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IRONHORSE LLC
6709 W. 119th
St., Suite 443
Overland Park, KS 66209-2013
PH: (913) 851-0027
twayne@ihorsellc.com
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Make Every Day a Total
Blast!!!-Unique and Exciting-
Non Traditional Career Paths
for Accounting & Finance
Majors
33
Education:
•A.A., JCCC, 1979.
•B.S.B.A., University of Kansas, 1981.
•M.B.A. and Executive Fellow, Rockhurst
University, 1992.
Curriculum Vitae Summary
44
Curriculum Vitae Summary
Certifications:
• Certified Public Accountant
• Certified Insolvency & Restructuring Advisor (AIRA)
• Certified Valuation Analyst (NACVA)
• Certified Financial Forensics (AICPA FVS Practice
Section)
• Forensic CPA (Forensic CPA Society)
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Curriculum Vitae Summary
• Founded IronHorse LLC 1998
 Complex Financial & Operations
Restructuring/Turnaround Consulting
 Litigation Support Consulting
 Forensic and Valuation Services
• Adjunct Associate Professor-JCCC
• Current Member: Fraud Task Force and Small Business
Reorganization Committee-American Bankruptcy
Institute.
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Presentation Overview-Emerging New Career Paths &
Exciting Opportunities:
Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring-
Turnaround Consulting and Insolvency Advisory
Forensic Accounting
Litigation Support & Expert Witness Services
Business Valuation
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Growth Accelerants:
 Fragile economic times-Continued decline in median
household family incomes, stagnate employment and
under-employment, rewritten & restructured residential
R.E. balloon impacts
 Money is almost free but hard to find
 Expansionary commercial and industrial monetary vs.
contractionary regulatory policies & environment
 Changing demographics-Aging boomers leaving the
specialty consulting, I-banking and corporate finance
fields.
 Dramatic growth in private equity finance and hedge
fund capital
 Distressed Debt Market
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Growth Accelerants:
 $ 1.6+ CRE debt bubble next 12-24 months
 Fragility of community banking sector
 Historically unprecedented artificial deflation of cost of
money, artificial inflation of collateral values
 Interest rates can go only one direction-Up!!!!
 Estimates that rates relative to traditional underwriting risk
may be as much as 50% deflated. Worse yet, when
considering current collateral market value conditions for
enterprises and real-estate (CRE & residential)
 Under-resourced portfolio management staffs
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Growth Accelerants:
 Wide-spread underutilization of timely diagnostic metric
template analysis to detect potential solvency
impairment, as well as financial reporting irregularities
 Limitations of the traditional attestation models for
financial reporting
 Increased financial stress, limited access to third-party
funding availability encourages irregular reporting
 Failures in regulatory over-sight, under-resourced,
under-qualified regulatory staff and independent
contractors
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Requisite Personal Qualities and Capabilities for a Non-
traditional Finance and Accounting Career:
 Highly Inquisitive
 Analytical and Intuitive thinker; 25% numbers, 75%
people
 Thorough working knowledge of the interrelationships of
the financial statements as a whole:
 Income statement way, way over-emphasized
 Cash is king and it doesn’t “lie”
 Four-building block foundation of financial analysis:
 Profitability & productivity
 Solvency
 Liquidity
 Market prospects
1111
Requisite Personal Qualities and Capabilities for a Non-traditional
Finance and Accounting Career:
 Thorough working knowledge of the interrelationships of
the financial statements as a whole:
 Advanced analytics ( Salute to Dr.Tom Lyon,
Finance Obi Wan):
 Altman 4-variable, 5-variable Z-factor
bankruptcy predictors
 Sustainable sales growth rates
 Margin of safety
 Simulated borrowing base
 Breakeven-analysis
 Benchmarking
 Horizontal trending of vertical analysis and critical
metrics-Template monitoring
 Valuation modeling:
 Simple Asset Methods
 Simple Income Methods
 Market methods-Industry and market comps
 Hybrid methods
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Requisite Personal Qualities and Capabilities for a Non-traditional
Finance and Accounting Career:
 Work ethic-“gotta wanna”
 Persistence, Tenacity, Perseverance
 Courage, Confidence
 High EQ-Emotional Quotient, Astute ability to read people
 Sales skills
 Effective Active Listening skills
 Braille method, Sniff-test
 Think outside the box, follow hunches, think on the dark side
 Watches and enjoys “American Greed,” and “Shark Tank” 
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Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring-Turnaround
Consulting and Insolvency Advisory
 Turnaround consulting profession took off around 1988-
1990
 Tax Reform Act and Increased Regulatory Scrutiny of
LBO’s, Highly Leveraged Transaction (“HLT”) designations
dramatically curtailed access to leverage, junk bond
financing. S and L Crisis.
