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Development of The Interagency Fuels
Treatment Decision Support System
Stacy A D
St
A. Drury, T i H F k S
Tami H. Funk, Sean M R ff
M. Raffuse
Sonoma Technology, Inc.
Petaluma, California
,
H. Michael Rauscher
Joint Fire Science Program
Technical Fire Management Course
Bothell, Washington
B th ll W hi t
October 15, 2009

909029-3710
Overview of Presentation
•
•
•
•
•

Introduction and background
State of the fuels treatment community
Workflow scenarios
W kfl
i
Proof of concept
Vision for the future

2
Introduction and Background Software
Tools and Systems (STS) Study
Fuels
Specialist
Feedback on
Workflow
Scenarios

IFT-DSS
Architecture
Design
Document

IFT-DSS
Conceptual
Design
Document

Software Engineering Institute
p
performed strategic analysis of
g
y
problem space

Feb

Mar

Apr

February 2007
Initiation of
Phase I of the
STS Study

May

Jun Jul
2007

Aug

Sep

IFT-DSS
Workflow
Scenarios
Document

Current
Practices &
Needs
Assessment

Phase I
Jan

IFT-DSS
Software
Design
Document

Software
Architecture
Study

Phase II
Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

February 2008
Conclusion of
Phase I of the
STS Study

Mar

Apr

May

Jun Jul
2008

Aug

June 2008
Initiation of
Phase II of the
STS Study

Sep

Oct

Nov

Phase IIIa

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

March 2009
Conclusion of
Phase II of the
STS Study

Apr

May Jun
2009

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

May 2009
Initiation of
Phase IIIa of the
STS Study
3
State of the Fuels
Treatment Community (1 off 4)
• Fuels treatment planners are responsible for
managing vegetation
– Planning and the decision support process centers around
modeling vegetation disturbances

• Seven steps in the decision support process
–
–
–
–
–
–
–

Define project, vegetation, landscape, and scale
p j , g
,
p ,
Prepare and ensure quality of vegetation data
Simulate and analyze fire behavior
Analyze fire effects and/or risk
Design treatment strategies
Simulate treated vegetation, geophysical, and fuel conditions
Simulate treatment effectiveness of reducing fire behavior and
fire effects potentials
4
State of the Fuels
Treatment Community (2 off 4)
Cu e t y an assortment of
Currently a asso t e t o data, software
so t a e
applications and systems
• Not all are accessible to the
community
• Most are problem-specific
problem specific
• Some are comprehensive but
only support specific data and
use-cases
• It is difficult to “string” them
together
g

5
State of the Fuels
Treatment Community (3 off 4)
What does this mean for the user community?
y

IFT-DSS must facilitate the most
difficult and time consuming
tasks to ensure success

~90%

Percent of Respondents
o

• Use what they know
• Use tools that are user-friendly,
simple
i l
• May not know that other tools exist
• Limited guidance on which to use
• A lot of time spent “ i i ” tools
l
f i
“stringing”
l
together for specific purposes
• A lot of time spent acquiring and
preparing data

~20-50%

~10-20%

BEHAVE

FOFEM, FIREFAMILY+,
FARSITE, FLAMMAP,
FMA+, FVS/FFE,
LANDFIRE data,
ArcGIS

RERAP, NEXUS,
CONSUME, FRCC,
SIS, FFI/Firemon,
WIMS data,
Google Earth

6
State of the Fuels
Treatment Community (4 off 4)
What about the existing comprehensive
g
p
systems that “string” models together?
ArcFuels, INFORMS, LANDFIRE IFP
ArcFuels INFORMS LANDFIRE-IFP, Starfire = VERY USEFUL SCIENCE

• Some are inaccessible
• Some require “expert” knowledge
• Do not address all fuels treatment
use cases
• User groups are small
• Do not facilitate collaboration

7
Objectives of the Interagency Fuels
Treatment Decision Support System
• Simplify the fuels treatment planning decision support
process
– Improve the overall quality of analysis and planning
– Provide new opportunities for data analysis and collaboration

