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Swedbank’s first quarter 2012 results
Michael Wolf, CEO
Göran Bronner, CFO
Håkan Berg, CRO
Progress in many areas
• Focus on customer relations and operational efficiency

• Good business activity
   – Increased lending business pipeline in LC&I/Retail
   – Capital markets related products
   – Commissions in Baltic shows healthy economic activity

• Cost ambitions on track

• Capital position further strengthened




                                                             2
Retail

Strong income growth
SEKm                  Q1 11   Q4 11   Q1 12   Q/Q
                                                     • Repricing moving ahead
Net interest income   2 918   3 244   3 407   +163

Net commissions       1 314   1 259   1 261    +2
                                                     • Cost trend according to plan
Total income          4 613   4 904   5 123   +219

Total expenses        2 415   2 486   2 342   -142   • Good credit quality
Profit before
                      2 198   2 418   2 781   +363
impairments
Credit Impairments        5    216      24    -192



ROE                    28.5    25.7    26.5

C/I ratio              0.52    0.51    0.46




                                                                                      3
Large Corporates & Institutions

Strong result and activity
SEKm                      Q1 11*   Q4 11*   Q1 12     Q/Q
                                                                   • Favourable market conditions
Net interest income         823      845     887      +42
   - of which LC/FI**
Net commissions
                            433
                            420
                                     563
                                     269
                                             652
                                             434
                                                      +89
                                                    +165
                                                                   • Good activity in corporate
Net gains and losses        366      224     648    +424
                                                                     finance and in bond issues
Total income              1 621    1 328    1 980   +652
Expenses excl variable
                            656      818     607     -211
                                                                   • Repricing trend, continued
staff cost
Variable staff costs         83       13     106      +93
                                                                     stable growth in Large
Profit before
                            882      497    1 267   +770
                                                                     Corporates NII
Impairments
Credit Impairments         -105        4      14      +10
                                                                   • Cost improvement visible

ROE                        22.3      9.4    19.1

C/I ratio                  0.46     0.63    0.36




* Excluding Lehman one-off ** Large Corporates/Financial Institutions
                                                                                                    4
Baltic Banking

NII pressure
SEKm                  Q1 11   Q4 11   Q1 12   Q/Q
                                                    • Underlying NII under pressure
Net interest income    997     901     912    +11

Net commissions        317     380     371     -9
                                                      - Deposits from falling Euribor
Total income          1 471   1 521   1 452   -69
                                                      - Further deleveraging
Total expenses         651     719     620    -99
Profit before
                       820     802     832    +30
                                                    • Net recoveries in all three
impairments
Credit Impairments     -382    -117   - 134   -17
                                                      countries

ROE                    13.9   -18.9    14.5
                                                    • Good business pipeline but
C/I                    0.44    0.47    0.43
                                                      weak consumer confidence




                                                                                        5
Cost development

Cost reductions running according to plan
• Target to reduce underlying costs by SEK 1bn 2012

• Year on year underlying cost decrease of SEK 185m

• Biggest reductions in staff (SEK 90m) and consultancy costs (SEK 75m)

• Further cost effects to be seen


Cost Trend (SEKm)               Q1 2011   Q1 2012   Y/Y

Total expenses                   4 513     4 413    - 100
Variable staff costs              146       208     + 62

Compensation to savings banks     129       152     + 23

Underlying cost                  4 238     4 053    - 185




                                                                          6
Group results

Solid development
SEKm                    Q1 11   Q4 11   Q1 12    Q/Q       Y/Y
                                                                  • Strong NII
Net interest income     4 501   4 967   5 208    +241     +707
                                                                    - Repricing lending
Net commissions         2 456   2 291   2 405    +114       -51
                                                                    - Lower cost government
Net gains and losses      255     559     759    +200     +504
                                                                    guaranteed funding
Other income            1 369     839     809     - 30     -560
Total income            8 581   8 656   9 181    +525     +600
                                                                    - Shrinking deposit margins
Total expenses          4 513   4 947   4 413     -534    - 100
                                                                  • Cost management on track
Profit before
                        4 068   3 709   4 768   +1 059    +700
impairments
Credit impairments       -972    -174     172    +346    +1 144
                                                                  • Higher client activity
                                                                    - Corporate finance
Profit for the period   3 852     965   3 425   +2 460    - 427
                                                                    - FX/Fixed income
ROE                      16.1     3.9    14.0
                                                                    - Bond origination
C/I                      0.53    0.57    0.48
CT1-ratio                14.9    15.7    15.9




