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Understanding the Relationship
Between Social Media and
TV Viewership
A World Cup Case Study




Jon Gibs              David Coletti
SVP                              VP
The Nielsen Company            ESPN
Background

             Remember when the Internet
              was supposed to kill off TV?




               “The Internet is our friend,
                    not our enemy”
Problems
A basic assumption, but no proof
• Does social media impact TV viewership?
• Does social media impact online media
  consumption?
• How can we measure if it does?
Methodology
       Research Need                    Nielsen Solution
 Who was exposed to online buzz    Nielsen buzz reach of World Cup
     about the World Cup?                  Buzz exposures




  How did this group access and
                                   Custom survey fielded to output
   watch all other World Cup
                                           of buzz reach
            content?




  Is there a connection between    Test-control survey design and
 exposure to World Cup Buzz and     behavioral analysis of survey
 other World Cup viewing habits?            respondents
Using Buzz Reach to Measure Social
    Media Exposure
    How many people read posts containing discussion about the World Cup?
    How many posts did they read?
    What is their demographic profile?
1                                                2
      BuzzMetrics: Identifies all pages                 Use Nielsen Online meter to
        containing World Cup Buzz                    identify visitors to relevant pages
    http://cardiscussion.blogspot.com/pacer

    http:// townhalltalk.edmunds.com/thread
    99988632/index.htm/?p2

    http://www.amcfans.com/2008/09/01/pacers_
    are _great.html

    http://www.carfanatic.com/coolest_classic_
    cars.htm

    http:// forums.cartalk.com/thread/5469912
Control Development

• We only considered panelists exposed to World Cup
  Buzz during the month of the World Cup
  Tournament and two months prior to the event
  (April 11, 2010 – July 11, 2010)
• This allowed for an exposed cell of 803 respondents
• A control cell of 872 respondents was created,
  with age, gender, income, and time spent online
  being the control factors
  – The data was further weighted to be representative of the online
    sports category
  – The two cells were also balanced by degree of soccer fandom
    (one of the prompts in the questionnaire)
Cell Design: Without Facebook
Augmentation is Required
Used/Did Not Use Facebook for WC is derived from the response
to the question “Did you use social media services to read or talk
about the 2010 World Cup?”

     Exposed to World Cup Buzz,
                                             N=131
       Used Facebook for WC

   Not Exposed to World Cup Buzz,
                                             N=107
       Used Facebook for WC

     Exposed to World Cup Buzz,
                                             N=145
    Did Not Use Facebook for WC

   Not Exposed to World Cup Buzz,
                                             N=237
    Did Not Use Facebook for WC
Is Facebook Exposure Indicative of Use, or Are
Blog Readers Who Don’t Read Facebook Odd?
Q: How often would you say you looked for any World Cup
content (including highlights, news, analysis, and live games) on
TV, the Internet, or a mobile device during the 2010 World Cup?
                                           Exposed &    Unexposed &    Exposed & Did    Unexposed &
                                            Used FB       Used FB       Not Use FB     Did Not Use FB

                                Everyday          57%            43%             10%              27%


               3-5 Times per Week                 23%            40%             20%               7%


         Once or Twice per Week                   12%             8%             33%              36%


         Once or Twice Over the
                                                   8%             9%             31%              23%
       Course of the Tournament


                                  Never            0%             0%              7%               7%


Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
A More Detailed View Shows
Similar Trends
Q: About how many live World Cup games would you say
you viewed at least five minutes of during the 2010 World
Cup Tournament?
                      Weighted Average Number of Matches Viewed
         15.0                      15.7


                                                                   10.0
                                                   7.3




    Exposed &                   Unexposed &     Exposed &       Unexposed &
     Used FB                      Used FB     Did Not Use FB   Did Not Use FB

Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
Social Users Are More Likely to View
Out of Home
Q: Where did you watch live World Cup games?

                  Exposed & Used FB                    Unexposed & Used FB
                  Exposed & Did Not Use FB             Unexposed & Did Not Use FB
                                                                   41%
  36%                                 34%                                            34%

                                                                         25%
                                19%         19%        21%                     21%
           18%
                    13%
                                                  7%



             At Work                  At a Friend or Family         At a Public Location
                                       Member's House              (Bar, Restaurant, Etc.)

Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
Not Surprisingly, Social Users Are More
Likely to View Online
Q: Which of the following platforms did you use to watch live
World Cup games?
                            Exposed & Used FB            Unexposed & Used FB
                            Exposed & Did Not Use FB     Unexposed & Did Not Use FB

                  80% 80%
    73%
           65%                      67%
                                          55% 56% 52%
                                                        41%


                                                              15%        14%   16%
                                                                                     9%
                                                                    4%                    1% 2%

            ESPN TV                       ABC TV          ESPN3.com             ESPN Mobile
   But when the weekend matches were only available on ABC, not ESPN Digital,
                these same viewers were the most likely to watch
Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
Social Media Also is Not Detracting from
 How They Access Traditional Sports Sites
 Q: Did your use of social media during the World Cup make you
 more or less likely to watch live World Cup news, highlights, or
 information on traditional sports media websites?
                                   Exposed & Used FB         Unexposed & Used FB
            37%
                                  35% 34%
    32%                                             32%

                                                          26%




                                                                               2%
                                                                         1%                 0%    0%

Much More Likely             Somewhat More        Did Not Change      Somewhat Less         Much Less
   to Access                  Likely to Access Likelihood to Access   Likely to Access   Likely to Access
  Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
Half of Those That Used Social Media for the World Cup
Did So on a Mobile Device, Almost Always in the Course of
Watching a Live Match
Q: Did you ever use any social Q: Did you use any social
media services to read and      media services on a mobile
talk about the World Cup on     device while watching a live
a mobile device?                World Cup game?

                                            7%


                                49%
          51%


                                                 93%
                                      Yes
                                      No


Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
Conclusions

• Blog and board consumption is not enough, Facebook
  use is critical to understanding the impact on TV
• Users of Facebook for World Cup social media were more
  likely to be heavy consumers of traditional World Cup
  content than were users of blogs and boards only
  – Facebook seems to provide users with more of a direct, active
    connection with content, while interaction with blogs/boards is
    more casual or passive
• Heavier World Cup social media users (both Facebook &
  blogs) were more likely to access live matches
  somewhere other than the Home TV (ESPN3, ESPN
  Mobile, Out-of-Home TV)
Next Steps

• Use Facebook polling tools to better understand
  use and exposure
• Look at less “buzzworthy” events
• Develop correlations outside of survey test and
  control looking at Twitter and other sources
Looking at Averages Over Longer Period
Length Leads to Stronger Relationships
                     1000



                     900



                     800
                                                                                                R2 = 0.6305               R2 = 0.5297


                                                                           R2 = 0.8945
                     700
      Sheen Tweets




                     600



                     500



                     400



                     300



                     200
                                                                      Ratings

                                   Minute-by-Minute            5 Minute Averages            10 Minute Averages
                                   Linear (Minute-by-Minute)   Linear (5 Minute Averages)   Linear (10 Minute Averages)

Source: Nielsen Minute By Minute/Twitter Volume
Thanks!
Q&A
Understanding the Relationship Between Social Media and TV Viewership

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Understanding the Relationship Between Social Media and TV Viewership

