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perspective MAY 2013

TRANSPARENT
BROADBAND
THE POTENTIAL
BENEFITS OF
USAGE-BASED
PRICING
Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley, Marco Labianca
Transparent broadband:
The potential benefits
of usage-based pricing
Published by
Value Partners Management Consulting Ltd,
16 Smith Square, 7th floor,
Kings Building, London SW1P 3JJ, UK
May 2013
Written by:
Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley,
Marco Labianca
Edited by:
Cristina Goddi
If you would like an electronic copy
please write to:
cristina.goddi@valuepartners.com
For more information on the issues
raised in the report please contact:
adam.hadley@ valuepartners.com
marco.labianca@valuepartners.com
If you would like to subscribe
or to be removed from our mailing list
please write to:
subscription@valuepartners.com
valuepartners.com
Copyright © Value Partners
Management Consulting Limited
All rights reserved
3

CONTENTS

		 executive summary	

	

	 Unfavourable market dynamics 	

5

7

		 Challenge of monetising core connectivity	

8

		 Limited role of download speed in increasing ARPU 	

11

		 Potential of usage-based pricing	

15

		 Core principles and potential challenges
		 of usage-based pricing	

18

		 Further guidelines to implementation 	

20

		 Conclusion	

21

		
		authors	

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

22
4

Our research shows that
transparent usage-based pricing
can often provide important
benefits for the consumer
by creating value-for-money
through more effective pricing
segmentation.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
5

executive summary

Throughout most of the world download caps are
often used as punitive measures to keep check on
excessive downloads. However, in the UK, operators
such as BT and PlusNet have successfully deployed
usage-based pricing by marketing packages with
tiered download caps. In this perspective Value
Partners argues that there may be positive
conclusions to draw from introducing aspects of
this alternative approach to usage-based pricing.
Within the context of an industry under pressure
it has never been more important for operators
to find sustainable ways of maintaining revenue
and striking a balance between a focus
on core connectivity and content. As the demand
for content and data has revolutionised the
consumer’s relationship with the internet,
operators need to adjust to consumer needs and
expectations accordingly.
Our research shows that transparent usage-based
pricing can often provide important benefits for
the consumer by creating value-for-money through
more effective pricing segmentation. Packages that
are priced according to data usage can be designed
to reduce costs for the light-usage consumer
and improve profitability of the high-usage
consumer. Usage-based pricing may provide the
potential to help the operator address a broader
market and scale revenue in line with growth
in content consumption.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
6

Monthly ARPU* (€) of internet-only broadband packages
by country and forecast

25
-0,4%

20
-2,3%

-1,9%

15

-3,4%

10
2008

2009

2010

2011

Spain

2012

Portugal

Note: * Not considering additional connectivity bundles (e.g. calls, TV).
Source: Screen Digest Sep ‘11, Value Partners analysis.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

2013e

Italy

2014e

UK

2015e

CAGR 2008-2012 (%)
7

Unfavourable
market dynamics

1
Eurostat: EU 27: Households Level of Internet access, 2011

Screen Digest: Western Europe:
Broadband, narrowband & PC
households (annual & forecast),
2011

2

Fixed broadband connectivity is an
increasingly challenging market in
the more developed regions as the
household broadband penetration rate
reaches its saturation point and ARPU
declines slowly and steadily.
In Europe as a whole broadband
penetration per household is decelerating as it approaches 80%1 while ARPU
has declined by a year-on-year average
of 3% between 2008 and 2012, falling
to just over €152 per household
per month.

Fixed broadband connectivity
is an increasingly challenging
market in the more developed
regions as the household
broadband penetration rate
reaches its saturation point
and ARPU declines slowly and
steadily.
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
8

Challenge
of monetising core
connectivity
The value of the typical broadband
proposition is driven by core connectivity, content and bundling, and Value
Added Services (VAS). The value of
connectivity is usually determined by
bandwidth (speed), usage restrictions,
and occasionally by Quality of Service
(latency, up-time, SLAs, etc.).
In the days of AOL’s pre-eminence in
the 1990s, the ISP was responsible for
most consumer-facing innovations and
controlled almost all aspects of the
internet experience for the user, including the channels (Netscape browser,
chatrooms, etc.) and the content itself
(news articles, games, etc.).
However, with an internet that has
matured in terms of infrastructure,
functionality, and availability of content,
the role of the ISP-only operator has
diminished considerably. Now most operators focus on content convergence
and only tend to monetise content
through bundled television with highvalue, low-margin cable, satellite, or
IPTV subscriptions. Gone are the days of
the ISP web portal.