                                                                                                  7
Liquidity and funding

  Continued conservative stance
   •       Significantly improved environment

   •       Continued high issuance of long-term debt, SEK 56bn during Q1

   •       Estimated issuance SEK 100-120bn for full year

   •       Higher degree of senior unsecured funding

   •       Awaiting new regulatory landscape of capital and funding
                Long-term debt issued in Q1                                   Outstanding short-term debt
       SEKm                                                          SEKm
30 000                                                           60 000


25 000                                                           50 000


20 000                                                           40 000

                                                                                                                         Q4 11
15 000                                                           30 000
                                                                                                                         Q1 12

10 000                                                           20 000

 5 000                                                           10 000

       0
                                                                     0
           Domestic   Euro CB   USD CB    Other CB     Senior
                                                                          Domestic ECP/CD   USCP   Yankee   French   Finnish
             CB                  (144A)              unsecured
                                                                            CP                      CD        CD       CD

                                                                                                                                 8
Risk highlights

Stable asset quality
Credit impairments (SEKm)   Q1 12   • Impaired loans decreasing
Retail                         24
                                    • Continued resilience in Sweden
LC&I                           14
Baltic Banking               -134   • Further improvements in the Baltic
  Estonia                     -78     portfolio
  Latvia                      -21
                                    • Ukraine remains risk area
  Lithuania                   -35
                                       – SEK 200m additional provisions
Group Functions & Other       268
  Russia                      -65
  Ukraine                     333
Swedbank Group                172




                                                                           9
Asset quality

    Impaired loans decreasing
    • Excluding FX effect, down SEK 2.4bn in Q1

    • Improvements for corporates in all areas

SEKm
 45 000             2 391
           40 328
 40 000

 35 000                                                                                                Share of
                            - 4 088   - 3 853                                                          impaired
 30 000                                         - 3 031                                                loans, gross
                                                          - 1 078
                                                                    -1 926            22 139
 25 000
                                                                             -3 938
 20 000                                                                               -2 666           Ukraine 61%
                                                                                               4 965
                                                                                                702    Russia 12%
 15 000                                                                                        4 349   Lithuania 12%

 10 000
                                                                                               6 798   Latvia 19%

  5 000                                                                                                Estonia 6%
                                                                                               3 353
                                                                                                294    LCI 0.12%
                                                                                               1 678   Retail 0.18%
       0
           Q1 10    Q2 10   Q3 10      Q4 10    Q1 11     Q2 11     Q3 11    Q4 11    Q1 12    Q1 12



                                                                                                                       10
Asset quality

Continued focus on risk-weighted assets
• Minor change Q1 2012
    – Credit volume mix quality improvement
    – Recalibration Baltic Banking
    – Increased bond portfolio and holdings of unrated bonds

• Focus areas 2012
    – Review of small and mid-sized corporates Sweden
    – Retail mortgage risk-weights
    – Credit processes Retail and Baltic Banking




                                                               11
Strong first quarter but uncertain macro
 • Net profit SEK 3.4bn

 • Core Tier 1 capital ratio 15.9 per cent

 • Return on equity 14.0 per cent

 SEKm
                            Profit before impairments
6 000




4 000




2 000




   0
        Q1 10   Q2 10   Q3 10   Q4 10   Q1 11   Q2 11   Q3 11   Q4 11   Q1 12


                                                                                12
Q&A
Appendix




           14
Mortgage loans gross margin (3 months)
    %
6




5
                                                                                                        Net margin


4

                                                                                                       The gross margin should cover:
                                                                                                       Cost of liquidity ~0,3%
3                                                                                                      Administrative costs ~0,3%
                                                                                                       Cost of capital ~ 0,13%
                                                                                                       Credit impairments ~ 0,03%
2




1




0
Q1 03     Q1 04    Q1 05      Q1 06     Q1 07       Q1 08     Q1 09    Q1 10     Q1 11         Q1 12


    Gross margin   Swedbank's funding cost      Stibor 3 months   Swedish Riksbanks reporate

