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perspective DECEMBER 2012




BEATING THE
OFFSIDE TRAP:
DRIVING FORWARD
THE COMMERCIAL
PERFORMANCE  Enrico Lanzavecchia, Faizal Patel, Marco Labianca




OF FOOTBALL
CLUBS
Beating the offside trap:
Driving forward the commercial
performance of football clubs


Published by
Value Partners Management Consulting
Limited, 16 Smith Square, 7th floor,
Kings Building, London SW1P 3JJ, UK


November 2012


Written and edited by:
Enrico Lanzavecchia
Faizal Patel
Marco Labianca


If you would like an electronic copy
please write to:
enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com


For more information on the issues
raised in the report please contact:
enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com
faizal.patel@ valuepartners.com
marco.labianca@valuepartners.com


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or to be removed from our mailing list
please write to:
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valuepartners.com


Copyright © Value Partners
Management Consulting Limited
All rights reserved
3




                           Executive Summary


                           Football clubs have always been unique
                           as “businesses” – as they are a rare example
                           of an industry in which generating profit is not
                           the primary objective. Sporting success has
                           always been prioritised over commercial success,
                           with wealthy investors and in some cases, local
                           government, willing to support football clubs
                           in pursuing success on the pitch at the expense
                           of profitability.

                           However the status quo is being increasingly
                           challenged by the growing concern of football
                           bodies over the state of finances in the football
                           industry. UEFA is introducing a new set of
                           regulations called Financial Fair Play, which will
                           be fully operational in 2013 and will affect the
                           whole European football industry.

                           These new regulations mandate that football
                           clubs must keep much tighter control over their
                           finances and accounts than previously and will
                           also encourage long-term investment in youth
                           development and infrastructure.




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                           Significant revenue growth is vital for most
                           football clubs to face this upcoming challenge
                           and ensure regulatory compliance and the
                           possibility of profitability. However, we argue that,
                           as of today, the majority of European football
                           clubs have not optimised their core revenue
                           streams, nor sufficiently captured revenue growth
                           opportunities.

                           In this paper, Value Partners aims to show
                           that financial success for football clubs is
                           possible, though this will require the aggressive
                           maximisation of core revenue streams and
                           the exploration of creative business opportunities,
                           the successful facilitation of which may require
                           a change in mindset for many clubs.




perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
5




                              New regulations
                              will come into force
                              in 2013/14


1
  Relevant income             Financial Fair Play regulations (FFP) are     Based on the current accounts of foot-
calculated as revenue from    coming into force in the 2013/14 season       ball clubs, the majority are unlikely to
gate receipts, TV rights,
sponsorship, commercial       (though UEFA will take into account           be compliant.
activities and profit         losses from the two preceding years)
from disposal of player
registrations. Relevant       and stipulate that:                           Of the top 20 European clubs (ranked
expenses calculated as cost                                                 by total revenue registered in 2010/11),
of sales, employee benefits
expenses, amortisation
                              _Relevant income and relevant expens-         only 7 could be considered fully compli-
costs and finance costs.      es1 must be equal2                            ant with FFP regulations, with profitable
(UEFA Article 58 – Notion
                                                                            clubs being the exception. This theme
of relevant income and
expenses).                    _The negative equity rate, i.e. the differ-   is consistent across Europe, with Italian
2
  The acceptable deviation,   ence between the value of assets and          and French clubs in particular appear-
considered as the             the balance of outstanding loans, can-        ing to struggle to meet FFP criteria.
maximum deficit between
income and expenses,          not be greater than the previous year
is €5 million (extended                                                     Profitability is just one of the indicators
to €45 million for the
first two years if entirely   _Clubs cannot have overdue payables           considered by UEFA in the new regula-
covered by injections from    as of 30th June of any given year             tions, with the wages-to-turnover ratio
equity participants).
                                                                            also taken into account.
                              Moreover, regulations additionally state
                              that detailed financial information must      In the Premier League for example,
                              be provided to UEFA to ensure that            around half of clubs are currently
                              employee benefits do not exceed 70%           exceeding the maximum wages-to-
                              of total revenue.                             turnover ratio. Other European peers
                                                                            also appear to be unready to meet this

Of the top 20 European clubs,                                               requirement, with 8 of the 20 topranked
                                                                            clubs exceeding the 70% threshold.

only 7 could be considered
fully compliant with Financial
Fair Play regulations (FFP)
                              In order to be fully compliant with FFP
                              regulations, all European football clubs
                              have to fulfil all of the abovementioned
                              requirements set by UEFA. If not com-
                              pliant, clubs in question will be penal-
                              ised by UEFA with sanctions including
                              fines, point deductions and bans from
                              UEFA competitions.




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Cumulative top 20 European Clubs profitability before tax
and wages-to-turnover ratio over 3 years, 2008/09-2010/11 (€m)




45%     56%    47%    50%     52%    79%    86%    99%    63%    53%   57%   110%   74%     63%   74%   46%   73%   35%   74%   41%



                               131


 88
                76


                                                                       33                                                       33
                        16
                                                                                                                     8

                                                                                                        -3
                                                                 -11                        -13

                                                                                                  -42                     -40

                                                                                    -78 1                     -73
        -86




                                            -165
                                                          -174


                                     -218




                                                   -306




                                                                             -493



Note: (1) Club historically
profitable; registered negative
results in 2010/11 due to reduced
broadcast revenue after TV
rights collectivisation and
negative sport performance
in UEFA competition.

Source: Deloitte, Press, Clubs’
Annual Reports, Value Partners
analysis.




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7




                                     The situation is
                                     worsening as wages
                                     are increasing


                                     Player wages have rapidly increased          For example, Bayern Munich’s salary
                                     over the last 4 years in all of the top 5    costs have grown by 6% on average
                                     European leagues: from 2007/08, wage         over the last three years, whereas total
                                     costs have grown by an average of 5.2%       revenue grew at a rate of 5% on average
                                     each year. But as wages are increasing,      over the same period.
                                     the revenue of clubs is failing to keep
                                     pace.                                        Even Manchester City, who have ex-
                                                                                  perienced substantial revenue growth
                                     For example, in the Serie A, the overall     (27%) over the last three years follow-
                                     league-wide wages to turnover ratio          ing their takeover by the Abu Dhabi
                                     increased from 68% in 2007/08 to 75%         United Group, have seen salary costs far
                                     in 2010/11.                                  outstrip this, growing by 45%.

