Monthly Employment Summary February 2016

GREATER ST. LOUIS
EMPLOYMENT
SUMMARY
February 2016 Preliminary Data
Prepared
April 6, 2016

Unemployment Rate | PEOPLE
Seasonally adjusted
February 2016 January 2016 December 2015
St. Louis MSA 4.7%  4.7%  4.7%
Illinois 6.4%  6.3%  6.1%
Missouri 4.2%  4.2%  4.4%
United States 4.9%  4.9%  5.0%
Payroll Employment | JOBS
Seasonally adjusted
February 2016
Job Change
Over the Month
Percent Change
Over the Month
St. Louis MSA 1,359,900 6,900 0.5% 
Illinois 5,993,800 18,100 0.3% 
Missouri 2,798,500 9,400 0.3% 
United States 143,560,000 242,000 0.2% 
OVERVIEW
Monthly Employment Summary | page 2
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics1
The nation’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.9% in February, unchanged from January. The region’s
seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, was also unchanged holding at steady at 4.7% in January and February, re-
maining just below the nation.
Nationally, the preliminary seasonally adjusted nonfarm employment numbers for February saw the addition of 242,000
jobs or a 0.2% increase. The region’s seasonally adjusted payroll employment rose by 6,900 jobs for an over-the-
month gain of 0.5%.
The region’s not-seasonally adjusted payroll employment data series also points to job continuing growth in the region.
Over-the-year unadjusted job data from February 2015 to February 2016 shows that total employment in the region
rose by 20,300 or a 1.5% growth rate. At the same time employment grew by 1.9% nationally (See page 9).
This summary is available on the Economic Overview page of the St. Louis Regional Chamber website.
http://www.stlregionalchamber.com/regional-data/economy. The next summary will be available April 27, 2016.
Please note that the preliminary data presented in this summary is subject to change. This month, the regional unem-
ployment data is provisional and subject to change. One month’s data does not necessarily indicate a trend (See page
8). Please refer to the page 4 to see long term unemployment trends and page 7 to look at nonfarm employment
trends since 1990.

ST. LOUIS, MO-IL MSA LABOR FORCE
Not seasonally adjusted
MONTHLY ANNUAL AVERAGE
February
2016 (P)
February
2015
Percent
Change 2015 2014 Percent
Change
Total Civilian Labor
Force
1,480,270 1,447,828 2.2% n/a 1,455,414 n/a
Total Employed 1,403,923 1,361,132 3.1% n/a 1,363,743 n/a
Total Unemployed 76,347 85,795 -11.9% n/a 91,671 n/a
Unemployment Rate 5.2% 6.0% — n/a 6.3% n/a
UNITED STATES LABOR FORCE
Not Seasonally adjusted
Total Civilian Labor
Force
158,279,000 156,213,000 1.3% 157,130,000 155,922,000 0.8%
Total Employed 150,060,000 147,118,000 2.0% 148,834,000 146,305,000 1.7%
Total Unemployed 8,219,000 9,095,000 -9.6% 8,296,000 9,617,000 -13.7%
Unemployment Rate 5.2% 5.8% — 5.3% 6.2% —
Labor Force & Unemployment Rates | PEOPLE
Snapshot
ST. LOUIS UNEMPLOYMENT
From February 2015 to February 2016, the number of employed persons in
the St. Louis region increased by nearly 55,000 while the labor force
increased by about 45,600.
MONTHLY ANNUAL AVERAGE
February
2016 (P)
February
2015
Percent
Change 2015 2014 Percent
Change
Note: 2015 annual averages will be released April 15, 2016

U.S. Metros
RATE CHANGE
February 2016
unemployment
rate compared to
February 2015
387 metropolitan areas total
Lower 296
Unchanged 15
Higher 76
JOBLESS RATE
Eleven areas registered
rates of less than 3%
Eleven areas registered
rates of at least 10%
Note: Monthly data are not seasonally adjusted and February 2016 rates are preliminary
Unemployment Trends | PEOPLE
Snapshot
NATIONAL
COMPARISON
The region’s unemploy-
ment rate continues to
track closely with the
national unemployment
rate.
Unemployment by Peer Markets | PEOPLE
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12% 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Louis MSA U.S.
6.8%
5.6%
5.3%
5.3%
5.2%
5.2%
5.0%
4.9%
4.9%
4.8%
4.5%
3.9%
3.7%
3.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Chicago
Pittsburgh
Charlotte
Atlanta
U.S.
St.Louis
Baltimore
Cincinnati
Indianapolis
ResearchTriangle
KansasCity
Minneapolis
Dallas
Denver

