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IBM Research
IE in Action:
Capturing Social and
Clinical Knowledge for
Personalised Care
Vanessa Lopez
Health & Person-centered Systems
IBM Research Ireland
IBM Research
Cognitive AI -> Broad AI
Smart Cities
Integrated Care
IBM Research
Community curated KGs
(e.g. Wikidata)
Global-view
(proprietary) KGs
Web of Data
- Heterogeneous
- Size vs. Quality
- Multilingual
- Varying levels of trust
NLP, IE ..
Into the Gap
Providing answers to
questions without
engineering our own data
Language
Knowledge
Semantic Technology
• QALD [2011-2017]: DBpedia, interlinked KBs
• WebQuestions, Free917 (2013): Freebase.
IBM Research
QA over Linked Data
Core Techniques of Question Answering Systems
over Knowledge Bases: a Survey. KAIS 2017
IBM Research
But with most information
still unstructured..
IBM Research
What is the impact of
semantic technologies in
business and society?
IBM Research
Examples in QA: Watson Jeopardy
“WAR MOVIES: A 1902 Joseph Conrad work set in Africa inspired
this director to create a controversial 1979 war film.”
Answer (deepQA): “the heart of darkness” (a book inspired on “Apocalypse now” a
movie directed by FF Coppola)
“Structured analytics are a natural complement to unstructured in that they
cover a narrower range of questions but are more precise within that range”
Structured data and inference in DeepQA. A. Kalyanpur, B. Boguraev, S.
Patwardhan, et al. IBM Journal of Research and Development, 56(3):10, 2012.
IBM Research
Successful QA systems
• Key#1 Strong KA to mine the web for facts
• Key#2. Do not assume a completely and precisely translated
representation of a question to find and combine pieces of knowledge in
a way that is meaningful for the task at hand
How to approach Data Integration?
IBM Research
Knowledge, not just Data
• How to approach Data Integration?
– Just don’t do it ! Too hard
IBM Research
Knowledge, not just Data
• How to approach Data Integration?
– Just don’t do it ! Too hard
– Use a common unique model “Any truth is better
than indefinite doubt”
IBM Research
Knowledge, not just Data
• How to approach Data Integration?
– Just don’t do it ! Too hard
– Use a common unique model “Any truth is better
than indefinite doubt”
– Be willing to accept noise "I'd rather walk with a
doubt than with a bad axiom"
In Watson: Not a single component does all the job. A ML algorithm
learns how to combine multiple methods that do similar jobs in
unpredictable ways to provide inexact solutions that are
meaningful for the task at hand.
IBM Research
Cognitive technologies promise to have significant
societal impact in domains where there is a need to
transform multidisciplinary information across
systems into actionable services.
Knowledge is not the destination:
“The level of advancement of a society
is often measured in terms of
protection of the less able”
Use Case: Integrated Care
IBM Research
Cognitive AI=
Semantics + NLP + Learning
Care Manager Doctor
Docs/Notes
Clinical
DBs
Social
DBs
Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017
DATA / INFORMATION
LAYER
MODELS:
Descriptive/ Predictive
To expand / augment
human cognition
What is the role of technology?
IBM Research
Integrated Care: Business Value
• Containing costs while improving outcomes from coordinated social and
health care services has been identified as a 21st century societal gran
challenge
• Patient-centered (high-need, high-cost)
• Team-based approach that rewards quality and outcomes
Socio-economic factors drive health
and disease:
"It cost us one million dollars
not to do something about
Murray,"
IBM Research
Meet the users
• Task: Captures information about the needs of her
patients, creates personalized care plans and
coordinates a care team.
Susan Brown – Care Manager• Pain points:
Pain
Points
Short
amount
time
Know-
ledge
sharing
Overload
with data
Relevancy
personali-
sation
Digging
info/
insights
Filling in
gaps
Laurie – elderly patient
Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017
• Goal:
• Support a care team to make better informed decisions
IBM Research
Data, data, data: a 360◦ person view
Time
Care Network
Care Team Social Network
Symptoms
Diagnoses
Medication
Labs
..
