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ASSESSING	
  THE	
  COSTS	
  &	
  
BENEFITS	
  OF	
  DISTRIBUTED	
  
SOLAR	
  GENERATION	
  
	
  Lessons	
  &	
  Best	
  Prac.ces	
  from	
  the	
  
Na.onal	
  Debate	
  
	
  
September	
  4,	
  2013	
  
Agenda	
  
Rábago	
  Energy	
  LLC	
  
Virginia	
  Lacy	
  
Lena	
  Hansen	
  	
  
Jason	
  Keyes	
  
Karl	
  Rábago	
  
OrganizaEon	
   Presenters	
  
Efforts	
  underway	
  to	
  Assess	
  the	
  Costs	
  and	
  
Benefits	
  of	
  Distributed	
  Solar	
  GeneraEon	
  
DC	
  
C&B,	
  or	
  solar	
  valuaEon	
  assessment	
  underway	
  
or	
  expected	
  to	
  start	
  in	
  2014	
  
No	
  C&B	
  assessment	
  
underway	
  
Contacts:
Lena Hansen, Principal, lhansen@rmi.org 
Virginia Lacy, Senior Consultant, vlacy@rmi.org
Devi Glick, Analyst, dglick@rmi.org
1820 Folsom Street | Boulder, CO 80302 | RMI.org
Copyright Rocky Mountain Institute. 
2nd Edition published September 2013.
download at: www.rmi.org/elab_emPower
A REVIEW OF SOLAR PV
BENEFIT & COST STUDIES
2nd Edition
Webinar, 4 September 2013
Lena Hansen and Virginia Lacy, Rocky
Mountain Institute
5	

ABOUT THIS REPORT
Objective 

To assess what is known and unknown about the categorization, methodological
best practices, and gaps around the benefits and costs of DPV, and to begin to
establish a clear foundation from which additional work on benefit/cost
assessments and pricing structure design can be built.
What’s included

This discussion document reviews 16 DPV benefit/cost studies by utilities,
national labs, and other organizations. Completed between 2005 and 2013, these
studies reflect a significant range of estimated DPV value. The report includes:

• Framing of the need
• Identification of broad categories of benefit/cost, and of stakeholder
perspectives
• Analysis findings, in synthesis and for each category of benefit/cost
• Individual study overviews
A REVIEW OF SOLAR PV BENEFIT & COST STUDIES, 2ND EDITION
Download at www.rmi.org/elab_empower
6	

ELECTRICITY SECTOR STAKEHOLDERS ARE RECOGNIZING THE IMPORTANCE OF PROPERLY VALUING
DISTRIBUTED PHOTOVOLTAICS (DPV) AND THE CURRENT LACK OF CLARITY AROUND BENEFITS AND COSTS
...RAISE KEY
QUESTIONS
"  What benefits can customers
provide? Is the ability of
customers to provide benefits
contingent on anything?

•  What costs are incurred to
support DPV customer needs?
•  What are the best practice
methodologies to assess benefits
and costs?
•  How should externalized and
unmonetized values, such as
environmental and social
benefits, be recognized?
•  How can benefits and costs be
more effectively allocated and
priced?
...DRIVEN BY VALUE
UNCERTAINTY...
What if a DPV customer does not pay for the
full cost to serve their demand?
What if a DPV customer is not fully
compensated for the service they provide?

Traditional Cost to
Serve


Customer Bill


$/Year

Cost to Serve



Customer Bill



Cost to Serve



Customer Bill


Customer Payment
Generation Cost
Distribution Cost
Transmission Cost
Other Costs
HEADLINES...
FRAMING THE NEED
7	

DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES
DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES (DERs): demand- and supply-side resources that can be deployed throughout an electric
distribution system to meet the energy and reliability needs of the customers served by that system. DERs can be installed on either the
customer side or the utility side of the meter, including energy efficiency, distributed generation, distributed flexibility and storage, and
intelligence.
WHAT MAKES DERs
UNIQUE:

Siting!
Smaller, more modular energy resources can
be installed by disparate actors outside of the
purview of centrally coordinated resource
planning.
Operations!
Energy resources on the distribution network
operate outside of centrally controlled
dispatching mechanisms that control the real-
time balance of generation and demand.