Now that more than a third of all UK
households buy their telephony, TV,
and broadband from a single operator, it is clear that, in the UK at least,
triple-play packaging on its own no
longer creates significant differentiation
between providers. There is evidence
that the triple-play packages improve
customer retention and reduce churn.
However some operators have become
distracted by the allure of TV bundling
at the cost of concentrating on the core
internet offering itself.
With high-speed internet and the emergence of the next generation of set-top
boxes, operators are now able to deliver
streamed television content through
IPTV where previously only cable and
satellite players could compete. BT, for
example, at the cost of £738m recently
acquired the rights to broadcast 38 UK
football matches with the aim of creating at least two of its own sports channels, leaving Sky with the rights to the
remaining 116 matches. Sports rights
aside, however, traditional TV content
providers or aggregators such as Sky or
Virgin in the UK still maintain a competitive advantage in terms of their expertise in producing and commissioning
popular content - for operators this has
never been their core activity.
In mature markets operators are therefore left with a fundamental business
model conundrum. Content acquisition
on this scale is an expensive and risky
strategy that few other operators would
be willing or able to emulate.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
9

Our research of global broadband
markets shows that almost all have
value primarily driven by content
and services, not speed.
In Italy, Spain, and the UK, prices
of broadband packages are mainly
driven by services and content,
whereas in other European countries
like Germany and France and more
advanced Asian markets, alternative
infrastructure has differentiated
between low and high speed offers
but ARPU is still mostly driven
by premium content. Unlike elsewhere
in the world, in the US prices tend
to be driven by download speed
however there is still a premium for
bundled services.

Access speed has become
rapidly commoditised,
therefore it makes sense
to develop value
differentiation on the basis
of other factors such
as usage-based pricing.
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

The rationale for this general market
behaviour is two-fold: firstly, by providing telephony and television content,
operators can charge more for the
overall package and increase ARPU –
although this has an uncertain impact
on underlying profitability.
Secondly, throughout the history
of the internet, access speed itself has
become rapidly commoditised
and therefore it makes sense to develop
value differentiation on the basis
of other factors such as usage-based
pricing.
10

Broadband packages available in Germany and France
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)

Germany

C

50

€ / month

60

C
C
C

B

D
B

40

30
C

A
A

20

B

B
D
A
A
B
D

A

3 main speed categories
(<10 Mbps, 16Mbps and 50Mbps)

10
MBps

0
0

20

A

B

40

C

60

80

100

D

60

50

€ / month

France

40

C

A

C
C

30

A

E
C
E

A

E

D

B

B
B

20

C

A

C

C

Crowded market with many
players offering very similar
packages at similar prices

D

A

E

10
MBps

0
0
A

20
B

C

40
D

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

80

100

E

Internet only

Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.

60

Internet + calls

Internet + TV

Internet + Calls + TV
11

Limited role
of download speed
in increasing ARPU
In most markets analysed as part of this
research it is apparent that broadband
speed itself rarely drives ARPU. Instead
content services typically differentiate
products with some markets such as the
UK also using download caps.

In Germany, premium content and bundled connectivity are important drivers
of ARPU whereas in France download
speeds are polarised between ADSL
and fibre services with most services
being at least triple play

Due to a dependence on content services many operators are now running
out of realistic ways to strategically
differentiate: buying content at the
scale of BT in the UK is ambitious and is
uncertain to lead to success. Consumers
also do not easily appreciate the scale
and cost of infrastructure investment
required by the operators.

In Italy premium price is driven not by
speed but by services and content while
in Spain services and download speed
drive ARPU
Unlike elsewhere in the world, in the
US, ARPU is mostly driven by download
speed
However in the UK higher ARPU is supported by a combination of introducing
download caps, differentiating by speed
and providing content services

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
12

Broadband packages available in Italy and Spain
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)

Italy

70

Typically, triple play commands a
20% price premium over dual play

€ / month

80

A

D

60

A

A

50

D
A
D
D

A

40

30

20

A
E
B
A
E
B

C

A

A
E

D
D

C

B

MBps

0

20

A

B

40
C

D

60

80

100

E

80

70

€ / month

Spain

C

B

60
C
B

50

B
40

30

B

B
A
C
D
A

D

Bundled connectivity and premium contents appear the main
ARPU drivers in Spanish market

A

MBps

20
0
A

20
B

C

40

60

80

100

D

Internet only

Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

Internet + calls

Internet + TV

Internet + Calls + TV
13

Broadband packages available in the US
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)

United States
€ / month

210

C

B

160

90

B

A
B

A

C

80

A

70
C
B
60

A
B

B
A

50
Generally slow speeds compared
to other countries

A

40

B

30

A

C

MBps

20
0
A

20
B

40

60

80

100

300

C

Internet only

Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

Internet + calls

Internet + TV

Internet + Calls + TV
14

Broadband packages available in the UK
by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps)

United Kingdom
€ / month

80

Service bundling (i.e. call,
video) has proved a successful
approach to ARPU...

