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How Do Our Clients Use CONOPS?



                                        Instructor:
                                     Mack McKinney




ATI Course Schedule: http://www.ATIcourses.com/schedule.htm

ATI's CONOPS:      http://www.aticourses.com/Technical_CONOPS_Concepts.htm
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CONOPS Can Uncover Requirements
“I recently released a CONOPs developed in parallel with an
 early requirements-and-design concept development effort.
 This CONOPs was initially resisted, believed unnecessary by
 several principals. When it was completed two months later
 (using the outline and training provided by Solid Thinking),
 we had identified a number of mismatched (and unspoken)
 expectations, and identified on the order of forty new
 requirements. One of the key original skeptics [said], "This is
 one of the best CONOPS I've ever seen". The CONOPs is now
 a key system document.”
                            (Lockheed Martin engineer, 2006)



                    Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                               2
                                rights reserved.
Organizations Now Using
                  STC’s CONOPS Outlines
•   UAE GHQ
•   HQ USAF Air Combat Command A2
•   USN Naval Surface Warfare Center, Panama City, FL
•   Defense Intelligence Agency
•   US Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC)
•   Swedish Submarine Forces
•   Italian General Staff and Center for Defense Innovation
•   Hungarian Ministry of Defense
•   Danish MOD, Intelligence Directorate
•   Boeing, Raytheon Missiles, Northrop Grumman, MITRE, Booz
    Allen Hamilton, Sikorsky, Lockheed Martin, others

                       Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                               3
                                   rights reserved.
Your Clients Know Good CONOPS
• Are required for all DOD/DHS programs
• Can rally users and politicians to help save a threatened
program
• Save money
• Save time
• Deliver better product/service to USERS, sooner, with
living documentation, training, employment tips, support
community
• Provide faster, less expensive upgrades that are easier
to justify and fund
• Sometimes save lives
Your Clients Already
Benefit From CONOPS
                          • Used throughout federal
                            and state government
                            agencies (assisted by
                            BAH, MITRE, SAIC,
                            others)
                          • Used for system
                            development,
                            reorganizations,
                            exercises, missions, etc.

    Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                    5
                rights reserved.
So Clients Expect You to . . .

• Help build effective CONOPS

• Participate on CONOPS teams

• Guide R&D, modeling & sim

• Counsel to avoid common pitfalls



                      Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                           6
                                  rights reserved.
In DOD an OpCon and                                Future
                                                                                       Standard Operating
  User- Focused CONOPS                               Concepts
                                                                                       Procedures (SOP),
  Are the Linchpins                                  (e.g. JOpsC)                      OPORDS, EXORDs,
                                                                                       Ops Assessments
   Evolutionary                               Scenarios, Current
                                              System/Situation,
   Increments:                                Justif for Delta,          Scenarios
   P3I & ECPs                                 Summary of Impacts
                                                                                                  Training
                          Features Left Out &                              Personas               Programs
                          Obsolescence Analyses                            & Scenarios
                                                                            Personas,
                                                                            Use Cases
                       OpCon            CONOPS                              & Scenarios        User Manuals *

             OpCon Text, Scenarios,              Effects-Based Solutions,            Lessons
             Regular Input From Users            Regular Input From Users,           Learned
                                                 Modeling & Simulation                               TTPs
Copyright STC 2010.
All rights reserved.


     Architecture                                           Requirements
                               DODAF                                                   CBAs         JCIDS
                                                               DOD/DHS
                                                               Reviews
       AV-Xs             OV-Xs          SV-Xs                                        Effects-Based SE
                                          Copyright STC March 2008.         All
                                                                                                             7
           * Operators, maintainers,                  rights reserved.
                                        SysAdmin & downstream            product users all need User Manuals
CONOPS Important for
       Long-Duration Dev’t Projects
“ Mack, the real benefit to doing thorough CONOPS
here is continuity. On programs that last for years we
have a turnover of PMs, lead engineers, in fact of the
ENTIRE staff, sometimes several times. Our CONOPS
now provide an easy-to-understand, unbiased record
of what we did, why we did it, why we are doing
what we have underway at any given time. CONOPS
here are a “touchstone” for EVERYONE on our major
projects.”
                                      (Sr. Engineer at Raytheon, 2008)



                  Copyright STC March 2008.
                                                                     8
                     All rights reserved.
Special Supplement
       to Technical CONOPS Courses
                 “Users” Exist in Lots of Flavors




To Which of Them Should We Listen As We Build
        CONOPS and Design Systems?

