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Demography
                            by
                    Dr Sajid Hameed
Course Objectives
1.Define different tools of demography and vital
statistics
2.Name major sources of data
3.Describe the Demographic transition
4.Interpret and compute different mortality,fertility
and morbidity related measures
5.Describe factors that effect on mortality and
fertility
6.Impact of population growth
Demography
• Demo (People) + Graphien (write)
• The quantitative study of Characteristics of
  human population
                  1. Size
                  2.Age and Sex distribution
                  3.Density
                  4.Growth
                  5.Vital statistic
Calculation of TFR
• Divide the population of women of
  childbearing age(15 to 45 or 49 years)
• Record the total number of women in each
  age group (a)
• Record the total number of live births in
  each age group (b)
• Divide (b) by (a) to get ASFR
• TFR=Sum of all age groups ASFR X 5
Summary Implications
•    Shortage of :-           •    Increase In :-
1.   Educational facilities   1.   Unemployment
2.   Health Services          2.   Land Fragmentation
3.   Housing Units            3.   Food Imports
4.   Food                     4.   Environmental
5.   Living Space                  Pollution
6.   Clean water              5.   Overcrowding
                              6.   Katchi Abadis
                              7.   Poverty
                              8.   Unrest & Crime
Sources of Population Data
•    Vital registration
1.   Births
2.   Deaths
3.   Marriages
4.   Population registers
5.   Service statistics
6.   International; migration statistics
•    NADRA
•    Demographic Sample Surveys
•    Population & Housing Censes
Population Doubling Time

• How long a population would take at its
  current Growth Rate to double in size?

                                  70
• Doubling Time in Years = ------------------
                             Gr. Rate in %
• e.g if Gr.Rate= 2% then population
  doubling time = 70/2 =35 Years
Population Pyramid
• A graphical representation designed to
  give a picture of the Age & Sex Structure
  of a population
• Salient features of a population pyramid
Population Equation


•   Pn = Po + B - D+ I – E
•   Pn = Population at time n
•   Po = Population at previous time
•   B = All Births
•   D = All Deaths
•   I = Immigration
•   E = Emigration
What does immediately comes to the mind
          when we think of population?
•    People:                 •    Characteristics of
1.   Size                         population:
                             1.   Ethnic
2.   Age
                             2.   Marital
3.   Sex
                             3.   Economic
4.   Regional Distribution   4.   Educational
5.   Change                  5.   Residential
6.   Population trends       6.   Religion
                             7.   Language
Factors Affecting Fertility
•   Age at marriage & duration of married life.
•   Family planning & Child spacing
•   Education
•   Economic Status
•   Cast & Religion
•   Nutrition
•   Other factors( Physical,Biological,Socio-
    cultural).
Why we should study demography?

•   Food Security
•   Pollution
•   Inflation
•   Income
•   Energy
•   Unemployment
•   Literacy
•   Individual freedom
Tools of Demography
•   Counts
•   Rates
•   Ratios
•   Proportions
Demographic Processes
•   Fertility
•   Mortality
•   Marriage
•   Migration
•   Social Mobility
Population Momentum

• The tendency of a population to continue
  to grow after replacement level fertility has
  been achieved
Important Definitions
• Demography            • Population growth
• Population change       rate
• Sources of            • Population doubling
  demographic data        time
• Age-sex composition   • Population doubling
                          time
• Fertility
                        • Population pyramid
• Mortality
                        • Replacement level
• Net-Migration           fertility
• Urbanization          • Momentum of
                          population
Basic Fertility Measures

•   Crude birth rate (CBR)
•   General fertility rate (GFR)
•   Age-specific fertility rate (ASFR)
•   Total fertility rate (TFR)
•   Gross reproductive rate (GRR)
•   Net reproductive rate (NRR)
•   General marital fertility rate (GMFR)
Reasons for high mortality

• Acute and chronic food shortages
• Epidemic diseases
• Poor public health conditions
Causes Of Rapid Mortality Decline
•   Increased agriculture production
•   Industrialization
•   Improved transportation
•   Specific reforms
•   Control of temperature and humidity
•   Public sanitation
•   Improved personal hygiene
•   Immunology
Mortality
•   Crude death rate (CDR)
•   Age specific death rate (ASDR)
•   Infant mortality rate (IMR)
•   Early neonatal M.R
•   Late neonatal M.R
•   Post neonatal M.R
•   Perinatal mortality rate
•   Maternal mortality ratio (MMR)
Demographic transition
• High Stationary    • Late expanding
• Early expanding    • Low stationary
                     • Declining
THE COMMUNICATION
              PROCESS


SENDER         MESSAIGE          CHANNEL    RECEIVER

 (SOURCE)      (CONTENT)         (MEDIUM)   (AUDIENCE)