                                     The trend is similar across Europe.          It is clear that if historic trends in player
                                     Of the top 20 European clubs, only 3         wages and revenue growth continue,
                                     have managed to decrease their overall       football clubs will have a challenge in
                                     expenditure on employee benefits, with       complying with FFP regulations.
                                     salary cost growth exceeding revenue
                                     growth for the majority of clubs.




                                     Wage inflation in the Top 5 European
                                     Leagues, 2007-2011 (€m)

                             1,800
                                                                                                                               5%
                             1,700
                             1,600
                             1,500
                            1,400
                             1,300
                             1,200
                                                                                                                               6%
                             1,100
                                                                                                                               4%
                            1,000
                              900                                                                                              8%

                              800                                                                                              3%
                              700
                                  2007/08                  2008/09                    2009/10                        2010/11


Source: Deloitte, Press, Clubs’                                      07-10 CAGR       Premier League       Bundesliga
Annual Reports, Value Partners
                                                                                      Serie A              Ligue 1
analysis.
                                                                                      La Liga




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8




                                   clubs need to find
                                   ways of significantly
                                   increasing revenue


                                   There are a number of areas that clubs        However clubs can and should focus
                                   should look at in order to optimise           on optimising the other 2 main sources
                                   commercial performance within existing        of revenue, namely commercial and
                                   revenue streams.                              matchday revenue.

                                   Broadcast revenues form the largest
                                   contributor – almost 50% – of clubs’ an-
                                   nual income, however given that broad-
                                   cast deals are managed collectively by
                                   most leagues, there is little that individ-
                                   ual clubs can do to significantly enhance
                                   revenue (besides try to improve on-
                                   pitch performance, finishing higher in
                                   leagues and qualifying for/progressing
                                   further in European competition).




Top 5 European Leagues revenue breakdown, 2007-2011 (€m)


                                    2,515            1,746             1,718             1,553           1,040

     Commercial                     24%              47%               30%               27%             29%
     Matchday
     Broadcast

                                    24%
                                                                                         13%
                                                                       25%                               13%

                                                                                         60%
                                                                                                         58%
                                    52%              23%
                                                                       45%


                                                     30%




Source: Deloitte, Value Partners
analysis.




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                           Extract maximum value
                           from shirt and technical
                           sponsorship


                           The global sponsorship market is large       This is all the more crucial given that the
                           and experiencing considerable growth.        majority of these deals are long-term
                           Today the market is worth €23 billion,       deals (5 years+), so clubs must ensure
                           and is growing by around 5% per year.        that they are not locked into underval-
                           Top tier or ‘premium’ market segments        ued long-term contracts.
                           are experiencing the strongest growth,
                           since this type of sponsorship is attract-   Liverpool FC for example has done well
                           ing an increasing share of marketing         to fully exploit the value of its technical
                           spend at the expense of more traditional     sponsorship property. Liverpool re-
                           forms of advertising, due to:                cently signed a new technical sponsor-
                                                                        ship deal with the American sportswear
                           _An overall reduction in the effective-      brand ‘Warrior’, thought to be worth
                           ness of TV advertising due to audience       ~€29 million per year. Warrior paid a
                           fragmentation and increased ad-skip-         significant premium (one of the high-
                           ping                                         est in Europe) to ‘buy-in’ to European
                                                                        football, having recognised the poten-
                           _The enhanced brand exposure offered         tial benefits of associating with football
                           by sports sponsorship of a live broad-       in order to enter the European market.
                           cast, attracting large audiences, particu-   Liverpool managed to achieve one of
                           larly of hard-to-target market segments      the highest value technical sponsorship
                           (i.e. young men)                             deals in Europe, despite their recently
                                                                        disappointing league performance and
                           _An increasing recognition by advertis-      failure to qualify for the Champions
                           ers of the value of associating brands to    League.
                           sports
                                                                        Tottenham Hotspur is another good
                           Football clubs have a concrete oppor-        example of a club pursuing an innova-
                           tunity to exploit this growth, given that    tive strategy to maximise sponsorship
                           top clubs can attract vast audiences,        value. Tottenham managed to secure
                           providing sponsors with huge exposure,       a 50% revenue uplift from shirt spon-
                           while their two key properties - shirt and   sorship by selling shirt sponsorship
                           technical sponsorship - are ‘premium’        rights to two main sponsors:
                           properties given the high visibility and     to ‘Autonomy’ for Premier League
                           brand engagement that they offer spon-       games, and to ‘Investec’ for cup
                           sors.                                        competitions.

                           Clubs therefore need to ensure that
                           they fully exploit the revenue potential
                           of these properties when negotiating
                           deals, by exploring all potential oppor-
                           tunities and innovative strategies.




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10




                           Develop international
                           sponsorship strategy



                           European football is growing in popu-      The club has recently signed a series of
                           larity worldwide: European clubs are       exclusive sponsorship deals with 13 tel-
                           estimated to have nearly 1 billion non-    ecoms operators spanning 42 countries,
                           domestic followers in total, with some     through which each sponsor receives
                           clubs reported to have more fans in Asia   extensive affiliation rights within their
                           than they do in Europe.                    own country.

                           For example, FC Internazionale and         While the exact revenue derived
                           AC Milan are becoming considerably         from this programme is not officially
                           popular in China, while Real Madrid and    reported, Value Partners estimates
                           Manchester United have millions of sup-    that Manchester United’s international
                           porters across the Far East.               sponsorship strategy is worth ~€15-20
                                                                      million per year.
                           Considering their growing global
                           appeal, European clubs have the op-        Clubs can further enhance their in-
                           portunity to leverage this interest by     ternational image and brand reputa-
                           developing an international sponsorship    tion, which in turn can lead to greater
                           programme.                                 sponsorship revenue, by developing
                                                                      international soccer schools.
                           Manchester United have led the way
                           in exploiting their global popularity      Manchester City, Manchester United
                           to increase international sponsorship      and Real Madrid are considered bench-
                           revenue.                                   marks for the development of such
                                                                      initiatives.