                                             US DOD Photo
If I could just find a better
                         way to initially treat      What we need is a
                     wounded troops without         machine to carry 100
  For the next       exposing medics to small       pounds of water and
war, we need to               arms fire!            ammo for each of us!
 design a much
better MEDIVAC
chain with faster
 response time,
even under fire!




                               These People Are Users
                                and Operators With
                                  Valid Viewpoints
Basic Definitions
• User does something with the output of a system (for
  example “operations”), or supports those who use
  that output (“maintenance”).
• Surrogate User: Not a current user of the system
  (headquarters staffer; retired military and now a
  defense contractor)
• Operator (always also users): Manipulates some
  aspect of the system, especially its controls (fly it,
  drive it, or otherwise employ it)
• All operators are also users
• Very few users are also operators
Deeper Definitions

• End Users: Far end, downstream users of the output of the
  system

• Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users: Use some output of the system
  but may not directly control it’s employment

• Requirements Writers (often Surrogate Users):
  Headquarters/COCOM staffers who set requirements that
  procurement system finds and buys

• Operators (always Users): Manipulate some aspect of the
  system (fly it, drive it, or otherwise employ it)
Example: Unmanned Aerial Systems in DOD
• End Users: US Army Lieutenant
  and his troops watching video
  and in contact with hostile forces




                                        US Army Photo
• Mid-Stream/Dispersed
  Users: US Army
  Colonel at Air
  Operations Center
  using imagery for raid
  planning




                           US Air Force Photo
• Requirements Writers (often
  Surrogate Users): Air Combat
  Command A8/9 planning
  exercises and recommending new
  procurements




                                   STC Photo
Hunter Airfield Controls (STC Photo)




                                                          Shadow Downlink & Controls (US Army Photo)
                      Predator Control Van (USAF Photo)




• Operators (also Users): Remote
  “pilots” flying the air vehicles and
  operating sensors

                                                           Warrior Alpha Control Van (US Army Photo)
To Which “Users” Should We Listen?
• End Users?

• Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users?

• Requirements Writers (often
  Surrogate Users)?

• Operators (also Users)?
End Users       Mid-Stream       Requirements         Operators
                                   Users             Writers

   Pros of     • The Real        • Visible       • Write req’ts    • Immediate
Recruiting/      people at tip     advocates,      and can           impact on
Listening to     of spear          able to         drive/divert      combat effort
               • Rewarding to      impact          $$$             • Rewarding to
    Them
                 support           req’ts        • Drive long term   support
                 combat          • Can drive       contracts for     operators
                 troops/1st        new             system dev’t
                 responders        COCOM
                                   IPLs
  Cons of      • Focused on      High pressure   • Focused on      • System OEM is
Recruiting/      fighting        job, many         equipping         king
Listening to     today’s war,    “bosses”,         troops to fight • Other programs
                 not often       often at odds     future wars (5-   can be threat to
   Them
                 impacted by     with              15 years out)     current system
                 R&D             established     • Requires          and its
               • Often have      contractors       dedicated, long   improvements
                 no $$$          and programs      term effort to    long term
                                                   influence
Good CONOPS Gets Support From Each
 Group With Special Emphasis When Needed
• End Users when your system/enhancement fixes a problem for
  troops in contact on today’s battlefield (make CONOPS section 3
  especially strong since end users will focus on this)

• Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users when your system improves
  effectiveness of system’s utility for non-operators and non-end-
  users who use its outputs

• Requirements Writers (often Surrogate Users) when your
  system/enhancement will help force posture or combat capabilities
  for conflicts 5-15 years in future

