SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  12
ASSIGNMENT
1. The process of designing conceptual and quantitative models.
2. Find two consecutive integers such that 10 times the smaller number is 5 times the bigger
number.
Solution:
Let the two integers be A, B. Since they are consecutive, A=B-1
Now the given condition is :
10A=5B
Replacing A with B, 10(B-1)=5B
i.e., 10B-10=5B
5B=10
B=2
Hence, A=B-1=2-1=1.
A&B=1 & 2
3. When the solutions of quadratic equation are termed as: (a) rational and equal, (b) real and
distinct and (c) imaginary and distinct.
4. Ash Lubes sells X units of Supreme Lubes each day at the rate of Rs 50 per unit of 100 gm. The
cost of manufacturingandsellingtheseunitsisRs35 perunit plus a fixed daily overhead cost of
Rs 10,000. Determine the profitfunction.How would youinterpretthe situation if the company
manufactures and sells 400 units of the lubes a day?
Solution:
SP=Rs. 50 per Unit(100Gm)
Direct Cost= Rs. 35 per unit
Daily over head=Rs. 10,000
Assuming the company manufactures X units a day:
The total cost to the company is (X*35)+10000=35X+10000
For breaking even: SP = CP
i.e., X*50=35X+10000
15X=10000
The Profit function of the company would be: F(P)= 15X-10000.
Solving this, X=666.6
Hence, the company should manufacture minimum 667 units to get profit
If the company manufactures 400 units a day:
The profit function becomes, F(P)=15(400)-10000
=6000-10000
=-4000
The company makes a loss of Rs. 4000 if it manufactures 400 units.
In numerical, Total cost to the company is :
(35*400)+10000= 14000+10000=24000 for 400 units
Cost per unit = 60
Company would lose Rs. 10 per unit.
5. An investorwantstoinvestRs.15,000 in twotypesof bonds.He earns 12% in first type and 15%
in the second. Find his investment in each of his total earning is Rs1950.
Solution:
a. (X*12)/100+(Y*15)/100=1950
b. X+Y=15000
Solving these 2 equations:
X=15000-Y
Replacing X in Eq A.
[(15000-Y)*12+15Y]/100=1950
180000+3Y=195000
3Y=15000
Y=5,000/-
X=10,000/-
6. IshaanPetrochemicalshasintroducedinthe market its latest lube. The marketing manager has
worked out that the demand function of this product, which can be expressed as: Q = 30 – 4P,
Where, Q is the quantity and P is the per kilogram price.
(a) Write the total revenue as a function of price.
(b) Draw the graph of this function.
Solution: Using the demand function given above, Q=30-4P, the relation between Price,
Quantity and Revenue can be tabulated as follows:
Price Quantity Revenue
0 30 0
1 26 26
2 22 44
3 18 54
4 14 56
5 10 50
6 6 36
7 2 14
Revenue as a function of Price: R=30P-4P^2
Graph:
7. A switch manufacturer finds that his total monthly production costs are Rs 10,600 when
production is 16,000 units per month, Rs17,800 when it is 26,000 units and Rs 27,000 when the
productionis 36,000 per month. He can sell 16,000 units per month at Rs104each, but has to
reduce the price to Rs94 each in order to sell26,000 pieces. He can sell 36,000 pieces only atRs
80.
Question
Assuming that both cost curve and price curve are quadratic, find
(a) the monthly total cost,
(b) the price,
(c) the monthly revenue, and
(d) the monthly gross profit as functions of the quantity sold.
Find also
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Revenue
Revenue
(e) the quantity sold,
(f) the price and
(g) the monthlyrevenue atthe breakevenpointandconfirmthat the monthly total cost is then
equal to the monthly revenue.
Solution:
A:
a(16)^2+b(16)+c=10.61
a(26)^2+b(26)+c=17.82
a(36)^2+b(36)+c=273
Solving the quadratic quations:
(3-2)
620a+10b=9.2
(2-1)
420a+10b=7.2
Solving these, a=0.01, b=0.3, c=3.24.
Hence the equation for cost can be written as: 0.01(X)^2+0.3(X)+3.24
B:
Similarly for price:
a(16)^2+b(16)+c=0.104
a(26)^2+b(26)+c=0.094
a(36)^2+b(36)+c=0.080
Solving these:
620a+10b=-0.014
420a+10b=-0.01
200a=-0.004
A=-0.00002
10b=-0.01-(420*-0.00002)=-0.01+0.0084=-0.0016
b=-0.00016
c=0.11168
The price equation can be written as : -0.00002(X)^2+-0.00016(X)+0.11168
C:
Monthly Revenue=Price* Quantity
=(-0.00002(X)^2+-0.00016(X)+0.11168)*(X)
=-0.00002(X)^3+-0.00016(X)^2+0.11168(X)
D: Gross profit as function of Qty sold:
Gross Profit = Revenue-Cost
Revenue=Price*Quantity sold
=0.00002(X)^3+-0.00016(X)^2+0.11168(X)-(0.01(X)^2+0.3(X)+3.24)
=0.0000(X)^3-0.0116(X)^2-0.18832(X)-3.24
E: Breakeven point:
Revenue=Cost
-0.00002(X)^3+-0.00016(X)^2+0.11168(X)= 0.01(X)^2+0.3(X)+3.24
I cant solve the rest of this Q :P
And you people done copy this also :D
8. Nahar Chemical Millsproducesthreevarietiesof base oil,Super fine Grade (A grade),finegrade
(B grade) andcoarse grade (C grade).The total annual salesinlacsof rupeesof these products
for the year1999 and 2000 in the fourcitiesisgivenbelow,findthe total salesof three varieties
