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Technology Industry /
Finnish Economic Outlook
September 2019
19/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
29/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile,
Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca,
Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala…
METALS INDUSTRY
Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski,
Luvata, Outokumpu, Outotec,
Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB …
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Abloy, Cargotec, Finn-Power, Fiskars,
Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso,
Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria,
Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet,
Valtra, Wärtsilä…
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Comptel,
Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu
Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit,
Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto…
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG,
Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll,
Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP…
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
3
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
• Data communications equipment, electrical
machinery, medical technology
• Turnover (2018): 15.3 billion euros
• Personnel (2018): 38,600
METALS INDUSTRY
• Steel products, non-ferrous metals,
castings, metallic minerals
• Turnover (2018): 10.8 billion euros
• Personnel (2018): 16,400
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
• Machinery, metal products, vehicles
• Turnover (2018): 31.7 billion euros
• Personnel (2018): 133,000
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
• IT services, applications and
programming
• Turnover (2018): 13.0 billion euros
• Personnel (2018): 68,900
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
• Expertise for construction industry and
infrastructure
• Turnover (2018): 6.3 billion euros
• Personnel (2018): 54,300
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Technology Industry –
the Largest Export Sector in Finland 2018
4
• Over 50 % of total exports.
• 320,000 employed directly in the sector,
including indirect effects 675,000 people.
• Effect on value added totaling € 57 billion,
or 28% of GDP value added.
• Bring to Finland € 18 billion tax revenue
annually.
• Investments about EUR 5.0 billion
annually in Finland.
• 70 % of private-sector R&D investment.
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value Added to the Economy Generated by the
Technology Industry Is EUR 55 Billion, or over 28%
of GDP * (2017)
56.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus
28.8, 53%
15.6, 29%
10.1, 18%
A total of EUR 54.5 billion
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
*) GDP value added was EUR 193.3 billion in 2017.
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Technology Industry Generates nearly 650,000
Jobs in Finland (over 25% of All Employees) (2017)
66.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus
304,600, 47%
225,800, 35%
114,600, 18%
A total of 644 900 employees
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
10 jobs in the technology industry bring
11 jobs to the rest of the economy
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Every Job in the Technology Industry Generates
almost another Job in the Services (2017)
76.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus
295,100, 87%
12,200, 3%
33,100, 10%
Impact on other industries and on
private consumption: 340,300 employees
Services*
Primary production
Processing*
*) Excl. the services industries in the technology industry.
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Technology Industry Generates over 18 Billion
Euros in Tax Revenue Annually in Finland (2017)
86.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus
9.2, 50%
4.3, 24%
4.7, 26%
A total of EUR 18.2 billion
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
9Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
10*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 13 billion euros.
Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland
Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland
by Area in 2018
Total goods exports 32.5 billion euros*
North America
3.04 billion €
9.4 %
Western Europe
17.51 billion €
53.9 %
South and
Middle America
0.89 billion €
2.7 %
Central and Eastern Europe
5.06 billion €
15.5 %
Africa
0.48 billion €
1.5 %
Middle and
Central East
0.48 billion €
1.5 %
Asia
5.04 billion €
15.5 %
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries
Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services
Exports Revenue
Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017
11*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information.
Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology industry,
43.6, 51%
Forest industry;
12.9; 15%
Chemical industry;
13; 15%
Other branches;
16.1; 19%
Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry
in Finland
12Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
13Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
14Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2019
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019
Export: +7 % -7 %
Domestic: +25 % +4 %
Combined: +10 % -4 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
15Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2019.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019
Export: +17 % 0 %
Domestic: +11 % +2 %
Combined: +15 % 0 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Combined
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Tender Requests* Received by the Technology
Industry Companies in Finland
16Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in
July 2019.
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Balance figure
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
*) ”Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three
months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.”
