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1st Quarter 2012 Results




          Madrid, April 27th 2012
Disclaimer




     This presentation has been prepared by Banco Popular Español solely for purposes of
     information. It may contain estimates and forecasts with respect to the future development
     of the business and to the financial results of the Banco Popular Group, which stem from the
     expectations of the Banco Popular Group and which, by their very nature, are exposed to
     factors, risks and circumstances that could affect the financial results in such a way that they
     might not coincide with such estimates and forecasts. These factors include, but are not
     restricted to, (i) changes in interest rates, exchange rates or any other financial variables,
     both on the domestic as well as on the international securities markets, (ii) the economic,
     political, social or regulatory situation, and (iii) competitive pressures. In the event that such
     factors or other similar factors were to cause the financial results to differ from the estimates
     and forecasts contained in this presentation, or were to bring about changes in the strategy
     of the Banco Popular Group, Banco Popular does not undertake to publicly revise the content
     of this presentation.

     This presentation contains summarised information and may contain unaudited information.
     In no case shall its content constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe or
     acquire any security whatsoever, nor is it intended to serve as a basis for any contract or
     commitment whatsoever.




                                                                                                      2
Agenda




         1. 1Q12 Results operating performance

                 1.1 P&L main drivers

                 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update

                 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy


         2. Banco Pastor update

         3. Capital position & EBA

         4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A




                                                                          3
We have started the year with a very strong and very encouraging
operating performance

                                      Key-messages 1Q12


                      • Net Interest Income+31% QoQ and +34% YoY (+25% Popular
   Solid revenues       standalone). Total Recurrent Revenues +20%. Pre-Provisioning
                        Profit up by 20% to €539m


   Efficiency and     • Efficiency ratio improves to 39%, 36% Popular standalone
       Pastor         • Expect synergies of the Pastor integration to be above the initial
    integration         estimates. Pastor will have a strong contribution from year 1

                      • Credit coverage increased 15 p.p. to 50% and RE coverage increased
       Strong
                        10 p.p. to 42%
  reinforcement in
                      • We have already absorbed 60% of the new Royal Decree Law
      coverage
                        02/2012 in 1Q12

                      • We have reduced our wholesale funding reliance over the last 3 years
  A sound liquidity     by 50% (from €38 bn to €19 bn Popular standalone). Loan to
      position          deposits ratio of the combined Group improves to 125% with
                        €13bn+ liquidity buffer.




                                                                                             4
To set the scene: in spite of the crisis our strengths remain in good shape
compared to Spanish and European peers
         A pure retail and commercial bank:
                                                                                                                                                 (1)
                   loan to assets                                                                           A privileged operating margin
             72%

                                   62%

                                                                                                             1.52%
                                                         44%
                                                                                                                           1.12%
                                                                                                                                            0.84%




                             Spanish Banks        European Banks                                                        Spanish Banks      European
                                                                                                                                            Banks



                 A strong core capital                (2)                                                  The most efficient bank: C/I ratio

                                                                                                                                            62%
               9.8%                  9.8%
                                                             9.0%
                                                                                                                           44%
                                                                                                             39%




                               Spanish Banks             European                                                      Spanish Banks    European Banks
                                                          Banks


   Pre-provision profit/ ATAs
 (1)

   Core capital under local regulation, which includes MCNs and local deductions
 (2)

 Source: Quarterly reports as of 1Q12; Spanish Banks: Caixabank, Sabadell, Bankia, Banesto and Bankinter                                               5
                                                                                                                                                           5
 European Banks, KBW European Banks & Credit Suisse Banks valuation
…and our priorities remains focused throughout the crisis…

                      Solvency: Core capital*                                            Reinforce credit & RE provisions (specific charges)

                                             +52%                                               Specific provisions over                (€, Billion)
                                                                                            %
                                                                                                RWAs (%)
                                                             9.84%
                                                                                                                             16%

                                                                                                                              16
                        6.47%



                                                                                                         0.3%

                                                                                                          0,2

                        1Q07                                 1Q12                                        2007                2012E




                Reduce wholesale funding reliance                                                      Gain quality market share(1)

                                        -49%                            (€, Billion)
                                                                                                                             6.30%

                      38                                                                                 4.53%

                                                                  23
                                                        19




                     2008
                       DIC-08                             mar-12                                          2007                2011

                 Popular standalone                 Popular + Pastor


*   Core Capital definition under local criteria
                                                                                                                                        6
(1)   Business market share: credits and deposits. Source: T7 form. Data December 2011                                                                 6
Financial Highlights 1Q12
                                                                                        Change     Change
(€, Million)                                          1Q-12        4Q-11     1Q-11     YoY (€m)    YoY (%)


Net interest income                                      693          527       516         177    +34.3%
 Fees and commissions                                     186         170       172          14          8.1%
 Trading and other income                                     56       48        88          -32     -36.3%
Gross operating income                                   935          746       776         159    +20.5%
 Total Operating Costs                                   -397         -366      -326         -71        21.8%
Pre-provisioning profit                                  539          381       450          89      19.8%

 Provisions for loans and investments                    -310         -185      -409
 (ordinary & accelerated)                                                                    99      -24.2%

 Net of Provisions for real estate (ordinary
 & accelerated), goodwill and                             -89         -120      +71         -160             >
 extraordinary gains
PBT                                                      140           76       112          28    +24.8%
Net profit                                               100           76       186         -86     -46.2%


Non-performing ratio                                   6.35%       5.99%     5.44%                 + 91 b.p.
Efficiency ratio                                      39.08 %      45.3 %    38.37%                +71 b.p.
Loans to deposits ratio                                125 %       135 %      135%                  -10 p.p.
Core Capital (local rules)                             9.84 %      10.04%    9.93%                      -9 b.p.




                                                                                                    7
 Note: ‘Trading and other income’ includes FGD fees
Strong increase in Net Interest Income. We expect it to be sustainable
throughout the year

                                                           Net interest income evolution

                            NII over ATA (%)                                                              (€, million)

                                    1.62            1.64             1.63   1.63                1.95



                                                                                    +31.5%


                                                                                   +22.4%
                                                                                     Popular    693
                                                                                   standalone

                                                                                                48
                                                    530                     526
                                   515                               514                        30




                                                                                                615
                                   515              530              515    527




                                  1Q11             2Q11              3Q11   4Q11                1Q12   Quarterly
                                                                                                       average
                                                                                                        2012e




                                      Pastor contribution (1 month and 11 days)            Extraordinary margin


Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days                                                       8
The improvement in loan yields combined with the funding cost
moderation explains the sharp increase in our net interest income

           Loans Yields: frontbook vs. stock                                                Time deposit costs: frontbook vs. stock

    (%)                                                                  5.72
                                                                                     (%)

