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Overview of Effective CRM
Implementation and
Operation


Alan McSweeney
Objectives

•   To provide an overview of effective CRM system
    implementation and operation




    February 27, 2010                                2
Agenda

•   Introduction to CRM
•   Customer Analysis and Segmentation
•   CRM Implementation Approach
•   Activity Based Costing for CRM Analysis
•   Data Mining
•   Summary




    February 27, 2010                         3
What is CRM?

•   End-to-end customer management
•   Process enabled by set of technologies
•   Process designed to integrate all customer interactions
    through all channels
•   Like all processes organisational change is needed
•   CRM systems need information and applications support
•   CRM processes should be consistent and repeatable




    February 27, 2010                                         4
Illusion of Customer Relationship Management

•   Myth of CRM
•   Customers are not outsiders
•   We are all customers – of utilities, service providers,
    financial institutions, government agencies
•   CRM is about how WE want to be treated by our service
    providers
•   When we talk about customers (THEM), we mean us
•   How do you want to be treated by your service providers?
•   That is exactly how your customers want to be treated by
    you
    February 27, 2010                                          5
Customer Service and Customer Satisfaction

•   Poor customer service is still pervasive despite awareness
    of the need for and benefits of improved customer service
•   Many organisations have not changed their business
    processes to deliver improved customer service and
    provide what customers want
•   Improved customer service means optimising end-to-end
    processes from the customer viewpoint
      − Involves linking multiple internal processes to get cross-functional
        view from customer perspective




    February 27, 2010                                                          6
What Customers Really Want – More For Less

•   More Of                 •   Less Of

      −    Value                −   Aggravation
      −    Responsiveness       −   Time to Complete Transaction
      −    Involvement          −   Rigidity
      −    Consideration        −   Cost
      −    Dependability        −   Bureaucracy
      −    Flexibility          −   Excuses
                                −   Lack of Integration




    February 27, 2010                                              7
What Organisations Try to Do – More With Less

•   More Of               •   Less Of

      −    Work               − Personnel
      −    Customers          − Facilities
      −    Sales              − Cost
      −    Revenue
      −    Margin




    February 27, 2010                           8
Balance Between Internal and External

•   Need to balance management focus between “more with
    less” and “most for less”
•   More with less focuses on internal reductions: cost, staff
•   More for less focuses on external improvements
•   Only a cross-functional customer-oriented view of
    business processes can achieve this balance
      − Internal processes focus on operational functions
      − Cross-functional view links internal processes to get end-to-end
        customer view of organisation
•   Cross-functional processes are those that really affect
    customers – from start to end
    February 27, 2010                                                      9
Overall CRM Solution Architecture

                           Continuous dialogue across
                                  all customer
                             channels/touch points



                                                                 Personalised
   Consistent user experience                             products/services based on
    across all contact points                                customer needs and
                                                                 expectations



                                Real-time access to all
                                customer information
                                across the enterprise




 February 27, 2010                                                                     10
Technology and Application Components of a CRM
Strategy

     Sales Force      Campaign        Document      Call Centre
     Automation      Management      Management     Automation




       Data                                       Customer Profile
    Warehousing             CRM Strategy             Database




   Workflow and      Data Mining/     Telesales      Internet/
     Process          Modelling      Automation      Intranet/
                                                      Extranet

 February 27, 2010                                                   11
CRM and Related Systems Architectural Elements
Business Functions        Business Activities             Architectural Elements

                              Search Engines
    General User        Targeted                              Customer
     Acquisition       Mail/Email          Advertising       Acquisition
                                                               Systems


     General Use       General Use         Call Centres     Web Systems
      Interface         Interface                                             Call Centre
                                                                               Systems

   Targeted User
    Content and        Banner Ads         Web Content     Web Applications
       Offers                                                                  Call Centre
                              Call Centre Scripts                             Applications

      Fulfilment               Order Entry,                 Operational
                                Tracking                     Systems



    Management          Financial         User Analysis
                        Reporting                         Financial Systems
                              External Trends


   February 27, 2010                                                                         12
Why CRM

•   Greater competition
•   Economics of customer retention
•   Available technology
•   Options to increase customer profitability:
      −    Get more customers
      −    Optimise value of existing customers
      −    Retain right customers longer
      −    Implement at lower cost
•   Costs of options:
      − Customer acquisition 5-10 greater than retention
      − Loyal customers spend more and pay premium
      − Loyal customers must like and trust companies

    February 27, 2010                                      13
Customer Management Trends

•   Recognise customer heterogenity
•   Companies want to get “up close and personal” with their
    customers
•   Transact with customers individually
•   “Joined up” customer interaction




    February 27, 2010                                          14
CRM Process

•   CRM is about:
      − Integration of customer contact points
      − Synchronisation of customer information and
      − management assets
      − Identification highest (and lowest) value customers
      − Servicing those with greatest actual or potential value
•   CRM enables:
      − Reduction of marketing costs through effective
      − targeted campaigns
      − Increase in customer satisfaction and retention
      − Increase in sales
      − Improvement in profitability by customer and sale

    February 27, 2010                                             15
Characteristics of Service Leaders

•   Grow twice as fast as competitors
•   6% annual market share growth vs. 1% market loss
•   Charge 10% more
•   12% average return on sales vs. 1%
•   Market changes - speed to react determines success or
    failure
      − US - 60% in Fortune 500 in 1970 are no longer on list




    February 27, 2010                                           16
Which Customers?

•   20% of customers generate 80% of profit
•   5% increase in customer retention means 25%-95%
    increase in profitability
•   New customers take 8-10 contacts before sale
•   Existing customers take 2-3 contacts before sale




    February 27, 2010                                  17
Customer Service

•   95% of customers who have had problems will continue to
    do business if problems are resolved
•   For every complaint you receive there are another 20
    potential complaints that have not been articulated but
    still represent
•   Good customers tell about 3 others of their experience
•   Bad customers tell about 8 of their experience
•   68% of former customers left because of poor customer
    service


    February 27, 2010                                         18
Customer Earnings Over Time (Service Industry
Example)
                                                                            •   Continually acquiring
                                                                                new customers and
                                                                                losing existing
                                                                                customers costs
                                                                                money
                                                                            •   Customer retention
                                                                                through increased
                                                                                customer
                                                                                satisfaction is
                                                                                financially
                                                                                worthwhile
                                                                            •   Better customer
                                                                                service makes long-
 Year 1          Year 2   Year 3    Year 4    Year 5      Year 6   Year 7
                                                                                term sense
                                                                            •   Need a balance
        Acquisition Cost                  Base Profit                           between customer
        Profit from Increased Purchases   Cost Savings                          retention and new
        Referrals                         Price Premium                         customer acquisition

 February 27, 2010                                                                                      19
Customer Retention and Profitability

•   Leaky Bucket Effect
                        Acquire Customers




                                              50-60% (or
                                              More) Every
                                               Five Years


                        Customers Defect to
                          Other Suppliers
                             (“Churn”)



    February 27, 2010                                       20
Example of Profit Contribution by Customer Type
                          200%




                                     25%


                        High Value   Loyal   Low Value



                                              -125%


•   Not all customers have the same value
•   Can you identify your customers?
    February 27, 2010                                    21
Example of Profit Contribution by Customer Type for
All Customers - 1
                                                                                            •   Customer
                                  Total
                                                                                                profile is
                                                                                                balanced
                                                                                                that results
                             Low Value                                                          in net profit


                                  Loyal




                             High Value



     -150%           -100%      -50%      0%   50%       100%     150%      200%     250%

        Individual Customer Profit Contribution      Percentage of Total Customers
        Weighted Contribution
 February 27, 2010                                                                                              22
Example of Profit Contribution by Customer Type for
All Customers - 2
                                                                                            •   In this example,
                                  Total                                                         there is a high
                                                                                                percentage of
                                                                                                low value
                                                                                                customers
                             Low Value
                                                                                                (perhaps due to
                                                                                                high rates of
                                                                                                customer churn
                                  Loyal                                                         and cost of new
                                                                                                customer
                                                                                                acquisition)
                                                                                            •   Net result is an
                             High Value
                                                                                                overall loss

    -150%            -100%      -50%      0%   50%       100%     150%      200%     250%

       Individual Customer Profit Contribution       Percentage of Total Customers
       Weighted Contribution
 February 27, 2010                                                                                                 23
Role of Data Warehouse in CRM

• Technology/infrastructure core of architecture
• Allow marketers to make decisions on customer
  segmentations and profiles and match products/offers
• Data Warehouse enables CRM processes
• CRM elements depend on quality of information in
• Data Warehouse and accuracy of derived results
• Central common repository or all relevant allows effective
  data sharing and reduces latency
• “Joined-up” approach to CRM
• CRM assumes good information

    February 27, 2010                                          24
Integrated CRM

           Sales Data                   Sales
                                        Force


         Service Calls   Customer      Customer
                           Data         Service
                         Warehouse
         Campaigns/                      Call     Customer
        Special Offers    Customer      Centre
                         Interaction
          Self Service    Database     Internet


         Mailing Lists                  Direct
                                         Mail



 February 27, 2010                                           25
Customer Lifetime Value

•   LTV = net present value of all future contributions to
    overhead and profit expected from a new customer
•   How much a customer is worth to you today, given the
    expected profit in the future




    February 27, 2010                                        26
Customer Value

•   Retail - lose one customer per day every day for a year (7
    days per week) that spends €50 per week = annual loss of
    €482,000
•   Car manufacturer - increase customer retention by 1% for
    4 years = €160 million increase in profit
•   Fast food = each customer is worth €10,000 over lifetime




    February 27, 2010                                            27
Marketing Objectives

•   Objectives:
      − Acquire new customers
      − Retain existing (profitable) customers
•   How much money should be allocated to these?
•   How will this affect long-term profitability?
•   Does every customer deserve the same investment?




