This document analyzes Bangladesh's budgets for 2015-16 and 2016-17. It shows that total revenue and expenditure both increased slightly from 2015-16 to 2016-17, but the budget deficit also increased. Several sectors like education, health, agriculture, and transportation saw increased allocations in 2016-17 compared to 2015-16. The document also notes that debt servicing is putting pressure on the budget and that ensuring reliable power is important for education projects. It concludes with recommendations like simplifying taxes, maintaining revenue growth, and increasing public-private partnerships.

1. Performance analysis
of Bangladesh Budget
2015-16 & 2016-17

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NAME ID & BATCH
Nasrin Sultana 2548/42c
Chandrima Majumder 2543/42c
Sujan Chandra Kor 2551/42c
S. M. Saifur Rahman 2552/42c
Bidhan Biswas Shawan 2563/42c

3. Budget1
A budget is a quantitative expression of a plan for a
defined period of time. It may include planned sales
volumes and revenues, resource quantities, costs and
expenses, assets, liabilities and cash flows. It
expresses strategic plans of business units,
organizations, activities or events in measurable terms.

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Government budgets are
of two types
◇Balannced Budget
◇Unbalanced Budget
Types of Budget

5. Balanced Budget
Balanced budget is a
situation, in which
estimated revenue of the
government during the
year is equal to its
anticipated expenditure.
Government's estimated
Revenue
=
Government's proposed
Expenditure.

6. The budget in which income & expenditure are
not equal to each other is known as Unbalanced
Budget.
Unbalanced budget is of two types :-
◇Surplus Budget
◇Deficit Budget
Unbalanced Budget

7. Surplus Budget
The budget is a
surplus budget
when the estimated
revenues of the year
are greater than
anticipated
expenditures.
Government expected
revenue
>
Government proposed
Expenditure.

8. Government's
estimated Revenue
<
Government's
proposed Expenditure
Deficit Budget
Deficit budget is
one where the
estimated
government
expenditure is
more than
expected revenue.

9. •Proposed Budget Structure for (FY 2016-17), (FY 2015-2016):
Table 1: Proposed Budget Structure for (FY 2016-17), (FY 2015-2016)
(In crore)13
Sector Budget 2015-16 Budget 2016-17
 Total Revenue 2,08,443 (12.1) 2,42,752 (12.4)
NBR Tax 1,76,370 2,03,152
Non-NBR Tax 5,874 7,250
Non Tax Receipt 26,199 32,350
 Total Expenditure 2,95,100 (17.2) 3,40,605 (17.4)
a) Non Development Revenue
Expenditure
1,64,571 (9.6) 1,88,966 (5.6)
b) Development Expenditure 1,02,559 (6.0) 1,17,027 (6.0)
c) Other Expenditure 27,970 (1.6) 34,612 (1.8)
 Budget Deficit (86,657) (5.0) (97,853)(5.0)
a) External 30,134 (1.8) 36,305 (1.8)
b) Domestic 56,523 (3.3) 61,548 (3.3)
Of which, Bank 38,523 (2.2) 38,523 (2.2)

10. 12.10%
17.20%
5.00%
12.40%
17.40%
5.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
20.00%
· Total
Revenue
· Total
Expenditure
· Budget
Defici
Budget 2015-16
Budget 2016-17

11. (In core Tk.)
Human Resource Development Budget 2016-17 Budget 2015-16
1. Ministry of Primary and Mass Education 7,710 (7.0) 5,542 (5.7)
2. Ministry of Health and Family Welfare 6,235 (5.6) 5,331 (5.5)
3. Ministry of Education 6,167 (5.6) 4,197 (4.3)
4. Others 7,091 (6.4) 6,238 (6.4)
Total 27,203 (24.6) 21,308 (22.0)
•Sectoral Allocation in Human Resource Development:
7.00%
5.60% 5.60%
6.40%
5.70% 5.50%
4.30%
6.40%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
1. Ministry of
Primary and
Mass
Education
2. Ministry of
Health and
Family Welfare
3. Ministry of
Education
Others
Budget 2016-17
Budget 2015-16

12. (In core Tk.)
Agriculture & Rural
Development
Budget 2016-17 Budget 2015-16
Local Government Division 18,548 (16.8) 16,650 (17.2)
Ministry of Water Resource 3,759 (3.4) 3,062 (3.2)
Ministry of Agriculture 1,841 (1.7) 1,824 (1.9)
Others 2946 (2.7) 2,985 (3.1)
Total 27,094 (24.5) 24,521 (25.3)
•Sectoral Allocation in Agriculture & Rural Development:
16.80%
3.40%
1.70%
2.70%
17.20%
3.20%
1.90%
3.10%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
20.00%
Budget 2016-17
Budget 2015-16

13. (In core Tk.)
Power and Energy Budget 2016-17 Budget 2015-16
Power Division 13,040 (11.8) 16,485 (17.2)
Energy and Mineral Resource 1,911 (1.7) 1,994 (2.1)
Total 14,951 (13.5) 18,479 (19.1)
•Sectoral Allocation in Power and Energy:
11.80%
1.70%
17.20%
2.10%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
20.00%
Power Division Energy and Mineral Resource
Budget 2016-17
Budget 2015-16

14. (In core Tk.)
Transport and Communication Budget 2016-17 Budget 2015-16
Ministry of Railways 9,115 (8.2) 5,650 (5.8)
Road Transport and Highways Division 8,161 (7.4) 5,675 (5.9)
Bridge Division 9,258 (8.4) 8,921 (9.2)
Others 2,020 (1.8) 1,413 (1.5)
Total 28,554 (25.8) 21,659 (22.3)
•Sectoral Allocation in Transport and Communication:
8.20%
7.40%
8.40%
1.80%
5.80% 5.90%
9.20%
1.50%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
Ministry of
Railways
Road
Transport and
Highways
Division
Bridge Division Others
Budget 2016-17
Budget 2015-16

15. Summary of Findings:
◇Interest payment for
domestic debt has already
risen substantially .Debt
servicing for borrowing for
large infrastructure projects
may put further pressure in
future
◇The government takes
many projects for
educational sector like,
giving computer, projector
etc but there have no
electricity then how could
they able to use the
computer
◇Total Allocation for the
power and energy sector in
FY 17 isTk.15, 035 Core (9.5
% Lower than RB16, Mainly
driven by lower allocation for
development project).
◇Nominal exchange rate
remained stable but made
gains against currencies of
Bangladesh’s major
competitors which led to
some erosion of export
competitiveness.
◇The GDP growth
in FY15 6.6%,in
FY16 7.05% and the
GDP growth target
for FY17 has been
set at 7.2%.
◇Inflation is
expected to
decline to 5.8% in
FY17 compared to
FY15 (6.4%) and
FY 16 (6.2%).

16. There are some suggestion to collect the resources accurately and improving the Budget
decision.
◇Simplification of VAT registration
◇Maintain the current momentum of revenue mobilization
◇Emphasis on assesses-friendly institutional issues
◇Form a Task Force for accelerated disbursement of held-up project aid
◇Avoid volatility in bank borrowing to avoid pressure on private borrowing.
◇Enhanced public-private and government-NGO partnership.
RECOMMENDATION

17. ◇Quality must be ensured while including new projects.
◇To gear up foreign aided projects
◇Focus on power sector
◇Public-private partnership to monitor progress in key areas.
◇Computerization of tax mobilization activities.
◇Generation of regular and periodic updates on key budget related indicators.

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