                                                      5.28                                                               3.61           3.68
                                                                                                        3.37                        3.4
                      4.78             4.84                                                                           3.21                            3.17
                                                                   4.6                     3.04      3.07                                         3.05
                                                4.41                                   2.93
                   4.24             4.29
     4.06
         3.89




      1Q11          2Q11             3Q11            4Q11          1Q12                    1Q11        2Q11            3Q11         4Q11           1Q12

                  Stock                          Front book                                          Stock                          Front Book



                   Yields & costs evolution                                                   NIM & Customer spread evolution

    (%)
                                                                 4.41       4.60     (%)
   4.20                                       4.24     4.29
           4.00    4.00      4.05     4.06

                                                                                     2.77
                                      2.62    2.59     2.75      2.73                         2.47                                                           2.51
                                                                           2.25                       2.29     2.21     2.25     2.29     2.19    2.18
                             1.94
           1.59    1.71
   1.52
                                                       2.11      2.26
                                              1.95                          2.09     2.19
                             1.84     1.81                                                    2.00    1.97
           1.53                                                                                                                                              1.95
   1.43            1.33                                                                                        1.75
                                                                                                                        1.62     1.66     1.59    1.63

   1Q10    2Q10    3Q10    4Q10       1Q11    2Q11     3Q11      4Q11      1Q12      1Q10     2Q10   3Q10     4Q10      1Q11     2Q11     3Q11    4Q11       1Q12


   Loan Yield     Retail funds cost (CP included)           Wholesale funding cost                      NIM                     Customer spread
                                                                                                                                                         9
Note: Data for Popular and Pastor
This strong NII improvement did not come from new, ad-hoc, carry
trade. We have used LTRO funds mainly to replace clearing houses


                  ALCO portfolio evolution                             Net funding clearing Houses

(€, millions)                                          (€, millions)




          14,697           14,694            14,512
                                                               12,028



                                                                                 6,169
                                                                                                3,357



            3Q11            4Q11             1Q12               3Q11             4Q11           1Q12



 Note: Popular ex Pastor                               Note: Popular ex Pastor




                                                       Average cost of funding
                 • €14.5 Bn gross POP (12.5 Bn€ net)
   LTRO                                                • Clearing houses 1Q12: <1.0%
                 • €17.2 Bn POP + PAS (15.2 Bn€ net)
                                                       • LTRO: 1.0%




                                                                                                        10
All in all very strong recurrent revenues. Total revenues up 17% like-for-
like QoQ, despite the higher fees charged by the FGD
                        Basic Revenues                                                      Total Revenues

(€, millions)                                       879               (€, millions)
                                                     58
           687                 697
                                                     176

           172                  170

                                                                                                         +25.3%

                                                     645
           515                  527                                                                                       935

                                                                                                        +17.2%            61

                                                                                                        Like- for- like
          1Q11                 4Q11                 1Q12
        NII               Fees              Pastor contribution
                                                                                                                          874
                                                                                 776             746
                        Trading & other
(€, millions)
           89                                           56
                                                         3
                                 48                                             1Q11             4Q11                     1Q12
                                                        37
          73
                                 41                                                    Pastor contribution (c.6 weeks)
                                                        52
          24                     20
          -8                     -13
                                                        -36
                                                                 !


       1Q11              4Q11                       1Q12
  Trading                                 Others
  Spanish Insurance Fund (FGD)            Pastor contribution
                                                                                                                                 11
 Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days
This strong operating performance has been possible thanks to the
extraordinary commercial performance of our bank…

             ICO’s market share March 2012                             Loans and Deposits market share evolution

 (%)                 3.2x natural credit                                                          +50bps
       20.3%            market share
                                                                                                    6.2%                6.4%

                 13.8%                                                          5.9%
                             12.5%    11.9%
                                               10.2%                                                                    6.0%
                                                                                                    5.8%
                                                           5.9%
                                                                                5.4%

                                                                                                    +60bps

                 Bank 1      Bank 2   Bank 3   Bank 4      Bank 5              dec-09              dec-10              dec-11

                                                                                     Deposits                           Loans


 Source: Santander, Bankia, BBVA, Sabadell and La Caixa.            Note: Combined market share Popular + Pastor Other resident sectors
 Note: Popular + Pastor

  Customers               • 47,723 new individuals
 base increase
      (*)                 • 17,672 new SMEs


                          • Exports : +141 bps. Increase of
 International
                            market share YoY. Imports: +18
 Business (*)               bps. Increase of market share YoY


 Retail Deposits
                          • 3,2bn New Deposits since Dec-11
     up (*)
                                                                                                                                12
* Note: Popular standalone
Higher revenues and Pastor cost synergies will allow us to improve our
efficiency further
                         Efficiency Ratio                                   Efficiency ratio comparison among peers

                                                                                                                                     76%
                                                                     European average 61.9%

                           45,30%
    38,37%                                        36,73% 39,08%                                             44%        47%   47%
                                                                                 41%      41%       43%
                                                                        39%




      1Q11                  4Q11                        1Q12                    Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Bank 6 Bank 7 Bank 8
            Popular standalone              Popular + Pastor
                                                                     Peer group: Sabadell, Banesto, Santander Spain, BBVA Spain, Caixa,
                                                                           Bankinter and Cívica (last available data)
                      Pre-provision profit                               Pre-provision margin over ATAs comparison

(€, millions)                                             539
                                                          15
                                                                               1.52%
                                                                                                       1.12%

                                                                                                                             0.84%
                                                         524
         450
                                 381




        1Q11                  4Q11                       1Q12                    POP               Spanish banks         European banks
                        Pastor contribution
                                                                     Source: Quaterly Resports and analysts reports.                 13
Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days
The pre-provision profit and our solvency allowed us to make an
important provisioning effort towards the RDL 2/2012. We have booked
€398m in 1Q12 (P&L) and €2.4bn against equity (FVA)
         Provisions for loans and investments                                             Real estate provisions

 (€, millions)                                                          (€, millions)
                                        +€125m
           409                                                                          427
             7                                         310

           141                                           8
                                 185                    10
                                                                                        325
                                  36                                                                         -€18m

                                                       342
           304
                                 243
                                                                                        102            106                88
           -36                    -35                   -49
          -6 -2                       -3                                            1Q11              4Q11             1Q12
                                  -56                    -1
          1Q11                  4Q11                   1Q12                                   Accelerated RE Provisions

                                                                                              Ordinary RE provisions
    Specific (ordinary & Royal Decree)       Extraordinary provisions
    Write-offs                               Investments
    Pensions & other                         Generic



   On top, we have booked €2.4 Bn of fair value adjustments. We have already complied with c.60% of the
                      new Royal Decree extraordinary provisions for Popular & Pastor


Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days
                                                                                                                               14
Following all the provisioning charges we have posted €140m of PBT and
€100m of Net profits in 1Q 2012



                  Profit before taxes (PBT)                                            Net profit evolution

