Daily Analysis Report March 25, 2021

1. Daily Analysis Report
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25 March, 2021

2. +1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Asian Bulle n: U.S. dollar trades almost flat against major peers ahead of U.S.’s quarterly GDP results, Asian stock markets mixed, gold stabilizes above
$1,730 mark
Key Headlines:
• RBNZ offshore holding stands at 47.50 pct vs 43.80 pct previous release.
• North Korea launched two ballis c missiles into the sea near Japan on Thursday – Reuters.
• Japan’s prime minister - Fuelling tensions ahead of the Tokyo Olympics and ramping up pressure on the new Biden administra on in
Washington.
• President Joe Biden on Wednesday named Vice President Kamala Harris to lead U.S. efforts with Mexico and Central America’s Northern
Triangle countries to try to stem the flow of migra on to the United States – Reuters.
• Oil prices down on worries about ghter pandemic controls in EU and vaccine delays stalling growth in demand for fuel.
• Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evan - The Central bank will set its monetary policy on economic outcomes and will not reduce
monetary policy accommoda on un l it sees actual improvements.
• IMF - It approved a $500 million disbursement to Pakistan for budget support.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) Swiss Interest rate decision, previous -0.75, expected -0.75.
• (1100 GMT/1630 IST) U.K. CBI realized sales, previous -45, expected -36.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Final GDP q/q, previous 4.1, expected 4.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. unemployment claims weekly, previous 770K, expected 727K.
Economic Events Ahead:
• Day 01 – EU Economic Summit.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) ECB Economic Bulle n.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) BoC Governor Macklem speaks.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) ECB President Lagarde Speaks.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) German Buba President Weidmann Speaks.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) BOE Governor Bailey Speaks.
• (0930 GMT/1500 IST) FOMC Member Williams Speaks.
• (1600 GMT/2130 IST) FOMC member Bos c Speaks.
• (1700 GMT/2230 IST) FOMC member Evans Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.02% to 92.55 points.

3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7630 S1 0.7576
Buy Above 0.7630
0.7650
0.7590
0.7576
0.7550
0.7612
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7682 S2 0.7540
R3 0.7713 S3 0.7502
R4 0.7753 S4 0.7478
Conclusion
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
Commentary
AUD/USD: The Aussie trades marginally higher and hovers around $0.7600 mark. The
pair fails to find support below $0.7580 mark. Today triple EMA with day and H1 chart
confirm the down trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7630 on H1 chart
requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7576 will check
further supports.

4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1.1834 S1 1.1802
Buy Above 1.1834
1.1862
1.1800
1.1802
1.1777
1.1840
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.1862 S2 1.1777
R3 1.1890 S3 1.1750
R4 1.1927 S4 1.1722
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro trades slightly up on Thursday and stabilizes above $1.1800
mark.The pair made intraday high at $1.1827 and low at $1.1804. Today triple EMA on a
day and H1 chart signal down trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1834
on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1810
on H1 will check further supports. Please make a note that today is the first day of EU
Economic Summit.

5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1.3722 S1 1.3680
Buy Above 1.3722
1.3750
1.3690
1.3680
1.3662
1.3722
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3740 S2 1.3662
R3 1.3762 S3 1.3643
R4 1.3790 S4 1.3584
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The pound trades almost flat on Thursday and hovers around $1.3700 mark.
In Short run, triple EMA on H1 chart suggests bearish trend while a day chart is about to
give successful crossover for the down trend confirmation. Let’s wait for few hours to
check the movement of the parity. The pair made intraday high at $1.3708 and low at
$1.3679 mark. A sustained close above $1.3722 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally. On the other hand, consistent close below $1.3680 on H1 will test further supports
too.

6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1.2610 S1 1.2550
Buy Above 1.2590
1.2612
1.2550
1.2550
1.2520
1.2600
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2640 S2 1.2520
R3 1.2667 S3 1.2500
R4 1.2690 S4 1.2476
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar exhibits range bound movement and remains well
supported below 1.26 mark. A day chart confirms bearish trend for long run while H1
chart with triple EMA confirms the uptrend for the time being. A sustained close above
1.2610 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
1.2550 will check key supports too.
Trends Up Trend

7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 109.28 S1 108.78
Buy Above 109.00
109.28
108.70
108.78
108.40
109.00
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 109.56 S2 108.40
R3 109.82 S3 108.00
R4 110.22 S4 107.58
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen weakens on Thursday and touches 108.99 mark in early
Asia. The pair made intraday high at 108.99 and low at 108.70 mark. The triple EMA on
a day chart and H1 chart confirm up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
109.00 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below
108.78 on H1 will check key supports.

8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1742 S1 1732
Buy Above 1740
1748
1728
1732
1722
1740
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1748 S2 1726
R3 1754 S3 1722
R4 1762 S4 1715
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold trades flat on Thursday and remains well supported above
$1,730 mark. Today pair made intraday high at $1,739 and low at $1,732 mark. A day
chart is bearish in long run while H1 chart confirms up trend for the time being. A
sustained close above $1,740 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a
consistent close below $1,732 on H1 will test further supports too.

9. Thank
you!
Info@tpglobalfx.com
www.tpglobalfx.com
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