Monthly Employment Summary March 2016

GREATER ST. LOUIS
EMPLOYMENT
SUMMARY
March 2016 Preliminary Data
Prepared
April 27, 2016

Unemployment Rate | PEOPLE
Seasonally adjusted
March 2016 February 2016 January 2016
St. Louis MSA 4.7%  4.7%  4.7
Illinois 6.5%  6.4%  6.3%
Missouri 4.2%  4.2%  4.2%
United States 5.0%  4.9%  4.9%
Payroll Employment | JOBS
Seasonally adjusted
March 2016
Job Change
Over the Month
Percent Change
Over the Month
St. Louis MSA 1,355,300 -4,800 -0.4% 
Illinois 6,009,000 14,700 0.2% 
Missouri 2,798,300 -1,500 -0.1% 
United States 143,774,000 215,000 0.1% 
OVERVIEW
Monthly Employment Summary | page 2
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics1
The St. Louis Region’s adjusted unemployment rate continues to track very closely to the nation. The nation’s
seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 5.0% in March, just above 4.9% posted in February. The region’s
seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, holding steady at 4.7% since January, remains just below the nation.
Nationally, the preliminary seasonally adjusted nonfarm employment numbers for March saw the addition of
215,000 jobs or a 0.1% increase. The region’s seasonally adjusted payroll employment fell by 4,800 jobs for an
over-the-month loss of 0.4%.
The region’s not-seasonally adjusted payroll employment data series points to continued job growth. Over-the-
year unadjusted job data from March 2015 to March 2016 shows that total employment in the region rose by
22,800 or a 1.7% growth rate. At the same time employment grew by 2.0% nationally (See page 9).
This summary is available on the Economic Overview page of the St. Louis Regional Chamber website.
http://www.stlregionalchamber.com/regional-data/economy. The next summary will be available June 1, 2016.
Please note that the preliminary data presented in this summary is subject to change. This month, the regional unemployment
data is provisional and subject to change. One month’s data does not necessarily indicate a trend (See page 8). Please refer
to the page 4 to see long term unemployment trends and page 7 to look at nonfarm employment trends since 1990.

ST. LOUIS, MO-IL MSA LABOR FORCE
Not seasonally adjusted
MONTHLY ANNUAL AVERAGE
March
2016 (P)
March
2015
Percent
Change 2015 2014 Percent
Change
Total Civilian Labor
Force
1,490,985 1,469,120 1.5% 1,481,423 1,457,491 1.6%
Total Employed 1,415,543 1,385,846 2.1% 1,406,552 1,366,121 3.0%
Total Unemployed 75,442 83,274 - 9.4% 74,871 91,370 -18.1%
Unemployment Rate 5.1% 5.7% — 5.1% 6.3% —
UNITED STATES LABOR FORCE
Not Seasonally adjusted
Total Civilian Labor
Force
158,854,000 156,318,000 1.6% 157,130,000 155,922,000 0.8%
Total Employed 150,738,000 147,635,000 2.1% 148,834,000 146,305,000 1.7%
Total Unemployed 8,116,000 8,683,000 -6.5% 8,296,000 9,617,000 -13.7%
Unemployment Rate 5.1% 5.6% — 5.3% 6.2% —
Labor Force & Unemployment Rates | PEOPLE
Snapshot
ST. LOUIS UNEMPLOYMENT
From March 2015 to March 2016, the number of employed persons in the
St. Louis region increased by nearly 29,700 while the labor force
increased by about 21,900.
MONTHLY ANNUAL AVERAGE
March
2016 (P)
March
2015
Percent
Change 2015 2014 Percent
Change

U.S. Metros
RATE CHANGE
March 2016
unemployment
rate compared to
March 2015
387 metropolitan areas total
Lower 270
Unchanged 19
Higher 98
JOBLESS RATE
Ten areas registered
rates of less than 3%
Eleven areas registered
rates of at least 10%
Note: Monthly data are not seasonally adjusted and March 2016 rates are preliminary
Unemployment Trends | PEOPLE
Snapshot
NATIONAL
COMPARISON
The region’s unemploy-
ment rate continues to
track closely with the
national unemployment
rate.
Unemployment by Peer Markets | PEOPLE
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12% 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
St. Louis MSA U.S.
6.6%
5.9%
5.2%
5.1%
5.1%
5.1%
5.0%
4.9%
4.8%
4.6%
4.4%
4.0%
3.8%
3.3%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Chicago
Pittsburgh
Atlanta
Charlotte
U.S.
St.Louis
Indianapolis
Baltimore
Cincinnati
ResearchTriangle
KansasCity
Minneapolis
Dallas
Denver