(€, millions)                                                        (€, millions)



                               +25%

                                                                                                      +32%


                                                                                 186

            112                                       140
                                                                                                              100
                                  76                                                            76



           1Q11                 4Q11                 1Q12                       1Q11           4Q11           1Q12




Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days                                                   15
Agenda




         1. 1Q12 Results operating performance

                 1.1 P&L main drivers

                 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update

                 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy


         2. Banco Pastor update

         3. Capital position & EBA

         4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A




                                                                          16
Still in a tough economic environment but net entries remain stable. In
the current cycle it is of the essence to have a strong capacity to clean up

                          Evolution of net entries of NPLs                                                                                2011 Pre-provision margin (1)
(€, million)
         Recovery rate (%)                                                                                                              1.52%

                     58.2          50.0           57.2             39.4        51.4           44.8             49.2
        836                                                                                                                                                   1.12%
                                                                   644                                         623
                                     515
                                                                               570            540                                                                                   0.84%
                       455                         433




      Average Average 1Q11                        2Q11             3Q11       4Q11        Average 1Q12                                                    Spanish banks        European banks
       2009    2010                                                                        2011
Note: Pastor excluded
                                                                                                                         (1)    Pre-provision profit/ ATAs Popular
                                                                                                                         Source: Quarterly reports as of 1Q12; Spanish Banks: Caixabank, Sabadell, Bankia,
                                          NPL ratio evolution                                                                   Banesto and Bankinter
                                                                                                                         European Banks, KBW European Banks & Credit Suisse Banks valuation
                                                                                                      8 . 16 %
                                                                                                                         Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days
                                                                                          7 . 5 1%
                                                                               7 . 16 %                   213 bp.
                                                                                   181 bp.                   Like-for-
                                                                   6 .6 9 %
                                                                                                     6.35%
                                                                                                             Like
                                                         6 . 11%
                                                5.82%
                                     5.48%                                                                6.03%
                 5.29% 5.32%                                                                 5.99%
 5.04%                                                                          5.85%
                                                                       5.58%
                                                          5.44%
                                                 5.27%
                                     5 . 17 %
      4 . 8 1%    4 . 9 1% 5 . 0 4 %

      D ec-      M ar -    Jun-       Sep -      D ec-    M ar-       Jun-     Sep -      D ec-       M ar -
       09         10        10         10         10       11          11       11          11         12


                 Popular & Pastor                   Popular                    Average Spanish industry*

(*)                                                                                                                                                                                               17
      Average banks, saving banks and credit unions as of February 2012
         (latest available data).
We have covered already the new Royal Decree by c.60% in 1Q12. We
will comply with the total requirements within one year (waiving the
option to do it in two years)

         RD Provisions to book during the year                                                       Pre-Provision Profit


                                                                      (€, bn)        %   PPP over RWA’s                             (€, bn)



                                                                                           1.8%             2.1%            2.2%


                                                                                                           +c.30%


                                                                                                             2.0             2.1

                                                                                            1.6
                                                                    4.0

          2.4



     Provisions        2Q12           3Q12           4Q12         Total                     2011            2012E           2013E
       1Q12                                                     provisions




 Note: Total requirements are €2.9bn for Banco Popular and €1.1bn for Banco Pastor
                                                                                                                                    18
The strong provisioning effort following the RDL favours a sharp increase
in the NPAs coverage, thus facilitating a quicker exit

             NPLs Coverage                                         NPLs + Write offs Coverage

                                                                                 +11p.p.
                   +15p.p.

                             50%                                                                 67%
                                                                      56%
          35%




         dec-11              Mar-12                                  dec-11                      Mar-12


           RE Assets Coverage                                              NPAs Coverage (1)

                                                                                  +13p.p.
                   +10p.p.
                                                                                                  58%
                              42%
                                                                      45%
          32%




          dec-11             Mar-12                                  dec-11                      Mar-12
                                                     (1) NPAs: NPLs + RE assets + Written-offs


                      N.B: Coverage without considering the value of collateral
                                                                                                          19
By type of RE asset the new coverage is more noticeable… even without
 taking into account any collateral value….again, an exit will be easier

                      Foreclosed Coverage (dec-12e)                                                 RE NPL’s Coverage (dec-12e)

        2.8x                                                                          2.7x
                            2.8x
                 83%                                                                           81%        2.6x
                                     76%                                                                         66%                          2.1x
                                                                    2.0x
                  20%                                                        57%                20%
                                     18%                                                                          15%                                    49%
                                                 1.3x
                 63%                                                           9%               61%                            1.5x                       8%
                                     58%                34%                                                       51%
                                                                              48%                                                   29%
                                                                                                                                                         41%
                                                        34%                            30%                                            29%
         30%                27%                26%                   28%                                  25%                                   23%
                                                                                                                              20%

                                                                                             Land       Work in progress    Other RE Assets          Total
               Land       Work in progress   Finished Buildings            Total

            Current Coveragel          Coverage after RDL            Capital add-on        Current Coverage         Coverage after RDL        Capital add-on


                 RE Substandard Coverage (dec-12e)                                     RE Performing Portfolio coverage (dec-12e)
            5.7x
                                                                                             7.0%               7.0%                7.0%                 7.0%
                 80%

                 20%            2.7x                                  2.8x

                                                 1.8x                        36%
                 60%                 27%
                                                     23%                     5%
                                     4%
                                                                             31%      0%                0%                  0%                  0%
         14%               10%       23%      13% 23%               13%
                                                                                        Land          Finished Buildings   Work in progress    Other personal
             Land            Work in           Finished               Tot al                                                                    guarantees
                            progress           Buildings

                                                                                                      Actual coverage               Coverage after RDL
       Current Coverage             Coverage aft er RDL           Capital add-on
                                                                                                                                                      20
Note: Data for Popular and Pastor
Agenda




         1. 1Q12 Results operating performance

                 1.1 P&L main drivers

                 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update

                 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy


         2. Banco Pastor update

         3. Capital position & EBA

         4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A




                                                                          21
Since 2008 we have reduced €18bn (c.50%!) our wholesale dependance,
while maintaining a sound second line of liquidity. In 1Q12 our full year
goals have been beaten

            Loans/Deposits Ratio (%)                                    Wholesale dependance

                  (€, million)




                     -46pp                                                        €-18.7Bn


 174%
                                                       -8pp   38.130                                        €-4.4Bn
         149%
                 136%        135%       135% 133%                       29.086
                                                 128% 125%                                       27.489
                                                                                  23.512     23.286         23.129
                                                                                                       19.389




  2008    2009     2010          2011    Dec-11   1Q12          2008      2009       2010      2011       1Q12


         Popular standalone         Popular + Pastor                   Popular standalone    Popular + Pastor




                                                                                                            22
                                                                                                                      22
This remarkable improvement of our commercial gap has been achieved
over the last 4 years by gathering deposits as opposed to reducing loans

