Research question, criteria, formulation, and relation to research designs.
Egypt some Demographic indicators
1. Demographic Indicators:
Egypt 2015-216Professor Tarek Tawfik Amin
Rapporteur of the National Population Council
Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo
University
Geneva Foundation for Medical Education and Training
Asian Pacific Organization for Cancer Prevention
amin55@myway.com dramin55@gmail.com
ResearcherI
D:
E-6189-2012
orcid.org/0000-0003-2502-110X
Scopus ID: Author ID: 23007746000
6. 4299
5043
2853
2470
3349
3159
4715
3180
2220
2489
4244
3157
3670
2480
71.6
76.9
55.3
76.9
69.8
79.3 80.2
41.5
76.6 77.4
80.2
73.4
78.8 80.3
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
دقهلية
الشرقىة
قليوبية
الشيخكفر
غربية
منوفية
البحيرة
الجيزة
سويفبنى
الفيوم
المنيا
اسيوط
سوهاج
قنا
السكان تقدير2014الريف فى الريف نسبة
1000
In 9 governorates rural populations constituted more than 75%
of the total inhabitants (about 45 millions of Egypt’s population
in 2014)
12/22/2016 ا.للسكان القومى المجلس مقرر توفيق طارق د 6
%
7. CAPMAS 2016
12/22/2016 ا.للسكان القومى المجلس مقرر توفيق طارق د 7
القاهرة,9440374
الجيزة,7762792
شرقية,6640664
دقهلية,6074446
بحيرة,5959050
المنيا,5309254
قليوبية,5215446
اسكندرية,4901910
غربية,4852968
سوهاج,4734676
اسيوط,4364676
منوفية,4035137
12 governorates each exceeding 4 million population with a
total of about 70 millions on about only 6% of the total land area (2015)
8. Nine governorates are populated by >90 % of
land area (many of them in lower Egypt)
12/22/2016 ا.للسكان القومى المجلس مقرر توفيق طارق د 8
100
100
100
100
100
98.2
97.5
97
95.4
73.4
72.8
72.2
53.7
30.6
16.1
14.5
12.5
9.4
9
7.5
7.2
6.2
6.1
2.4
0.2
0.2
0.1
الغربية
الدقهلية
الشيخكفر
اسماعيلية
السويس
بورسعيد
منوفية
الشرقية
القليوبية
دمياط
اسكندرية
البحيرة
ج.سيناء
الفيوم
قنا
سوهاج
سويفبنى
االقصر
الجيزة
المنيا
ش.سيناء
القاهرة
اسيوط
مطروح
اسوان
االحمرالبحر
الجديدالوادى
المأهولة المساحة
9. Population density/Km2 is more in Cairo, Giza, Luxor
(2015).
12/22/2016 ا.للسكان القومى المجلس مقرر توفيق طارق د 9
1996
59.8/كم2
2001
64.9/كم2
2010
78.1/كم2
2015
87.1/كم2
2016
89.2/كم2
>100/Km2
by 2020
13. 12/22/2016 ا.للسكان القومى المجلس مقرر توفيق طارق د 13
10 governorates had >60% of the total births in 2015
(القاهرة,الجيزة,الشرقية,البحيرة,المنيا,الدقهلية,سوهاج,اسيوط,القليوبية,الغربية)
14. 0.453
0.507
0.546
0.583
0.622
0.646
0.6810.6820.6880.689 0.69 0.7
0.8 0.8 0.8
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2020
2025
2030
Human Development index 2014
108/188الترتيب
التنبؤ
ARIMA Model, Max Absolute error=7.3%
Life expectancy increased by 12.8
years, 4.5 years increased in mean
education, 153.9% in GDP per
capita in 2014 compared to 1980
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
القومى الناتج من الدخل
Gender inequality: HDI of 0.633
for women vs. 0.729 for men in 2014.
UNDP 2014
12/22/2016 د.امين توفيق طارق 14
29. 3
2.5
2.6
3
2.9
3
3.6
3.4
3.5
2.6
3
3.6
3.4
3.2
4.1
3.8
مصر اجمالى المحافظات
الحضرية
حضر ريف اجمالى حضر ريف اجمالى
السكانى المسح2008 السكانى المسح2014
البحرى الوجة
القبلى الوجة
Long acting contraceptives declined from 36.1% in
2008 to 30.1% in 2014 with unmet needs
accounted for 12.3% in 2014.
Total fertility rate increased
from 3.0/woman in 2008 to
3.5/woman in 2014, more in
rural than urban, upper than
lower Egyptian governorates.
Early childhood marriage as
reflected by 57 births/1000
females in age range of 15-19
years.
12/22/2016 د.امين توفيق طارق 29
Egypt’s Demographic and Health Survey 2014
30. TFR increased among all women
irrespective of their educational
status compared to 2008
31. Current TFR is reverting to those witnessed
during year 2000 and beyond
62. Social indicators
Population growth rate (average annual %) 2010-2015 2.2
Urban population (%) 2015 43.1
Urban population growth rate (average annual %) 2010-2015 1.7
Fertility rate, total (live births per woman) 2010-2015 3.4
Life expectancy at birth (females/males, years) 2010-2015 73.1/68.7
Total dependency ratio (Pop. aged 0-14 & 65+ per 100
pop. 15-64) 2015 62
International migrant stock (000/% of total pop.) mid-2015 491.6/0.5
Tourist arrivals at national borders (000) 2014 9628
Refugees and others of concern to UNHCR mid-2015 256384
Infant mortality rate (per 1 000 live births) 2010-2015 19
Health: Total expenditure (% of GDP) 2014 5.6
Education: Primary gross enrolment ratio (f/m per 100
pop.) 2014 103.8/104.1
Education: Secondary gross enrolment ratio (f/m per
100 pop.) 2014 85.9/86.3
Education: Tertiary gross enrolment ratio (f/m per 100
pop.) 2014 29.9/33.4
Intentional homicide rate (per 100 000 pop.) 2014 3.2
Seats held by women in national parliaments (%) 2016 14.9
63. Environment Year
Mobile-cellular subscriptions (per 100 inhabitants) 2014 114.3
Individuals using the Internet (%) 2014 31.7
Patents: Resident filings (per million pop.) 2014 9
Threatened species 2015 141
Forested area (% of land area) 2013 0.1
CO2 emission estimates (000 tons/tons per capita) 2013 213012/2.4
Energy production, primary (Petajoules) 2013 3445
Energy supply per capita (Gigajoules) 2013 39
Terrestrial and marine areas protected (% of total
area) 2014 9.6
Population using improved drinking water sources
(urban/rural, %) 2015 100.0/99.0
Population using improved sanitation facilities
(urban/rural, %) 2015 96.8/93.1
Net Official Development Assistance received (% of
GNI) 2014 1.3