• Operators (are also Users) when your system/enhancement
  improves controllability or flexibility of the system by its
  manipulators.
Lastly: Inputs From Surrogate Users
   Should ALWAYS Be Welcomed
                  • Viewpoints can vary widely
                    with backgrounds and
                    experiences
                  • Even (sometimes especially)
                    dated experience can be
                    instructive
                  • Weight the advice based on
                    source’s level of experience,
                    span of experience,
                    reputation and the input’s
                    applicability to the
                    system/issues
                  • Always capture and retain the
                    advice/ideas.
End User’s Real Interests*
• I don’t speak “contracts” or “requirements” and I don’t
  completely trust people who do
• I don’t really trust people who have no military experience
  because I doubt if they understand my needs
• I want a system that works as advertised, first time and every
  time; is easy to upgrade in the field; links seamlessly with other
  systems/networks
• I need the system to be easy to use when I am stressed out and
  sleepless for 48 hours
• I want the government to buy a full-up system, with training and
  spares and factory support whenever I need it
• The headquarters folks do not understand current users’ needs
  and they don’t really speak for me and the other end users
• I seldom get asked about system requirements and even then my
  words are watered down (made “P.C.”) by MAJCOM or others


                         * Results from Solid Thinking’s ongoing survey of defense professionals
                         Copyright STC March 2008.
                                                                                        21
                             All rights reserved.
To Work Best With End Users
                     • Show effort to fix broken
                       systems
                     • Listen to their
                       frustrations and help
                       tackle them
                     • Go visit field units,
                       observe ops, ask
                       questions & listen: be
                       empathic


        Copyright STC March 2008.
                                              22
           All rights reserved.
Failure-Proofing Your
      Project/Program
SBI Example (of 5 examples discussed
       in the CONOPS course)
Solid Thinking’s “Fielding Probability”
              Assessment System
•   Meets Key Users’ Need - saves lives, saves money, answers a long-standing
    need, meets serious emerging need, makes current job easier, permits new
    capability against today’s threat, permits new capability against tomorrow’s
    threat, meets validated COCOM/MAJCOM requirement, has clear OpCon &
    CONOPS

•   Answers Key Organizations’ Needs - preserves service/agency’s budget
    and/or power base, visibly supports parent org’s goals, lets service visibly
    support other service/coalition partner), Joint Service, employs people in
    key Congressmen’s districts

•   Offers an Executable Program - helps fight today’s conflict, has senior
    decision makers’ support (who have discretionary budget), has mid-level
    managers’ support (aka Iron Majors), has ops users’ support, championed
    by thought leaders, affordable now, fits existing force structure, supportive
    of other strong program(s), non-competitive with other strong programs,
    ties to ongoing and successful science and technology programs

                           Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                                               24
                                       rights reserved.
Solid Thinking’s Scoring System

0 – Normal text on slides: Did not meet criteria

1 - Underlined text: Met criteria

2- Bold text on slides: Exceeded criteria



                Copyright STC March 2008.        [brackets]
                                               All            show key points
                                                                                25
                            rights reserved.
Solid Thinking’s Fielding “Probability Assessment
                  System” (PAS)
                          Teaching Examples
•     Automated Feature Extraction for Imagery
•     Radar Processing Mode
•     Hyperspectral Imaging System
•     Acoustic Absorbent Tile for Armored Vehicles
•     Tactical ELINT System *
•     Border Surveillance System in Southern US *
•     ATC Systems in Europe *
•     ISR Information Service: Doing it Right! *
* Discussed in 2-day and 3-day courses

    Without discussing specific nations, firms or technologies, what went wrong or what
                                    should have been done?
                               Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                                                     26
                                           rights reserved.
Project 28 – Launch “Prototype”
for $860M DHS Program
•   Nine mobile radar/sensor towers
•   Four unattended ground sensors
•   Seventy SAT phones
•   Fifty Vehicles with secure laptops and comms
•   Data fused at C2 Center

                Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                     27
                            rights reserved.
Project 28 – Launch “Prototype”
for $860M DHS Program

•   Nine mobile radar/sensor towers
•   Four unattended ground sensors
•   Seventy SAT phones
•   Fifty Vehicles with secure laptops and comms

                Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                     28
                            rights reserved.
Project 28 Problems Cited
in Feb 08 Report from GAO

                         • Cameras working at less than ½
                           expected ranges (drives total
                           numbers and locations of towers
                           required, other sensors, etc.)
                         • Radars being falsely triggered by
                           rain
                         • Radar data taking too long to
                           display at C2 nodes
                         • COTS C2 S/W probably not
                           appropriate for intended use
                         • Wrong contract vehicle used: FFP
                           Task Order contract used for an
                           R&D / demo project
     Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                               29
                 rights reserved.
What Did
    Boeing and the
    US Border Patrol
       Do Right?
• Realized they were
  building a complex
  system in a politically-
  charged atmosphere

• Talked to users

• Got feedback from
  users on overall
  system capabilities

• Suitability-tested
                         Copyright STC March 2008.      All
  components                         rights reserved.
                                                              30
What Went Wrong?
                                                              Copyright Solid Thin
                                                              All Rights Reserved.




User-inputs did not catch errors of omission and commission. Why not? We
   don’t know. Some possible reasons:
• Wrong “users” were involved (perhaps surrogate users)?
• Users were involved at the wrong times to impact system design?
• Wrong (subtly biased?) questions were asked of the users?
• Users were not involved in building subsystem requirements or test plans?
• Entire requirements approach was unstructured, users’ inputs were not
   properly solicited, timed or managed and no CONOPS was generated?????
                         Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                                         31
                                     rights reserved.
Project 28 Prototype’s Score 0-1-0
0-   Meets Key Users’ Need - saves lives, saves money, answers a long-standing
      need (border security), meets serious emerging need, makes current job
      easier, permits new capability against today’s threat, permits new capability
      against tomorrow’s threat, meets validated COCOM/MAJCOM requirement,
      has clear OpCon & CONOPS

1-   Answers Key Organizations’ Needs - preserves service/agency’s budget
      and/or power base, visibly supports parent org’s goals, lets service visibly
      support other service/coalition partner), Joint Service, employs people in
      key Congressmen’s districts

0-   Offers an Executable Program - helps fight today’s conflict, has senior
      decision makers’ support (who have discretionary budget), has mid-level
      managers’ support (aka Iron Majors), has ops users’ support, championed
      by thought leaders, affordable now, fits existing force structure, supportive
      of other strong program(s), non-competitive with other strong programs,
      ties to ongoing and successful science and technology programs


                             Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                                                32
                                         rights reserved.
Result: Prototype Rejected
       Biggest Loser: US Citizens, now less secure

• Government’s position: We trusted the US’s premier
  integrator of complex systems (Boeing) who had the DHS
  Director’s support and plenty of money to do this.

• Developer’s probable position: This was a prototype, from
  which we were learning about technologies, system
  integration enhancements needed, etc. We should have
  stressed that “prototype” status. And we should have taken a
  CPFF development contract for the R&D part of this job.)




                     Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                            33
                                 rights reserved.
Project 28 Prototype’s Score 0-1-0
      What Else SHOULD Have Been Done?
 0-  Meets Key Users’ Need - saves lives, saves money, answers a long-
      standing need (border security), meets serious emerging need, makes
      current job easier, permits new capability against today’s threat,
      permits new capability against tomorrow’s threat, meets validated
      requirement, clear OpCon and CONOPS
A. Should’ve
   controlled
 1 - Answers Key Organization’s Need - preserves service/agency’sNo brainer
   expectations                                                      B.
                                                                        budget
   a la “prototype” base, visibly supports parent org’s goals, lets service
        and/or power
                                 C. Boeing should have implemented
        visibly support other service/coalition partner
   status
                                 process for frequent “rudder check”
 0 - Offers an Executable Program - helps fight today’snot just HQ folks
                                 from USBP FIELD AGENTS, conflict, has senior
       decision makers’ support (who have discretionary budget), has mid-
       level managers’ support (Border Patrol Agents), has ops users’ support,
       championed by thought leaders, affordable now, fits existing force
       structure, supportive of other strong program(s), non-competitive with
       other strong programs, ties to ongoing and successful science and
       technology programs accepted prototype, then made
                      D. DHS
                      Boeing dump it: makes Chertoff’s supporters look silly
                           Copyright STC March 2008.      All
                                                                               34
                                       rights reserved.
To learn more please attend this ATI course




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How Do Our Clients Use CONOPS?