                     FEED BACK



         AWARENESS
         INTEREST
         EVALUATION
         ADOPTION (behaviour change)
TYPES OF COMMUNICATION
•   One way communication
•   Two way communication
•   Verbal communication
•   Non verbal communication
•   Formal and informal communication
•   Visual communication
•   Telecommunication and internet
BARRIERS OF COMMUNICATION

•   Physiological
•   Psychological
•   Environmental
•   Cultural
HEALTH EDUCATION
• DEFINITION:-
  – A process aimed at encouraging people to
    want to be healthy, to know how to stay
    healthy, to do what they can individually and
    collectively to maintain health, and to seek
    help when needed.
AIMS / OBJECTIVES
• To encourage people to adopt and sustain
  health promoting lifestyle and practices.
• To promote the proper use of health services
  available to them
• To arouse interest provide new knowledge.
  Improve skills and change attitudes in making
  rational decisions to solve their own problems.
• To stimulate individual and community self –
  reliance and individual and community
  involvement at every step from identifying
  problems to solving them.
APPROACH TO HEALTH
          EDUCATION
• Regulatory approach (managed prevention)
• Service approach
• Health education approach
• Primary health care approach
HEALTH EDUCATION AND PROPAGANDA

            EDUCATION                 PROPAGANDA OR PUBLICITY
Knowledge and skills actively       Knowledge instilled in the minds of
acquired                            people
Makes people think for themselves   Prevents or discourages thinking by
                                    readymade slogans
Disciplines primitive desires       Arouses and stimulates primitive
                                    desires
HEALTH EDUCATION AND
             PROPAGANDA (contd)
Develops reflective behaviour.     Develops reflexive behaviour:
Trains people to use judgments     aims at impulsive actions
before acting
Appeals to reason                  Appeals to emotion
Knowledge acquired through self – Knowledge is spoon-fed and
reliant activity                  passively received
The process is behaviour centered The process is information centred
– aims at developing favourabel   – no change of attitude or ehaviour
attitudes, habits skills          designed
CONTENTS OF HEALTH
             EDUCATION
•   Human biology
•   Nutrition
•   Hygiene
•   Family health
•   Disease prevention and control
•   Mental health
•   Prevention of accidents
•   Use of health services
PRINCIPLES OF HEALTH
             EDUCATION
•   Credibility
•   Interest
•   Participation
•   Motivation
•   Comprehension
•   Reinforcement
•   Learning by doing
•   Known to unknown
•   Setting on example
•   Good human relations
•   Feedback
•   Leaders
HEALTH COMMUNICATION
Individual approach     Group approach           Mass approach

    Personal contact   Lectures                   Televisions
    Home visits        Demonstrations             Radio
    Personal letters   Discussion methods         News paper
                              Group discussion    Printed material


                              Panel discussion    Direct mailing
                              Symposium           Posters
                              Workshop            Health museums
                                                  and exhibitions
                              Conferences         Folk methods
                              Seminars            Internet
                              Role play

