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Vetting Product Ideas




         ASH MAURYA
             @ashmaurya
     http://www.ashmaurya.com
Everyone gets hit by ideas.
Most people ignore them. Entrepreneurs act on them.
An idea can consume years of your life.
Most startups fail.
A better, faster way for vetting ideas
so you don’t waste time, money, and effort.
Life’s too short to build something
           nobody wants.
What is Running Lean


         Customer Development
                   +
              Lean Startup
                   +
             Bootstrapping
Customer Development



         Get out of the building.

               - Steve Blank
Lean Startup



Startups that succeed are those that manage to iterate
    enough times before running out of resources.

                      - Eric Ries
Bootstrapping



         Right Action, Right Time.

                - Bijoy Goswami
Most Plan As don’t work.
Not a better Plan A but a path
to a plan that works before running out of resources.
Running Lean
 Roadmap
1   Document your Plan A
Reasonably smart people can rationalize anything
 but entrepreneurs are especially gifted at this.
Business Model versus Business Plan
Business Model versus Business Plan


                   A document investors make you write
                          that they don’t read
Business Model versus Business Plan



A single diagram of your business
Problem                      Solution                      Unique Value Unfair                                       Customer
                                                           Proposition  Advantage                                    Segments
Top 3 problems                Top 3 features
                                                           Single, clear,               Can’t be easily  Target customers
                                                           compelling                   copied or bought
                                                           message that
                                                           states why you
                                                           are different and
                             Key Metrics                   worth buying                 Channels

                             Key activities you                                         Path to
                             measure                                                    customers




Cost Structure                                                           Revenue Streams

Customer Acquisition Costs                                               Revenue Model
Distribution Costs                                                       Life Time Value
Hosting                                                                  Revenue
People, etc.                                                             Gross Margin



                      PRODUCT                                                                        MARKET
Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
Your “product” is NOT the product


Problem      Solution      Unique        Unfair      Customer
                           Value         Advantage   Segments
                           Proposition



             Key Metrics                 Channels




Cost Structure                   Revenue Streams
Your “business model” IS the product


Problem      Solution      Unique        Unfair      Customer
                           Value         Advantage   Segments
                           Proposition



             Key Metrics                 Channels




Cost Structure                   Revenue Streams
Brainstorm possible models




                 Time
Prioritize where to start




              1. Customer Pain Level
              2. Ease of Reach
              3. Price/Gross Margin
              4. Market Size




                     Time
2   Identify the riskiest parts of the model
    by stage and type
Identify the riskiest parts of your model




                   Time
3 Stages of a Startup



 Problem/Solution   Product/Market
                                      Scale
       Fit                Fit


    Stage 1           Stage 2        Stage 3
3 Stages of a Startup



 Problem/Solution       Product/Market
                                                 Scale
       Fit                    Fit




            Do I have a problem worth solving?
3 Stages of a Startup



 Problem/Solution     Product/Market
                                             Scale
       Fit                  Fit




       Have I built something people want?
3 Stages of a Startup



 Problem/Solution        Product/Market
                                                  Scale
       Fit                     Fit




                    How do I accelerate growth?
Do you have a problem worth solving?
Problem                      Solution                      Unique Value Unfair                                       Customer
                                                           Proposition  Advantage                                    Segments




       1                     Key Metrics                                                Channels




Cost Structure                                                           Revenue Streams




Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
Problem                      Solution                      Unique Value Unfair                                       Customer
                                                           Proposition  Advantage                                    Segments




       1                     Key Metrics                                                Channels




Cost Structure                                                           Revenue Streams
                                                                                               2
Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
Problem                      Solution                      Unique Value Unfair                                       Customer
                                                           Proposition  Advantage                                    Segments




       1                     Key Metrics                                                Channels




Cost Structure                                                           Revenue Streams
                                                                                               2
                                                                                               3
Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
3   Select the right tactics that maximize
    for speed, learning, and focus
Speed




Learning           Focus
Speed
                           Chasing your
                           tail




Learning           Focus
Speed
                                Chasing your
                                tail




Learning            Focus




                   Run out of
                   resources
Premature                Speed
Optimization                                   Chasing your
                                               tail




               Learning            Focus




                                  Run out of
                                  resources
The optimal
                                               learning loop



 Premature                Speed
Optimization                                          Chasing your
                                                      tail




               Learning            Focus




                                  Run out of
                                  resources
Systematically test your model




                  Time
Systematically test your model




                  Time
Systematically test your model




                  Time
Systematically test your model




                  Time
Systematically test your model




                           ...