• Control long-term costs by streamlining and optimizing
workload and scalability
• Encourage scientific collaboration by providing a
framework and tools that facilitate adding new software
applications
• Reduce agency information technology (IT) workload
• Promote interagency collaboration within the fire and
fuels community
8
Workflow Scenarios
Intended to capture the problem-solving needs of the fuels
treatment analysis and planning community
Includes:
• Data acquisition and preparation
• Strategic planning
• S ti ll explicit f l t t
Spatially
li it fuels treatment assignment
t
i
t
• Fuels treatment over time
• Prescribed burn planning
• Risk assessment

9
Data Acquisition and Preparation (1 of 2)
q
p
Objective: Acquire, prepare, and assure the quality of
vegetation data for use in fuels treatment planning.
Inputs
Tree-lists
Gridded fuels

Vegetation/
Fuels Data Types
FSVeg point data
FSVeg spatial user
upload
LANDFIRE user
upload

Workflow
Growth
QC/edit

Imputation

Outputs
QC/edit

Current, complete
fuels data for
further analysis

10
Data Acquisition and Preparation (2 of 2)
q
p
Objective: Acquire, prepare, and assure the quality of
vegetation data for use in fuels treatment planning.
planning

11
Strategic Planning (1 of 3))
g
g(
Objective: Identify high fire hazard areas within an area of
interest and identify where further analysis may be warranted
based on potential fire hazard. High fire hazard is expressed by
high potential fire behavior and/or undesirable fire effects.
Inputs
Current,
complete fuels;
topography

Vegetation/
Fuels Data Types
Tree-list Polygon
data
LANDFIRE grid data

Workflow

Fire Behavior
QC

Fire Effects

Outputs
Maps and data
of fire behavior
and fire effects

12
Strategic Planning (2 of 3))
g
g(
Objective: Identify high fire hazard areas within an area of
interest and identify where further analysis may be warranted
based on potential fire hazard. High fire hazard is expressed by
high potential fire behavior and/or undesirable fire effects.

13
Strategic Planning (3 of 3))
g
g(
Example of
strategic planning
output

14
Spatially Explicit Fuels
Treatment Assignment (1 off 3)
Objective: (1) Simulate fuels treatment placement in areas of
high fire hazard within an area of i t
hi h fi h
d ithi
f interest and (2) simulate postt d
i l t
t
treatment influences on fire behavior and fire effects potentials.
Inputs

Current,
complete
fuels;
topography

Vegetation/Fuels
Data Types

Workflow

Outputs

Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT
User
Treatment Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT
Tree-list polygon
data
LANDFIRE

Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT
FVS
Treatment Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT
Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT
Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT

TOM

Maps and data of
treatment
locations; pre- and
post-treatment fire
behavior and fire
effects

15
Spatially Explicit Fuels
Treatment Assignment (2 off 3)
Objective: (1) Simulate fuels treatment placement in areas of
high fire hazard within an area of i t
hi h fi h
d ithi
f interest and (2) Si l t postt d
Simulate
t
treatment influences on fire behavior and fire effects potentials.

16
Spatially Explicit Fuels
Treatment Assignment (3 off 3)
Example of fuels treatment optimization
Pre-treatment
P t t
t

Post-treatment
P tt t
t

Simulated fireline intensity for a hypothetical landscape. Light
colored areas indicate low fireline intensity potentials and dark colors
represent high fireline intensity potentials (from Finney et al., 2006).
17
Fuels Treatment Effectiveness
Over Time (1 off 3)
Objective: Evaluate the temporal durability of fuels treatments;
i.e., h
i
how l
long, i years to d
in
decades, a treatment will continue to
d
ill
i
lower potential fire behavior and fire effects.
Inputs
Current,
complete fuels;
topography

Vegetation/Fuels
Workflow
Data Types
Tree-list polygon
Growth Fire Behavior Fire Effects
data
Growth Fire Behavior Fire
User supplied
Effects Growth…
data

Outputs
Graphs and data
of fuels fire
fuels,
behavior, and fire
effects over time

18
Fuels Treatment Effectiveness
Over Time (2 off 3)
Objective: Evaluate the temporal durability of fuels treatments;
i.e., h
i
how l
long, i years to d
in
decades, a treatment will continue to
d
ill
i
lower potential fire behavior and fire effects.

