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PROBABILITY
COMPLEMENT OF AN EVENT


Definition: The complement of an event A is the set of all
outcomes in the sample space that are not included in the
outcomes of event A . The complement of event A is
represented by

Rule: Given the probability of an event, the probability of its
complement can be found by subtracting the given probability
from 1 . P( )= 1 - P(A)
MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS


Definition: Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot
occur at the same time (i.e., they have no outcomes in
common).
ADDITION RULES


Addition Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are mutually
exclusive, the probability that A or B will occur is the sum of
the probability of each event.

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

Addition Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are non -mutually
exclusive, the probability that A or B will occur is: P(A or B)
= P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
INDEPENDENT EVENTS


Definition: Two events, A and B, are independent if the fact
that A occurs does not af fect the probability of B occurring.

Multiplication Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are
independent, the probability of both occurring is: P(A and B)
= P(A) • P(B)
DEPENDENT EVENTS


Definition: Two events are dependent if the outcome or
occurrence of the first af fects the outcome or occurrence of
the second so that the probability is changed.
CONDITIONAL PROBABILIT Y


Definition: The conditional probability of an event B in
relationship to an event A is the probability that event B
occurs given that event A has already occurred. The notation
for conditional probability is P(B|A) [pronounced as The
probability of event B given A].

Multiplication Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are
dependent, the probability of both occurring is: P(A and B) =
P(A) • P(B|A)
ARRANGEMENTS AND COMBINATIONS


 Arrangement-ordering of items (also called Permutation).
 Arrangements can be expressed using a tree diagram, which
 shows all the possibilities

 Combination-the number of ways of selecting B objects from A
  objects. Choice in the order of the items does not matter

 Fundamental Counting Principle - the number of possible ways
  to get an outcome. The events are independent so the
  outcomes are multiplied.

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Probability

  • 2. COMPLEMENT OF AN EVENT Definition: The complement of an event A is the set of all outcomes in the sample space that are not included in the outcomes of event A . The complement of event A is represented by Rule: Given the probability of an event, the probability of its complement can be found by subtracting the given probability from 1 . P( )= 1 - P(A)
  • 3. MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS Definition: Two events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur at the same time (i.e., they have no outcomes in common).
  • 4. ADDITION RULES Addition Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive, the probability that A or B will occur is the sum of the probability of each event. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) Addition Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are non -mutually exclusive, the probability that A or B will occur is: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
  • 5. INDEPENDENT EVENTS Definition: Two events, A and B, are independent if the fact that A occurs does not af fect the probability of B occurring. Multiplication Rule 1: When two events, A and B, are independent, the probability of both occurring is: P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B)
  • 6. DEPENDENT EVENTS Definition: Two events are dependent if the outcome or occurrence of the first af fects the outcome or occurrence of the second so that the probability is changed.
  • 7. CONDITIONAL PROBABILIT Y Definition: The conditional probability of an event B in relationship to an event A is the probability that event B occurs given that event A has already occurred. The notation for conditional probability is P(B|A) [pronounced as The probability of event B given A]. Multiplication Rule 2: When two events, A and B, are dependent, the probability of both occurring is: P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B|A)
  • 8. ARRANGEMENTS AND COMBINATIONS Arrangement-ordering of items (also called Permutation). Arrangements can be expressed using a tree diagram, which shows all the possibilities  Combination-the number of ways of selecting B objects from A objects. Choice in the order of the items does not matter  Fundamental Counting Principle - the number of possible ways to get an outcome. The events are independent so the outcomes are multiplied.