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Market of Carbon Fibers and
           Carbon Fiber Components
                  2011-2015
             Market structure, dynamics
                    and outlook



Slide 1       © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…


The entire market based on Carbon Fibers is ~XX bn EUR
CFC MARKET 2011, VALUE ADDED (ESTIMATE) [BILLION EUR]




                              Carbon Fiber           Semi-finished            Components           Total
                                                       Products




Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 2                                      © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…
In 2011, the CF market was characterized by some excess
capacities
EFFECTIVE CAPACITY AND DEMAND PER REGION 2011 [1.000 METRIC TONS]1




              Asia (incl. India)                                   Europe                                        Americas


             CF demand                       CF effective capacity

1 Rounded figures; capacity based on major players’ effective capacities excluding forecast new entrants; conservative demand estimate
Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 3                                       © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…
Industrial is the largest CF segment with the highest
absolute volume growth until 2015
DEVELOPMENT OF GLOBAL CF DEMAND PER SEGMENT 2011 VS. 2015 [1.000 METRIC TONS]




                                                                       XX% CAGR




                   Sports
                     Aero


              Industrial


                                   2011            Sports                  Aero                  Industrial   2015


Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 4                                    © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…


Sport applications will increase XX% per year until 2015
OVERVIEW: GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CF SPORTS APPLICATIONS [1.000 METRIC TONS]




                                                                                                   Market Outlook 2015
                                 XX% CAGR

                                                                                                                         Find out
                                                                                   Golf              Market …            more…


                                                                                                                         Find out
                                                                                   Tennis            Slight …            more…


                                                                                                                         Find out
                                                                                   Bicycles          Stable …            more…


                                                                                   Boats /                               Find out
                                                                                                     Market …            more…
                                                                                   Marine

                                                                                                                         Find out
          2011        2012            2013        2014           2015              Others            In general …        more…




Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 5                                      © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…
Aero applications are expected to grow by XX% per year
until 2015
OVERVIEW: GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CF AERO APPLICATIONS [1.000 METRIC TONS]




                                 XX% CAGR                                                            Market dynamics
                                                                                                               Carbon
                                                                                      Announced Programs                 Orders
                                                                                                              Employed

                                                                                      Boeing B787               XX%       ~XX

                                                                                      Boeing 737 Successor     ~XX%       XX

                                                                                      Airbus A350               XX%       XX

                                                                                      Chinese C919 (et al.)     XX%       XX

                                                                                      Russian MS21              XX%       <XX

                                                                                           Overall airplane demand will grow
                                                                                               XX% per year until 2030
          2011        2012            2013          2014           2015

1 Total 737 orders 2011 as of May 5th, 2011
2 Total A350 orders 2011 as of May 5th, 2011
3 Total order volume as of April 29th, 2011
4 Total order volume as of July 21st, 2010
Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 6                                        © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…
Industry applications grow with XX% annually and are
driven by the wind and automotive segment
OVERVIEW: GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CF INDUSTRY APPLICATIONS [1.000 METRIC TONS]



                                                                                                   Market growth 2011-2015
                                                                                                           Absolute [1.000t]   CAGR [%]
                                           XX% p.a.
                                                                                                    Wind                         XX%



                                                                                          Automotive                             XX%



                                                                                      Find Pressure V.
                                                                                           out more…                             XX%


          Find out
          more…                                                                       Compounding
                                                                                      Find out more…                             XX%



                                                                                         Construction
                                                                                      Find out more…                             XX%
                     2011          2012       2013           2014          2015




Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 7                                      © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…
Within wind applications, CFC are used as a structural part
of the rotor blades
USE OF CFC IN WIND APPLICATIONS


Sandwich (45° glass threads supporting foam in                      Heavy tow XXk CF for Spars ("Gurte")
shear stress)                                                         Dry lay-up (Enercon, GE, Repower)
replaces balsa/expensive foams by using                               UD Prepreg (Gamesa, Vestas)
cheaper foams




Multi-axial glass fiber lay-ups
(generally 2 layers on each side)
                                                 Sandwich for Spacers ("Stege")                 Sandwich

Source: Primary interviews

Slide 8                             © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…


Wind applications largely rely on heavy tow carbon fibers
SPAR-CAP TECHNOLOGY


                                                                                                             Total market
                                                                                                             volume 2015:
                                                                                                                XX.000t

                       Materials & Manufacturing
                                                                                                 Suppliers
                              Technology

                Heavy Prepregs
                                                                                                  XX, XX
                (UD – XXk+ fibers)
                                                              Find out more…

                XXX Technology
                                                                                      Some new entrants
                (UD fabrics – XXk+ fibers)




Source: Primary interviews, own analysis

Slide 9                                    © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
Find out more…




           www.anditsmarkets.com




Slide 10         © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.