of base oil fortwo years.
Solution:
Elaborate using matrices:
Sale of A Grade: 160 Lakhs
Sale of B Grade: 172 lakhs
Sale of C grade: 224 Lakhs
9. A 2T oil manufacturerproducesthree productsA,B,C whichhe sellsinthe market.Annual sale
volumes are indicated as follows:
If the unit sale price of A, B and C are Rs 2.25, 1.50 and Rs 1.25 respectively, find the total
revenue ineach market with the help of matrices. (ii) If the unit costs of above three products
are Rs 1.60, Rs1.20 and Rs0.90 respectively, find the gross profit with the help of matrices.
Ans:
Total Revenue in market I:
(2.25 1.5 1.25)*(8000 10000 15000)=(2.25*8000 1.5*10000 1.25*15000)
=(18000 15000 18750)
Revenue of A in Market I = 18000
Revenue of A in Market I = 15000
Revenue of A in Market I = 18750
Total Revenue in market II:
(2.25 1.5 1.25)*(10000 2000 20000)=(2.25*10000 1.5*2000 1.25*20000)
=(22500 3000 25000)
Revenue of A in Market II = 22500
Revenue of A in Market II = 3000
Revenue of A in Market II = 25000
Gross Profit:
(Sale price-cost price)*(Revenue)
(SP-CP)=(2.25 1.5 1.25)-(1.6 1.2 0..9)=(2.25-1.6 1.5-1.2 1.25-0.9)
=(0.75 0.3 0.35)
Gross Profit=(0.75 0.3 0.35)*(8000 10000 15000)+
(0.75 0.3 0.35)*(10000 2000 20000)
=(6000 3000 5250)+(7500 600 7000)=(13500 3600 12250)
Gross profit of all products put together=(13500+3600+12250)=Rs. 29350/-
10. Robin Singh & Company Ltd. stocks lubes of Castrol brand and Mak brand. The matrix of
transition probabilities of the lubes is shown below:
Determine the market share of each of the brand in equilibrium position.
Solution:
Assuming the market share of Castrol and Mak at Equillibrium are P1 and P2.
At equilibrium position,
R=RP
[P1 P2] 0.9 0.1 = [P1 P2]
0.3 0.7
Where, P1+P2=1
We get the following equations:
0.9P1+0.3P2=P1
0.1P1+0.7P2=P2
Solving these equations, we get:
3P2=P1
We already know, P1+P2=1
Thus, P1=3/4=0.75 and P2=0.25.
Thus the marketshare of Castrol andMak at equilibriumpositionare 0.75 and 0.25 respectively.
11. Four boys order in a fish-and-chips restaurant. A orders fish, chips and coke. B orders two fish
with chips. C orders fish and coke. D orders chips and coke. The prices are Rs 50 for fish, Rs 18
for chips, and Rs 15 for coke.
(a) Express each boy’s order as a row vector.
(b) Addtogetherthese fourvectorstoobtaina fifthrow vector representingthe total quantities
ordered.
(c) Express the prices as a column vector.
(d) Multiply each of the five row vectors by the price vector, to obtain the amount owed by
each boy and the total amount owed.
(e) Check that the fifth result in (d) is equal to the sum of the other four results.
Ans: Order of A: O(A): (1 1 1)
O(B): (2 1 0)
O(C): (0 1 1)
O(D): (0 1 1)
Total Order:
O(A)+O(B)+O(C)+O(D)=(3 4 3)
Prices:
50
18
15
Amount owed by each boy:
A= (1 1 1)* 50 =(83)
18
15
B=(118)
C=(33)
D=(33)
Total: (267) 50
Total Order*Prices=(3 4 3)* 18 =(150+72+45)=(267)
15
12. Distinguishbetweenobjective probabilityandsubjectiveprobability. Give one example of each
concept.
Objective Probability:
The probability that an event will occur based an analysis in which each measure is
based on a recorded observation, rather than a subjective estimate. Objective
probabilities are a more accurate way to determine probabilities than observations based
on subjective measures, such as personal estimates.
For example, one could determine the objective probability that a coin will land "heads"
up by flipping it 100 times and recording each observation. When performing any
statistical analysis, it is important for each observation to be an independent event that
has not been subject to manipulation. The less biased each observation is, the less
biased the end probability will be.
Subjective Probability:
A probability derived from an individual's personal judgment about whether a specific
outcome is likely to occur. Subjective probabilities contain no formal calculations and
only reflect the subject's opinions and past experience
Subjective probabilities differ from person to person. Because the probability is
subjective, it contains a high degree of personal bias. An example of subjective
probability could be asking Indian Cricekt fans, before the world cup season starts, the
chances of India winning the world cup. While there is no absolute mathematical proof
behind the answer to the example, fans might still reply in actual percentage terms, such
as the Indians having a 50% chance of winning the world cup.
For example, let's say Anand buys a lottery ticket to support a local school troop. The
troop sells 1,000 tickets. From an objective probability perspective, John has a 1 in
1,000 chance of winning. But subjectively, Anand thinks his chances of winning are