19
Fuels Treatment Effectiveness
Over Time (3 off 3)
Example of
vegetation
growth over
time

Post-treatment

+10 years
10

+ 20 years

20
Prescribed Burn Planning (1 of 3)
g
Objective: Provide the information needed to plan, document,
and conduct a proposed, prescribed fi
d
d
d
ib d fire.

Inputs
Fuels;
g
range of
weather
conditions

Vegetation/
Fuels Data Types
User entered single
g
stand level data

Processes

Fire Behavior

Fire Effects

Outputs

QC

Graphs and data
of fire behavior
and fire effects
over a range of
conditions

21
Prescribed Burn Planning (2 of 3)
g
Objective: Provide the information needed to plan, document,
and conduct a proposed, prescribed fi
d
d
d
ib d fire.

22
Prescribed Burn Planning (3 of 3)
g

23
Risk Assessment
Objective: Provide a probabilistic risk assessment for fuels
treatment planning.
Inputs

Current,
C rrent
complete fuels;
topography

Vegetation/
Fuels Data Types
Tree-list polygon
data
LANDFIRE data
User supplied data

Processes

Fire Behavior
Beha ior
MTT
Burn Probability Mode
QC

Outputs
Maps and data
for fire behavior,
beha ior
burn probability,
and values at
risk

Fire risk = (burn p
(
probability) × (fire hazard index) × (value at risk)
y) (
) (
)

24
IFT-DSS Proof of Concept
p

25
Vision for the Fuels Treatment Community
y
User communities
Informa
ation Techn
nology & G
Governance
e

Integrated systems
g
y
(IFT-DSS, BlueSky,
WFDSS, WFAS)

Common interface
standards
(allows for connections)

Capabilities
(algorithms, models, data)

Scientists and data providers create tools

26
Supporting Information
pp
g
• Background and supporting information can be found on
the STS Frames website at:
http://frames.nbii.gov/portal/server.pt?open=512&objID=629&mode=2&in_
hi_userid 952&cached true
hi userid=952&cached=true

• The full document, “Refined Work Flow Scenarios and
Proposed P f of Concept System Functionality f th
P
d Proof f C
tS t
F
ti
lit for the
Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision Support System,”
can be downloaded from the STS Frames website at:
http://frames.nbii.gov/documents/jfsp/sts_study/ift_dss_refined_workflow_
scenarios_20090709.pdf

27

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Introduction to the Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision Support System