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Market of Carbon Fibers and Carbon Fiber Components 2011-2015

  • 1. Market of Carbon Fibers and Carbon Fiber Components 2011-2015 Market structure, dynamics and outlook Slide 1 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Find out more… The entire market based on Carbon Fibers is ~XX bn EUR CFC MARKET 2011, VALUE ADDED (ESTIMATE) [BILLION EUR] Carbon Fiber Semi-finished Components Total Products Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 2 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 3. Find out more… In 2011, the CF market was characterized by some excess capacities EFFECTIVE CAPACITY AND DEMAND PER REGION 2011 [1.000 METRIC TONS]1 Asia (incl. India) Europe Americas CF demand CF effective capacity 1 Rounded figures; capacity based on major players’ effective capacities excluding forecast new entrants; conservative demand estimate Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 3 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 4. Find out more… Industrial is the largest CF segment with the highest absolute volume growth until 2015 DEVELOPMENT OF GLOBAL CF DEMAND PER SEGMENT 2011 VS. 2015 [1.000 METRIC TONS] XX% CAGR Sports Aero Industrial 2011 Sports Aero Industrial 2015 Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 4 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 5. Find out more… Sport applications will increase XX% per year until 2015 OVERVIEW: GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CF SPORTS APPLICATIONS [1.000 METRIC TONS] Market Outlook 2015 XX% CAGR Find out Golf Market … more… Find out Tennis Slight … more… Find out Bicycles Stable … more… Boats / Find out Market … more… Marine Find out 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Others In general … more… Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 5 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 6. Find out more… Aero applications are expected to grow by XX% per year until 2015 OVERVIEW: GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CF AERO APPLICATIONS [1.000 METRIC TONS] XX% CAGR Market dynamics Carbon Announced Programs Orders Employed Boeing B787 XX% ~XX Boeing 737 Successor ~XX% XX Airbus A350 XX% XX Chinese C919 (et al.) XX% XX Russian MS21 XX% <XX Overall airplane demand will grow XX% per year until 2030 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1 Total 737 orders 2011 as of May 5th, 2011 2 Total A350 orders 2011 as of May 5th, 2011 3 Total order volume as of April 29th, 2011 4 Total order volume as of July 21st, 2010 Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 6 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 7. Find out more… Industry applications grow with XX% annually and are driven by the wind and automotive segment OVERVIEW: GLOBAL DEMAND FOR CF INDUSTRY APPLICATIONS [1.000 METRIC TONS] Market growth 2011-2015 Absolute [1.000t] CAGR [%] XX% p.a. Wind XX% Automotive XX% Find Pressure V. out more… XX% Find out more… Compounding Find out more… XX% Construction Find out more… XX% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 7 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 8. Find out more… Within wind applications, CFC are used as a structural part of the rotor blades USE OF CFC IN WIND APPLICATIONS Sandwich (45° glass threads supporting foam in Heavy tow XXk CF for Spars ("Gurte") shear stress)  Dry lay-up (Enercon, GE, Repower) replaces balsa/expensive foams by using  UD Prepreg (Gamesa, Vestas) cheaper foams Multi-axial glass fiber lay-ups (generally 2 layers on each side) Sandwich for Spacers ("Stege") Sandwich Source: Primary interviews Slide 8 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 9. Find out more… Wind applications largely rely on heavy tow carbon fibers SPAR-CAP TECHNOLOGY Total market volume 2015: XX.000t Materials & Manufacturing Suppliers Technology Heavy Prepregs XX, XX (UD – XXk+ fibers) Find out more… XXX Technology Some new entrants (UD fabrics – XXk+ fibers) Source: Primary interviews, own analysis Slide 9 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.
  • 10. Find out more… www.anditsmarkets.com Slide 10 © Contrium Research GmbH 2012. All rights reserved.