Geographic Distribution of Unemployment Rates | PEOPLE
February 2016

Civilian Labor Force | PEOPLE
AREA
CURRENT MONTH - February 2016 (P) YEAR AGO - February 2015
Labor Force Employment
Unemployment
Labor Force Employment
Unemployment
Number Rate Number Rate
United States 158,279,000 150,060,000 8,219,000 5.2% 156,213,000 147,118,000 9,095,000 5.8%
Illinois 6,575,202 6,116,476 458,726 7.0% 6,459,564 6,041,231 418,333 6.5%
Missouri 3,142,398 2,985,128 157,270 5.0% 3,090,650 2,901,063 189,587 6.1%
St. Louis, MO-IL 1,493,373 1,415,703 77,670 5.2% 1,447,828 1,361,132 86,696 6.0%
Missouri Counties
Franklin 53,699 50,885 2814 5.2% 52,297 48,804 3,493 6.7%
Jefferson 120,171 113,953 6218 5.2% 116,506 109,013 7,493 6.4%
Lincoln 27,492 25953 1539 5.6% 26,626 24,767 1,859 7.0%
St. Charles 219,748 211,158 8,590 3.9% 210,032 199,788 10,244 4.9%
St. Louis County 544,644 520,790 23,854 4.4% 530,769 500,788 29,981 5.6%
Warren 17,676 16,769 907 5.1% 17,100 15,999 1,101 6.4%
St. Louis City 163,654 154,673 8,981 5.5% 160,804 149,240 11,564 7.2%
Illinois Counties
Bond 7,930 7,363 567 7.2% 7,723 7,276 447 5.8%
Calhoun 2,384 2,168 216 9.1% 2,343 2,161 182 7.8%
Clinton 20,244 18,978 1,266 6.3% 19,488 18,500 988 5.1%
Jersey 11,226 10,396 830 7.4% 10,846 10,126 720 6.6%
Macoupin 23,354 21,520 1,834 7.9% 22,679 21,141 1,538 6.8%
Madison 134,900 125,194 9,706 7.2% 129,514 121,537 7,977 6.2%
Monroe 18,163 17,185 978 5.4% 17,363 16,546 817 4.7%
St. Clair 128,088 118,718 9,370 7.3% 123,738 115,446 8,292 6.7%
Missouri Cities of 25,000 or more
Ballwin 17,467 16,885 582 3.3% 16,912 16,240 672 4.0%
Chesterfield 25,477 24,674 803 3.2% 24,715 23,723 992 4.0%
Florissant 29,132 27,758 1,374 4.7% 28,323 26,734 1,589 5.6%
Hazelwood 14,321 13,583 738 5.2% 13,883 13,068 815 5.9%
Kirkwood 16,193 15,671 522 3.2% 15,652 15,041 611 3.9%
Maryland Hgts. 16,710 16,058 652 3.9% 16,276 15,465 811 5.0%
O'Fallon 48,327 46,679 1,648 3.4% 46,136 44,233 1,903 4.1%
St. Charles 38,846 37,194 1,652 4.3% 37,412 35,484 1,928 5.2%
St. Louis 163,654 154,673 8,981 5.5% 160,804 149,240 11,564 7.2%
St. Peters 34,206 33,008 1,198 3.5% 32,521 31,034 1,487 4.6%
University City 19,356 18,596 760 3.9% 18,919 17,906 1,013 5.4%
Wentzville 18,702 18,112 590 3.2% 17,387 16,692 695 4.0%
Wildwood 19,541 18,908 633 3.2% 18,961 18,172 789 4.2%
Illinois Cities of 25,000 or more
Alton 11,694 10,722 972 8.3% 11,386 10,426 960 8.4%
Belleville 22,676 20,997 1,679 7.4% 21,894 20,500 1,394 6.4%
Collinsville 13,075 12,108 967 7.4% 12,603 11,807 796 6.3%
East St. Louis 8,990 8,039 951 10.6% 8,693 7,760 933 10.7%
Granite City 13,648 12,337 1,311 9.6% 12,928 12,026 902 7.0%
O'Fallon 13,819 12,964 855 6.2% 13,322 12,580 742 5.6%