Clinical
ADL
Social
ADL
Behavi
oral
Mental
health
IBM Research
Capture knowledge and learn best practices:
Decrease the cost of information seeking
How to to support care workers gain a
comprehensive social and clinical picture of a
patient?
How to learn from the actual practice of care
professionals to suggest actionable insights?
Hill#1
Note Highlights: Surfacing Relevant Concepts from
Unstructured Data for Health Professionals. ICHI 2017
health
food
safety
shelter education
income
IBM Research
Right info at the right time:
Present comprehensive information with enough evidence
Hill#2
How to make this information available for
a care professionals in a natural way?
QuerioDALI: Question Answering over Dynamic
And LInked knowledge graphs. ISWC’16
IBM Research
Data ingestion & lifting
19
Enterprise Data
Open Data /
Linked Data Models
NL Query
Highlights &
suggestions
Semantic QA
[Hill	2]
CASE
NOTES
Capture knowledge and
best practices [Hill 1]
Answer generation
Family
(Social Care)
Records
Social Care
System
Patient
Social
Care
Record
Social
Vocabulary
Patient
EMR
Clinical
Vocabulary
Healthcare
System
DBpedia
(Places, Things)
W3C
Vocabulary &
metadata
Safety
Net
Building Blocks
Speech to Text
Knowledge Graphs
NL
Understanding
Context
• LOD to ingest and organize
knowledge across tabular data:
proving common vocabularies,
generalize specialize terms and
acting as anchors
Incremental
linkage without
a unique model
but exploiting
heterogeneous
models
IBM Research
KA to build social context
• What are the social determinants of health for vulnerable populations?
• What are the resources available and the connections between them?
(Safety Net of providers and services)
Hospi-
tal_y
Belle-
vue
Nursing
home
Hospi-
tal_x
Belle-
view
Read. Rate
cardiology
NYC Hospitals Medicare USA
sameAs
Which hospitals with elderly care have the
lowest readmission rates for cardiology in NYC?
Data Access Linking and Integration with DALI: Building a
Safety Net for an Ocean of City Data. ISWC 2015
IBM Research
Susan
Parenting Skills
ProviderChild 1
Early Intervention
Specialist
Medical
Provider
Employment
Counselor
Child Care
Provider
Addictions
Counselor
Provider
Payment
Provider
Payment
Provider
Payment
Provider
Payment
Provider
PaymentProvider
Payment
Provider
Payment
Provider
Payment
TANF Food
Stamps
Foster Care
Provider
Child Welfare
Caseworker
Provider
Payment
Child 2
Boyfriend
Food
Stamps
UI
Payment
Child 3
Many roles,
information needs not
known in advance
1000’s of
sources,
impossible to
fully integrate
School
Vast amounts of information,
privacy restrictions
Domain
knowledge
is broad
(social) and
deep
(clinical)
Interdisciplinary elite team of care professionals working together can
reduce hospital readmission rates from 18% to 5%
The challenge is to scale the right practices to the whole organization
A Cognitive Care Mentor to capture knowledge and
best practices
IBM Research
A patient receiving multiple services accumulates a lot of case notes. It’s
easy to miss something. Notes Highlights builds a personalized list of
important concepts.
IBM Research
Notes Highlights Enables care professionals to quickly access key facts
(highlights) from pages of notes
• Curation to ensure the team gets an accurate picture.
• Collaboration by selecting surfacing most relevant facts.
Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017
An entity-based
temporal view of a
patient organized by
semantic type
IBM Research
• Are we asking the right questions? What is the missing info?
