Contenu connexe
Similaire à Growth of advanced packaging - What make it so special? Presentation by Rozalia Beica Yole Developpement 2015 (20)
Plus de Yole Developpement (20)
Growth of advanced packaging - What make it so special? Presentation by Rozalia Beica Yole Developpement 2015
- 1. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
1
1
YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
FROM TECHNOLOGIES TO MARKET
July 30, 2015
Rozalia Beica
Yole Developpement CTO
beica@yole.fr
COLLABORATION
INNOVATION
NEW PERSPECTIVES
The Growth of Advanced Packaging. What Makes it So Special?
- 2. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
2
2
Introduction
Presentation Outline
2
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
2
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
• Europea
n Market
Market Drivers
AP Platforms
Future Growth
Conclusions
- 3. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
3 3
YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
Introduction
YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
FROM TECHNOLOGIES TO MARKET
Founded in 1998 in Lyon, France
Introduction
- 4. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
4 4
Yole – A Group of Companies
The company is involved in the following areas:
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Finance
MEMS & Sensors Microfluidics & Bio Tech
Photovoltaics LED & Compound Semi Materials
Advanced Packaging
Photonics Power Electronics Equipment
Rev. Eng./Costing
Intellectual PropertyMarket, technology & strategy consulting
Manufacturing costs analysis
Reverse engineering
M&A operations
Due diligences
IP Analysis
Patent Assessment
Fundraising
Maturation of companies
IP Portfolio Management
Innovation Mgmt.
- 5. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
5 5
Yole – A Group of Companies
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Finance
MEMS & Sensors Microfluidics & Bio Tech
Photovoltaics LED & Compound Semi Materials
Advanced Packaging
Photonics Power Electronics Equipment
Rev. Eng./Costing
Intellectual PropertyMarket, technology & strategy consulting
Manufacturing costs analysis
Reverse engineering
M&A operations
Due diligences
IP Analysis
Patent Assessment
Fundraising
Maturation of companies
IP Portfolio Management
With Global Presence
30 full time global analysts with technical, marketing and management background
> 3500 interviews per year
Yole Inc.
30% 40%
30%
Yole Korea
Yole KK Japan
Yole Europe
- 6. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
6 6
Providing:
market analysis
technology evaluation
strategic analysis
business plan
finance
….
Consultancy
across multiple
fields
and entire value
chain
Serving the Entire Value Chain across Multiple Fields
Non-exhaustive list of clients
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Transportation
makers
Mobile &
consumer
electronics
Automotive Medical
systems
Industrial &
defense
Energy
From A to Z…
- 7. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
7 7
Providing:
market analysis
technology evaluation
strategic analysis
business plan
finance
….
Consultancy
across multiple
fields
and entire value
chain
Serving the Entire Value Chain across Multiple Fields
Non-exhaustive list of clients
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Integrators
and end-
users
Device
makers
OSAT,
foundries…
R&D centers
Financial
Investores
etc.
Suppliers:
Equipment &
Materials
- 8. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
8
8
Market Trends
and Drivers
YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
FROM TECHNOLOGIES TO MARKET
- 9. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
9
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
9
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Computing Trends
Increased integration: higher performance and increased functionality, smaller form factor, lower
power consumption, lower cost
Miniaturization
Functionality
Mobility
- 10. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
10
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
10
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/about-mobility
The Driving Forces are Changing
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Driver
Mainframe
computers
Fixed personal
computer
Mobile
Consumer
Internet of
Things and the
Cloud
Key success
Parameters
1. Performance
2. Cost
1. Cost
2. Performance
1. Cost
2. Power
3. Performance
4. Size
1. Cost
2. Power
3. Latency
4. Bandwidth
density
5. Size
Adapted after Bottoms – ECS 2014, Orlando
Time
Wired Wireless
- 11. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
