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“Impact of Recent Floods on Inflation in
Pakistan”
Muhammad Usman Butt
(MoDP)
POF INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
36TH Mid Career Management Course
Outline
 Currency of the Topic
 Statement of Problem
 Key Research Question
 Scope
 Introduction
 Analysis
 Conclusions
 Recommendations
2
2
Currency of the Topic
3
3
Statement of Problem
Pakistan has been ranked amongst the top ten most
vulnerable countries due to global warming. The
predictions of climate scientists have started to be
reality in the wake of recent devastating floods. The
unprecedented scale of loss which has been inflicted
calls for an identification of the underlying causes
which led to such a calamity.
4
4
Key Research Question
5
Could this devastation have been avoided by better
flood management or the extreme weathers are only
to be blamed?
5
Scope
 The presentation covers following major aspects;
a) Brief stats of devastation caused by floods
b) The Causes of Apocalyptic Floods?
c) Analysis on how could such calamities be avoided?
d) Conclusions/Recommendations
6
6
Introduction
 Pakistan is one of the lowest contributors to climate
change
 Pakistan has consistently been on the list of the top 10
countries most vulnerable to climate change.
 Parts of the country set high-temperature records in
April
 Over 1,325 people have died and 33 million have been
impacted
 The latest statistics show that over 1,600 have been
injured, 325,000 homes destroyed, 735,000 livestock
lost and 2 million acres of crops damaged
7
7
The Scale of Devastation
8
 One-third of the country is under water
8
Analysis
9
Year
Direct loss
($ million)
Loss of
lives
Affected
villages
Flooded
area (sq
km)
2010 10000 1985 17553 160000
2011 3730 516 38700 27581
2012 2640 571 14159 4746
*2022
10 Billion
(Approx.)
1500 45000 220,000
The Historical Devastation by Floods
*The Latest one was the deadliest in country’s history
https://www.unicef.org/emergencies/devastating-floods-pakistan-2022 Accessed on 07-10-22 9
10
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/pakistan-floods-disaster. Accessed on 07-10-22
Analysis
The Unusual Rains
10
11
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/pakistan-floods-death-toll-nears-1500-Accessed on 08-10-22
Analysis
The Scale of Causalities shows maximum deaths in
Provinces with High Rains
11
Analysis
What Really Caused such Un-Usual Weather?
 Climate scientists have been predicting such weathers
 According to experts from World Meteorological
Organization (WMO) climate change is a major
contributing factor of extreme rainfall in months of
July and August
 The indication was already there in summer season
 Pakistan recorded one of the hottest summer in its
history
12
12
What Really Caused such Un-Usual Weather?
 In 2007, UN scientific body report of
IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change)
stated,
“ The floods of the kind that hit Pakistan may become more
frequent and more Intense in the future in the same region
and other parts of the world.”
 According to WMO the floods in Pakistan fit the
climate change pattern
13
Analysis
13
 Heavy concentrated rainfall in monsoon season
 Melting of snow in northern areas
 Improper drainage system to cope with heavy rains in
cities
 Inadequate discharge capacity of dams and barrages on
River Indus, Jhelum and Chenab
 Persistent rains around river flow lines throughout the
country
 Villages built on adjacent river banks
14
Analysis
What Really Caused such Floods?
14
How Could such devastation have been avoided?
 Predicted high concentration of Monsoon Rains
 Early Vacation of Population near River streams
 Better urban planning
 Ban on housing near water streams
 Building of Dams and Barrages in long term plans
 Rapid Response protocols through NDMA
 No change in Flood policy since 2005
15
Analysis
15
Conclusions
 Pakistan is facing an apocalyptic weather situation
 The unusual rains as high as 700 % from the past history
caused such devastation
 The scale of devastation could only have been reduced
but not avoided
 The lack of urban planning, lack of Rapid response, lack
of coordination between NDMA & PDMA
 Despite Pre-hand prediction of high monsoon rains, no
preparation was made
 Maximum devastation caused in Sindh: the province with
lack of resources, poverty & bad governance
16
16
 Pakistan needs to listen to climate scientists regarding
predictions of climatic challenges
 The country needs to build Water storage
Dams/Barrages
 The Flood devastation cannot be avoided but its
impacts can be reduced through better urban planning
 Safety walls around river lines can save cities: the
example of Nowshehra city
 The country needs better resources for NDMA and
PDMA to fight climatic disasters
17
Recommendations
17
 Pakistan needs a new Flood Policy which is in line
with unusual rains, Glacial melts, Flash flood
response
 Strengthen public & private research in fields of
weather forecasting and flood forecasting
 Floods are a resource rather than a natural disaster
 Harness the numerous benefits of flooding through
developing flood mitigation measures
18
Recommendations
18
Biblography
https://www.unicef.org/emergencies/devastating-floods-pakistan-2022 Accessed on 07-10-22
https://www.voanews.com/a/flood-ravaged-pakistan-among-5-nations-least-resilient-to-
disasters/6760177.html Accessed on 08-10-22
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/pakistan-floods-disaster. Accessed on 07-10-22
https://reliefweb.int/disaster/fl-2022-000254-pak Accessed on 07-10-22
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-62915648 Accessed on 08-10-22
19
THANK YOU..