                       Gross Loans Evolution                                                                      Retail Funds
    (€, millions)                                                                     (€, millions)
                                    +20%                                                                               +29%
                                                            117,955
                                   -1.1%                                                                               +4.3%                 79,589
                                  Like-for-like              20,699
                                                                                                                     Like-for-like
                                                                                                                                              15,079


              98,364                 98,873                  97,256
                                                                                                  61,866                61,285                64,510




              mar-11                 dec-11                  mar-12                              mar-11                 dec-11                mar-12

       Pastor contribution




                                                    • €4,360m commercial gap
                                                                                                                     77 % of the maturities in
             € 5,710 Mn                               improvement (1)
                                                                                                                    2012, already pre-funded in
         Pre-funded in 1Q12                         • €750m senior debt issue                                                  1Q12
                                                    • €600m covered bonds issue



1
 GAP: Loans: Total Loans to customers (net) – Other credits – Repos – Valuation adjustments of Repos – ICO credit lines - Securitisations; Deposits: Demand deposits
+ time deposits + other accounts and valuation adjustments + collection accounts (included in other financial liabilities) + commercial paper + Preferred shares
ICO Credit lines: credit lines to SMEs prefunded by State
                                                                                                                                                       23
And we hold a comfortable liquidity buffer (€13.3bn) which covers 4.6x
our senior maturities…

                Popular + Pastor medium and long term maturities and the 2nd line of liquidity


                        (€, Mn)

                                                                                   7,757
                                                                                                                 Covered bonds
    Covered                                                                                                     re-usable on ECB
     Bonds                                                           3,254
                                                     3,078
                                    1,911



                                     2012            2013            2014          >2014


                                                                                              13,281 (*)

                                                                 4.6x covered with 2nd
                                                                 line of liquidity & GGB
                                                                         capacity
                                                             3,009

   Senior debt
                                   1,640             1,277             0            92

                                                                                                                     700
                                   1,473                                            92
                                                     1,227
                                             167
                                      2012            2013           2014          >2014       2nd line of       Potential GGB
                                                                                                liquidity          capacity
                                              EMTN                           GGB           (*)
                                                                                               After haircuts

     Data as of March 2012 including Banco Pastor
                                                                                                                                   24
                                                                                                                                        24
Agenda




         1. 1Q12 Results operating performance

                 1.1 P&L main drivers

                 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update

                 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy


         2. Banco Pastor update

         3. Capital position & EBA

         4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A




                                                                          25
Synergies and restructuring costs following Pastor acquisition, better
than initially planned
       Popular initially estimated significant synergies to spring from the acquisition, which
                    represent approximately 70% of the value of the transaction

                          Annual Synergies (€Mn)

                                                           167
                                                                      Synergies revised up:
                                        145         147
                                  133                                  +14% over initial
                                                                           estimates

        74
                  62


                                                                      Restructuring costs:
                                                                    revised down 34% over
           2012E                   2013E               2014E            initial estimates

               Initial Synergies              Updated Synergies



                                                                      Means a positive net
                                                                     synergies contribution
                      NPV of Synergies up +19% to
                                                                     of € 49.5 Mn in 2012 !
                         €947mn from €799mn




Note: Data for Popular & Pastor
                                                                                              26
                                                                                                   26
Pastor adds an excellent franchise in its home market and a wide room
for growth in a market which is restructuring: excellent to capture
market share
 Deposits Market Share by Region (Pop + Pas)                                   Market Share/Penetration(1) by Region (Pop + Pas)




                                                                                                 64,7%66.1%
                     5.7%     3.7% 3.4%                                                   84.1%
          17.0%                       6.9%                                          92.84%               71.5%
                                   4.5%                                                               91.4%
                                                          3.7%                                                     86.6%
                           8.7%           2.5%                                                111.4%         92.5%


                                   7.2%                                                             164.8%

                                                3.9%                                                             77.8%
                                      4.2%                         4.4%                              106.4%                      48.9%
                                                                                           109.9%
                      3.5%
                                              4.8%                                                             85.8%
                               6.2%                                                               90.4%


                                                          3.9%                                                           80.9%

  Deposits Market Share                                                             Market Share /
         of 6.0%                                                                Penetration Ratio 103%

      Very Strong Market Share                   Strong Market Share                 Very Strong Penetration       Strong Penetration
      Medium Market Share                        Weak Market Share                   Medium Penetration            Weak Penetration



                                                                                    17% market share in Galicia but with a
     1,826 net clients gained since acquisition
                                                                                   penetration under the franchise potential



  1Penetration   calculated as deposit market share over branch market share
                                                                                                                                    27
Agenda




         1. 1Q12 Results operating performance

                 1.1 P&L main drivers

                 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update

                 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy


         2. Banco Pastor update

         3. Capital position & EBA

         4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A




                                                                          28
Despite the large clean-up in the quarter, the core capital ratio remains
stable. And it will improve further once all the capital measures
announced are accomplished

                                                            Core Capital Reconciliation QoQ

          (%)



                                                                                                                            10.56% with the
                                                                                                                           new €0,7bn retail
                                                                                                                           MCN planned in Q2
                                                              0,09
                                             1,31                           -0.32        -2.04
                           10,04                                                                                    0,03
                                                                                                       0,72                      9,84




                         Core Capital       Capital         Organic        Net effect   RWA Pastor       RWA        Others    Core Capital
                            4Q11           increase.         Capital        clean up,                optimization                1Q12
                                          Pastor deal      generation        higher                    & lower
                                                                           provisions                 credit risk




 Note: Total requirements are €2.9bn for Banco Popular and €1.1bn for Banco Pastor
                                                                                                                                               29
On EBA targets, we will fill the gap to the new EBA Capital requirements
and we will hold a significant excess capital…

                                            EBA Core Capital estimates
            (€, mn)

              Deficit (-)/
                                             +403            +463        +617
              Excess (+)

                                            10.33%          10.40%       10.56%
                                    8.70%




                                    1Q12     2Q12e           3Q12e       4Q12e




  • Exchange of preferred shares for MCNs-€1.1bn. DONE, ALREADY INCLUDED IN 1Q12

  • Conversion of existing MCNs for equity. €0.5bn DONE, INCLUDED PRO-FORMA IN 1Q12
  • Exchange of an existing MCN for new MCN (EBA compliant)- €0.7bn. LAUNCHED

  • New issue of an MCN. UP TO €0.7Bn IN PROCESS, DUE JUNE

Note: Data for Popular and Pastor                                                     30
Agenda




         1. 1Q12 Results operating performance

                 1.1 P&L main drivers

                 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update

                 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy


         2. Banco Pastor update

         3. Capital position & EBA

         4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A




                                                                          31
We have started the year with a very strong operating performance



                                      Key-messages 1Q12


                      • Net interest income+31% QoQ and +34% YoY (+25% Popular
   Solid revenues       standalone). Total Recurrent Revenues +20%. Pre-Provisioning
                        Profit up by 20% to €539m


    Efficiency and    • Efficiency ratio improves to 39%, 36% Popular standalone
        Pastor        • Expect synergies of the Pastor integration to be above the initial
     integration        estimates. Pastor will have a strong contribution from year 1

                      • Credit coverage increased 15 p.p. to 50% and RE coverage increased
        Strong
                        10 p.p. to 42%
   reinforcement in
                      • We have already absorbed 60% of the new Royal Decree Law
       coverage
                        02/2012 in 1Q12

                      • We have reduced our wholesale funding reliance over the last 3 years
  A sound liquidity     by 50% (from €38 bn to €19 bn Popular standalone). Loan to
      position          deposits ratio of the combined Group improves to 125% with
                        €13bn+ liquidity buffer.