E

...in particular premium video content
which has allowed Virgin Media
and Sky to command superior prices

C

70

60
C

BT and its main competitors are focused mainly
on <40 Mbps BB segment, higher speeds being
historically the preserve of Virgin Media
A
E

50

D

D
B

A

40

A

30

B

E

B

A

Broadband speeds in excess of 25
Mbps are only available within a dual
play package

A
D C

E

Plusnet has allowed BT to serve
the lower end of the market without
affecting its positioning

B
MBps

20
0
A

20
B

C

40
D

Internet only

80

100

E

Internet + calls

Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

60

Internet + TV

Internet + Calls + TV

Internet + Calls + TV
15

Potential
of usage-based
pricing
Consumers intuitively understand
the principle of paying for goods and
services according to how much they
use and operators are keen to monetise high-value content such as IPTV.
Operators now need to pay attention
to monetising the data and content
delivery mechanism itself.
At present, download caps are predominantly used negatively in order to
restrict very high usage, i.e. in the US
or in Germany, or are only enforced as
ambiguous and often obscure “fair use”
policies.
Arguments for supporting such very
high usage caps typically include improving collective network performance
and preventing so-called “cable cutting”, or OTT television substitution, in
which the broadband internet connection can substitute for cable or satellite
TV. Both of these responses neglect
the possibility of usage based pricing as an effective way to differentiate
strategically whilst also improving price
satisfaction. It is common for players
to apply an implicit “fair-usage” policy
that limits very high usage without the
consumer being fully aware of the small
print. In effect usage-based restrictions are often already in place but lack
transparency and are typically used only
as punitive mechanisms to degrade the
consumer’s experience.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

In the UK download caps are used positively to improve the consumer offering
and promote strategic differentiation
Unlike in the US and Europe, UK operators have successfully deployed usagebased pricing for a number of years and
they continue to use this strategy to differentiate between their own packages
and those of other operators. In particular Sky, BT, and PlusNet (BT’s sub-brand
based in Yorkshire) use download caps
as a way of generating “unlimited”
premium packages for customers who
require extra data for consumption of
on-demand TV or other data-intensive
activities.
PlusNet at the time of print had download caps on all its broadband packages, with BT employing usage-based
pricing on four out of seven packages,
and Sky with only one. TalkTalk stopped
enforcing usage caps in 2012 while
Virgin Media has never placed explicit
restrictions on downloads.
16

Unlimited and capped packages by UK operator

# of packages

13

7

5

7

10

42

100%

13

7

4

3

10

27

4

15
1
0%

Unlimited*

TOTAL

Capped

comparable packages

Low-cap average (€/m)

•

•

31

30

23

27**

Mid-cap average (€/m)

•

•

•

37

32

34**

56

42

46

47

44

45**

Unlimited* cap average (€/m)

AVERAGE

On average Sky, BT and Plusnet charge a premium of €18 for unlimited downloads.

Note: *250GB data allowance or according to “fair use policy”; **average excluding Virgin Media and TalkTalk.
Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
17

As explored by Andrew Odlyzko
in “Know your limits”, May 2012

3

Rationale for building new packages
with download caps
Most global operators either enforce a
de facto download cap through “fairusage” restrictions on “unlimited” packages or have introduced more transparent pricing models as in the UK.
There could be numerous positive
outcomes for the consumer if operators
followed the UK’s lead by introducing
more effective customer segmentation.
Firstly the operator would be able to
attract a greater number of light usage
consumers by lowering the price of core
connectivity and by doing so operators
may be able to temporarily buck the
trend of slowing broadband penetration. While there will always be customers who require mobile broadband for
access on the move or in remote areas,
there are also those who choose mobile
broadband dongles at home for their
relative cost effectiveness and flexibility.
Secondly, introducing new entry-level
packages may reinforce the perception
of value for the existing “unlimited”
packages and improve ARPU stability
by deliberately devaluing the more costsensitive packages.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

With greater market share there is the
potential for promoting paid-for content or bundled packages and monetising pay-as-you-go data consumption.
Many consumers also often recognise
an “insurance premium”3 for “unlimited”
packages in order to secure peace
of mind that they will not be penalised
for going over the data threshold.
This means that it may be easier
to upsell the consumer onto high value
packages that provide greater download capacity.
In the UK players such as PlusNet
and BT employ the usage cap as a way
of improving customer segmentation.
Our analysis shows that on average Sky,
BT, and PlusNet charge a premium of
€18 for unlimited downloads suggesting
that these operators attempt to capitalise from broad customer segmentation.
PlusNet, for example, is usually positioned to appeal to the more cost-aware
with its cheapest package at €23 p/m,
however its high-value package at €44
is also competitive with the top offerings by its competitors.
18

Core principles and
potential challenges of
usage-based pricing
•	 Recognise that many operators
already have ambiguous usage
caps and bandwidth management
policies in place that potentially
degrade Quality of Service (QOS)
and may diminish value perception;
•	 Improve customer segmentation
to make broadband more accessible
to a greater market;
•	 Assert that “those who use the least,
pay the least” such that light users
don’t subsidise the heavy users;
•	 Introduce greater transparency
in implementing usage-based packages combined with developing
effective tools to help the consumer
manage and track their data usage;