                  Time
RISKS         EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW

Problem



     1
Channels



     2
Revenue Streams



     3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW

Problem



     1            How do customers rank your problems?


Channels



     2
Revenue Streams



     3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW

Problem



     1            How do customers rank your problems?


Channels



     2            Who has the pain? Can you reach them?


Revenue Streams



     3
RISKS           EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW

Problem



     1            How do customers rank your problems?


Channels



     2            Who has the pain? Can you reach them?


Revenue Streams



     3            How do they solve these problems today?
RISKS        EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW

Solution



      1
Channels



      2
Revenue Streams



      3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW

Solution



      1           Will your solution solve their problem?


Channels



      2
Revenue Streams



      3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW

Solution



      1           Will your solution solve their problem?


Channels



      2           How will they find you?


Revenue Streams



      3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW

Solution



      1           Will your solution solve their problem?


Channels



      2           How will they find you?


Revenue Streams



      3           Will they pay for the solution? If not, who will?
RISKS        EXPERIMENT - MVP

Key Metrics



      1
Channels



      2
Revenue Streams



      3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - MVP

Key Metrics



      1           Have you built something people want?


Channels



      2
Revenue Streams



      3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - MVP

Key Metrics



      1           Have you built something people want?


Channels



      2           How will they find you at scale?


Revenue Streams



      3
RISKS          EXPERIMENT - MVP

Key Metrics



      1           Have you built something people want?


Channels



      2           How will they find you at scale?


Revenue Streams



      3           Are you getting paid?
Running Lean
 Illustrated
Iterated
How I Wrote My Book




                      Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book




Blog



                             Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book




       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                             Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book




       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                             Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book




                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                              Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book



                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                      Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book


                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                         Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book


                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                         Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book

                                                         2-week
                                                         releases
                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                    Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book
                                                                    Publisher
                                                                    Interest
                                                         2-week
                                                         releases
                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                                Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book
                                                                    Publisher
                                                                    Interest
                                                         2-week
                                                         releases
                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                                Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book
                                                                                Book
                                                                                Finished?
                                                                    Publisher
                                                                    Interest
                                                         2-week
                                                         releases
                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                                            Time
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book
                                                                                Book
                                                                                Finished?
                                                                    Publisher
                                                                    Interest
                                                         2-week
                                                         releases
                                      Preview Chapter
                                             +
                                      Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                                            Time

Blog
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book
                                                                                 Book
                                                                                 Finished?
                                                                     Publisher
                                                                     Interest
                                                          2-week
                                                          releases
                                       Preview Chapter
                                              +
                                       Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                                             Time

Blog                       Workshops
Iterated
       How I Wrote My Book
                                                                                 Book
                                                                                 Finished?
                                                                     Publisher
                                                                     Interest
                                                          2-week
                                                          releases
                                       Preview Chapter
                                              +
                                       Pre-order option
                           Paid
                           Workshop
                Free
                Workshop
       Teaser
       Page
Blog



                                                                                             Time

Blog                       Workshops                           Lean Canvas
                                                                    +
                                                                USERcycle
Questions?


