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Malaysia
focus on
Opportunities in
Renewable Energy



Klaus Kretzschmar
GBP International, Malaysia
www.gbp-international.com
Malaysia at a glance
Popula'on:	
  
29	
  million	
  
	
  
System	
  of	
  Government:	
  
Parliamentary	
  Democracy	
  
with	
  a	
  cons4tu4onal	
  
Monarch	
  
	
  
Major	
  Languages:	
  	
  
English,	
  Bahasa	
  Malaysia,	
  
Mandarin,	
  Tamil	
  
	
  
GDP	
  growth:	
  
~	
  6%	
  
	
  
Per	
  capita	
  income:	
  
~	
  6,000	
  €	
  
	
  
Adult	
  Literacy:	
  
>94%	
  
	
  
Higher	
  Educa'on	
  and	
  
Research:	
  
38	
  Universi4es	
  and	
  500	
  
colleges,	
  polytechnics	
  and	
  
industrial	
  training	
  ins4tutes	
  
	
  
Labour	
  Force:	
  
                                                                 2
~	
  11	
  million	
  
Malaysia at a glance




                       3
Investor Confidence Index
	
  
•      Investor confidence moved up in 2012

	
  




                                              4	
  
12 National Key Economic Areas
	
  
•      Malaysia will leverage its competitive advantages by prioritizing investment
       and policy support behind a limited number of key growth engines.

	
  




                                                                                      5
Focus on Renewable Energy

	
  
•      Economic growth requires sufficient energy sources.
•      Malaysia has far-sighted policies concerning renewable energy sources.




                                                                                6	
  
Why Renewable Energy in Malaysia?


•    It is unlikely that domestic oil and gas production will grow substantially
     beyond current levels, as the oil and gas discoveries from the mature basins
     are, on average, smaller than in the past.
•    Oil and gas production in Malaysia is likely to decline by 1 to 2% per year on
     average in the coming decade.
•    Malaysia is going to need more energy as the economy continues to grow:
     6 GW of new generation capacity is expected to be needed by 2020.
•    The power sector faces a major challenge as declining gas production will
     have an impact on the power generation industry. Currently, 58% of power
     generation in Malaysia is based on natural gas, with the remainder coming
     from coal (37%) and hydro (5%).
•    Malaysia is among the countries with the fasted growing carbon emissions!




                                                                                  7	
  
Malaysian National RE Policy

        •       The Malaysian Government has put a legal framework in place and
                formulated clear initiatives regarding Renewable Energy.


                                   Strategic	
  Thrust	
  2:	
  Provide	
           Strategic	
  Thrust	
  3:	
  
                                       Conducive	
  Business	
                   Intensify	
  Human	
  Capital	
  
GOVERNMENT	
  OF	
  MALAYSIA	
  
                                       Environment	
  for	
  RE                       Development

                                                                Strategic	
  Thrust	
  1:	
  
                                                               Introduce	
  Legal	
  and	
  
                                                              Regulatory	
  Framework	
  

                                   Strategic	
  Thrust	
  5:	
  Create	
  
                                                                                   Strategic	
  Thrust	
  4:	
  
                                    Public	
  Awareness	
  &	
  RE	
  
                                                                                Enhance	
  RE	
  Research	
  and	
  
                                        Policy	
  Advocacy	
  
                                                                                     Development
                                         Programmes

                                                                                                                       8	
  
Target: 5.5% renewable energy by 2015




                                        9	
  
Outlook for Renewable Energy




                               10	
  
RE sectors in Malaysia

•    5 RE sectors offer attractive opportunities. Wind power is not an option.




                                                                                 11	
  
RE sectors with the most opportunities

•    An overview of the RE sectors with the most opportunities for European
     companies




                                                                              12	
  
Photovoltaic systems will present the largest opportunities

•    Malaysia still lags far behind in terms of FiT-share of renewable energies
     and photovoltaic


                                                     FiT-Share of renewable energies
                                                     and photovoltaic in energy
                                                     portfolio (2010) >10%
                 	
  
                 	
  
                 	
  


                                                     Share of RE (2010) <1%
                                                     Share of PV (2010) = 0.00004%
                                                     To be increased through
                                                     introduction of FiT.