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of New Orders in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
17
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019
Export: +21 % +1 %
Domestic: +9 % +4 %
Combined: +18 % +2 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2019
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of Order Books in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
18
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019
Export: +15 % +2 %
Domestic: +10 % +2 %
Combined: +14 % +2 %
Combined
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2019.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of New Orders in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
19
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019
Export: -4 % -12 %
Domestic: +39 % +1 %
Combined: +3 % -10 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2019
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
20
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019
Export: +17 % -1 %
Domestic: +14 % +4 %
Combined: +17 % 0 %
Combined
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2019.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering
in Finland
21
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019
Export: +49 % -16 %
Domestic: +4 % -10 %
Combined: +8 % -11 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2019.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of Order Books in the Consulting
Engineering in Finland
22
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019
Export: -15 % -9 %
Domestic: +9 % -7 %
Combined: +6 % -8 %
Combined
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2019.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of New Orders in the Information
Technology* in Finland
23
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019
Combined: +26 % +5 %
*) Excl. game industry and data center
companies
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2019.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Value of Order Books in the Information
Technology* in Finland
24
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019
Combined: +10 % +4 %
*) Excl. game industry and data
center companies
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2019.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Technology Industry Personnel
259/6/2019 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Some 1 300 of employees
affected by temporary or
part-time lay-offs
30.6.2019
June 30
Technology Industry Personnel Recruitment in
Finland by Quarters
26Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2014Q3 2015Q1 2015Q3 2016Q1 2016Q3 2017Q1 2017Q3 2018Q1 2018Q3 2019Q1
Change in the number of personnel compared to the previous quarter Number of people recruited during the quarter
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by
Branch
279/6/2019 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
June 30
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Branch
289/6/2019 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Country
299/6/2019 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
Information from year 2018
China, 49,386, 17%
India, 35,658, 13%
USA, 28,939, 10%
Germany, 20,676, 7%
Sweden, 15,124, 5%
Poland, 14,906, 5%
France, 11,525, 4%
UK, 7,565, 3%
Brazil, 6,750, 2%
Russia, 6,425, 2%
Italy, 5,956, 2%
Canada, 4,676, 2%
Spain, 4,372, 2%
Other countries, 75,513, 26%
Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in
Finland
30
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Number of individuals retired Number of individuals retiring (estimation)
Salaried employees
Blue collar employees
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar
Employees in Finland
31
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Overview of the Situation in the Technology
Industry and Outlook for the Autumn 2019
32
- Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 79 billion in 2018. The turnover was up 6% year-on-year. In
January-May 2019, the turnover was up 6% over the year 2018.
- The monetary value of new orders reported between April-June 2019 was 4% lower than in the
preceding quarter, but 10 higher than in the corresponding period in 2018.
- At the end of June, the value of order books was at the same level as at the end of March, but 15%
higher than in June 2018.
- The turnover of technology industry companies in the autumn 2019 is expected to be higher than in
the corresponding period last year.
- The number of personnel employed by technology industry companies in Finland grew by over 3 per
cent in January-June from the 2018 average. The industry employed some 320,000 people, up some
10,000 from 2018. In addition, the companies had about 17,000 summer workers.
- The recruitment activities stayed at a good level in April-June. The number of recruitments was just
under 24,000. SMEs accounted for 63% of recruitments.