Ownership!
DERs can be financed, installed or owned by
the customer or a third party, broadening the
typical planning capability and resource
integration approach.
8	

DER
service providers
DER
CUSTOMERS
NON-DER CUSTOMERS 
SOCIAL EQUITY
If costs are incurred by DER customers
that are not paid for, those costs would be
allocated to the rest of customers.
Conversely, DER customers also provide
benefits to other customers and to society.
BENEFIT AND COST
RECOGNITION AND
ALLOCATION
Mechanisms are not in place to
transparently recognize or
compensate service (be it
monetized grid services like energy,
capacity or balancing supply and
demand, or less consistently
monetized values, such as carbon
emissions savings) provided by the
utility or the customer. To the utility,
revenue from DER customers may
not match the cost to serve those
customers. To the customer, bill
savings or credit may not match the
value provided. 
service
$$
FLEXIBILITY & PREDICTABILITY
Providing reliable power requires grid flexibility and
predictability. Power from some distributed renewables
fluctuate with the weather, adding variability, and
require smart integration to best shape their output to
the grid. Legacy standards and rules can be restrictive.
Social Priorities
Society values the environmental and social
benefits that DERs could provide, but those
benefits are often externalized and
unmonetized.
Adapted from RMI, Net Energy Metering, Zero Net Energy And The Distributed Energy Resource Future: Adapting Electric Utility Business Models For The 21st Century
STRUCTURAL MISALIGNMENTS
TODAY, OPERATIONAL AND PRICING MECHANISMS DESIGNED FOR AN HISTORICALLY CENTRALIZED ELECTRICITY
SYSTEM ARE NOT WELL-ADAPTED TO THE INTEGRATION OF DPV LEADING TO IMPORTANT QUESTIONS, DEBATE,
AND CONFLICT
UTILITY/GRID 
LOCATION & TIME
Limited feedback loop to
customers that the costs
or benefit of any electricity
resource, especially
DERs, vary by location
and time.
9	

BENEFIT & COST CATEGORIES
SOCIAL
SECURITY
GRID 

SERVICES
ENVIRONMENTAL
• ENERGY energy
system losses
CAPACITY
• generation capacitytransmission & distribution capacityDPV installed
capacity
GRID SUPPORT SERVICES
• reactive supply & voltage control
• regulation & frequency response
• energy & generator imbalance
• synchronized & supplemental operating reserves
• scheduling, forecasting, and system control & dispatch
SECURITY RISK
• reliability & resilience
ENVIRONMENTAL
• carbon emissions (CO2)
• criteria air pollutants (SO2, NOx, PM)
• water
• land
SOCIAL 
• economic development (jobs and tax revenues)
FINANCIAL
FINANCIAL RISK
• fuel price hedge
• market price response
For the purposes of this report, value is defined as net value, i.e. benefits minus costs. Depending upon the size of the benefit and the size of the cost,
value can be positive or negative. A variety of categories of benefits or costs of DPV have been considered or acknowledged in evaluating the value of
DPV. Broadly, these categories are:
10	

FLOW OF BENEFITS AND COSTS
Avoided Cost
Savings
Total Resource Cost
Other Customers
Solar Customers
Solar
Provider
PV Cost
 $
Environmental
Benefits
Electric
Grid
Societal Cost
Utility Cost
$
$
$
Rate Impact
Participant Cost
$
Integration &
Interconnection
Costs
Incentive, Bill
Savings
Lost Revenue,
Utility Net Cost
Social Benefits
BENEFITS AND COSTS ACCRUE TO DIFFERENT STAKEHOLDERS IN THE SYSTEM
Photos courtesy of Shutterstock
The California Standard Practice Manual established the general standard for evaluating the flow of
benefits and costs of energy efficiency among stakeholders. This framework was adapted to illustrate the
flow of benefits and costs for DPV.
11	