                                                                                                                                    15
Large Corporates & Institutions

Strong result and activity
SEKm                         Q1 11*     Q2 11     Q3 11    Q4 11*    Q1 12*

Net interest income             823       884       756       845       887
 of which LC & FI**             433       444       519       563       652
 of which Markets               390       440       237       282       235
Commission income               420       334       317       269       434
 of which LC & FI*              315       221       241       261       278
 of which Markets               105       113        77          8      156
Total income LC&I             1 621     1 247    1 184      1 328     1 980
 of which LC & FI**             758       682       770       832       946
 of which Markets               863       565       414       496     1 034
Total expenses, excl
                                656       685       659       818       607
variable pay
Variable staff costs             83        50         6        13       106
Profit bef
                                882       512       519       497     1 267
impairments
 of which LC & FI**             536       481       567       574       735
 of which Markets               346        31       -48       -77       532
Total impairments              -105        -20      -68        21           14


C/I ratio                      0.46      0.59      0.56      0.63       0.36

* Excluding Lehman one-off ,**Large corporates and Financial institutions

                                                                                 16
Cost management

 Cost target 2012
• Target to reduce underlying costs SEK 1bn 2012

SEKbn
  20
              18.4
  18                                                                                          17.1
                                  - 0.4                                                                          16.1
  16                                                    - 0.4               - 0.5

  14

  12

  10

  8

  6

  4

  2

  0
       Total expenses 2011 Variable staf f costs Restructuring costs   Compensation to   Underlying costs   Cost target 2012
        (af ter restatements)                                           Savings Banks         2011



                                                                                                                               17
Swedbank regulatory compliant – transition completed
• Transformation of:
   – Maturity structure liabilities
   – Liquidity reserve
   – Capital buffer

• Significantly reduced risk in balance sheet

• Cost for regulatory compliance taken


Ratio                      Swedbank           Expected requirements
CT1-ratio, Basel 3             14.9%       10% (2013)    12% (2015)
Liquidity coverage ratio       116%       100% (2015)     EUR/USD
Net stable funding ratio        96%       100% (2018)



                                                                       18
Liquidity and funding

 Long-term funding maturity profile
• FY 2012 maturities amount to nominal SEK 86bn
       − Of which SEK 46bn for the remainder of 2012




       Long-term funding maturity profile
 SEKbn
 200                                              Government
                                                  guaranteed debt

 150                                              Senior unsecured
                                                  debt

 100                                              Covered bonds



  50



   0
         2012      2013      2014   2015   2016     2017    2018-


 Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2012

                                                                     19
Liquidity and funding
Remaining government guaranteed debt
• Exited the programme on 30 April 2010
• No issuance under the programme since summer 2009
• Maturities of SEK 9bn in government guaranteed debt for the remainder of 2012

          Maturity profile as per Q1 2012
 SEKbn
40




                                                   JPY
                                                   CHF
20
                                                   USD
                                                   SEK
                                                   EUR




 0
               2012               2013      2014
Source: Swedbank March 31, 2012

                                                                                  20
Liquidity and funding

                  Senior unsecured debt strategy
                  •             Secure OC-level

                  •             Fund liquidity reserves



                                 House price sensitivity of the cover pool
                          35%

                          30%

                          25%
                                                                           OC
                          20%
Over-collateralisation




                          15%

                          10%

                           5%

                           0%

                          -5%

                         -10%

                         -15%

                         -20%
                                 0%   5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
                                              House price drop
                         Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2012, Nominal amounts
                                                                                21
Liquidity and funding

Liquidity reserve
According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association



                                                                                                                   SEKm
Cash and holdings in central banks                                                                              169 795
Deposits in other banks available overnight                                                                         134
Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks                   22 983
Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entities
Covered bonds                                                                                                     57 905
    - Issued by other institutions                                                                                57 905
    - Own issued
Securities issued by non-financial corporates
Securities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds)                                                    2 713
Other

Total1                                                                                                          253 531

Additional liquid assets, Group2                                                                                  67 795




1   94% of the securities in the liquidity reserve per Q1 2012 are rated AAA
2 86% of the additional liquid assets fulfill the Liquidity Reserve definition by the Swedish bankers’ association except from
that they are held outside the Treasury department.