11
11
Advanced Packaging
Platforms and Growth
YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
FROM TECHNOLOGIES TO MARKET
- 12. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
12
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
12
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Silicon / Interconnection trend
500
020406080100
Number
I/O per cm²
20.000
10.000
1500
CMOS90 CMOS45
CMOS28
CMOS16
CMOS65
FinFET
Technology Node
CMOS [nm]
Scaling of Transistor
Nodes => I/Os Density
Increase
- 13. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
13
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
13
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Microelectronics Packaging Evolution
Surface Mount
Ball grid arrays
SiPs
WLCSP
FC BGA
PoP
More SiPs
WLCSP
Flip-Chip
Fan-Out
Interposers
3DIC
SiP
1980
TechnologyIntroduction
GapFeaturesSivsPCB
Through hole
Mature
1970 1990 2000 2010
DIP, PGA
SOP, QFP, PLCC CSPs/BGAs
Today
Established Emerging
Feature sizes CMOS
Bridging the Gap Between Si and PCB Processing Capabilities
Feature sizes of PCBs
- 14. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
14
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
14
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Microelectronics Packaging Evolution
Surface Mount
Ball grid arrays
SiPs
WLCSP
FC BGA
PoP
More SiPs
WLCSP
Flip-Chip
Fan-Out
Interposers
3DIC
SiP
1980
TechnologyIntroduction
GapFeaturesSivsPCB
Through hole
Mature
1970 1990 2000 2010
DIP, PGA
SOP, QFP, PLCC CSPs/BGAs
Today
Established Emerging
Feature sizes CMOS
Bridging the Gap Between Si and PCB Processing Capabilities
Feature sizes of PCBs
Mobile:
High-end Multimedia
Smart-phones / PMP
High-density
Solid State
Storage & µ-Cards
Computing: Notebooks / MID
‘connectivity’ devices
Consumer:
Gaming / Graphic
application engines
Industrial: HPC/
Network,
Servers
Consumer: High-performance
Digital Video
Wireless:
Connectivity /
Network Center
Medical Military & AerospaceTransportation:
Automotive,
Trains,
HEV/EV
Renewable Energy:
Photovoltains, Wind
Turbines…
Telecom: Power
Supplies…
Industrial
….across several markets
- 15. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
15
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
15
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Trends in Semiconductor Packages
To meet the ever-increasing demands for higher levels of system integration, semiconductor
packages have evolved from through-hole to surface mount types, and from peripheral-leaded to
area array formats.
Increased functionality, speed => increased I/Os
Performance:
Additionally, the growing and diversifying system requirements have continued to drive the
development of a variety of new package styles and configurations:
Small-form-factor and lightweight technology
Low-profile technology
High-pin-count technology
High-speed technology
Lower cost
Complexity:
Lead-frame based Packages Wirebonded
FCBGA
Through Silicon Via
FCCSP
PoP, PiP
3D Wirebonding ….
3D SiP
- 16. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
16
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
16
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Key Requirements for Advanced Packaging
WLP
•Lower packaging cost
•Lower test cost
I/Os density
•Lower pitches
•No standard
•Smaller dies
•Higher density
of I/Os
Integration
•IPD
•SiP
•3D
Thermal performance
•Lower power consumption
•Higher package density
Electrical
performance
•Smaller Interconnect lines
•Higher frequencies
•Higher ackage speed
•Lower parasitics
Form-factor
•Smaller thickness
•Lower footprint
• Improve chip-to-board
coupling
• New materials
• Batch processing
• Panel capability
• Lower thickness
• Multiple RDL
• Interconnect
optimization
• Smallest thickness of
the market
• Integration
capability
• Low pitch
capability
Cost
- 17. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
17
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
17
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Critical Aspects
Limitations of established technologies to further accommodate market
requirements
• Inability to achieve higher performance due to processing capabilities or high
costs
• Inability to enable higher integration (3D/SiP, multi-chip integration)
• Cost considerations
• Need for innovative solutions, materials, equipment to address these challenges
• Performance vs. cost considerations
New technologies coming to the market:
• High cost
• Lack of standardization
• Multi-sourcing is not available
• Infrastructure un-readiness
• Collaboration – sometimes between competitors
• New business models.