9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
World Economic Outlook
- Finland as a Part of Global
Economy
339/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been
Weakened in Recent Months
34Source: Consensus Economics
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
2018,
Jan
Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019,
Jan
Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug
GDP consensus forecasts for 2019, %
Eastern Europe
Finland
Sweden
Russia
France
Germany
Italy
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Forecast period
Finland’s GDP Backlog for the Other Euro Area
Countries Is Close to 5%
35Lähde: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Finland’s Export Backlog for the Other Euro Area
Countries Is Some 35%
36Source: Macrobond, Eurostat9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Finland’s Economic Growth Has recently been
Supported by Exports and Construction
37Source: Macrobond, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Gross Domestic Product Has Grown Long in
Europe and the USA, Finland is Lagging Behind
38Souce: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
399/6/2019 Lähde: Macrobond
In China, Growth Is Slowing Down, Brazil and
Russia Are Experiencing Weak Growth
Share of global GDP in China, India, Brazil and Russia is 31 % (adjusted for PP)
Technology Industries
of Finland
409/6/2019 Latest information August 2019
Source: Markit
Economic Growth in the Euro Area Has Slowed
Down Rapidly
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI), 50 = no change from previous month
Technology Industries
of Finland
New Orders in Manufacturing in the Euro Area Have
Declined, with Small Growth in Services
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI), 50 = no change from previous month
41Latest information August 2019
Source: Markit
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Output Has Increased in Finland, but
the Distance to the EU Average Is Still a Long Way
429/6/2019 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Output Has Been Declining Recently,
Especially in Germany
439/6/2019 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Is Now Stagnating
Worldwide
44Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy AnalysisTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
459/6/2019 Latest information August 2019
Source: Markit
Industrial Production in China Is Mildly Increasing
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in China
Technology Industries
of Finland
469/6/2019 Latest information August 2019
Source: Markit
Industrial Production in Russia Is Decreasing
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Russia
Technology Industries
of Finland
479/6/2019 Latest information August 2019
Source: Markit
Industrial Production in Brazil Is Growing
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Brazil
Technology Industries
of Finland
48Source: Macrobond
Industrial Production in the USA Is Decreasing
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry
50 = no change from previous month
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Political Uncertainty Destabilises Global Economic
Stability - Exchange Rates Are Changing a Lot
49Source: Macrobond9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
50Souce: Macrobond
Growth in Fixed Investment in Russia Has Stopped
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
51Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
World Trade Is Going Down to Lower Level
Export volume
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Imports to China Have Decreased from Several
Countries
52Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
EU Exports to Russia Have Recovered only Slightly
53Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Russia’s Share* of Technology Industry Exports
from Finland Has Lowered to 5-6%
54*) Soviet Union up to 1991
Source: Finnish Customs
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019(1-6)
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
%
55Source: IMF (July 2019)
The World Economy Is Projected to Grow by 3.2%
in 2019
GDP growth 2019 / 2018, %
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America
Western Europe
Japan
China
India
RestofEasternEurope
Russia
Brazil
Mexico
RestofLatin
America
MiddleEast
andAfrica
Average growth:
+3,2 %
The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2018 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), %
Rest of
Asia
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
56Source: IMF (July 2019), Finnish Customs
Demand in the Finnish Technology Industry Export
Market is Expected to Grow by 2.4 % in 2019
GDP growth 2019 / 2018, %
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America
Western Europe Japan
China
India
Restof
Eastern
Europe
Russia
Brazil
RestofLatinAmerica
MiddleEastandAfrica
Average growth:
+2,4 %
Mexico
The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2018, %
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Finland’s Economic Growth
Relies on Exports and
Investments
57Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Finnish Exports Have Lagged Behind the
Competitor Countries
58Source: Macrobond, EurostatTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
59Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
The Additional Debt of the State Has Stopped and
the Overall Tax Rate Has Fallen
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Unlike the Competitor Countries, in Finland
Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008
60Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (May 2019)
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
180
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e2020e
Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2005=100
USA
Sweden
Switzerland
Belgium
Germany
Finland
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
61Source: Statistics Finland, (National Accounts), The Confederation of Finnish Industries* investment survey (January 2019)
Investments in the Manufacturing and Technology
Industry in Finland Do Not Promise Long-Term
Strong Growth
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e
Manufacturing industry (incl. technology industry)
Technology industry (incl. information technology and consulting engineering)
Production and R&D investments in Finland, million euros, at fixed 2017 prices
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
Industrial Tangible and Intangible Investment* in
Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels
62*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2019
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
Tangible investment
Intangible investment*
Intangible investment (excl.
