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Urban Transition Management
revitalising local agenda 21?
Dr. Derk Loorbach, Director
Geneva, 17-04-2013
Urban transitions: a new challenge
• Persistent unsustainability
o Deeply embedded in societal structure
o Have multiple causes and consequences
o Involve a wide range of domains, actors and scale
levels
• Urban transitions are both inevitable and
desirable
• But not necessarily lead to urban sustainability
• Barriers:
o Policy fragmentation and short termism
o Existing routines, roles and (infra)structures
o Lack of strategy towards systems change
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Persistent unsustainability
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Transition levels
Macro-level: landscape
autonomous trends,
paradigms, slow changes
Meso-level: regime
Dominant structure, culture
and practices
Micro-level: niches
innovative ideas, projects,
technologies, niche actors
Based on Geels and Kemp, 2001
Transition pattern
Sustainable
society?
predevelopment
take-off
acceleration
stabilisation
Based on Rotmans et al, 2001
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Source: Stockholm Resilience Center and DRIFT, 2010
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Transitions?
A recurring pattern of societal change
A possibility for rapid shifts towards sustainability
A conceptual model and common language to
analyse, discuss and address complex societal
change
Basis for a multi-level ‘glocal’ governance strategy
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch sector transitions
Sustainable
society?
health care
energywaste
waterconstruction
mobility finance
predevelopment
take-off
acceleration
stabilisation
Based on Rotmans et al, 2001
Urban transition challenges
• Lots of projects and initiatives ongoing,
but no large scale impact
• Dominant regimes increasingly challenged
but unable to transition
• How to bring more systemic thinking and
strategy to ongoing efforts and help
accelerate and guide transitions?
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Transition Governance Framework
multi-level, multi-actor governance
Monitoring,
evaluating
and learning
Developing
images
coalitions
and
transition-
agendas
Mobilizing actors and
executing projects and
experiments
Problem structuring,
establishment of the
transition arena and
envisioning
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Basic TM Methods
system analysis
arena
agendaexperiments
evaluation
TM
Tools TM 1.0
SCENE
patterns
actor analysis
problem analysis
TRANSCE
reflexive
monitoring
monitoring
framework trans. indicators
MLP
DBU
Deepening, broadening, upscaling
transitioning
actor selection
expert-arena
system analysis
arena
agendaexperiments
evaluation
TM multiple participatory tools
Tools TM 2.0
tipping point
ethics
transition
potential
community engagement
communiciation
& discourse
financing (e.g. joint purchase)
empowerment
coalition building
business cases
cost-benefit
system analysis
arena
agendaexperiments
evaluation
TM
power analysis
institutionalization
power strategy
social movement
society
Transition arenaRegular policy arena
- Short term
- Peloton
- Incremental change
- Problem- and goal oriented
- Long term
- Change agents
- System-innovation
- Problem- and goal searching
Transition arenas
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Examples of urban transition
management
Working at the level of cities, sectors, areas, neigbourhoods
using common frame, language and tools
Aberdeen
Ghent
Montreuil
Rotterdam
Ludwigsburg
Mitigation in Urban Areas,
Solutions for Innovative Cities
5 local governments search for
pathways to a low carbon
future
Supported by two knowledge
institutions: CRP Henri Tudor
(LUX), DRIFT (NL)
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Transition
Networks
Transition
Experiments
Transition
Arena
Phase III
Framing the transition
Phase IV
Envisioning a
sustainable city
Phase V
Reconnecting long term
& short term
Phase VI
Going into
action
Transition
Team
Phase I
Setting the
scene
Phase II
Exploring
dynamics
Phase VII
Engaging &
anchoring
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
20 culturele
organisaties
> 100.000
bezoekers
Transitie
UGent
38.000
studenten
7.100 staf
Onderzoek
biogas uit
GFT
Mobiliteitsarena
938 mobbers
Begeleidingstraject KMO’s
KLIMAAT-
ARENA
Inspiratie
partijprogramma’s
Klimaatwerkgroep
stadslandbouw
KWG EE in bedrijven
KWG valorisatie rioolwater en GFT
KWG Kunstsector
KWG mobiliteit
KWG consument duwt markt
Onderzoek
ESCO’s (in
opstart)
CEIP meets
GMS
Localising Principles1
