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DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT APRIL 13 2022
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13 April 2022
Daily Analysis Report
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: Kiwi remains highly vola le a er RBNZ’s Interest Rate Decision, Asian stock markets mixed, gold hovers around $1,970 mark ahead of U.S. PPI results
Key Headlines:
• RBNZ rose Official Cash Rate to 1.50 pct vs 1.00 pct previous release.
• New Zealand FPI stands at 0.7 pct vs -0.1 pct previous release.
• Japan Core Machinery Orders stands at -9.8 pct vs -2.0 pct previous release.
• Japan M2 Money Supply stands at 3.5 pct vs 3.6 pct previous release.
• Australia Westpac Consumer Sen ment stands at -0.9 pct vs -4.2 pct previous release.
• Argen na's central bank directors will meet on Wednesday to discuss a possible interest rate hike, a source with the bank told Reuters on Tuesday, as the South American country
ba les annual infla on expected to have topped 6% in March – Reuters.
• U.S. President Joe Biden will unveil plans on Tuesday to extend the availability of higher biofuel blends of gasoline during the summer to curb soaring fuel costs and to cut reliance
on foreign energy sources, the White House said – Reuters.
• U.S. consumer infla on hit another four-decade high in March when it reached 8.5% in large part on gasoline prices surging to a record, but the data sported enough so spots for
some Wall Street pundits to declare "peak infla on" was at hand – Reuters.
• Italy reported 83,643 COVID-19 related cases on Tuesday, against 28,368 the day before, the health ministry said, while the number of deaths rose to 169 from 115 – Reuters.
• The BA.2 Omicron subvariant of the coronavirus is now responsible for 86% of U.S. COVID-19 cases and more than 90% of infec ons in the Northeast, according to data on Tuesday
from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Preven on (CDC) – Reuters.
• Some Shanghai residents were able to leave their homes for the first me in more than two weeks on Tuesday as the city took tenta ve steps towards easing a COVID-19 lockdown
amid moun ng worries over the economic impact of the strict curbs – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. CPI, previous 6.2, expected 6.7.
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. Core CPI, previous 5.2, expected 5.3.
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. PPI Input data, previous 1.4, expected 2.0.
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. PPI Output data, previous 0.8, expected 1.2.
• (0600 GMT/1130 IST) U.K. RPI, previous 8.2, expected 8.8.
• (0800 GMT/1330 IST) Italy Industrial produc on, previous -3.4, expected 0.9.
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) U.K. HPI, previous 9.6, expected 10.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. PPI, previous 0.8, expected 1.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Core PPI, previous 0.2, expected 0.5.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST0 Canada BoC interest Rate Decision, previous 0.50, expected 1.0.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (0615 GMT/1145 IST) BoJ Gov Kuroda Speaks.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) Canada BoC Press Conference.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.05% to 100.25 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7482
R2 S2
0.7499
R3 S3
0.7526
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7557
Buy Above 0.7481
0.7512
0.7454
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7440
0.7402
0.7468
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: TheAussie trades slightly higher on Wednesday after Westpac Consumer Sentiment data
and remains well supported above $0.7450 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $0.7474 and low
at $0.7442 mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA suggest up trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $0.7482 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent
close below $0.7440 will check further supports.
0.7440
0.7412
0.7400
0.7372
APRIL,
2022
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.0852
R2 S2
1.0876
R3 S3
1.0899
R4
Commentary
S4
1.0922
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The euro remains slightly volatile in early Asia and hovers around $1.0830 mark. The pair
made intraday high at $1.0840 and low at $1.0811 mark. Today triple EMAon a day chart and H1 chart
suggest bearish trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.0852 on H1 chart requires for
the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.0815 on H1 chart will check further
supports. European Calendar will remain light for the day.
EUR / USD
1.0800
1.0776
1.0751
1.0726
Buy Above 1.0852
1.0878
1.0821
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.0808
1.0772
1.0838
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3022
R2 S2
1.3052
R3 S3
1.3076
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3099
Buy Above 1.3026
1.3055
1.3001
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2990
1.2960
1.3015
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The Sterling trades slightly higher ahead of U.K.’s CPI, Core CPI data and trading around
$1.3000 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3014 and low at $1.2987 mark. A day chart and
H1 chart with triple EMA suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3022 on
H1 chart will check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.2992 will check further
supports.
USD
1.2992
1.2965
1.2944
1.2910
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
APRIL,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2642
R2 S2
1.2660
R3 S3
1.2678
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2699
Buy Above 1.2640
1.2672
1.2611
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2590
1.2540
1.2622
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD starts a new day on a positive note ahead of BoC’s Interest Rate Decision and
stabilizes below 1.2650 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2643 and low at 1.2610 mark. Today a
day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests up trend for the time being.Asustained close
above 1.2642 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2590
on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2590
1.2560
1.2530
1.2504
APRIL,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
125.72
R2 S2
125.94
R3 S3
126.12
R4
Commentary
S4
126.44
Buy Above 125.76
126.05
125.45
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 125.30
125.01
125.62
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen depreciates on Wednesday as Japan’s Core Machinery Orders data
misses the expectations. The pair made intraday high at 125.65 and low at 125.29 mark. The triple
EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above
125.72 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 125.30 on H1
chart will check further key supports.
USD /JPY
125.30
125.12
124.90
124.62
APRIL,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1976
R2 S2
1982
R3 S3
1989
R4
Commentary
S4
1994
Buy Above 1974
1980
1967
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1961
1955
1967
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold rose sharply in previous session after U.S. CPI & Core CPI data and
currently trading around $1,970 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,972 and low at $1,962
mark. A triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1,976 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,961
will check further supports. U.S. PPI, Core PPI data will remain in focus.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1961
1956
1948
1942
APRIL,
2022
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
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