    February 27, 2010                                  28
LTV Answers

•   How much you can afford to spend to acquire a new
    customer?
•   Which new customer sources generate the most profitable
    long-term customers?
•   How much you can spend to retain/reactivate an existing
    customer?




    February 27, 2010                                         29
Sample Customer LTV Calculation
                                           Year 1       Year 2       Year 3       Year 4       Year 5
                        Revenues
                        Customers        100,000       60,000       37,200       24,180       16,926
                        Retention           60%          62%          65%          70%          75%
                        Rate
                        Spending Per         €75         €100         €125         €140         €140
                        Customer Per
                        Year
                        Total          €7,500,000   €6,000,000   €4,650,000   €3,385,200   €2,369,640
                        Costs
                        Cost Percent         40%          40%          40%          40%         40%
                        Total Costs    €3,000,000   €2,400,000   €1,860,000   €1,354,080    €947,856
                        Profits
                        Gross Profit   €4,500,000   €3,600,000   €2,790,000   €2,031,120   €1,421,784
                        Discount             1.00         1.04         1.08         1.12         1.17
                        Rate Yearly
                        NPV
                        Profit NPV     €4,500,000   €3,461,538 €2,579,512 €1,805,658 €1,215,347
                        Cumulative     €4,500,000   €7,961,538 €10,541,050 €12,346,709 €13,562,056
                        NPV Profit
                        Customer             €45          €80         €105         €123         €136
                        LTV
•   This example shows the calculation of the long-term value of a customer
•   This is just a simple example to illustrate the concept
    February 27, 2010                                                                                   30
Sample Customer LTV Calculation
     Number of
customers each year
    based on the                                                                                        •   A customer
 customer retention
        rate                               Year 1       Year 2       Year 3       Year 4       Year 5       retained for
                        Revenues
                        Customers        100,000       60,000       37,200       24,180       16,926
                                                                                                            five years is
Total revenue for all
                        Retention           60%          62%          65%          70%          75%         worth €136
                        Rate
  customers each        Spending Per         €75         €100         €125         €140         €140        expressed in
        year            Customer Per                                                                        current year
                        Year
                        Total          €7,500,000   €6,000,000   €4,650,000   €3,385,200   €2,369,640       money
                        Costs
                        Cost Percent         40%          40%          40%          40%         40%     •   Increasing the
                        Total Costs    €3,000,000   €2,400,000   €1,860,000   €1,354,080    €947,856
   NPV of profit        Profits                                                                             retention rate
    expressed in
current year values,
                        Gross Profit
                        Discount
                                       €4,500,000
                                             1.00
                                                    €3,600,000
                                                          1.04
                                                                 €2,790,000
                                                                       1.08
                                                                              €2,031,120
                                                                                    1.12
                                                                                           €1,421,784
                                                                                                 1.17
                                                                                                            and
 based on NPV rate      Rate Yearly                                                                         increasing the
                        NPV
                        Profit NPV     €4,500,000   €3,461,538 €2,579,512 €1,805,658 €1,215,347
                                                                                                            amount spent
                        Cumulative     €4,500,000   €7,961,538 €10,541,050 €12,346,709 €13,562,056          by customer
                        NPV Profit
 LTV of individual      Customer             €45          €80         €105         €123         €136        by upselling
    customer if         LTV                                                                                 and cross-
 retained for that                                                                                          selling will
 number of years
                                                                                                            increase LTV

   February 27, 2010                                                                                                         31
Sample Customer LTV Calculation With Increased
Retention Rate
                                           Year 1       Year 2       Year 3       Year 4       Year 5
                        Revenues
                        Customers        100,000       80,000       64,000       51,200       40,960
                        Retention           80%          80%          80%          80%          80%
                        Rate
                        Spending Per         €75         €100         €125         €140         €140
                        Customer Per
                        Year
                        Total          €7,500,000   €8,000,000   €8,000,000   €7,168,000   €5,734,400
                        Revenue
                        Costs
                        Cost Percent         40%          40%          40%          40%          40%
                        Total Costs    €3,000,000   €3,200,000   €3,200,000   €2,867,200   €2,293,760
                        Profits
                        Gross Profit   €4,500,000   €4,800,000   €4,800,000   €4,300,800   €3,440,640
                        Discount             1.00         1.04         1.08         1.12         1.17
                        Rate Yearly
                        NPV
                        Profit NPV     €4,500,000   €4,615,385 €4,437,870 €3,823,396 €2,941,073
                        Cumulative     €4,500,000   €9,115,385 €13,553,254 €17,376,650 €20,317,723
                        NPV Profit
                        Customer             €45          €91         €136         €174         €203
                        LTV

•   An increased customer retention rate increases the LTV of
    customers
    February 27, 2010                                                                                   32
Measuring LTV

•   Customer Transaction History
•   What they have purchased (preferably item level detail)
•   How much they have spent
•   When they have purchased
•   How many returned / cancelled items
•   Where they have purchased
•   Potential indicators of why they have purchased: special offers, holiday promotion, etc.
•   Financial Measures
•   Cost of Goods (preferably at the item level)
•   Fixed, Variable and Fulfillment costs
•   Gross/Net Sales Ratios
•   Promotion History
•   How many promotions/contacts they received
•   When they received the promotions
•   Special offers and other promotion characteristics
•   Promotional costs

    February 27, 2010                                                                          33
Customer Segments

•   Useful simple starting point
•   Easy to match to campaigns
•   Analyse movement between segments
•   Sample segment types for a campaign:
      −    Cold prospect - no history
      −    Warm prospect - some response to previous campaigns
      −    New customer - bought item
      −    Confirmed customer - bought two items
      −    Regular, including last campaign - buys frequently
      −    including last campaign
      −    Regular but not last campaign
      −    Regular but not last two campaign
      −    Lapsed regular

    February 27, 2010                                            34
Segmentation

•   Identifying and classifying groups based on buying
    characteristics and profile
•   Telecommunications example:
      − Tariff 1
      − Tariff 2
      − Tariff 3
      − Pre-Pay
      − Migrate to Competitor 1
      − Migrate to Competitor 2
      − Migrate from Competitor 1 to Tariff 1
      − Migrate from Competitor 1 to Tariff 2

    February 27, 2010                                    35
Sales Campaign Effects on LTV

•   Customers move between segments
      − “Regular but not last campaign” moves to “Regular, including last
        campaign”
      − Migration changes customer value
•   The campaign has costs
•   Estimate net long-term benefit of campaign to
    organisation




    February 27, 2010                                                       36
LTV and Campaign Example – Initial Status

                     Segment             Number of        Projected       Projected Segment Value
                     Classification      Customers   Lifetime Sales Lifetime Profit

                     New Customer           10,000         €2,000           €300      €3,000,000
                     Confirmed              30,000         €3,000           €450     €13,500,000
                     Customer
                     Regular Including      60,000         €5,500           €825     €49,500,000
                     Last Campaign

                     Regular But Not        35,000         €4,500           €650     €22,750,000
                     Last Campaign

                     Regular But Not        25,000         €3,500           €525     €13,125,000
                     Last Two
                     Campaigns
                     Lapsed Regular         55,000           €500             €75     €4,125,000
                     TOTAL                 215,000                                  €106,000,000




 February 27, 2010                                                                                  37
LTV and Campaign Example - Campaign Results
       Segment             Number of      Percent     Number      Average    Total Amount
       Classification      Customers   Responded    Responded Amount Spent    for Segment

