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13 January 2022
Daily Analysis Report
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Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar weakens sharply against major peers despite robust U.S. Infla on Results, Asian stock markets mixed, gold stabilizes above $1,820 mark
Key Headlines:
• U.S. Federal Budget Balance stands at -21.3B vs -191.3B previous release.
• New Zealand Building Consents stand at 0.6 pct vs -2.1 pct previous release.
• Lael Brainard pledged in wri en remarks Wednesday to help the Federal Reserve fight a spike in infla on while s ll suppor ng the economic recovery — a
tricky balancing act she would face if confirmed as the Fed’s No. 2 official – Sources.
• Fed's Daly - Infla on is uncomfortably high.
• Fed's Daly: Don't Want To Get Too Far Ahead On Calling Number Of Rate Increases.
• Fed's Daly – I am really bullish about the economy.
• Fed’s Daly - will take most of 2022 to get supply, demand back in balance.
• Fed's Bullard - Four rate hikes in 2022 now appear to be on the table.
• Fed's Bullard - In the face of high infla on, a rate hike in March is highly likely.
• Fed's Bullard - The job market is as ght as anyone has ever seen it.
• Fed's Bullard: This year, the unemployment rate is likely to fall below 3%.
• The Central Bank of Iran (CBI) and the Ministry of Industries, Mining, and Trade have decided to allow businesses to make use of cryptocurrency to se le
payments to foreign partners – Reuters.
• Fed Chair Powell spoke about stablecoins, cryptocurrencies and the release of the central bank's report on CBDCs (central bank digital currencies) – Reuters.
• Federal Chair Powell suggested that CBDCs and stablecoins could co-exist, without the former replacing the la er. He also assured that the Central bank’s
long-awaited report on CBDCs was soon forthcoming – Reuters.
• Fidelity Investments Canada has allocated a sec on of Bitcoin exposure to two of its All-in-One exchange-traded funds (ETFs): All-in-One Growth ETF and All-
in-One Balanced ETF. These products would be available both as mutual funds and ETFs – Reuters.
• Economists of the Interna onal Monetary Fund (IMF) have warned of ‘contagion’ risks in the increasingly linked crypto and stock markets – Reuters.
• Argen na is facing a historic heat wave with temperatures soaring above 40 degrees Celsius, making the country for a while the ho est place on the planet,
straining power grids and forcing residents to seeking sanctuary in the shade – Reuters.
• China's central bank is set to unveil more easing steps to support slowing growth, though it will likely favor injec ng more cash into the economy than cu ng
interest rates too aggressively, policy insiders and economists said – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Italy Industrial Produc on, previous -0.6, expected 0.4.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. PPI, previous 0.8, expected 0.4.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Core PPI, previous 0.7, expected 0.5.
• (1330 GMT/1900 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims Weekly, previous 207K, expected 199K.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) Euro ECB Economic Bulle n.
• (1500 GMT/2030 IST) U.S. FOMC Member Brainard Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.09% to 95.00 points.
3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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JANUARY,
2022
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7299
R2 S2
0.7315
R3 S3
0.7350
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7376
Buy Above 0.7292
0.7315
0.7270
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7262
0.7230
0.7280
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades in narrow range and hovers around $0.7290 mark. Today pair made
intraday high at $0.7287 and low at $0.7273 mark. A day chart is down and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7292 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7268 will check further supports.
0.7268
0.7250
0.7221
0.7202
4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1456
R2 S2
1.1478
R3 S3
1.1510
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1532
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro spiked up sharply in previous session after U.S. inflation results and hits highest
level since Nov 15, 2021. The pair made intraday high at $1.1448 and low at $1.1435 mark. Today
triple EMAon a day chart is down and H1 chart suggests up trend for the time being.Aconsistent close
above $1.1450 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below
$1.1420 on H1 chart will check further supports.
EUR / USD
1.1420
1.1382
1.1365
1.1340
Buy Above 1.1454
1.1486
1.1430
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1425
1.1401
1.1447
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
JANUARY,
2022
5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3722
R2 S2
1.3738
R3 S3
1.3765
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3789
Buy Above 1.3722
1.3748
1.3695
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3688
1.3657
1.3715
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling appreciated sharply in previous session and jumped back above $1.3700
mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1.3719 and low at $1.3696 mark. A day chart and H1 chart
with triple EMAsuggest up trend for the time being.Asustained close above $1.3722 on H1 chart will
check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3680 will check further supports.
USD
1.3680
1.3650
1.3621
1.3600
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
JANUARY,
2022
6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2522
R2 S2
1.2547
R3 S3
1.2565
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2590
Buy Above 1.2521
1.2540
1.2498
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2491
1.2456
1.2510
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The CAD strengthened sharply and hits highest level since Nov 16, 2021. Pair made
intraday high at 1.2510 and low at 1.2495 mark. Today a day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA
suggest down trend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2522 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally.Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2490 on H1 chart will check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2490
1.2472
1.2455
1.2437
JANUARY,
2022
7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
114.84
R2 S2
115.20
R3 S3
115.37
R4
Commentary
S4
115.65
Buy Above 114.75
114.99
114.48
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 114.37
114.00
114.58
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen trades almost flat on Thursday and trading around 114.70 mark. The
pair made intraday high at 114.70 and low at 114.59 mark. The triple EMAon a day chart is up and H1
chart suggests bearish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 114.84 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 114.38 on H1 chart will check further key
supports.
USD /JPY
114.38
114.15
113.82
113.62
JANUARY,
2022
8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1832
R2 S2
1838
R3 S3
1844
R4
Commentary
S4
1849
Buy Above 1828
1834
1824
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1822
1817
1827
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold appreciated sharply in previous session despite higher than expected
U.S. CPI data and touched $1,828 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,826 and low at $1,824
mark. A triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close
above $1,828 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,821
will check further supports. U.S. calendar is empty for the day.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1821
1816
1811
1804
JANUARY,
2022
9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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