Geographic Distribution of Unemployment Rates | PEOPLE
March 2016

Civilian Labor Force | PEOPLE
AREA
CURRENT MONTH - March 2016 (P) YEAR AGO - March 2015
Labor Force Employment
Unemployment
Labor Force Employment
Unemployment
Number Rate Number Rate
United States 158,854,000 150,738,000 8,116,000 5.1% 156,318,000 147,635,000 8,683,000 5.6%
Illinois 6,619,887 6,173,016 446,871 6.8% 6,452,137 6,065,090 387,047 6.0%
Missouri 3,140,914 2,989,791 151,123 4.8% 3,098,397 2,918,435 179,962 5.8%
St. Louis, MO-IL 1,490,985 1,415,543 75,442 5.1% 1,469,120 1,385,846 83,274 5.7%
Missouri Counties
Franklin 53,479 50,847 2,632 4.9% 52,940 49,631 3,309 6.3%
Jefferson 119,379 113,654 5,725 4.8% 118,365 111,196 7,169 6.1%
Lincoln 27,363 25,966 1,397 5.1% 27,123 25,306 1,817 6.7 %
St. Charles 219,433 211,048 8,385 3.8% 216,155 206,094 10,061 4.7%
St. Louis County 543,806 519,796 24,010 4.4% 536,820 508,235 28,585 5.3%
Warren 17,609 16,769 840 4.8% 17,401 16,353 1,048 6.0%
St. Louis City 163,334 154,414 8,920 5.5% 162,146 150,970 11,176 6.9%
Illinois Counties
Bond 8,041 7,518 523 6.5% 7,845 7,416 429 5.5%
Calhoun 2,391 2,211 180 7.5% 2,357 2,184 173 7.3%
Clinton 20,386 19,243 1,143 5.6% 19,913 18,972 941 4.7%
Jersey 11,262 10,485 777 6.9% 11,019 10,338 681 6.2%
Macoupin 23,526 21,818 1,708 7.3% 22,982 21,520 1,462 6.4%
Madison 134,928 125,547 9,381 7.0% 131,255 123,557 7,698 5.9%
Monroe 18,173 17,272 901 5.0% 17,778 17,000 778 4.4%
St. Clair 127,875 118,955 8,920 7.0% 125,021 117,074 7,947 6.4%
Missouri Cities of 25,000 or more
Ballwin 17,441 16,853 588 3.4% 17,154 16,478 676 3.9%
Chesterfield 25,442 24,626 816 3.2% 25,059 24,079 980 3.9%
Florissant 28,985 27,705 1,280 4.4% 28,600 27,089 1,511 5.3%
Hazelwood 14,287 13,557 730 5.1% 14,046 13,255 791 5.6%
Kirkwood 16,156 15,641 515 3.2% 15,909 15,293 616 3.9%
Maryland Hgts. 16,670 16,027 643 3.9% 16,442 15,670 772 4.7%
O'Fallon 48,245 46,654 1,591 3.3% 47,391 45,559 1,832 3.9%
St. Charles 38,721 37,175 1,546 4.0% 38,159 36,302 1,857 4.9%
St. Louis 163,334 154,414 8,920 5.5% 162,146 150,970 11,176 6.9%
St. Peters 34,168 32,991 1,177 3.4% 33,725 32,217 1,508 4.5%
University City 19,357 18,561 796 4.1% 19,119 18,148 971 5.1%
Wentzville 18,689 18,103 586 3.1% 18,350 17,678 672 3.7%
Wildwood 19,513 18,872 641 3.3% 19,203 18,452 751 3.9%
Illinois Cities of 25,000 or more
Alton 11,688 10,752 936 8.0% 11,554 10,582 972 8.4%
Belleville 22,619 21,039 1,580 7.0% 22,058 20,707 1,351 6.1%
Collinsville 13,048 12,141 907 7.0% 12,687 11,949 738 5.8%
East St. Louis 9,033 8,056 977 10.8% 8,850 7,928 922 10.4%
Granite City 13,780 12,372 1,408 10.2% 13,067 12,176 891 6.8%
O'Fallon 13,789 12,990 799 5.8% 13,517 12,784 733 5.4%