  • 1. How Do Our Clients Use CONOPS? Instructor: Mack McKinney ATI Course Schedule: http://www.ATIcourses.com/schedule.htm ATI's CONOPS: http://www.aticourses.com/Technical_CONOPS_Concepts.htm
  • 2. www.ATIcourses.com Boost Your Skills 349 Berkshire Drive Riva, Maryland 21140 with On-Site Courses Telephone 1-888-501-2100 / (410) 965-8805 Tailored to Your Needs Fax (410) 956-5785 Email: ATI@ATIcourses.com The Applied Technology Institute specializes in training programs for technical professionals. Our courses keep you current in the state-of-the-art technology that is essential to keep your company on the cutting edge in today’s highly competitive marketplace. Since 1984, ATI has earned the trust of training departments nationwide, and has presented on-site training at the major Navy, Air Force and NASA centers, and for a large number of contractors. Our training increases effectiveness and productivity. Learn from the proven best. For a Free On-Site Quote Visit Us At: http://www.ATIcourses.com/free_onsite_quote.asp For Our Current Public Course Schedule Go To: http://www.ATIcourses.com/schedule.htm
  • 3. CONOPS Can Uncover Requirements “I recently released a CONOPs developed in parallel with an early requirements-and-design concept development effort. This CONOPs was initially resisted, believed unnecessary by several principals. When it was completed two months later (using the outline and training provided by Solid Thinking), we had identified a number of mismatched (and unspoken) expectations, and identified on the order of forty new requirements. One of the key original skeptics [said], "This is one of the best CONOPS I've ever seen". The CONOPs is now a key system document.” (Lockheed Martin engineer, 2006) Copyright STC March 2008. All 2 rights reserved.
  • 4. Organizations Now Using STC’s CONOPS Outlines • UAE GHQ • HQ USAF Air Combat Command A2 • USN Naval Surface Warfare Center, Panama City, FL • Defense Intelligence Agency • US Army Training and Doctrine Command (TRADOC) • Swedish Submarine Forces • Italian General Staff and Center for Defense Innovation • Hungarian Ministry of Defense • Danish MOD, Intelligence Directorate • Boeing, Raytheon Missiles, Northrop Grumman, MITRE, Booz Allen Hamilton, Sikorsky, Lockheed Martin, others Copyright STC March 2008. All 3 rights reserved.
  • 5. Your Clients Know Good CONOPS • Are required for all DOD/DHS programs • Can rally users and politicians to help save a threatened program • Save money • Save time • Deliver better product/service to USERS, sooner, with living documentation, training, employment tips, support community • Provide faster, less expensive upgrades that are easier to justify and fund • Sometimes save lives
  • 6. Your Clients Already Benefit From CONOPS • Used throughout federal and state government agencies (assisted by BAH, MITRE, SAIC, others) • Used for system development, reorganizations, exercises, missions, etc. Copyright STC March 2008. All 5 rights reserved.
  • 7. So Clients Expect You to . . . • Help build effective CONOPS • Participate on CONOPS teams • Guide R&D, modeling & sim • Counsel to avoid common pitfalls Copyright STC March 2008. All 6 rights reserved.
  • 8. In DOD an OpCon and Future Standard Operating User- Focused CONOPS Concepts Procedures (SOP), Are the Linchpins (e.g. JOpsC) OPORDS, EXORDs, Ops Assessments Evolutionary Scenarios, Current System/Situation, Increments: Justif for Delta, Scenarios P3I & ECPs Summary of Impacts Training Features Left Out & Personas Programs Obsolescence Analyses & Scenarios Personas, Use Cases OpCon CONOPS & Scenarios User Manuals * OpCon Text, Scenarios, Effects-Based Solutions, Lessons Regular Input From Users Regular Input From Users, Learned Modeling & Simulation TTPs Copyright STC 2010. All rights reserved. Architecture Requirements DODAF CBAs JCIDS DOD/DHS Reviews AV-Xs OV-Xs SV-Xs Effects-Based SE Copyright STC March 2008. All 7 * Operators, maintainers, rights reserved. SysAdmin & downstream product users all need User Manuals
  • 9. CONOPS Important for Long-Duration Dev’t Projects “ Mack, the real benefit to doing thorough CONOPS here is continuity. On programs that last for years we have a turnover of PMs, lead engineers, in fact of the ENTIRE staff, sometimes several times. Our CONOPS now provide an easy-to-understand, unbiased record of what we did, why we did it, why we are doing what we have underway at any given time. CONOPS here are a “touchstone” for EVERYONE on our major projects.” (Sr. Engineer at Raytheon, 2008) Copyright STC March 2008. 8 All rights reserved.