• …
- 18. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
18
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
18
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Advanced Packaging Platforms
Leadframes
QFN,QFP
w/o IC substrates
Fan-in Fan-out
IC substrates-based
BGA
(organic substrate)
W/B BGA Flip Chip BGA 3DIC
Interposer
based
Embedded die
(in substrate)
PCB substrate
Increased functionality, I/Os, integration complexity
Complexity:
Single die
Multiple Dies
FO MCP
Integration:2D 3D
- 19. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
19
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
19
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Current Industry Activities in Established and Emerging
Advanced Packaging Segments
Leadframes
QFN,QFP
w/o IC substrates
Fan-in Fan-out
IC substrates-based
BGA
(organic substrate)
W/B BGA Flip Chip BGA 3DIC
2.5D
Interposer
Embedded die
(in substrate)
PCB substrate
Increased functionality, I/Os, integration complexity
Complexity:
Single die
Multiple Dies
FO MCP
Integration:2D 3D
- 20. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
20
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
20
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Fan-In WLCSP – Mature Platform
Leadframes
QFN,QFP
w/o IC substrates
Fan-in Fan-out
IC substrates-based
BGA
(organic substrate)
W/B BGA Flip Chip BGA 3DIC
Interposer
based
Embedded die
(in substrate)
PCB substrate
Increased functionality, I/Os, integration complexity
Complexity:
Single die
Multiple Dies
FO MCP
Integration:2D 3D
- 21. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
21
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
21
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Fan-In WLCSP Market Drivers & Activities
Fan-in WLP maintains its appeal as the package that can provide 2 unmatchable
advantages:
• Reduced form factor
• Low cost
Demand is reaching available capacity
Technology innovation in fan-in WLP continues:
• Die size increases
• Bump pitch reduces
Foundry involvement is no longer a dent in fan-in WLP production
Increased activity of Chinese capital on the market
New applications are emerging while other are declining
• Disruptions also expected in the MEMS and CIS domains
• Internet of Things
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Fan-in WLP: Market and Industrial Trends
Mobile sector is driving fan-in WLP production and growing
IoT is on the horizon and is expected to have a significant impact on fan-in
packages and the packaging industry as a whole
Mobile
- 22. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
22
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
22
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
CPU
Drivers Devices packaged using
‘Fan-in’ WLP
Discrete passives
Devices using other packaging
technologies (not ‘Fan-in’ WLP
WLCSP ICs in Handsets
WLCSP
27%
Others
73%
WLCSP
35%
Others
65%
WLCSP
33%
Others
67%
Samsung
Galaxy S6
Huawei Ascend
Mate 7
iPhone 6+
Avg. 30% WLCSP packages in the latest high end smartphones!
- 23. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
23
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
23
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Fan-in WLP devices
Automotive radar and gas sensors are the new fan-in applications on the horizon
Analog &
mixed signal
Wireless
Connectivity
MEMS & sensorsOpto
WLCSP Device Categories
CMOS image
sensors
AL sensor
photonic
MEMS
ASIC IC
IPD (ESD/EMI
protection, RF filtering)
Inertial
(Accelerometers,
Gyroscopes, combos)
Magnetometers
Oscillators
µ-Bolometers
Chemical Sensors
(gas, humidity)
FBAR/BAW Filters
Power
Amplifiers
BAW & SAW filters
PMU
IC drivers (LED,
battery, display…)
Local Power
(DC-DC converters,
MOSFET, oscillators)
Audio & Video
(Codec, amplifiers…)
Bluetooth +
FM + WLAN
combos
(+other
combos)
WLAN
single chip
GPS, A-GPS
single chip
Misc Logic
and Memory
Logic gates
EEPROM/DRA
M/SRAM/Flash
µcontrollers
Automotive
radar
Gas sensors
RF
Transceivers
- 24. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
24
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
24
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Fan-in Market Size and Growth
Fan-in WLP services, including wafer level, die level and test services accounted
for almost 3 B$ in 2014 and are estimated to reach ~ 4.5 B$ by 2020 with a
CAGR of 8%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CAGR
FanInWLPServices($M) Fan-In Market Value ($M)
$3B
$4.5B
- 25. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
25
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
