1. - 1 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Disruptive innovations in the Automotive: Is Tesla a sustainable business?
2. - 2 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Conclusion
Tesla’s economic and financial positions appear to be
too fragile for the considering future market
developments.
The analysis performed reaches the conclusion that
currently Tesla’s business model appears not to be
sustainable in the long period
3. - 3 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Executive Summary
Automotive Industry
Industry Overview: Shifting Paradigm
The Companies: Tesla vs Ford
The Analysis: Disruptive vs Traditional
Operating activities
Growth trends
Sources of financing
ROE and ROA
Major findings
Conclusion
Agenda
4. - 4 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
The present financial analysis focuses on Tesla Motors, a battery-car start-up based in California which
promises to set the base for a great paradigm shift in the Automotive Industry
In order to better appreciate the importance and the scope of what has been defined by many as the next
“Big Thing” the analysis compares Tesla’s economic and financial performances over a 5-year period,
from 2010-2014, to Ford’s ones
The choice of selecting a company, such as Ford, with a completely different business model, target
market and value chain as a main benchmark for Tesla, serves the purpose of gauging the effects of
two opposite side of a changing industry on the Companies’ Financial figures and ratios
Executive Summary
5. - 5 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Agenda
Executive Summary
Automotive Industry
Industry Overview: Shifting Paradigm
The Companies: Tesla vs Ford
The Analysis: Disruptive vs Traditional
Operating activities
Growth trends
Sources of financing
ROE and ROA
Major findings
Conclusion
6. - 6 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Industry Overview: Shifting Paradigm
15.9%
Green Energy Movement: concerned about
Environmental sustainability
Cost Efficiency: Electric Cars have low cost
maintenance when compared with the fuel cars.
Innovation: High performance cars with user
customization.
The Automotive Industry paradigm
may be shifting along 3 main axis
Comparison between Tesla’s and Ford’s Market share in
the Automotive Industry in US
[2014; % of total market share]
0.01% INNOVATION
GREEN
ENERGY
COST
7. - 7 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
The Companies: Tesla vs Ford
Technology
Supply Chain
Sales Model
R&D
Environment
Electric Engine
User customization
Internal Combustion Engine
Vertically Integrated Tier-based manufacturing model
Company owned sales distribution model
Web based selling model
Franchisee sales distribution model
Disruptive and breakthrough Innovation Incremental Innovation
Environment-Friendly
Zero-emission target
Still in the Initial Phase for Green Energy
Development
8. - 8 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Agenda
Executive Summary
Automotive Industry
Industry Overview: Shifting Paradigm
The Companies: Tesla vs Ford
The Analysis: Disruptive vs Traditional
Operating activities
Growth trends
Sources of financing
ROE and ROA
Major findings
Conclusion
9. - 9 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Operating activities
83%
72%
9%
19%
5%
3%
TESLA
3.419
FORD
144.077
100%
R&D
SG&A
COGS
POSITIVE EBIT
Breakdown of Revenues components
[2014; $ Mln; % of total revenues]
NEGATIVE EBIT
16%
7%
COGS increase primarily because of the amount of Raw materials.
From 2013 to 2014 the increase in cost was from $228.2 million to
$500.2 million
SG&A Investments are primarily from higher headcount and costs
to support an expanded retail and services
R&D Investments have been increasing year by year. In 2014 the
increase of almost 50% is primarily to support Model X expenses
and Model S upgrades
EBIT difference between Gross Income and SG&A and R&D. Gross
Income has been increasing but still below their operation expenses
The analysis on Operating Activities suggests that
Tesla’s current margins do not fit with the current
cost structure of production
10. - 10 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Tesla’s profitability over the previous five years has seen some
dramatic changes, though one thing has remained constant:
their losses
The losses mainly pertain to Tesla’s fast development as a
relative newcomer in the automotive industry
Ford’s sales continuously have risen, yet the growth of Tesla
is exponential in comparison
In terms of Tesla’s gross profit ratio, although this ratio
dictate more cost than revenue, they remain higher than the
industry giant Ford
Growth Trends
Trend of Tesla’s Revenues
[2010 – 2014; $ Mln]
413204117
+59%
3.198
2014201220112010 2013
2.013
20122011 2013
40
20
35
30
20142010
25
FORD
TESLA
Gross Profit Ratio trend comparison
[2010 – 2014; %]
On the profitability side historical data confirm that If
they continue on their trajectory, their sales and
operations will start to become profitable
11. - 11 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
The automotive sector due to its capital-intensive
structure, relies more than any other sector on heavy
borrowing
Ford Debt-Equity percentage show a year on year decrease
on the last five years, Tesla, displays a more irregular
pattern. Its reliance on debt has increased in the last years
The comparison with Ford becomes interesting when
comparing Total Debt and Total Asset. In this case it