                                                                                             32
Outlook 2012/2013




      Complex
                      • Macro, Micro and Regulatory environment will still be complicated
    environment

                      • Our strong capacity to generate revenues and synergies (PPP est. €2
    Strength and        Bn) plus one-offs would allow us to face all the extraordinary
  recurrence of PPP     provisions of the Royal Decree Law and still post profits in 2012 (c.
        €2 Bn           €300 Mn). Net profit in 2013 should increase significantly thanks to
                        the accelerated 2012 clean-up


  Strong coverage     • Provisions booked in NPL’s and RE Assets will allow us to gradually
      increase          dispose these assets in a profitable manner




     Excellent        • Our efficiency in costs and revenues, a good liquidity position and a
    competitive         high level of capital will allow us to take advantage of all the
      position          opportunities that a restructuring market offers




                                                                                            33
THANK-YOU.


HAPPY TO TAKE QUESTIONS




                          34
Appendix




           35
BoS transparency exercise: Lending to construction and RE purposes in
Spain remains our most affected sector
Lending to construction and RE: breakdown by type                                    Total exposure to RE lending

                                                                     (€, million)                         % of total

                       Other land                                                                 21%         14%           65%
                                      General Corporate                     21,519     21,547     4,596
                         1.4%           purposes with
      Developed land                  mortgage collateral                                                     3,051
                                                                                                                           13,900
            15.9%                           20.8%


   Buildings                                   Personal guarantee
     under
                                                      13.3%
  construction
                                                                            4Q11        1Q12      NPLs     Substandard     Exposure
     9.6%                                                                Pro-forma                          (watch list)

                                                                                                           Still performing!

                                                                                       Coverage of RE lending
                                                 48.6%
                                                                     (€, million)
                 Finished Buildings
                                                                    P&L provisions & write-offs     4Q11 Pro-forma          1Q12
                       39.0%
                                                                    Specific                                     1,387          2,327
                                                                    Generic                                        138              635

                                                                    Write-offs                                     978          1,067
                                                                    Total                                       2,503          4,029
                                                                    NPLs & Substandard coverage                  30%            46%




                                                                                                                               36
BoS Transparency exercise: Real Estate assets held in Spain. We have
increased strongly our coverage

             Real Estate assets: detail & coverage                       Real Estate assets: split by origin
 (€, million)
                                                                                          11%

RE assets                          4Q11 Pro-forma    1Q12                            9%

                                                                                   10%            70%
Foreclosed assets (net amount)               5,685      5,078

Capital instruments (net amount)              416           347

Provisions                                   2,883      3,985        Foreclosed assets from lending to construction & RE purposes
                                                                    Foreclosed assets from retail mortgages
                                                                    Foreclosed assets: rest
Coverage                                     32%        42%         Capital instruments

                                                                  Real Estate assets: split by type of collateral


                                                                                          11%

                                                                                     9%            34%




                                                                                          37%
                                                                                                     9%




                                                                   Finished buildings               Buildings under construction
                                                                   Land                             Rest
                                                                   Capital instruments

                                                                                                                        37
38

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Angel Ron: Banco Popular Third Quarter 2012 Results Crisis