       Cold Prospect          60,000          3%        1,800          €50       €90,000
       Warm Prospect          30,000          5%        1,500          €60       €90,000
       New Customer           10,000          8%          800          €70       €56,000
       Confirmed              30,000         10%        3,000          €80
       Customer                                                                 €240,000
       Regular Including      60,000         65%       39,000         €100
       Last Campaign
                                                                               €3,900,000
       Regular But Not        35,000         50%       17,500          €90
       Last Campaign
                                                                               €1,575,000
       Regular But Not        25,000         30%        7,500          €80
       Last Two
       Campaigns                                                                €600,000
       Lapsed Regular         55,000         15%        8,250          €70      €577,500
       TOTAL                 305,000                   79,350                  €7,128,500
       Gross Profit                                                            €1,069,275
       Campaign Costs                                                           €610,000
       Net Profit                                                               €459,275


 February 27, 2010                                                                          38
LTV and Campaign Example - Changes to LTV

Segment                 Number of         Projected       Projected Segment Value     Number of Segment Value       Change in
Classification          Customers    Lifetime Sales Lifetime Profit       Before      Customers After Campaign Lifetime Value
                            Before                                      Campaign After Campaign
                         Campaign
New Customer               10,000          €2,000           €300     €3,000,000         13,300     €3,990,000      €990,000
Confirmed                  30,000          €3,000           €450    €13,500,000         33,800    €15,210,000     €1,710,000
Customer
Regular Including          60,000          €5,500           €825    €49,500,000         72,750    €60,018,750    €10,518,750
Last Campaign

Regular But Not            35,000          €4,500           €650    €22,750,000         21,000    €13,650,000     -€9,100,000
Last Campaign

Regular But Not            25,000          €3,500           €525    €13,125,000         17,500     €9,187,500     -€3,937,500
Last Two
Campaigns
Lapsed Regular             55,000            €500            €75     €4,125,000         72,500     €5,437,500     €1,312,500
TOTAL                     215,000                                  €106,000,000        230,850   €107,493,750     €1,493,750




    February 27, 2010                                                                                                       39
LTV and Campaign Example - Migration Between
 Segments
                    Cold Prospect Warm Prospect New Customer Confirmed   Regular           Regular But      Regular But      Lapsed Regular
    TO                                                       Customer    Including Last    Not Last         Not Last Two
FROM                                                                     Campaign          Campaign         Campaigns
Cold Prospect                                          1,800
Warm Prospect                                          1,500

New Customer                                             800

Confirmed
Customer
Regular                                               39,000                                       21,000
Including Last
Campaign
Regular But                                                                       17,500                            17,500
Not Last
Campaign
Regular But                                                                                                                          17,500
Not Last Two
Campaigns
Lapsed Regular                                                                     8,250




    February 27, 2010                                                                                                                    40
CRM Solution Implementation Approach

 Vision Creation         Enterprise   Gap Analysis   Roadmap for
and Confirmation        Assessment                     Change




•   How to align organisation and customer objectives
•   Audit of company business processes, technology,
    communications and structure
•   Gaps between current and future
•   Plan for change


    February 27, 2010                                              41
Vision Creation and Confirmation

•   Company Objectives
      − Who is our ideal customer
      − How should we do business “value discipline”
•   Customer Objectives
      − Identify and understand expectations
      − Marketing from customer rather than company perspective




    February 27, 2010                                             42
Identifying the Ideal Customer(s)

•   Behaviour
      −    Spending habits - amounts, number and type of items
      −    Payment preferences - cash, cheque, credit/debit card
      −    Visit frequency - regular, need, promotion
      −    Incentives redeemed - avail of loyalty schemes
•   Customer Value
      − Total amount spent and profit
      − Frequency
      − Incentives redeemed - avail of loyalty schemes
•   Channels
      − Branches
      − Call centre
      − Web

    February 27, 2010                                              43
Defining Value Discipline

•   Defines how to do business and why customer chooses
•   Product/Service Leadership
      − Best product or service available
•   Operational Excellence
      − Best value and convenience
•   Customer Intimacy
      − Pursue long-term relationship, customer attentive
•   Reflects types of customers
      − Different people like different ways of buying


    February 27, 2010                                       44
Enterprise Assessment

•   Purpose
      − Audit of company business processes, technology,
        communications and structure
•   Elements
      − Identifying all customer interaction points
      − Activity-based costing analysis
      − Quantifying market trends and drivers
      − Identifying and profiling competitors
      − Identifying customer and company “pains”




    February 27, 2010                                      45
Activity Costs

• Costs and revenue of interactions
• Fixed costs
      − Cost per mail/e-mail item
      − Costs of good/services sold
      − Cost per order entry
      − Infrastructure costs
      − Variable costs
      − Service call times
      − Billing/collection
      − Incentives
• Calculate customer value
• Generate insights into operation of organisation

    February 27, 2010                                46
Identify Company and Customer “Pains”

•   Pain = problem, business issue or missed opportunity
•   Customer pains = annoyance, discontent, dissatisfaction
•   Company pains = profit erosion, increases in costs,
    competition, errors, returns, employee turnover
•   Results = lack of brand/company loyalty, customer
    defection, reduction in market share, reduction in profits




    February 27, 2010                                            47
Gap Analysis

•   Barriers that must be overcome to allow organisation to
    evolve from current to future state
•   Assess hazards and difficulties of transition
•   Categories of gaps:
      − People
      − Process
      − Technology




    February 27, 2010                                         48
People Gaps

•   Impair ability to do job or reduce desire to work effectively
•   Stringent policies mean inflexibility and slow response to urgent
    problems
•   Change to customer-centric operation requires learning, training and
    management
      −    “I’m not in sales/marketing. Why are you talking to me?”
      −    “I’ve been here for 20 years and I don’t see why we should change now.”
      −    “I am willing to support the project 100% as long as it does not affect me.”
      −    “This is the way it’s always been done and it’s worked well up to now.”
      −    “I’ve got 15 minutes to talk to you. I’m very busy with important things.”




    February 27, 2010                                                                     49
Process Gaps

•   Breakdowns/bottlenecks in a process intended to produce
    a result
•   Occur at handoffs between stages/sections, incorrectly
    routed requests
•   Process should handle all (reasonable) eventualities and
    provide information at all stages
•   Process can be rigid (rules for all events) or flexible (allow
    devolved decision making)




    February 27, 2010                                                50
Technology Gaps

•   Limitations in technology infrastructure to support CRM
    process
•   Examples:
      − Campaign management
      − Call Centre automation
      − Sales Force automation
      − Customer Data Warehouse/OLAP facility
      − Sufficient Internet presence
      − Data Mining




    February 27, 2010                                         51
Gap Resolution

•   “Gap map” shows number and severity of gaps between
    current and future states
•   Overlapping gaps should get highest priority
•   Address gaps in parallel
•   May not be possible to identify all gaps




    February 27, 2010                                     52
Roadmap for Change

•   Customer value alignment
•   Market positions and competitive directions
•   Business model
•   Success metrics and critical success factors




    February 27, 2010                              53
Customer Value Alignment

            Customer:           Who is your ideal
        The Right Customer     customer and what
                               are his/her needs?

                  Cost:        What is the value to
             The Right Offer     the customer?


            Communication:       When is the right
             The Right Time    time to communicate
                                     an offer?

            Convenience:          How does your
          The Right Channel     customer prefer to
                                interact with you?