25
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Fan-in WLP Wafer Count
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 CAGR
Fan-InWaferCount(Mil.wafers)
Fan-in Market Growth by Device
Analog and Mixed Signal Wireless Connectivity Misc. Logic and memory CMOS image sensors MEMS and sensors
Yole Developpement © June 2015
- 26. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
26
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
26
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
2014 Fan-in WLP Wafer Production
• FI WLP manufacturing continue to be dominated by OSATs. Out of 10 top manufacturers,
8 are OSATs, 1 IDM (Texas Instruments) and 1 foundry (TSMC)
ASE Global
15%
Siliconware Precision
Industries Co. (SPIL)
Global
12%
STATS ChipPAC Ltd
Global
9%
Texas Instruments
8%
Amkor Global
8%
TSMC Global
8%
Deca Technologies
8%
TeraProbe
7%
NEPES
5%
Flip-Chip international
5%
STMicroelectronics
Global
3%
NXP
2%
SilTech Semiconductor
(SH) Co., Ltd. (SMIC)
2%
JCET
2%
UNISEM Global
1%
IC Interconnect
1% Rohm semiconductor
Global
1%
OptoPAC
1%
Nani
um…LB semicon
0.3%China WLCSP
0.3%
others
1%
Yole Developpement
June 2015
- 27. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
27
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
27
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Packaging Landscape
20mm²
BGA
10*10mm
2000mm²
FOOTPRINT
I/O64 144 500 1531 3000
3000mm²
1000mm²
FCBGA
55*55mm
FCBGA
40*40mm
FCBGA 31*31mm
PBGA
27*27mm
LFBGA
17*17mm
BGA
15*15mm
SO
QFP
WLCSP
25x23mm2
1188 balls
700um BGA
800 I/O
Typical 8x8mm2, extreme 10x10mm2
WLCSP Flip Chip
I/O limitation Can enable higher number of I/Os
- 28. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
28
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
28
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Bumping in 2.5D/3DIC Package
Bumps/Cu Pillars: 40-250µm
PCB
BGA
Laminate
2.5D Silicon
interposer
X-PU Logic Die
Memory stack
400-800µm
µ-Bumps: 10-40µm
µ-Bumps
20-80µm
1
2
3
BGA balls
broad range of bumps, from larger BGAs (connection to the substrate) to very small microbumps
used in stacking the memories
4
- 29. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
29
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
29
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Evolution of Flip-Chip Bumping Needs
=> Copper Pillar – continue to grow and
maintain its leading position as the most
used technology for Flip Chip bumping
Au
25%
Solder
39%
Cu
Pillar
36%
2011
Au
20%
Solder
20%
Cu
Pillar
60%
2020
Au
27%
Solder
29%
Cu
Pillar
44%
2014
Capacities(12”eq.wafers)
Yole Developpement
2012
Yole Developpement
2015
Yole Developpement
2015
- 30. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
30
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
30
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Total Flip-Chip Market Value Forecast by COO
Segment ($M)
Yole Developpement ©
February 2013
Substrate
36%
Repassivation, RDL &
bumping
17%
Assembly
15%
Wafer Probe test
16%
Final test
16%
Substrate - the most important segment impacting the flip-chip cost structure,
with more than 35% of the total market value.
- 31. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
31
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
31
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Status of Substrate Processing Capabilities
Ibiden FCCSP
140um bump pitch
15/15um L/S
4/4
L/S
8/8 10/10 12/126/62/2 ……….15/25
100µm
50µm
Bump
Pitch
150µm
Current Production
Capabilities
Bump Pitch: 130um & above
L/S
12/12 & above
Shinko (DLL)
130um bump pitch
14/14um (HVM)
In Development:
Aggressive developmental
roadmaps:
Bump pitch shrinking
L/S narrowing
• With core – substrates
• Core-less substrates
- 32. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
32
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
32
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Market Evolution
100µm 10µm 1µm 100nm 10nm
PCB Design Rule Wafer Design Rule
Organic Substrate
GAP!
Silicon/Glass Interposer
~8-> 5µm
More functionalities and advanced technologies nodes
OSAT /
Wafer foundries
Substrate
Manufacturers
High Cost
Lower cost than
Si/Glass Interposer
Opportunity for
organic interposers
and FanOut
- 33. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
33
33
Fan-Out vs. Fan-In and Flip-Chip
1 2 3 5 Package/IC
size ratio*
Fan-in WLCSP Fan-out WLCSP Flip Chip
This limit will move to higher ratios as eWLB production moves from
300mm wafers to large panels and the cost of eWLB/fan-out moves lowers.