                                                                                                                                 22
Swedish housing and mortgage market

Real estate prices – Sweden 12 months development
             Single-family homes1          Tenant owner rights2             Combined3
                            12M Δ                        12M Δ                 12M Δ


 Apr/11                              1%                          6%                   3%

 May/11                              0%                          6%                   2%

 Jun/11                              0%                          5%                   2%

  Jul/11                             0%                          6%                   2%

 Aug/11                             -2%                          3%                  -1%

 Sep/11                             -3%                          1%                  -2%

 Oct/11                             -4%                         -1%                  -3%

 Nov/11                             -5%                         -4%                  -5%

 Dec/11                             -7%                         -4%                  -6%

 Jan/12                             -4%                         -2%                  -4%

 Feb/12                             -4%                         -1%                  -3%

 Mar/12                             -4%                          1%                  -3%

Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE

                                                                                                                 23
Baltic real estate prices

    Real estate prices – Baltic countries
                                                                      Tallinn                                                                                                                                              Riga
1800                                                                                                                                                1 800

1600                                                                                                                                                1 600

1400                                                                                                                                                1 400

1200                                                                                                                                                1 200

1000                                                                                                                                                1 000

 800                                                                                                                                                 800

 600                                                                                                                                                 600

 400                                                                                                                                                 400

 200                                                                                                                                                 200

   0                                                                                                                                                   0
         Jan-05




                           Jan-06




                                             Jan-07




                                                                 Jan-08




                                                                                   Jan-09




                                                                                                       Jan-10




                                                                                                                         Jan-11




                                                                                                                                           Jan-12




                                                                                                                                                            Jan-05




                                                                                                                                                                                Jan-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Jan-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jan-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan-12
                  Jul-05




                                    Jul-06




                                                        Jul-07




                                                                          Jul-08




                                                                                              Jul-09




                                                                                                                Jul-10




                                                                                                                                  Jul-11




                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-05




                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jul-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jul-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jul-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Jul-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jul-11
                                                      Nr.of deals                           EUR/m2                                                                                                         Nr.of deals                           EUR/m2

           Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board                                                                                                                     Source: Swedbank

                                                                      Vilnius
1 800

1 600

1 400

1 200

1 000

 800

 600

 400

 200

   0
         Jan-05




                           Jan-06




                                             Jan-07




                                                                 Jan-08




                                                                                   Jan-09




                                                                                                       Jan-10




                                                                                                                         Jan-11




                                                                                                                                           Jan-12
                  Jul-05




                                    Jul-06




                                                        Jul-07




                                                                          Jul-08




                                                                                              Jul-09




                                                                                                                Jul-10




                                                                                                                                  Jul-11




                                                      Nr.of deals                           EUR/m2

        Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                24
-80
                                        -60
                                              -40
                                                    -20
                                                          0




                           -100
                                                              20
                                                                   EURm
                   Q1 11
                   Q2 11
                   Q3 11
                                                                                                                     Asset quality




     Estonia
                   Q4 11
                   Q1 12




                   Q1 11
                   Q2 11




     Latvia
                   Q3 11
                   Q4 11
                   Q1 12




                   Q1 11
                   Q2 11




       Lithuania
                   Q3 11
                   Q4 11
                   Q1 12




                   Q1 11
                   Q2 11
       Ukraine




                   Q3 11
                                                                          Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q




                   Q4 11
                   Q1 12




                   Q1 11
                   Q2 11
                   Q3 11
       Russia




                   Q4 11
                   Q1 12
25
Asset quality

Provisions – well provided for
• Increased individual provisioning rates
• Additional provisioning private portfolio Ukraine
• Positive rating migrations in home markets
SEKm
30 000                                                                                                             Provision ratios, %   Q1 12
                                                                                                                   Retail                  90
               61.0%
25 000                                                                                                             LC&I                   135
                                      60.0%
                                                                                                                   Baltic Banking          54
                                                        59.8%                61.5%               65.0%
20 000                                                                                                             Russia                  64
                2 769
                                       2 436                                                                       Ukraine                 79
                                                        2 409
15 000         16 598                 15 952                                  2 435                                Group                   65
                                                        14 782                                   2 478
                                                                             12 821                   10 801
10 000                                                                            9 255          11 915
                                                            8 206
                                               6 306
                        5 204
 5 000


    0
                Q1 11                 Q2 11             Q3 11                Q4 11               Q1 12

    Individual provisions       Portf olio provisions      Write-of f s, gross, cum f rom 2010   Provision ratio