 Initial “pioneer” firms in industry:
 Arthur Andersen Corporate Recovery Services (CRS)
Group. Now, Huron Consulting
 Jay Alix-Alix Partners
 Gerry Buccino-Buccino & Associates
 Morris-Anderson
 FTI Consulting (Big Four spin-off)
 Mesirow Consulting (Big Four spin-off)
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Restructuring Advisor continued…
 Roughly 4-5000 consulting professionals in the U.S.
niche-50-60% employed by top 15-20 or so firms.
 Almost all come from accounting and finance
backgrounds-split between public accounting, big firm
consulting and CFO’s from private industry.
 Professional Associations:
 Turnaround Management Association (TMA)
 Association of Insolvency & Restructuring Advisors
(AIRA). Grant Newton, Executive Director and
Professor of Accounting at Pepperdine. Considered to
be the top expert in bankruptcy in the U.S.
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Specialty Certifications:
Certified Turnaround Professional (CTP)-TMA
Certified Insolvency & Restructuring Advisor (CIRA)-
AIRA
Certified Distressed Business Valuator (CDBV)-AIRA
Exam process-similar to CPA exam. Multi-part
Experience requirement
Many CIRA’s and CTP’s are also CPA’s.
Roughly 500 or so CIRA’s, 500 or so CTP’s.
Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring-Turnaround
Consulting and Insolvency Advisory
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Restructuring-Turnaround Consulting and Insolvency Advisory
Practice Specialties
 Chief Restructuring Officer/Crisis Manager
 Interim CEO
 Financial Advisor-Debtor
 Financial Advisor-Creditor
 Out of court much more common-“work-out”
 In-court:
 CRO
 Crisis Manager
 Examiner
 Valuator
 Advisor-Debtor, secured creditors, unsecured creditors
committee
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Chapter 11 trends:
 Debtor-in-possession financing dried up.
 Highly transactional
 Average time spent in chapter now 120-180 days.
Used to be well in excess of 12 months. Some cases
literally years
 Extremely expensive. Lack of desire and funding to
pay professionals. Usually, retainer before filing is
important to get paid
 Free-fall vs. cooperative process
 Section 363 asset sales
 Pressure from secured creditors and U.S. Trustee’s
office (government watch-dog) to flip to liquidating
11 or Chapter 7 liquidation. Secured creditors
pressure for relief from automatic stay, lack of post-
petition DIP funding.
 Impact on national consulting firms and major law
firm restructuring practices.
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 Receiverships-growing in popularity:
 State court rules and creates state by state variability
 Fast-120 days or so
 Secured creditor drives process
 Liquidation under supervision of state court
 Liquidations
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Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness
 Considerable service overlap, complementary skill-sets in these
three practice specialty areas
 Demand for skills and specialty services increasing past decade:
Much higher incidence irregularities with financially
distressed firms
Weaknesses and failures in regulatory oversight:
 Commercial lenders, asset-based commercial finance
companies profit pressures and impact on
administrative resources, portfolio management
capabilities.
2020
Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness
 Demand for skills and specialty services increasing past decade:
 Weaknesses and failures in regulatory oversight:
 20 year bull run in economy. FDIC resources and experience
greatly reduced, incidence and frequency of bank failures
minimal for 20 years. Many finance executives, portfolio
managers’ first rodeo with protracted downturn.
 Traditional financial statement audits not designed to detect
fraud, but post Sar-Box higher duty for audit firms.
2121
Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness
 Demand for skills and specialty services increasing past decade:
 Typically, banks lack the resources and expertise to
detect potential irregularities.
 Traditionally, banks were loath to pursue recovery and
assist law enforcement in pursuing criminal remedies.
2222
Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness
 Sar-Box and financial institution reforms post 2008 are not effective
enough, and not specifically targeted at the root causes of the
massive frauds.
 Incestuous relationships between federal regulatory bodies,
Treasury Department, The Fed and major money center banks, Wall
Street. Goldman connections.
 Not a single criminal indictment from the mortgage crisis meltdown
and pervasive fraud throughout the system.
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Covington and Burling, the firm from
which both Attorney General Eric
Holder and Associate Attorney
General and head of the criminal
division Lanny Breuer hail, has as its
current clients Goldman Sachs, Bank
of America, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo,
Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ING,
Morgan Stanley, UBS, and MF Global
among others. Other top Justice
officials have similar connections
through their firms.
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http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/untouchables/
More than four years since the financial crisis, not one senior Wall Street
executive has faced criminal prosecution for fraud. Are Wall Street executives
“too big to jail”?