ST . LO UI S M S A U N IT ED ST AT E S
Year
Nonfarm
Employment
Change
Percent
Change
Nonfarm
Employment
Change
Percent
Change
1992 1,160,900 2,700 0.2% 108,802,000 375,000 0.3%
1993 1,177,400 16,500 1.4% 110,935,000 2,133,000 2.0%
1994 1,209,600 32,200 2.7% 114,398,000 3,463,000 3.1%
1995 1,229,500 19,900 1.6% 117,407,000 3,009,000 2.6%
1996 1,250,400 20,900 1.7% 119,836,000 2,429,000 2.1%
1997 1,274,700 24,300 1.9% 122,951,000 3,115,000 2.6%
1998 1,295,700 21,000 1.6% 126,157,000 3,206,000 2.6%
1999 1,312,300 16,600 1.3% 129,240,000 3,083,000 2.4%
2000 1,327,000 14,700 1.1% 132,024,000 2,784,000 2.2%
2001 1,328,400 1,400 0.1% 132,087,000 63,000 0.0%
2002 1,321,600 (6,800) -0.5% 130,649,000 (1,438,000) -1.1%
2003 1,312,500 (9,100) -0.7% 130,347,000 (302,000) -0.2%
2004 1,312,100 (400) 0.0% 131,787,000 1,440,000 1.1%
2005 1,328,100 16,000 1.2% 134,051,000 2,264,000 1.7%
2006 1,341,800 13,700 1.0% 136,453,000 2,402,000 1.8%
2007 1,350,900 9,100 0.7% 137,999,000 1,546,000 1.1%
2008 1,347,300 (3,600) -0.3% 137,242,000 (757,000) -0.5%
2009 1,290,700 (56,600) -4.2% 131,313,000 (5,929,000) -4.3%
2010 1,281,300 (9,400) -0.7% 130,361,000 (952,000) -0.7%
2011 1,293,600 12,300 1.0% 131,932,000 1,571,000 1.2%
2012 1,294,300 700 0.1% 134,175,000 2,243,000 1.7%
2013 1,303,900 9,600 0.7% 136,381,000 2,206,000 1.6%
2014 1,319,700 15,800 1.2% 138,958,000 2,577,000 1.9%
2015 1,343,700 24,000 1.8% 141,865,000 2,907,000 2.1%
1992 - 2015 Total Change 182,800 15.7% Total Change 33,063,000 30.4%
Compound Average Growth Rate 0.64% Compound Average Growth Rate 1.16%
monthly employment summary | page 7
Over the Year Change
Nonfarm Employment | JOBS
ST . LO UI S M S A U N IT ED ST AT E S
Year February (P) Change
Percent
Change
February (P) Change
Percent
Change
2015 1,314,600 22,600 1.7% 139,343,000 3,023,000 2.3%
2016 1,334,900 20,300 1.5% 142,005,000 2,662,000 1.9%
Nonfarm Employment | JOBS

U.S. Metro
RATE CHANGE
February 2016
nonfarm employment
compared to
February 2015
387 metropolitan areas total
Increased 323
Unchanged 2
Decreased 62
Employment Growth by Peer Markets| JOBS
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 11
Looking Ahead - National Employment - March
JOBS
0.1%
1.5%
1.6%
1.6%
1.7%
1.8%
1.9%
2.0%
2.2%
2.5%
2.6%
2.6%
2.9%
3.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Pittsburgh
St.Louis
KansasCity
Baltimore
Chicago
Minneapolis
UnitedStates
Cincinnati
Charlotte
Indianapolis
Denver
ResearchTriangle
Atlanta
Dallas
National Total Nonfarm
Industry Growth
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA
TOTAL JOBS +215,000
GOODS-PRODUCING -4,000
MANUFACTURING -19,000
SERVICE-PRODUCING 219,000
PROFESSIONAL &
BUSINESS SERVICES
33,000
FINANCIAL
ACTIVITIES
15,000

