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Keeping Up With the Consumer
Keeping Up With the Consumer




BISG Annual Meeting
          l
  September 2010
“For too long business leaders have relied on 
 their intuition or their ‘golden gut’ to make 
                           g      g
 decisions.  For too long, important calls have 
 been based not on data, but on the experience 
 and unaided judgment of the decision maker.
 and unaided judgment of the decision maker” 
 ~Tom Davenport




                                      © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Is our industry 
   Is our industry
intelligence keeping 
intelligence keeping
     up with the 
     up with the
       changing 
       changing
     consumer? ?
            © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
2 years ago (or so)
   2 years ago (or so)…
Predictable supply chain model,
  a stable product medium, &
  a stable product medium, &
        healthy economy

                              © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
= Single approach to analytics… 
• Decision process = Quantify the book 
  behaviors through POS, make adjustments, 
  repeat process… hope to get lucky once in a 
  while.




                               © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Today…
                            Today
Fragmenting supply chain,
    Mixing mediums,
            &
    Unstable economy


                            © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
The Multiple Lenses of Consumer Data
Moving beyond basic book analytics…




                      © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
…and becoming intimate with the 
             consumer
In all phases of the publishing process. 
In all phases of the publishing process

                    Acquisitions




                                       Marketing


                            Sales
In Acquisitions…
        2009 Best Sellers By Generation
Gen Z (Born after 1990)
Gen Z (Born after 1990)        Baby Boomers (Born 1948 ‐ 1966)
                                  y         (                )




Gen Y (Born 1979 ‐ 1989)     Matures (Born before 1948)




Gen X (Born 1967 ‐ 1978)




                            © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
In our marketing…
What Influences eBook Purchase Decisions
Wh t I fl        B kP h        D ii




                                           © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
In our selling / buying…
               In our selling / buying…
   Book Review (Not Online)
   Book Review (Not Online)
   Online ‐ Author's Website
                 TV/Radio Ad
     Banner Ad on a website
     Banner Ad on a website
          In‐Store Sales Clerk
       Online ‐ Book Review
               Best Seller List
               Best Seller List
                    At School
Friend/Relative Recommend
         In‐Store Display/On 
         In Store Display/On…

                              0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%
Going Beyond the Base Analytics for 
       the eBook Market…
        h       k    k




                     © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Key ebooks Trends Purchased
            y
                               April 2009 to August 2010


25.0%

20.0%
                                                                                                           14%
15.0%
                                                                                                     10%
10.0%                                                      8% 9% 8% 8%
                                                     7% 6%
 5.0%   6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 6%
                                5%                                                                   5.4% 5.8%
                                                          3.9% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.1%
 0.0%   1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 2.8%




                est. % ebooks purchased 
                  t % b k         h d            % read ebooks (daily/weekly)
                                                 %    d b k (d il /      kl )

                                                       © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Acquisition Date of first eBook
Acquisition Date of first eBook




                     © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
How eReader was Acquired
How eReader was Acquired




                 © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
What Keeps Consumers from Buying a Device?
What Keeps Consumers from Buying a Device?




                           © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
% likely to buy eReader
               % likely to buy eReader

18%
16%
14%                                                                                                     16%
                                                                   14%               15% 15%
12%                                                          13%            13%
                                 12%             13%
10%
                                       11% 11%         11%
 8%                10% 10% 10%
 6%           8%
      7% 7%
 4%
 2%
 0%




                                                                   © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Device Downloads of ebooks Purchased
Device Downloads of ebooks Purchased
                   January 2010 to August 2010
100%         5%    8%            8%              8%                           ALL OTHER
                                                                              ALL OTHER
             0%           12%           13%              11%
       13%   4%    0%            1%              2%
       0%    4%    8%     1%                              4%
                                 10%
                                        6%
       9%                                                                     iPad
80%                11%
                          13%
                                 4%              24%
                                                         20%
                                        15%
       12%                7%
                                                                              nook by Barnes and Noble
                                        7%               6%
60%                                              10%
             49%