                                                                      Manchester United, for instance, now
                                                                      have soccer schools in 9 different geog-
European clubs are                                                    raphies, including the UAE, Canada and
                                                                      Australia.
estimated to have nearly
1 billion non-domestic
followers in total, with
some clubs reported
to have more fans
in Asia than they do
in Europe.

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11




                           Optimise ticket
                           pricing strategy



                           A club’s matchday revenue is to a cer-      Fan base engagement and price dis-
                           tain extent limited by stadium size, the    crimination are key enablers for ticket
                           number of fans and the level of sporting    price optimisation, though attention has
                           success achieved, however clubs can         to be given to ‘fair’ pricing.
                           attempt to maximise revenue within the
                           context of these limitations, through a     Clubs are challenged by the delicate
                           series of actions, such as:                 trade-off between raising ticket prices
                                                                       to boost revenue while ensuring that
                           _The development and adoption of a          they remain inclusive and open to a
                           sophisticated and dynamic ticket pricing    broad socio-economic demographic,
                           model, based on variables such as the       and do not alienate their traditional
                           economic context, the timing of ticket      fanbase.
                           purchase and which team the club is
                           playing

                           _Ticket pricing differentiation through
                           effective segmentation of the fan base,
                           based on demographic variables (e.g.
                           age, consumer preferences, etc)

                           Of the top European clubs, English
                           clubs are by far the most commercially
                           sophisticated in terms of maximising
                           matchday revenue, with Chelsea, Man-
                           chester United and Arsenal being the
                           most successful.

                           For example, Chelsea achieved the high-
                           est revenue per number of seats avail-
                           able in Europe, and also has the highest
                           matchday revenue per number of do-
                           mestic fans. Through accurate fan base
                           segmentation and the development of a
                           dynamic ticket pricing strategy, the club
                           has managed to achieve close to 100%
                           attendance, despite significantly raising
                           ticket prices.




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12




Matchday revenue comparison, 2010/11 (€)




                                  € 123.6m   € 110.7m   € 120.3m   € 71.9m       € 103.2m   € 74.7m   € 35.6m     € 32.9m   € 45.3m




                                                                                            1,786
                                                                                   1,710
                                   1,538                 1,578


                                              1,114
                                                                    1,029                                                    999



                                                                                                        445         411




                                                                                              47




                                                                                    33

                                                          26

                                               20
                                    18


                                                                                                         9                    10
                                                                      7                                              8




Source: Deloitte, Press, Clubs’                                                     	Matchday revenue             	Matchday revenue,
Annual Reports, Value Partners                                               	      per number of Stadium 	   	    2010/11
analysis.                                                                    	      seats
                                                                                    	Matchday revenue
                                                                             	      per number of domestic
                                                                             	      fans




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                           12 – TRAP
13




                           Monetise fans who
                           are unable to go to
                           the stadium


                           Given the growing media exposure and         Moreover, clubs can utilise the growth
                           visibility of football clubs, clubs have     of internet and mobile usage to sell
                           an increasing number of fans who never       digital media content such as video-on-
                           attend football matches at stadia.           demand, video games, etc.
                           Even though such fans do not buy tick-
                           ets for matches, nor merchandise from        Manchester United for example,
                           shops on matchdays, clubs still have         through their international partnerships
                           opportunities to monetise such fans,         with telecoms operators, offers digital
                           by exploiting the level of engagement        content to mobile devices, generating
                           they have with their supporters, utilising   almost €20 million per year.
                           social media and e-commerce.
                                                                        Effective digital strategies offer the dual
                                                                        benefits to clubs of generating direct
Even though an increasing                                               revenue (from product sales) along with
                                                                        engaging fans with clubs to a greater

number of fans never attend                                             extent, which will generate additional
                                                                        indirect benefits.

football matches at stadia
– fans who do not buy tickets
for matches, nor merchandise
from shops on matchdays –,
clubs still have opportunities
to monetise such fans.
                           One possible way for clubs to address
                           such opportunities would be through
                           the optimisation of their websites.
                           Clubs need to ensure that their websites
                           have good e-commerce functionality,
                           stimulating users to purchase
                           club merchandise online.




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14




                           More radical
                           solutions could
                           be required


                           Given the current state of the finances       In Turkey, the top 4 clubs, namely
                           of many European football clubs, op-          Fenerbahçe, Beşiktaş, Galatasaray and
                           timising existing revenue streams may         Trabzonspor, have all launched mobile
                           not be enough to ensure compliance            virtual network operators (MVNOs) in
                           with FFP. For example, based on the           order to exploit the loyal brand follow-
                           latest available accounts (2010/11) of AC     ing that they have amongst their large
                           Milan, FC Internazionale and Juventus,        fan base.
                           we estimate that they need to increase
                           revenue by an average of €82m each in         In addition, some clubs are exploring
                           order to comply with FFP.                     even more radical ways of generating
                                                                         new revenue, by attempting to utilise
                           Therefore given the scale of the chal-        other physical assets that they hold.
                           lenge, some clubs are beginning to
                           explore radical solutions for addressing      For example, Arsenal and Juventus
                           this financial conundrum, by diversifying     have taken advantage of their respec-
                           their business into fundamentally new         tive moves to new stadia to invest
                           areas.                                        in the real estate business. This has
                                                                         enabled them to generate significant
                           Football clubs are uniquely able to           additional revenue from non-football
                           transfer the use of their brand outside of    activities, with Arsenal for example
                           core activities given their large and loyal   earning £156.9m from their property
                           following and strong deeply-entrenched        development business in 2010, which
                           brand qualities. Therefore many clubs         was equivalent to ~70% of turnover from
                           have been attempting to leverage their        football operations.
                           brand appeal outside of sports-related
                           areas to generate revenue from new            Trabzonspor in Turkey has pursued even
                           markets. Real Madrid, for instance, has       more radical opportunities, by develop-
                           recently announced a plan to build a          ing a hydroelectric power plant, invest-
                           themed holiday resort in the UAE. The         ing over $50 million (approx. €40 mil-
                           project, called ‘Real Madrid Resort           lion) into the scheme. The club expects
                           Island’, is estimated to be worth $1 bil-     that the new facility will generate ~$10
                           lion (approx. €770 million) and is aimed      million a year in additional revenue.
                           at creating a significant new revenue
                           stream by leveraging the club’s brand
                           reputation in the Middle East.