  • 1. 1st Quarter 2012 Results Madrid, April 27th 2012
  • 2. Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Banco Popular Español solely for purposes of information. It may contain estimates and forecasts with respect to the future development of the business and to the financial results of the Banco Popular Group, which stem from the expectations of the Banco Popular Group and which, by their very nature, are exposed to factors, risks and circumstances that could affect the financial results in such a way that they might not coincide with such estimates and forecasts. These factors include, but are not restricted to, (i) changes in interest rates, exchange rates or any other financial variables, both on the domestic as well as on the international securities markets, (ii) the economic, political, social or regulatory situation, and (iii) competitive pressures. In the event that such factors or other similar factors were to cause the financial results to differ from the estimates and forecasts contained in this presentation, or were to bring about changes in the strategy of the Banco Popular Group, Banco Popular does not undertake to publicly revise the content of this presentation. This presentation contains summarised information and may contain unaudited information. In no case shall its content constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe or acquire any security whatsoever, nor is it intended to serve as a basis for any contract or commitment whatsoever. 2
  • 3. Agenda 1. 1Q12 Results operating performance 1.1 P&L main drivers 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy 2. Banco Pastor update 3. Capital position & EBA 4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A 3
  • 4. We have started the year with a very strong and very encouraging operating performance Key-messages 1Q12 • Net Interest Income+31% QoQ and +34% YoY (+25% Popular Solid revenues standalone). Total Recurrent Revenues +20%. Pre-Provisioning Profit up by 20% to €539m Efficiency and • Efficiency ratio improves to 39%, 36% Popular standalone Pastor • Expect synergies of the Pastor integration to be above the initial integration estimates. Pastor will have a strong contribution from year 1 • Credit coverage increased 15 p.p. to 50% and RE coverage increased Strong 10 p.p. to 42% reinforcement in • We have already absorbed 60% of the new Royal Decree Law coverage 02/2012 in 1Q12 • We have reduced our wholesale funding reliance over the last 3 years A sound liquidity by 50% (from €38 bn to €19 bn Popular standalone). Loan to position deposits ratio of the combined Group improves to 125% with €13bn+ liquidity buffer. 4
  • 5. To set the scene: in spite of the crisis our strengths remain in good shape compared to Spanish and European peers  A pure retail and commercial bank: (1) loan to assets  A privileged operating margin 72% 62% 1.52% 44% 1.12% 0.84% Spanish Banks European Banks Spanish Banks European Banks  A strong core capital (2)  The most efficient bank: C/I ratio 62% 9.8% 9.8% 9.0% 44% 39% Spanish Banks European Spanish Banks European Banks Banks Pre-provision profit/ ATAs (1) Core capital under local regulation, which includes MCNs and local deductions (2) Source: Quarterly reports as of 1Q12; Spanish Banks: Caixabank, Sabadell, Bankia, Banesto and Bankinter 5 5 European Banks, KBW European Banks & Credit Suisse Banks valuation
  • 6. …and our priorities remains focused throughout the crisis…  Solvency: Core capital*  Reinforce credit & RE provisions (specific charges) +52% Specific provisions over (€, Billion) % RWAs (%) 9.84% 16% 16 6.47% 0.3% 0,2 1Q07 1Q12 2007 2012E  Reduce wholesale funding reliance  Gain quality market share(1) -49% (€, Billion) 6.30% 38 4.53% 23 19 2008 DIC-08 mar-12 2007 2011 Popular standalone Popular + Pastor * Core Capital definition under local criteria 6 (1) Business market share: credits and deposits. Source: T7 form. Data December 2011 6
  • 7. Financial Highlights 1Q12 Change Change (€, Million) 1Q-12 4Q-11 1Q-11 YoY (€m) YoY (%) Net interest income 693 527 516 177 +34.3% Fees and commissions 186 170 172 14 8.1% Trading and other income 56 48 88 -32 -36.3% Gross operating income 935 746 776 159 +20.5% Total Operating Costs -397 -366 -326 -71 21.8% Pre-provisioning profit 539 381 450 89 19.8% Provisions for loans and investments -310 -185 -409 (ordinary & accelerated) 99 -24.2% Net of Provisions for real estate (ordinary & accelerated), goodwill and -89 -120 +71 -160 > extraordinary gains PBT 140 76 112 28 +24.8% Net profit 100 76 186 -86 -46.2% Non-performing ratio 6.35% 5.99% 5.44% + 91 b.p. Efficiency ratio 39.08 % 45.3 % 38.37% +71 b.p. Loans to deposits ratio 125 % 135 % 135% -10 p.p. Core Capital (local rules) 9.84 % 10.04% 9.93% -9 b.p. 7 Note: ‘Trading and other income’ includes FGD fees
  • 8. Strong increase in Net Interest Income. We expect it to be sustainable throughout the year Net interest income evolution NII over ATA (%) (€, million) 1.62 1.64 1.63 1.63 1.95 +31.5% +22.4% Popular 693 standalone 48 530 526 515 514 30 615 515 530 515 527 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Quarterly average 2012e Pastor contribution (1 month and 11 days) Extraordinary margin Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days 8
  • 9. The improvement in loan yields combined with the funding cost moderation explains the sharp increase in our net interest income Loans Yields: frontbook vs. stock Time deposit costs: frontbook vs. stock (%) 5.72 (%) 5.28 3.61 3.68 3.37 3.4 4.78 4.84 3.21 3.17 4.6 3.04 3.07 3.05 4.41 2.93 4.24 4.29 4.06 3.89 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Stock Front book Stock Front Book Yields & costs evolution NIM & Customer spread evolution (%) 4.41 4.60 (%) 4.20 4.24 4.29 4.00 4.00 4.05 4.06 2.77 2.62 2.59 2.75 2.73 2.47 2.51 2.25 2.29 2.21 2.25 2.29 2.19 2.18 1.94 1.59 1.71 1.52 2.11 2.26 1.95 2.09 2.19 1.84 1.81 2.00 1.97 1.53 1.95 1.43 1.33 1.75 1.62 1.66 1.59 1.63 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Loan Yield Retail funds cost (CP included) Wholesale funding cost NIM Customer spread 9 Note: Data for Popular and Pastor
  • 10. This strong NII improvement did not come from new, ad-hoc, carry trade. We have used LTRO funds mainly to replace clearing houses ALCO portfolio evolution Net funding clearing Houses (€, millions) (€, millions) 14,697 14,694 14,512 12,028 6,169 3,357 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Note: Popular ex Pastor Note: Popular ex Pastor Average cost of funding • €14.5 Bn gross POP (12.5 Bn€ net) LTRO • Clearing houses 1Q12: <1.0% • €17.2 Bn POP + PAS (15.2 Bn€ net) • LTRO: 1.0% 10
  • 11. All in all very strong recurrent revenues. Total revenues up 17% like-for- like QoQ, despite the higher fees charged by the FGD Basic Revenues Total Revenues (€, millions) 879 (€, millions) 58 687 697 176 172 170 +25.3% 645 515 527 935 +17.2% 61 Like- for- like 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 NII Fees Pastor contribution 874 776 746 Trading & other (€, millions) 89 56 3 48 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 37 73 41 Pastor contribution (c.6 weeks) 52 24 20 -8 -13 -36 ! 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Trading Others Spanish Insurance Fund (FGD) Pastor contribution 11 Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days