ANALYSIS OVERVIEW
THIS ANALYSIS INCLUDES 16 STUDIES, REFLECTING DIVERSE DPV PENETRATION LEVELS
LBNL 2012
<40% annual energy (MWh)
CPR (TX) 2013
1.1%, 2.2% peak load
(MW)
Vote Solar 2005
unspecified penetration level
NREL 2008 (U.S.)
unspecified penetration level
R. Duke 2005
unspecified penetration level
Crossborder (AZ) 2013
Solar to be installed
2013-2015
APS 2009
0% -16% annual energy
(MWh) by 2025
APS 2013
0% -16% annual energy
(MWh) by 2025
Crossborder (CA) 2013
5% peak load (MW)
CPR (NJ/PA) 2012
15% utility peak load
(MW)
E3 2012
15%, 30% peak (MW)
AE/CPR 2006
approx. 1%, 2.5%
peak load (MW)
CPR (NY) 2008
2% - 20% annual
energy (MWh)
E3 2011
<1% peak (MW)
Study Information
Level of solar
penetration analyzed
in study
Key: 
AE/CPR 2012
approx. 1%, 2.5%
peak load (MW)
Xcel 2013
140 MW installed by
2014, ~ 2% peak load
(MW)
AZ
 NY, NJ, PA
 TX
 U.S.
CA
CO
APS
2013
APS
2009
 Cross-
border
(CA)2013
Vote
Solar
2005
R. Duke
2005
LBNL
2012*
 CPR (NJ/
PA) 2012
CPR
(TX)
2013
AE/CPR
2012
AE/CPR
2006
CPR
(NY)2008
Xcel
2013
SUMMARY OF DPV BENEFITS AND COSTS
*	
  The	
  LBNL	
  study	
  only	
  gives	
  the	
  net	
  value	
  for	
  ancillary	
  services	
  
**	
  E3's	
  DPV	
  technology	
  cost	
  includes	
  LCOE	
  +	
  interconnecEon	
  cost	
  
***	
  The	
  NREL	
  study	
  is	
  a	
  meta-­‐analysis,	
  not	
  a	
  research	
  study.	
  Customer	
  
Services,	
  defined	
  as	
  the	
  value to customer of a green option, was only
reflected	
  in	
  the	
  NREL	
  2008	
  meta-­‐analysis	
  and	
  not	
  included	
  elsewhere	
  in	
  
this	
  report.	
  
****Average	
  retail	
  rate	
  included	
  for	
  reference;	
  it	
  is	
  not	
  appropriate	
  to	
  
compare	
  the	
  average	
  retail	
  rate	
  to	
  total	
  benefits	
  presented	
  without	
  also	
  
reflecEng	
  costs	
  	
  (i.e.,	
  net	
  value)	
  and	
  any	
  material	
  differences	
  within	
  rate	
  
designs	
  (i.e.,	
  not	
  average).	
  
Note:	
  E3	
  2012	
  study	
  not	
  included	
  in	
  this	
  chart	
  because	
  that	
  study	
  did	
  not	
  
itemize	
  results.	
  See	
  page	
  47.	
  
BENEFITS AND COSTS OF DISTRIBUTED PV BY STUDY
INSIGHTS

• No study comprehensively evaluated the
benefits and costs of DPV, although many
acknowledge additional sources of benefit or
cost and many agree on the broad
categories of benefit and cost.

• There is a significant range of estimated
value across studies, driven primarily by
differences in local context, input
assumptions, and methodological
approaches. 

• Because of these differences, comparing
results across studies can be informative,
but should be done with the understanding
that results must be normalized for context,
assumptions, or methodology.