                                                                                       13	
  
RE sector development in comparison

•    PV will see a steady increase and be the most relevant form of renewable
     energy after 2030.




                                                                                14	
  
Cumulative Renewable Energy Generation

•    Up to 2020 all RE sectors present opportunities for companies in this field.
     Thereafter PV is the growth engine.

                                                                                                     Cum	
  Total	
  
                                                     Cum	
  Mini-­‐   Cum	
  Solar	
  
              Cum	
  Biomass	
     Cum	
  Biogas	
                                       Cum	
  SW   RE,	
  Grid-­‐
       Year                                          Hydro            PV
              (MW)                   (MW)                                                (MW)        Connected
                                                     (MW)             (MW)
                                                                                                     (MW)
       2011          110                20                  60                9               20           219
       2015          330               100                 290               65              200           985
       2020          800               240                 490              190              360          2,080
       2025        1,190               350                 490              455              380          2,865
       2030        1,340               410                 490             1,370             390          4,000
       2035        1,340               410                 490             3,700             400          6,340
       2040        1,340               410                 490             7,450             410         10,100
       2045        1,340               410                 490            12,450             420         15,110
       2050        1,340               410                 490            18,700             430         21,370

                                                                                                                        15	
  
Critical issue: Feed-in-Tariff terms

•    The initial terms for FiT in Malaysia are not deemed to be attractive enough.
     Time will change that.

        Technology / Source        FiT      Range of FiT Rates   Annual Degression
                                 Duration       (RM/kWh)

      Biomass (palm oil waste,
           agro based)             16           0.27 – 0.35            0.5%
       Biogas (palm oil waste,
        agro based, farming)       16           0.28 – 0.35            0.5%

             Mini Hydro            21           0.23 – 0.24             0%

           Solar PV & PP           21           0.85 – 1.78             8%

       Solid waste & Sewage        16           0.37 – 0.45            1.8%



                                                                                     16	
  
Summary

•    Malaysia recognizes the need for increased RE.
•    Legal framework and financial support is available.
•    European companies will find ample opportunities in all RE sectors,
     especially photovoltaic.
•    Malaysia furthermore offers opportunities in all industrial and service
     sectors.

Please contact us to explore growth possibilities for your
business:

•    Klaus Kretzschmar, GBP International,
     Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
•    kk@gbp-international.com


                                                                               17	
  
GBP	
  Interna4onal	
  -­‐	
  Rooted	
  in	
  Europe	
  and	
  Asia	
  
	
  




       GBP International
       UOA Centre 19-9-6                                            GBP International
                                                                    Moosdorfstr. 7-9
       19 Jalan Pinang
                                                                    D-12435 Berlin
       50450 Kuala Lumpur
                                                                    Germany
       Malaysia
                                                           18	
     Phone: +49 30 93624739
       Phone: +60 3 2162 8545

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Malaysia - Renewable Energy: Sexy or Dull?