4 6
IC
IC
IC
Advantages of Fan-Out
vs. Fan - In
• Higher board-level reliability
• Bumping is not limited to the die size, fan-out
area beyond chip area limitation
• Built-in back-side protection (protection
available for WLCSP as an option only)
• Lower thermal resistance
• Higher potential for SiP integration
vs. FCBGA
• Smaller footprint
• No substrate/interposer Shorter
interconnections
• Higher electrical performance
• lower cost
• thinner package
• Lower thermal resistance
• Higher potential for SiP and 3D integration
- 34. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
3434
Fan-Out Applications
Typical view of a smart phone board
RF
SiP
Digital
SiP
Sensor
SiP
Mixed Signal
SiP
SiP Modules:
BGA/PoP/QFN/TSOP
DC/DC
converters
Drivers IPD
ESD/EMI Stand-alone chips:
WL-CSP, SOT, QFN, UTLP, BGA
Discrete passives
Blue: Devices that can be found in FOWLP
packages today
Discrete passives
Yellow: Devices that could be found
in the future in FOWLP
Grey: Devices that will likelyremain on WLCSP or
flip-chip package or move to 3DIC or Embedded
die
TODAY TOMORROW
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sumitomo Bakelite Workshop
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Yole Developpement
2015
- 35. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
35
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
35
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
First Fan-out WLP Technologies Developed
eWLB has the advantage of easier process,
especially thanks to better carrier and
molding technology selection
• Licensed to Statschippac, Nanium, ASE
RCP seems to have better performance in die
shift but despite that does not have much
success in the market
• Licensed to Nepes
Main differences in the two processes: RCP
uses a non compressed encapsulant and have
additional copper plans that helps limiting the
die shift during wafer molding and provides
electromagnetic shielding and more rigidity to
the package (but costs more!)
eWLB vs RCP
eWLB
RCP
- 36. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
36
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
36
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
New Fan-Out Technology
Other manufacturers have entered the market more recently with their own developed technology:
Deca Technologies
• Using an adaptive patterning technology to address die shift problems
SPIL
• TPI FO (through package interconnect fan-out)
• Targeting mid to high-end – 5/5 -> 2.2um L/S
Amkor
• Started originally on 200mm and transitioned to 300mm
• Developed SWIFT and SLIM technologies
• Using chip-last fan-out approach (eliminating die-issue problems)
• Targeting mid to high-end: 8/8-> 2/2um L/S (SWIFT) and < 2/2um L/S with SLIM
ASE
• Utilizes a Low Cost FC Coreless Substrate with embedded traces and pads, fine pitch capable
• Panel manufacturing already available in house (flip chip lines)
• Low profile packages – as low as 375um
TSMC
• TSMC claims its inFO to be a significantly thinner package than what is available on the market and a
much tighter RDL pitch (i.e 5/5um L/S is available and 2/2um is announced for 2015)
- 37. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
37
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
37
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
FOWLP 2014 Revenues Market Share
2014 FOWLP market status shows a domination of two players
59%25%
16%
Main products:
- eWLB single die packages for Mobile and
Wireless BB and Wireless SoC, RF, PMIC
- MCP/SiP products for Mobile (PMU), Industrial,
Medical and Security applications
eWLB products mainly for
- Mobile and Wireless
BB and Wireless SoC
- RF Transceivers
- ASIC
Others
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sumitomo Bakelite Workshop
- 38. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
38
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
38
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
FOWLP Activity Market Forecast
$0M
$100M
$200M
$300M
$400M
$500M
$600M
$700M
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
FOWLP activity revenues (M$)
Overall evolution since eWLB technology introduction
TOT FOWLP (M$)
Yole Developpement © 2015
CAGR ~ 10%
Intel Mobile/
Inifneon eWLB-driven
Transition phase
Ramp-up with fab-less wireless IC
players, wide FOWLP
infrastructure/supply-chain and 2nd
generation of FOWLP products
CAGR ~ 10%
- 39. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
39
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
39
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
650x830mm – Gen 4 LCD
650x650mm – WLP/LCD/PCB
2009 - 2014 2015 2016 2017 > 20182018
450mm
FOWLP 1st-gen - single die
• BB SoC
• RF Transceiver
• ASIC
• PMIC
High yield
Semiconductor WLP
infrastructure
Fusion
WLP/PCB/LCD
infrastructures
204x508mm (8”x20” ) - Semi/PCB laminate
substrate
500x650mm – PCB laminate
470x370mm – LCD Gen 2
FOWLP 2nd-gen - MCP/SiP/PoP
• DRAM memory
• NAND Flash memory
• APE/BB modem
• RF Tx, RF connectivity
• PMU/PMIC
• GPS
• MOEMS
330mm
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sumitomo Bakelite Workshop
Fan-out Cost and Infrastructure Evolution
- 40. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
40
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
40
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Drivers and Trends for 2.5D & 3DIC
Evolution
or Revolution?