                           Manchester United is also leveraging its
                           strong brand to augment its revenue
                           from non-football operations; the club
                           is franchising its brand for the develop-
                           ment of branded café bars in Asia.




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15




                                     Conclusions and
                                     recommendations



                                     From our experience of working with              Clubs need to do as much as possible
                                     a number of leading European sports              to optimise commercial performance in
                                     clubs and leagues, we believe that               core revenue streams
                                     there are opportunities for many                 We have found that many European
                                     football clubs to significantly increase         football clubs have untapped opportu-
                                     revenue, but in order to do so, most             nities to optimise commercial perform-
                                     clubs need to pursue a number of initia-         ance; however this takes time, consist-
                                     tives simultaneously.                            ent effort and long-term planning.




The revenue growth opportunity for football clubs




     Current         Technical/shirt  Exploitation       Matchday      Monetisation    Potential     Creative      Total potential
     revenue          sponsorship    of international     revenue      of “armchair    revenue       business         revenue
                      maximisation    sponsorship       optimisation       fans”      from core    opportunities
                                      negotiations                                    operations   (non-football
                                                                                                    operations)




Note: exhibit is illustrative.
Source: Value Partners analysis.




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16




                           The optimisation of matchday and             The NFL, through the establishment of
                           commercial sponsorship revenue for           a single entity for commercial negotia-
                           instance, are two areas yet to be fully      tions, collects income from licensing
                           explored and exploited by football           deals and distributes the earnings to
                           clubs, with many clubs relying too heav-     the league’s teams equally. The majority
                           ily on growing TV and media revenues.        of commercial rights deals are handled
                           The two main challenges that clubs face      centrally, with ~60% of the total revenue
                           are the limited availability of sufficient   of NFL teams being generated centrally.
                           in-house teams to exploit all oppor-         This strategy has been successful, with
                           tunities, and also the trade-off that        the league registering approximately
                           exists between long-term planning and        $4.5 billion from commercial revenue in
                           short-term results. In order to improve      2010, making the NFL one of the most
                           their financial performance, clubs need      commercially successful sports events
                           to ensure that they invest in the right      globally.
                           skills and capabilities and have a clearly
                           defined commercial strategy, or they         Similarly, European football clubs and
                           risk missing growth opportunities.           leagues could explore the opportunity
                                                                        to collectively sell some packages of
                           Clubs and leagues need to work togeth-       rights and properties. While many
                           er more to take advantage of collective      major rights will always be managed by
                           opportunities                                clubs (e.g. shirt and technical sponsor-
                           The collectivisation of sponsorship and      ship properties), it is conceivable that
                           commercial rights can help clubs to          some smaller commercial assets (e.g.
                           achieve greater returns on commercial        sections of perimeter inventory) could
                           deals. Indeed, when negotiating agree-       be managed by a central league body
                           ments jointly, clubs and national leagues    who could use these assets to create
                           are creating a larger property that can      a “league-wide” property, that could
                           guarantee the sponsor higher visibil-        generate incremental value for all clubs.
                           ity, which sponsors are willing to pay       By working together, clubs and league
                           exponentially larger amounts in order to     governing bodies could considerably
                           secure. Additionally, through collectivi-    increase overall commercial revenues.
                           sation, clubs and leagues hold a better
                           bargaining position, which can also
                           enable them to achieve greater revenue.
                           The commercial success of the National
                           Football League (NFL) in the US high-
                           lights that the effective collectivisation
                           of commercial rights can drive greater
                           revenue for all the teams in a league.




perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
17




                           Clubs should also explore more creative     Ajax, for example, has recently launched
                           business opportunities                      an MVNO for its domestic fans, through
                           Maximising the revenue coming from          a partnership with the mobile platform
                           core activities and traditional busi-       supplier 6GMobile. The offering is
                           ness models may still be not enough         targeted to its 4.3 million supporters
                           for some clubs to achieve profitability.    and is made up of 4 subscription plans
                           Thus we believe that clubs may need to      as well as a prepaid plan. Ajax mobile
                           explore more radical revenue opportuni-     subscribers can also benefit from in-
                           ties.                                       novative value added services, such as
                                                                       free extra call minutes whenever Ajax
                           However, clubs need to be sensible          scores or SMS match updates.
                           when undertaking new initiatives and
                           must ensure that they understand their      In order to successfully strengthen their
                           key assets and capabilities, only launch-   finances in preparation for incoming
                           ing new initiatives that are in alignment   FFP regulations, football clubs need to
                           with these. For football clubs, these are   maximise core revenues as well as ex-
                           largely their strong brands, loyal fan      plore new business opportunities. There
                           base and media exposure. Clubs also         are a wide range of initiatives that clubs
                           need to face up to the challenge posed      can explore (optimising sponsorship
                           by a lack of in-house skills and a pos-     negotiations, reviewing ticket pricing
                           sible institutional sense of rigidity and   strategies, exploring innovative new
                           resistance to disruptive initiatives and    opportunities, etc) however clubs have
                           practices.                                  key challenges that they must recognise
                                                                       and overcome. To drive forward their
                           Clubs therefore need to make sure that      commercial performance and beat the
                           any revenue diversification strategies      ‘offside trap’ set by FFP regulations,
                           utilise their main assets and do not ex-    clubs need to invest time and effort
                           tend too far beyond their core capabili-    in exploring opportunities to increase
                           ties. We believe that one such initiative   revenue from traditional sources and to
                           that could potentially be undertaken by     generate returns from beyond the world
                           many European clubs would be launch-        of sports.
                           ing a Mobile Virtual Network Operator
                           (MVNO). MVNOs can be reasonably
                           easy to be set-up, simply requiring clubs
                           to form a commercial agreement with
                           a mobile operator, who will manage the
                           majority of the key network and opera-
                           tional functions. At the same time, run-
                           ning an MVNO enables a club to utilise
                           two of its key assets: strong brand and
                           loyal fan-base.




perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
AUTHORS




Enrico Lanzavecchia                     Faizal Patel                     Marco Labianca
Director                                Associate                        Business analyst


Managing Partner of Value Partners      Based in Value Partners London   Based in Value Partners London
London office                           office                           office
enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com   faizal.patel@valuepartners.com   marco.labianca@valuepartners.com
19




About
Value Partners



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and grow revenue. Our advice to the     over 60 percent of the management        Buenos Aires
football industry has spanned across    consulting revenues are generated        Beijing
a range of issues including sponsor-    outside Europe.                          Shanghai
ship, ticket pricing, fan engagement,                                            Hong Kong
digital media and brand licensing.      Value Partners combines methodo-         Singapore
                                        logical approaches and analytical
Value Partners is a global manage-      frameworks with hands-on attitude
ment consulting firm that works         and practical industry experience
with multinational corporations         developed in an executive capacity
and high potential entrepreneurial      within each sector: telecommunica-
businesses to identify and pursue       tions, new media, financial services,
value enhancement initiatives across    energy, manufacturing and hi-tech.
innovation, international expansion,
and operational effectiveness.          In 2007 Value Partners acquired
                                        Spectrum Strategy Consultants –a
                                        leading UK company specialized in
                                        publishing, broadcasting, entertain-
                                        ment, IPTV and mobile – thus further
                                        strengthening its international pres-
                                        ence. Today Value Partners is a lead-
                                        ing advisor in the telecom, media
                                        and technology sectors worldwide.