  • 12. This strong operating performance has been possible thanks to the extraordinary commercial performance of our bank… ICO’s market share March 2012 Loans and Deposits market share evolution (%) 3.2x natural credit +50bps 20.3% market share 6.2% 6.4% 13.8% 5.9% 12.5% 11.9% 10.2% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 5.4% +60bps Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 dec-09 dec-10 dec-11 Deposits Loans Source: Santander, Bankia, BBVA, Sabadell and La Caixa. Note: Combined market share Popular + Pastor Other resident sectors Note: Popular + Pastor Customers • 47,723 new individuals base increase (*) • 17,672 new SMEs • Exports : +141 bps. Increase of International market share YoY. Imports: +18 Business (*) bps. Increase of market share YoY Retail Deposits • 3,2bn New Deposits since Dec-11 up (*) 12 * Note: Popular standalone
  • 13. Higher revenues and Pastor cost synergies will allow us to improve our efficiency further Efficiency Ratio Efficiency ratio comparison among peers 76% European average 61.9% 45,30% 38,37% 36,73% 39,08% 44% 47% 47% 41% 41% 43% 39% 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Bank 6 Bank 7 Bank 8 Popular standalone Popular + Pastor Peer group: Sabadell, Banesto, Santander Spain, BBVA Spain, Caixa, Bankinter and Cívica (last available data) Pre-provision profit Pre-provision margin over ATAs comparison (€, millions) 539 15 1.52% 1.12% 0.84% 524 450 381 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 POP Spanish banks European banks Pastor contribution Source: Quaterly Resports and analysts reports. 13 Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days
  • 14. The pre-provision profit and our solvency allowed us to make an important provisioning effort towards the RDL 2/2012. We have booked €398m in 1Q12 (P&L) and €2.4bn against equity (FVA) Provisions for loans and investments Real estate provisions (€, millions) (€, millions) +€125m 409 427 7 310 141 8 185 10 325 36 -€18m 342 304 243 102 106 88 -36 -35 -49 -6 -2 -3 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 -56 -1 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Accelerated RE Provisions Ordinary RE provisions Specific (ordinary & Royal Decree) Extraordinary provisions Write-offs Investments Pensions & other Generic On top, we have booked €2.4 Bn of fair value adjustments. We have already complied with c.60% of the new Royal Decree extraordinary provisions for Popular & Pastor Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days 14
  • 15. Following all the provisioning charges we have posted €140m of PBT and €100m of Net profits in 1Q 2012 Profit before taxes (PBT) Net profit evolution (€, millions) (€, millions) +25% +32% 186 112 140 100 76 76 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days 15
  • 16. Agenda 1. 1Q12 Results operating performance 1.1 P&L main drivers 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy 2. Banco Pastor update 3. Capital position & EBA 4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A 16
  • 17. Still in a tough economic environment but net entries remain stable. In the current cycle it is of the essence to have a strong capacity to clean up Evolution of net entries of NPLs 2011 Pre-provision margin (1) (€, million) Recovery rate (%) 1.52% 58.2 50.0 57.2 39.4 51.4 44.8 49.2 836 1.12% 644 623 515 570 540 0.84% 455 433 Average Average 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 Average 1Q12 Spanish banks European banks 2009 2010 2011 Note: Pastor excluded (1) Pre-provision profit/ ATAs Popular Source: Quarterly reports as of 1Q12; Spanish Banks: Caixabank, Sabadell, Bankia, NPL ratio evolution Banesto and Bankinter European Banks, KBW European Banks & Credit Suisse Banks valuation 8 . 16 % Note: The contribution of Pastor correspond to 1 month and 11 days 7 . 5 1% 7 . 16 % 213 bp. 181 bp. Like-for- 6 .6 9 % 6.35% Like 6 . 11% 5.82% 5.48% 6.03% 5.29% 5.32% 5.99% 5.04% 5.85% 5.58% 5.44% 5.27% 5 . 17 % 4 . 8 1% 4 . 9 1% 5 . 0 4 % D ec- M ar - Jun- Sep - D ec- M ar- Jun- Sep - D ec- M ar - 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 Popular & Pastor Popular Average Spanish industry* (*) 17 Average banks, saving banks and credit unions as of February 2012 (latest available data).
  • 18. We have covered already the new Royal Decree by c.60% in 1Q12. We will comply with the total requirements within one year (waiving the option to do it in two years) RD Provisions to book during the year Pre-Provision Profit (€, bn) % PPP over RWA’s (€, bn) 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% +c.30% 2.0 2.1 1.6 4.0 2.4 Provisions 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Total 2011 2012E 2013E 1Q12 provisions Note: Total requirements are €2.9bn for Banco Popular and €1.1bn for Banco Pastor 18
  • 19. The strong provisioning effort following the RDL favours a sharp increase in the NPAs coverage, thus facilitating a quicker exit NPLs Coverage NPLs + Write offs Coverage +11p.p. +15p.p. 50% 67% 56% 35% dec-11 Mar-12 dec-11 Mar-12 RE Assets Coverage NPAs Coverage (1) +13p.p. +10p.p. 58% 42% 45% 32% dec-11 Mar-12 dec-11 Mar-12 (1) NPAs: NPLs + RE assets + Written-offs N.B: Coverage without considering the value of collateral 19
  • 20. By type of RE asset the new coverage is more noticeable… even without taking into account any collateral value….again, an exit will be easier Foreclosed Coverage (dec-12e) RE NPL’s Coverage (dec-12e) 2.8x 2.7x 2.8x 83% 81% 2.6x 76% 66% 2.1x 2.0x 20% 57% 20% 18% 15% 49% 1.3x 63% 9% 61% 1.5x 8% 58% 34% 51% 48% 29% 41% 34% 30% 29% 30% 27% 26% 28% 25% 23% 20% Land Work in progress Other RE Assets Total Land Work in progress Finished Buildings Total Current Coveragel Coverage after RDL Capital add-on Current Coverage Coverage after RDL Capital add-on RE Substandard Coverage (dec-12e) RE Performing Portfolio coverage (dec-12e) 5.7x 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 80% 20% 2.7x 2.8x 1.8x 36% 60% 27% 23% 5% 4% 31% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14% 10% 23% 13% 23% 13% Land Finished Buildings Work in progress Other personal Land Work in Finished Tot al guarantees progress Buildings Actual coverage Coverage after RDL Current Coverage Coverage aft er RDL Capital add-on 20 Note: Data for Popular and Pastor
  • 21. Agenda 1. 1Q12 Results operating performance 1.1 P&L main drivers 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy 2. Banco Pastor update 3. Capital position & EBA 4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A 21
  • 22. Since 2008 we have reduced €18bn (c.50%!) our wholesale dependance, while maintaining a sound second line of liquidity. In 1Q12 our full year goals have been beaten Loans/Deposits Ratio (%) Wholesale dependance (€, million) -46pp €-18.7Bn 174% -8pp 38.130 €-4.4Bn 149% 136% 135% 135% 133% 29.086 128% 125% 27.489 23.512 23.286 23.129 19.389 2008 2009 2010 2011 Dec-11 1Q12 2008 2009 2010 2011 1Q12 Popular standalone Popular + Pastor Popular standalone Popular + Pastor 22 22
  • 23. This remarkable improvement of our commercial gap has been achieved over the last 4 years by gathering deposits as opposed to reducing loans Gross Loans Evolution Retail Funds (€, millions) (€, millions) +20% +29% 117,955 -1.1% +4.3% 79,589 Like-for-like 20,699 Like-for-like 15,079 98,364 98,873 97,256 61,866 61,285 64,510 mar-11 dec-11 mar-12 mar-11 dec-11 mar-12 Pastor contribution • €4,360m commercial gap 77 % of the maturities in € 5,710 Mn improvement (1) 2012, already pre-funded in Pre-funded in 1Q12 • €750m senior debt issue 1Q12 • €600m covered bonds issue 1 GAP: Loans: Total Loans to customers (net) – Other credits – Repos – Valuation adjustments of Repos – ICO credit lines - Securitisations; Deposits: Demand deposits + time deposits + other accounts and valuation adjustments + collection accounts (included in other financial liabilities) + commercial paper + Preferred shares ICO Credit lines: credit lines to SMEs prefunded by State 23