• Learn from experienced care team (past history) and existent
knowledge to suggest relevant actions for a given patient
A Cognitive Care Mentor: Suggestions
• Prediction based on historical data:
• Frequent Pattern Mining
• Collaborative filtering
• Prediction based on literature:
• Word2Vec
• Semantic Recommender
IBM Research
Phone
IBM Watson Care Manager
Laurie
Thompson
Female 72 Years
Actions
Address
22 Chesnut Ave,
Boston, MA
02130
Phone
541 754-3010
Questionnaires
General
0 of 2
0 of 2
Suggestions
Cornerstone
ProgramsSummary Data History TeamPlan
Back
Hi Susan
Programs
Cornerstone Program
Insights DetailsRepeat
Complete Save
Do you feel that because of the time you spend with your relative that you don’t have
enough time for yourself?
Do you feel stressed between caring for your relative and trying to meet other
responsibilities (work/family)?
Notes Highlights
These highlights are based on relevant
information and evidence associated with
Laurie’s case.
Missed PCP Appointment
Difficulty Walking
Transport Problems
Demographic Summary
Options for Laurie’s journey
to her PCP
Transportation Suggestions
Options for Laurie’s journey
to her PCP
Do you feel strained when you are around your relative?
Do you feel uncertain about what to do about your relative?
Caregiver Burden Screening
Depression Screening (PHQ-9)
Caregiver Burden Screening
Suggests:
• Use suggestions to prioritize tasks / assessments / follow-ups
“Its all about the patient. Personalization is all about giving the
individual the power to choose - we don’t want to limit what they
choose to meet their goals”
IBM Research
Annotation Scoring
Feedback
Ranked
Entities
Notes
Notes
Annotators
Semantic
Reconciliat.
Notes
NotesTerminolo-
gies &
Ontologies
Prediction
Predictive
Engines
Patient
Profile
Ranking
loop
Suggestion
loop
Search
loop
Predictive
Engines
Predictive
Engines
Predictive
Engines
Underlying Innovation
IBM Research
Underlying Innovation: the value of semantics
The value of semantics:
• Organize and select relevant entities (semantic view)
• Abstract from annotators terminology and lexical differences (eye-drops
= ocular lubricant)
• Provides an integrated view (actionable types) for analytics insights
• To semantically maps entities to assessments / questionnaires
Db:Depression
Mood_disorders
Mental_behavioural_disorders
Mental_health Social_problems Human_diseases_disorders
Type Reasoning – DBpedia:
IBM Research
https://www.ibm.com/watson/developercloud/retrieve-rank.html
Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017
IBM Research
Domain experts validation (gold standard)
• Scenario: finds all relevant and only relevant information
• Extract entities from notes as to what domain experts
would choose.
• Datasets: 20 clinical and social cases
• Judgements (ground-truth): 22 evaluators (4 per case)
• Manually highlighted all relevant annotations
• assigned a category to each
• top-10 for each case
• Metrics: 80% agreement, 64% P, 85% R, 73% F1
Criteria User annotation Gold-standard annotation
Remove function words She does the shopping shopping
Split different entities 23 yo female 23 yo, female
Temporal modifiers No past psychiatric illness; (No Past) medical illness ;
Negations Denies ear abnormalities (Denies) ear abnormalities
Measures A1c dropped from 13.0 to 10.4 A1c dropped (from 13.0 to 10.4)
IBM Research
Measure, Measure, Measure
Cognitive technologies aren’t mean to be 100% accurate,
how do we measure the real value to the user?
Key finding from this study:
Experts agree on what concepts are important
For important concepts, coverage is high (91%)
Next Step: Health field study
Can it improve productivity?: Care
Managers spend a large amount of time
reviewing notes prior to their interaction with
patients.
Can it reduce care gaps?: Ineffective
team communication cause a large percent
of all medical errors by missing key facts
What is the impact of learning (training)?
IBM Research
What information are you looking for in your notes?
“What we talked about last time, their goals, interventions, concerns, labs”
Are notes from other team members of interest to you?
“I’m interested if someone has added a note after I spoke to them”
How long does it take you to review notes?
“Brand new patients maybe 30 minutes, otherwise maybe 10 minutes”
Interviews with Domain Experts
Do you want to see what other team members mark important?
“If a physician marked this as important then yes, that’s very important
for me to see”
“I would like to flag (’push to the top’) those things that are the most
relevant about Laurie just now.”