Cross-
border
(AZ)
2013
E3
2012**
NREL
2008***
Monetized
 Inconsistently Unmonetized
Energy
 DPV Technology
 Financial: Fuel Price Hedge
 Env. Unspecified
System Losses
 Grid Support Services
 Financial: Mkt Price Response
 Social
Gen Capacity
 Solar Penetration Cost
 Security Risk
 Avoided RPS
T&D Capacity
 Env. Carbon
 Customer Services
Average Local Retail Rate**** 
(in year of study, per EIA)
Env. Criteria Air Pollutants
A Review of Solar PV Benefit & Cost Studies, 2nd edition
13	

KEY DRIVERS OF VALUE
METHODOLOGIES

For example:

• Capacity value assignment
• All MW v limited to system capacity
needs
• Assumed planning requirements

• Marginal resource
• Dispatch simulation v single
resource

• Treatment of inconsistently
monetized values
• Included or not
• If so, at what value

LOCAL CONTEXT 

For example:

• Solar resource
• Coincidence of solar
production with system
demand

• System characteristics
• Generation mix
• System investment needs 
• Organized market access &
structure
• Energy-only v separate
capacity market
• Availability of market data to
estimate marginal value
• Ancillary services markets

INPUT ASSUMPTIONS

For example:

• Fuel price forecast

• Forecast source
• Reflection of price volatility

• Assumed carbon price

• Included or not
• If so, at what price
• Level of solar penetration
• Low v high
• Changing resource mix
There is a significant range of estimated value across studies, driven primarily
by differences in local context, input assumptions, and methodological
approaches.
14	

IMPLICATIONS

•  There is some agreement on overall approach to estimating energy and capacity value, but
significantly less agreement on overall approach to estimating grid support services and
currently unmonetized values including financial and security risk, environment, and social value
•  In all future work, transparency is key—around assumptions, perspectives, sources and
methodologies—and must explicitly decide if and how to account for each broadly recognized
source of value
•  Standardized best practices should be possible to some degree and will help ensure
accountability and verifiability of benefit and cost estimates
•  Studies have implicitly assumed historically low penetrations of DPV, and have largely focused
on DPV in isolation, but a confluence of factors will require a consideration of DPV’s benefits
and costs in the context of a changing system
•  With better recognition of the costs and benefits, pricing structures and business models can
be better aligned to enable greater economic deployment and lower overall system costs
Calculating the Costs and Benefits
of Distributed Solar Generation
Jason B. Keyes & Karl R. Rábago
Sep. 4, 2013
Authors
•  Karl R. Rábago
– Principal, Rábago Energy LLC
– IREC Board Member
– Experience as TX PUC Commissioner, utility executive,
federal executive, consultant and advocate
•  Jason B. Keyes
– Partner at Keyes, Fox & Wiedman LLP
– Representing IREC in net metering dockets
– Co-authored prior IREC net metering valuation study
Reasons for IREC Report
•  Growing interest in DSG valuation
•  Utility proposals for value-based rates and tariffs
•  Conflicting prior study results
While calculated values will differ from one utility to the
next, the approach used to calculate the value of
distributed solar generation should be uniform.
Covering the benefits of this . . .
and this . . .
and even this (Nellis AFB – distributed)
Overview of Report
•  Types of Studies
– Studies of studies
– Cost-benefit analyses
– Value of solar
•  Suggested approach (RIM + SCT)
•  Benefits and costs
Not for a specific policy – useful for incentives, net energy
metering, Value of Solar Tariff, FiT
Key Structural Issues
•  What discount rate is used?
•  Is the study considering all generation or only exports?
•  What timeframe is used?
•  How are future load shapes determined?
•  How much DSG is assumed?
•  Are the inputs publicly available?
•  Whose benefits are considered?
•  Are the costs and benefits levelized?
Benefits – Energy & Capacity
•  Are energy benefits based on the utility not running a CT
or a CCGT?
•  Are line losses based on marginal losses?
•  Are generation capacity benefits included from day one?
•  Are T&D capacity benefits included?
Benefits – Other
•  Are ancillary services included?
•  Is a fuel price hedge value included?
•  Is a market price response included?
•  Is increased grid reliability and resiliency included?
•  Are the utility’s avoided environmental compliance
costs included?
•  Are societal benefits included?
Costs
•  Is lost revenue or utility cost the basis of the study?
•  Are administrative costs supplied by the utility?
•  Are interconnection costs included?
•  Are integration costs based on high penetrations?
Thank You
Jason B. Keyes & Karl R. Rábago
jkeyes@kfwlaw.com
karl@rabagoenergy.com