much higher because "he has a good feeling about it." Nevertheless, his chances are
still 1 in 1,000.
13. State and prove theorem of addition of probabilities for two events when (a) they are not
independent, (b) they are independent.
Solution:
The additiontheoreminthe Probabilityconceptisthe processof determinationof the
probabilitythateitherevent‘A’orevent‘B’occursor both occur. The notationbetweentwo
events‘A’and‘B’the additionisdenotedas '∪' andpronouncedasUnion.
The resultof this additiontheoremgenerallywrittenusingSetnotation.
P (A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B),
Where,
P (A) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘A’
P (B) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘B’
P (A ∪ B) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘A’orevent‘B’.
P (A ∩ B) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘A’andevent‘B’.
Additiontheoremprobabilitycanbe definedandprovedasfollows:
Let ‘A’and ‘B’are Subsetsof a finite nonemptyset‘S’thenaccordingtothe additionrule
P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A).P(B),
On dividingbothsidesbyP(S),we get
P (A ∪ B) / P(S) = P (A) / P(S) + P (B) / P(S) – P (A ∩B) / P(S) Eq:(1).
If the events‘A’and‘B’correspondto the twoevents‘A’and‘B’ of a randomexperimentandif
the set ‘S’correspondstothe Sample Space ‘S’of the experimentthenthe equation(1)
becomes
P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A).P(B)
Thisequationisknownasthe additiontheoreminprobability.
Here the eventA ∪ B referstothe meaningthateitherevent‘A’orevent‘B’occursor bothmay
occur simultaneously.
If two eventsA andB are MutuallyExclusive(Independent) EventsthenA ∩ B = 0,
Therefore
P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P(B) [since P(A ∩B) = 0],
In language of settheoryA ∩ B̅ issame as A / B.
14. A verylarge lotof manufacturedgoodsare to be sampledasa check onits quality. Suppose it is
assumed that 10 percent of the items in the lot are defective and that a sample of 20 items is
drawn from the lot. What are the following probabilities:
1. Probability of exactly zero defectives in the sample?
2. Probability of more than one defective in the sample?
3. Probability of fewer than two defectives in the sample?
Solution:
Assuming the lot size is 100. 10% of the items are defective, i.e., 10 items are defective out of
100. A sample of 20 items is drawn from the lot.
1. Probability of exactly 0 defectives in the sample:
For this event to happen, the sample of 20 has to be from the 90 non defective
pieces. This can be done in 90c3 ways.
The total numberof waysinwhich 20 items can be drawn from a lot of 100 is 100c3.
So the probability of having exactly Zero defectives is:
90c20/100c20=0.095116.
2. Probability of more than one defective in the sample:
For this we have to calculate the probability with 0 defectives and 1 defectives and
subtract it from 1.
The probability of 0 defectives as calculated above is 0.095116
The number of ways of picking 1 defective is: No. of ways of picking 19 pieces from 90
non defective pieces * no. of ways of picking 1 piece from the 10 defective pieces
That is: (90c19)*(10c1)
The probability for this is: (90c19)*(10c1)/100c20=0.026793
Subtracting these from 1:
1-0.095116-0.026793=0.878091.
3. Probability of fewer than 2 defectives:
Probability of having 0 or 1 defectives. The values are calculated above and are to be
added.
P(0)+P(1)= 0.095116+0.026793=0.121909
15. A batch of 5,000 electric lamps has a mean life of 1,000 hours and a standard deviation of 75
hours. Assume a Normal Distribution.
(a) How many lamps will fail before 900 hours?
(b) How many lamps will fail between 950 and 1,000 hours?
(c) What proportion of lamps will fail before 925 hours?
(d) Giventhe same meanlife,whatwouldthe standard deviation have to be to ensure that not
more than 20% of lamps fail before 916 hours?
Solution:
a) Z=(X- µ)/ Σ
=(900-1000)/75=-1.33
Area covered by Z=0 and Z=-1.33 is 0.9176(as per Z table)
Number of bulbs which will fail before 900 hrs= 1000*0.09176=91.76=92(approx)
b) Lamps failing between 950 and 1000
a. Z value for bulbs failing before 950:
Z=(950-1000)/75=-50/75=-0.66
Probability Value corresponding to Z=-0.66 = 0.2546
Probabilityvalueforbulbsfailingat1000 is 0.5 as itis the mean life.
Net probability: 0.5-0.2546=0.2454
No. of bulbs failing between 950 and 1000 = 0.2454*1000=245.4=246(Approx)
c) Proportion of lamps failing before 925.
Z value : Z=(925-1000)/75=-1
Probability value for -1: 0.1586
Proportion of lamps: 15.86%
d) Let D be the standard deviation:
For 20% of lamps to fail: Z value corresponding to 0.2 is -0.84.
Substituting the values in the equation:
Z=(X- µ)/ Σ
-0.84=(916-1000)/ Σ
Σ=-84/-0.84=100
The standard deviation is 100