In The Untouchables, premiering Jan. 22, 2013, at 10 P.M. on PBS (check local
listings), FRONTLINE producer and correspondent Martin Smith investigates
why the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has failed to act on credible
evidence that Wall Street knowingly packaged and sold toxic mortgage loans
to investors, loans that brought the U.S. and world economies to the brink of
collapse.
Through interviews with top prosecutors, government officials and industry
whistleblowers, FRONTLINE reports allegations that Wall Street bankers
ignored pervasive fraud when buying pools of mortgage loans.
3131
Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness
 Primary reasons why forensic professionals are engaged:
 Suspected financial reporting irregularities
 Borrowing Base irregularities
 Shareholder derivative actions
 Suspected employee embezzlement
 As defendant counsel’s professionals
 Suspected unauthorized collateral conversions
 Asset search inquiries
 Receivership demands and requirements
 Appearance of numerous potential related party interests, less than
arm’s length transactions, inter-entity comingling of accounting
transactions, retained earnings that won’t roll-forward.
 Apparent unusual, unexplained, unsupported transactions in the
financials
3232
Forensic & litigation Support continued…..
 Skills and capabilities:
 Audit experience extremely helpful
 Understanding of forensic scope setting at how that
differs from financial statement audit scopes
 Assumption of existence of fraud until engagement
activities complete. No benefit of the doubt
 Mistrusting, highly skeptical mindset
 Excellent people intuition and interviewing skills
 Know the answers to the questions before asking
 Critical timing, sequencing of activities. Maintain a
good poker face
3333
Forensic & litigation Support continued…..
 Skills and capabilities:
 Persistence and perseverance
 Stamina
 Play hunch until proven wrong.
 Think out of the box, on the dark side.
 Willingness and ability to become consumed with the assignment
 If something doesn’t seem right, assume that it isn’t until proven
otherwise.
 Use all senses and information available-financial, operating,
statements of individuals, appearance of facilities, non-verbal
communication is at least 70% of the message.
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Business Valuation / AppraisalBusiness Valuation / Appraisal
 Forensic Examinations & Litigation SupportForensic Examinations & Litigation Support
 Family LawFamily Law
 Dispute ResolutionDispute Resolution
 Damage Computations; Lost Profits Projections-ValuationsDamage Computations; Lost Profits Projections-Valuations
 Business SuccessionBusiness Succession
 Mergers, Acquisitions, Buy/Sell AgreementsMergers, Acquisitions, Buy/Sell Agreements
 Estate & Wealth PlanningEstate & Wealth Planning
 E.S.O.P.E.S.O.P.
 Private Equity Investment Advisory Due DiligencePrivate Equity Investment Advisory Due Diligence
 Bankruptcy, Insolvency, & Preemptive Value AlertsBankruptcy, Insolvency, & Preemptive Value Alerts
6464
Sample valuation EngagementsSample valuation Engagements
6565
VALUATIONVALUATION FOUNDATIONFOUNDATION
 The Business PlanThe Business Plan
 The plan comes first, then the capitalThe plan comes first, then the capital
structure and related valuation.structure and related valuation.
 Plan components:Plan components:
• ManagementManagement
• Core business unitsCore business units
• Projected financial resultsProjected financial results
6666
CORE BUSINESSCORE BUSINESS
 What business or segments are part of the on going business?What business or segments are part of the on going business?
 What external factors must be considered?What external factors must be considered?
• CompetitionCompetition
 Strengths/weaknessesStrengths/weaknesses
• Long-term dynamicsLong-term dynamics
 Production shifting offshore?Production shifting offshore?
 Currency /interest rate outlookCurrency /interest rate outlook
 Commodity pricesCommodity prices
 Trade policiesTrade policies
6767
PROJECTED RESULTSPROJECTED RESULTS
 Review and challenge basic assumptions:Review and challenge basic assumptions:
• RevenueRevenue
• Operating resultsOperating results
• EBITDAEBITDA
• Free cash flowFree cash flow
• Working capital and the balance sheetWorking capital and the balance sheet
• Past performance vs. projected future performancePast performance vs. projected future performance
 OtherOther
• Market ShareMarket Share
• What do projections imply? Realistic?What do projections imply? Realistic?
• The telecom conundrum: 100 companies cannot each achieve 5%The telecom conundrum: 100 companies cannot each achieve 5%
market sharemarket share
6868
VALUATION – INTRODUCTIONVALUATION – INTRODUCTION
 General Premise:General Premise:
• Present value ofPresent value of futurefuture benefitsbenefits
• Investor should only pay what one thinks benefits are worth given aInvestor should only pay what one thinks benefits are worth given a
rate of returnrate of return
• Rate of return varies depending on type of investor, asset, risk, etc.Rate of return varies depending on type of investor, asset, risk, etc.
