MIB
                                                  Milliman
                                                  Neustar
                                                  Polk
                                                  Riskmeter



             Grocery store rewards programs
             Frequent guest and Frequent Flyer programs
             Credit Card purchasing
 June 2012                                                   15
             Online purchasing – books, movies
Social Data is constantly evolving


Social Data is Being Added in Immense Volumes daily:

§    66% of adults and 75% of teens are content creators on the internet
§    66% of internet users are social networking site users
§    55% share photos
§    37% contribute rankings and ratings          Social data is more than the
§    33% create content tags                      data, it is the data and the
§    30% share personal creations                 relationships – that’s what
§    26% post comments on sites and blogs makes it “social” data, why it
§    15% have personal websites                   is complex and unstructured,
§    15% are content re-mixers                    and how it differs from simple
§    14% are bloggers                             data.
§    13% use Twitter
§    6% use location services–9% allow location awareness and 23% use
     maps etc.               Source: Pew Research
      June 2012                                                          16
Social Data Quadrant Map for Use




 June 2012                         17
Everyone is getting into Social Data




 June 2012                             18
Social Intelligence –
Insurance Solutions for Social Data




 June 2012                            19
Risk Areas Key:
Prospect, Underwriting and Claims

                        Recent research indicates that 24
                        percent of insurance companies
                        are evaluating using social data
                        in claims and 26 percent are
                        evaluating it for underwriting.
                        Source : SMA




 June 2012                                          20
Case Study: Prospect Scoring

                           Scoring of prospects based on conversion and
               Psycho-     value, marketing strategy developed to match
               graphic
               Data
                                     Potential Value
   Text                                             High value,    High value,    High value,




                                           High
                                                       Low           Medium          High
   Data                                             conversion,    conversion,    conversion,
                                                    2nd Priority   Top Priority   Top priority
                  Predictive   Potential




                                           Medium
                                                    Good value,    Good value,    Good value,
Web               Analysis     Future                  Low           Medium          High
Log                  and       Value of             conversion,    conversion,    conversion,
Data                                                Low Priority   2nd Priority   Top Priority
                  Modeling     Customer
                                                     Low value,     Low value,    Low value,
                                                       Low           Medium          High
                                           Low
  Survey                                            conversion,    conversion,    conversion,
  Data                                              Low Priority   Low Priority   2nd Priority

               Purchased                            Low   Medium         High
               Data                                    Propensity to Convert
   June 2012                                                                         21
The Addition of Social Data
to Score Prospects

             Hobbies and Extreme Sports
             Relationships
Psycho-      Activities and Calendar
graphic
             Travel Comments
Data
             Home Repair / Construction Updates
             Personal Family Updates
 Web
 Log         GPS Coordinates of daily trips
 Data        Tweets on political and organizational affiliations
             Blog comments – what blob as well as content
             Religious and community affiliations
 June 2012                                                 22
Case Study: Target Retention Strategies
Step 1: Determine Life time Value

               Post Purchase
               Activity –                Future
               Increases in               Value
               predictive
               value over time
               as behavioral
               patterns
               develop –
               Integrate Predictive
               Social data Analysis
               here             Customer behavior
                                shifts focus from
              Time of Purchase current to future value
              Demographics -
              Loses predictive           Current
              value over time             Value
              as relevance is
              superseded by
              inforce behaviors
  June 2012                                              23
Case Study: Target Retention Strategies
Step 2: Predict Potential Lapse

Source of Business influences
lapse tendencies based on         Web
channel behaviors                 Log
                                  Data


                                 Predictive
                                 Analysis –
                                  Model
Transaction behavior            Channel and
influences lapse tendencies      Consumer Supplement with
based on consumer behaviors      Behaviors
                                            Social data




    June 2012                                               24
Case Study: Target Retention Strategies
Step 3: Develop Strategy Matrix

                                    Match effort to risk
                                    and value –
                                    • High value low
                                      risk gets medium
                                      effort, save money
                                      on retaining low
                                      risk customers
                                    • Low value
                                      customers get low
                                      cost efforts across
                                      the board
                                    • Targeted high
                                      efforts on high
                                      value / high risk