electronics industry)*
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Total Industrial Investment in Finland Is Now at
Around the Level of Capital Consumption
63*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2019
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
Tangible and intangible
investment*
Consumption of Fixed
Capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Tangible Investments by Industry in Finland Are
Now Higher than the Consumption of Capital
64Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2019
0
1
2
3
4
5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
Tangible investment
Consumption of tangible
capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has
Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008
65Information on consumption of tangible capital is at 2010 prices.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Cumulative consumption
of tangible capital
Cumulative tangible
investment
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Tangible Investment Growth in Finland
Has Lagged behind that of Competitors
66Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, June 2019
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech
Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investment Rate in Industrial Tangible
Investments Is at a Low Level in Finland
67Source: Eurostat (National Accounts)
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech
Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland
Tangible investments / value added, %
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Intangible Investments * in Finland
Have almost Halved since 2005
68*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments etc.
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, June 2019
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland, excl.
electronics industry
Finland
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices,
index 2005=100
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investment Rate of Industrial Intangible
Investments* Has Dropped Significantly in Finland
69*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments.
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland, excl.
electronics industry
Finland
Intangible investments / value added, %
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investments and productivity* are Decisive for
Finland’s Success
709/6/2019 Technology Industries of
Finland
*) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows
(the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked.
Source: Statistics Finland
716.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information April-June 019.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
Finland’s GDP Productivity Has Lagged Behind Other
EU and Euro Countries
GDP at fixed prices / hours worked
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
EU countries
Euro countries
Finland
2005=100
726.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information March-April 2019.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
Finland’s Industrial Productivity Has Lagged Behind
Other EU and Euro Countries
Industrial value added at fixed prices / hours worked
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
EU countries
Euro countries
Finland
2005=100
73Lates information January-March 2019.
Source: Eurostat
The Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is
Clearly Lower than the EU Average
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
Sweden
Austria
Belgium
EU countries
Finland
Corporate fixed investment compared to value added, % (excl. financial sector)
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
74
Finland’s Cost Competitiveness Has Improved, but
Is Still About 5% Behind Other Euro Countries
Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective
exchange rates
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
2000=100
2005=100
2008=100
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
declines
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
improves
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
*) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38
main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy.
Latest information January-March 2019. Source: European Central Bank
Technology Industries of
Finland
759/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Federation’s Member Companies 2018
76
250–499 employees
70,029
39%
29,629
16%
26,793
15%
53,249
30%
1,440
92 %
86
5 %
38
2 % 24
1 %
Number of enterprises / 1,588 Number of personnel / 179,700
1–249 employees 500–999 employees
1000– employees
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/6/2019
The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2018
77
477
33%
483
33 %
285
20%
196
14%
Number of enterprises / 1,440 Number of personnel / 70,029
5,101
7%
15,705
23%
19,763
28%
29,460
42%
1–19 employees
20–49 employees
50–99 employees
100–249 employees
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Operating Profit in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2017
Operating profit-% = operating result / turnover * 100 (before taxes and financial income
and expenses)
78Source: Statistics Finland
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 4,8 %)
Good (26 %)
Satisfactory (23 %)
Weak (29 %)
Unprofitable
(22 %)
9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Companies in random order
Net Profit in the Member Companies of Technology
Industries of Finland in 2017
Net profit -% = net profit / turnover * 100 (after tax and financial income and expenses)
79
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 3,9 %)
Unprofitable (23 %)
Good (21 %)
Satisfactory (23 %)
Weak (33 %)
Source: Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Companies in random order
Return on Assets in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2017
Return on assets -% = (net income + financial expenses + taxes) / (capital invested in the
financial year) * 100
80
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 12,3 %)
Good (43 %)
Satisfactory (13 %)
Mediocre (25 %)
Weak (19 %)
Companies in random order
