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Who am I?
Nader.PM
Who am I?
Who are you?
Who are you?
✓
✓
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A B
A B
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A B
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A B
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A B
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A B
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❶ Superstars with low expected value
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❷ Superstars with high expected value
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❷ Superstars with high expected value
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❷ Superstars with high expected value
- Luck mixed with skills
❶ Superstars with low expected value
❷ Superstars with high expected value
- Luck mixed with skills
- Complexity and chaos
Harvard study, almost 80
years old, has proved that
embracing community helps
us live longer, and be happier
-- news.harvard.edu
For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
❶ it’s probably wrong
For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
❶ it’s probably wrong
❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong
For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
❶ it’s probably wrong
❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong
❸ if it’s emotionally charged, it’s untrustable
For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
❶ it’s probably wrong
❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong
❸ if it’s emotionally charged, it’s untrustable
❹ if it’s only based on outcomes, it’s unreliable
For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
❶ it’s probably wrong
❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong
❸ if it’s emotionally charged, it’s untrustable
❹ if it’s only based on outcomes, it’s unreliable
❺ use structured trial and errors, and adaptation
• nader.pm
• linkedin.com/in/nader.k.rad
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BA and Beyond 19 Nader K Rad - Why you shouldn't imitate Apple

  • 1.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. A B
  • 34. A B
  • 35. A B ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 36. A B ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 37. A B ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 38. A B ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 39. A B ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 40. A B ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 41. A B ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 42. A B ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales ⯆ sales
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. ❶ Superstars with low expected value
  • 46. ❶ Superstars with low expected value
  • 47. ❶ Superstars with low expected value
  • 48. ❶ Superstars with low expected value
  • 49. ❶ Superstars with low expected value ❷ Superstars with high expected value
  • 50. ❶ Superstars with low expected value ❷ Superstars with high expected value
  • 51. ❶ Superstars with low expected value ❷ Superstars with high expected value - Luck mixed with skills
  • 52. ❶ Superstars with low expected value ❷ Superstars with high expected value - Luck mixed with skills - Complexity and chaos
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58. Harvard study, almost 80 years old, has proved that embracing community helps us live longer, and be happier -- news.harvard.edu
  • 59. For each X, where X is an “explanation”,
  • 60. For each X, where X is an “explanation”, ❶ it’s probably wrong
  • 61. For each X, where X is an “explanation”, ❶ it’s probably wrong ❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong
  • 62. For each X, where X is an “explanation”, ❶ it’s probably wrong ❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong ❸ if it’s emotionally charged, it’s untrustable
  • 63. For each X, where X is an “explanation”, ❶ it’s probably wrong ❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong ❸ if it’s emotionally charged, it’s untrustable ❹ if it’s only based on outcomes, it’s unreliable
  • 64. For each X, where X is an “explanation”, ❶ it’s probably wrong ❷ if it’s simple, interesting, and beautiful, it’s most likely wrong ❸ if it’s emotionally charged, it’s untrustable ❹ if it’s only based on outcomes, it’s unreliable ❺ use structured trial and errors, and adaptation
  • 65.