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Beating the Offside Trap

  • 1. perspective DECEMBER 2012 BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP: DRIVING FORWARD THE COMMERCIAL PERFORMANCE Enrico Lanzavecchia, Faizal Patel, Marco Labianca OF FOOTBALL CLUBS
  • 2. Beating the offside trap: Driving forward the commercial performance of football clubs Published by Value Partners Management Consulting Limited, 16 Smith Square, 7th floor, Kings Building, London SW1P 3JJ, UK November 2012 Written and edited by: Enrico Lanzavecchia Faizal Patel Marco Labianca If you would like an electronic copy please write to: enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com For more information on the issues raised in the report please contact: enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com faizal.patel@ valuepartners.com marco.labianca@valuepartners.com If you would like to subscribe or to be removed from our mailing list please write to: subscription@valuepartners.com valuepartners.com Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Limited All rights reserved
  • 3. 3 Executive Summary Football clubs have always been unique as “businesses” – as they are a rare example of an industry in which generating profit is not the primary objective. Sporting success has always been prioritised over commercial success, with wealthy investors and in some cases, local government, willing to support football clubs in pursuing success on the pitch at the expense of profitability. However the status quo is being increasingly challenged by the growing concern of football bodies over the state of finances in the football industry. UEFA is introducing a new set of regulations called Financial Fair Play, which will be fully operational in 2013 and will affect the whole European football industry. These new regulations mandate that football clubs must keep much tighter control over their finances and accounts than previously and will also encourage long-term investment in youth development and infrastructure. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 4. 4 Significant revenue growth is vital for most football clubs to face this upcoming challenge and ensure regulatory compliance and the possibility of profitability. However, we argue that, as of today, the majority of European football clubs have not optimised their core revenue streams, nor sufficiently captured revenue growth opportunities. In this paper, Value Partners aims to show that financial success for football clubs is possible, though this will require the aggressive maximisation of core revenue streams and the exploration of creative business opportunities, the successful facilitation of which may require a change in mindset for many clubs. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 5. 5 New regulations will come into force in 2013/14 1 Relevant income Financial Fair Play regulations (FFP) are Based on the current accounts of foot- calculated as revenue from coming into force in the 2013/14 season ball clubs, the majority are unlikely to gate receipts, TV rights, sponsorship, commercial (though UEFA will take into account be compliant. activities and profit losses from the two preceding years) from disposal of player registrations. Relevant and stipulate that: Of the top 20 European clubs (ranked expenses calculated as cost by total revenue registered in 2010/11), of sales, employee benefits expenses, amortisation _Relevant income and relevant expens- only 7 could be considered fully compli- costs and finance costs. es1 must be equal2 ant with FFP regulations, with profitable (UEFA Article 58 – Notion clubs being the exception. This theme of relevant income and expenses). _The negative equity rate, i.e. the differ- is consistent across Europe, with Italian 2 The acceptable deviation, ence between the value of assets and and French clubs in particular appear- considered as the the balance of outstanding loans, can- ing to struggle to meet FFP criteria. maximum deficit between income and expenses, not be greater than the previous year is €5 million (extended Profitability is just one of the indicators to €45 million for the first two years if entirely _Clubs cannot have overdue payables considered by UEFA in the new regula- covered by injections from as of 30th June of any given year tions, with the wages-to-turnover ratio equity participants). also taken into account. Moreover, regulations additionally state that detailed financial information must In the Premier League for example, be provided to UEFA to ensure that around half of clubs are currently employee benefits do not exceed 70% exceeding the maximum wages-to- of total revenue. turnover ratio. Other European peers also appear to be unready to meet this Of the top 20 European clubs, requirement, with 8 of the 20 topranked clubs exceeding the 70% threshold. only 7 could be considered fully compliant with Financial Fair Play regulations (FFP) In order to be fully compliant with FFP regulations, all European football clubs have to fulfil all of the abovementioned requirements set by UEFA. If not com- pliant, clubs in question will be penal- ised by UEFA with sanctions including fines, point deductions and bans from UEFA competitions. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 6. 6 Cumulative top 20 European Clubs profitability before tax and wages-to-turnover ratio over 3 years, 2008/09-2010/11 (€m) 45% 56% 47% 50% 52% 79% 86% 99% 63% 53% 57% 110% 74% 63% 74% 46% 73% 35% 74% 41% 131 88 76 33 33 16 8 -3 -11 -13 -42 -40 -78 1 -73 -86 -165 -174 -218 -306 -493 Note: (1) Club historically profitable; registered negative results in 2010/11 due to reduced broadcast revenue after TV rights collectivisation and negative sport performance in UEFA competition. Source: Deloitte, Press, Clubs’ Annual Reports, Value Partners analysis. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 7. 7 The situation is worsening as wages are increasing Player wages have rapidly increased For example, Bayern Munich’s salary over the last 4 years in all of the top 5 costs have grown by 6% on average European leagues: from 2007/08, wage over the last three years, whereas total costs have grown by an average of 5.2% revenue grew at a rate of 5% on average each year. But as wages are increasing, over the same period. the revenue of clubs is failing to keep pace. Even Manchester City, who have ex- perienced substantial revenue growth For example, in the Serie A, the overall (27%) over the last three years follow- league-wide wages to turnover ratio ing their takeover by the Abu Dhabi increased from 68% in 2007/08 to 75% United Group, have seen salary costs far in 2010/11. outstrip this, growing by 45%. The trend is similar across Europe. It is clear that if historic trends in player Of the top 20 European clubs, only 3 wages and revenue growth continue, have managed to decrease their overall football clubs will have a challenge in expenditure on employee benefits, with complying with FFP regulations. salary cost growth exceeding revenue growth for the majority of clubs. Wage inflation in the Top 5 European Leagues, 2007-2011 (€m) 1,800 5% 1,700 1,600 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 6% 1,100 4% 1,000 900 8% 800 3% 700 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 Source: Deloitte, Press, Clubs’ 07-10 CAGR Premier League Bundesliga Annual Reports, Value Partners Serie A Ligue 1 analysis. La Liga perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 8. 8 clubs need to find ways of significantly increasing revenue There are a number of areas that clubs However clubs can and should focus should look at in order to optimise on optimising the other 2 main sources commercial performance within existing of revenue, namely commercial and revenue streams. matchday revenue. Broadcast revenues form the largest contributor – almost 50% – of clubs’ an- nual income, however given that broad- cast deals are managed collectively by most leagues, there is little that individ- ual clubs can do to significantly enhance revenue (besides try to improve on- pitch performance, finishing higher in leagues and qualifying for/progressing further in European competition). Top 5 European Leagues revenue breakdown, 2007-2011 (€m) 2,515 1,746 1,718 1,553 1,040 Commercial 24% 47% 30% 27% 29% Matchday Broadcast 24% 13% 25% 13% 60% 58% 52% 23% 45% 30% Source: Deloitte, Value Partners analysis. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 9. 