As with all consumer
communication, simplicity
is crucial. Effective communication and education
about the positive trade-off
for consumers will form
an important part of making
the strategy a success.
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

•	 Concentrate on QOS and promote
broadband connectivity as a versatile, rich content delivery platform.
•	 Manage potential conflict of interest
between selling media packages that
require data and selling data packages themselves
19

As with all consumer communication
simplicity is crucial. Effective communication and education about the positive
trade-off for consumers will form an
important part of making the strategy a
success.
Throughout the communication process the consumer should be made fully
aware that usage-based pricing is a
positive development with fairness and
improved Quality of Service the priority.
Depending on the exact configuration
of the pricing schemes some customers are likely to save while heavier users
would be expected to pay according
to consumption or upgrade to higher
capacity “unlimited” packages.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

Careful positioning is required to ensure
that new usage-based packages do not
directly cannibalise existing “unlimited”
broadband value propositions.
In the short term some cannibalisation
may occur despite best efforts.
However in the medium-term there is
the possibility of capturing the growing
opportunity provided by content and
associated VAS.
20

Further guidelines
to implementation

“’You’re capped!’ Understanding
the effects of bandwidth caps
on broadband use in the home”,
Georgia Institute of Technology

3

In addition to clear communication, the
operator should develop effective tools
to help the user manage data consumption and upgrade their backend to
be able to support a billing platform
capable of tracking data usage on a percustomer basis. According to a study
by the Georgia Institute of Technology4
operators should also bear the following
three points in mind when considering
implementing usage-based pricing tiers:
Invisible balances
Many respondents to the focus groups
felt that it was sometimes difficult
to understand and track data usage
throughout the month since some providers have limited or hard-to-use tools
that require users to login and have very
little detail or insight into usage trends.
Some services also fail to explain properly why internet connectivity has been
cut, e.g. in South Africa where international traffic has different rules from
access to local website content.

Mysterious processes
Some consumers have difficulty in identifying data-intensive applications and
can consequently find it confusing when
trying to limit download usage.
As well as the challenge of understanding which programs use internet services
on the home computer, many respondents experienced some misunderstandings of the relative size of content, i.e.
the number of videos they could watch
before going over the download threshold implying that “data” is often seen as
too abstract to quantify accurately.
“Participants did not appear to understand that YouTube or streamed audio
used up significantly more bandwidth
relative to web pages [as there was
no wait in content delivery].”
Multiple users
Unlike mobile phones, internet connections are used by multiple users and
across different platforms such as PCs,
laptops, smartphones, tablets and
e-readers, which could cause difficulties
in tracking usage accurately. This is not
an insurmountable problem and could
be overcome with the use of bandwidth
allocation software by the person paying
the operator bill. However there may be
some privacy concerns about the tracking
involved with this and about who has
access to potentially sensitive information.
“Some parents loved the idea of
being able to both limit and monitor their children’s internet usage...
and distribute the bandwidth like
an allowance, helping their children
manage their time, or using it as a
disciplinary tool.”

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
21

conclusion

In this perspective Value Partners
argues that there are some positive
reasons for adopting a more robust approach to usage-based pricing. Without
doubt operators are under pressure and
run the risk of long-term, irreversible
decline without significant adaptation.
Therefore in this challenging climate all
sensible strategies should be objectively
evaluated according to their merits and
risks.
As with any business model evolution
there are potential downsides for the
operator but, as a long-term strategy,
employing usage-based pricing may be
a constructive way of capitalising on the
forecasted growth of internet data and
content consumption.
Adopting usage-based pricing is just
one way of achieving sustainability,
but some sort of major business model
readjustment may be crucial to secure
continued investment in the telecommunications infrastructure that is so
fundamental for worldwide economic
development.

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
22

AUTHORS

enrico lanzavecchia
Director, London Office
enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com

adam hadley
Associate, London Office
adam.hadley@valuepartners.com

marco labianca
Business Analyst, London Office
marco.labianca@valuepartners.com

perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
23

About
Value Partners

Value Partners is a global management consulting firm that works
with multinational corporations
and high-potential entrepreneurial
businesses to identify and pursue
value enhancement initiatives across
innovation, international expansion,
and operational effectiveness.
Founded in Milan in 1993, Value Partners’ rapid growth testifies to the
value it has created for clients over
time. Today it draws on 25 partners
and 280 professionals from 23 nations, working out of offices in Milan,
London, Istanbul, São Paulo, Buenos
Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong
and Singapore.

In 2007 Value Partners acquired
Spectrum Strategy Consultants – a
leading UK company specialized in
publishing, broadcasting, entertainment, IPTV and mobile – thus further
strengthening its international presence. Today Value Partners is a leading advisor in the telecom, media
and technology sectors worldwide.