  • 10. Special Supplement to Technical CONOPS Courses “Users” Exist in Lots of Flavors To Which of Them Should We Listen As We Build CONOPS and Design Systems? US DOD Photo
  • 11. If I could just find a better way to initially treat What we need is a wounded troops without machine to carry 100 For the next exposing medics to small pounds of water and war, we need to arms fire! ammo for each of us! design a much better MEDIVAC chain with faster response time, even under fire! These People Are Users and Operators With Valid Viewpoints
  • 12. Basic Definitions • User does something with the output of a system (for example “operations”), or supports those who use that output (“maintenance”). • Surrogate User: Not a current user of the system (headquarters staffer; retired military and now a defense contractor) • Operator (always also users): Manipulates some aspect of the system, especially its controls (fly it, drive it, or otherwise employ it) • All operators are also users • Very few users are also operators
  • 13. Deeper Definitions • End Users: Far end, downstream users of the output of the system • Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users: Use some output of the system but may not directly control it’s employment • Requirements Writers (often Surrogate Users): Headquarters/COCOM staffers who set requirements that procurement system finds and buys • Operators (always Users): Manipulate some aspect of the system (fly it, drive it, or otherwise employ it)
  • 14. Example: Unmanned Aerial Systems in DOD • End Users: US Army Lieutenant and his troops watching video and in contact with hostile forces US Army Photo
  • 15. • Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users: US Army Colonel at Air Operations Center using imagery for raid planning US Air Force Photo
  • 16. • Requirements Writers (often Surrogate Users): Air Combat Command A8/9 planning exercises and recommending new procurements STC Photo
  • 17. Hunter Airfield Controls (STC Photo) Shadow Downlink & Controls (US Army Photo) Predator Control Van (USAF Photo) • Operators (also Users): Remote “pilots” flying the air vehicles and operating sensors Warrior Alpha Control Van (US Army Photo)
  • 18. To Which “Users” Should We Listen? • End Users? • Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users? • Requirements Writers (often Surrogate Users)? • Operators (also Users)?
  • 19. End Users Mid-Stream Requirements Operators Users Writers Pros of • The Real • Visible • Write req’ts • Immediate Recruiting/ people at tip advocates, and can impact on Listening to of spear able to drive/divert combat effort • Rewarding to impact $$$ • Rewarding to Them support req’ts • Drive long term support combat • Can drive contracts for operators troops/1st new system dev’t responders COCOM IPLs Cons of • Focused on High pressure • Focused on • System OEM is Recruiting/ fighting job, many equipping king Listening to today’s war, “bosses”, troops to fight • Other programs not often often at odds future wars (5- can be threat to Them impacted by with 15 years out) current system R&D established • Requires and its • Often have contractors dedicated, long improvements no $$$ and programs term effort to long term influence
  • 20. Good CONOPS Gets Support From Each Group With Special Emphasis When Needed • End Users when your system/enhancement fixes a problem for troops in contact on today’s battlefield (make CONOPS section 3 especially strong since end users will focus on this) • Mid-Stream/Dispersed Users when your system improves effectiveness of system’s utility for non-operators and non-end- users who use its outputs • Requirements Writers (often Surrogate Users) when your system/enhancement will help force posture or combat capabilities for conflicts 5-15 years in future • Operators (are also Users) when your system/enhancement improves controllability or flexibility of the system by its manipulators.