                                                                                                                                             26
Asset quality

Credit impairments by business area, SEKm
                                                    172




                -324
                                         -174

                             -441




     -972


     Q1 11      Q2 11        Q3 11       Q4 11     Q1 12


     Retail   LC&I      Baltic Banking   Other (Russia/Ukraine)

                                                                  27

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Presentation of Swedbank's first quarter 2012 results

  • 1. Swedbank’s first quarter 2012 results Michael Wolf, CEO Göran Bronner, CFO Håkan Berg, CRO
  • 2. Progress in many areas • Focus on customer relations and operational efficiency • Good business activity – Increased lending business pipeline in LC&I/Retail – Capital markets related products – Commissions in Baltic shows healthy economic activity • Cost ambitions on track • Capital position further strengthened 2
  • 3. Retail Strong income growth SEKm Q1 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q/Q • Repricing moving ahead Net interest income 2 918 3 244 3 407 +163 Net commissions 1 314 1 259 1 261 +2 • Cost trend according to plan Total income 4 613 4 904 5 123 +219 Total expenses 2 415 2 486 2 342 -142 • Good credit quality Profit before 2 198 2 418 2 781 +363 impairments Credit Impairments 5 216 24 -192 ROE 28.5 25.7 26.5 C/I ratio 0.52 0.51 0.46 3
  • 4. Large Corporates & Institutions Strong result and activity SEKm Q1 11* Q4 11* Q1 12 Q/Q • Favourable market conditions Net interest income 823 845 887 +42 - of which LC/FI** Net commissions 433 420 563 269 652 434 +89 +165 • Good activity in corporate Net gains and losses 366 224 648 +424 finance and in bond issues Total income 1 621 1 328 1 980 +652 Expenses excl variable 656 818 607 -211 • Repricing trend, continued staff cost Variable staff costs 83 13 106 +93 stable growth in Large Profit before 882 497 1 267 +770 Corporates NII Impairments Credit Impairments -105 4 14 +10 • Cost improvement visible ROE 22.3 9.4 19.1 C/I ratio 0.46 0.63 0.36 * Excluding Lehman one-off ** Large Corporates/Financial Institutions 4
  • 5. Baltic Banking NII pressure SEKm Q1 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q/Q • Underlying NII under pressure Net interest income 997 901 912 +11 Net commissions 317 380 371 -9 - Deposits from falling Euribor Total income 1 471 1 521 1 452 -69 - Further deleveraging Total expenses 651 719 620 -99 Profit before 820 802 832 +30 • Net recoveries in all three impairments Credit Impairments -382 -117 - 134 -17 countries ROE 13.9 -18.9 14.5 • Good business pipeline but C/I 0.44 0.47 0.43 weak consumer confidence 5
  • 6. Cost development Cost reductions running according to plan • Target to reduce underlying costs by SEK 1bn 2012 • Year on year underlying cost decrease of SEK 185m • Biggest reductions in staff (SEK 90m) and consultancy costs (SEK 75m) • Further cost effects to be seen Cost Trend (SEKm) Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Y/Y Total expenses 4 513 4 413 - 100 Variable staff costs 146 208 + 62 Compensation to savings banks 129 152 + 23 Underlying cost 4 238 4 053 - 185 6
  • 7. Group results Solid development SEKm Q1 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q/Q Y/Y • Strong NII Net interest income 4 501 4 967 5 208 +241 +707 - Repricing lending Net commissions 2 456 2 291 2 405 +114 -51 - Lower cost government Net gains and losses 255 559 759 +200 +504 guaranteed funding Other income 1 369 839 809 - 30 -560 Total income 8 581 8 656 9 181 +525 +600 - Shrinking deposit margins Total expenses 4 513 4 947 4 413 -534 - 100 • Cost management on track Profit before 4 068 3 709 4 768 +1 059 +700 impairments Credit impairments -972 -174 172 +346 +1 144 • Higher client activity - Corporate finance Profit for the period 3 852 965 3 425 +2 460 - 427 - FX/Fixed income ROE 16.1 3.9 14.0 - Bond origination C/I 0.53 0.57 0.48 CT1-ratio 14.9 15.7 15.9 7