20

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CIP Usman Butt.pptx

  • 1. “Impact of Recent Floods on Inflation in Pakistan” Muhammad Usman Butt (MoDP) POF INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 36TH Mid Career Management Course
  • 2. Outline  Currency of the Topic  Statement of Problem  Key Research Question  Scope  Introduction  Analysis  Conclusions  Recommendations 2 2
  • 3. Currency of the Topic 3 3
  • 4. Statement of Problem Pakistan has been ranked amongst the top ten most vulnerable countries due to global warming. The predictions of climate scientists have started to be reality in the wake of recent devastating floods. The unprecedented scale of loss which has been inflicted calls for an identification of the underlying causes which led to such a calamity. 4 4
  • 5. Key Research Question 5 Could this devastation have been avoided by better flood management or the extreme weathers are only to be blamed? 5
  • 6. Scope  The presentation covers following major aspects; a) Brief stats of devastation caused by floods b) The Causes of Apocalyptic Floods? c) Analysis on how could such calamities be avoided? d) Conclusions/Recommendations 6 6
  • 7. Introduction  Pakistan is one of the lowest contributors to climate change  Pakistan has consistently been on the list of the top 10 countries most vulnerable to climate change.  Parts of the country set high-temperature records in April  Over 1,325 people have died and 33 million have been impacted  The latest statistics show that over 1,600 have been injured, 325,000 homes destroyed, 735,000 livestock lost and 2 million acres of crops damaged 7 7
  • 8. The Scale of Devastation 8  One-third of the country is under water 8
  • 9. Analysis 9 Year Direct loss ($ million) Loss of lives Affected villages Flooded area (sq km) 2010 10000 1985 17553 160000 2011 3730 516 38700 27581 2012 2640 571 14159 4746 *2022 10 Billion (Approx.) 1500 45000 220,000 The Historical Devastation by Floods *The Latest one was the deadliest in country’s history https://www.unicef.org/emergencies/devastating-floods-pakistan-2022 Accessed on 07-10-22 9
  • 12. Analysis What Really Caused such Un-Usual Weather?  Climate scientists have been predicting such weathers  According to experts from World Meteorological Organization (WMO) climate change is a major contributing factor of extreme rainfall in months of July and August  The indication was already there in summer season  Pakistan recorded one of the hottest summer in its history 12 12
  • 13. What Really Caused such Un-Usual Weather?  In 2007, UN scientific body report of IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change) stated, “ The floods of the kind that hit Pakistan may become more frequent and more Intense in the future in the same region and other parts of the world.”  According to WMO the floods in Pakistan fit the climate change pattern 13 Analysis 13
  • 14.  Heavy concentrated rainfall in monsoon season  Melting of snow in northern areas  Improper drainage system to cope with heavy rains in cities  Inadequate discharge capacity of dams and barrages on River Indus, Jhelum and Chenab  Persistent rains around river flow lines throughout the country  Villages built on adjacent river banks 14 Analysis What Really Caused such Floods? 14
  • 15. How Could such devastation have been avoided?  Predicted high concentration of Monsoon Rains  Early Vacation of Population near River streams  Better urban planning  Ban on housing near water streams  Building of Dams and Barrages in long term plans  Rapid Response protocols through NDMA  No change in Flood policy since 2005 15 Analysis 15
  • 16. Conclusions  Pakistan is facing an apocalyptic weather situation  The unusual rains as high as 700 % from the past history caused such devastation  The scale of devastation could only have been reduced but not avoided  The lack of urban planning, lack of Rapid response, lack of coordination between NDMA & PDMA  Despite Pre-hand prediction of high monsoon rains, no preparation was made  Maximum devastation caused in Sindh: the province with lack of resources, poverty & bad governance 16 16
  • 17.  Pakistan needs to listen to climate scientists regarding predictions of climatic challenges  The country needs to build Water storage Dams/Barrages  The Flood devastation cannot be avoided but its impacts can be reduced through better urban planning  Safety walls around river lines can save cities: the example of Nowshehra city  The country needs better resources for NDMA and PDMA to fight climatic disasters 17 Recommendations 17
  • 18.  Pakistan needs a new Flood Policy which is in line with unusual rains, Glacial melts, Flash flood response  Strengthen public & private research in fields of weather forecasting and flood forecasting  Floods are a resource rather than a natural disaster  Harness the numerous benefits of flooding through developing flood mitigation measures 18 Recommendations 18
  • 19. Biblography https://www.unicef.org/emergencies/devastating-floods-pakistan-2022 Accessed on 07-10-22 https://www.voanews.com/a/flood-ravaged-pakistan-among-5-nations-least-resilient-to- disasters/6760177.html Accessed on 08-10-22 https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/pakistan-floods-disaster. Accessed on 07-10-22 https://reliefweb.int/disaster/fl-2022-000254-pak Accessed on 07-10-22 https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-62915648 Accessed on 08-10-22 19