“I’d want to know more about it - why its there”
“I want the patient to feel I know about
them. They expect you to know about them.”
-- Care Transition Navigator,
“This will save us so much time”
-- Care Coordinator
CM would follow words that the system may
have mistakenly pulled. Time costly.
If it’s not an easy 1-click we won’t get feedback
IBM Research
Validation: Observations & Inhibitors
• P/R trade-off: affected by noise (21%), non relevant entities (17%
of entities had no agreement) and lack of models’ coverage
– Ambiguous acronyms (e.g., PCP), partial annotations (e.g. normal):
– Keywords are not facts: annotations typically missed:
• Factual changes and actions: “(lose) one-half pound of weight” , “lost
his job”, “stop taking the insulin”, “eats too much in the evening”, “left
side of her face is dropping”
• Feelings, progress and emotional status: “doing OK”, "achieve that
goal”, “(really)overwhelmed”, “did not mind dying”, “inflated self worth”
• Some (social) entities and complex entities: "ball of both feet" ,
“running”, “lives with mother”, daughter assists with meds”.
• Not enough context:
– “He quit smoking several years ago but he picked up the habit recently”
– “Personalizing context requires lots of domain knowledge (and reason
with negation and temporality)
IBM Research Hill#2: Right info at the right time
• User’s needs not known in advance. Explore natural ways to answer
complex information needs across KGs, even without training data.
IBM Research
QA pipeline
Semantic
Entity Search
Is Eplerenone having side effects for
Teresa’s conditions?
Dependency tree
Be
(verb)
Eplerenone
(noun)
side effects
(noun)
subj
for (prep)
pred
have
(verb)
conditions
(noun)
Teresa
(noun)
objprep
mod
modmod
Deep Parsing
NE / NLP
pipeline
Pattern
engine
Graph Pattern
(GP) Search
Merge & Rank
candidate GPs
PAS:
<side effects, Eplerenone> <side effects, condition> <condition, Teresa>
Inspra
(Eplerenone)
Type_2_
Diabetes
(?sjoin)
sideEffect (?p1)
Side_effects
rdf:type
pre-diabetes
(?s)
Skos:
closeMatch
Condition
treatmentFor(?p2)
10334
(?ent)
rdf:type
Teresa
activity
(?p3)
dbp:Diabete
s_mellitus
Owl:sameAs
Graph#Sider
Graph#WCMPersona
Graph#DBpedia
Answer: yes!
IBM Research
What is really novel ?
IBM Research
What’s next for cognitive technologies?
• Validating: understanding notion of value - it	can	fail	but	still	be	useful	…
– Metrics	based	on	explicit	and	implicit	user	behavior	(clicks,	logs)
– Does	it	requires	lots	of	training	to	get	it	up	to	speed?	
– Novelty:	“tell	me	something	I	don't	know”	(with	evidence)
• Cognitive	=	non-definitive	non-deterministic	results
– Weigh	information	from	multiple	sources	and	past	actions
– “Knowledge”	is	enhanced	as	new	data	arrives	or	humans	interact	with	
the	system
Medication: metformin
Conditions: chronic kidney disease,
diabetes type 2
Patient: Laurie contraindicated !
Cognitive AI
IBM Research
• Explainable and trustable AI
– Intelligible	systems:	systems	that	explain	themselves	
(clinician	and	computer	science	barrier)
– Present	enough	evidence	to	built	trust	in	the	AI
– Advice	to	experts	vs.	patients	
• Active Learning: in response to users interactions or
actions to evolve knowledge
– Leverage	user	explicit	and	implicit	feedback	
– KA	with	open	and	domain	independent	dialog	systems	
has	been	a	longstanding	goal	of	AI	
– without	a	fixed	ontology	or	domain	model	that	
predetermines	what	users	can	say
What’s next?
Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017
Which	patients	
have	a	thyroid	
disorder	and	have	
not	had	their	TSH	
tested	in	the	past	
1	year?
Is TSH use	to	
detect	thyroid	
disorder?