  • 8. Liquidity and funding Continued conservative stance • Significantly improved environment • Continued high issuance of long-term debt, SEK 56bn during Q1 • Estimated issuance SEK 100-120bn for full year • Higher degree of senior unsecured funding • Awaiting new regulatory landscape of capital and funding Long-term debt issued in Q1 Outstanding short-term debt SEKm SEKm 30 000 60 000 25 000 50 000 20 000 40 000 Q4 11 15 000 30 000 Q1 12 10 000 20 000 5 000 10 000 0 0 Domestic Euro CB USD CB Other CB Senior Domestic ECP/CD USCP Yankee French Finnish CB (144A) unsecured CP CD CD CD 8
  • 9. Risk highlights Stable asset quality Credit impairments (SEKm) Q1 12 • Impaired loans decreasing Retail 24 • Continued resilience in Sweden LC&I 14 Baltic Banking -134 • Further improvements in the Baltic Estonia -78 portfolio Latvia -21 • Ukraine remains risk area Lithuania -35 – SEK 200m additional provisions Group Functions & Other 268 Russia -65 Ukraine 333 Swedbank Group 172 9
  • 10. Asset quality Impaired loans decreasing • Excluding FX effect, down SEK 2.4bn in Q1 • Improvements for corporates in all areas SEKm 45 000 2 391 40 328 40 000 35 000 Share of - 4 088 - 3 853 impaired 30 000 - 3 031 loans, gross - 1 078 -1 926 22 139 25 000 -3 938 20 000 -2 666 Ukraine 61% 4 965 702 Russia 12% 15 000 4 349 Lithuania 12% 10 000 6 798 Latvia 19% 5 000 Estonia 6% 3 353 294 LCI 0.12% 1 678 Retail 0.18% 0 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q1 12 10
  • 11. Asset quality Continued focus on risk-weighted assets • Minor change Q1 2012 – Credit volume mix quality improvement – Recalibration Baltic Banking – Increased bond portfolio and holdings of unrated bonds • Focus areas 2012 – Review of small and mid-sized corporates Sweden – Retail mortgage risk-weights – Credit processes Retail and Baltic Banking 11
  • 12. Strong first quarter but uncertain macro • Net profit SEK 3.4bn • Core Tier 1 capital ratio 15.9 per cent • Return on equity 14.0 per cent SEKm Profit before impairments 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 12
  • 13. Q&A
  • 14. Appendix 14
  • 15. Mortgage loans gross margin (3 months) % 6 5 Net margin 4 The gross margin should cover: Cost of liquidity ~0,3% 3 Administrative costs ~0,3% Cost of capital ~ 0,13% Credit impairments ~ 0,03% 2 1 0 Q1 03 Q1 04 Q1 05 Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 08 Q1 09 Q1 10 Q1 11 Q1 12 Gross margin Swedbank's funding cost Stibor 3 months Swedish Riksbanks reporate 15
  • 16. Large Corporates & Institutions Strong result and activity SEKm Q1 11* Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11* Q1 12* Net interest income 823 884 756 845 887 of which LC & FI** 433 444 519 563 652 of which Markets 390 440 237 282 235 Commission income 420 334 317 269 434 of which LC & FI* 315 221 241 261 278 of which Markets 105 113 77 8 156 Total income LC&I 1 621 1 247 1 184 1 328 1 980 of which LC & FI** 758 682 770 832 946 of which Markets 863 565 414 496 1 034 Total expenses, excl 656 685 659 818 607 variable pay Variable staff costs 83 50 6 13 106 Profit bef 882 512 519 497 1 267 impairments of which LC & FI** 536 481 567 574 735 of which Markets 346 31 -48 -77 532 Total impairments -105 -20 -68 21 14 C/I ratio 0.46 0.59 0.56 0.63 0.36 * Excluding Lehman one-off ,**Large corporates and Financial institutions 16
  • 17. Cost management Cost target 2012 • Target to reduce underlying costs SEK 1bn 2012 SEKbn 20 18.4 18 17.1 - 0.4 16.1 16 - 0.4 - 0.5 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Total expenses 2011 Variable staf f costs Restructuring costs Compensation to Underlying costs Cost target 2012 (af ter restatements) Savings Banks 2011 17
  • 18. Swedbank regulatory compliant – transition completed • Transformation of: – Maturity structure liabilities – Liquidity reserve – Capital buffer • Significantly reduced risk in balance sheet • Cost for regulatory compliance taken Ratio Swedbank Expected requirements CT1-ratio, Basel 3 14.9%  10% (2013) 12% (2015) Liquidity coverage ratio 116%  100% (2015) EUR/USD Net stable funding ratio 96%  100% (2018) 18
