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The real challenge
in mobile payments
  By Arthur Goldstuck       (Twitter: @art2gee)

      Mobile Money World, 14 March 2012
Mobile money
comes in many
   shapes
Mpesa
  PayD
 eWallet
 Eyenza
PayWizard
ISPCASH
 Celpay
  etc …
Africa	
  -­‐	
  Economy	
  
But so does
money itself
Money Market - Shoprite
CashSend - ATM
Instant Money - Spar
Mzansi Money Transfer - PO
Does the
   cellphone
change money?
Data starting to cannabilise SMS


          3%                              2%
          5%                              8%
         16%                             12%




                                                                Content/music
         76%                             77%
                                                                Data / Internet access

                                                                SMS/MMS
                                                                Voice calls


         2009                             2010




    Data as a percentage of total mobile spend has grown from 5%-8% in 2010.
     16-18 yr almost doubled, but massive increases seen in 35+ age groups.
Current vs. future brand usage
(NB: Intentions , not actions)
                                                                  n=1203




                   Current usage %        Future usage %   Brand Momentum
                     (main phone)                           (future / current)

Nokia                    51          48    (U=45, R=52)           0.95
Samsung                  28          12    (U=10, R=14)           0.42
LG                        5          2                            0.37
Blackberry                4          24    (U=29, R=20)           6.10
Motorola                  4          1                            0.37
Sony-Ericsson             2          3                            1.31
HTC                       1          2                            1.96
iPhone (Apple)            1          3     (U=5, R=1)             4.74
Other                     5          5                            0.97




                “Mobile Consumer in SA 2011”, World Wide Worx
How much the
low-income SA
user spends on
phone per day:
Africa	
  -­‐	
  Economy	
  
And every
four days:
Equivalent to …
In one month,
this is how much
   bread these
phone calls cost:
This is what you
  want them to
give up for each
mobile payment:
This is what they
   can afford:
The Golden Rule:
Disposable income
is not expandable

To increase
disposable income,
you must increase
income.
The Payments revolution


 It is not a global phenomenon.

  Local dynamics are critical.
The great Mpesa gap




12 success factors in Kenya not present in SA
1.  High unbanked population
2.  Regulatory openess
3.  Dominant telco at launch
4.  Population dispersal
5.  Culture of remittances
6.  Low cost of use
7.  Bank agnostic
8.  Swahili brand name
9.  No paperwork
10.  Quick, easy registration
11.  Extensive network of outlets
12.  Serving wananchi (ordinary folk)
And then came NFC




 …and the mobile industry
 is suddenly Captain Picard
Captain Picard
     said:
 “Make it so.”
But mobile industry
    can’t simply
  decree a global
 payment system.
One model does
not fit all markets.
The killer app in
 mobile money:

   Homework
Thank you
Arthur Goldstuck

(011) 7827003

arthur@worldwideworx.com

www.worldwideworx.com

Twitter: art2gee

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2012 03 14 mobile payment challenge