                                                                              iPod or other mp3 device 
                   47%           57%                                          (including iPod Touch)
                                                                              (incl ding iPod To ch)
       43%                44%
40%                                    40%       36%    42%                   Kindle/KindleDX by Amazon

             8%

                   7%                                                         Sony eBook Reader
20%    6%
                          12%           3%       6%
                                 10%                     7%
             23%
       16%         18%                 16%                                    Desktop/laptop computer 
                          12%                    14%
                                 10%                    11%
                                                                              only (including printing a 
 0%                                                                           paper copy)
       JAN   FEB   MAR    APR   MAY    JUN       JUL    AUG


                                                       © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Kindle Device Ownership –
                 Shifting to Female
                  hf             l
100%
 90%
 80%
 70%   58%               57%      62%      61%                        Females
                66%                                 66%      68%
 60%
 50%
 40%
 30%                                                                  Males
 20%   42%               43%      38%      39%
                34%                                 34%      32%
 10%
  0%
       Qtr 1    Qtr 2    Qtr 3    Qtr 4     Year    Qtr 1    Qtr 2 
       2009 
       2009     2009 
                2009     2009 
                         2009     2009 
                                  2009     2009 
                                           2009     2010 
                                                    2010     2010 
                                                             2010
What exactly is
What exactly is 
BISG’s Research
BISG s Research 
     role?

           © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Research Committee Mission
Research Committee Mission

Provide timely, evidence‐based research  
   that is actionable, empirical in nature 
   that is actionable, empirical in nature
  and focused on real business issues the 
 solutions to which will drive the industry 
         toward a profitable future




                          © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Access models and
                    Access models and 
                   categories of research

  PAPERS                 REPORTS                  BENCHMARK                              INDUSTRY 
    Case studies         Industry perspectives 
                             and direction
                                                    STUDIES                              DATA SETS
        ROIs
Fact‐
Fact‐based discussion     Best practices and      Data‐
                                                  Data‐driven research and                          KPIs
       papers              implementation
                           i l          i                  analysis
                                                              l i




                             Innovation Lab ???
               ◈Timely               ◈ Relevant               ◈Interactive



                                                                 © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Approach for Achieving Results:
 pp                  g
        Collaboration




                  © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
d    f
                                 Roadmap for 2011
Discussion Papers (six 
per year)                                                         Reports (three per year)




                                 Benchmark Studies 
                                 (two per year)



                                                                   Innovation Lab 
                                                                   (????)




            Industry Data Sets 
            I d t D t S t
            (one‐two per year)




                                                      © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
                                                                                                    25
© 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
Thank You
                                 Thank You



Kelly Gallagher
VP Publishing Services, Bowker
Kelly.Gallagher@Bowker.com
Kelly Gallagher@Bowker com

Research Chair, BISG
research@bisg.org

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Annual Meeting 2010 -- Gallagher, Kelly (Bowker)