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Lectures on demo

  • 1.
  • 2. Demography by Dr Sajid Hameed Course Objectives 1.Define different tools of demography and vital statistics 2.Name major sources of data 3.Describe the Demographic transition 4.Interpret and compute different mortality,fertility and morbidity related measures 5.Describe factors that effect on mortality and fertility 6.Impact of population growth
  • 3. Demography • Demo (People) + Graphien (write) • The quantitative study of Characteristics of human population 1. Size 2.Age and Sex distribution 3.Density 4.Growth 5.Vital statistic
  • 4. Calculation of TFR • Divide the population of women of childbearing age(15 to 45 or 49 years) • Record the total number of women in each age group (a) • Record the total number of live births in each age group (b) • Divide (b) by (a) to get ASFR • TFR=Sum of all age groups ASFR X 5
  • 5. Summary Implications • Shortage of :- • Increase In :- 1. Educational facilities 1. Unemployment 2. Health Services 2. Land Fragmentation 3. Housing Units 3. Food Imports 4. Food 4. Environmental 5. Living Space Pollution 6. Clean water 5. Overcrowding 6. Katchi Abadis 7. Poverty 8. Unrest & Crime
  • 6. Sources of Population Data • Vital registration 1. Births 2. Deaths 3. Marriages 4. Population registers 5. Service statistics 6. International; migration statistics • NADRA • Demographic Sample Surveys • Population & Housing Censes
  • 7. Population Doubling Time • How long a population would take at its current Growth Rate to double in size? 70 • Doubling Time in Years = ------------------ Gr. Rate in % • e.g if Gr.Rate= 2% then population doubling time = 70/2 =35 Years
  • 8. Population Pyramid • A graphical representation designed to give a picture of the Age & Sex Structure of a population • Salient features of a population pyramid
  • 9. Population Equation • Pn = Po + B - D+ I – E • Pn = Population at time n • Po = Population at previous time • B = All Births • D = All Deaths • I = Immigration • E = Emigration
  • 10.
  • 11. What does immediately comes to the mind when we think of population? • People: • Characteristics of 1. Size population: 1. Ethnic 2. Age 2. Marital 3. Sex 3. Economic 4. Regional Distribution 4. Educational 5. Change 5. Residential 6. Population trends 6. Religion 7. Language
  • 12. Factors Affecting Fertility • Age at marriage & duration of married life. • Family planning & Child spacing • Education • Economic Status • Cast & Religion • Nutrition • Other factors( Physical,Biological,Socio- cultural).
  • 13. Why we should study demography? • Food Security • Pollution • Inflation • Income • Energy • Unemployment • Literacy • Individual freedom
  • 14. Tools of Demography • Counts • Rates • Ratios • Proportions
  • 15. Demographic Processes • Fertility • Mortality • Marriage • Migration • Social Mobility
  • 16. Population Momentum • The tendency of a population to continue to grow after replacement level fertility has been achieved
  • 17. Important Definitions • Demography • Population growth • Population change rate • Sources of • Population doubling demographic data time • Age-sex composition • Population doubling time • Fertility • Population pyramid • Mortality • Replacement level • Net-Migration fertility • Urbanization • Momentum of population
  • 18. Basic Fertility Measures • Crude birth rate (CBR) • General fertility rate (GFR) • Age-specific fertility rate (ASFR) • Total fertility rate (TFR) • Gross reproductive rate (GRR) • Net reproductive rate (NRR) • General marital fertility rate (GMFR)
  • 19. Reasons for high mortality • Acute and chronic food shortages • Epidemic diseases • Poor public health conditions
  • 20. Causes Of Rapid Mortality Decline • Increased agriculture production • Industrialization • Improved transportation • Specific reforms • Control of temperature and humidity • Public sanitation • Improved personal hygiene • Immunology
  • 21. Mortality • Crude death rate (CDR) • Age specific death rate (ASDR) • Infant mortality rate (IMR) • Early neonatal M.R • Late neonatal M.R • Post neonatal M.R • Perinatal mortality rate • Maternal mortality ratio (MMR)
  • 22. Demographic transition • High Stationary • Late expanding • Early expanding • Low stationary • Declining
  • 23. THE COMMUNICATION PROCESS SENDER MESSAIGE CHANNEL RECEIVER (SOURCE) (CONTENT) (MEDIUM) (AUDIENCE) FEED BACK AWARENESS INTEREST EVALUATION ADOPTION (behaviour change)
  • 24. TYPES OF COMMUNICATION • One way communication • Two way communication • Verbal communication • Non verbal communication • Formal and informal communication • Visual communication • Telecommunication and internet
  • 25. BARRIERS OF COMMUNICATION • Physiological • Psychological • Environmental • Cultural
  • 26. HEALTH EDUCATION • DEFINITION:- – A process aimed at encouraging people to want to be healthy, to know how to stay healthy, to do what they can individually and collectively to maintain health, and to seek help when needed.
  • 27. AIMS / OBJECTIVES • To encourage people to adopt and sustain health promoting lifestyle and practices. • To promote the proper use of health services available to them • To arouse interest provide new knowledge. Improve skills and change attitudes in making rational decisions to solve their own problems. • To stimulate individual and community self – reliance and individual and community involvement at every step from identifying problems to solving them.
  • 28. APPROACH TO HEALTH EDUCATION • Regulatory approach (managed prevention) • Service approach • Health education approach • Primary health care approach
  • 29. HEALTH EDUCATION AND PROPAGANDA EDUCATION PROPAGANDA OR PUBLICITY Knowledge and skills actively Knowledge instilled in the minds of acquired people Makes people think for themselves Prevents or discourages thinking by readymade slogans Disciplines primitive desires Arouses and stimulates primitive desires
  • 30. HEALTH EDUCATION AND PROPAGANDA (contd) Develops reflective behaviour. Develops reflexive behaviour: Trains people to use judgments aims at impulsive actions before acting Appeals to reason Appeals to emotion Knowledge acquired through self – Knowledge is spoon-fed and reliant activity passively received The process is behaviour centered The process is information centred – aims at developing favourabel – no change of attitude or ehaviour attitudes, habits skills designed
  • 31. CONTENTS OF HEALTH EDUCATION • Human biology • Nutrition • Hygiene • Family health • Disease prevention and control • Mental health • Prevention of accidents • Use of health services
  • 32. PRINCIPLES OF HEALTH EDUCATION • Credibility • Interest • Participation • Motivation • Comprehension • Reinforcement • Learning by doing • Known to unknown • Setting on example • Good human relations • Feedback • Leaders
  • 33. HEALTH COMMUNICATION Individual approach Group approach Mass approach Personal contact Lectures Televisions Home visits Demonstrations Radio Personal letters Discussion methods News paper Group discussion Printed material Panel discussion Direct mailing Symposium Posters Workshop Health museums and exhibitions Conferences Folk methods Seminars Internet Role play