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Assessing Benefits and Costs of Distributed Solar Resources

  • 1. ASSESSING  THE  COSTS  &   BENEFITS  OF  DISTRIBUTED   SOLAR  GENERATION    Lessons  &  Best  Prac.ces  from  the   Na.onal  Debate     September  4,  2013  
  • 2. Agenda   Rábago  Energy  LLC   Virginia  Lacy   Lena  Hansen     Jason  Keyes   Karl  Rábago   OrganizaEon   Presenters  
  • 3. Efforts  underway  to  Assess  the  Costs  and   Benefits  of  Distributed  Solar  GeneraEon   DC   C&B,  or  solar  valuaEon  assessment  underway   or  expected  to  start  in  2014   No  C&B  assessment   underway  
  • 4. Contacts: Lena Hansen, Principal, lhansen@rmi.org Virginia Lacy, Senior Consultant, vlacy@rmi.org Devi Glick, Analyst, dglick@rmi.org 1820 Folsom Street | Boulder, CO 80302 | RMI.org Copyright Rocky Mountain Institute. 2nd Edition published September 2013. download at: www.rmi.org/elab_emPower A REVIEW OF SOLAR PV BENEFIT & COST STUDIES 2nd Edition Webinar, 4 September 2013 Lena Hansen and Virginia Lacy, Rocky Mountain Institute
  • 5. 5 ABOUT THIS REPORT Objective To assess what is known and unknown about the categorization, methodological best practices, and gaps around the benefits and costs of DPV, and to begin to establish a clear foundation from which additional work on benefit/cost assessments and pricing structure design can be built. What’s included This discussion document reviews 16 DPV benefit/cost studies by utilities, national labs, and other organizations. Completed between 2005 and 2013, these studies reflect a significant range of estimated DPV value. The report includes: • Framing of the need • Identification of broad categories of benefit/cost, and of stakeholder perspectives • Analysis findings, in synthesis and for each category of benefit/cost • Individual study overviews A REVIEW OF SOLAR PV BENEFIT & COST STUDIES, 2ND EDITION Download at www.rmi.org/elab_empower
  • 6. 6 ELECTRICITY SECTOR STAKEHOLDERS ARE RECOGNIZING THE IMPORTANCE OF PROPERLY VALUING DISTRIBUTED PHOTOVOLTAICS (DPV) AND THE CURRENT LACK OF CLARITY AROUND BENEFITS AND COSTS ...RAISE KEY QUESTIONS "  What benefits can customers provide? Is the ability of customers to provide benefits contingent on anything? •  What costs are incurred to support DPV customer needs? •  What are the best practice methodologies to assess benefits and costs? •  How should externalized and unmonetized values, such as environmental and social benefits, be recognized? •  How can benefits and costs be more effectively allocated and priced? ...DRIVEN BY VALUE UNCERTAINTY... What if a DPV customer does not pay for the full cost to serve their demand? What if a DPV customer is not fully compensated for the service they provide? Traditional Cost to Serve Customer Bill $/Year Cost to Serve Customer Bill Cost to Serve Customer Bill Customer Payment Generation Cost Distribution Cost Transmission Cost Other Costs HEADLINES... FRAMING THE NEED
  • 7. 7 DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES DISTRIBUTED ENERGY RESOURCES (DERs): demand- and supply-side resources that can be deployed throughout an electric distribution system to meet the energy and reliability needs of the customers served by that system. DERs can be installed on either the customer side or the utility side of the meter, including energy efficiency, distributed generation, distributed flexibility and storage, and intelligence. WHAT MAKES DERs UNIQUE: Siting! Smaller, more modular energy resources can be installed by disparate actors outside of the purview of centrally coordinated resource planning. Operations! Energy resources on the distribution network operate outside of centrally controlled dispatching mechanisms that control the real- time balance of generation and demand. Ownership! DERs can be financed, installed or owned by the customer or a third party, broadening the typical planning capability and resource integration approach.