  • 1.
  • 2. Understanding the Relationship Between Social Media and TV Viewership A World Cup Case Study Jon Gibs David Coletti SVP VP The Nielsen Company ESPN
  • 3. Background Remember when the Internet was supposed to kill off TV? “The Internet is our friend, not our enemy”
  • 4. Problems A basic assumption, but no proof • Does social media impact TV viewership? • Does social media impact online media consumption? • How can we measure if it does?
  • 5. Methodology Research Need Nielsen Solution Who was exposed to online buzz Nielsen buzz reach of World Cup about the World Cup? Buzz exposures How did this group access and Custom survey fielded to output watch all other World Cup of buzz reach content? Is there a connection between Test-control survey design and exposure to World Cup Buzz and behavioral analysis of survey other World Cup viewing habits? respondents
  • 6. Using Buzz Reach to Measure Social Media Exposure How many people read posts containing discussion about the World Cup? How many posts did they read? What is their demographic profile? 1 2 BuzzMetrics: Identifies all pages Use Nielsen Online meter to containing World Cup Buzz identify visitors to relevant pages http://cardiscussion.blogspot.com/pacer http:// townhalltalk.edmunds.com/thread 99988632/index.htm/?p2 http://www.amcfans.com/2008/09/01/pacers_ are _great.html http://www.carfanatic.com/coolest_classic_ cars.htm http:// forums.cartalk.com/thread/5469912
  • 7. Control Development • We only considered panelists exposed to World Cup Buzz during the month of the World Cup Tournament and two months prior to the event (April 11, 2010 – July 11, 2010) • This allowed for an exposed cell of 803 respondents • A control cell of 872 respondents was created, with age, gender, income, and time spent online being the control factors – The data was further weighted to be representative of the online sports category – The two cells were also balanced by degree of soccer fandom (one of the prompts in the questionnaire)
  • 8. Cell Design: Without Facebook Augmentation is Required Used/Did Not Use Facebook for WC is derived from the response to the question “Did you use social media services to read or talk about the 2010 World Cup?” Exposed to World Cup Buzz, N=131 Used Facebook for WC Not Exposed to World Cup Buzz, N=107 Used Facebook for WC Exposed to World Cup Buzz, N=145 Did Not Use Facebook for WC Not Exposed to World Cup Buzz, N=237 Did Not Use Facebook for WC
  • 9. Is Facebook Exposure Indicative of Use, or Are Blog Readers Who Don’t Read Facebook Odd? Q: How often would you say you looked for any World Cup content (including highlights, news, analysis, and live games) on TV, the Internet, or a mobile device during the 2010 World Cup? Exposed & Unexposed & Exposed & Did Unexposed & Used FB Used FB Not Use FB Did Not Use FB Everyday 57% 43% 10% 27% 3-5 Times per Week 23% 40% 20% 7% Once or Twice per Week 12% 8% 33% 36% Once or Twice Over the 8% 9% 31% 23% Course of the Tournament Never 0% 0% 7% 7% Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
  • 10. A More Detailed View Shows Similar Trends Q: About how many live World Cup games would you say you viewed at least five minutes of during the 2010 World Cup Tournament? Weighted Average Number of Matches Viewed 15.0 15.7 10.0 7.3 Exposed & Unexposed & Exposed & Unexposed & Used FB Used FB Did Not Use FB Did Not Use FB Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
  • 11. Social Users Are More Likely to View Out of Home Q: Where did you watch live World Cup games? Exposed & Used FB Unexposed & Used FB Exposed & Did Not Use FB Unexposed & Did Not Use FB 41% 36% 34% 34% 25% 19% 19% 21% 21% 18% 13% 7% At Work At a Friend or Family At a Public Location Member's House (Bar, Restaurant, Etc.) Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
  • 12. Not Surprisingly, Social Users Are More Likely to View Online Q: Which of the following platforms did you use to watch live World Cup games? Exposed & Used FB Unexposed & Used FB Exposed & Did Not Use FB Unexposed & Did Not Use FB 80% 80% 73% 65% 67% 55% 56% 52% 41% 15% 14% 16% 9% 4% 1% 2% ESPN TV ABC TV ESPN3.com ESPN Mobile But when the weekend matches were only available on ABC, not ESPN Digital, these same viewers were the most likely to watch Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
  • 13. Social Media Also is Not Detracting from How They Access Traditional Sports Sites Q: Did your use of social media during the World Cup make you more or less likely to watch live World Cup news, highlights, or information on traditional sports media websites? Exposed & Used FB Unexposed & Used FB 37% 35% 34% 32% 32% 26% 2% 1% 0% 0% Much More Likely Somewhat More Did Not Change Somewhat Less Much Less to Access Likely to Access Likelihood to Access Likely to Access Likely to Access Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
  • 14. Half of Those That Used Social Media for the World Cup Did So on a Mobile Device, Almost Always in the Course of Watching a Live Match Q: Did you ever use any social Q: Did you use any social media services to read and media services on a mobile talk about the World Cup on device while watching a live a mobile device? World Cup game? 7% 49% 51% 93% Yes No Source: Nielsen Custom Survey
  • 15. Conclusions • Blog and board consumption is not enough, Facebook use is critical to understanding the impact on TV • Users of Facebook for World Cup social media were more likely to be heavy consumers of traditional World Cup content than were users of blogs and boards only – Facebook seems to provide users with more of a direct, active connection with content, while interaction with blogs/boards is more casual or passive • Heavier World Cup social media users (both Facebook & blogs) were more likely to access live matches somewhere other than the Home TV (ESPN3, ESPN Mobile, Out-of-Home TV)
  • 16. Next Steps • Use Facebook polling tools to better understand use and exposure • Look at less “buzzworthy” events • Develop correlations outside of survey test and control looking at Twitter and other sources
  • 17. Looking at Averages Over Longer Period Length Leads to Stronger Relationships 1000 900 800 R2 = 0.6305 R2 = 0.5297 R2 = 0.8945 700 Sheen Tweets 600 500 400 300 200 Ratings Minute-by-Minute 5 Minute Averages 10 Minute Averages Linear (Minute-by-Minute) Linear (5 Minute Averages) Linear (10 Minute Averages) Source: Nielsen Minute By Minute/Twitter Volume