Contenu connexe

Tendances

Mid term paper of Maths class VI 2011 Fazaia Inter college
Mid term  paper of Maths class  VI 2011 Fazaia Inter collegeMid term  paper of Maths class  VI 2011 Fazaia Inter college
Mid term paper of Maths class VI 2011 Fazaia Inter collegeAsad Shafat
 
Statistics assignment 5
Statistics assignment 5Statistics assignment 5
Statistics assignment 5Ishaq Ahmed
 
Final examination 2011 class viii
Final examination 2011 class viiiFinal examination 2011 class viii
Final examination 2011 class viiiAsad Shafat
 
Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011
Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011
Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011Asad Shafat
 
Mid term examination -2011 class vi
Mid term examination -2011 class viMid term examination -2011 class vi
Mid term examination -2011 class viAsad Shafat
 
Mid term examination -2011 class viii
Mid term examination -2011 class viiiMid term examination -2011 class viii
Mid term examination -2011 class viiiAsad Shafat
 
Unit 6 test 2012 2013
Unit 6 test  2012 2013Unit 6 test  2012 2013
Unit 6 test 2012 2013lawisman
 
Final examination 2011 class vi
Final examination 2011 class viFinal examination 2011 class vi
Final examination 2011 class viAsad Shafat
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)CrackDSE
 
7th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp01
7th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp017th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp01
7th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp01Asad Shafat
 
Bba 3274 qm week 10 integer programming
Bba 3274 qm week 10 integer programmingBba 3274 qm week 10 integer programming
Bba 3274 qm week 10 integer programmingStephen Ong
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)CrackDSE
 
E C M2221 P R O B A B I L I T Y A N D S T A T I S T I C S Set1
E C M2221  P R O B A B I L I T Y  A N D  S T A T I S T I C S Set1E C M2221  P R O B A B I L I T Y  A N D  S T A T I S T I C S Set1
E C M2221 P R O B A B I L I T Y A N D S T A T I S T I C S Set1guestd436758
 
Three problems of probability
Three problems of probabilityThree problems of probability
Three problems of probabilityazmatmengal
 
Parallel Prefix Adders Presentation
Parallel Prefix Adders PresentationParallel Prefix Adders Presentation
Parallel Prefix Adders PresentationPeeyush Pashine
 

Tendances (20)

Mid term paper of Maths class VI 2011 Fazaia Inter college
Mid term  paper of Maths class  VI 2011 Fazaia Inter collegeMid term  paper of Maths class  VI 2011 Fazaia Inter college
Mid term paper of Maths class VI 2011 Fazaia Inter college
 
Statistics assignment 5
Statistics assignment 5Statistics assignment 5
Statistics assignment 5
 
Final examination 2011 class viii
Final examination 2011 class viiiFinal examination 2011 class viii
Final examination 2011 class viii
 
Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011
Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011
Mid term paper Maths class viii 2011
 
Mid term examination -2011 class vi
Mid term examination -2011 class viMid term examination -2011 class vi
Mid term examination -2011 class vi
 
Mid term examination -2011 class viii
Mid term examination -2011 class viiiMid term examination -2011 class viii
Mid term examination -2011 class viii
 
Unit 6 test 2012 2013
Unit 6 test  2012 2013Unit 6 test  2012 2013
Unit 6 test 2012 2013
 
Final examination 2011 class vi
Final examination 2011 class viFinal examination 2011 class vi
Final examination 2011 class vi
 
10thmaths online(e)
10thmaths online(e)10thmaths online(e)
10thmaths online(e)
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2005)
 
7th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp01
7th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp017th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp01
7th onepagemcq 130215025622-phpapp01
 
Bba 3274 qm week 10 integer programming
Bba 3274 qm week 10 integer programmingBba 3274 qm week 10 integer programming
Bba 3274 qm week 10 integer programming
 
Sheet 6 (2016 2017)
Sheet 6 (2016 2017)Sheet 6 (2016 2017)
Sheet 6 (2016 2017)
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2008)
 
Module 2
Module 2Module 2
Module 2
 
Management Science
Management Science Management Science
Management Science
 
Binary Number System and Codes
Binary Number System and CodesBinary Number System and Codes
Binary Number System and Codes
 
E C M2221 P R O B A B I L I T Y A N D S T A T I S T I C S Set1
E C M2221  P R O B A B I L I T Y  A N D  S T A T I S T I C S Set1E C M2221  P R O B A B I L I T Y  A N D  S T A T I S T I C S Set1
E C M2221 P R O B A B I L I T Y A N D S T A T I S T I C S Set1
 
Three problems of probability
Three problems of probabilityThree problems of probability
Three problems of probability
 
Parallel Prefix Adders Presentation
Parallel Prefix Adders PresentationParallel Prefix Adders Presentation
Parallel Prefix Adders Presentation
 

Similaire à Assignment quant

managerial_Economics_supportive_material.docx
managerial_Economics_supportive_material.docxmanagerial_Economics_supportive_material.docx
managerial_Economics_supportive_material.docxAlazerTesfayeErsasuT
 
Break even analysis
Break even analysisBreak even analysis
Break even analysisRAJESHWARRAI
 
Name _________________________ Score ______ ______1..docx
Name _________________________  Score ______  ______1..docxName _________________________  Score ______  ______1..docx
Name _________________________ Score ______ ______1..docxlea6nklmattu
 
Multiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docx
Multiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docxMultiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docx
Multiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docxadelaidefarmer322
 
answerstohomework3summer2013.docx
answerstohomework3summer2013.docxanswerstohomework3summer2013.docx
answerstohomework3summer2013.docxyebegashet
 
Pre-Calculus Midterm Exam 1 Score ______ ____.docx
Pre-Calculus Midterm Exam  1  Score ______  ____.docxPre-Calculus Midterm Exam  1  Score ______  ____.docx
Pre-Calculus Midterm Exam 1 Score ______ ____.docxChantellPantoja184
 
6401-Unit 1.pptx
6401-Unit 1.pptx6401-Unit 1.pptx
6401-Unit 1.pptxhani ubaid
 
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docxnovabroom
 
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docxjesusamckone
 
Vii ch 1 integers
Vii  ch 1 integersVii  ch 1 integers
Vii ch 1 integersAmruthaKB2
 
2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx
2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx
2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptxRezoanulHaque8
 
Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078
Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078
Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078YEP Nepal
 
Synergy University, Managerial Economics, Assignment
Synergy University, Managerial Economics, AssignmentSynergy University, Managerial Economics, Assignment
Synergy University, Managerial Economics, AssignmentMohammed Nasser, EMBA, PMP
 
Archivetemp est i - math test
 Archivetemp est i - math test Archivetemp est i - math test
Archivetemp est i - math testEdatBenha
 