  June 2012                                        25
Case Study:
Life Underwriting via App + Social Data

              Second child born last year            Actively
              High investment risk tolerance         pursue for
              Lived in home 2 years
              Owns home                              issuance of a
              Commuting distance 1 mile              preferred
              Reads Design and Travel Magazines      policy without
              Urban single cluster                   requiring
              Premium bank card                      fluids or
              Good financial indicators              medical
              Active lifestyle: Run, Bike, Tennis,   records.
              Aerobics
              Health food choices                    Use strong
              Little to no television consumption    retention
                                                     tactics.
Life UW using a GLM predictive model to assess risk:
§ Use info on app plus social data, No fluids or files
§ Integrate 3rd party publicly available information.
  June 2012                                                           26
Case Study:
Life Underwriting via App + Social Data

               Current residence four years
               Lived in same hometown 15 years
                                                       Do not send
               Currently renting                       offers. Do not
               Commuting distance 45 miles             pursue
               Works as administrative assistant       aggressive
               Divorced with no children               retention
               Foreclosure/bankruptcy indicators
                                                       strategies. If
               Avid book reader
               Fast food purchaser                     applies,
               Purchases diet, weight loss equipment   pursue
               Walks for health                        additional
               High television consumption             medical
               Low regional economic growth            records and
               Light wine drinker
                                                       tests.
In a test over 30,000 applicants, behavioral and lifestyle factors
provided 37% of the risk assessment influence and performed
as well as additional, more intrusive medical tests and fluids.
   June 2012                                                            27
Types of third party marketing data




 June 2012       Deloitte Predictive Model for Life   28
Life Underwriting Savings:
Using 3rd Party Data versus Medical Data




                 Deloitte Predictive Model for Life
   June 2012                                          29
Workers Comp already has a track
record of using Social Data




 June 2012                         30
Claims Analytics:
Fraud Red Flag Dashboard




 June 2012       Courtesy of Attensity   31
Social Analytics:
Customer Engagement Dashboard

§ Automatically monitor
  social conversations
§ Filter out irrelevant
  posts
§ Analyze posts to
  extract key insights
§ Engage customers
  with proactive
  outreach
§ Improve the
  experience customers
  are having on the site
§ Improve brand image
  and emphasize the
  legitimacy of business
     June 2012             Courtesy of Attensity   32
Social Analytics:
Conversation Sentiment Tracking




   June 2012        Courtesy of Attensity   33
Social Analytics:
Website Sentiment by LOB




 June 2012       Courtesy of Attensity   34
Social Analytics:
Overall Sentiment Ratings Dashboard




 June 2012        Courtesy of Attensity   35
Social Analytics:
Competitive Sentiment Dashboard




 June 2012        Courtesy of Attensity   36
Contact Information



              Robert E. Nolan Company
              Management Consultants
                 www.renolan.com

                 Steven M. Callahan, CMC®
                      Practice Director
             www.linkedin.com/in/stevenmcallahan




 June 2012                                         37

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201206 IASA Session 673 - Mining Social Data