  • 1. Keeping Up With the Consumer Keeping Up With the Consumer BISG Annual Meeting l September 2010
  • 2. “For too long business leaders have relied on  their intuition or their ‘golden gut’ to make  g g decisions.  For too long, important calls have  been based not on data, but on the experience  and unaided judgment of the decision maker. and unaided judgment of the decision maker”  ~Tom Davenport © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 3. Is our industry  Is our industry intelligence keeping  intelligence keeping up with the  up with the changing  changing consumer? ? © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 4. 2 years ago (or so) 2 years ago (or so)… Predictable supply chain model, a stable product medium, & a stable product medium, & healthy economy © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 5. = Single approach to analytics…  • Decision process = Quantify the book  behaviors through POS, make adjustments,  repeat process… hope to get lucky once in a  while. © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 6. Today… Today Fragmenting supply chain, Mixing mediums, & Unstable economy © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 8. Moving beyond basic book analytics… © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 9. …and becoming intimate with the  consumer In all phases of the publishing process.  In all phases of the publishing process Acquisitions Marketing Sales
  • 10. In Acquisitions… 2009 Best Sellers By Generation Gen Z (Born after 1990) Gen Z (Born after 1990) Baby Boomers (Born 1948 ‐ 1966) y ( ) Gen Y (Born 1979 ‐ 1989) Matures (Born before 1948) Gen X (Born 1967 ‐ 1978) © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 11. In our marketing… What Influences eBook Purchase Decisions Wh t I fl B kP h D ii © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 12. In our selling / buying… In our selling / buying… Book Review (Not Online) Book Review (Not Online) Online ‐ Author's Website TV/Radio Ad Banner Ad on a website Banner Ad on a website In‐Store Sales Clerk Online ‐ Book Review Best Seller List Best Seller List At School Friend/Relative Recommend In‐Store Display/On  In Store Display/On… 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
  • 13. Going Beyond the Base Analytics for  the eBook Market… h k k © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 14. Key ebooks Trends Purchased y April 2009 to August 2010 25.0% 20.0% 14% 15.0% 10% 10.0% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5.0% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 6% 5% 5.4% 5.8% 3.9% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.1% 0.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% est. % ebooks purchased  t % b k h d % read ebooks (daily/weekly) % d b k (d il / kl ) © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 15. Acquisition Date of first eBook Acquisition Date of first eBook © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 16. How eReader was Acquired How eReader was Acquired © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 17. What Keeps Consumers from Buying a Device? What Keeps Consumers from Buying a Device? © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 18. % likely to buy eReader % likely to buy eReader 18% 16% 14% 16% 14% 15% 15% 12% 13% 13% 12% 13% 10% 11% 11% 11% 8% 10% 10% 10% 6% 8% 7% 7% 4% 2% 0% © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 19. Device Downloads of ebooks Purchased Device Downloads of ebooks Purchased January 2010 to August 2010 100% 5% 8% 8% 8% ALL OTHER ALL OTHER 0% 12% 13% 11% 13% 4% 0% 1% 2% 0% 4% 8% 1% 4% 10% 6% 9% iPad 80% 11% 13% 4% 24% 20% 15% 12% 7% nook by Barnes and Noble 7% 6% 60% 10% 49% iPod or other mp3 device  47% 57% (including iPod Touch) (incl ding iPod To ch) 43% 44% 40% 40% 36% 42% Kindle/KindleDX by Amazon 8% 7% Sony eBook Reader 20% 6% 12% 3% 6% 10% 7% 23% 16% 18% 16% Desktop/laptop computer  12% 14% 10% 11% only (including printing a  0% paper copy) JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 20. Kindle Device Ownership – Shifting to Female hf l 100% 90% 80% 70% 58% 57% 62% 61% Females 66% 66% 68% 60% 50% 40% 30% Males 20% 42% 43% 38% 39% 34% 34% 32% 10% 0% Qtr 1  Qtr 2  Qtr 3  Qtr 4  Year  Qtr 1  Qtr 2  2009  2009 2009  2009 2009  2009 2009  2009 2009  2009 2010  2010 2010  2010
  • 21. What exactly is What exactly is  BISG’s Research BISG s Research  role? © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 22. Research Committee Mission Research Committee Mission Provide timely, evidence‐based research   that is actionable, empirical in nature  that is actionable, empirical in nature and focused on real business issues the  solutions to which will drive the industry  toward a profitable future © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 23. Access models and Access models and  categories of research PAPERS REPORTS  BENCHMARK  INDUSTRY  Case studies Industry perspectives  and direction STUDIES DATA SETS ROIs Fact‐ Fact‐based discussion  Best practices and  Data‐ Data‐driven research and  KPIs papers implementation i l i analysis l i Innovation Lab ??? ◈Timely               ◈ Relevant               ◈Interactive © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 24. Approach for Achieving Results: pp g Collaboration © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc.
  • 25. d f Roadmap for 2011 Discussion Papers (six  per year) Reports (three per year) Benchmark Studies  (two per year) Innovation Lab  (????) Industry Data Sets  I d t D t S t (one‐two per year) © 2010, the Book Industry Study Group, Inc. 25
  • 27. Thank You Thank You Kelly Gallagher VP Publishing Services, Bowker Kelly.Gallagher@Bowker.com Kelly Gallagher@Bowker com Research Chair, BISG research@bisg.org