9 Extract maximum value from shirt and technical sponsorship The global sponsorship market is large This is all the more crucial given that the and experiencing considerable growth. majority of these deals are long-term Today the market is worth €23 billion, deals (5 years+), so clubs must ensure and is growing by around 5% per year. that they are not locked into underval- Top tier or ‘premium’ market segments ued long-term contracts. are experiencing the strongest growth, since this type of sponsorship is attract- Liverpool FC for example has done well ing an increasing share of marketing to fully exploit the value of its technical spend at the expense of more traditional sponsorship property. Liverpool re- forms of advertising, due to: cently signed a new technical sponsor- ship deal with the American sportswear _An overall reduction in the effective- brand ‘Warrior’, thought to be worth ness of TV advertising due to audience ~€29 million per year. Warrior paid a fragmentation and increased ad-skip- significant premium (one of the high- ping est in Europe) to ‘buy-in’ to European football, having recognised the poten- _The enhanced brand exposure offered tial benefits of associating with football by sports sponsorship of a live broad- in order to enter the European market. cast, attracting large audiences, particu- Liverpool managed to achieve one of larly of hard-to-target market segments the highest value technical sponsorship (i.e. young men) deals in Europe, despite their recently disappointing league performance and _An increasing recognition by advertis- failure to qualify for the Champions ers of the value of associating brands to League. sports Tottenham Hotspur is another good Football clubs have a concrete oppor- example of a club pursuing an innova- tunity to exploit this growth, given that tive strategy to maximise sponsorship top clubs can attract vast audiences, value. Tottenham managed to secure providing sponsors with huge exposure, a 50% revenue uplift from shirt spon- while their two key properties - shirt and sorship by selling shirt sponsorship technical sponsorship - are ‘premium’ rights to two main sponsors: properties given the high visibility and to ‘Autonomy’ for Premier League brand engagement that they offer spon- games, and to ‘Investec’ for cup sors. competitions. Clubs therefore need to ensure that they fully exploit the revenue potential of these properties when negotiating deals, by exploring all potential oppor- tunities and innovative strategies. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 10. 10 Develop international sponsorship strategy European football is growing in popu- The club has recently signed a series of larity worldwide: European clubs are exclusive sponsorship deals with 13 tel- estimated to have nearly 1 billion non- ecoms operators spanning 42 countries, domestic followers in total, with some through which each sponsor receives clubs reported to have more fans in Asia extensive affiliation rights within their than they do in Europe. own country. For example, FC Internazionale and While the exact revenue derived AC Milan are becoming considerably from this programme is not officially popular in China, while Real Madrid and reported, Value Partners estimates Manchester United have millions of sup- that Manchester United’s international porters across the Far East. sponsorship strategy is worth ~€15-20 million per year. Considering their growing global appeal, European clubs have the op- Clubs can further enhance their in- portunity to leverage this interest by ternational image and brand reputa- developing an international sponsorship tion, which in turn can lead to greater programme. sponsorship revenue, by developing international soccer schools. Manchester United have led the way in exploiting their global popularity Manchester City, Manchester United to increase international sponsorship and Real Madrid are considered bench- revenue. marks for the development of such initiatives. Manchester United, for instance, now have soccer schools in 9 different geog- European clubs are raphies, including the UAE, Canada and Australia. estimated to have nearly 1 billion non-domestic followers in total, with some clubs reported to have more fans in Asia than they do in Europe. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 11. 11 Optimise ticket pricing strategy A club’s matchday revenue is to a cer- Fan base engagement and price dis- tain extent limited by stadium size, the crimination are key enablers for ticket number of fans and the level of sporting price optimisation, though attention has success achieved, however clubs can to be given to ‘fair’ pricing. attempt to maximise revenue within the context of these limitations, through a Clubs are challenged by the delicate series of actions, such as: trade-off between raising ticket prices to boost revenue while ensuring that _The development and adoption of a they remain inclusive and open to a sophisticated and dynamic ticket pricing broad socio-economic demographic, model, based on variables such as the and do not alienate their traditional economic context, the timing of ticket fanbase. purchase and which team the club is playing _Ticket pricing differentiation through effective segmentation of the fan base, based on demographic variables (e.g. age, consumer preferences, etc) Of the top European clubs, English clubs are by far the most commercially sophisticated in terms of maximising matchday revenue, with Chelsea, Man- chester United and Arsenal being the most successful. For example, Chelsea achieved the high- est revenue per number of seats avail- able in Europe, and also has the highest matchday revenue per number of do- mestic fans. Through accurate fan base segmentation and the development of a dynamic ticket pricing strategy, the club has managed to achieve close to 100% attendance, despite significantly raising ticket prices. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 12. 12 Matchday revenue comparison, 2010/11 (€) € 123.6m € 110.7m € 120.3m € 71.9m € 103.2m € 74.7m € 35.6m € 32.9m € 45.3m 1,786 1,710 1,538 1,578 1,114 1,029 999 445 411 47 33 26 20 18 9 10 7 8 Source: Deloitte, Press, Clubs’ Matchday revenue Matchday revenue, Annual Reports, Value Partners per number of Stadium 2010/11 analysis. seats Matchday revenue per number of domestic fans perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE13 12 – TRAP
  • 13. 13 Monetise fans who are unable to go to the stadium Given the growing media exposure and Moreover, clubs can utilise the growth visibility of football clubs, clubs have of internet and mobile usage to sell an increasing number of fans who never digital media content such as video-on- attend football matches at stadia. demand, video games, etc. Even though such fans do not buy tick- ets for matches, nor merchandise from Manchester United for example, shops on matchdays, clubs still have through their international partnerships opportunities to monetise such fans, with telecoms operators, offers digital by exploiting the level of engagement content to mobile devices, generating they have with their supporters, utilising almost €20 million per year. social media and e-commerce. Effective digital strategies offer the dual benefits to clubs of generating direct Even though an increasing revenue (from product sales) along with engaging fans with clubs to a greater number of fans never attend extent, which will generate additional indirect benefits. football matches at stadia – fans who do not buy tickets for matches, nor merchandise from shops on matchdays –, clubs still have opportunities to monetise such fans. One possible way for clubs to address such opportunities would be through the optimisation of their websites. Clubs need to ensure that their websites have good e-commerce functionality, stimulating users to purchase club merchandise online. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 14. 14 More radical solutions could be required Given the current state of the finances In Turkey, the top 4 clubs, namely of many European football clubs, op- Fenerbahçe, Beşiktaş, Galatasaray and timising existing revenue streams may Trabzonspor, have all launched mobile not be enough to ensure compliance virtual network operators (MVNOs) in with FFP. For example, based on the order to exploit the loyal brand follow- latest available accounts (2010/11) of AC ing that they have amongst their large Milan, FC Internazionale and Juventus, fan base. we estimate that they need to increase revenue by an average of €82m each in In addition, some clubs are exploring order to comply with FFP. even more radical ways of generating new revenue, by attempting to utilise Therefore given the scale of the chal- other physical assets that they hold. lenge, some clubs are beginning to explore radical solutions for addressing For example, Arsenal and Juventus this financial conundrum, by diversifying have taken advantage of their respec- their business into fundamentally new tive moves to new stadia to invest areas. in the real estate business. This has enabled them to generate significant Football clubs are uniquely able to additional revenue from non-football transfer the use of their brand outside of activities, with Arsenal for example core activities given their large and loyal earning £156.9m from their property following and strong deeply-entrenched development business in 2010, which brand qualities. Therefore many clubs was equivalent to ~70% of turnover from have been attempting to leverage their football operations. brand appeal outside of sports-related areas to generate revenue from new Trabzonspor in Turkey has pursued even markets. Real Madrid, for instance, has more radical opportunities, by develop- recently announced a plan to build a ing a hydroelectric power plant, invest- themed holiday resort in the UAE. The ing over $50 million (approx. €40 mil- project, called ‘Real Madrid Resort lion) into the scheme. The club expects Island’, is estimated to be worth $1 bil- that the new facility will generate ~$10 lion (approx. €770 million) and is aimed million a year in additional revenue. at creating a significant new revenue stream by leveraging the club’s brand reputation in the Middle East. Manchester United is also leveraging its strong brand to augment its revenue from non-football operations; the club is franchising its brand for the develop- ment of branded café bars in Asia. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 15. 15 Conclusions and recommendations From our experience of working with Clubs need to do as much as possible a number of leading European sports to optimise commercial performance in clubs and leagues, we believe that core revenue streams there are opportunities for many We have found that many European football clubs to significantly increase football clubs have untapped opportu- revenue, but in order to do so, most nities to optimise commercial perform- clubs need to pursue a number of initia- ance; however this takes time, consist- tives simultaneously. ent effort and long-term planning. The revenue growth opportunity for football clubs Current Technical/shirt Exploitation Matchday Monetisation Potential Creative Total potential revenue sponsorship of international revenue of “armchair revenue business revenue maximisation sponsorship optimisation fans” from core opportunities negotiations operations (non-football operations) Note: exhibit is illustrative. Source: Value Partners analysis. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 16. 16 The optimisation of matchday and The NFL, through the establishment of commercial sponsorship revenue for a single entity for commercial negotia- instance, are two areas yet to be fully tions, collects income from licensing explored and exploited by football deals and distributes the earnings to clubs, with many clubs relying too heav- the league’s teams equally. The majority ily on growing TV and media revenues. of commercial rights deals are handled The two main challenges that clubs face centrally, with ~60% of the total revenue are the limited availability of sufficient of NFL teams being generated centrally. in-house teams to exploit all oppor- This strategy has been successful, with tunities, and also the trade-off that the league registering approximately exists between long-term planning and $4.5 billion from commercial revenue in short-term results. In order to improve 2010, making the NFL one of the most their financial performance, clubs need commercially successful sports events to ensure that they invest in the right globally. skills and capabilities and have a clearly defined commercial strategy, or they Similarly, European football clubs and risk missing growth opportunities. leagues could explore the opportunity to collectively sell some packages of Clubs and leagues need to work togeth- rights and properties. While many er more to take advantage of collective major rights will always be managed by opportunities clubs (e.g. shirt and technical sponsor- The collectivisation of sponsorship and ship properties), it is conceivable that commercial rights can help clubs to some smaller commercial assets (e.g. achieve greater returns on commercial sections of perimeter inventory) could deals. Indeed, when negotiating agree- be managed by a central league body ments jointly, clubs and national leagues who could use these assets to create are creating a larger property that can a “league-wide” property, that could guarantee the sponsor higher visibil- generate incremental value for all clubs. ity, which sponsors are willing to pay By working together, clubs and league exponentially larger amounts in order to governing bodies could considerably secure. Additionally, through collectivi- increase overall commercial revenues. sation, clubs and leagues hold a better bargaining position, which can also enable them to achieve greater revenue. The commercial success of the National Football League (NFL) in the US high- lights that the effective collectivisation of commercial rights can drive greater revenue for all the teams in a league. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 17. 17 Clubs should also explore more creative Ajax, for example, has recently launched business opportunities an MVNO for its domestic fans, through Maximising the revenue coming from a partnership with the mobile platform core activities and traditional busi- supplier 6GMobile. The offering is ness models may still be not enough targeted to its 4.3 million supporters for some clubs to achieve profitability. and is made up of 4 subscription plans Thus we believe that clubs may need to as well as a prepaid plan. Ajax mobile explore more radical revenue opportuni- subscribers can also benefit from in- ties. novative value added services, such as free extra call minutes whenever Ajax However, clubs need to be sensible scores or SMS match updates. when undertaking new initiatives and must ensure that they understand their In order to successfully strengthen their key assets and capabilities, only launch- finances in preparation for incoming ing new initiatives that are in alignment FFP regulations, football clubs need to with these. For football clubs, these are maximise core revenues as well as ex- largely their strong brands, loyal fan plore new business opportunities. There base and media exposure. Clubs also are a wide range of initiatives that clubs need to face up to the challenge posed can explore (optimising sponsorship by a lack of in-house skills and a pos- negotiations, reviewing ticket pricing sible institutional sense of rigidity and strategies, exploring innovative new resistance to disruptive initiatives and opportunities, etc) however clubs have practices. key challenges that they must recognise and overcome. To drive forward their Clubs therefore need to make sure that commercial performance and beat the any revenue diversification strategies ‘offside trap’ set by FFP regulations, utilise their main assets and do not ex- clubs need to invest time and effort tend too far beyond their core capabili- in exploring opportunities to increase ties. We believe that one such initiative revenue from traditional sources and to that could potentially be undertaken by generate returns from beyond the world many European clubs would be launch- of sports. ing a Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO). MVNOs can be reasonably easy to be set-up, simply requiring clubs to form a commercial agreement with a mobile operator, who will manage the majority of the key network and opera- tional functions. At the same time, run- ning an MVNO enables a club to utilise two of its key assets: strong brand and loyal fan-base. perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP
  • 18. AUTHORS Enrico Lanzavecchia Faizal Patel Marco Labianca Director Associate Business analyst Managing Partner of Value Partners Based in Value Partners London Based in Value Partners London London office office office enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com faizal.patel@valuepartners.com marco.labianca@valuepartners.com
  • 19. 19 About Value Partners Value Partners has an established Founded in Milan in 1993, today it For more information on the issues sports strategy practice with sig- draws on 25 partners and over 275 raised in this note please contact the nificant experience of helping clubs, professionals from 23 nations, work- authors. leagues and industry investors from ing out of 10 offices in Milan, Rome, across the world to solve a range London, Istanbul, São Paulo, Buenos Find all the contact details on of commercial and regulatory prob- Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong valuepartners.com lems. and Singapore. Milan For example, we have a track record Value Partners has built a portfo- Rome of helping top European football lio of more than 350 international London clubs and major football leagues to clients – from the original 10 in 1993 Istanbul develop their commercial strategies – with a worldwide revenue mix, as São Paulo and grow revenue. Our advice to the over 60 percent of the management Buenos Aires football industry has spanned across consulting revenues are generated Beijing a range of issues including sponsor- outside Europe. Shanghai ship, ticket pricing, fan engagement, Hong Kong digital media and brand licensing. Value Partners combines methodo- Singapore logical approaches and analytical Value Partners is a global manage- frameworks with hands-on attitude ment consulting firm that works and practical industry experience with multinational corporations developed in an executive capacity and high potential entrepreneurial within each sector: telecommunica- businesses to identify and pursue tions, new media, financial services, value enhancement initiatives across energy, manufacturing and hi-tech. innovation, international expansion, and operational effectiveness. In 2007 Value Partners acquired Spectrum Strategy Consultants –a leading UK company specialized in publishing, broadcasting, entertain- ment, IPTV and mobile – thus further strengthening its international pres- ence. Today Value Partners is a lead- ing advisor in the telecom, media and technology sectors worldwide. Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Limited All rights reserved perspective BEATING THE OFFSIDE TRAP