 February 27, 2010                                    54
Customer Value Alignment

•   Segmentation of customer base – identify types
•   Implementation of customer marketing strategies
•   Allow development of right time/offer/channel based on
    customer knowledge
•   Improve customer service, reputation, loyalty




    February 27, 2010                                        55
CRM Success Metrics

•   Increase retention in top n% of customers by x%
•   Increase bottom-line profitability by x%
•   Reduce negative value customers by x%
•   Increase customers in high value segment by x%
•   Improve customer satisfaction index by n%




    February 27, 2010                                 56
Knowing Your Costs: Activity Based Costing for CRM
Analysis




 February 27, 2010                                   57
Ways to Determine Cost

•   Organisational Element Accounting




Accounting System


                        Direct Costs    Overhead


    February 27, 2010                              58
Ways to Determine Cost

•   Budgetary Cost Distribution / Commitment Accounting




Accounting System



                        Commitments and Obligations

    February 27, 2010                                     59
Ways to Determine Cost

•   Traditional Cost Accounting

                         Direct Labour     Overhead



                                              Output
Activities                                     Cost




                        Direct Materials



    February 27, 2010                                  60
Ways to Determine Cost

•   Activity Based Costing

                        Direct Labour and
                            Overhead



                                            Output
Activities                                   Cost




                        Direct Materials



    February 27, 2010                                61
Activity Based Costing

• Activity-based costing (ABC) is a costing model that
  identifies activities in an organisation and assigns the cost
  of each activity to all products and services according to
  the actual consumption of those activities by each
  products or services
• Used as a tool for understanding product and service and
  customer cost and profitability
• ABC supports strategic decisions such as pricing,
  investments, outsourcing and identification and
  measurement of process improvement initiatives
• Fallen out of favour but a very useful tool to understand
  costs

    February 27, 2010                                             62
Activity Based Costing

• Establishing a cross-functional view of your organisation
  and understanding what drives your costs
• Pulling apart indirect or hidden costs and attributing them
  correctly to products and services

                            Resources



            Cost Drivers    Activities    Performance
                                           Measures


                           Products and
                            Customers

    February 27, 2010                                           63
ABC Relationship to CRM

•   CRM is about retaining your most profitable customers
•   In order to determine profit, you need to know a lot about
    your costs
•   To work out your costs, you need to work out what your
    organisation actually does
•   Which processes are consuming your resources?




    February 27, 2010                                            64
Benefits of ABC

•   Go beyond understanding your customers
      − What drives costs?
      − More informed macro and micro decision making
      − Staff planning
      − How your organisation interacts with customers - face-to-face,
        web, call centre and other channels




    February 27, 2010                                                    65
Steps to Implementing ABC

 General Ledger and
   Other Sources



                      Departments




                                    Activities




                                                 Cost Objects




                                                                Calculate Profitability


 February 27, 2010                                                                        66
Defining Activities

•   Most organisations use the cost centre structure
•   Recast cost centre structure into activities
•   Usually a hierarchy of activities
      − Direct identification with product or service
      − Process support
      − Organisation and facility support
      − Customer/market support
•   Map from cost centre into activity hierarchy



    February 27, 2010                                   67
Process Mapping




 February 27, 2010   68
Cost Calculation

•   Direct Costs + Overheads = Total Cost




    February 27, 2010                       69
Traditional Cost Accounting View - Direct Costs

•   Product A                             •   Product B
      − 100 units                             − 950 units
      − 1 hour direct labour @ €20/hour       − 2 hours direct labour @ €20/hour
      − €20/unit direct cost                  − €40/unit direct cost


•   Total amount of effort for 100 units of Product A and 950
    units of Product B is 2000 hours
•   Assume the overheads total is €100,000




    February 27, 2010                                                              70
Traditional Cost Accounting View - Overheads

•   Traditional Cost Accounting Overhead Costs
      − = €100,000 / 2000 hours
      − = €50 per hour
•   Product A
      − = €50 x 1 hour
      − = €50
•   Product B
      − = €50 x 2 hours
      − = €100



    February 27, 2010                            71
Traditional Cost Accounting View - Total Cost

•   Product A              •   Product B


•   Direct Costs = €20     •   Direct Costs = €40
•   + Overhead = €50       •   + Overhead = €100
•   Total Cost = €70       •   Total Cost = €140




    February 27, 2010                               72
ABC View - Overheads

•   Activity            Total Cost   Cost Driver
•   Setup               €10,000      Number of setups
•   Machining           €40,000      Number of hours
•   Receiving           €10,000      Number of receipts
•   Packaging           €10,000      Number of deliveries
•   Engineering         €30,000      Number of hours
•   Total               €100,000



    February 27, 2010                                       73
ABC View - Overheads

                      Product A      Cost Product B      Cost     Totals

Setup                        1     €2,500        3     €7,500    €10,000

Machining                  100     €2,000     1,900   €38,000    €40,000

Receiving                    1     €2,500        3     €7,500    €10,000

Packing                      1     €2,500        3     €7,500    €10,000

Engineering                500    €15,000      500    €15,000    €30,000

Total                             €24,500             €75,500   €100,000

  February 27, 2010                                                        74
ABC View - Overheads

•   Apportioning total overheads for each product according
    to their demand
•   Product A
      − €24,500 / 100 = €245
•   Product B
      − €75,500 / 950 = €79.47




    February 27, 2010                                         75
ABC - A Different Picture

•   Product A               •   Product B


•   Direct Costs = €20      •   Direct Costs = €40
•   + ABC Overhead = €245   •   + ABC Overhead = €79.47
•   Total Cost = €265       •   Total Cost = €119.47




    February 27, 2010                                     76
Comparison Between Traditional Cost Accounting
and ABC

                     Product A          Product B
                     TCA         ABC    TCA            ABC
Direct                €20        €20     €40           €40
Overhead              €50        €245   €100         €79.47
Total                 €70        €265   €140        €119.47




 February 27, 2010                                            77
Which is the Right Actual Cost?

•   ABC provides a better understanding of consumption of
    resources




    February 27, 2010                                       78
Products or Customers

•   Your least profitable customers might be caused by
    products that appear inexpensive but actually are not


•   One bank in the US found that 100% of its profits came
    from only 20% of its customers


•   Customer Needs, Customer Cost, Convenience,
    Communication



    February 27, 2010                                        79
The CRM Challenge

•   If I know who the customers are, can someone tell me why
    they are profitable, can I then identify or profile others
    that could become profitable and tell me how I can
    actually do this ?




    February 27, 2010                                            80
The CRM Challenge

•   Who
      − A data warehouse can identify customers
•   Why
      − Activity Based Costing will help show why some customers are
        more profitable than others
•   How
      − ABC, product design and development, campaign development
        and management




    February 27, 2010                                                  81
Understanding and Profiling your Customers




 February 27, 2010                           82
CRM Marketing Requires

•   The one to one enterprise forms learning relationships
    with its customers
•   In a learning relationship, customers teach the
    organisation about themselves
•   The organisation uses what it learns to make the
    customers’ lives easier
•   Customers find it easier to do business with the one to one
    enterprise because of what they have taught it.
      − Address, language, size, seat preference, allergies, taste in music,
        contact preferences - method, time


    February 27, 2010                                                          83
CRM Marketing Requires

•   To form a learning relationship with your customers
•   Notice their needs
      − On-Line Transaction Processing systems are the corporate eyes
        and ears
•   Remember their activities and preferences
      − A Decision Support Data Warehouse is the corporate memory
•   Learn from past interactions how to serve them better in
    the future
      − Data analysis tools provides the intelligence you need to turn
        memories into plans


    February 27, 2010                                                    84
Data and Information Gap

•   Within most organisations, there is a noticeable information gap
      −    Timely access to information
      −    Access to accurate and complete information
      −    Access to information at an appropriate level of detail
      −    Inconsistent and patchy information from various business systems and units
•   Which of these statements apply to you?
      − The data is there but getting access to it is complicated or not possible
      − Finding and collating data across different information sources is often very
        difficult
      − Performance data is not available quickly enough to act on it effectively
      − There is excessive information that conceals what is really needed or important
      − Some of the information required is simply not being captured



    February 27, 2010                                                                     85
Customer Data Problem

•   Today most companies have multiple repositories for
    customer data
•   Inaccurate and incomplete view of the customer
    relationship
•   Inability to understand the value of the customer
•   Difficult to determine the correct product offer based on
    inaccurate customer data
•   Inefficient customer service



    February 27, 2010                                           86
Closing the Information Gap

                              •   Closing the information
                                  gap is an essential pre-
                                  requisite of
                                  implementing effective
                                  and usable business
                                  process management
                              •   Responsibility of both the
                                  business and IT working
                                  collaboratively.