Develop shared perspective on current system challenges
Localise principles for a water sensitive region
Vision
building
Vision
broadening
2
Develop images (visual and narrative) of a water sensitive
region
Explore scenarios of future contexts and broaden images to suit
Backcasting3
Develop different transition pathways (sets of strategies) for
each broadened image
Resilience building4
Broaden transition pathways by testing resilience with reference
to future surprises
Agenda forming5
Identify directions for possible future activities
Develop specific action plans
MELBOURNE’s Transition Workshop
Themes
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
5 strategies
1. Re-inventing delta technology
2. Volume & Value
3. Crossing borders
4. Floating gentrification
5. Sustainable mobility
Long term: perspective 2040
Mid term: course 2025
Short term: action 2015
CityPorts
One of the images: Floating City
(Design: www.deltasync.nl)
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
…the transition experiment
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch Research Institute For TransitionsDutch Research Institute For Transitions
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
‘Welkome Plein’
The transition management approach
• Provides a practical governance philosophy, approach
and toolkit
• Enables the multi-level social learning process working
towards sustainability
• Empowers, connects and facilitates change agents at
different levels
• Can be translated to any complex context, building
upon local initiatives and competences
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
Beyond local agenda 21?
• Systemic approach explicitly aimed at
accelerating transitions
• Bottom-up and top-down
• Guding principles and methods, but no
blueprint
• Mobilising and channeling innovative energy in
society
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
More information and support
loorbach@drift.eur.nl
www.twitter.com/drk75
www.drift.eur.nl
INCONTEXT CONFERENCE
BERLIN, JUNE 6-7
www.themusicproject.eu
www.incontext-fp7.eu
www.sustainabilitytransitions.com
www.transitiepraktijk.nl/en
Dutch Research Institute For Transitions

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Sustainable geneva 170413

  • 1. Urban Transition Management revitalising local agenda 21? Dr. Derk Loorbach, Director Geneva, 17-04-2013
  • 2. Urban transitions: a new challenge • Persistent unsustainability o Deeply embedded in societal structure o Have multiple causes and consequences o Involve a wide range of domains, actors and scale levels • Urban transitions are both inevitable and desirable • But not necessarily lead to urban sustainability • Barriers: o Policy fragmentation and short termism o Existing routines, roles and (infra)structures o Lack of strategy towards systems change Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 3. Persistent unsustainability Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 4. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Transition levels Macro-level: landscape autonomous trends, paradigms, slow changes Meso-level: regime Dominant structure, culture and practices Micro-level: niches innovative ideas, projects, technologies, niche actors Based on Geels and Kemp, 2001
  • 6. Source: Stockholm Resilience Center and DRIFT, 2010 Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 7. Transitions? A recurring pattern of societal change A possibility for rapid shifts towards sustainability A conceptual model and common language to analyse, discuss and address complex societal change Basis for a multi-level ‘glocal’ governance strategy Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 8. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Dutch sector transitions Sustainable society? health care energywaste waterconstruction mobility finance predevelopment take-off acceleration stabilisation Based on Rotmans et al, 2001
  • 9. Urban transition challenges • Lots of projects and initiatives ongoing, but no large scale impact • Dominant regimes increasingly challenged but unable to transition • How to bring more systemic thinking and strategy to ongoing efforts and help accelerate and guide transitions? Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 10. Transition Governance Framework multi-level, multi-actor governance Monitoring, evaluating and learning Developing images coalitions and transition- agendas Mobilizing actors and executing projects and experiments Problem structuring, establishment of the transition arena and envisioning Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 11. Basic TM Methods system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM
  • 12. Tools TM 1.0 SCENE patterns actor analysis problem analysis TRANSCE reflexive monitoring monitoring framework trans. indicators MLP DBU Deepening, broadening, upscaling transitioning actor selection expert-arena system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM multiple participatory tools
  • 13. Tools TM 2.0 tipping point ethics transition potential community engagement communiciation & discourse financing (e.g. joint purchase) empowerment coalition building business cases cost-benefit system analysis arena agendaexperiments evaluation TM power analysis institutionalization power strategy social movement
  • 14. society Transition arenaRegular policy arena - Short term - Peloton - Incremental change - Problem- and goal oriented - Long term - Change agents - System-innovation - Problem- and goal searching Transition arenas Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 15. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions Examples of urban transition management Working at the level of cities, sectors, areas, neigbourhoods using common frame, language and tools
  • 16. Aberdeen Ghent Montreuil Rotterdam Ludwigsburg Mitigation in Urban Areas, Solutions for Innovative Cities 5 local governments search for pathways to a low carbon future Supported by two knowledge institutions: CRP Henri Tudor (LUX), DRIFT (NL) Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 17. Transition Networks Transition Experiments Transition Arena Phase III Framing the transition Phase IV Envisioning a sustainable city Phase V Reconnecting long term & short term Phase VI Going into action Transition Team Phase I Setting the scene Phase II Exploring dynamics Phase VII Engaging & anchoring Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 18.
  • 19. 20 culturele organisaties > 100.000 bezoekers Transitie UGent 38.000 studenten 7.100 staf Onderzoek biogas uit GFT Mobiliteitsarena 938 mobbers Begeleidingstraject KMO’s KLIMAAT- ARENA Inspiratie partijprogramma’s Klimaatwerkgroep stadslandbouw KWG EE in bedrijven KWG valorisatie rioolwater en GFT KWG Kunstsector KWG mobiliteit KWG consument duwt markt Onderzoek ESCO’s (in opstart) CEIP meets GMS
  • 20. Localising Principles1 Develop shared perspective on current system challenges Localise principles for a water sensitive region Vision building Vision broadening 2 Develop images (visual and narrative) of a water sensitive region Explore scenarios of future contexts and broaden images to suit Backcasting3 Develop different transition pathways (sets of strategies) for each broadened image Resilience building4 Broaden transition pathways by testing resilience with reference to future surprises Agenda forming5 Identify directions for possible future activities Develop specific action plans MELBOURNE’s Transition Workshop Themes Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 21. 5 strategies 1. Re-inventing delta technology 2. Volume & Value 3. Crossing borders 4. Floating gentrification 5. Sustainable mobility Long term: perspective 2040 Mid term: course 2025 Short term: action 2015 CityPorts
  • 22. One of the images: Floating City (Design: www.deltasync.nl) Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 23. …the transition experiment Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 24. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 25. Dutch Research Institute For TransitionsDutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 26. Dutch Research Institute For Transitions ‘Welkome Plein’
  • 27. The transition management approach • Provides a practical governance philosophy, approach and toolkit • Enables the multi-level social learning process working towards sustainability • Empowers, connects and facilitates change agents at different levels • Can be translated to any complex context, building upon local initiatives and competences Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 28. Beyond local agenda 21? • Systemic approach explicitly aimed at accelerating transitions • Bottom-up and top-down • Guding principles and methods, but no blueprint • Mobilising and channeling innovative energy in society Dutch Research Institute For Transitions
  • 29. More information and support loorbach@drift.eur.nl www.twitter.com/drk75 www.drift.eur.nl INCONTEXT CONFERENCE BERLIN, JUNE 6-7 www.themusicproject.eu www.incontext-fp7.eu www.sustainabilitytransitions.com www.transitiepraktijk.nl/en Dutch Research Institute For Transitions