  • 1. Development of The Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision Support System Stacy A D St A. Drury, T i H F k S Tami H. Funk, Sean M R ff M. Raffuse Sonoma Technology, Inc. Petaluma, California , H. Michael Rauscher Joint Fire Science Program Technical Fire Management Course Bothell, Washington B th ll W hi t October 15, 2009 909029-3710
  • 2. Overview of Presentation • • • • • Introduction and background State of the fuels treatment community Workflow scenarios W kfl i Proof of concept Vision for the future 2
  • 3. Introduction and Background Software Tools and Systems (STS) Study Fuels Specialist Feedback on Workflow Scenarios IFT-DSS Architecture Design Document IFT-DSS Conceptual Design Document Software Engineering Institute p performed strategic analysis of g y problem space Feb Mar Apr February 2007 Initiation of Phase I of the STS Study May Jun Jul 2007 Aug Sep IFT-DSS Workflow Scenarios Document Current Practices & Needs Assessment Phase I Jan IFT-DSS Software Design Document Software Architecture Study Phase II Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb February 2008 Conclusion of Phase I of the STS Study Mar Apr May Jun Jul 2008 Aug June 2008 Initiation of Phase II of the STS Study Sep Oct Nov Phase IIIa Dec Jan Feb Mar March 2009 Conclusion of Phase II of the STS Study Apr May Jun 2009 Jul Aug Sep Oct May 2009 Initiation of Phase IIIa of the STS Study 3
  • 4. State of the Fuels Treatment Community (1 off 4) • Fuels treatment planners are responsible for managing vegetation – Planning and the decision support process centers around modeling vegetation disturbances • Seven steps in the decision support process – – – – – – – Define project, vegetation, landscape, and scale p j , g , p , Prepare and ensure quality of vegetation data Simulate and analyze fire behavior Analyze fire effects and/or risk Design treatment strategies Simulate treated vegetation, geophysical, and fuel conditions Simulate treatment effectiveness of reducing fire behavior and fire effects potentials 4
  • 5. State of the Fuels Treatment Community (2 off 4) Cu e t y an assortment of Currently a asso t e t o data, software so t a e applications and systems • Not all are accessible to the community • Most are problem-specific problem specific • Some are comprehensive but only support specific data and use-cases • It is difficult to “string” them together g 5
  • 6. State of the Fuels Treatment Community (3 off 4) What does this mean for the user community? y IFT-DSS must facilitate the most difficult and time consuming tasks to ensure success ~90% Percent of Respondents o • Use what they know • Use tools that are user-friendly, simple i l • May not know that other tools exist • Limited guidance on which to use • A lot of time spent “ i i ” tools l f i “stringing” l together for specific purposes • A lot of time spent acquiring and preparing data ~20-50% ~10-20% BEHAVE FOFEM, FIREFAMILY+, FARSITE, FLAMMAP, FMA+, FVS/FFE, LANDFIRE data, ArcGIS RERAP, NEXUS, CONSUME, FRCC, SIS, FFI/Firemon, WIMS data, Google Earth 6
  • 7. State of the Fuels Treatment Community (4 off 4) What about the existing comprehensive g p systems that “string” models together? ArcFuels, INFORMS, LANDFIRE IFP ArcFuels INFORMS LANDFIRE-IFP, Starfire = VERY USEFUL SCIENCE • Some are inaccessible • Some require “expert” knowledge • Do not address all fuels treatment use cases • User groups are small • Do not facilitate collaboration 7
  • 8. Objectives of the Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision Support System • Simplify the fuels treatment planning decision support process – Improve the overall quality of analysis and planning – Provide new opportunities for data analysis and collaboration • Control long-term costs by streamlining and optimizing workload and scalability • Encourage scientific collaboration by providing a framework and tools that facilitate adding new software applications • Reduce agency information technology (IT) workload • Promote interagency collaboration within the fire and fuels community 8
  • 9. Workflow Scenarios Intended to capture the problem-solving needs of the fuels treatment analysis and planning community Includes: • Data acquisition and preparation • Strategic planning • S ti ll explicit f l t t Spatially li it fuels treatment assignment t i t • Fuels treatment over time • Prescribed burn planning • Risk assessment 9
  • 10. Data Acquisition and Preparation (1 of 2) q p Objective: Acquire, prepare, and assure the quality of vegetation data for use in fuels treatment planning. Inputs Tree-lists Gridded fuels Vegetation/ Fuels Data Types FSVeg point data FSVeg spatial user upload LANDFIRE user upload Workflow Growth QC/edit Imputation Outputs QC/edit Current, complete fuels data for further analysis 10
  • 11. Data Acquisition and Preparation (2 of 2) q p Objective: Acquire, prepare, and assure the quality of vegetation data for use in fuels treatment planning. planning 11