• Enterprise Approach vs. Equity ApproachEnterprise Approach vs. Equity Approach
6969
VALUATIONVALUATION
Distribution Of Cash Flow Among ConstituentsDistribution Of Cash Flow Among Constituents
Government
Lenders
Preferred
Shareholders
Company
EBIT
EBT
Earnings
Common
Shareholders
$
Interest
$
Dividends
$
Taxes
Dividends $
7070
VALUATIONVALUATION
Theories Behind Premiums and DiscountsTheories Behind Premiums and Discounts
Maximum value
attributable to a
strategic buyer
Sale value
MBO
LBO
IPO
Public trading
Non-public stock
Premium for
control
Minority interest
discount
Discount for lack of
marketability
Premium for strategic
value / synergies
Controlling interest
value
Minority interest
value
($ in millions, except share price)
Fully Diluted Shares 100.0
Share price $20.00
Market Value of Equity $2,000.0
plus: Total Debt (book) 1,500.0
less: Converted Debt 0.0
plus: Preferred Stock 200.0
less: Converted Preferred 0.0
less: Cash & Cash Equivalents 100.0
plus: Minority Interest in Subs 0.0
Enterprise Value $3,600.0
Discount for lack of marketability / liquidity
[NYSE vs. OTC:BB]
Non-Marketable
Minority
Value
Marketable
Minority
Value
Controlling
Interest
Value
Investment Value
7171
VALUATIONVALUATION
 ApproachesApproaches
 Market approachMarket approach
• Comparable company – marketable minority basisComparable company – marketable minority basis
• Transaction – controlling basisTransaction – controlling basis
 Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) approachDiscounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) approach
 Liquidation / Asset approachLiquidation / Asset approach
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VALUATIONVALUATION

DriversDrivers
 Quantitative characteristicsQuantitative characteristics
• Cash flowCash flow
• ProfitabilityProfitability
• Growth (historical and projected)Growth (historical and projected)
• SizeSize
• ReinvestmentReinvestment
• LiquidityLiquidity
• Capitalization / leverage – financial flexibilityCapitalization / leverage – financial flexibility
• Fixed charge coverageFixed charge coverage
• Activity ratios (e.g. asset and inventory turnover, accountsActivity ratios (e.g. asset and inventory turnover, accounts
receivable and accounts payable DSO, ROI, ROE, etc.)receivable and accounts payable DSO, ROI, ROE, etc.)
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VALUATIONVALUATION

DriversDrivers (cont.)(cont.)
 Qualitative characteristicsQualitative characteristics
• Quality and depth of managementQuality and depth of management
• Customer and vendor concentrationCustomer and vendor concentration
• Industry dynamics [Market share, competition, rawIndustry dynamics [Market share, competition, raw
materials/commodities]materials/commodities]
• Company’s position / reputation in the industryCompany’s position / reputation in the industry
• DiversificationDiversification
 Product offeringProduct offering
 GeographyGeography
• Vendor relationshipsVendor relationships
• Seasonality / cyclicalitySeasonality / cyclicality
• Power over vendors / customersPower over vendors / customers
• Ability to expandAbility to expand
• Emergence / intensification of foreign competitionEmergence / intensification of foreign competition
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WHERE DOES SUBJECTIVITYWHERE DOES SUBJECTIVITY
IMPACT VALUATION MOST?IMPACT VALUATION MOST?
 Discounted Cash Flow AnalysisDiscounted Cash Flow Analysis
• Discount rate usedDiscount rate used
 Cost of equityCost of equity
 Cost of debtCost of debt
 Terminal ValueTerminal Value
 Multiple chosenMultiple chosen
-- Based on market comparables?Based on market comparables?
-- Choosing time to sell –buy low, sell highChoosing time to sell –buy low, sell high
 Market Comparables and M&AMarket Comparables and M&A
• Period for analysis (LTM, Projected)Period for analysis (LTM, Projected)
• Choice of comparablesChoice of comparables
 Size, Business, Competitors not ComparablesSize, Business, Competitors not Comparables
 Choice of M&A CompsChoice of M&A Comps
 How do you look back?How do you look back?
 ““Perfect” comps?Perfect” comps?