  • 1. Malaysia focus on Opportunities in Renewable Energy Klaus Kretzschmar GBP International, Malaysia www.gbp-international.com
  • 2. Malaysia at a glance Popula'on:   29  million     System  of  Government:   Parliamentary  Democracy   with  a  cons4tu4onal   Monarch     Major  Languages:     English,  Bahasa  Malaysia,   Mandarin,  Tamil     GDP  growth:   ~  6%     Per  capita  income:   ~  6,000  €     Adult  Literacy:   >94%     Higher  Educa'on  and   Research:   38  Universi4es  and  500   colleges,  polytechnics  and   industrial  training  ins4tutes     Labour  Force:   2 ~  11  million  
  • 3. Malaysia at a glance 3
  • 4. Investor Confidence Index   •  Investor confidence moved up in 2012   4  
  • 5. 12 National Key Economic Areas   •  Malaysia will leverage its competitive advantages by prioritizing investment and policy support behind a limited number of key growth engines.   5
  • 6. Focus on Renewable Energy   •  Economic growth requires sufficient energy sources. •  Malaysia has far-sighted policies concerning renewable energy sources. 6  
  • 7. Why Renewable Energy in Malaysia? •  It is unlikely that domestic oil and gas production will grow substantially beyond current levels, as the oil and gas discoveries from the mature basins are, on average, smaller than in the past. •  Oil and gas production in Malaysia is likely to decline by 1 to 2% per year on average in the coming decade. •  Malaysia is going to need more energy as the economy continues to grow: 6 GW of new generation capacity is expected to be needed by 2020. •  The power sector faces a major challenge as declining gas production will have an impact on the power generation industry. Currently, 58% of power generation in Malaysia is based on natural gas, with the remainder coming from coal (37%) and hydro (5%). •  Malaysia is among the countries with the fasted growing carbon emissions! 7  
  • 8. Malaysian National RE Policy •  The Malaysian Government has put a legal framework in place and formulated clear initiatives regarding Renewable Energy. Strategic  Thrust  2:  Provide   Strategic  Thrust  3:   Conducive  Business   Intensify  Human  Capital   GOVERNMENT  OF  MALAYSIA   Environment  for  RE Development Strategic  Thrust  1:   Introduce  Legal  and   Regulatory  Framework   Strategic  Thrust  5:  Create   Strategic  Thrust  4:   Public  Awareness  &  RE   Enhance  RE  Research  and   Policy  Advocacy   Development Programmes 8  
  • 9. Target: 5.5% renewable energy by 2015 9  
  • 10. Outlook for Renewable Energy 10  
  • 11. RE sectors in Malaysia •  5 RE sectors offer attractive opportunities. Wind power is not an option. 11  
  • 12. RE sectors with the most opportunities •  An overview of the RE sectors with the most opportunities for European companies 12  
  • 13. Photovoltaic systems will present the largest opportunities •  Malaysia still lags far behind in terms of FiT-share of renewable energies and photovoltaic FiT-Share of renewable energies and photovoltaic in energy portfolio (2010) >10%       Share of RE (2010) <1% Share of PV (2010) = 0.00004% To be increased through introduction of FiT. 13  
  • 14. RE sector development in comparison •  PV will see a steady increase and be the most relevant form of renewable energy after 2030. 14  
  • 15. Cumulative Renewable Energy Generation •  Up to 2020 all RE sectors present opportunities for companies in this field. Thereafter PV is the growth engine. Cum  Total   Cum  Mini-­‐ Cum  Solar   Cum  Biomass   Cum  Biogas   Cum  SW RE,  Grid-­‐ Year Hydro PV (MW) (MW) (MW) Connected (MW) (MW) (MW) 2011 110 20 60 9 20 219 2015 330 100 290 65 200 985 2020 800 240 490 190 360 2,080 2025 1,190 350 490 455 380 2,865 2030 1,340 410 490 1,370 390 4,000 2035 1,340 410 490 3,700 400 6,340 2040 1,340 410 490 7,450 410 10,100 2045 1,340 410 490 12,450 420 15,110 2050 1,340 410 490 18,700 430 21,370 15  
  • 16. Critical issue: Feed-in-Tariff terms •  The initial terms for FiT in Malaysia are not deemed to be attractive enough. Time will change that. Technology / Source FiT Range of FiT Rates Annual Degression Duration (RM/kWh) Biomass (palm oil waste, agro based) 16 0.27 – 0.35 0.5% Biogas (palm oil waste, agro based, farming) 16 0.28 – 0.35 0.5% Mini Hydro 21 0.23 – 0.24 0% Solar PV & PP 21 0.85 – 1.78 8% Solid waste & Sewage 16 0.37 – 0.45 1.8% 16  
  • 17. Summary •  Malaysia recognizes the need for increased RE. •  Legal framework and financial support is available. •  European companies will find ample opportunities in all RE sectors, especially photovoltaic. •  Malaysia furthermore offers opportunities in all industrial and service sectors. Please contact us to explore growth possibilities for your business: •  Klaus Kretzschmar, GBP International, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia •  kk@gbp-international.com 17  
  • 18. GBP  Interna4onal  -­‐  Rooted  in  Europe  and  Asia     GBP International UOA Centre 19-9-6 GBP International Moosdorfstr. 7-9 19 Jalan Pinang D-12435 Berlin 50450 Kuala Lumpur Germany Malaysia 18   Phone: +49 30 93624739 Phone: +60 3 2162 8545