The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf(CBTL), Business strategy case study
DAILY ANALYSIS REPORT DECEMBER 17 2021
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17 December 2021
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen remains slightly vola le a er BoJ’s Policy Rate Decision, Asian stock markets in red, gold hits fresh 2 – week high at $1,804 mark
Key Headlines:
• Japan keeps policy rate unchanged at -0.10 pct.
• New Zealand Final ANZ Business Confidence stands at -23.2 vs -16.4 previous release.
• BoJ: Decided to extend the Special Program to Support Financing in response to the Novel Covid – 19 in part by 6 months un l the end of the Sept 2022.
• BoJ – BoJ will closely monitor the impact of Covid – 19 and will not hesitate to take addi onal easing measures if necessary.
• U.K. GFK Consumer Confidence stands at -15 vs -14 previous release.
• Swiss kept Policy Rate unchanged at -0.75 pct.
• U.K. rose Official Bank Rate to 0.25 pct vs 0.10 pct previous release, 8 members out of 9 U.K. PMC voted to hike Bank rate.
• ECB kept interest rate unchanged at 0.00 pct.
• World stocks were mixed on Thursday, with European markets rising a er Britain and Norway hiked interest rates and the ECB trimmed its super-sized bond
buying program, while global shares struggled to maintain direc on a day a er the U.S. Federal Reserve sped up the pace of tapering – Reuters.
• The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on Thursday as the Federal Reserve's announcement of a faster end to its pandemic-era s mulus pushed investors away
from Big Tech and toward more economically sensi ve sectors – Reuters.
• The Turkish lira plunged as much as 5.6% to a record low (TRY Record Low -15.71) against the dollar on Thursday a er the central bank slashed its policy rate
in line with an unorthodox economic programme set out by President Tayyip Erdogan – Reuters.
• The U.S. dollar steadied on Thursday but was headed toward a second day of losses as markets sorted a ra of central bank policy statements for clues to
coming differences in interest rates and support for their economies – Reuters.
• Foreign travellers can opt to show a rapid an gen test or a PCR test to enter Greece, the country said on Thursday, amending a rule it announced only the day
before to help curb the spread of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus – Reuters.
• The World Health Organiza on issued interim recommenda ons on Thursday for mixing and matching COVID-19 vaccines from different manufacturers for
both the second dose and booster shots – Reuters.
• Novavax's COVID-19 vaccine could receive approval from Europe's drug regulator next week and subsequently an emergency use lis ng from the World Health
Organiza on, the Financial Times reported on Thursday, sending shares of the U.S. drugmaker up 7% - Reuters.
• Britain expects to have an viral COVID-19 pills produced by Merck & Co Inc and Pfizer available over the winter, its An viral Taskforce Chair said on Thursday –
Reuters.
• The Pales nian health ministry said on Thursday that it had iden fied the first cases of the COVID-19 Omicron variant in territory under its jurisdic on in the
Israeli-occupied West Bank – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) German PPI, previous 3.8, expected 1.4.
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Retail Sales, previous 0.8, expected 0.8.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) German IFO Business Climate, previous 96.5, expected 95.3.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro Final CPI, previous 4.9, expected 4.9.
• (1000 GMT/1530 IST) Euro Final Core CPI, previous 2.6, expected 2.6.
Economic Events Ahead:
• Tenta ve – Japan BOJ Press Conference.
• (1200 GMT/1730 IST) BOE U.K. Quarterly Bulle n.
• (1800 GMT/2330 IST) U.S. FOMC Member Waller Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.01% to 96.03 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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DECEMBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7191
R2 S2
0.7215
R3 S3
0.7240
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7276
Buy Above 0.7190
0.7215
0.7170
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7168
0.7148
0.7188
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: TheAussie trades marginally lower in earlyAsia and trading around $0.7180 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $0.7184 and low at $0.7168 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with
triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7191 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7170 will check further
supports.
0.7150
0.7115
0.7101
0.7080
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1338
R2 S2
1.1365
R3 S3
1.1380
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1405
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro appreciated sharply after ECB’s Policy Rate Statement and touched $1.1360
mark in previous session. The pair made intraday high at $1.1335 and low at $1.1320 mark. Today
triple EMA on a day is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being. A consistent close
above $1.1338 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below
$1.1296 on H1 chart will check further supports. Today German IFO Business Climate and Euro’s CPI
data will remain in focus.
EUR / USD
1.1296
1.1267
1.1240
1.1221
Buy Above 1.1338
1.1360
1.1318
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1310
1.1287
1.1328
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
DECEMBER,
2021
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3362
R2 S2
1.3384
R3 S3
1.3415
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3435
Buy Above 1.3340
1.3364
1.3318
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3310
1.3287
1.3332
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling spiked up sharply in previous session after BOE rose Official Bank rate to
0.25 pct from 0.10 pct. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3331 and low at $1.3312 mark. A day
chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1.3356 on H1 chart will check key resistances. Alternatively, a consistent close below
$1.3300 will check further supports.
USD
1.3300
1.3276
1.3240
1.3212
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
DECEMBER,
2021
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2797
R2 S2
1.2821
R3 S3
1.2848
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2865
Buy Above 1.2797
1.2830
1.2770
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2763
1.2732
1.2791
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD trades flat on Friday and hovers around 1.2790 mark. The pair made intraday
high at 1.2790 and low at 1.2767 mark. Today a day chart is up and H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests
down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2797 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2767 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2767
1.2740
1.2711
1.2690
DECEMBER,
2021
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
113.91
R2 S2
114.26
R3 S3
114.58
R4
Commentary
S4
114.76
Buy Above 113.90
114.20
113.68
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 113.50
113.26
113.70
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen remains volatile after BoJ’s Policy Rate decision and currently trading
around 113.60 mark. The pair made intraday high at 113.86 and low at 113.58 mark. The triple EMAon
a day chart is up and H1 chart suggests down trend for the time being.Asustained close above 113.91
on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 113.50 on H1 chart will
check further key supports.
USD /JPY
113.50
113.22
113.00
112.76
DECEMBER,
2021
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1809
R2 S2
1814
R3 S3
1820
R4
Commentary
S4
1826
Buy Above 1804
1811
1797
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1794
1789
1799
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
-
Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): The Gold rises noticeably in early Asia and hits fresh 2 – week high at $1,804
mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,804 and low at $1,797 mark. A day chart is down and H1
chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1,804 on H1
chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,792 will check further
supports. U.S. Calendar is almost empty for the day.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1792
1787
1782
1776
DECEMBER,
2021
9. Thank
you!
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