  • 12. Strategic Planning (1 of 3)) g g( Objective: Identify high fire hazard areas within an area of interest and identify where further analysis may be warranted based on potential fire hazard. High fire hazard is expressed by high potential fire behavior and/or undesirable fire effects. Inputs Current, complete fuels; topography Vegetation/ Fuels Data Types Tree-list Polygon data LANDFIRE grid data Workflow Fire Behavior QC Fire Effects Outputs Maps and data of fire behavior and fire effects 12
  • 13. Strategic Planning (2 of 3)) g g( Objective: Identify high fire hazard areas within an area of interest and identify where further analysis may be warranted based on potential fire hazard. High fire hazard is expressed by high potential fire behavior and/or undesirable fire effects. 13
  • 14. Strategic Planning (3 of 3)) g g( Example of strategic planning output 14
  • 15. Spatially Explicit Fuels Treatment Assignment (1 off 3) Objective: (1) Simulate fuels treatment placement in areas of high fire hazard within an area of i t hi h fi h d ithi f interest and (2) simulate postt d i l t t treatment influences on fire behavior and fire effects potentials. Inputs Current, complete fuels; topography Vegetation/Fuels Data Types Workflow Outputs Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT User Treatment Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT Tree-list polygon data LANDFIRE Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT FVS Treatment Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT Fire Behavior/Effects/MTT TOM Maps and data of treatment locations; pre- and post-treatment fire behavior and fire effects 15
  • 16. Spatially Explicit Fuels Treatment Assignment (2 off 3) Objective: (1) Simulate fuels treatment placement in areas of high fire hazard within an area of i t hi h fi h d ithi f interest and (2) Si l t postt d Simulate t treatment influences on fire behavior and fire effects potentials. 16
  • 17. Spatially Explicit Fuels Treatment Assignment (3 off 3) Example of fuels treatment optimization Pre-treatment P t t t Post-treatment P tt t t Simulated fireline intensity for a hypothetical landscape. Light colored areas indicate low fireline intensity potentials and dark colors represent high fireline intensity potentials (from Finney et al., 2006). 17
  • 18. Fuels Treatment Effectiveness Over Time (1 off 3) Objective: Evaluate the temporal durability of fuels treatments; i.e., h i how l long, i years to d in decades, a treatment will continue to d ill i lower potential fire behavior and fire effects. Inputs Current, complete fuels; topography Vegetation/Fuels Workflow Data Types Tree-list polygon Growth Fire Behavior Fire Effects data Growth Fire Behavior Fire User supplied Effects Growth… data Outputs Graphs and data of fuels fire fuels, behavior, and fire effects over time 18
  • 19. Fuels Treatment Effectiveness Over Time (2 off 3) Objective: Evaluate the temporal durability of fuels treatments; i.e., h i how l long, i years to d in decades, a treatment will continue to d ill i lower potential fire behavior and fire effects. 19
  • 20. Fuels Treatment Effectiveness Over Time (3 off 3) Example of vegetation growth over time Post-treatment +10 years 10 + 20 years 20
  • 21. Prescribed Burn Planning (1 of 3) g Objective: Provide the information needed to plan, document, and conduct a proposed, prescribed fi d d d ib d fire. Inputs Fuels; g range of weather conditions Vegetation/ Fuels Data Types User entered single g stand level data Processes Fire Behavior Fire Effects Outputs QC Graphs and data of fire behavior and fire effects over a range of conditions 21
  • 22. Prescribed Burn Planning (2 of 3) g Objective: Provide the information needed to plan, document, and conduct a proposed, prescribed fi d d d ib d fire. 22
  • 23. Prescribed Burn Planning (3 of 3) g 23
  • 24. Risk Assessment Objective: Provide a probabilistic risk assessment for fuels treatment planning. Inputs Current, C rrent complete fuels; topography Vegetation/ Fuels Data Types Tree-list polygon data LANDFIRE data User supplied data Processes Fire Behavior Beha ior MTT Burn Probability Mode QC Outputs Maps and data for fire behavior, beha ior burn probability, and values at risk Fire risk = (burn p ( probability) × (fire hazard index) × (value at risk) y) ( ) ( ) 24
  • 25. IFT-DSS Proof of Concept p 25
  • 26. Vision for the Fuels Treatment Community y User communities Informa ation Techn nology & G Governance e Integrated systems g y (IFT-DSS, BlueSky, WFDSS, WFAS) Common interface standards (allows for connections) Capabilities (algorithms, models, data) Scientists and data providers create tools 26
  • 27. Supporting Information pp g • Background and supporting information can be found on the STS Frames website at: http://frames.nbii.gov/portal/server.pt?open=512&objID=629&mode=2&in_ hi_userid 952&cached true hi userid=952&cached=true • The full document, “Refined Work Flow Scenarios and Proposed P f of Concept System Functionality f th P d Proof f C tS t F ti lit for the Interagency Fuels Treatment Decision Support System,” can be downloaded from the STS Frames website at: http://frames.nbii.gov/documents/jfsp/sts_study/ift_dss_refined_workflow_ scenarios_20090709.pdf 27