Source: Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland
Equity Ratio in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2017
Equity ratio -% = (total equity + total appropriations accrued) / adjusted balance sheet * 100
81
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
(Median: 41.0 %)
Good (52 %)
Satisfactory (24 %)
Weak (24 %)
Companies in random order
Source: Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries
of Finland

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Finnish Technology Industry Generates Over Half of Exports

  • 1. Technology Industry / Finnish Economic Outlook September 2019 19/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 2. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 29/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala… METALS INDUSTRY Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB … MECHANICAL ENGINEERING Abloy, Cargotec, Finn-Power, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet, Valtra, Wärtsilä… INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto… CONSULTING ENGINEERING A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP…
  • 3. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 3 ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY • Data communications equipment, electrical machinery, medical technology • Turnover (2018): 15.3 billion euros • Personnel (2018): 38,600 METALS INDUSTRY • Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings, metallic minerals • Turnover (2018): 10.8 billion euros • Personnel (2018): 16,400 MECHANICAL ENGINEERING • Machinery, metal products, vehicles • Turnover (2018): 31.7 billion euros • Personnel (2018): 133,000 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • IT services, applications and programming • Turnover (2018): 13.0 billion euros • Personnel (2018): 68,900 CONSULTING ENGINEERING • Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure • Turnover (2018): 6.3 billion euros • Personnel (2018): 54,300 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 4. The Technology Industry – the Largest Export Sector in Finland 2018 4 • Over 50 % of total exports. • 320,000 employed directly in the sector, including indirect effects 675,000 people. • Effect on value added totaling € 57 billion, or 28% of GDP value added. • Bring to Finland € 18 billion tax revenue annually. • Investments about EUR 5.0 billion annually in Finland. • 70 % of private-sector R&D investment. 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 5. Value Added to the Economy Generated by the Technology Industry Is EUR 55 Billion, or over 28% of GDP * (2017) 56.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus 28.8, 53% 15.6, 29% 10.1, 18% A total of EUR 54.5 billion Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) *) GDP value added was EUR 193.3 billion in 2017. Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 6. Technology Industry Generates nearly 650,000 Jobs in Finland (over 25% of All Employees) (2017) 66.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus 304,600, 47% 225,800, 35% 114,600, 18% A total of 644 900 employees Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) 10 jobs in the technology industry bring 11 jobs to the rest of the economy Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 7. Every Job in the Technology Industry Generates almost another Job in the Services (2017) 76.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus 295,100, 87% 12,200, 3% 33,100, 10% Impact on other industries and on private consumption: 340,300 employees Services* Primary production Processing* *) Excl. the services industries in the technology industry. Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 8. Technology Industry Generates over 18 Billion Euros in Tax Revenue Annually in Finland (2017) 86.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus 9.2, 50% 4.3, 24% 4.7, 26% A total of EUR 18.2 billion Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 9. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 9Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 10. 10*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 13 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2018 Total goods exports 32.5 billion euros* North America 3.04 billion € 9.4 % Western Europe 17.51 billion € 53.9 % South and Middle America 0.89 billion € 2.7 % Central and Eastern Europe 5.06 billion € 15.5 % Africa 0.48 billion € 1.5 % Middle and Central East 0.48 billion € 1.5 % Asia 5.04 billion € 15.5 % 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 11. Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services Exports Revenue Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017 11*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information. Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Technology industry, 43.6, 51% Forest industry; 12.9; 15% Chemical industry; 13; 15% Other branches; 16.1; 19%
  • 12. Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland 12Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 13. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 13Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 14. Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland 14Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2019 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019 Export: +7 % -7 % Domestic: +25 % +4 % Combined: +10 % -4 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 15. Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland 15Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2019. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019 Export: +17 % 0 % Domestic: +11 % +2 % Combined: +15 % 0 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Combined Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 16. Tender Requests* Received by the Technology Industry Companies in Finland 16Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in July 2019. -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Balance figure 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 *) ”Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.” Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 17. Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 17 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019 Export: +21 % +1 % Domestic: +9 % +4 % Combined: +18 % +2 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2019 Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 18. Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 18 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019 Export: +15 % +2 % Domestic: +10 % +2 % Combined: +14 % +2 % Combined 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2019. Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 19. Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 19 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019 Export: -4 % -12 % Domestic: +39 % +1 % Combined: +3 % -10 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2019 Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 20. Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 20 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019 Export: +17 % -1 % Domestic: +14 % +4 % Combined: +17 % 0 % Combined 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2019. Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 21. Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 21 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019 Export: +49 % -16 % Domestic: +4 % -10 % Combined: +8 % -11 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2019. Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 22. Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 22 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019 Export: -15 % -9 % Domestic: +9 % -7 % Combined: +6 % -8 % Combined Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2019. Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 23. Value of New Orders in the Information Technology* in Finland 23 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2019 / II,2018 II,2019 / I,2019 Combined: +26 % +5 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2019. Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 24. Value of Order Books in the Information Technology* in Finland 24 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2019 / 30.6.2018 30.6.2019 / 31.3.2019 Combined: +10 % +4 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2019. Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 25. Technology Industry Personnel 259/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond Some 1 300 of employees affected by temporary or part-time lay-offs 30.6.2019 June 30
  • 26. Technology Industry Personnel Recruitment in Finland by Quarters 26Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2014Q3 2015Q1 2015Q3 2016Q1 2016Q3 2017Q1 2017Q3 2018Q1 2018Q3 2019Q1 Change in the number of personnel compared to the previous quarter Number of people recruited during the quarter Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 27. Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by Branch 279/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond June 30
  • 28. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Branch 289/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
  • 29. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Country 299/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey Information from year 2018 China, 49,386, 17% India, 35,658, 13% USA, 28,939, 10% Germany, 20,676, 7% Sweden, 15,124, 5% Poland, 14,906, 5% France, 11,525, 4% UK, 7,565, 3% Brazil, 6,750, 2% Russia, 6,425, 2% Italy, 5,956, 2% Canada, 4,676, 2% Spain, 4,372, 2% Other countries, 75,513, 26%
  • 30. Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in Finland 30 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Number of individuals retired Number of individuals retiring (estimation) Salaried employees Blue collar employees Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 31. Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees in Finland 31 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 32. Overview of the Situation in the Technology Industry and Outlook for the Autumn 2019 32 - Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 79 billion in 2018. The turnover was up 6% year-on-year. In January-May 2019, the turnover was up 6% over the year 2018. - The monetary value of new orders reported between April-June 2019 was 4% lower than in the preceding quarter, but 10 higher than in the corresponding period in 2018. - At the end of June, the value of order books was at the same level as at the end of March, but 15% higher than in June 2018. - The turnover of technology industry companies in the autumn 2019 is expected to be higher than in the corresponding period last year. - The number of personnel employed by technology industry companies in Finland grew by over 3 per cent in January-June from the 2018 average. The industry employed some 320,000 people, up some 10,000 from 2018. In addition, the companies had about 17,000 summer workers. - The recruitment activities stayed at a good level in April-June. The number of recruitments was just under 24,000. SMEs accounted for 63% of recruitments. 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 33. World Economic Outlook - Finland as a Part of Global Economy 339/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 34. GDP Growth Forecasts for 2019 Have Been Weakened in Recent Months 34Source: Consensus Economics 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 2018, Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019, Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug GDP consensus forecasts for 2019, % Eastern Europe Finland Sweden Russia France Germany Italy 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Forecast period