Employment Trends by Industry Sector| JOBS
PERCENT CHANGE IN NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
ST. LOUIS MSA AND U.S. FEBRUARY 2015 TO FEBRUARY 2016
CHANGE IN NON-FARM EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
ST. LOUIS MSA FEBRUARY 2015 TO FEBRUARY 2016
20,300
(100)
(1,600)
2,300
(1,000)
2,700 3,400
1,600
7,600
3,300
1,400 700
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Total
Non-Farm
Mining,
Logging&
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade,
Transportation&
Utilities
Information
Financial
Activities
Professional
&Business
Services
Education
HealthCare
Leisure&
Hospitality
OtherServices
Government
1.5%
-0.2%
-1.4%
0.9%
-3.5%
3.2%
1.7%
4.2%
3.8%
2.4%
3.0%
0.4%
1.9% 1.6%
0.2%
1.8%
1.6%
1.8%
3.2%
1.9%
3.5%
3.0%
1.2%
0.3%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5% Total
Non-Farm
Mining,
Logging&
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade,
Transportation&
Utilities
Information
Financial
Activities
Professional
&Business
Services
Education
HealthCare
Leisure&
Hospitality
OtherServices
Government
St. Louis U.S.

Forecast Month
72 economists participate in a
monthly, national economic fore-
cast published by the Wall Street
Journal; this monthly consensus
forecast shows expectations for
modest economic growth through
2018.
Source: Wall Street Journal Economic Survey14
Snapshot
U.S. GDP is forecast to grow
by 2.4% in 2016 and 2.3% in
2017 and 2018.
The nation’s unemployment
rate is expected to continue to
fall, remaining below 5.0%
through the end of 2018.
Economists continue to expect
employment growth over the
next 12 months. The forecast
for jobs per month in March was
190,162, a level that would add
2.3 million jobs over the next 12
months or an annual growth
rate of about 1.6%.
YEAR END UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
MONTHLY PAYROLL GROWTH FORECASTS
National Forecasts
ANNUAL GDP FORECASTS
239,063
218,586
219,505
220,332
207,505
209,399
204,248
190,089
193,264
199,414
190,610
179,285
190,162
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Mar'15
Apr'15
May'15
June'15
July'15
Aug'15
Sept'15
Oct'15
Nov'15
Dec'15
Jan'16
Feb'16
Mar'16
4.6% 4.6%
4.6%
4.5%
4.6%
4.7%
4.8%
4.9%
5.0%
Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018
2.4% 2.3% 2.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
2016 2017 2018

Each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on current
employment in the Employment Situation. The data comes from two dif-
ferent surveys: the Current Population Survey (CPS), also known as the
household survey, and the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey,
also known as the establishment or payroll survey.
While both surveys measure employment, they have different samples,
different definitions of employment, different estimation procedures, and
different concepts. These two series track well together over long peri-
ods but, in the short term, do occasionally diverge.
CURRENT
POPULATION SURVEY
CURRENT EMPLOYMENT
STATISTICS SURVEY
MONTHLY SAMPLE Approximately 60,000
households
160,000 businesses &
government agencies; firms
of all sizes are included
MEASUREMENT
Unemployment &
employment with significant
demographic detail
Employment, earnings,
& hours with significant
industrial
& geographic detail
REFERENCE PERIOD Week that includes
the 12th
of the month
Pay period that includes
the 12th
of the month
WORK FORCE Only workers
aged 16 and older
Employees of all
ages are included
EXHIBITS The number of
employed persons
The number of
nonfarm payroll jobs
MULTIPLE JOB HOLDERS Counted once Counted for each payroll job
SELF-EMPLOYED
PERSONS Included Excluded
AGRICULTURE SECTOR Included Excluded
PRIVATE HOUSEHOLD
WORKERS Included Excluded
UNPAID FAMILY
WORKERS Included Excluded
WORKERS ON LEAVE Included Excluded
Source: BLS, Monthly Labor Review15
monthly employment summary | page 11
Survey Comparison