IBM Research BlueMix services
IBM Research
Other AI research projects
• Deep analysis of behavioral literature and policies in to
extract relevant information: Entities in context (relations)
Human Behavior Change Project: aims to build an AI system to scan the literature
on behavior change, extract key info, and build a model of human behavior to
answer : ‘What interventions work, how well, for whom, in what setting, for what
behaviors and why?’ http://www.ucl.ac.uk/human-behaviour-change
Program Integrity: to understand unstructured policies and built rules to help a policy
investigator detect uncompliant claims by providers (Fraud Waste and Abuse)
IBM Research
Thank you!
The truth is Rarely Pure and
Never Simple
Oscar Wilde

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IBM Research: Building a Cognitive Care Mentor

  • 1. IBM Research IE in Action: Capturing Social and Clinical Knowledge for Personalised Care Vanessa Lopez Health & Person-centered Systems IBM Research Ireland
  • 2. IBM Research Cognitive AI -> Broad AI Smart Cities Integrated Care
  • 3. IBM Research Community curated KGs (e.g. Wikidata) Global-view (proprietary) KGs Web of Data - Heterogeneous - Size vs. Quality - Multilingual - Varying levels of trust NLP, IE .. Into the Gap Providing answers to questions without engineering our own data Language Knowledge Semantic Technology • QALD [2011-2017]: DBpedia, interlinked KBs • WebQuestions, Free917 (2013): Freebase.
  • 4. IBM Research QA over Linked Data Core Techniques of Question Answering Systems over Knowledge Bases: a Survey. KAIS 2017
  • 5. IBM Research But with most information still unstructured..
  • 6. IBM Research What is the impact of semantic technologies in business and society?
  • 7. IBM Research Examples in QA: Watson Jeopardy “WAR MOVIES: A 1902 Joseph Conrad work set in Africa inspired this director to create a controversial 1979 war film.” Answer (deepQA): “the heart of darkness” (a book inspired on “Apocalypse now” a movie directed by FF Coppola) “Structured analytics are a natural complement to unstructured in that they cover a narrower range of questions but are more precise within that range” Structured data and inference in DeepQA. A. Kalyanpur, B. Boguraev, S. Patwardhan, et al. IBM Journal of Research and Development, 56(3):10, 2012.
  • 8. IBM Research Successful QA systems • Key#1 Strong KA to mine the web for facts • Key#2. Do not assume a completely and precisely translated representation of a question to find and combine pieces of knowledge in a way that is meaningful for the task at hand How to approach Data Integration?
  • 9. IBM Research Knowledge, not just Data • How to approach Data Integration? – Just don’t do it ! Too hard
  • 10. IBM Research Knowledge, not just Data • How to approach Data Integration? – Just don’t do it ! Too hard – Use a common unique model “Any truth is better than indefinite doubt”
  • 11. IBM Research Knowledge, not just Data • How to approach Data Integration? – Just don’t do it ! Too hard – Use a common unique model “Any truth is better than indefinite doubt” – Be willing to accept noise "I'd rather walk with a doubt than with a bad axiom" In Watson: Not a single component does all the job. A ML algorithm learns how to combine multiple methods that do similar jobs in unpredictable ways to provide inexact solutions that are meaningful for the task at hand.
  • 12. IBM Research Cognitive technologies promise to have significant societal impact in domains where there is a need to transform multidisciplinary information across systems into actionable services. Knowledge is not the destination: “The level of advancement of a society is often measured in terms of protection of the less able” Use Case: Integrated Care
  • 13. IBM Research Cognitive AI= Semantics + NLP + Learning Care Manager Doctor Docs/Notes Clinical DBs Social DBs Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017 DATA / INFORMATION LAYER MODELS: Descriptive/ Predictive To expand / augment human cognition What is the role of technology?