3DIC / 3D SoC
“De-integrated & Re-integrated SOC”
2D SOC
“All-in-One chip system integration”
All functions on 28nm lithography
Chip area ↑, Cost ↑
MEMS 130 nm 200 mm
Memory 45 nm 300 mm
Logic 20 nm 450 mm
Analog 90 nm 300 mm
3D enables integration of
heterogeneous functions:
• On different lithography nodes
• On different wafer sizes
• In different wafer fabs
• By different players
Cost ↓, Performance ↑, Size ↓Market Drivers
- 41. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
41
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
41
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Photonics
Others
(Power,
LED, RF…)
Memory
TSV in a nutshell
Through
Silicon
Via
TSV
MEMS
Logic
CMOS
Image
Sensors
- 42. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
42
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
42
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
CMOS Image Sensor Evolution
FSI BSI 3D Stacked BSI
20122008
TSV Hole to replace shell
case approach
Wafer Level Packaging
Interconnection
Trench TSV
BEOL Interconnection
TSV BEOL and DSP
Interconnection
« Real 3D »
TSVCross-sectionSEMTSVNeedsIntegrationScheme
- 43. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
43
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
43
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
CMOS Image Sensors
Phone Ref. (Year)
CIS
Manufacturer
Resolution/
Techno
Pixel size
Pixel Array
Area
CIS Area
Dies per wafer
(12-inch)
Motorola Razor (2011) Omnivision 8Mp/BSI 1.4µm 16mm² 43mm² 1,500
Apple iPhone 4S (2011) Sony 8Mp/BSI 1.4µm 16mm² 35.4mm² 1,816
Samsung Galaxy SII (2011) Samsung 8Mp/BSI 1.4µm 16mm² 34.2mm² 1,884
Apple iPhone 5S (2013) Sony 8Mp/BSI 1.5µm 18mm² 28.5mm² 2,268
Courtesy System Plus Consulting
~50% ~60% ~60% ~90%
Increase of pixel area
- 44. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
44
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
44
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Package Size Comparison
3-Axis Accelerometer
Surface: SST= 4mm²
Package thickness: TST= 1mm
Surface: SmCube= 4mm²
Package thickness: TmCube= 0.9mm
Surface: SBosch= 1.8mm²
Package thickness: TBosch= 0.8mm
Bosch achieved 55% in package reduction and has the thinner package (0.8mm)
SST = SmCube > SBosch
TST > TmCube > TBosch
Thinner and smaller packages
- 45. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
45
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
45
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
2.5/3DIC Commercial announcements!
2015 Key turning year for 3D TSV technology
2014
2011
2015
2017
2016
Nvidia Pascal
Graphics Module
EX-800
Blade Server using HMC
New second generation
Xenon Phi processor
“Knights Landing” using HMC
Next Generation PRIMEHPC
POST FX10
CPU memory board using HMC
DDR4 3D
Dual Inline Memory Modules
(RDIMMs)
First Heterogeneous
3D FPGA
Virtex-7 H580T
AMD R9 390X
Graphics product with HBM built with
20nm technology
What
else?
- 46. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
46
From TECHNOLOGIES to MARKET
Copyright @ Yole Developpement SA.. All rights reserved
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
46
Y
O
L
E
D
E
V
E
L
O
P
P
E
M
E
N
T
Conclusion
All the packaging platforms will continue to grow, Fan-out and 3DIC being the ones
expected to have the highest growth rate
Fan-in – stable growth, still driven by low cost and introduction of new consumer
applications requiring low cost and pin count
Flip-chip – will continue to grow, but expected to loose overall market share to
platforms such as WLCSP, Fan-Out and 3DIC. Cu Pillar will continue to be the
dominant flip chip metallurgy
Fan-Out – very promising platforms already established in production. Currently
using wafer infrastructure, may move to panel manufacturing in the future
2.5D & 3DIC – finally in production and adoption expected to grow. Fan-out could
be a disruptive technology for consumer applications and less performing needs
OSATs will continue to be a dominant players in Packaging, however, foundries are
entering this market and could take market share away from OSATs and IDMs
- 47. Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
47
47
Thank you!
YOLE DEVELOPPEMENT
COLLABORATION
INNOVATION
NEW PERSPECTIVES
For additional information visit our websites:
www.yole.fr & www.i-micronews.com
Online free registration to YOLE publications
For additional information please contact Rozalia Beica at beica@yole.fr