The Services PMI rose from 53.8 in June to 54.7 in July, indicating continued growth in the private services sector. The new orders component contributed most to the increase, landing in the growth zone. While business activity growth moderated and employment dropped slightly, planned business activity rose, pointing to a positive outlook. Suppliers' prices decreased somewhat from June levels but continue to rise.
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Purchasing Managers´ Index Services, July 2011
1. Purchasing Managers’ Index – Services August 4, 2011
Services PMI climbs to 54.7 in July: growth continues.
The purchasing managers’ index for services (Services PMI) rose from 53.8 in June to 54.7
in July. The downward trend observed since April has thus leveled off. The index remains
within the growth zone, which indicates continued growth in the private services sector.
The component index for new orders contributed the most to the increase in the Services
PMI, landing in the growth zone yet again. Supplier delivery times also made a positive
contribution with the index level of 56.1 in July indicating continued strong demand pressure
within the sector.
The rate of increase in service companies’ business activity moderated in July, and the
employment index dropped marginally. The index for planned business activity rose
somewhat, indicating a positive outlook for growth in the services sector.
The index for suppliers’ intermediate goods prices dropped from 58.1 in June to 54.8 in July.
Prices continue to rise, though the pressure decreased somewhat.
Services PMI
(Services Purchasing
Managers’ Index)
Seasonally adjusted
2011 Jul. 54.7
Jun. 53.8
May 56.7
Apr. 60.9
Mar. 60.8
Feb. 62.0
Jan. 65.6
2010 Dec. 65.8
Nov. 64.0
Oct. 63.6
Sep. 60.8
Aug. 63.7
Jul. 63.5
Next publication of Services Purchasing Managers’ Index: Monday, September 5, 2011
4. Silf/Swedbank’s
Purchasing Managers’ Index – Services
- objectives and methodology
History Silf and Swedbank AB publ. made the first joint – internal – calculation of the
“Purchasing Managers’ Index” for the service sector of the four indexes (PMI) during
2005. The model for PMI – Services is the U.S. based Non-Manufacturing Index and
the Swedish PMI, which has been published since November 1994
Participants About 200 purchasing managers in the service sector.
Publication Third weekday of each month, 8:30 am.
Analysis Period Comparison with previous month.
Composition
of PMI – Services (%) New orders (within the company) 35
Business activity (within the company) 25
Employment (within the company) 20
Suppliers’ Delivery Times 20
Other leading indicators
(not included in PMI – Services) Backlog of Orders
Suppliers’ intermediate goods prices
Planned business activity next six months
Objective Quick economic indicator
Simple statistics
Statistics with relatively short publication intervals
Constant contact with a well-informed professional group
Calculation According to “diffusion index”. Positive changes are noted in percent for the four sub
indexes. The percentage of unchanged replies, multiplied by 0.5, is added to this
figure. Then the different sub indexes are weighted as described above to reach the
total index. The Purchasing Managers’ Index – Services does not indicate activity
levels but rather monthly changes in activity in the service sector.
“Break-even” The dividing line between growth and decline – in line with US praxis – has been
drawn at a total index of 50. However, this boundary or “neutral growth zone” should
not be applied excessively. Rather, “Break-even” at 50 indicates a target value.
We believe we have used reliable sources and procedures to generate and analyze the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI –
Services). However, Swedbank AB (publ) and SILF (earlier Organisationen för Inköp och Logistik, /I&L/ – The Organization
for Purchasing and Logistics) cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the analyses and cannot be responsible for
any errors or omissions in the basic data or processing thereof. The reader should base any decisions on other background
material as well.
Swedbank AB (publ), SILF. their employees, and other coworkers accept no liability whatsoever for any direct or
consequential loss or injury of any kind arising from any errors or omissions in the analyses presented in the Purchasing
Managers’ Index – Services.