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Professional Associations
7676

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2013.03.01 JCCC Educator Conference-Tony Wayne Presentation

  • 1. 11 IRONHORSE LLC 6709 W. 119th St., Suite 443 Overland Park, KS 66209-2013 PH: (913) 851-0027 twayne@ihorsellc.com
  • 2. 22 Make Every Day a Total Blast!!!-Unique and Exciting- Non Traditional Career Paths for Accounting & Finance Majors
  • 3. 33 Education: •A.A., JCCC, 1979. •B.S.B.A., University of Kansas, 1981. •M.B.A. and Executive Fellow, Rockhurst University, 1992. Curriculum Vitae Summary
  • 4. 44 Curriculum Vitae Summary Certifications: • Certified Public Accountant • Certified Insolvency & Restructuring Advisor (AIRA) • Certified Valuation Analyst (NACVA) • Certified Financial Forensics (AICPA FVS Practice Section) • Forensic CPA (Forensic CPA Society)
  • 5. 55 Curriculum Vitae Summary • Founded IronHorse LLC 1998  Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring/Turnaround Consulting  Litigation Support Consulting  Forensic and Valuation Services • Adjunct Associate Professor-JCCC • Current Member: Fraud Task Force and Small Business Reorganization Committee-American Bankruptcy Institute.
  • 6. 66 Presentation Overview-Emerging New Career Paths & Exciting Opportunities: Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring- Turnaround Consulting and Insolvency Advisory Forensic Accounting Litigation Support & Expert Witness Services Business Valuation
  • 7. 77 Growth Accelerants:  Fragile economic times-Continued decline in median household family incomes, stagnate employment and under-employment, rewritten & restructured residential R.E. balloon impacts  Money is almost free but hard to find  Expansionary commercial and industrial monetary vs. contractionary regulatory policies & environment  Changing demographics-Aging boomers leaving the specialty consulting, I-banking and corporate finance fields.  Dramatic growth in private equity finance and hedge fund capital  Distressed Debt Market
  • 8. 88 Growth Accelerants:  $ 1.6+ CRE debt bubble next 12-24 months  Fragility of community banking sector  Historically unprecedented artificial deflation of cost of money, artificial inflation of collateral values  Interest rates can go only one direction-Up!!!!  Estimates that rates relative to traditional underwriting risk may be as much as 50% deflated. Worse yet, when considering current collateral market value conditions for enterprises and real-estate (CRE & residential)  Under-resourced portfolio management staffs
  • 9. 99 Growth Accelerants:  Wide-spread underutilization of timely diagnostic metric template analysis to detect potential solvency impairment, as well as financial reporting irregularities  Limitations of the traditional attestation models for financial reporting  Increased financial stress, limited access to third-party funding availability encourages irregular reporting  Failures in regulatory over-sight, under-resourced, under-qualified regulatory staff and independent contractors
  • 10. 1010 Requisite Personal Qualities and Capabilities for a Non- traditional Finance and Accounting Career:  Highly Inquisitive  Analytical and Intuitive thinker; 25% numbers, 75% people  Thorough working knowledge of the interrelationships of the financial statements as a whole:  Income statement way, way over-emphasized  Cash is king and it doesn’t “lie”  Four-building block foundation of financial analysis:  Profitability & productivity  Solvency  Liquidity  Market prospects
  • 11. 1111 Requisite Personal Qualities and Capabilities for a Non-traditional Finance and Accounting Career:  Thorough working knowledge of the interrelationships of the financial statements as a whole:  Advanced analytics ( Salute to Dr.Tom Lyon, Finance Obi Wan):  Altman 4-variable, 5-variable Z-factor bankruptcy predictors  Sustainable sales growth rates  Margin of safety  Simulated borrowing base  Breakeven-analysis  Benchmarking  Horizontal trending of vertical analysis and critical metrics-Template monitoring  Valuation modeling:  Simple Asset Methods  Simple Income Methods  Market methods-Industry and market comps  Hybrid methods
  • 12. 1212 Requisite Personal Qualities and Capabilities for a Non-traditional Finance and Accounting Career:  Work ethic-“gotta wanna”  Persistence, Tenacity, Perseverance  Courage, Confidence  High EQ-Emotional Quotient, Astute ability to read people  Sales skills  Effective Active Listening skills  Braille method, Sniff-test  Think outside the box, follow hunches, think on the dark side  Watches and enjoys “American Greed,” and “Shark Tank” 
  • 13. 1313 Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring-Turnaround Consulting and Insolvency Advisory  Turnaround consulting profession took off around 1988- 1990  Tax Reform Act and Increased Regulatory Scrutiny of LBO’s, Highly Leveraged Transaction (“HLT”) designations dramatically curtailed access to leverage, junk bond financing. S and L Crisis.  Initial “pioneer” firms in industry:  Arthur Andersen Corporate Recovery Services (CRS) Group. Now, Huron Consulting  Jay Alix-Alix Partners  Gerry Buccino-Buccino & Associates  Morris-Anderson  FTI Consulting (Big Four spin-off)  Mesirow Consulting (Big Four spin-off)
  • 14. 1414 Restructuring Advisor continued…  Roughly 4-5000 consulting professionals in the U.S. niche-50-60% employed by top 15-20 or so firms.  Almost all come from accounting and finance backgrounds-split between public accounting, big firm consulting and CFO’s from private industry.  Professional Associations:  Turnaround Management Association (TMA)  Association of Insolvency & Restructuring Advisors (AIRA). Grant Newton, Executive Director and Professor of Accounting at Pepperdine. Considered to be the top expert in bankruptcy in the U.S.