ST . LO UI S M S A U N IT ED ST AT E S
Year
Nonfarm
Employment
Change
Percent
Change
Nonfarm
Employment
Change
Percent
Change
1992 1,160,900 2,700 0.2% 108,802,000 375,000 0.3%
1993 1,177,400 16,500 1.4% 110,935,000 2,133,000 2.0%
1994 1,209,600 32,200 2.7% 114,398,000 3,463,000 3.1%
1995 1,229,500 19,900 1.6% 117,407,000 3,009,000 2.6%
1996 1,250,400 20,900 1.7% 119,836,000 2,429,000 2.1%
1997 1,274,700 24,300 1.9% 122,951,000 3,115,000 2.6%
1998 1,295,700 21,000 1.6% 126,157,000 3,206,000 2.6%
1999 1,312,300 16,600 1.3% 129,240,000 3,083,000 2.4%
2000 1,327,000 14,700 1.1% 132,024,000 2,784,000 2.2%
2001 1,328,400 1,400 0.1% 132,087,000 63,000 0.0%
2002 1,321,600 (6,800) -0.5% 130,649,000 (1,438,000) -1.1%
2003 1,312,500 (9,100) -0.7% 130,347,000 (302,000) -0.2%
2004 1,312,100 (400) 0.0% 131,787,000 1,440,000 1.1%
2005 1,328,100 16,000 1.2% 134,051,000 2,264,000 1.7%
2006 1,341,800 13,700 1.0% 136,453,000 2,402,000 1.8%
2007 1,350,900 9,100 0.7% 137,999,000 1,546,000 1.1%
2008 1,347,300 (3,600) -0.3% 137,242,000 (757,000) -0.5%
2009 1,290,700 (56,600) -4.2% 131,313,000 (5,929,000) -4.3%
2010 1,281,300 (9,400) -0.7% 130,361,000 (952,000) -0.7%
2011 1,293,600 12,300 1.0% 131,932,000 1,571,000 1.2%
2012 1,294,300 700 0.1% 134,175,000 2,243,000 1.7%
2013 1,303,900 9,600 0.7% 136,381,000 2,206,000 1.6%
2014 1,319,700 15,800 1.2% 138,958,000 2,577,000 1.9%
2015 1,343,700 24,000 1.8% 141,865,000 2,907,000 2.1%
1992 - 2015 Total Change 182,800 15.7% Total Change 33,063,000 30.4%
Compound Average Growth Rate 0.64% Compound Average Growth Rate 1.16%
monthly employment summary | page 7
Over the Year Change
Nonfarm Employment | JOBS
ST . LO UI S M S A U N IT ED ST AT E S
Year March (P) Change
Percent
Change
March (P) Change
Percent
Change
2015 1,321,100 19,900 1.5% 140,099,400 2,912,000 2.1%
2016 1,343,900 22,800 1.7% 142,876,900 2,778,000 2.0%
Nonfarm Employment | JOBS

U.S. Metro
RATE CHANGE
March 2016
nonfarm employment
compared to
March 2015
387 metropolitan areas total
Increased 332
Unchanged 4
Decreased 51
Employment Growth by Peer Markets| JOBS
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 11
0.2%
1.3%
1.4%
1.7%
1.8%
1.8%
2.0%
2.1%
2.6%
2.7%
3.0%
3.1%
3.3%
3.9%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Pittsburgh
KansasCity
Indianapolis
St.Louis
Minneapolis
Chicago
UnitedStates
Cincinnati
Baltimore
Charlotte
Atlanta
Denver
ResearchTriangle
Dallas
Snapshot - Monthly and Average Nonfarm Employment Growth
March 2012– March 2016 | JOBS
Snapshot
St. Louis
Nonfarm
Employment
Monthly seasonally
adjusted employment
growth varies widely
while averages show a
more stable picture.
(3,400)
(1,000)
2,700
(3,600)
700
(100)
1,900
1,000
1,700
900
2,100
(200)
500
1,300
400
1,900
1,000
1,300
(200)
1,400
1,600
(3,500)
5,300
1,300
6,700
(1,200)
(100)
2,200
2,500
(1,200)
7,200
1,500
-
3,500
600
(1,100)
5,100
2,400
3,600
3,900
600
2,300
2,500
(2,500)
1,500
600
7,100
(4,800)
(6,000)
(4,000)
(2,000)
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000 4/12
7/12
10/12
1/13
4/13
7/13
10/13
1/14
4/14
7/14
10/14
1/15
4/15
7/15
10/15
1/16
3/16
12-month Average