Source: Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development16
Current Employment
Statistics Survey
Local Area Unemployment
Statistics Survey
DESCRIPTION
DATA SOURCE
DEFINITION
PROVISIONS
Monthly survey of non-farm
business establishments for
the estimation of industry
employment, hours & earnings,
for the 50 states & 250
metropolitan statistical areas
surveyed.
The program is a federal-state
cooperative program between
the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statis-
tics
& State agencies. The national
sample Consists of 400,000
businesses & is the largest survey
of its kind.
Employed: the count of jobs by
place of work rather than of em-
ployed persons
Industry employment time series
Total number of non-
supervisory/production
workers
One of the earliest monthly
economic indicators released by
the government; usually causes
immediate reaction in the stock
and bond market
Average weekly hours
earnings
View of the nation’s economic
health through employment num-
bers; earnings trends and wage
push inflation through average
hourly earnings; and short term
fluctuations in
demand through average weekly
hours of work
Monthly estimates of labor force,
employment, and unemployment
for state and local areas. The local
unemployment estimates are the
basis for determining area eligibility
for benefits under the Workforce
Invest Act & other federal programs.
Cooperative effort between the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics & State
agencies. Models use both current
& historical data from the Current
Population Survey, Current
Employment Statistics program,
& Unemployment Insurance
statistics program to provide
estimates of employment &
unemployment.
Persons age 16 or older who, in the
survey week, worked for pay or
profit, or worked unpaid in a family
operated business, or were
temporarily absent from their regular
jobs.
Labor force, employment and
unemployment rates
Comparative rates
Monthly date from 1990 to present
Insight into state and local governments’
planning and budgetary
decisions
Aids in the determination of need for em-
ployment and training services
Determination of eligibility for federal pro-
grams and formula funding

1 “Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” , “Smoothed Seasonally Adjusted Metropolitan Area Esti-
mates” and “Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics,
http://www.bls.gov/lau/home.htm#TABLES, Accessed 4/06/16.
2
“Employment, Hours, and Earnings (CES)” U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/data/
#employment, Accessed 4/06/16.
3
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” and “Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population
Survey” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/data/#unemployment, Accessed 4/06/16.
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Missouri Economic Research and Information Center,
http://www.missourieconomy.org/indicators/laus/default.aspx, Accessed 4/06/16.
4
5
6
“Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment - January 2016” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/metro.pdf, Accessed 4/06/16.
7
8
9
“Employment, Hours, and Earnings (CES)” U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://data.bls.gov/pdq/
querytool.jsp?survey=sm , Accessed 4/06/16.
10
11
12
“Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment - February 2016” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/metro.pdf, Accessed 4/06/16.
13
14
“Wall Street Journal Economic Survey: March 2016” http://online.wsj.com/public/page/economic-
forecasting.html, Accessed 4/06/16.
15
“Understanding the Employment Measures from the CPS and CES Survey” Monthly Labor Review,
February 2006, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2006/02/art2full.pdf, Accessed 5/1/09.
16
Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development, http://www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi/
Home.htm, Accessed 5/1/09.
Sources

ST. LOUIS REGIONAL CHAMBER
O N E ME T R O P O L I T A N S Q U A R E ◦ S U I T E 1 3 0 0 ◦ S T . L O U I S , M O 6 3 1 0 2 ◦ 3 1 4 . 2 3 1 . 5 5 5 5 ◦ W W W . S T L R E G I O N A L C H A MB E R . C O M
THE ST. LOUIS REGIONAL CHAMBER IS THE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION FOR GREATER ST. LOUIS,
W HICH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES IN MISSOURI & ILLINOIS.
COMPILED BY
RUTH SERGENIAN
DIRECTOR, ECONOMIC RESEARCH & ANALYSIS
THOMAS WASH
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH INTERN
PREPARED April 6, 2016
Next release April 27, 2016
NEXT UPDATES • ,March 2016 data
BLS U.S. Level ◦ April 1
BLS State Level ◦ April 15
MO & IL State Labor Market Release ◦ April 19 and 21
BLS Metro Level ◦ April 27
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL MSA

Monthly Employment Summary February 2016

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Monthly Employment Summary February 2016