For more information on the issues
raised in this note please contact
the authors.
Find all the contact details on
valuepartners.com
Milan
London
Istanbul
São Paulo
Buenos Aires
Beijing
Shanghai
Hong Kong
Singapore

Value Partners has built a portfolio
of more than 350 international
clients from the original 10 in 1993
with a worldwide revenue mix.
Value Partners combines methodological approaches and analytical
frameworks with hands-on attitude
and practical industry experience
developed in an executive capacity
within each sector: telecommunications, new media, financial services,
energy, manufacturing and hi-tech.

Copyright © Value Partners
Management Consulting Limited
All rights reserved
perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND

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Broadband data-052013-digiversion

  • 1. perspective MAY 2013 TRANSPARENT BROADBAND THE POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF USAGE-BASED PRICING Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley, Marco Labianca
  • 2. Transparent broadband: The potential benefits of usage-based pricing Published by Value Partners Management Consulting Ltd, 16 Smith Square, 7th floor, Kings Building, London SW1P 3JJ, UK May 2013 Written by: Enrico Lanzavecchia, Adam Hadley, Marco Labianca Edited by: Cristina Goddi If you would like an electronic copy please write to: cristina.goddi@valuepartners.com For more information on the issues raised in the report please contact: adam.hadley@ valuepartners.com marco.labianca@valuepartners.com If you would like to subscribe or to be removed from our mailing list please write to: subscription@valuepartners.com valuepartners.com Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Limited All rights reserved
  • 3. 3 CONTENTS executive summary Unfavourable market dynamics 5 7 Challenge of monetising core connectivity 8 Limited role of download speed in increasing ARPU 11 Potential of usage-based pricing 15 Core principles and potential challenges of usage-based pricing 18 Further guidelines to implementation 20 Conclusion 21 authors perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 22
  • 4. 4 Our research shows that transparent usage-based pricing can often provide important benefits for the consumer by creating value-for-money through more effective pricing segmentation. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 5. 5 executive summary Throughout most of the world download caps are often used as punitive measures to keep check on excessive downloads. However, in the UK, operators such as BT and PlusNet have successfully deployed usage-based pricing by marketing packages with tiered download caps. In this perspective Value Partners argues that there may be positive conclusions to draw from introducing aspects of this alternative approach to usage-based pricing. Within the context of an industry under pressure it has never been more important for operators to find sustainable ways of maintaining revenue and striking a balance between a focus on core connectivity and content. As the demand for content and data has revolutionised the consumer’s relationship with the internet, operators need to adjust to consumer needs and expectations accordingly. Our research shows that transparent usage-based pricing can often provide important benefits for the consumer by creating value-for-money through more effective pricing segmentation. Packages that are priced according to data usage can be designed to reduce costs for the light-usage consumer and improve profitability of the high-usage consumer. Usage-based pricing may provide the potential to help the operator address a broader market and scale revenue in line with growth in content consumption. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 6. 6 Monthly ARPU* (€) of internet-only broadband packages by country and forecast 25 -0,4% 20 -2,3% -1,9% 15 -3,4% 10 2008 2009 2010 2011 Spain 2012 Portugal Note: * Not considering additional connectivity bundles (e.g. calls, TV). Source: Screen Digest Sep ‘11, Value Partners analysis. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 2013e Italy 2014e UK 2015e CAGR 2008-2012 (%)
  • 7. 7 Unfavourable market dynamics 1 Eurostat: EU 27: Households Level of Internet access, 2011 Screen Digest: Western Europe: Broadband, narrowband & PC households (annual & forecast), 2011 2 Fixed broadband connectivity is an increasingly challenging market in the more developed regions as the household broadband penetration rate reaches its saturation point and ARPU declines slowly and steadily. In Europe as a whole broadband penetration per household is decelerating as it approaches 80%1 while ARPU has declined by a year-on-year average of 3% between 2008 and 2012, falling to just over €152 per household per month. Fixed broadband connectivity is an increasingly challenging market in the more developed regions as the household broadband penetration rate reaches its saturation point and ARPU declines slowly and steadily. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 8. 8 Challenge of monetising core connectivity The value of the typical broadband proposition is driven by core connectivity, content and bundling, and Value Added Services (VAS). The value of connectivity is usually determined by bandwidth (speed), usage restrictions, and occasionally by Quality of Service (latency, up-time, SLAs, etc.). In the days of AOL’s pre-eminence in the 1990s, the ISP was responsible for most consumer-facing innovations and controlled almost all aspects of the internet experience for the user, including the channels (Netscape browser, chatrooms, etc.) and the content itself (news articles, games, etc.). However, with an internet that has matured in terms of infrastructure, functionality, and availability of content, the role of the ISP-only operator has diminished considerably. Now most operators focus on content convergence and only tend to monetise content through bundled television with highvalue, low-margin cable, satellite, or IPTV subscriptions. Gone are the days of the ISP web portal. Now that more than a third of all UK households buy their telephony, TV, and broadband from a single operator, it is clear that, in the UK at least, triple-play packaging on its own no