1     Document your Plan A




2     Identify the riskiest parts of the model
      by stage and type




3     Select the right tactics that maximize
      for speed, learning, and focus

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Vetting ideas

  • 1. Vetting Product Ideas ASH MAURYA @ashmaurya http://www.ashmaurya.com
  • 2. Everyone gets hit by ideas. Most people ignore them. Entrepreneurs act on them.
  • 3. An idea can consume years of your life.
  • 5. A better, faster way for vetting ideas so you don’t waste time, money, and effort.
  • 6. Life’s too short to build something nobody wants.
  • 7. What is Running Lean Customer Development + Lean Startup + Bootstrapping
  • 8. Customer Development Get out of the building. - Steve Blank
  • 9. Lean Startup Startups that succeed are those that manage to iterate enough times before running out of resources. - Eric Ries
  • 10. Bootstrapping Right Action, Right Time. - Bijoy Goswami
  • 11. Most Plan As don’t work.
  • 12. Not a better Plan A but a path to a plan that works before running out of resources.
  • 14. 1 Document your Plan A
  • 15. Reasonably smart people can rationalize anything but entrepreneurs are especially gifted at this.
  • 16. Business Model versus Business Plan
  • 17. Business Model versus Business Plan A document investors make you write that they don’t read
  • 18. Business Model versus Business Plan A single diagram of your business
  • 19. Problem Solution Unique Value Unfair Customer Proposition Advantage Segments Top 3 problems Top 3 features Single, clear, Can’t be easily Target customers compelling copied or bought message that states why you are different and Key Metrics worth buying Channels Key activities you Path to measure customers Cost Structure Revenue Streams Customer Acquisition Costs Revenue Model Distribution Costs Life Time Value Hosting Revenue People, etc. Gross Margin PRODUCT MARKET Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
  • 20. Your “product” is NOT the product Problem Solution Unique Unfair Customer Value Advantage Segments Proposition Key Metrics Channels Cost Structure Revenue Streams
  • 21. Your “business model” IS the product Problem Solution Unique Unfair Customer Value Advantage Segments Proposition Key Metrics Channels Cost Structure Revenue Streams
  • 23. Prioritize where to start 1. Customer Pain Level 2. Ease of Reach 3. Price/Gross Margin 4. Market Size Time
  • 24. 2 Identify the riskiest parts of the model by stage and type
  • 25. Identify the riskiest parts of your model Time
  • 26. 3 Stages of a Startup Problem/Solution Product/Market Scale Fit Fit Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
  • 27. 3 Stages of a Startup Problem/Solution Product/Market Scale Fit Fit Do I have a problem worth solving?
  • 28. 3 Stages of a Startup Problem/Solution Product/Market Scale Fit Fit Have I built something people want?
  • 29. 3 Stages of a Startup Problem/Solution Product/Market Scale Fit Fit How do I accelerate growth?
  • 30. Do you have a problem worth solving?
  • 31. Problem Solution Unique Value Unfair Customer Proposition Advantage Segments 1 Key Metrics Channels Cost Structure Revenue Streams Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
  • 32. Problem Solution Unique Value Unfair Customer Proposition Advantage Segments 1 Key Metrics Channels Cost Structure Revenue Streams 2 Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
  • 33. Problem Solution Unique Value Unfair Customer Proposition Advantage Segments 1 Key Metrics Channels Cost Structure Revenue Streams 2 3 Lean Canvas is adapted from The Business Model Canvas (http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com) and is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 Un-ported License.
  • 34. 3 Select the right tactics that maximize for speed, learning, and focus
  • 35. Speed Learning Focus
  • 36. Speed Chasing your tail Learning Focus
  • 37. Speed Chasing your tail Learning Focus Run out of resources
  • 38. Premature Speed Optimization Chasing your tail Learning Focus Run out of resources
  • 39. The optimal learning loop Premature Speed Optimization Chasing your tail Learning Focus Run out of resources
  • 44. Systematically test your model ... Time
  • 45. RISKS EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW Problem 1 Channels 2 Revenue Streams 3
  • 46. RISKS EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW Problem 1 How do customers rank your problems? Channels 2 Revenue Streams 3
  • 47. RISKS EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW Problem 1 How do customers rank your problems? Channels 2 Who has the pain? Can you reach them? Revenue Streams 3
  • 48. RISKS EXPERIMENT - PROBLEM INTERVIEW Problem 1 How do customers rank your problems? Channels 2 Who has the pain? Can you reach them? Revenue Streams 3 How do they solve these problems today?
  • 49. RISKS EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW Solution 1 Channels 2 Revenue Streams 3
  • 50. RISKS EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW Solution 1 Will your solution solve their problem? Channels 2 Revenue Streams 3
  • 51. RISKS EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW Solution 1 Will your solution solve their problem? Channels 2 How will they find you? Revenue Streams 3
  • 52. RISKS EXPERIMENT - SOLUTION INTERVIEW Solution 1 Will your solution solve their problem? Channels 2 How will they find you? Revenue Streams 3 Will they pay for the solution? If not, who will?
  • 53. RISKS EXPERIMENT - MVP Key Metrics 1 Channels 2 Revenue Streams 3
  • 54. RISKS EXPERIMENT - MVP Key Metrics 1 Have you built something people want? Channels 2 Revenue Streams 3
  • 55. RISKS EXPERIMENT - MVP Key Metrics 1 Have you built something people want? Channels 2 How will they find you at scale? Revenue Streams 3
  • 56. RISKS EXPERIMENT - MVP Key Metrics 1 Have you built something people want? Channels 2 How will they find you at scale? Revenue Streams 3 Are you getting paid?
  • 58. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Time
  • 59. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Blog Time
  • 60. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 61.
  • 62. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 63. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 64. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 65. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 66.
  • 67. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 68. Iterated How I Wrote My Book 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 69. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Publisher Interest 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 70.
  • 71. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Publisher Interest 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 72. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Book Finished? Publisher Interest 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time
  • 73. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Book Finished? Publisher Interest 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time Blog
  • 74. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Book Finished? Publisher Interest 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time Blog Workshops
  • 75. Iterated How I Wrote My Book Book Finished? Publisher Interest 2-week releases Preview Chapter + Pre-order option Paid Workshop Free Workshop Teaser Page Blog Time Blog Workshops Lean Canvas + USERcycle
  • 76. Questions? 1 Document your Plan A 2 Identify the riskiest parts of the model by stage and type 3 Select the right tactics that maximize for speed, learning, and focus