appears like, despite of a heavy reliance on debt compared
to other sources of financing, Tesla is well below the average
level of Ford and the main Automotive players
Sources of Financing
2
8
4
6
0
2010 2011 20142012 2013
12
10
FORD
TESLA
Liabilities to Equity trend comparison
[2010 – 2014; Absolute value]
Even though ratio analysis shows that the actual level
of debt is well managed, the strong leverage Tesla is
exploiting now has to be backed up by a
considerable amount of profits in the year to com
201320112010 20142012
10
50
60
40
70
30
20 TESLA
FORD
Total Debt and Total Assets trend comparison
[2010 – 2014; Absolute value]
12. - 12 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
ROE and ROA
ROE %
ROA %
-37
-118-113
-200
-150
-100
-50
-250
0 -19
-227
-46
0
-10
-30
-50
-60
-20
-40
-4
-7
-43
-60
12
34
282
0
100
150
250
300
50
2010
200
20122011 20142013
37
2
4
12
8
6
10
2
12
4
2012 20132011 20142010
4
3
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
13. - 13 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Agenda
Executive Summary
Automotive Industry
Industry Overview: Shifting Paradigm
The Companies: Tesla vs Ford
The Analysis: Disruptive vs Traditional
Operating activities
Growth trends
Sources of financing
ROE and ROA
Major findings
Conclusion
14. - 14 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
In performing the analysis on Tesla’s operating activities and cash flows
and comparing with Ford’s, focusing on Tesla’s variability was paramount.
Ford’s stability as an incumbent showed limited variability. These
indications are key to analyzing the entrant of a innovative start-up to a
long time incumbent. The conclusion on operating activity analysis
suggests that Tesla’s current margins do not fit with the cost structure
of production. If the trend continues along its current trajectory, its hard to
imagine that it will be sustainable in the long term.
Revenues are growing at a promising rate even though there are still
concerns regarding the sustainability of the income statements lines i.e.
gross profit margin net income and EBITDA.
Looking at the capital and debt structure of Tesla, the company is
currently benefiting from a low rate of debt issuance and high level of
capital injection from the market. Nonetheless, the current method Tesla is
using to manage debt and capital leverage appears to not be sustainable in
the long term.
Major findings
Operating Activities
Growth trends
Sources of Financing
15. - 15 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Agenda
Executive Summary
Automotive Industry
Industry Overview: Shifting Paradigm
The Companies: Tesla vs Ford
The Analysis: Disruptive vs Traditional
Operating activities
Growth trends
Sources of financing
ROE and ROA
Major findings
Conclusion
16. - 16 -Hult International Business School – MBA Class 2016 – Golden Gate – Team 8 Mod. A – International Accounting
Conclusion
Tesla’s economic and financial positions appear to be
too fragile for the considering future market
developments.
The analysis performed reaches the conclusion that
currently Tesla’s business model appears not to be
sustainable in the long period
Notes de l'éditeur
to accelerate the advent of sustainable transport by bringing compelling mass market electric cars to market as soon as possible” this is part of Tesla mission’s statement which I want you to remember through this presentation
Today we will be presenting our financial analysis which focuses on Tesla Motors, an electric vehicle start-up based in California which promises to set the base for a great paradigm shift in the Automotive Industry.
Today we will present the understanding, framing and conclusions over the sustainability of the disruptive business model Tesla has been carrying over one of the biggest and strategically important markets in the World’s economy. In order to better appreciate the importance and the scope of what has been defined by many as the next “Big Thing” our analysis compares Tesla’s economic and financial performances over a 5-year period, from 2010-2014, to industry giant and incumbent Ford Motors.
The purpose for choosing a company, such as Ford, with a completely different business model, target market and value chain as a main benchmark of Tesla serves the purpose of gauging the effects of two opposite sides of a changing industry on the Companies’ Financial figures and ratios.
The automotive sector due to its capital-intensive structure, relies more than any other sector on heavy borrowing
Today we will be presenting our financial analysis which focuses on Tesla Motors, an electric vehicle start-up based in California which promises to set the base for a great paradigm shift in the Automotive Industry.
Today we will present the understanding, framing and conclusions over the sustainability of the disruptive business model Tesla has been carrying over one of the biggest and strategically important markets in the World’s economy. In order to better appreciate the importance and the scope of what has been defined by many as the next “Big Thing” our analysis compares Tesla’s economic and financial performances over a 5-year period, from 2010-2014, to industry giant and incumbent Ford Motors.
The purpose for choosing a company, such as Ford, with a completely different business model, target market and value chain as a main benchmark of Tesla serves the purpose of gauging the effects of two opposite sides of a changing industry on the Companies’ Financial figures and ratios.