 February 27, 2010                                             87
Data, Information/Knowledge and Action




 February 27, 2010                       88
Data, Information/Knowledge and Action Cycle

•   Data refers to the source figures and numbers. It is the raw material
    for analysis
      − Data gap is the absence of the tools and operational processes to consistently
        collect, store, manage the data and make available tools to perform analyses.
•   Information/Knowledge is the value extracted from the raw data
      − Information gap is the absence of insight caused by the lack of defined metrics
        and indicators and their timely and accurate availability and usability.
•   Action is the need for operational business processes to ensure that
    the information presented is used and acted upon
•   The Data, Information/Knowledge, Action cycle means that there
    must be a continuum from collecting the raw data to using it
    effectively
•   Process to achieve this must be embedded in the organisation
    February 27, 2010                                                                     89
Key Measures

•   Overall financial performance      •   Overall operational
•   Performance of partnerships            performance
    and alliances                      •   Performance relative to
•   Product and service line               competition
    profitability                      •   Delivery of profit and value to
•   Client profitability                   clients

•   Client acquisition and retention   •   Client satisfaction
                                       •   Staff performance




    February 27, 2010                                                        90
Data Mining

•   Exploration and analysis, by automatic or semi-automatic
    means, of large quantities of data in order to discover
    meaningful patterns and rules
•   In order to develop new products and services that are
    demanded by the customer, that can be delivered
    profitably by the organisation and to remove unwanted
    customers and/or products




    February 27, 2010                                          91
Data Mining Styles

•   Using the past to predict the future
      − Prediction
      − Classification
      − Estimation
•   Finding customer segments and other interesting things in
    the data
      − Clustering
      − Market basket
      − Description




    February 27, 2010                                           92
Why Data Mining

•   Segment customers into groups with similar buying patterns
•   Increase response rate from campaigns
•   Identify loyal customers
•   Identify profitable customers
•   Identify campaigns that will generate responses
•   Understand why customers leave
•   Understand purchasing patterns
•   Identify fraud
•   Predict customers who will leave
•   Predict future outcomes
•   Assess impact of changes

    February 27, 2010                                            93
The Data Mining Spiral


 Knowledge               Action




         Information
                         Data


 February 27, 2010                94
Data Mining Methodology

 Sample              Identify and collect data. Sample or entire dataset.
                     Sample size and sampling technique.

 Explore             Look for inherent trends, clusters and groups. Look for
                     and eliminate extreme values. Reduce number of
                     important variables. Data visualisation and statistical
                     techniques.
 Modify              Change the data – combine, transform, derive
                     variables.

 Model               Construct models that explain patterns in data.


 Assess              Assess usefulness, reliability and repeatability of
                     models. Apply to another sample. Test against data
                     with known results.
 February 27, 2010                                                             95
Summary and Next Steps




 February 27, 2010       96
Business Drivers

•   Greater competition is the norm
•   Difficult economic conditions
•   Price cuts and reduced investment
•   Customer have (and know they have) a choice - capture and retain customers
•   Customer-services oriented
•   Cost cutting by large/corporate users
•   Flattening of price disparities
•   New services/markets - customers outside
•   current services
•   Cross-sell to existing customers
•   Disintermediation
•   Understand customer behaviour
•   React to changes quickly
•   Become and stay competitive

    February 27, 2010                                                            97
Customer Management Dilemma

•   Customer acquisition and retention against
•   competition
•   Improved customer service - loyalty bonus, privileges,
    affiliation programs, discounts
•   Cost of programmes vs. benefits
•   Good customers vs. bad
•   Need to direct customer service investment
•   Intelligent CRM investment can yield benefits


    February 27, 2010                                        98
CRM Building Blocks

•   Two fundamental pre-requisites to effective CRM
    implementation and operation
•   Data warehouse that contains a unified view of customers
    for other applications to query and analyse
      − Provides accurate and complete customer data to all operational
        business processes that require customer data
      − Improved and differentiated customer service
      − Increased revenue via improved cross-selling
•   Cost analysis exercise
      − Understand where your costs really arise


    February 27, 2010                                                     99
More Information

          Alan McSweeney
          alan@alanmcsweeney.com




 February 27, 2010                 100

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Overview Of Effective CRM Implementation And Operation