1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx
1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx
1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docxlindorffgarrik
 
Data Interpretation Class-pdf.pdf
Data Interpretation Class-pdf.pdfData Interpretation Class-pdf.pdf
Data Interpretation Class-pdf.pdfAnkit Bhati
 
Linear programming problems
Linear programming problemsLinear programming problems
Linear programming problemsHanna Elise
 
Short Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docx
Short Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docxShort Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docx
Short Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docxbjohn46
 

Similaire à Assignment quant (20)

managerial_Economics_supportive_material.docx
managerial_Economics_supportive_material.docxmanagerial_Economics_supportive_material.docx
managerial_Economics_supportive_material.docx
 
Break even analysis
Break even analysisBreak even analysis
Break even analysis
 
Name _________________________ Score ______ ______1..docx
Name _________________________  Score ______  ______1..docxName _________________________  Score ______  ______1..docx
Name _________________________ Score ______ ______1..docx
 
Multiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docx
Multiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docxMultiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docx
Multiple Choice Type your answer choice in the blank next to each.docx
 
answerstohomework3summer2013.docx
answerstohomework3summer2013.docxanswerstohomework3summer2013.docx
answerstohomework3summer2013.docx
 
Pre-Calculus Midterm Exam 1 Score ______ ____.docx
Pre-Calculus Midterm Exam  1  Score ______  ____.docxPre-Calculus Midterm Exam  1  Score ______  ____.docx
Pre-Calculus Midterm Exam 1 Score ______ ____.docx
 
6401-Unit 1.pptx
6401-Unit 1.pptx6401-Unit 1.pptx
6401-Unit 1.pptx
 
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
 
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
1Chapter 11 • Interval Estimation of a Populatio.docx
 
Vii ch 1 integers
Vii  ch 1 integersVii  ch 1 integers
Vii ch 1 integers
 
2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx
2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx
2. Break Even Analysis, Systems of Linear Equations.pptx
 
Numerical Ability.pptx
Numerical Ability.pptxNumerical Ability.pptx
Numerical Ability.pptx
 
Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078
Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078
Business Mathematics XII - Hissan 2078
 
Synergy University, Managerial Economics, Assignment
Synergy University, Managerial Economics, AssignmentSynergy University, Managerial Economics, Assignment
Synergy University, Managerial Economics, Assignment
 
Archivetemp est i - math test
 Archivetemp est i - math test Archivetemp est i - math test
Archivetemp est i - math test
 
1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx
1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx
1. (10 pts) For each graph, is the graph symmetric with respect to t.docx
 
Data Interpretation Class-pdf.pdf
Data Interpretation Class-pdf.pdfData Interpretation Class-pdf.pdf
Data Interpretation Class-pdf.pdf
 
Linear programming problems
Linear programming problemsLinear programming problems
Linear programming problems
 
CCA Chapter 7
CCA Chapter 7CCA Chapter 7
CCA Chapter 7
 
Short Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docx
Short Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docxShort Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docx
Short Answer Type your answer below each question. Show your work.docx
 

Dernier

Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdfSocial Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdfSocial Samosa
 
VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...
VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...
VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...aditipandeya
 
Avoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG compliance
Avoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG complianceAvoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG compliance
Avoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG complianceDamien ROBERT
 
Marketing Management Presentation Final.pptx
Marketing Management Presentation Final.pptxMarketing Management Presentation Final.pptx
Marketing Management Presentation Final.pptxabhishekshetti14
 
Branding strategies of new company .pptx
Branding strategies of new company .pptxBranding strategies of new company .pptx
Branding strategies of new company .pptxVikasTiwari846641
 
Brighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO Success
Brighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO SuccessBrighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO Success
Brighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO SuccessVarn
 
Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024
Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024
Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024Richard Ingilby
 
Labour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptx
Labour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptxLabour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptx
Labour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptxelizabethella096
 
What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?
What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?
What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?riteshhsociall
 
BLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly Bulletin
BLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly BulletinBLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly Bulletin
BLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly BulletinBalmerLawrie
 
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentationKraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentationtbatkhuu1
 
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web RevolutionGreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web RevolutionWilliam Barnes
 
The Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptx
The Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptxThe Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptx
The Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptxChelsiaD
 
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail SuccessHow to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail SuccessAggregage
 
Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.DanielaQuiroz63
 
The Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdf
The Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdfThe Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdf
The Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdfVWO
 
Aryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptx
Aryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptxAryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptx
Aryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptxtegevi9289
 

Dernier (20)

Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdfSocial Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
Social Samosa Guidebook for SAMMIES 2024.pdf
 
VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...
VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...
VIP 7001035870 Find & Meet Hyderabad Call Girls Film Nagar high-profile Call ...
 
Avoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG compliance
Avoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG complianceAvoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG compliance
Avoid the 2025 web accessibility rush: do not fear WCAG compliance
 
Marketing Management Presentation Final.pptx
Marketing Management Presentation Final.pptxMarketing Management Presentation Final.pptx
Marketing Management Presentation Final.pptx
 
Branding strategies of new company .pptx
Branding strategies of new company .pptxBranding strategies of new company .pptx
Branding strategies of new company .pptx
 
Brighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO Success
Brighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO SuccessBrighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO Success
Brighton SEO April 2024 - The Good, the Bad & the Ugly of SEO Success
 
Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024
Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024
Moving beyond multi-touch attribution - DigiMarCon CanWest 2024
 
SEO Master Class - Steve Wiideman, Wiideman Consulting Group
SEO Master Class - Steve Wiideman, Wiideman Consulting GroupSEO Master Class - Steve Wiideman, Wiideman Consulting Group
SEO Master Class - Steve Wiideman, Wiideman Consulting Group
 
Labour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptx
Labour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptxLabour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptx
Labour Day Celebrating Workers and Their Contributions.pptx
 
The Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison Kaltman
The Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison KaltmanThe Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison Kaltman
The Future of Brands on LinkedIn - Alison Kaltman
 
What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?
What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?
What is Google Search Console and What is it provide?
 
BLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly Bulletin
BLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly BulletinBLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly Bulletin
BLOOM_April2024. Balmer Lawrie Online Monthly Bulletin
 
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentationKraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
Kraft Mac and Cheese campaign presentation
 
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web RevolutionGreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
GreenSEO April 2024: Join the Green Web Revolution
 
No Cookies No Problem - Steve Krull, Be Found Online
No Cookies No Problem - Steve Krull, Be Found OnlineNo Cookies No Problem - Steve Krull, Be Found Online
No Cookies No Problem - Steve Krull, Be Found Online
 
The Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptx
The Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptxThe Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptx
The Rise of Virtual Influencers: A New Era in Social Media Marketing.pptx
 
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail SuccessHow to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
How to Leverage Behavioral Science Insights for Direct Mail Success
 
Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.Situation Analysis | Management Company.
Situation Analysis | Management Company.
 
The Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdf
The Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdfThe Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdf
The Science of Landing Page Messaging.pdf
 
Aryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptx
Aryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptxAryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptx
Aryabhata I, II of mathematics of both.pptx
 

Assignment quant

  • 1. ASSIGNMENT 1. The process of designing conceptual and quantitative models. 2. Find two consecutive integers such that 10 times the smaller number is 5 times the bigger number. Solution: Let the two integers be A, B. Since they are consecutive, A=B-1 Now the given condition is : 10A=5B Replacing A with B, 10(B-1)=5B i.e., 10B-10=5B 5B=10 B=2 Hence, A=B-1=2-1=1. A&B=1 & 2 3. When the solutions of quadratic equation are termed as: (a) rational and equal, (b) real and distinct and (c) imaginary and distinct. 4. Ash Lubes sells X units of Supreme Lubes each day at the rate of Rs 50 per unit of 100 gm. The cost of manufacturingandsellingtheseunitsisRs35 perunit plus a fixed daily overhead cost of Rs 10,000. Determine the profitfunction.How would youinterpretthe situation if the company manufactures and sells 400 units of the lubes a day? Solution: SP=Rs. 50 per Unit(100Gm) Direct Cost= Rs. 35 per unit Daily over head=Rs. 10,000 Assuming the company manufactures X units a day: The total cost to the company is (X*35)+10000=35X+10000 For breaking even: SP = CP i.e., X*50=35X+10000 15X=10000 The Profit function of the company would be: F(P)= 15X-10000. Solving this, X=666.6 Hence, the company should manufacture minimum 667 units to get profit If the company manufactures 400 units a day: The profit function becomes, F(P)=15(400)-10000 =6000-10000 =-4000
  • 2. The company makes a loss of Rs. 4000 if it manufactures 400 units. In numerical, Total cost to the company is : (35*400)+10000= 14000+10000=24000 for 400 units Cost per unit = 60 Company would lose Rs. 10 per unit. 5. An investorwantstoinvestRs.15,000 in twotypesof bonds.He earns 12% in first type and 15% in the second. Find his investment in each of his total earning is Rs1950. Solution: a. (X*12)/100+(Y*15)/100=1950 b. X+Y=15000 Solving these 2 equations: X=15000-Y Replacing X in Eq A. [(15000-Y)*12+15Y]/100=1950 180000+3Y=195000 3Y=15000 Y=5,000/- X=10,000/- 6. IshaanPetrochemicalshasintroducedinthe market its latest lube. The marketing manager has worked out that the demand function of this product, which can be expressed as: Q = 30 – 4P, Where, Q is the quantity and P is the per kilogram price. (a) Write the total revenue as a function of price. (b) Draw the graph of this function. Solution: Using the demand function given above, Q=30-4P, the relation between Price, Quantity and Revenue can be tabulated as follows: Price Quantity Revenue 0 30 0 1 26 26 2 22 44 3 18 54 4 14 56 5 10 50 6 6 36 7 2 14 Revenue as a function of Price: R=30P-4P^2
  • 3. Graph: 7. A switch manufacturer finds that his total monthly production costs are Rs 10,600 when production is 16,000 units per month, Rs17,800 when it is 26,000 units and Rs 27,000 when the productionis 36,000 per month. He can sell 16,000 units per month at Rs104each, but has to reduce the price to Rs94 each in order to sell26,000 pieces. He can sell 36,000 pieces only atRs 80. Question Assuming that both cost curve and price curve are quadratic, find (a) the monthly total cost, (b) the price, (c) the monthly revenue, and (d) the monthly gross profit as functions of the quantity sold. Find also 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Revenue Revenue