  • 14. IBM Research Integrated Care: Business Value • Containing costs while improving outcomes from coordinated social and health care services has been identified as a 21st century societal gran challenge • Patient-centered (high-need, high-cost) • Team-based approach that rewards quality and outcomes Socio-economic factors drive health and disease: "It cost us one million dollars not to do something about Murray,"
  • 15. IBM Research Meet the users • Task: Captures information about the needs of her patients, creates personalized care plans and coordinates a care team. Susan Brown – Care Manager• Pain points: Pain Points Short amount time Know- ledge sharing Overload with data Relevancy personali- sation Digging info/ insights Filling in gaps Laurie – elderly patient Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017 • Goal: • Support a care team to make better informed decisions
  • 16. IBM Research Data, data, data: a 360◦ person view Time Care Network Care Team Social Network Symptoms Diagnoses Medication Labs .. Clinical ADL Social ADL Behavi oral Mental health
  • 17. IBM Research Capture knowledge and learn best practices: Decrease the cost of information seeking How to to support care workers gain a comprehensive social and clinical picture of a patient? How to learn from the actual practice of care professionals to suggest actionable insights? Hill#1 Note Highlights: Surfacing Relevant Concepts from Unstructured Data for Health Professionals. ICHI 2017 health food safety shelter education income
  • 18. IBM Research Right info at the right time: Present comprehensive information with enough evidence Hill#2 How to make this information available for a care professionals in a natural way? QuerioDALI: Question Answering over Dynamic And LInked knowledge graphs. ISWC’16
  • 19. IBM Research Data ingestion & lifting 19 Enterprise Data Open Data / Linked Data Models NL Query Highlights & suggestions Semantic QA [Hill 2] CASE NOTES Capture knowledge and best practices [Hill 1] Answer generation Family (Social Care) Records Social Care System Patient Social Care Record Social Vocabulary Patient EMR Clinical Vocabulary Healthcare System DBpedia (Places, Things) W3C Vocabulary & metadata Safety Net Building Blocks Speech to Text Knowledge Graphs NL Understanding Context • LOD to ingest and organize knowledge across tabular data: proving common vocabularies, generalize specialize terms and acting as anchors Incremental linkage without a unique model but exploiting heterogeneous models
  • 20. IBM Research KA to build social context • What are the social determinants of health for vulnerable populations? • What are the resources available and the connections between them? (Safety Net of providers and services) Hospi- tal_y Belle- vue Nursing home Hospi- tal_x Belle- view Read. Rate cardiology NYC Hospitals Medicare USA sameAs Which hospitals with elderly care have the lowest readmission rates for cardiology in NYC? Data Access Linking and Integration with DALI: Building a Safety Net for an Ocean of City Data. ISWC 2015
  • 21. IBM Research Susan Parenting Skills ProviderChild 1 Early Intervention Specialist Medical Provider Employment Counselor Child Care Provider Addictions Counselor Provider Payment Provider Payment Provider Payment Provider Payment Provider PaymentProvider Payment Provider Payment Provider Payment TANF Food Stamps Foster Care Provider Child Welfare Caseworker Provider Payment Child 2 Boyfriend Food Stamps UI Payment Child 3 Many roles, information needs not known in advance 1000’s of sources, impossible to fully integrate School Vast amounts of information, privacy restrictions Domain knowledge is broad (social) and deep (clinical) Interdisciplinary elite team of care professionals working together can reduce hospital readmission rates from 18% to 5% The challenge is to scale the right practices to the whole organization A Cognitive Care Mentor to capture knowledge and best practices
  • 22. IBM Research A patient receiving multiple services accumulates a lot of case notes. It’s easy to miss something. Notes Highlights builds a personalized list of important concepts.