  • 8. 8 DER service providers DER CUSTOMERS NON-DER CUSTOMERS SOCIAL EQUITY If costs are incurred by DER customers that are not paid for, those costs would be allocated to the rest of customers. Conversely, DER customers also provide benefits to other customers and to society. BENEFIT AND COST RECOGNITION AND ALLOCATION Mechanisms are not in place to transparently recognize or compensate service (be it monetized grid services like energy, capacity or balancing supply and demand, or less consistently monetized values, such as carbon emissions savings) provided by the utility or the customer. To the utility, revenue from DER customers may not match the cost to serve those customers. To the customer, bill savings or credit may not match the value provided. service $$ FLEXIBILITY & PREDICTABILITY Providing reliable power requires grid flexibility and predictability. Power from some distributed renewables fluctuate with the weather, adding variability, and require smart integration to best shape their output to the grid. Legacy standards and rules can be restrictive. Social Priorities Society values the environmental and social benefits that DERs could provide, but those benefits are often externalized and unmonetized. Adapted from RMI, Net Energy Metering, Zero Net Energy And The Distributed Energy Resource Future: Adapting Electric Utility Business Models For The 21st Century STRUCTURAL MISALIGNMENTS TODAY, OPERATIONAL AND PRICING MECHANISMS DESIGNED FOR AN HISTORICALLY CENTRALIZED ELECTRICITY SYSTEM ARE NOT WELL-ADAPTED TO THE INTEGRATION OF DPV LEADING TO IMPORTANT QUESTIONS, DEBATE, AND CONFLICT UTILITY/GRID LOCATION & TIME Limited feedback loop to customers that the costs or benefit of any electricity resource, especially DERs, vary by location and time.
  • 9. 9 BENEFIT & COST CATEGORIES SOCIAL SECURITY GRID 
 SERVICES ENVIRONMENTAL • ENERGY energy system losses CAPACITY • generation capacitytransmission & distribution capacityDPV installed capacity GRID SUPPORT SERVICES • reactive supply & voltage control • regulation & frequency response • energy & generator imbalance • synchronized & supplemental operating reserves • scheduling, forecasting, and system control & dispatch SECURITY RISK • reliability & resilience ENVIRONMENTAL • carbon emissions (CO2) • criteria air pollutants (SO2, NOx, PM) • water • land SOCIAL • economic development (jobs and tax revenues) FINANCIAL FINANCIAL RISK • fuel price hedge • market price response For the purposes of this report, value is defined as net value, i.e. benefits minus costs. Depending upon the size of the benefit and the size of the cost, value can be positive or negative. A variety of categories of benefits or costs of DPV have been considered or acknowledged in evaluating the value of DPV. Broadly, these categories are:
  • 10. 10 FLOW OF BENEFITS AND COSTS Avoided Cost Savings Total Resource Cost Other Customers Solar Customers Solar Provider PV Cost $ Environmental Benefits Electric Grid Societal Cost Utility Cost $ $ $ Rate Impact Participant Cost $ Integration & Interconnection Costs Incentive, Bill Savings Lost Revenue, Utility Net Cost Social Benefits BENEFITS AND COSTS ACCRUE TO DIFFERENT STAKEHOLDERS IN THE SYSTEM Photos courtesy of Shutterstock The California Standard Practice Manual established the general standard for evaluating the flow of benefits and costs of energy efficiency among stakeholders. This framework was adapted to illustrate the flow of benefits and costs for DPV.