  • 4. (e) the quantity sold, (f) the price and (g) the monthlyrevenue atthe breakevenpointandconfirmthat the monthly total cost is then equal to the monthly revenue. Solution: A: a(16)^2+b(16)+c=10.61 a(26)^2+b(26)+c=17.82 a(36)^2+b(36)+c=273 Solving the quadratic quations: (3-2) 620a+10b=9.2 (2-1) 420a+10b=7.2 Solving these, a=0.01, b=0.3, c=3.24. Hence the equation for cost can be written as: 0.01(X)^2+0.3(X)+3.24 B: Similarly for price: a(16)^2+b(16)+c=0.104 a(26)^2+b(26)+c=0.094 a(36)^2+b(36)+c=0.080 Solving these: 620a+10b=-0.014 420a+10b=-0.01 200a=-0.004 A=-0.00002 10b=-0.01-(420*-0.00002)=-0.01+0.0084=-0.0016 b=-0.00016 c=0.11168 The price equation can be written as : -0.00002(X)^2+-0.00016(X)+0.11168
  • 5. C: Monthly Revenue=Price* Quantity =(-0.00002(X)^2+-0.00016(X)+0.11168)*(X) =-0.00002(X)^3+-0.00016(X)^2+0.11168(X) D: Gross profit as function of Qty sold: Gross Profit = Revenue-Cost Revenue=Price*Quantity sold =0.00002(X)^3+-0.00016(X)^2+0.11168(X)-(0.01(X)^2+0.3(X)+3.24) =0.0000(X)^3-0.0116(X)^2-0.18832(X)-3.24 E: Breakeven point: Revenue=Cost -0.00002(X)^3+-0.00016(X)^2+0.11168(X)= 0.01(X)^2+0.3(X)+3.24 I cant solve the rest of this Q :P And you people done copy this also :D 8. Nahar Chemical Millsproducesthreevarietiesof base oil,Super fine Grade (A grade),finegrade (B grade) andcoarse grade (C grade).The total annual salesinlacsof rupeesof these products for the year1999 and 2000 in the fourcitiesisgivenbelow,findthe total salesof three varieties
  • 6. of base oil fortwo years. Solution: Elaborate using matrices: Sale of A Grade: 160 Lakhs Sale of B Grade: 172 lakhs Sale of C grade: 224 Lakhs 9. A 2T oil manufacturerproducesthree productsA,B,C whichhe sellsinthe market.Annual sale volumes are indicated as follows: If the unit sale price of A, B and C are Rs 2.25, 1.50 and Rs 1.25 respectively, find the total revenue ineach market with the help of matrices. (ii) If the unit costs of above three products are Rs 1.60, Rs1.20 and Rs0.90 respectively, find the gross profit with the help of matrices. Ans: Total Revenue in market I: (2.25 1.5 1.25)*(8000 10000 15000)=(2.25*8000 1.5*10000 1.25*15000) =(18000 15000 18750) Revenue of A in Market I = 18000 Revenue of A in Market I = 15000
  • 7. Revenue of A in Market I = 18750 Total Revenue in market II: (2.25 1.5 1.25)*(10000 2000 20000)=(2.25*10000 1.5*2000 1.25*20000) =(22500 3000 25000) Revenue of A in Market II = 22500 Revenue of A in Market II = 3000 Revenue of A in Market II = 25000 Gross Profit: (Sale price-cost price)*(Revenue) (SP-CP)=(2.25 1.5 1.25)-(1.6 1.2 0..9)=(2.25-1.6 1.5-1.2 1.25-0.9) =(0.75 0.3 0.35) Gross Profit=(0.75 0.3 0.35)*(8000 10000 15000)+ (0.75 0.3 0.35)*(10000 2000 20000) =(6000 3000 5250)+(7500 600 7000)=(13500 3600 12250) Gross profit of all products put together=(13500+3600+12250)=Rs. 29350/- 10. Robin Singh & Company Ltd. stocks lubes of Castrol brand and Mak brand. The matrix of transition probabilities of the lubes is shown below: Determine the market share of each of the brand in equilibrium position. Solution: Assuming the market share of Castrol and Mak at Equillibrium are P1 and P2. At equilibrium position, R=RP [P1 P2] 0.9 0.1 = [P1 P2] 0.3 0.7 Where, P1+P2=1 We get the following equations: 0.9P1+0.3P2=P1 0.1P1+0.7P2=P2 Solving these equations, we get: 3P2=P1
  • 8. We already know, P1+P2=1 Thus, P1=3/4=0.75 and P2=0.25. Thus the marketshare of Castrol andMak at equilibriumpositionare 0.75 and 0.25 respectively. 11. Four boys order in a fish-and-chips restaurant. A orders fish, chips and coke. B orders two fish with chips. C orders fish and coke. D orders chips and coke. The prices are Rs 50 for fish, Rs 18 for chips, and Rs 15 for coke. (a) Express each boy’s order as a row vector. (b) Addtogetherthese fourvectorstoobtaina fifthrow vector representingthe total quantities ordered. (c) Express the prices as a column vector. (d) Multiply each of the five row vectors by the price vector, to obtain the amount owed by each boy and the total amount owed. (e) Check that the fifth result in (d) is equal to the sum of the other four results. Ans: Order of A: O(A): (1 1 1) O(B): (2 1 0) O(C): (0 1 1) O(D): (0 1 1) Total Order: O(A)+O(B)+O(C)+O(D)=(3 4 3) Prices: 50 18 15 Amount owed by each boy: A= (1 1 1)* 50 =(83) 18 15 B=(118) C=(33) D=(33) Total: (267) 50 Total Order*Prices=(3 4 3)* 18 =(150+72+45)=(267) 15 12. Distinguishbetweenobjective probabilityandsubjectiveprobability. Give one example of each concept. Objective Probability: The probability that an event will occur based an analysis in which each measure is based on a recorded observation, rather than a subjective estimate. Objective
  • 9. probabilities are a more accurate way to determine probabilities than observations based on subjective measures, such as personal estimates. For example, one could determine the objective probability that a coin will land "heads" up by flipping it 100 times and recording each observation. When performing any statistical analysis, it is important for each observation to be an independent event that has not been subject to manipulation. The less biased each observation is, the less biased the end probability will be. Subjective Probability: A probability derived from an individual's personal judgment about whether a specific outcome is likely to occur. Subjective probabilities contain no formal calculations and only reflect the subject's opinions and past experience Subjective probabilities differ from person to person. Because the probability is subjective, it contains a high degree of personal bias. An example of subjective probability could be asking Indian Cricekt fans, before the world cup season starts, the chances of India winning the world cup. While there is no absolute mathematical proof behind the answer to the example, fans might still reply in actual percentage terms, such as the Indians having a 50% chance of winning the world cup. For example, let's say Anand buys a lottery ticket to support a local school troop. The troop sells 1,000 tickets. From an objective probability perspective, John has a 1 in 1,000 chance of winning. But subjectively, Anand thinks his chances of winning are much higher because "he has a good feeling about it." Nevertheless, his chances are still 1 in 1,000. 