  • 21. Lastly: Inputs From Surrogate Users Should ALWAYS Be Welcomed • Viewpoints can vary widely with backgrounds and experiences • Even (sometimes especially) dated experience can be instructive • Weight the advice based on source’s level of experience, span of experience, reputation and the input’s applicability to the system/issues • Always capture and retain the advice/ideas.
  • 22. End User’s Real Interests* • I don’t speak “contracts” or “requirements” and I don’t completely trust people who do • I don’t really trust people who have no military experience because I doubt if they understand my needs • I want a system that works as advertised, first time and every time; is easy to upgrade in the field; links seamlessly with other systems/networks • I need the system to be easy to use when I am stressed out and sleepless for 48 hours • I want the government to buy a full-up system, with training and spares and factory support whenever I need it • The headquarters folks do not understand current users’ needs and they don’t really speak for me and the other end users • I seldom get asked about system requirements and even then my words are watered down (made “P.C.”) by MAJCOM or others * Results from Solid Thinking’s ongoing survey of defense professionals Copyright STC March 2008. 21 All rights reserved.
  • 23. To Work Best With End Users • Show effort to fix broken systems • Listen to their frustrations and help tackle them • Go visit field units, observe ops, ask questions & listen: be empathic Copyright STC March 2008. 22 All rights reserved.
  • 24. Failure-Proofing Your Project/Program SBI Example (of 5 examples discussed in the CONOPS course)
  • 25. Solid Thinking’s “Fielding Probability” Assessment System • Meets Key Users’ Need - saves lives, saves money, answers a long-standing need, meets serious emerging need, makes current job easier, permits new capability against today’s threat, permits new capability against tomorrow’s threat, meets validated COCOM/MAJCOM requirement, has clear OpCon & CONOPS • Answers Key Organizations’ Needs - preserves service/agency’s budget and/or power base, visibly supports parent org’s goals, lets service visibly support other service/coalition partner), Joint Service, employs people in key Congressmen’s districts • Offers an Executable Program - helps fight today’s conflict, has senior decision makers’ support (who have discretionary budget), has mid-level managers’ support (aka Iron Majors), has ops users’ support, championed by thought leaders, affordable now, fits existing force structure, supportive of other strong program(s), non-competitive with other strong programs, ties to ongoing and successful science and technology programs Copyright STC March 2008. All 24 rights reserved.
  • 26. Solid Thinking’s Scoring System 0 – Normal text on slides: Did not meet criteria 1 - Underlined text: Met criteria 2- Bold text on slides: Exceeded criteria Copyright STC March 2008. [brackets] All show key points 25 rights reserved.
  • 27. Solid Thinking’s Fielding “Probability Assessment System” (PAS) Teaching Examples • Automated Feature Extraction for Imagery • Radar Processing Mode • Hyperspectral Imaging System • Acoustic Absorbent Tile for Armored Vehicles • Tactical ELINT System * • Border Surveillance System in Southern US * • ATC Systems in Europe * • ISR Information Service: Doing it Right! * * Discussed in 2-day and 3-day courses Without discussing specific nations, firms or technologies, what went wrong or what should have been done? Copyright STC March 2008. All 26 rights reserved.
  • 28. Project 28 – Launch “Prototype” for $860M DHS Program • Nine mobile radar/sensor towers • Four unattended ground sensors • Seventy SAT phones • Fifty Vehicles with secure laptops and comms • Data fused at C2 Center Copyright STC March 2008. All 27 rights reserved.
  • 29. Project 28 – Launch “Prototype” for $860M DHS Program • Nine mobile radar/sensor towers • Four unattended ground sensors • Seventy SAT phones • Fifty Vehicles with secure laptops and comms Copyright STC March 2008. All 28 rights reserved.
  • 30. Project 28 Problems Cited in Feb 08 Report from GAO • Cameras working at less than ½ expected ranges (drives total numbers and locations of towers required, other sensors, etc.) • Radars being falsely triggered by rain • Radar data taking too long to display at C2 nodes • COTS C2 S/W probably not appropriate for intended use • Wrong contract vehicle used: FFP Task Order contract used for an R&D / demo project Copyright STC March 2008. All 29 rights reserved.