longer creates significant differentiation between providers. There is evidence that the triple-play packages improve customer retention and reduce churn. However some operators have become distracted by the allure of TV bundling at the cost of concentrating on the core internet offering itself. With high-speed internet and the emergence of the next generation of set-top boxes, operators are now able to deliver streamed television content through IPTV where previously only cable and satellite players could compete. BT, for example, at the cost of £738m recently acquired the rights to broadcast 38 UK football matches with the aim of creating at least two of its own sports channels, leaving Sky with the rights to the remaining 116 matches. Sports rights aside, however, traditional TV content providers or aggregators such as Sky or Virgin in the UK still maintain a competitive advantage in terms of their expertise in producing and commissioning popular content - for operators this has never been their core activity. In mature markets operators are therefore left with a fundamental business model conundrum. Content acquisition on this scale is an expensive and risky strategy that few other operators would be willing or able to emulate. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 9. 9 Our research of global broadband markets shows that almost all have value primarily driven by content and services, not speed. In Italy, Spain, and the UK, prices of broadband packages are mainly driven by services and content, whereas in other European countries like Germany and France and more advanced Asian markets, alternative infrastructure has differentiated between low and high speed offers but ARPU is still mostly driven by premium content. Unlike elsewhere in the world, in the US prices tend to be driven by download speed however there is still a premium for bundled services. Access speed has become rapidly commoditised, therefore it makes sense to develop value differentiation on the basis of other factors such as usage-based pricing. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND The rationale for this general market behaviour is two-fold: firstly, by providing telephony and television content, operators can charge more for the overall package and increase ARPU – although this has an uncertain impact on underlying profitability. Secondly, throughout the history of the internet, access speed itself has become rapidly commoditised and therefore it makes sense to develop value differentiation on the basis of other factors such as usage-based pricing.
  • 10. 10 Broadband packages available in Germany and France by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) Germany C 50 € / month 60 C C C B D B 40 30 C A A 20 B B D A A B D A 3 main speed categories (<10 Mbps, 16Mbps and 50Mbps) 10 MBps 0 0 20 A B 40 C 60 80 100 D 60 50 € / month France 40 C A C C 30 A E C E A E D B B B 20 C A C C Crowded market with many players offering very similar packages at similar prices D A E 10 MBps 0 0 A 20 B C 40 D perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 80 100 E Internet only Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. 60 Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
  • 11. 11 Limited role of download speed in increasing ARPU In most markets analysed as part of this research it is apparent that broadband speed itself rarely drives ARPU. Instead content services typically differentiate products with some markets such as the UK also using download caps. In Germany, premium content and bundled connectivity are important drivers of ARPU whereas in France download speeds are polarised between ADSL and fibre services with most services being at least triple play Due to a dependence on content services many operators are now running out of realistic ways to strategically differentiate: buying content at the scale of BT in the UK is ambitious and is uncertain to lead to success. Consumers also do not easily appreciate the scale and cost of infrastructure investment required by the operators. In Italy premium price is driven not by speed but by services and content while in Spain services and download speed drive ARPU Unlike elsewhere in the world, in the US, ARPU is mostly driven by download speed However in the UK higher ARPU is supported by a combination of introducing download caps, differentiating by speed and providing content services perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 12. 12 Broadband packages available in Italy and Spain by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) Italy 70 Typically, triple play commands a 20% price premium over dual play € / month 80 A D 60 A A 50 D A D D A 40 30 20 A E B A E B C A A E D D C B MBps 0 20 A B 40 C D 60 80 100 E 80 70 € / month Spain C B 60 C B 50 B 40 30 B B A C D A D Bundled connectivity and premium contents appear the main ARPU drivers in Spanish market A MBps 20 0 A 20 B C 40 60 80 100 D Internet only Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
  • 13. 13 Broadband packages available in the US by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) United States € / month 210 C B 160 90 B A B A C 80 A 70 C B 60 A B B A 50 Generally slow speeds compared to other countries A 40 B 30 A C MBps 20 0 A 20 B 40 60 80 100 300 C Internet only Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND Internet + calls Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV
  • 14. 14 Broadband packages available in the UK by price (€ / month) and download speed (Mbps) United Kingdom € / month 80 Service bundling (i.e. call, video) has proved a successful approach to ARPU... E ...in particular premium video content which has allowed Virgin Media and Sky to command superior prices C 70 60 C BT and its main competitors are focused mainly on <40 Mbps BB segment, higher speeds being historically the preserve of Virgin Media A E 50 D D B A 40 A 30 B E B A Broadband speeds in excess of 25 Mbps are only available within a dual play package A D C E Plusnet has allowed BT to serve the lower end of the market without affecting its positioning B MBps 20 0 A 20 B C 40 D Internet only 80 100 E Internet + calls Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND 60 Internet + TV Internet + Calls + TV Internet + Calls + TV