  • 15. 1515 Specialty Certifications: Certified Turnaround Professional (CTP)-TMA Certified Insolvency & Restructuring Advisor (CIRA)- AIRA Certified Distressed Business Valuator (CDBV)-AIRA Exam process-similar to CPA exam. Multi-part Experience requirement Many CIRA’s and CTP’s are also CPA’s. Roughly 500 or so CIRA’s, 500 or so CTP’s. Complex Financial & Operations Restructuring-Turnaround Consulting and Insolvency Advisory
  • 16. 1616 Restructuring-Turnaround Consulting and Insolvency Advisory Practice Specialties  Chief Restructuring Officer/Crisis Manager  Interim CEO  Financial Advisor-Debtor  Financial Advisor-Creditor  Out of court much more common-“work-out”  In-court:  CRO  Crisis Manager  Examiner  Valuator  Advisor-Debtor, secured creditors, unsecured creditors committee
  • 17. 1717 Chapter 11 trends:  Debtor-in-possession financing dried up.  Highly transactional  Average time spent in chapter now 120-180 days. Used to be well in excess of 12 months. Some cases literally years  Extremely expensive. Lack of desire and funding to pay professionals. Usually, retainer before filing is important to get paid  Free-fall vs. cooperative process  Section 363 asset sales  Pressure from secured creditors and U.S. Trustee’s office (government watch-dog) to flip to liquidating 11 or Chapter 7 liquidation. Secured creditors pressure for relief from automatic stay, lack of post- petition DIP funding.  Impact on national consulting firms and major law firm restructuring practices.
  • 18. 1818  Receiverships-growing in popularity:  State court rules and creates state by state variability  Fast-120 days or so  Secured creditor drives process  Liquidation under supervision of state court  Liquidations
  • 19. 1919 Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness  Considerable service overlap, complementary skill-sets in these three practice specialty areas  Demand for skills and specialty services increasing past decade: Much higher incidence irregularities with financially distressed firms Weaknesses and failures in regulatory oversight:  Commercial lenders, asset-based commercial finance companies profit pressures and impact on administrative resources, portfolio management capabilities.
  • 20. 2020 Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness  Demand for skills and specialty services increasing past decade:  Weaknesses and failures in regulatory oversight:  20 year bull run in economy. FDIC resources and experience greatly reduced, incidence and frequency of bank failures minimal for 20 years. Many finance executives, portfolio managers’ first rodeo with protracted downturn.  Traditional financial statement audits not designed to detect fraud, but post Sar-Box higher duty for audit firms.
  • 21. 2121 Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness  Demand for skills and specialty services increasing past decade:  Typically, banks lack the resources and expertise to detect potential irregularities.  Traditionally, banks were loath to pursue recovery and assist law enforcement in pursuing criminal remedies.
  • 22. 2222 Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness  Sar-Box and financial institution reforms post 2008 are not effective enough, and not specifically targeted at the root causes of the massive frauds.  Incestuous relationships between federal regulatory bodies, Treasury Department, The Fed and major money center banks, Wall Street. Goldman connections.  Not a single criminal indictment from the mortgage crisis meltdown and pervasive fraud throughout the system.
  • 23. 2323
  • 24. 2424
  • 25. 2525
  • 26. 2626 Covington and Burling, the firm from which both Attorney General Eric Holder and Associate Attorney General and head of the criminal division Lanny Breuer hail, has as its current clients Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ING, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and MF Global among others. Other top Justice officials have similar connections through their firms.