  • 23. IBM Research Notes Highlights Enables care professionals to quickly access key facts (highlights) from pages of notes • Curation to ensure the team gets an accurate picture. • Collaboration by selecting surfacing most relevant facts. Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017 An entity-based temporal view of a patient organized by semantic type
  • 24. IBM Research • Are we asking the right questions? What is the missing info? • Learn from experienced care team (past history) and existent knowledge to suggest relevant actions for a given patient A Cognitive Care Mentor: Suggestions • Prediction based on historical data: • Frequent Pattern Mining • Collaborative filtering • Prediction based on literature: • Word2Vec • Semantic Recommender
  • 25. IBM Research Phone IBM Watson Care Manager Laurie Thompson Female 72 Years Actions Address 22 Chesnut Ave, Boston, MA 02130 Phone 541 754-3010 Questionnaires General 0 of 2 0 of 2 Suggestions Cornerstone ProgramsSummary Data History TeamPlan Back Hi Susan Programs Cornerstone Program Insights DetailsRepeat Complete Save Do you feel that because of the time you spend with your relative that you don’t have enough time for yourself? Do you feel stressed between caring for your relative and trying to meet other responsibilities (work/family)? Notes Highlights These highlights are based on relevant information and evidence associated with Laurie’s case. Missed PCP Appointment Difficulty Walking Transport Problems Demographic Summary Options for Laurie’s journey to her PCP Transportation Suggestions Options for Laurie’s journey to her PCP Do you feel strained when you are around your relative? Do you feel uncertain about what to do about your relative? Caregiver Burden Screening Depression Screening (PHQ-9) Caregiver Burden Screening Suggests: • Use suggestions to prioritize tasks / assessments / follow-ups “Its all about the patient. Personalization is all about giving the individual the power to choose - we don’t want to limit what they choose to meet their goals”
  • 26. IBM Research Annotation Scoring Feedback Ranked Entities Notes Notes Annotators Semantic Reconciliat. Notes NotesTerminolo- gies & Ontologies Prediction Predictive Engines Patient Profile Ranking loop Suggestion loop Search loop Predictive Engines Predictive Engines Predictive Engines Underlying Innovation
  • 27. IBM Research Underlying Innovation: the value of semantics The value of semantics: • Organize and select relevant entities (semantic view) • Abstract from annotators terminology and lexical differences (eye-drops = ocular lubricant) • Provides an integrated view (actionable types) for analytics insights • To semantically maps entities to assessments / questionnaires Db:Depression Mood_disorders Mental_behavioural_disorders Mental_health Social_problems Human_diseases_disorders Type Reasoning – DBpedia:
  • 29. IBM Research Domain experts validation (gold standard) • Scenario: finds all relevant and only relevant information • Extract entities from notes as to what domain experts would choose. • Datasets: 20 clinical and social cases • Judgements (ground-truth): 22 evaluators (4 per case) • Manually highlighted all relevant annotations • assigned a category to each • top-10 for each case • Metrics: 80% agreement, 64% P, 85% R, 73% F1 Criteria User annotation Gold-standard annotation Remove function words She does the shopping shopping Split different entities 23 yo female 23 yo, female Temporal modifiers No past psychiatric illness; (No Past) medical illness ; Negations Denies ear abnormalities (Denies) ear abnormalities Measures A1c dropped from 13.0 to 10.4 A1c dropped (from 13.0 to 10.4)
  • 30. IBM Research Measure, Measure, Measure Cognitive technologies aren’t mean to be 100% accurate, how do we measure the real value to the user? Key finding from this study: Experts agree on what concepts are important For important concepts, coverage is high (91%) Next Step: Health field study Can it improve productivity?: Care Managers spend a large amount of time reviewing notes prior to their interaction with patients. Can it reduce care gaps?: Ineffective team communication cause a large percent of all medical errors by missing key facts What is the impact of learning (training)?