  • 2. Mining Social Data to make informed Risk Evaluations Session 673 Tuesday June 5, 2012 3:30 PM June 2012 2
  • 3. Survey Results (Thank you to those who participated) Does your company have a formal Social Media strategy? Does your company have a formal Social Media use policy for employees? June 2012 3
  • 4. Survey Results (Thank you to those who participated) How well does your company currently use each of the following? 0 = Not at All, 1 = Fairly Well, 2 = Well, 3 = Very well June 2012 4
  • 5. Survey Results What is the main purpose for your company’s website? What is the main purpose for your company’s use of LinkedIn? June 2012 5
  • 6. Survey Results What is the main purpose for your company’s use of YouTube? Other/Na Servicing Leads Relationships Advertising 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% of respondents answered “Other/Na” for Pinterest. What is the main purpose for your company’s use of Blogs? Other/Na Servicing Leads Relationships Advertising June 2012 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6
  • 7. Survey Results What is the main purpose for your company’s Facebook page? Other/Na Servicing Leads Relationships Advertising 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% What is the main purpose for your company’s use of Twitter? Other/Na Servicing Leads Relationships Advertising June 2012 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 7
  • 8. Survey Results How are you capturing your online chats or posts? NOTE: Negative posts / blogs / tweets can be considered to be “complaints” under insurance department regulations and could require the same logging and reporting as if written or called in. June 2012 8
  • 9. Survey Results Support / Staff availability hours for online presence: No Presence 20% Multiple Business 40% Time Zones 20% Local Business Time Zone 24 Hours 20% The average number of staff supporting social media strategy was 1 after discounting an answer of 160 that was probably total service staff. June 2012 9
  • 10. Survey Results Capturing analytics on social media site(s) usage: Claims Customer Service Underwriting Marketing 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Capturing demographics about users of social media site(s): June 2012 10
  • 11. Survey Results Tracking ROI for the use of Social Media: Claims Customer Service Underwriting Marketing 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Capturing customer information from social media site(s): June 2012 11
  • 12. Survey Results Monitoring company reputation across the internet: Claims Customer Service Underwriting Marketing 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Which departments in your company use information collected from social media? Claims Customer Service Underwriting Marketing 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% June 2012 12
  • 13. Survey Results How does your company use mobile apps: Claims Customer Service Underwriting Marketing 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 100% of Respondents stated they attempt to collect email addresses from customers. 27% of Respondents stated they attempt to collect Facebook account name. June 2012 13
  • 14. LIMRA’s Research on Social Media use by Insurance Carriers Currently On or Plan To Be EXPAND BRAND Tumblr 15% AWARENESS 56% 0% Companies Expanding Presence Google+ 45% 70% 65% 0% 59% 60% 56% YouTube 88% 50% 47% 65% 43% 40% Twitter 81% 30% 54% 20% LinkedIn 95% 10% 65% 0% Facebook 98% 85% 0% 50% 100% 150% June 2012 2011 2010 14 LIMRA 2012 Life Insurance Conference
  • 15. Social Data (not Social Media and not Social Networks) comes from all over Acxiom Dun & Bradstreet ISO LexisNexis Merckle MIB Milliman Neustar Polk Riskmeter Grocery store rewards programs Frequent guest and Frequent Flyer programs Credit Card purchasing June 2012 15 Online purchasing – books, movies
  • 16. Social Data is constantly evolving Social Data is Being Added in Immense Volumes daily: § 66% of adults and 75% of teens are content creators on the internet § 66% of internet users are social networking site users § 55% share photos § 37% contribute rankings and ratings Social data is more than the § 33% create content tags data, it is the data and the § 30% share personal creations relationships – that’s what § 26% post comments on sites and blogs makes it “social” data, why it § 15% have personal websites is complex and unstructured, § 15% are content re-mixers and how it differs from simple § 14% are bloggers data. § 13% use Twitter § 6% use location services–9% allow location awareness and 23% use maps etc. Source: Pew Research June 2012 16
  • 17. Social Data Quadrant Map for Use June 2012 17
  • 18. Everyone is getting into Social Data June 2012 18
  • 19. Social Intelligence – Insurance Solutions for Social Data June 2012 19
  • 20. Risk Areas Key: Prospect, Underwriting and Claims Recent research indicates that 24 percent of insurance companies are evaluating using social data in claims and 26 percent are evaluating it for underwriting. Source : SMA June 2012 20