  • 11. 11 ANALYSIS OVERVIEW THIS ANALYSIS INCLUDES 16 STUDIES, REFLECTING DIVERSE DPV PENETRATION LEVELS LBNL 2012 <40% annual energy (MWh) CPR (TX) 2013 1.1%, 2.2% peak load (MW) Vote Solar 2005 unspecified penetration level NREL 2008 (U.S.) unspecified penetration level R. Duke 2005 unspecified penetration level Crossborder (AZ) 2013 Solar to be installed 2013-2015 APS 2009 0% -16% annual energy (MWh) by 2025 APS 2013 0% -16% annual energy (MWh) by 2025 Crossborder (CA) 2013 5% peak load (MW) CPR (NJ/PA) 2012 15% utility peak load (MW) E3 2012 15%, 30% peak (MW) AE/CPR 2006 approx. 1%, 2.5% peak load (MW) CPR (NY) 2008 2% - 20% annual energy (MWh) E3 2011 <1% peak (MW) Study Information Level of solar penetration analyzed in study Key: AE/CPR 2012 approx. 1%, 2.5% peak load (MW) Xcel 2013 140 MW installed by 2014, ~ 2% peak load (MW)
  • 12. AZ NY, NJ, PA TX U.S. CA CO APS 2013 APS 2009 Cross- border (CA)2013 Vote Solar 2005 R. Duke 2005 LBNL 2012* CPR (NJ/ PA) 2012 CPR (TX) 2013 AE/CPR 2012 AE/CPR 2006 CPR (NY)2008 Xcel 2013 SUMMARY OF DPV BENEFITS AND COSTS *  The  LBNL  study  only  gives  the  net  value  for  ancillary  services   **  E3's  DPV  technology  cost  includes  LCOE  +  interconnecEon  cost   ***  The  NREL  study  is  a  meta-­‐analysis,  not  a  research  study.  Customer   Services,  defined  as  the  value to customer of a green option, was only reflected  in  the  NREL  2008  meta-­‐analysis  and  not  included  elsewhere  in   this  report.   ****Average  retail  rate  included  for  reference;  it  is  not  appropriate  to   compare  the  average  retail  rate  to  total  benefits  presented  without  also   reflecEng  costs    (i.e.,  net  value)  and  any  material  differences  within  rate   designs  (i.e.,  not  average).   Note:  E3  2012  study  not  included  in  this  chart  because  that  study  did  not   itemize  results.  See  page  47.   BENEFITS AND COSTS OF DISTRIBUTED PV BY STUDY INSIGHTS • No study comprehensively evaluated the benefits and costs of DPV, although many acknowledge additional sources of benefit or cost and many agree on the broad categories of benefit and cost. • There is a significant range of estimated value across studies, driven primarily by differences in local context, input assumptions, and methodological approaches. • Because of these differences, comparing results across studies can be informative, but should be done with the understanding that results must be normalized for context, assumptions, or methodology. Cross- border (AZ) 2013 E3 2012** NREL 2008*** Monetized Inconsistently Unmonetized Energy DPV Technology Financial: Fuel Price Hedge Env. Unspecified System Losses Grid Support Services Financial: Mkt Price Response Social Gen Capacity Solar Penetration Cost Security Risk Avoided RPS T&D Capacity Env. Carbon Customer Services Average Local Retail Rate**** (in year of study, per EIA) Env. Criteria Air Pollutants A Review of Solar PV Benefit & Cost Studies, 2nd edition
  • 13. 13 KEY DRIVERS OF VALUE METHODOLOGIES For example: • Capacity value assignment • All MW v limited to system capacity needs • Assumed planning requirements • Marginal resource • Dispatch simulation v single resource • Treatment of inconsistently monetized values • Included or not • If so, at what value LOCAL CONTEXT For example: • Solar resource • Coincidence of solar production with system demand • System characteristics • Generation mix • System investment needs • Organized market access & structure • Energy-only v separate capacity market • Availability of market data to estimate marginal value • Ancillary services markets INPUT ASSUMPTIONS For example: • Fuel price forecast • Forecast source • Reflection of price volatility • Assumed carbon price • Included or not • If so, at what price • Level of solar penetration • Low v high • Changing resource mix There is a significant range of estimated value across studies, driven primarily by differences in local context, input assumptions, and methodological approaches.