Employment Trends by Industry Sector| JOBS
PERCENT CHANGE IN NONFARM EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
ST. LOUIS MSA AND U.S. MARCH 2015 TO MARCH 2016
CHANGE IN NONFARM EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR
ST. LOUIS MSA MARCH 2015 TO MARCH 2016
1.7%
1.6%
-1.3%
1.2%
-3.5%
3.3%
1.8%
4.5%
3.6%
2.4%
3.8%
0.6%
2.0%
2.2%
-…
1.9%
1.5%
1.8%
3.1%
1.9%
3.5%
3.2%
1.3%
0.5%
-4%
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Total
Non-Farm
Mining,
Logging&
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade,
Transportation&
Utilities
Information
Financial
Activities
Professional
&Business
Services
Education
HealthCare
Leisure&
Hospitality
OtherServices
Government
St. Louis U.S.
22,800
900
(1,500)
3,000
(1,000)
2,800
3,600
1,700
7,200
3,400
1,800
900
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Total
Non-Farm
Mining,
Logging&
Construction
Manufacturing
Trade,
Transportation&
Utilities
Information
Financial
Activities
Professional
&Business
Services
Education
HealthCare
Leisure&
Hospitality
OtherServices
Government

Forecast Month
72 economists participate in a
monthly, national economic forecast
published by the Wall Street Journal;
this monthly consensus forecast
shows expectations for modest
economic growth through 2018.
Source: Wall Street Journal Economic Survey14
Snapshot
U.S. GDP is forecast to grow
by 2.1% in 2016, 2.3% in 2017
and 2.2% in 2018.
The nation’s unemployment
rate is expected to continue to
stay below 5.0% through the
end of 2018.
Economists continue to expect
employment growth over the
next 12 months. The forecast
for jobs per month in April was
185,376, a level that would add
2.2 million jobs over the next 12
months or an annual growth
rate of about 1.6%.
YEAR END UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
MONTHLY PAYROLL GROWTH FORECASTS
National Forecasts
ANNUAL GDP FORECASTS
2.1% 2.3% 2.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
2016 2017 2018
4.7%
4.6%
4.7%
4.5%
4.6%
4.7%
4.8%
4.9%
5.0%
Dec 2016 Dec 2017 Dec 2018
218,586
219,505
220,332
207,505
209,399
204,248
190,089
193,264
199,414
190,610
179,285
190,162
185,376
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Apr'15
May'15
June'15
July'15
Aug'15
Sept'15
Oct'15
Nov'15
Dec'15
Jan'16
Feb'16
Mar'16
April'16

Each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on current
employment in the Employment Situation. The data comes from two
different surveys: the Current Population Survey (CPS), also known as the
household survey, and the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey,
also known as the establishment or payroll survey.
While both surveys measure employment, they have different samples,
definitions of employment, estimation procedures, and concepts. These
two series track well together over long periods but, in the short term, do
occasionally diverge.
CURRENT
POPULATION SURVEY
CURRENT EMPLOYMENT
STATISTICS SURVEY
MONTHLY SAMPLE Approximately 60,000
households
160,000 businesses &
government agencies; firms
of all sizes are included
MEASUREMENT
Unemployment &
employment with significant
demographic detail
Employment, earnings,
& hours with significant
industrial
& geographic detail
REFERENCE PERIOD Week that includes
the 12th
of the month
Pay period that includes
the 12th
of the month
WORK FORCE Only workers
aged 16 and older
Employees of all
ages are included
EXHIBITS The number of
employed persons
The number of
nonfarm payroll jobs
MULTIPLE JOB HOLDERS Counted once Counted for each payroll job
SELF-EMPLOYED
PERSONS Included Excluded
AGRICULTURE SECTOR Included Excluded
PRIVATE HOUSEHOLD
WORKERS Included Excluded
UNPAID FAMILY
WORKERS Included Excluded
WORKERS ON LEAVE Included Excluded
Source: BLS, Monthly Labor Review15
monthly employment summary | page 11
Survey Comparison