  • 21. Case Study: Prospect Scoring Scoring of prospects based on conversion and Psycho- value, marketing strategy developed to match graphic Data Potential Value Text High value, High value, High value, High Low Medium High Data conversion, conversion, conversion, 2nd Priority Top Priority Top priority Predictive Potential Medium Good value, Good value, Good value, Web Analysis Future Low Medium High Log and Value of conversion, conversion, conversion, Data Low Priority 2nd Priority Top Priority Modeling Customer Low value, Low value, Low value, Low Medium High Low Survey conversion, conversion, conversion, Data Low Priority Low Priority 2nd Priority Purchased Low Medium High Data Propensity to Convert June 2012 21
  • 22. The Addition of Social Data to Score Prospects Hobbies and Extreme Sports Relationships Psycho- Activities and Calendar graphic Travel Comments Data Home Repair / Construction Updates Personal Family Updates Web Log GPS Coordinates of daily trips Data Tweets on political and organizational affiliations Blog comments – what blob as well as content Religious and community affiliations June 2012 22
  • 23. Case Study: Target Retention Strategies Step 1: Determine Life time Value Post Purchase Activity – Future Increases in Value predictive value over time as behavioral patterns develop – Integrate Predictive Social data Analysis here Customer behavior shifts focus from Time of Purchase current to future value Demographics - Loses predictive Current value over time Value as relevance is superseded by inforce behaviors June 2012 23
  • 24. Case Study: Target Retention Strategies Step 2: Predict Potential Lapse Source of Business influences lapse tendencies based on Web channel behaviors Log Data Predictive Analysis – Model Transaction behavior Channel and influences lapse tendencies Consumer Supplement with based on consumer behaviors Behaviors Social data June 2012 24
  • 25. Case Study: Target Retention Strategies Step 3: Develop Strategy Matrix Match effort to risk and value – • High value low risk gets medium effort, save money on retaining low risk customers • Low value customers get low cost efforts across the board • Targeted high efforts on high value / high risk June 2012 25
  • 26. Case Study: Life Underwriting via App + Social Data Second child born last year Actively High investment risk tolerance pursue for Lived in home 2 years Owns home issuance of a Commuting distance 1 mile preferred Reads Design and Travel Magazines policy without Urban single cluster requiring Premium bank card fluids or Good financial indicators medical Active lifestyle: Run, Bike, Tennis, records. Aerobics Health food choices Use strong Little to no television consumption retention tactics. Life UW using a GLM predictive model to assess risk: § Use info on app plus social data, No fluids or files § Integrate 3rd party publicly available information. June 2012 26
  • 27. Case Study: Life Underwriting via App + Social Data Current residence four years Lived in same hometown 15 years Do not send Currently renting offers. Do not Commuting distance 45 miles pursue Works as administrative assistant aggressive Divorced with no children retention Foreclosure/bankruptcy indicators strategies. If Avid book reader Fast food purchaser applies, Purchases diet, weight loss equipment pursue Walks for health additional High television consumption medical Low regional economic growth records and Light wine drinker tests. In a test over 30,000 applicants, behavioral and lifestyle factors provided 37% of the risk assessment influence and performed as well as additional, more intrusive medical tests and fluids. June 2012 27
  • 28. Types of third party marketing data June 2012 Deloitte Predictive Model for Life 28
  • 29. Life Underwriting Savings: Using 3rd Party Data versus Medical Data Deloitte Predictive Model for Life June 2012 29
  • 30. Workers Comp already has a track record of using Social Data June 2012 30
  • 31. Claims Analytics: Fraud Red Flag Dashboard June 2012 Courtesy of Attensity 31
  • 32. Social Analytics: Customer Engagement Dashboard § Automatically monitor social conversations § Filter out irrelevant posts § Analyze posts to extract key insights § Engage customers with proactive outreach § Improve the experience customers are having on the site § Improve brand image and emphasize the legitimacy of business June 2012 Courtesy of Attensity 32
  • 33. Social Analytics: Conversation Sentiment Tracking June 2012 Courtesy of Attensity 33
  • 34. Social Analytics: Website Sentiment by LOB June 2012 Courtesy of Attensity 34
  • 35. Social Analytics: Overall Sentiment Ratings Dashboard June 2012 Courtesy of Attensity 35
  • 36. Social Analytics: Competitive Sentiment Dashboard June 2012 Courtesy of Attensity 36
  • 37. Contact Information Robert E. Nolan Company Management Consultants www.renolan.com Steven M. Callahan, CMC® Practice Director www.linkedin.com/in/stevenmcallahan June 2012 37