  • 19. Liquidity and funding Long-term funding maturity profile • FY 2012 maturities amount to nominal SEK 86bn − Of which SEK 46bn for the remainder of 2012 Long-term funding maturity profile SEKbn 200 Government guaranteed debt 150 Senior unsecured debt 100 Covered bonds 50 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018- Source: Swedbank Mar 31, 2012 19
  • 20. Liquidity and funding Remaining government guaranteed debt • Exited the programme on 30 April 2010 • No issuance under the programme since summer 2009 • Maturities of SEK 9bn in government guaranteed debt for the remainder of 2012 Maturity profile as per Q1 2012 SEKbn 40 JPY CHF 20 USD SEK EUR 0 2012 2013 2014 Source: Swedbank March 31, 2012 20
  • 21. Liquidity and funding Senior unsecured debt strategy • Secure OC-level • Fund liquidity reserves House price sensitivity of the cover pool 35% 30% 25% OC 20% Over-collateralisation 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% House price drop Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2012, Nominal amounts 21
  • 22. Liquidity and funding Liquidity reserve According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association SEKm Cash and holdings in central banks 169 795 Deposits in other banks available overnight 134 Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks 22 983 Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entities Covered bonds 57 905 - Issued by other institutions 57 905 - Own issued Securities issued by non-financial corporates Securities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds) 2 713 Other Total1 253 531 Additional liquid assets, Group2 67 795 1 94% of the securities in the liquidity reserve per Q1 2012 are rated AAA 2 86% of the additional liquid assets fulfill the Liquidity Reserve definition by the Swedish bankers’ association except from that they are held outside the Treasury department. 22
  • 23. Swedish housing and mortgage market Real estate prices – Sweden 12 months development Single-family homes1 Tenant owner rights2 Combined3 12M Δ 12M Δ 12M Δ Apr/11 1% 6% 3% May/11 0% 6% 2% Jun/11 0% 5% 2% Jul/11 0% 6% 2% Aug/11 -2% 3% -1% Sep/11 -3% 1% -2% Oct/11 -4% -1% -3% Nov/11 -5% -4% -5% Dec/11 -7% -4% -6% Jan/12 -4% -2% -4% Feb/12 -4% -1% -3% Mar/12 -4% 1% -3% Source: Valuegard www.valuegard.se (Based on data from Mäklarstatistik), 1 HOXHOUSESWE, 2 HOXFLATSWE, 3 HOXSWE 23
  • 24. Baltic real estate prices Real estate prices – Baltic countries Tallinn Riga 1800 1 800 1600 1 600 1400 1 400 1200 1 200 1000 1 000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 0 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board Source: Swedbank Vilnius 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Nr.of deals EUR/m2 Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers 24
  • 25. -80 -60 -40 -20 0 -100 20 EURm Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Asset quality Estonia Q4 11 Q1 12 Q1 11 Q2 11 Latvia Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q1 11 Q2 11 Lithuania Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q1 11 Q2 11 Ukraine Q3 11 Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q Q4 11 Q1 12 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Russia Q4 11 Q1 12 25
  • 26. Asset quality Provisions – well provided for • Increased individual provisioning rates • Additional provisioning private portfolio Ukraine • Positive rating migrations in home markets SEKm 30 000 Provision ratios, % Q1 12 Retail 90 61.0% 25 000 LC&I 135 60.0% Baltic Banking 54 59.8% 61.5% 65.0% 20 000 Russia 64 2 769 2 436 Ukraine 79 2 409 15 000 16 598 15 952 2 435 Group 65 14 782 2 478 12 821 10 801 10 000 9 255 11 915 8 206 6 306 5 204 5 000 0 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Individual provisions Portf olio provisions Write-of f s, gross, cum f rom 2010 Provision ratio 26
  • 27. Asset quality Credit impairments by business area, SEKm 172 -324 -174 -441 -972 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Retail LC&I Baltic Banking Other (Russia/Ukraine) 27