  • 1. Overview of Effective CRM Implementation and Operation Alan McSweeney
  • 2. Objectives • To provide an overview of effective CRM system implementation and operation February 27, 2010 2
  • 3. Agenda • Introduction to CRM • Customer Analysis and Segmentation • CRM Implementation Approach • Activity Based Costing for CRM Analysis • Data Mining • Summary February 27, 2010 3
  • 4. What is CRM? • End-to-end customer management • Process enabled by set of technologies • Process designed to integrate all customer interactions through all channels • Like all processes organisational change is needed • CRM systems need information and applications support • CRM processes should be consistent and repeatable February 27, 2010 4
  • 5. Illusion of Customer Relationship Management • Myth of CRM • Customers are not outsiders • We are all customers – of utilities, service providers, financial institutions, government agencies • CRM is about how WE want to be treated by our service providers • When we talk about customers (THEM), we mean us • How do you want to be treated by your service providers? • That is exactly how your customers want to be treated by you February 27, 2010 5
  • 6. Customer Service and Customer Satisfaction • Poor customer service is still pervasive despite awareness of the need for and benefits of improved customer service • Many organisations have not changed their business processes to deliver improved customer service and provide what customers want • Improved customer service means optimising end-to-end processes from the customer viewpoint − Involves linking multiple internal processes to get cross-functional view from customer perspective February 27, 2010 6
  • 7. What Customers Really Want – More For Less • More Of • Less Of − Value − Aggravation − Responsiveness − Time to Complete Transaction − Involvement − Rigidity − Consideration − Cost − Dependability − Bureaucracy − Flexibility − Excuses − Lack of Integration February 27, 2010 7
  • 8. What Organisations Try to Do – More With Less • More Of • Less Of − Work − Personnel − Customers − Facilities − Sales − Cost − Revenue − Margin February 27, 2010 8
  • 9. Balance Between Internal and External • Need to balance management focus between “more with less” and “most for less” • More with less focuses on internal reductions: cost, staff • More for less focuses on external improvements • Only a cross-functional customer-oriented view of business processes can achieve this balance − Internal processes focus on operational functions − Cross-functional view links internal processes to get end-to-end customer view of organisation • Cross-functional processes are those that really affect customers – from start to end February 27, 2010 9
  • 10. Overall CRM Solution Architecture Continuous dialogue across all customer channels/touch points Personalised Consistent user experience products/services based on across all contact points customer needs and expectations Real-time access to all customer information across the enterprise February 27, 2010 10
  • 11. Technology and Application Components of a CRM Strategy Sales Force Campaign Document Call Centre Automation Management Management Automation Data Customer Profile Warehousing CRM Strategy Database Workflow and Data Mining/ Telesales Internet/ Process Modelling Automation Intranet/ Extranet February 27, 2010 11
  • 12. CRM and Related Systems Architectural Elements Business Functions Business Activities Architectural Elements Search Engines General User Targeted Customer Acquisition Mail/Email Advertising Acquisition Systems General Use General Use Call Centres Web Systems Interface Interface Call Centre Systems Targeted User Content and Banner Ads Web Content Web Applications Offers Call Centre Call Centre Scripts Applications Fulfilment Order Entry, Operational Tracking Systems Management Financial User Analysis Reporting Financial Systems External Trends February 27, 2010 12
  • 13. Why CRM • Greater competition • Economics of customer retention • Available technology • Options to increase customer profitability: − Get more customers − Optimise value of existing customers − Retain right customers longer − Implement at lower cost • Costs of options: − Customer acquisition 5-10 greater than retention − Loyal customers spend more and pay premium − Loyal customers must like and trust companies February 27, 2010 13
  • 14. Customer Management Trends • Recognise customer heterogenity • Companies want to get “up close and personal” with their customers • Transact with customers individually • “Joined up” customer interaction February 27, 2010 14
  • 15. CRM Process • CRM is about: − Integration of customer contact points − Synchronisation of customer information and − management assets − Identification highest (and lowest) value customers − Servicing those with greatest actual or potential value • CRM enables: − Reduction of marketing costs through effective − targeted campaigns − Increase in customer satisfaction and retention − Increase in sales − Improvement in profitability by customer and sale February 27, 2010 15
  • 16. Characteristics of Service Leaders • Grow twice as fast as competitors • 6% annual market share growth vs. 1% market loss • Charge 10% more • 12% average return on sales vs. 1% • Market changes - speed to react determines success or failure − US - 60% in Fortune 500 in 1970 are no longer on list February 27, 2010 16
  • 17. Which Customers? • 20% of customers generate 80% of profit • 5% increase in customer retention means 25%-95% increase in profitability • New customers take 8-10 contacts before sale • Existing customers take 2-3 contacts before sale February 27, 2010 17
  • 18. Customer Service • 95% of customers who have had problems will continue to do business if problems are resolved • For every complaint you receive there are another 20 potential complaints that have not been articulated but still represent • Good customers tell about 3 others of their experience • Bad customers tell about 8 of their experience • 68% of former customers left because of poor customer service February 27, 2010 18
  • 19. Customer Earnings Over Time (Service Industry Example) • Continually acquiring new customers and losing existing customers costs money • Customer retention through increased customer satisfaction is financially worthwhile • Better customer service makes long- Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 term sense • Need a balance Acquisition Cost Base Profit between customer Profit from Increased Purchases Cost Savings retention and new Referrals Price Premium customer acquisition February 27, 2010 19
  • 20. Customer Retention and Profitability • Leaky Bucket Effect Acquire Customers 50-60% (or More) Every Five Years Customers Defect to Other Suppliers (“Churn”) February 27, 2010 20
  • 21. Example of Profit Contribution by Customer Type 200% 25% High Value Loyal Low Value -125% • Not all customers have the same value • Can you identify your customers? February 27, 2010 21
  • 22. Example of Profit Contribution by Customer Type for All Customers - 1 • Customer Total profile is balanced that results Low Value in net profit Loyal High Value -150% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% Individual Customer Profit Contribution Percentage of Total Customers Weighted Contribution February 27, 2010 22
  • 23. Example of Profit Contribution by Customer Type for All Customers - 2 • In this example, Total there is a high percentage of low value customers Low Value (perhaps due to high rates of customer churn Loyal and cost of new customer acquisition) • Net result is an High Value overall loss -150% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% Individual Customer Profit Contribution Percentage of Total Customers Weighted Contribution February 27, 2010 23
  • 24. Role of Data Warehouse in CRM • Technology/infrastructure core of architecture • Allow marketers to make decisions on customer segmentations and profiles and match products/offers • Data Warehouse enables CRM processes • CRM elements depend on quality of information in • Data Warehouse and accuracy of derived results • Central common repository or all relevant allows effective data sharing and reduces latency • “Joined-up” approach to CRM • CRM assumes good information February 27, 2010 24
  • 25. Integrated CRM Sales Data Sales Force Service Calls Customer Customer Data Service Warehouse Campaigns/ Call Customer Special Offers Customer Centre Interaction Self Service Database Internet Mailing Lists Direct Mail February 27, 2010 25
  • 26. Customer Lifetime Value • LTV = net present value of all future contributions to overhead and profit expected from a new customer • How much a customer is worth to you today, given the expected profit in the future February 27, 2010 26
  • 27. Customer Value • Retail - lose one customer per day every day for a year (7 days per week) that spends €50 per week = annual loss of €482,000 • Car manufacturer - increase customer retention by 1% for 4 years = €160 million increase in profit • Fast food = each customer is worth €10,000 over lifetime February 27, 2010 27
  • 28. Marketing Objectives • Objectives: − Acquire new customers − Retain existing (profitable) customers • How much money should be allocated to these? • How will this affect long-term profitability? • Does every customer deserve the same investment? February 27, 2010 28
  • 29. LTV Answers • How much you can afford to spend to acquire a new customer? • Which new customer sources generate the most profitable long-term customers? • How much you can spend to retain/reactivate an existing customer? February 27, 2010 29
  • 30. Sample Customer LTV Calculation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenues Customers 100,000 60,000 37,200 24,180 16,926 Retention 60% 62% 65% 70% 75% Rate Spending Per €75 €100 €125 €140 €140 Customer Per Year Total €7,500,000 €6,000,000 €4,650,000 €3,385,200 €2,369,640 Costs Cost Percent 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% Total Costs €3,000,000 €2,400,000 €1,860,000 €1,354,080 €947,856 Profits Gross Profit €4,500,000 €3,600,000 €2,790,000 €2,031,120 €1,421,784 Discount 1.00 1.04 1.08 1.12 1.17 Rate Yearly NPV Profit NPV €4,500,000 €3,461,538 €2,579,512 €1,805,658 €1,215,347 Cumulative €4,500,000 €7,961,538 €10,541,050 €12,346,709 €13,562,056 NPV Profit Customer €45 €80 €105 €123 €136 LTV • This example shows the calculation of the long-term value of a customer • This is just a simple example to illustrate the concept February 27, 2010 30
  • 31. Sample Customer LTV Calculation Number of customers each year based on the • A customer customer retention rate Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 retained for Revenues Customers 100,000 60,000 37,200 24,180 16,926 five years is Total revenue for all Retention 60% 62% 65% 70% 75% worth €136 Rate customers each Spending Per €75 €100 €125 €140 €140 expressed in year Customer Per current year Year Total €7,500,000 €6,000,000 €4,650,000 €3,385,200 €2,369,640 money Costs Cost Percent 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% • Increasing the Total Costs €3,000,000 €2,400,000 €1,860,000 €1,354,080 €947,856 NPV of profit Profits retention rate expressed in current year values, Gross Profit Discount €4,500,000 1.00 €3,600,000 1.04 €2,790,000 1.08 €2,031,120 1.12 €1,421,784 1.17 and based on NPV rate Rate Yearly increasing the NPV Profit NPV €4,500,000 €3,461,538 €2,579,512 €1,805,658 €1,215,347 amount spent Cumulative €4,500,000 €7,961,538 €10,541,050 €12,346,709 €13,562,056 by customer NPV Profit LTV of individual Customer €45 €80 €105 €123 €136 by upselling customer if LTV and cross- retained for that selling will number of years increase LTV February 27, 2010 31