  • 31. IBM Research What information are you looking for in your notes? “What we talked about last time, their goals, interventions, concerns, labs” Are notes from other team members of interest to you? “I’m interested if someone has added a note after I spoke to them” How long does it take you to review notes? “Brand new patients maybe 30 minutes, otherwise maybe 10 minutes” Interviews with Domain Experts Do you want to see what other team members mark important? “If a physician marked this as important then yes, that’s very important for me to see” “I would like to flag (’push to the top’) those things that are the most relevant about Laurie just now.” “I’d want to know more about it - why its there” “I want the patient to feel I know about them. They expect you to know about them.” -- Care Transition Navigator, “This will save us so much time” -- Care Coordinator CM would follow words that the system may have mistakenly pulled. Time costly. If it’s not an easy 1-click we won’t get feedback
  • 32. IBM Research Validation: Observations & Inhibitors • P/R trade-off: affected by noise (21%), non relevant entities (17% of entities had no agreement) and lack of models’ coverage – Ambiguous acronyms (e.g., PCP), partial annotations (e.g. normal): – Keywords are not facts: annotations typically missed: • Factual changes and actions: “(lose) one-half pound of weight” , “lost his job”, “stop taking the insulin”, “eats too much in the evening”, “left side of her face is dropping” • Feelings, progress and emotional status: “doing OK”, "achieve that goal”, “(really)overwhelmed”, “did not mind dying”, “inflated self worth” • Some (social) entities and complex entities: "ball of both feet" , “running”, “lives with mother”, daughter assists with meds”. • Not enough context: – “He quit smoking several years ago but he picked up the habit recently” – “Personalizing context requires lots of domain knowledge (and reason with negation and temporality)
  • 33. IBM Research Hill#2: Right info at the right time • User’s needs not known in advance. Explore natural ways to answer complex information needs across KGs, even without training data.
  • 34. IBM Research QA pipeline Semantic Entity Search Is Eplerenone having side effects for Teresa’s conditions? Dependency tree Be (verb) Eplerenone (noun) side effects (noun) subj for (prep) pred have (verb) conditions (noun) Teresa (noun) objprep mod modmod Deep Parsing NE / NLP pipeline Pattern engine Graph Pattern (GP) Search Merge & Rank candidate GPs PAS: <side effects, Eplerenone> <side effects, condition> <condition, Teresa> Inspra (Eplerenone) Type_2_ Diabetes (?sjoin) sideEffect (?p1) Side_effects rdf:type pre-diabetes (?s) Skos: closeMatch Condition treatmentFor(?p2) 10334 (?ent) rdf:type Teresa activity (?p3) dbp:Diabete s_mellitus Owl:sameAs Graph#Sider Graph#WCMPersona Graph#DBpedia Answer: yes!
  • 35. IBM Research What is really novel ?
  • 36. IBM Research What’s next for cognitive technologies? • Validating: understanding notion of value - it can fail but still be useful … – Metrics based on explicit and implicit user behavior (clicks, logs) – Does it requires lots of training to get it up to speed? – Novelty: “tell me something I don't know” (with evidence) • Cognitive = non-definitive non-deterministic results – Weigh information from multiple sources and past actions – “Knowledge” is enhanced as new data arrives or humans interact with the system Medication: metformin Conditions: chronic kidney disease, diabetes type 2 Patient: Laurie contraindicated ! Cognitive AI
  • 37. IBM Research • Explainable and trustable AI – Intelligible systems: systems that explain themselves (clinician and computer science barrier) – Present enough evidence to built trust in the AI – Advice to experts vs. patients • Active Learning: in response to users interactions or actions to evolve knowledge – Leverage user explicit and implicit feedback – KA with open and domain independent dialog systems has been a longstanding goal of AI – without a fixed ontology or domain model that predetermines what users can say What’s next? Vanessa Lopez LD4IE– ISWC 2017 Which patients have a thyroid disorder and have not had their TSH tested in the past 1 year? Is TSH use to detect thyroid disorder?
  • 39. IBM Research Other AI research projects • Deep analysis of behavioral literature and policies in to extract relevant information: Entities in context (relations) Human Behavior Change Project: aims to build an AI system to scan the literature on behavior change, extract key info, and build a model of human behavior to answer : ‘What interventions work, how well, for whom, in what setting, for what behaviors and why?’ http://www.ucl.ac.uk/human-behaviour-change Program Integrity: to understand unstructured policies and built rules to help a policy investigator detect uncompliant claims by providers (Fraud Waste and Abuse)
  • 40. IBM Research Thank you! The truth is Rarely Pure and Never Simple Oscar Wilde