  • 15. 15 Potential of usage-based pricing Consumers intuitively understand the principle of paying for goods and services according to how much they use and operators are keen to monetise high-value content such as IPTV. Operators now need to pay attention to monetising the data and content delivery mechanism itself. At present, download caps are predominantly used negatively in order to restrict very high usage, i.e. in the US or in Germany, or are only enforced as ambiguous and often obscure “fair use” policies. Arguments for supporting such very high usage caps typically include improving collective network performance and preventing so-called “cable cutting”, or OTT television substitution, in which the broadband internet connection can substitute for cable or satellite TV. Both of these responses neglect the possibility of usage based pricing as an effective way to differentiate strategically whilst also improving price satisfaction. It is common for players to apply an implicit “fair-usage” policy that limits very high usage without the consumer being fully aware of the small print. In effect usage-based restrictions are often already in place but lack transparency and are typically used only as punitive mechanisms to degrade the consumer’s experience. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND In the UK download caps are used positively to improve the consumer offering and promote strategic differentiation Unlike in the US and Europe, UK operators have successfully deployed usagebased pricing for a number of years and they continue to use this strategy to differentiate between their own packages and those of other operators. In particular Sky, BT, and PlusNet (BT’s sub-brand based in Yorkshire) use download caps as a way of generating “unlimited” premium packages for customers who require extra data for consumption of on-demand TV or other data-intensive activities. PlusNet at the time of print had download caps on all its broadband packages, with BT employing usage-based pricing on four out of seven packages, and Sky with only one. TalkTalk stopped enforcing usage caps in 2012 while Virgin Media has never placed explicit restrictions on downloads.
  • 16. 16 Unlimited and capped packages by UK operator # of packages 13 7 5 7 10 42 100% 13 7 4 3 10 27 4 15 1 0% Unlimited* TOTAL Capped comparable packages Low-cap average (€/m) • • 31 30 23 27** Mid-cap average (€/m) • • • 37 32 34** 56 42 46 47 44 45** Unlimited* cap average (€/m) AVERAGE On average Sky, BT and Plusnet charge a premium of €18 for unlimited downloads. Note: *250GB data allowance or according to “fair use policy”; **average excluding Virgin Media and TalkTalk. Source: Company websites, Value Partners analysis. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 17. 17 As explored by Andrew Odlyzko in “Know your limits”, May 2012 3 Rationale for building new packages with download caps Most global operators either enforce a de facto download cap through “fairusage” restrictions on “unlimited” packages or have introduced more transparent pricing models as in the UK. There could be numerous positive outcomes for the consumer if operators followed the UK’s lead by introducing more effective customer segmentation. Firstly the operator would be able to attract a greater number of light usage consumers by lowering the price of core connectivity and by doing so operators may be able to temporarily buck the trend of slowing broadband penetration. While there will always be customers who require mobile broadband for access on the move or in remote areas, there are also those who choose mobile broadband dongles at home for their relative cost effectiveness and flexibility. Secondly, introducing new entry-level packages may reinforce the perception of value for the existing “unlimited” packages and improve ARPU stability by deliberately devaluing the more costsensitive packages. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND With greater market share there is the potential for promoting paid-for content or bundled packages and monetising pay-as-you-go data consumption. Many consumers also often recognise an “insurance premium”3 for “unlimited” packages in order to secure peace of mind that they will not be penalised for going over the data threshold. This means that it may be easier to upsell the consumer onto high value packages that provide greater download capacity. In the UK players such as PlusNet and BT employ the usage cap as a way of improving customer segmentation. Our analysis shows that on average Sky, BT, and PlusNet charge a premium of €18 for unlimited downloads suggesting that these operators attempt to capitalise from broad customer segmentation. PlusNet, for example, is usually positioned to appeal to the more cost-aware with its cheapest package at €23 p/m, however its high-value package at €44 is also competitive with the top offerings by its competitors.
  • 18. 18 Core principles and potential challenges of usage-based pricing • Recognise that many operators already have ambiguous usage caps and bandwidth management policies in place that potentially degrade Quality of Service (QOS) and may diminish value perception; • Improve customer segmentation to make broadband more accessible to a greater market; • Assert that “those who use the least, pay the least” such that light users don’t subsidise the heavy users; • Introduce greater transparency in implementing usage-based packages combined with developing effective tools to help the consumer manage and track their data usage; As with all consumer communication, simplicity is crucial. Effective communication and education about the positive trade-off for consumers will form an important part of making the strategy a success. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND • Concentrate on QOS and promote broadband connectivity as a versatile, rich content delivery platform. • Manage potential conflict of interest between selling media packages that require data and selling data packages themselves
