Climate Change Impacts on Global Tourism
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Professor Peter Burns is the International Chief Technical Advisor for the 'Towards Low Carbon Tourism in Montenegro' project of the Centre for Sustainable Development, Montenegro.
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Climate Change Impacts on Global Tourism
- 2. Professor Peter Burns Project International Chief Technical Adviser University of Bedfordshire Tourism and Climate Change: Global Perspectives
- 3. The shift from 20th to 21st century living • The death of distance (Cairncross) • Demographics • Different for developed and developing worlds • Fragmented and single family units • Shift to urban living (2007 crossed the 50% threshold) • Gender equality remains unsatisfactory • Liquid modernity (Bauman) • Tourism mobility no longer a by product of household surplus income • Search for ‘authenticity, inspiration, rejuvenation’ • Emergence of the ‘sharing economy’
- 4. Remapping global politics and economics • Fukuyama was wrong! • The ‘rise of the rest’ (Zakaria’s post-American global economy) • Wall Street ethos of ‘Greed is good’ was wrong and is wrong • Globally, poor gender balance is still inhibiting equality and growth
- 5. But the world remains a confusing place…
- 10. A perfect storm on the way?
- 11. Individual and societal response?
- 12. 1 billion tourist arrivals (13th December 2012!) 1.8 billion by 2020?
- 13. IPCC AR5 (2013) on Europe Weird stuff is happening…
- 14. IPCC AR5 WGIII (2014)… Tourism is mentioned in IPCC AR5…
- 15. Tourism and IPCC AR5 WGIII (2014)
- 16. Global tourism hotspots (UNWTO/ UNEP)
- 17. Extreme positions for tourism… • Worst case scenario: oil prices and global warming may produce such catastrophic changes to society that tourism becomes irrelevant to society • Best case scenario: adaptation, mitigation, and technological innovation reduce tourism’s carbon footprint to zero • Just a thought: Can interactive technology offer carbon-neutral virtual tourist experiences through shared virtual environments?
- 18. And the future of tourism?
- 19. Or this? Ski Dubai !!
- 20. Or this?
- 21. Tourism summary… • The traditional climate/ weather/ tourism relationship is no longer a stable or reliable part of the product mix • Changes in consumption patterns and climatic conditions will impact on suppliers and destinations • Climate change impacts will happen up and down the value/ supply chains creating opportunities and need for innovation, adaptation, and mitigation
Notes de l'éditeur
- Worldwide, 97 per cent of countries report having programmes and policies in place to address gender inequality, but with the lack of real political will, this still hasn’t levelled the playing field for women The UN’s ICPD Beyond 2014 Global Report,
- Damian Carrington 18th September 2014 The Guardian
- Sir John Beddington Key questions 1. Can nine billion people be fed equitably, healthily and sustainably? 2. Can we cope with the future demands on water? 3. Can we provide enough energy to supply the growing population coming out of poverty? 4. Can we mitigate and adapt to climate change? 5. Can we do all this in the context of redressing the decline in biodiversity and preserving ecosystems?