  • 27. 2727
  • 28. 2828
  • 29. 2929
  • 30. 3030 http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/untouchables/ More than four years since the financial crisis, not one senior Wall Street executive has faced criminal prosecution for fraud. Are Wall Street executives “too big to jail”? In The Untouchables, premiering Jan. 22, 2013, at 10 P.M. on PBS (check local listings), FRONTLINE producer and correspondent Martin Smith investigates why the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has failed to act on credible evidence that Wall Street knowingly packaged and sold toxic mortgage loans to investors, loans that brought the U.S. and world economies to the brink of collapse. Through interviews with top prosecutors, government officials and industry whistleblowers, FRONTLINE reports allegations that Wall Street bankers ignored pervasive fraud when buying pools of mortgage loans.
  • 31. 3131 Forensic Accounting, Litigation Support, Expert Witness  Primary reasons why forensic professionals are engaged:  Suspected financial reporting irregularities  Borrowing Base irregularities  Shareholder derivative actions  Suspected employee embezzlement  As defendant counsel’s professionals  Suspected unauthorized collateral conversions  Asset search inquiries  Receivership demands and requirements  Appearance of numerous potential related party interests, less than arm’s length transactions, inter-entity comingling of accounting transactions, retained earnings that won’t roll-forward.  Apparent unusual, unexplained, unsupported transactions in the financials
  • 32. 3232 Forensic & litigation Support continued…..  Skills and capabilities:  Audit experience extremely helpful  Understanding of forensic scope setting at how that differs from financial statement audit scopes  Assumption of existence of fraud until engagement activities complete. No benefit of the doubt  Mistrusting, highly skeptical mindset  Excellent people intuition and interviewing skills  Know the answers to the questions before asking  Critical timing, sequencing of activities. Maintain a good poker face
  • 33. 3333 Forensic & litigation Support continued…..  Skills and capabilities:  Persistence and perseverance  Stamina  Play hunch until proven wrong.  Think out of the box, on the dark side.  Willingness and ability to become consumed with the assignment  If something doesn’t seem right, assume that it isn’t until proven otherwise.  Use all senses and information available-financial, operating, statements of individuals, appearance of facilities, non-verbal communication is at least 70% of the message.
  • 34. 3434
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  • 36. 3636
  • 37. 3737
  • 38. 3838
  • 39. 3939
  • 40. 4040
  • 41. 4141
  • 42. 4242
  • 43. 4343
  • 44. 4444
  • 45. 4545
  • 46. 4646
  • 47. 4747
  • 48. 4848
  • 49. 4949
  • 50. 5050
  • 51. 5151
  • 52. 5252
  • 53. 5353
  • 54. 5454
  • 55. 5555
  • 56. 5656
  • 57. 5757
  • 58. 5858
  • 59. 5959
  • 60. 6060
  • 61. 6161
  • 62. 6262
  • 63. 6363 Business Valuation / AppraisalBusiness Valuation / Appraisal  Forensic Examinations & Litigation SupportForensic Examinations & Litigation Support  Family LawFamily Law  Dispute ResolutionDispute Resolution  Damage Computations; Lost Profits Projections-ValuationsDamage Computations; Lost Profits Projections-Valuations  Business SuccessionBusiness Succession  Mergers, Acquisitions, Buy/Sell AgreementsMergers, Acquisitions, Buy/Sell Agreements  Estate & Wealth PlanningEstate & Wealth Planning  E.S.O.P.E.S.O.P.  Private Equity Investment Advisory Due DiligencePrivate Equity Investment Advisory Due Diligence  Bankruptcy, Insolvency, & Preemptive Value AlertsBankruptcy, Insolvency, & Preemptive Value Alerts
  • 65. 6565 VALUATIONVALUATION FOUNDATIONFOUNDATION  The Business PlanThe Business Plan  The plan comes first, then the capitalThe plan comes first, then the capital structure and related valuation.structure and related valuation.  Plan components:Plan components: • ManagementManagement • Core business unitsCore business units • Projected financial resultsProjected financial results
  • 66. 6666 CORE BUSINESSCORE BUSINESS  What business or segments are part of the on going business?What business or segments are part of the on going business?  What external factors must be considered?What external factors must be considered? • CompetitionCompetition  Strengths/weaknessesStrengths/weaknesses • Long-term dynamicsLong-term dynamics  Production shifting offshore?Production shifting offshore?  Currency /interest rate outlookCurrency /interest rate outlook  Commodity pricesCommodity prices  Trade policiesTrade policies