  • 19. 19 As with all consumer communication simplicity is crucial. Effective communication and education about the positive trade-off for consumers will form an important part of making the strategy a success. Throughout the communication process the consumer should be made fully aware that usage-based pricing is a positive development with fairness and improved Quality of Service the priority. Depending on the exact configuration of the pricing schemes some customers are likely to save while heavier users would be expected to pay according to consumption or upgrade to higher capacity “unlimited” packages. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND Careful positioning is required to ensure that new usage-based packages do not directly cannibalise existing “unlimited” broadband value propositions. In the short term some cannibalisation may occur despite best efforts. However in the medium-term there is the possibility of capturing the growing opportunity provided by content and associated VAS.
  • 20. 20 Further guidelines to implementation “’You’re capped!’ Understanding the effects of bandwidth caps on broadband use in the home”, Georgia Institute of Technology 3 In addition to clear communication, the operator should develop effective tools to help the user manage data consumption and upgrade their backend to be able to support a billing platform capable of tracking data usage on a percustomer basis. According to a study by the Georgia Institute of Technology4 operators should also bear the following three points in mind when considering implementing usage-based pricing tiers: Invisible balances Many respondents to the focus groups felt that it was sometimes difficult to understand and track data usage throughout the month since some providers have limited or hard-to-use tools that require users to login and have very little detail or insight into usage trends. Some services also fail to explain properly why internet connectivity has been cut, e.g. in South Africa where international traffic has different rules from access to local website content. Mysterious processes Some consumers have difficulty in identifying data-intensive applications and can consequently find it confusing when trying to limit download usage. As well as the challenge of understanding which programs use internet services on the home computer, many respondents experienced some misunderstandings of the relative size of content, i.e. the number of videos they could watch before going over the download threshold implying that “data” is often seen as too abstract to quantify accurately. “Participants did not appear to understand that YouTube or streamed audio used up significantly more bandwidth relative to web pages [as there was no wait in content delivery].” Multiple users Unlike mobile phones, internet connections are used by multiple users and across different platforms such as PCs, laptops, smartphones, tablets and e-readers, which could cause difficulties in tracking usage accurately. This is not an insurmountable problem and could be overcome with the use of bandwidth allocation software by the person paying the operator bill. However there may be some privacy concerns about the tracking involved with this and about who has access to potentially sensitive information. “Some parents loved the idea of being able to both limit and monitor their children’s internet usage... and distribute the bandwidth like an allowance, helping their children manage their time, or using it as a disciplinary tool.” perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 21. 21 conclusion In this perspective Value Partners argues that there are some positive reasons for adopting a more robust approach to usage-based pricing. Without doubt operators are under pressure and run the risk of long-term, irreversible decline without significant adaptation. Therefore in this challenging climate all sensible strategies should be objectively evaluated according to their merits and risks. As with any business model evolution there are potential downsides for the operator but, as a long-term strategy, employing usage-based pricing may be a constructive way of capitalising on the forecasted growth of internet data and content consumption. Adopting usage-based pricing is just one way of achieving sustainability, but some sort of major business model readjustment may be crucial to secure continued investment in the telecommunications infrastructure that is so fundamental for worldwide economic development. perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 22. 22 AUTHORS enrico lanzavecchia Director, London Office enrico.lanzavecchia@valuepartners.com adam hadley Associate, London Office adam.hadley@valuepartners.com marco labianca Business Analyst, London Office marco.labianca@valuepartners.com perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND
  • 23. 23 About Value Partners Value Partners is a global management consulting firm that works with multinational corporations and high-potential entrepreneurial businesses to identify and pursue value enhancement initiatives across innovation, international expansion, and operational effectiveness. Founded in Milan in 1993, Value Partners’ rapid growth testifies to the value it has created for clients over time. Today it draws on 25 partners and 280 professionals from 23 nations, working out of offices in Milan, London, Istanbul, São Paulo, Buenos Aires, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Singapore. In 2007 Value Partners acquired Spectrum Strategy Consultants – a leading UK company specialized in publishing, broadcasting, entertainment, IPTV and mobile – thus further strengthening its international presence. Today Value Partners is a leading advisor in the telecom, media and technology sectors worldwide. For more information on the issues raised in this note please contact the authors. Find all the contact details on valuepartners.com Milan London Istanbul São Paulo Buenos Aires Beijing Shanghai Hong Kong Singapore Value Partners has built a portfolio of more than 350 international clients from the original 10 in 1993 with a worldwide revenue mix. Value Partners combines methodological approaches and analytical frameworks with hands-on attitude and practical industry experience developed in an executive capacity within each sector: telecommunications, new media, financial services, energy, manufacturing and hi-tech. Copyright © Value Partners Management Consulting Limited All rights reserved perspective TRANSPARENT BROADBAND