  • 32. Sample Customer LTV Calculation With Increased Retention Rate Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Revenues Customers 100,000 80,000 64,000 51,200 40,960 Retention 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% Rate Spending Per €75 €100 €125 €140 €140 Customer Per Year Total €7,500,000 €8,000,000 €8,000,000 €7,168,000 €5,734,400 Revenue Costs Cost Percent 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% Total Costs €3,000,000 €3,200,000 €3,200,000 €2,867,200 €2,293,760 Profits Gross Profit €4,500,000 €4,800,000 €4,800,000 €4,300,800 €3,440,640 Discount 1.00 1.04 1.08 1.12 1.17 Rate Yearly NPV Profit NPV €4,500,000 €4,615,385 €4,437,870 €3,823,396 €2,941,073 Cumulative €4,500,000 €9,115,385 €13,553,254 €17,376,650 €20,317,723 NPV Profit Customer €45 €91 €136 €174 €203 LTV • An increased customer retention rate increases the LTV of customers February 27, 2010 32
  • 33. Measuring LTV • Customer Transaction History • What they have purchased (preferably item level detail) • How much they have spent • When they have purchased • How many returned / cancelled items • Where they have purchased • Potential indicators of why they have purchased: special offers, holiday promotion, etc. • Financial Measures • Cost of Goods (preferably at the item level) • Fixed, Variable and Fulfillment costs • Gross/Net Sales Ratios • Promotion History • How many promotions/contacts they received • When they received the promotions • Special offers and other promotion characteristics • Promotional costs February 27, 2010 33
  • 34. Customer Segments • Useful simple starting point • Easy to match to campaigns • Analyse movement between segments • Sample segment types for a campaign: − Cold prospect - no history − Warm prospect - some response to previous campaigns − New customer - bought item − Confirmed customer - bought two items − Regular, including last campaign - buys frequently − including last campaign − Regular but not last campaign − Regular but not last two campaign − Lapsed regular February 27, 2010 34
  • 35. Segmentation • Identifying and classifying groups based on buying characteristics and profile • Telecommunications example: − Tariff 1 − Tariff 2 − Tariff 3 − Pre-Pay − Migrate to Competitor 1 − Migrate to Competitor 2 − Migrate from Competitor 1 to Tariff 1 − Migrate from Competitor 1 to Tariff 2 February 27, 2010 35
  • 36. Sales Campaign Effects on LTV • Customers move between segments − “Regular but not last campaign” moves to “Regular, including last campaign” − Migration changes customer value • The campaign has costs • Estimate net long-term benefit of campaign to organisation February 27, 2010 36
  • 37. LTV and Campaign Example – Initial Status Segment Number of Projected Projected Segment Value Classification Customers Lifetime Sales Lifetime Profit New Customer 10,000 €2,000 €300 €3,000,000 Confirmed 30,000 €3,000 €450 €13,500,000 Customer Regular Including 60,000 €5,500 €825 €49,500,000 Last Campaign Regular But Not 35,000 €4,500 €650 €22,750,000 Last Campaign Regular But Not 25,000 €3,500 €525 €13,125,000 Last Two Campaigns Lapsed Regular 55,000 €500 €75 €4,125,000 TOTAL 215,000 €106,000,000 February 27, 2010 37
  • 38. LTV and Campaign Example - Campaign Results Segment Number of Percent Number Average Total Amount Classification Customers Responded Responded Amount Spent for Segment Cold Prospect 60,000 3% 1,800 €50 €90,000 Warm Prospect 30,000 5% 1,500 €60 €90,000 New Customer 10,000 8% 800 €70 €56,000 Confirmed 30,000 10% 3,000 €80 Customer €240,000 Regular Including 60,000 65% 39,000 €100 Last Campaign €3,900,000 Regular But Not 35,000 50% 17,500 €90 Last Campaign €1,575,000 Regular But Not 25,000 30% 7,500 €80 Last Two Campaigns €600,000 Lapsed Regular 55,000 15% 8,250 €70 €577,500 TOTAL 305,000 79,350 €7,128,500 Gross Profit €1,069,275 Campaign Costs €610,000 Net Profit €459,275 February 27, 2010 38
  • 39. LTV and Campaign Example - Changes to LTV Segment Number of Projected Projected Segment Value Number of Segment Value Change in Classification Customers Lifetime Sales Lifetime Profit Before Customers After Campaign Lifetime Value Before Campaign After Campaign Campaign New Customer 10,000 €2,000 €300 €3,000,000 13,300 €3,990,000 €990,000 Confirmed 30,000 €3,000 €450 €13,500,000 33,800 €15,210,000 €1,710,000 Customer Regular Including 60,000 €5,500 €825 €49,500,000 72,750 €60,018,750 €10,518,750 Last Campaign Regular But Not 35,000 €4,500 €650 €22,750,000 21,000 €13,650,000 -€9,100,000 Last Campaign Regular But Not 25,000 €3,500 €525 €13,125,000 17,500 €9,187,500 -€3,937,500 Last Two Campaigns Lapsed Regular 55,000 €500 €75 €4,125,000 72,500 €5,437,500 €1,312,500 TOTAL 215,000 €106,000,000 230,850 €107,493,750 €1,493,750 February 27, 2010 39
  • 40. LTV and Campaign Example - Migration Between Segments Cold Prospect Warm Prospect New Customer Confirmed Regular Regular But Regular But Lapsed Regular TO Customer Including Last Not Last Not Last Two FROM Campaign Campaign Campaigns Cold Prospect 1,800 Warm Prospect 1,500 New Customer 800 Confirmed Customer Regular 39,000 21,000 Including Last Campaign Regular But 17,500 17,500 Not Last Campaign Regular But 17,500 Not Last Two Campaigns Lapsed Regular 8,250 February 27, 2010 40
  • 41. CRM Solution Implementation Approach Vision Creation Enterprise Gap Analysis Roadmap for and Confirmation Assessment Change • How to align organisation and customer objectives • Audit of company business processes, technology, communications and structure • Gaps between current and future • Plan for change February 27, 2010 41
  • 42. Vision Creation and Confirmation • Company Objectives − Who is our ideal customer − How should we do business “value discipline” • Customer Objectives − Identify and understand expectations − Marketing from customer rather than company perspective February 27, 2010 42
  • 43. Identifying the Ideal Customer(s) • Behaviour − Spending habits - amounts, number and type of items − Payment preferences - cash, cheque, credit/debit card − Visit frequency - regular, need, promotion − Incentives redeemed - avail of loyalty schemes • Customer Value − Total amount spent and profit − Frequency − Incentives redeemed - avail of loyalty schemes • Channels − Branches − Call centre − Web February 27, 2010 43
  • 44. Defining Value Discipline • Defines how to do business and why customer chooses • Product/Service Leadership − Best product or service available • Operational Excellence − Best value and convenience • Customer Intimacy − Pursue long-term relationship, customer attentive • Reflects types of customers − Different people like different ways of buying February 27, 2010 44
  • 45. Enterprise Assessment • Purpose − Audit of company business processes, technology, communications and structure • Elements − Identifying all customer interaction points − Activity-based costing analysis − Quantifying market trends and drivers − Identifying and profiling competitors − Identifying customer and company “pains” February 27, 2010 45
  • 46. Activity Costs • Costs and revenue of interactions • Fixed costs − Cost per mail/e-mail item − Costs of good/services sold − Cost per order entry − Infrastructure costs − Variable costs − Service call times − Billing/collection − Incentives • Calculate customer value • Generate insights into operation of organisation February 27, 2010 46
  • 47. Identify Company and Customer “Pains” • Pain = problem, business issue or missed opportunity • Customer pains = annoyance, discontent, dissatisfaction • Company pains = profit erosion, increases in costs, competition, errors, returns, employee turnover • Results = lack of brand/company loyalty, customer defection, reduction in market share, reduction in profits February 27, 2010 47
  • 48. Gap Analysis • Barriers that must be overcome to allow organisation to evolve from current to future state • Assess hazards and difficulties of transition • Categories of gaps: − People − Process − Technology February 27, 2010 48
  • 49. People Gaps • Impair ability to do job or reduce desire to work effectively • Stringent policies mean inflexibility and slow response to urgent problems • Change to customer-centric operation requires learning, training and management − “I’m not in sales/marketing. Why are you talking to me?” − “I’ve been here for 20 years and I don’t see why we should change now.” − “I am willing to support the project 100% as long as it does not affect me.” − “This is the way it’s always been done and it’s worked well up to now.” − “I’ve got 15 minutes to talk to you. I’m very busy with important things.” February 27, 2010 49
  • 50. Process Gaps • Breakdowns/bottlenecks in a process intended to produce a result • Occur at handoffs between stages/sections, incorrectly routed requests • Process should handle all (reasonable) eventualities and provide information at all stages • Process can be rigid (rules for all events) or flexible (allow devolved decision making) February 27, 2010 50
  • 51. Technology Gaps • Limitations in technology infrastructure to support CRM process • Examples: − Campaign management − Call Centre automation − Sales Force automation − Customer Data Warehouse/OLAP facility − Sufficient Internet presence − Data Mining February 27, 2010 51
  • 52. Gap Resolution • “Gap map” shows number and severity of gaps between current and future states • Overlapping gaps should get highest priority • Address gaps in parallel • May not be possible to identify all gaps February 27, 2010 52
  • 53. Roadmap for Change • Customer value alignment • Market positions and competitive directions • Business model • Success metrics and critical success factors February 27, 2010 53
  • 54. Customer Value Alignment Customer: Who is your ideal The Right Customer customer and what are his/her needs? Cost: What is the value to The Right Offer the customer? Communication: When is the right The Right Time time to communicate an offer? Convenience: How does your The Right Channel customer prefer to interact with you? February 27, 2010 54
  • 55. Customer Value Alignment • Segmentation of customer base – identify types • Implementation of customer marketing strategies • Allow development of right time/offer/channel based on customer knowledge • Improve customer service, reputation, loyalty February 27, 2010 55
  • 56. CRM Success Metrics • Increase retention in top n% of customers by x% • Increase bottom-line profitability by x% • Reduce negative value customers by x% • Increase customers in high value segment by x% • Improve customer satisfaction index by n% February 27, 2010 56
  • 57. Knowing Your Costs: Activity Based Costing for CRM Analysis February 27, 2010 57
  • 58. Ways to Determine Cost • Organisational Element Accounting Accounting System Direct Costs Overhead February 27, 2010 58
  • 59. Ways to Determine Cost • Budgetary Cost Distribution / Commitment Accounting Accounting System Commitments and Obligations February 27, 2010 59
  • 60. Ways to Determine Cost • Traditional Cost Accounting Direct Labour Overhead Output Activities Cost Direct Materials February 27, 2010 60
  • 61. Ways to Determine Cost • Activity Based Costing Direct Labour and Overhead Output Activities Cost Direct Materials February 27, 2010 61
  • 62. Activity Based Costing • Activity-based costing (ABC) is a costing model that identifies activities in an organisation and assigns the cost of each activity to all products and services according to the actual consumption of those activities by each products or services • Used as a tool for understanding product and service and customer cost and profitability • ABC supports strategic decisions such as pricing, investments, outsourcing and identification and measurement of process improvement initiatives • Fallen out of favour but a very useful tool to understand costs February 27, 2010 62