  • 24. And we hold a comfortable liquidity buffer (€13.3bn) which covers 4.6x our senior maturities… Popular + Pastor medium and long term maturities and the 2nd line of liquidity (€, Mn) 7,757  Covered bonds Covered re-usable on ECB Bonds 3,254 3,078 1,911 2012 2013 2014 >2014 13,281 (*) 4.6x covered with 2nd line of liquidity & GGB capacity 3,009 Senior debt 1,640 1,277 0 92 700 1,473 92 1,227 167 2012 2013 2014 >2014 2nd line of Potential GGB liquidity capacity EMTN GGB (*) After haircuts Data as of March 2012 including Banco Pastor 24 24
  • 25. Agenda 1. 1Q12 Results operating performance 1.1 P&L main drivers 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy 2. Banco Pastor update 3. Capital position & EBA 4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A 25
  • 26. Synergies and restructuring costs following Pastor acquisition, better than initially planned Popular initially estimated significant synergies to spring from the acquisition, which represent approximately 70% of the value of the transaction Annual Synergies (€Mn) 167 Synergies revised up: 145 147 133 +14% over initial estimates 74 62 Restructuring costs: revised down 34% over 2012E 2013E 2014E initial estimates Initial Synergies Updated Synergies Means a positive net synergies contribution NPV of Synergies up +19% to of € 49.5 Mn in 2012 ! €947mn from €799mn Note: Data for Popular & Pastor 26 26
  • 27. Pastor adds an excellent franchise in its home market and a wide room for growth in a market which is restructuring: excellent to capture market share Deposits Market Share by Region (Pop + Pas) Market Share/Penetration(1) by Region (Pop + Pas) 64,7%66.1% 5.7% 3.7% 3.4% 84.1% 17.0% 6.9% 92.84% 71.5% 4.5% 91.4% 3.7% 86.6% 8.7% 2.5% 111.4% 92.5% 7.2% 164.8% 3.9% 77.8% 4.2% 4.4% 106.4% 48.9% 109.9% 3.5% 4.8% 85.8% 6.2% 90.4% 3.9% 80.9% Deposits Market Share Market Share / of 6.0% Penetration Ratio 103% Very Strong Market Share Strong Market Share Very Strong Penetration Strong Penetration Medium Market Share Weak Market Share Medium Penetration Weak Penetration 17% market share in Galicia but with a 1,826 net clients gained since acquisition penetration under the franchise potential 1Penetration calculated as deposit market share over branch market share 27
  • 28. Agenda 1. 1Q12 Results operating performance 1.1 P&L main drivers 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy 2. Banco Pastor update 3. Capital position & EBA 4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A 28
  • 29. Despite the large clean-up in the quarter, the core capital ratio remains stable. And it will improve further once all the capital measures announced are accomplished Core Capital Reconciliation QoQ (%) 10.56% with the new €0,7bn retail MCN planned in Q2 0,09 1,31 -0.32 -2.04 10,04 0,03 0,72 9,84 Core Capital Capital Organic Net effect RWA Pastor RWA Others Core Capital 4Q11 increase. Capital clean up, optimization 1Q12 Pastor deal generation higher & lower provisions credit risk Note: Total requirements are €2.9bn for Banco Popular and €1.1bn for Banco Pastor 29
  • 30. On EBA targets, we will fill the gap to the new EBA Capital requirements and we will hold a significant excess capital… EBA Core Capital estimates (€, mn) Deficit (-)/ +403 +463 +617 Excess (+) 10.33% 10.40% 10.56% 8.70% 1Q12 2Q12e 3Q12e 4Q12e • Exchange of preferred shares for MCNs-€1.1bn. DONE, ALREADY INCLUDED IN 1Q12 • Conversion of existing MCNs for equity. €0.5bn DONE, INCLUDED PRO-FORMA IN 1Q12 • Exchange of an existing MCN for new MCN (EBA compliant)- €0.7bn. LAUNCHED • New issue of an MCN. UP TO €0.7Bn IN PROCESS, DUE JUNE Note: Data for Popular and Pastor 30
  • 31. Agenda 1. 1Q12 Results operating performance 1.1 P&L main drivers 1.2 Risk management and Royal Decree Law 2/2102 update 1.3 Liquidity & funding policy 2. Banco Pastor update 3. Capital position & EBA 4. Conclusions and outlook – Q&A 31
  • 32. We have started the year with a very strong operating performance Key-messages 1Q12 • Net interest income+31% QoQ and +34% YoY (+25% Popular Solid revenues standalone). Total Recurrent Revenues +20%. Pre-Provisioning Profit up by 20% to €539m Efficiency and • Efficiency ratio improves to 39%, 36% Popular standalone Pastor • Expect synergies of the Pastor integration to be above the initial integration estimates. Pastor will have a strong contribution from year 1 • Credit coverage increased 15 p.p. to 50% and RE coverage increased Strong 10 p.p. to 42% reinforcement in • We have already absorbed 60% of the new Royal Decree Law coverage 02/2012 in 1Q12 • We have reduced our wholesale funding reliance over the last 3 years A sound liquidity by 50% (from €38 bn to €19 bn Popular standalone). Loan to position deposits ratio of the combined Group improves to 125% with €13bn+ liquidity buffer. 32
  • 33. Outlook 2012/2013 Complex • Macro, Micro and Regulatory environment will still be complicated environment • Our strong capacity to generate revenues and synergies (PPP est. €2 Strength and Bn) plus one-offs would allow us to face all the extraordinary recurrence of PPP provisions of the Royal Decree Law and still post profits in 2012 (c. €2 Bn €300 Mn). Net profit in 2013 should increase significantly thanks to the accelerated 2012 clean-up Strong coverage • Provisions booked in NPL’s and RE Assets will allow us to gradually increase dispose these assets in a profitable manner Excellent • Our efficiency in costs and revenues, a good liquidity position and a competitive high level of capital will allow us to take advantage of all the position opportunities that a restructuring market offers 33
  • 34. THANK-YOU. HAPPY TO TAKE QUESTIONS 34
  • 35. Appendix 35
  • 36. BoS transparency exercise: Lending to construction and RE purposes in Spain remains our most affected sector Lending to construction and RE: breakdown by type Total exposure to RE lending (€, million) % of total Other land 21% 14% 65% General Corporate 21,519 21,547 4,596 1.4% purposes with Developed land mortgage collateral 3,051 13,900 15.9% 20.8% Buildings Personal guarantee under 13.3% construction 4Q11 1Q12 NPLs Substandard Exposure 9.6% Pro-forma (watch list) Still performing! Coverage of RE lending 48.6% (€, million) Finished Buildings P&L provisions & write-offs 4Q11 Pro-forma 1Q12 39.0% Specific 1,387 2,327 Generic 138 635 Write-offs 978 1,067 Total 2,503 4,029 NPLs & Substandard coverage 30% 46% 36
  • 37. BoS Transparency exercise: Real Estate assets held in Spain. We have increased strongly our coverage Real Estate assets: detail & coverage Real Estate assets: split by origin (€, million) 11% RE assets 4Q11 Pro-forma 1Q12 9% 10% 70% Foreclosed assets (net amount) 5,685 5,078 Capital instruments (net amount) 416 347 Provisions 2,883 3,985 Foreclosed assets from lending to construction & RE purposes Foreclosed assets from retail mortgages Foreclosed assets: rest Coverage 32% 42% Capital instruments Real Estate assets: split by type of collateral 11% 9% 34% 37% 9% Finished buildings Buildings under construction Land Rest Capital instruments 37
  • 38. 38