  • 67. 6767 PROJECTED RESULTSPROJECTED RESULTS  Review and challenge basic assumptions:Review and challenge basic assumptions: • RevenueRevenue • Operating resultsOperating results • EBITDAEBITDA • Free cash flowFree cash flow • Working capital and the balance sheetWorking capital and the balance sheet • Past performance vs. projected future performancePast performance vs. projected future performance  OtherOther • Market ShareMarket Share • What do projections imply? Realistic?What do projections imply? Realistic? • The telecom conundrum: 100 companies cannot each achieve 5%The telecom conundrum: 100 companies cannot each achieve 5% market sharemarket share
  • 68. 6868 VALUATION – INTRODUCTIONVALUATION – INTRODUCTION  General Premise:General Premise: • Present value ofPresent value of futurefuture benefitsbenefits • Investor should only pay what one thinks benefits are worth given aInvestor should only pay what one thinks benefits are worth given a rate of returnrate of return • Rate of return varies depending on type of investor, asset, risk, etc.Rate of return varies depending on type of investor, asset, risk, etc. • Enterprise Approach vs. Equity ApproachEnterprise Approach vs. Equity Approach
  • 69. 6969 VALUATIONVALUATION Distribution Of Cash Flow Among ConstituentsDistribution Of Cash Flow Among Constituents Government Lenders Preferred Shareholders Company EBIT EBT Earnings Common Shareholders $ Interest $ Dividends $ Taxes Dividends $
  • 70. 7070 VALUATIONVALUATION Theories Behind Premiums and DiscountsTheories Behind Premiums and Discounts Maximum value attributable to a strategic buyer Sale value MBO LBO IPO Public trading Non-public stock Premium for control Minority interest discount Discount for lack of marketability Premium for strategic value / synergies Controlling interest value Minority interest value ($ in millions, except share price) Fully Diluted Shares 100.0 Share price $20.00 Market Value of Equity $2,000.0 plus: Total Debt (book) 1,500.0 less: Converted Debt 0.0 plus: Preferred Stock 200.0 less: Converted Preferred 0.0 less: Cash & Cash Equivalents 100.0 plus: Minority Interest in Subs 0.0 Enterprise Value $3,600.0 Discount for lack of marketability / liquidity [NYSE vs. OTC:BB] Non-Marketable Minority Value Marketable Minority Value Controlling Interest Value Investment Value
  • 71. 7171 VALUATIONVALUATION  ApproachesApproaches  Market approachMarket approach • Comparable company – marketable minority basisComparable company – marketable minority basis • Transaction – controlling basisTransaction – controlling basis  Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) approachDiscounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) approach  Liquidation / Asset approachLiquidation / Asset approach
  • 72. 7272 VALUATIONVALUATION  DriversDrivers  Quantitative characteristicsQuantitative characteristics • Cash flowCash flow • ProfitabilityProfitability • Growth (historical and projected)Growth (historical and projected) • SizeSize • ReinvestmentReinvestment • LiquidityLiquidity • Capitalization / leverage – financial flexibilityCapitalization / leverage – financial flexibility • Fixed charge coverageFixed charge coverage • Activity ratios (e.g. asset and inventory turnover, accountsActivity ratios (e.g. asset and inventory turnover, accounts receivable and accounts payable DSO, ROI, ROE, etc.)receivable and accounts payable DSO, ROI, ROE, etc.)
  • 73. 7373 VALUATIONVALUATION  DriversDrivers (cont.)(cont.)  Qualitative characteristicsQualitative characteristics • Quality and depth of managementQuality and depth of management • Customer and vendor concentrationCustomer and vendor concentration • Industry dynamics [Market share, competition, rawIndustry dynamics [Market share, competition, raw materials/commodities]materials/commodities] • Company’s position / reputation in the industryCompany’s position / reputation in the industry • DiversificationDiversification  Product offeringProduct offering  GeographyGeography • Vendor relationshipsVendor relationships • Seasonality / cyclicalitySeasonality / cyclicality • Power over vendors / customersPower over vendors / customers • Ability to expandAbility to expand • Emergence / intensification of foreign competitionEmergence / intensification of foreign competition
  • 74. 7474 WHERE DOES SUBJECTIVITYWHERE DOES SUBJECTIVITY IMPACT VALUATION MOST?IMPACT VALUATION MOST?  Discounted Cash Flow AnalysisDiscounted Cash Flow Analysis • Discount rate usedDiscount rate used  Cost of equityCost of equity  Cost of debtCost of debt  Terminal ValueTerminal Value  Multiple chosenMultiple chosen -- Based on market comparables?Based on market comparables? -- Choosing time to sell –buy low, sell highChoosing time to sell –buy low, sell high  Market Comparables and M&AMarket Comparables and M&A • Period for analysis (LTM, Projected)Period for analysis (LTM, Projected) • Choice of comparablesChoice of comparables  Size, Business, Competitors not ComparablesSize, Business, Competitors not Comparables  Choice of M&A CompsChoice of M&A Comps  How do you look back?How do you look back?  ““Perfect” comps?Perfect” comps?
  • 76. 7676