Source: Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development16
Current Employment
Statistics Survey
Local Area Unemployment
Statistics Survey
DESCRIPTION
DATA SOURCE
DEFINITION
PROVISIONS
Monthly survey of nonfarm
business establishments for
the estimation of industry
employment, hours & earnings,
for the 50 states & 250
metropolitan statistical areas
surveyed.
The program is a federal-state
cooperative program between
the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statis-
tics & State agencies. The nation-
al sample Consists of 400,000
businesses & is the largest survey
of its kind.
Employed: the count of jobs by
place of work rather than of em-
ployed persons
Industry employment time series
Total number of non-
supervisory/production
workers
One of the earliest monthly
economic indicators released by
the government; usually causes
immediate reaction in the stock
and bond market
Average weekly hours
earnings
View of the nation’s economic
health through employment num-
bers; earnings trends and wage
push inflation through average
hourly earnings; and short term
fluctuations in
demand through average weekly
hours of work
Monthly estimates of labor force,
employment, and unemployment
for state and local areas. The local
unemployment estimates are the
basis for determining area eligibility
for benefits under the Workforce
Invest Act & other federal programs.
Cooperative effort between the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics & State
agencies. Models use both current
& historical data from the Current
Population Survey, Current
Employment Statistics program,
& Unemployment Insurance
statistics program to provide
estimates of employment &
unemployment.
Persons age 16 or older who, in the
survey week, worked for pay or
profit, or worked unpaid in a family
operated business, or were
temporarily absent from their regular
jobs.
Labor force, employment and
unemployment rates
Comparative rates
Monthly date from 1990 to present
Insight into state and local governments’
planning and budgetary
decisions
Aids in the determination of need for em-
ployment and training services
Determination of eligibility for federal pro-
grams and formula funding

1 “Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” , “Smoothed Seasonally Adjusted Metropolitan Area Esti-
mates” and “Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics,
http://www.bls.gov/lau/home.htm#TABLES, Accessed 4/27/16.
2
“Employment, Hours, and Earnings (CES)” U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/data/
#employment, Accessed 4/27/16.
3
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)” and “Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population
Survey” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/data/#unemployment, Accessed 4/27/16.
“Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Missouri Economic Research and Information Center,
http://www.missourieconomy.org/indicators/laus/default.aspx, Accessed 4/27/16.
4
5
6
“Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment - March 2016” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/metro.pdf, Accessed 4/27/16.
7
8
9
“Employment, Hours, and Earnings (CES)” U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://data.bls.gov/pdq/
querytool.jsp?survey=sm , Accessed 4/27/16.
10
11
12
“Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment - March 2016” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/metro.pdf, Accessed 4/27/16.
13
14
“Wall Street Journal Economic Survey: April2016” http://online.wsj.com/public/page/economic-
forecasting.html, Accessed 4/27/16.
15
“Understanding the Employment Measures from the CPS and CES Survey” Monthly Labor Review,
February 2006, http://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2006/02/art2full.pdf, Accessed 5/1/09.
16
Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development, http://www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi/
Home.htm, Accessed 5/1/09.
Sources

ST. LOUIS REGIONAL CHAMBER
O N E ME T R O P O L I T A N S Q U A R E ◦ S U I T E 1 3 0 0 ◦ S T . L O U I S , M O 6 3 1 0 2 ◦ 3 1 4 . 2 3 1 . 5 5 5 5 ◦ W W W . S T L R E G I O N A L C H A MB E R . C O M
THE ST. LOUIS REGIONAL CHAMBER IS THE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION FOR GREATER ST. LOUIS,
W HICH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES IN MISSOURI & ILLINOIS.
COMPILED BY
RUTH SERGENIAN
DIRECTOR, ECONOMIC RESEARCH & ANALYSIS
THOMAS WASH
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT RESEARCH INTERN
PREPARED April 27, 2016
Next release June 1, 2016
NEXT UPDATES • April 2016 data
BLS U.S. Level ◦ May 6
BLS State Level ◦ May 20
MO & IL State Labor Market Release ◦ May May 24 and 26
BLS Metro Level ◦ June 1
ST. LOUIS, MO-IL MSA

Monthly Employment Summary March 2016

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