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Daily Analysis Report March 26, 2021
1. Daily Analysis Report
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26 March, 2021
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Asian Bulle n: Japanese yen weakens a er Tokyo CPI, Core CPI results, Asian stock markets in green, gold hovers around $1,730 mark
Key Headlines:
• Japan Tokyo Core CPI stands at -0.1 pct vs -0.3 pct previous release (expected -0.2).
• Japan Tokyo CPI stands at -0.2 pct vs -0.3 pct previous release.
• South Korea Consumer Confidence stands at 100.5 vs 97.4 previous release.
• U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken – Co opera on between allies was more important than at any me in recent history and that rela on
with NATO and the European Union would be crucial to overcoming challenges.
• U.S. President Joe Biden - He would prevent China from passing the United States to become the most powerful country in the world.
• Biden addressed EU leaders via videoconference - Washington and the EU must ensure that “democracies rather than autocracies set the
rules of the road.
• U.S. Dollar strengthens against major peers on improving U.S. fundamental data, successfully rollout of coronavirus vaccines and rising
Treasury yields.
• Brazil Health Ministry - Brazil on Thursday registered a record 100,158 new coronavirus cases within 24 hours.
• Taiwan and the United States have signed their first agreement under the Biden administra on; the aim is to coordinate policy at a me
when China’s mari me ac ons have caused growing regional concern – Reuters.
• European Council President Charles Michel - European Union leaders agreed at a summit on Thursday to step up produc on of COVID-19
vaccines in Europe and improve the rollout of inocula ons across member states.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0700 GMT/1230 IST) U.K. Retail sales, previous -8.2, expected 2.2.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) German IFO business climate, previous 92.4, expected 93.1.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Personal Income, previous 10.0, expected -7.3.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Personal Spending, previous 2.4, expected -0.8.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Goods Trade balance, previous -83.7B, expected -85.5B.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. Revised UoM Consumer Sen ment, previous 83.0, expected 83.6.
Economic Events Ahead:
• Day 02 – EU Economic Summit.
• (0900 GMT/1430 IST) U.K. FPC Mee ng Minutes and Statement.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.26% to 92.77 points.
3. AUD /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 0.7630 S1 0.7570
Buy Above 0.7630
0.7652
0.7602
0.7590
0.7570
0.7630
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 0.7682 S2 0.7540
R3 0.7713 S3 0.7502
R4 0.7753 S4 0.7478
Conclusion
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Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
Commentary
AUD/USD: The Aussie recovers slightly from previous losses on Friday and stabilizes
above $0.7600 mark. Today triple EMA with day and H1 chart confirm the down trend for
the time being. A sustained close above $0.7630 on H1 chart requires for the upside
rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7562 will check further supports.
4. EUR / USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
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analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1.1799 S1 1.1762
Buy Above 1.1802
1.1834
1.1760
1.1762
1.1740
1.1800
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.1834 S2 1.1740
R3 1.1862 S3 1.1722
R4 1.1890 S4 1.1700
Conclusion
Commentary
EUR/USD: The euro depreciated extremely in previous session and touched $1.1763
mark. Today pair trades almost flat and remains well supported below $1.1800 mark.
The pair made intraday high at $1.1784 and low at $1.1762. Today triple EMA on a day
and H1 chart signal down trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1799 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1762 on
H1 will check further supports.
5. GBP /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1.3790 S1 1.3732
Buy Above 1.3770
1.3790
1.3740
1.3720
1.3670
1.3765
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.3843 S2 1.3699
R3 1.3865 S3 1.3670
R4 1.3880 S4 1.3637
Conclusion
Commentary
GBP/USD: The pound trades almost flat on Friday and trading around $1.3750 mark.
The pair made intraday high at $1.3764 and low at $1.3725 mark. A day chart is about to
give successful crossover, if it happens then a day chart will confirm bearish trend in
long run. On the other side, H1 chart with triple EMA confirms bullish trend for the time
being. Today’s BOE monetary policy meeting minutes and statement may give further
directions to the parity.
6. USD /CAD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1.2610 S1 1.2550
Buy Above 1.2610
1.2640
1.2580
1.2580
1.2550
1.2610
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1.2640 S2 1.2520
R3 1.2667 S3 1.2500
R4 1.2690 S4 1.2476
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar rises on Friday and slips back below 1.26 mark. A day
chart confirms bearish trend for long run while H1 chart with triple EMA confirms the
uptrend for the time being. A sustained close above 1.2610 on H1 chart requires for the
upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2550 will check key supports too.
Trends Up Trend
7. USD /JPY
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RIS (Period=26) Above RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 109.56 S1 108.78
Buy Above 109.35
109.56
109.00
109.00
108.78
109.31
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 109.82 S2 108.40
R3 110.22 S3 108.00
R4 110.54 S4 107.58
Conclusion
Commentary
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen depreciates sharply after Tokyo CPI, Core CPI data and
touches 109.31 mark in early Asia. The pair made intraday high at 109.31 and low at
109.13 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart and H1 chart confirm up trend for the time
being. A sustained close above 109.28 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below 109.00 on H1 will check key supports.
8. XAU /USD
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Time Frame: H1
INDICATORS H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
RIS (Period=26) Below RIS LEVEL 50
MARCH,
R1 1732 S1 1722
Buy Above 1732
1740
1720
1720
1708
1732
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Sell Below
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
R2 1738 S2 1715
R3 1742 S3 1708
R4 1748 S4 1702
Conclusion
Commentary
XAU/USD (GOLD): The gold remained highly volatile in previous session on the back of
favorable U.S. fundamentals, successful vaccine roll out and higher yield prices too.
Indeed gold gave extreme volatility but parity still moves in channel pattern only from
$1,748 to $1,722 mark. A sustained close of either side on a day chart will only give
further direction to the parity. Today pair made intraday high at $1,729 and low at $1,723
mark. A day chart and H1 chart with triple EMA confirm down trend for the time being.
9. Thank
you!
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