13. State and prove theorem of addition of probabilities for two events when (a) they are not independent, (b) they are independent. Solution: The additiontheoreminthe Probabilityconceptisthe processof determinationof the probabilitythateitherevent‘A’orevent‘B’occursor both occur. The notationbetweentwo events‘A’and‘B’the additionisdenotedas '∪' andpronouncedasUnion. The resultof this additiontheoremgenerallywrittenusingSetnotation. P (A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B), Where, P (A) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘A’ P (B) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘B’ P (A ∪ B) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘A’orevent‘B’. P (A ∩ B) = probabilityof occurrence of event‘A’andevent‘B’. Additiontheoremprobabilitycanbe definedandprovedasfollows:
  • 10. Let ‘A’and ‘B’are Subsetsof a finite nonemptyset‘S’thenaccordingtothe additionrule P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A).P(B), On dividingbothsidesbyP(S),we get P (A ∪ B) / P(S) = P (A) / P(S) + P (B) / P(S) – P (A ∩B) / P(S) Eq:(1). If the events‘A’and‘B’correspondto the twoevents‘A’and‘B’ of a randomexperimentandif the set ‘S’correspondstothe Sample Space ‘S’of the experimentthenthe equation(1) becomes P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A).P(B) Thisequationisknownasthe additiontheoreminprobability. Here the eventA ∪ B referstothe meaningthateitherevent‘A’orevent‘B’occursor bothmay occur simultaneously. If two eventsA andB are MutuallyExclusive(Independent) EventsthenA ∩ B = 0, Therefore P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P(B) [since P(A ∩B) = 0], In language of settheoryA ∩ B̅ issame as A / B. 14. A verylarge lotof manufacturedgoodsare to be sampledasa check onits quality. Suppose it is assumed that 10 percent of the items in the lot are defective and that a sample of 20 items is drawn from the lot. What are the following probabilities: 1. Probability of exactly zero defectives in the sample? 2. Probability of more than one defective in the sample? 3. Probability of fewer than two defectives in the sample? Solution: Assuming the lot size is 100. 10% of the items are defective, i.e., 10 items are defective out of 100. A sample of 20 items is drawn from the lot. 1. Probability of exactly 0 defectives in the sample: For this event to happen, the sample of 20 has to be from the 90 non defective pieces. This can be done in 90c3 ways. The total numberof waysinwhich 20 items can be drawn from a lot of 100 is 100c3. So the probability of having exactly Zero defectives is: 90c20/100c20=0.095116. 2. Probability of more than one defective in the sample: For this we have to calculate the probability with 0 defectives and 1 defectives and subtract it from 1. The probability of 0 defectives as calculated above is 0.095116 The number of ways of picking 1 defective is: No. of ways of picking 19 pieces from 90 non defective pieces * no. of ways of picking 1 piece from the 10 defective pieces That is: (90c19)*(10c1) The probability for this is: (90c19)*(10c1)/100c20=0.026793 Subtracting these from 1:
  • 11. 1-0.095116-0.026793=0.878091. 3. Probability of fewer than 2 defectives: Probability of having 0 or 1 defectives. The values are calculated above and are to be added. P(0)+P(1)= 0.095116+0.026793=0.121909 15. A batch of 5,000 electric lamps has a mean life of 1,000 hours and a standard deviation of 75 hours. Assume a Normal Distribution. (a) How many lamps will fail before 900 hours? (b) How many lamps will fail between 950 and 1,000 hours? (c) What proportion of lamps will fail before 925 hours? (d) Giventhe same meanlife,whatwouldthe standard deviation have to be to ensure that not more than 20% of lamps fail before 916 hours? Solution: a) Z=(X- µ)/ Σ
  • 12. =(900-1000)/75=-1.33 Area covered by Z=0 and Z=-1.33 is 0.9176(as per Z table) Number of bulbs which will fail before 900 hrs= 1000*0.09176=91.76=92(approx) b) Lamps failing between 950 and 1000 a. Z value for bulbs failing before 950: Z=(950-1000)/75=-50/75=-0.66 Probability Value corresponding to Z=-0.66 = 0.2546 Probabilityvalueforbulbsfailingat1000 is 0.5 as itis the mean life. Net probability: 0.5-0.2546=0.2454 No. of bulbs failing between 950 and 1000 = 0.2454*1000=245.4=246(Approx) c) Proportion of lamps failing before 925. Z value : Z=(925-1000)/75=-1 Probability value for -1: 0.1586 Proportion of lamps: 15.86% d) Let D be the standard deviation: For 20% of lamps to fail: Z value corresponding to 0.2 is -0.84. Substituting the values in the equation: Z=(X- µ)/ Σ -0.84=(916-1000)/ Σ Σ=-84/-0.84=100 The standard deviation is 100