  • 14. 14 IMPLICATIONS •  There is some agreement on overall approach to estimating energy and capacity value, but significantly less agreement on overall approach to estimating grid support services and currently unmonetized values including financial and security risk, environment, and social value •  In all future work, transparency is key—around assumptions, perspectives, sources and methodologies—and must explicitly decide if and how to account for each broadly recognized source of value •  Standardized best practices should be possible to some degree and will help ensure accountability and verifiability of benefit and cost estimates •  Studies have implicitly assumed historically low penetrations of DPV, and have largely focused on DPV in isolation, but a confluence of factors will require a consideration of DPV’s benefits and costs in the context of a changing system •  With better recognition of the costs and benefits, pricing structures and business models can be better aligned to enable greater economic deployment and lower overall system costs
  • 15. Calculating the Costs and Benefits of Distributed Solar Generation Jason B. Keyes & Karl R. Rábago Sep. 4, 2013
  • 16. Authors •  Karl R. Rábago – Principal, Rábago Energy LLC – IREC Board Member – Experience as TX PUC Commissioner, utility executive, federal executive, consultant and advocate •  Jason B. Keyes – Partner at Keyes, Fox & Wiedman LLP – Representing IREC in net metering dockets – Co-authored prior IREC net metering valuation study
  • 17. Reasons for IREC Report •  Growing interest in DSG valuation •  Utility proposals for value-based rates and tariffs •  Conflicting prior study results While calculated values will differ from one utility to the next, the approach used to calculate the value of distributed solar generation should be uniform.
  • 18. Covering the benefits of this . . .
  • 19. and this . . .
  • 20. and even this (Nellis AFB – distributed)
  • 21. Overview of Report •  Types of Studies – Studies of studies – Cost-benefit analyses – Value of solar •  Suggested approach (RIM + SCT) •  Benefits and costs Not for a specific policy – useful for incentives, net energy metering, Value of Solar Tariff, FiT
  • 22. Key Structural Issues •  What discount rate is used? •  Is the study considering all generation or only exports? •  What timeframe is used? •  How are future load shapes determined? •  How much DSG is assumed? •  Are the inputs publicly available? •  Whose benefits are considered? •  Are the costs and benefits levelized?
  • 23. Benefits – Energy & Capacity •  Are energy benefits based on the utility not running a CT or a CCGT? •  Are line losses based on marginal losses? •  Are generation capacity benefits included from day one? •  Are T&D capacity benefits included?
  • 24. Benefits – Other •  Are ancillary services included? •  Is a fuel price hedge value included? •  Is a market price response included? •  Is increased grid reliability and resiliency included? •  Are the utility’s avoided environmental compliance costs included? •  Are societal benefits included?
  • 25. Costs •  Is lost revenue or utility cost the basis of the study? •  Are administrative costs supplied by the utility? •  Are interconnection costs included? •  Are integration costs based on high penetrations?
  • 26. Thank You Jason B. Keyes & Karl R. Rábago jkeyes@kfwlaw.com karl@rabagoenergy.com