This presentation (with minor changes) was made at both the 2009 AMPO Annual Conference and the 2010 ITE Technical Conference. It discusses the methodology and results of an study estimating a transportation funding shortfall in Florida. The results are not promising-- a metropolitan 20-year shortfall of $62.5 billion is predicted.

1. Estimating a Statewide Funding Shortfall Using MPO Long Range Plans Alex Bond, AICP University of South Florida March 16, 2010

9. Shortfall Methodology

12. TWENTY-YEAR STATEWIDE FUNDING SHORTFALL CURRENT YEAR FDOT WORK PROGRAM

15. Shortfalls Varied Considerably Larger shortfalls in new, high-growth areas Smaller shortfalls in older, lower-growth areas One area had no shortfall at all! MPO 20-year Shortfall (millions) Percent Shortfall Okaloosa-Walton $6,399.2 85.3% Gainesville $359.1 84.4% Lee $4,668.6 63.5% Brevard $935.4 57.4% Pasco $1,644.4 51.4% First Coast $3,166.8 47.2% Collier $2,103.2 41.4% Capital Region $1,066.5 38.8% Sarasota/Manatee $983.9 26.6% Broward $2,245.0 24.2% Miami-Dade $3,260.6 14.3% METROPLAN Orlando $1,244.5 12.7% Pinellas $741.1 9.4% Indian River -$19.8 -2.3% Total $62,472.5 42.9%

17. Alex Bond, AICP ALBond@cutr.usf.edu (813) 974-9779 Report available from www.mpoac.org/documents