  • 63. Activity Based Costing • Establishing a cross-functional view of your organisation and understanding what drives your costs • Pulling apart indirect or hidden costs and attributing them correctly to products and services Resources Cost Drivers Activities Performance Measures Products and Customers February 27, 2010 63
  • 64. ABC Relationship to CRM • CRM is about retaining your most profitable customers • In order to determine profit, you need to know a lot about your costs • To work out your costs, you need to work out what your organisation actually does • Which processes are consuming your resources? February 27, 2010 64
  • 65. Benefits of ABC • Go beyond understanding your customers − What drives costs? − More informed macro and micro decision making − Staff planning − How your organisation interacts with customers - face-to-face, web, call centre and other channels February 27, 2010 65
  • 66. Steps to Implementing ABC General Ledger and Other Sources Departments Activities Cost Objects Calculate Profitability February 27, 2010 66
  • 67. Defining Activities • Most organisations use the cost centre structure • Recast cost centre structure into activities • Usually a hierarchy of activities − Direct identification with product or service − Process support − Organisation and facility support − Customer/market support • Map from cost centre into activity hierarchy February 27, 2010 67
  • 69. Cost Calculation • Direct Costs + Overheads = Total Cost February 27, 2010 69
  • 70. Traditional Cost Accounting View - Direct Costs • Product A • Product B − 100 units − 950 units − 1 hour direct labour @ €20/hour − 2 hours direct labour @ €20/hour − €20/unit direct cost − €40/unit direct cost • Total amount of effort for 100 units of Product A and 950 units of Product B is 2000 hours • Assume the overheads total is €100,000 February 27, 2010 70
  • 71. Traditional Cost Accounting View - Overheads • Traditional Cost Accounting Overhead Costs − = €100,000 / 2000 hours − = €50 per hour • Product A − = €50 x 1 hour − = €50 • Product B − = €50 x 2 hours − = €100 February 27, 2010 71
  • 72. Traditional Cost Accounting View - Total Cost • Product A • Product B • Direct Costs = €20 • Direct Costs = €40 • + Overhead = €50 • + Overhead = €100 • Total Cost = €70 • Total Cost = €140 February 27, 2010 72
  • 73. ABC View - Overheads • Activity Total Cost Cost Driver • Setup €10,000 Number of setups • Machining €40,000 Number of hours • Receiving €10,000 Number of receipts • Packaging €10,000 Number of deliveries • Engineering €30,000 Number of hours • Total €100,000 February 27, 2010 73
  • 74. ABC View - Overheads Product A Cost Product B Cost Totals Setup 1 €2,500 3 €7,500 €10,000 Machining 100 €2,000 1,900 €38,000 €40,000 Receiving 1 €2,500 3 €7,500 €10,000 Packing 1 €2,500 3 €7,500 €10,000 Engineering 500 €15,000 500 €15,000 €30,000 Total €24,500 €75,500 €100,000 February 27, 2010 74
  • 75. ABC View - Overheads • Apportioning total overheads for each product according to their demand • Product A − €24,500 / 100 = €245 • Product B − €75,500 / 950 = €79.47 February 27, 2010 75
  • 76. ABC - A Different Picture • Product A • Product B • Direct Costs = €20 • Direct Costs = €40 • + ABC Overhead = €245 • + ABC Overhead = €79.47 • Total Cost = €265 • Total Cost = €119.47 February 27, 2010 76
  • 77. Comparison Between Traditional Cost Accounting and ABC Product A Product B TCA ABC TCA ABC Direct €20 €20 €40 €40 Overhead €50 €245 €100 €79.47 Total €70 €265 €140 €119.47 February 27, 2010 77
  • 78. Which is the Right Actual Cost? • ABC provides a better understanding of consumption of resources February 27, 2010 78
  • 79. Products or Customers • Your least profitable customers might be caused by products that appear inexpensive but actually are not • One bank in the US found that 100% of its profits came from only 20% of its customers • Customer Needs, Customer Cost, Convenience, Communication February 27, 2010 79
  • 80. The CRM Challenge • If I know who the customers are, can someone tell me why they are profitable, can I then identify or profile others that could become profitable and tell me how I can actually do this ? February 27, 2010 80
  • 81. The CRM Challenge • Who − A data warehouse can identify customers • Why − Activity Based Costing will help show why some customers are more profitable than others • How − ABC, product design and development, campaign development and management February 27, 2010 81
  • 82. Understanding and Profiling your Customers February 27, 2010 82
  • 83. CRM Marketing Requires • The one to one enterprise forms learning relationships with its customers • In a learning relationship, customers teach the organisation about themselves • The organisation uses what it learns to make the customers’ lives easier • Customers find it easier to do business with the one to one enterprise because of what they have taught it. − Address, language, size, seat preference, allergies, taste in music, contact preferences - method, time February 27, 2010 83
  • 84. CRM Marketing Requires • To form a learning relationship with your customers • Notice their needs − On-Line Transaction Processing systems are the corporate eyes and ears • Remember their activities and preferences − A Decision Support Data Warehouse is the corporate memory • Learn from past interactions how to serve them better in the future − Data analysis tools provides the intelligence you need to turn memories into plans February 27, 2010 84
  • 85. Data and Information Gap • Within most organisations, there is a noticeable information gap − Timely access to information − Access to accurate and complete information − Access to information at an appropriate level of detail − Inconsistent and patchy information from various business systems and units • Which of these statements apply to you? − The data is there but getting access to it is complicated or not possible − Finding and collating data across different information sources is often very difficult − Performance data is not available quickly enough to act on it effectively − There is excessive information that conceals what is really needed or important − Some of the information required is simply not being captured February 27, 2010 85
  • 86. Customer Data Problem • Today most companies have multiple repositories for customer data • Inaccurate and incomplete view of the customer relationship • Inability to understand the value of the customer • Difficult to determine the correct product offer based on inaccurate customer data • Inefficient customer service February 27, 2010 86
  • 87. Closing the Information Gap • Closing the information gap is an essential pre- requisite of implementing effective and usable business process management • Responsibility of both the business and IT working collaboratively. February 27, 2010 87
  • 88. Data, Information/Knowledge and Action February 27, 2010 88
  • 89. Data, Information/Knowledge and Action Cycle • Data refers to the source figures and numbers. It is the raw material for analysis − Data gap is the absence of the tools and operational processes to consistently collect, store, manage the data and make available tools to perform analyses. • Information/Knowledge is the value extracted from the raw data − Information gap is the absence of insight caused by the lack of defined metrics and indicators and their timely and accurate availability and usability. • Action is the need for operational business processes to ensure that the information presented is used and acted upon • The Data, Information/Knowledge, Action cycle means that there must be a continuum from collecting the raw data to using it effectively • Process to achieve this must be embedded in the organisation February 27, 2010 89
  • 90. Key Measures • Overall financial performance • Overall operational • Performance of partnerships performance and alliances • Performance relative to • Product and service line competition profitability • Delivery of profit and value to • Client profitability clients • Client acquisition and retention • Client satisfaction • Staff performance February 27, 2010 90
  • 91. Data Mining • Exploration and analysis, by automatic or semi-automatic means, of large quantities of data in order to discover meaningful patterns and rules • In order to develop new products and services that are demanded by the customer, that can be delivered profitably by the organisation and to remove unwanted customers and/or products February 27, 2010 91
  • 92. Data Mining Styles • Using the past to predict the future − Prediction − Classification − Estimation • Finding customer segments and other interesting things in the data − Clustering − Market basket − Description February 27, 2010 92
  • 93. Why Data Mining • Segment customers into groups with similar buying patterns • Increase response rate from campaigns • Identify loyal customers • Identify profitable customers • Identify campaigns that will generate responses • Understand why customers leave • Understand purchasing patterns • Identify fraud • Predict customers who will leave • Predict future outcomes • Assess impact of changes February 27, 2010 93
  • 94. The Data Mining Spiral Knowledge Action Information Data February 27, 2010 94
  • 95. Data Mining Methodology Sample Identify and collect data. Sample or entire dataset. Sample size and sampling technique. Explore Look for inherent trends, clusters and groups. Look for and eliminate extreme values. Reduce number of important variables. Data visualisation and statistical techniques. Modify Change the data – combine, transform, derive variables. Model Construct models that explain patterns in data. Assess Assess usefulness, reliability and repeatability of models. Apply to another sample. Test against data with known results. February 27, 2010 95
  • 96. Summary and Next Steps February 27, 2010 96
  • 97. Business Drivers • Greater competition is the norm • Difficult economic conditions • Price cuts and reduced investment • Customer have (and know they have) a choice - capture and retain customers • Customer-services oriented • Cost cutting by large/corporate users • Flattening of price disparities • New services/markets - customers outside • current services • Cross-sell to existing customers • Disintermediation • Understand customer behaviour • React to changes quickly • Become and stay competitive February 27, 2010 97
  • 98. Customer Management Dilemma • Customer acquisition and retention against • competition • Improved customer service - loyalty bonus, privileges, affiliation programs, discounts • Cost of programmes vs. benefits • Good customers vs. bad • Need to direct customer service investment • Intelligent CRM investment can yield benefits February 27, 2010 98
  • 99. CRM Building Blocks • Two fundamental pre-requisites to effective CRM implementation and operation • Data warehouse that contains a unified view of customers for other applications to query and analyse − Provides accurate and complete customer data to all operational business processes that require customer data − Improved and differentiated customer service − Increased revenue via improved cross-selling • Cost analysis exercise − Understand where your costs really arise February 27, 2010 99
  • 100. More Information Alan McSweeney alan@alanmcsweeney.com February 27, 2010 100