  • 31. What Did Boeing and the US Border Patrol Do Right? • Realized they were building a complex system in a politically- charged atmosphere • Talked to users • Got feedback from users on overall system capabilities • Suitability-tested Copyright STC March 2008. All components rights reserved. 30
  • 32. What Went Wrong? Copyright Solid Thin All Rights Reserved. User-inputs did not catch errors of omission and commission. Why not? We don’t know. Some possible reasons: • Wrong “users” were involved (perhaps surrogate users)? • Users were involved at the wrong times to impact system design? • Wrong (subtly biased?) questions were asked of the users? • Users were not involved in building subsystem requirements or test plans? • Entire requirements approach was unstructured, users’ inputs were not properly solicited, timed or managed and no CONOPS was generated????? Copyright STC March 2008. All 31 rights reserved.
  • 33. Project 28 Prototype’s Score 0-1-0 0- Meets Key Users’ Need - saves lives, saves money, answers a long-standing need (border security), meets serious emerging need, makes current job easier, permits new capability against today’s threat, permits new capability against tomorrow’s threat, meets validated COCOM/MAJCOM requirement, has clear OpCon & CONOPS 1- Answers Key Organizations’ Needs - preserves service/agency’s budget and/or power base, visibly supports parent org’s goals, lets service visibly support other service/coalition partner), Joint Service, employs people in key Congressmen’s districts 0- Offers an Executable Program - helps fight today’s conflict, has senior decision makers’ support (who have discretionary budget), has mid-level managers’ support (aka Iron Majors), has ops users’ support, championed by thought leaders, affordable now, fits existing force structure, supportive of other strong program(s), non-competitive with other strong programs, ties to ongoing and successful science and technology programs Copyright STC March 2008. All 32 rights reserved.
  • 34. Result: Prototype Rejected Biggest Loser: US Citizens, now less secure • Government’s position: We trusted the US’s premier integrator of complex systems (Boeing) who had the DHS Director’s support and plenty of money to do this. • Developer’s probable position: This was a prototype, from which we were learning about technologies, system integration enhancements needed, etc. We should have stressed that “prototype” status. And we should have taken a CPFF development contract for the R&D part of this job.) Copyright STC March 2008. All 33 rights reserved.
  • 35. Project 28 Prototype’s Score 0-1-0 What Else SHOULD Have Been Done? 0- Meets Key Users’ Need - saves lives, saves money, answers a long- standing need (border security), meets serious emerging need, makes current job easier, permits new capability against today’s threat, permits new capability against tomorrow’s threat, meets validated requirement, clear OpCon and CONOPS A. Should’ve controlled 1 - Answers Key Organization’s Need - preserves service/agency’sNo brainer expectations B. budget a la “prototype” base, visibly supports parent org’s goals, lets service and/or power C. Boeing should have implemented visibly support other service/coalition partner status process for frequent “rudder check” 0 - Offers an Executable Program - helps fight today’snot just HQ folks from USBP FIELD AGENTS, conflict, has senior decision makers’ support (who have discretionary budget), has mid- level managers’ support (Border Patrol Agents), has ops users’ support, championed by thought leaders, affordable now, fits existing force structure, supportive of other strong program(s), non-competitive with other strong programs, ties to ongoing and successful science and technology programs accepted prototype, then made D. DHS Boeing dump it: makes Chertoff’s supporters look silly Copyright STC March 2008. All 34 rights reserved.
  • 36. To learn more please attend this ATI course Please post your comments and questions to our blog: http://www.aticourses.com/blog/ Sign-up for ATI's monthly Course Schedule Updates : http://www.aticourses.com/email_signup_page.html