  • 35. Finland’s GDP Backlog for the Other Euro Area Countries Is Close to 5% 35Lähde: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 36. Finland’s Export Backlog for the Other Euro Area Countries Is Some 35% 36Source: Macrobond, Eurostat9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 37. Finland’s Economic Growth Has recently been Supported by Exports and Construction 37Source: Macrobond, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 38. Gross Domestic Product Has Grown Long in Europe and the USA, Finland is Lagging Behind 38Souce: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 39. 399/6/2019 Lähde: Macrobond In China, Growth Is Slowing Down, Brazil and Russia Are Experiencing Weak Growth Share of global GDP in China, India, Brazil and Russia is 31 % (adjusted for PP) Technology Industries of Finland
  • 40. 409/6/2019 Latest information August 2019 Source: Markit Economic Growth in the Euro Area Has Slowed Down Rapidly Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI), 50 = no change from previous month Technology Industries of Finland
  • 41. New Orders in Manufacturing in the Euro Area Have Declined, with Small Growth in Services Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI), 50 = no change from previous month 41Latest information August 2019 Source: Markit 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 42. Industrial Output Has Increased in Finland, but the Distance to the EU Average Is Still a Long Way 429/6/2019 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland
  • 43. Industrial Output Has Been Declining Recently, Especially in Germany 439/6/2019 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland
  • 44. Industrial Production Is Now Stagnating Worldwide 44Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy AnalysisTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 45. 459/6/2019 Latest information August 2019 Source: Markit Industrial Production in China Is Mildly Increasing Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in China Technology Industries of Finland
  • 46. 469/6/2019 Latest information August 2019 Source: Markit Industrial Production in Russia Is Decreasing Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Russia Technology Industries of Finland
  • 47. 479/6/2019 Latest information August 2019 Source: Markit Industrial Production in Brazil Is Growing Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Brazil Technology Industries of Finland
  • 48. 48Source: Macrobond Industrial Production in the USA Is Decreasing Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry 50 = no change from previous month Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 49. Political Uncertainty Destabilises Global Economic Stability - Exchange Rates Are Changing a Lot 49Source: Macrobond9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 50. 50Souce: Macrobond Growth in Fixed Investment in Russia Has Stopped Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 51. 51Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis World Trade Is Going Down to Lower Level Export volume Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 52. Imports to China Have Decreased from Several Countries 52Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 53. EU Exports to Russia Have Recovered only Slightly 53Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 54. Russia’s Share* of Technology Industry Exports from Finland Has Lowered to 5-6% 54*) Soviet Union up to 1991 Source: Finnish Customs 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019(1-6) Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019 %
  • 55. 55Source: IMF (July 2019) The World Economy Is Projected to Grow by 3.2% in 2019 GDP growth 2019 / 2018, % -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India RestofEasternEurope Russia Brazil Mexico RestofLatin America MiddleEast andAfrica Average growth: +3,2 % The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2018 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), % Rest of Asia Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 56. 56Source: IMF (July 2019), Finnish Customs Demand in the Finnish Technology Industry Export Market is Expected to Grow by 2.4 % in 2019 GDP growth 2019 / 2018, % -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India Restof Eastern Europe Russia Brazil RestofLatinAmerica MiddleEastandAfrica Average growth: +2,4 % Mexico The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2018, % Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 57. Finland’s Economic Growth Relies on Exports and Investments 57Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 58. Finnish Exports Have Lagged Behind the Competitor Countries 58Source: Macrobond, EurostatTechnology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 59. 59Source: Macrobond, Eurostat The Additional Debt of the State Has Stopped and the Overall Tax Rate Has Fallen Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 60. Unlike the Competitor Countries, in Finland Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008 60Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (May 2019) 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e2020e Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2005=100 USA Sweden Switzerland Belgium Germany Finland 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 61. 61Source: Statistics Finland, (National Accounts), The Confederation of Finnish Industries* investment survey (January 2019) Investments in the Manufacturing and Technology Industry in Finland Do Not Promise Long-Term Strong Growth 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e Manufacturing industry (incl. technology industry) Technology industry (incl. information technology and consulting engineering) Production and R&D investments in Finland, million euros, at fixed 2017 prices Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 62. Industrial Tangible and Intangible Investment* in Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels 62*) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2019 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Tangible investment Intangible investment* Intangible investment (excl. electronics industry)* Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 63. Total Industrial Investment in Finland Is Now at Around the Level of Capital Consumption 63*) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2019 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Tangible and intangible investment* Consumption of Fixed Capital Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 64. Tangible Investments by Industry in Finland Are Now Higher than the Consumption of Capital 64Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2019 0 1 2 3 4 5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Tangible investment Consumption of tangible capital Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 65. Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008 65Information on consumption of tangible capital is at 2010 prices. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Cumulative consumption of tangible capital Cumulative tangible investment Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 66. Industrial Tangible Investment Growth in Finland Has Lagged behind that of Competitors 66Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, June 2019 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 67. Investment Rate in Industrial Tangible Investments Is at a Low Level in Finland 67Source: Eurostat (National Accounts) 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland Tangible investments / value added, % 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 68. Industrial Intangible Investments * in Finland Have almost Halved since 2005 68*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments etc. Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, June 2019 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland, excl. electronics industry Finland Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 69. Investment Rate of Industrial Intangible Investments* Has Dropped Significantly in Finland 69*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments. Source: Eurostat (National Accounts) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland, excl. electronics industry Finland Intangible investments / value added, % 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 70. Investments and productivity* are Decisive for Finland’s Success 709/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland *) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows (the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked. Source: Statistics Finland
  • 71. 716.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information April-June 019. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts Finland’s GDP Productivity Has Lagged Behind Other EU and Euro Countries GDP at fixed prices / hours worked 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 EU countries Euro countries Finland 2005=100
  • 72. 726.9.2019 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information March-April 2019. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts Finland’s Industrial Productivity Has Lagged Behind Other EU and Euro Countries Industrial value added at fixed prices / hours worked 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 EU countries Euro countries Finland 2005=100
  • 73. 73Lates information January-March 2019. Source: Eurostat The Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is Clearly Lower than the EU Average 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Sweden Austria Belgium EU countries Finland Corporate fixed investment compared to value added, % (excl. financial sector) 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 74. 74 Finland’s Cost Competitiveness Has Improved, but Is Still About 5% Behind Other Euro Countries Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective exchange rates 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 2000=100 2005=100 2008=100 Finland’s price and cost competitiveness declines Finland’s price and cost competitiveness improves 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy. Latest information January-March 2019. Source: European Central Bank
  • 75. Technology Industries of Finland 759/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 76. The Federation’s Member Companies 2018 76 250–499 employees 70,029 39% 29,629 16% 26,793 15% 53,249 30% 1,440 92 % 86 5 % 38 2 % 24 1 % Number of enterprises / 1,588 Number of personnel / 179,700 1–249 employees 500–999 employees 1000– employees Technology Industries of Finland 9/6/2019
  • 77. The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2018 77 477 33% 483 33 % 285 20% 196 14% Number of enterprises / 1,440 Number of personnel / 70,029 5,101 7% 15,705 23% 19,763 28% 29,460 42% 1–19 employees 20–49 employees 50–99 employees 100–249 employees 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 78. Operating Profit in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2017 Operating profit-% = operating result / turnover * 100 (before taxes and financial income and expenses) 78Source: Statistics Finland -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 4,8 %) Good (26 %) Satisfactory (23 %) Weak (29 %) Unprofitable (22 %) 9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Companies in random order
  • 79. Net Profit in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2017 Net profit -% = net profit / turnover * 100 (after tax and financial income and expenses) 79 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 3,9 %) Unprofitable (23 %) Good (21 %) Satisfactory (23 %) Weak (33 %) Source: Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland Companies in random order
  • 80. Return on Assets in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2017 Return on assets -% = (net income + financial expenses + taxes) / (capital invested in the financial year) * 100 80 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 12,3 %) Good (43 %) Satisfactory (13 %) Mediocre (25 %) Weak (19 %) Companies in random order Source: Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 81. Equity Ratio in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2017 Equity ratio -% = (total equity + total appropriations accrued) / adjusted balance sheet * 100 81 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 (Median: 41.0 %) Good (52 %) Satisfactory (24 %) Weak (24 %) Companies in random order Source: Statistics Finland9/6/2019 Technology Industries of Finland