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Equity report to assess the fair value
of stock through fundamental and
quantitative analysis using DCF
methods.
Financial
Analysis
Sample
Bizcon Services
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 1
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF SYNERGETICS INC.
Parameters Details
Founding year 1991
Office Headquarters – Synergetics USA, Inc., 3845 Corporate Centre
Drive, O'Fallon, Missouri, USA, 63368
Website www.synergeticsusa.com
Incorporation type Public (Nasdaq – Ticker: SURG)
Revenue (2015) $75.0 million
Market Capitalisation $171.2 million (as on 15 October 2015, last trading day)
No of employees 418 (as of July 2015)
Geographic presence US, Australia, France, Germany, Italy, UK
Source: Company reports and secondary research
OVERVIEW
US based, Synergetics Inc. (formerly Valley Forge Scientific Corp) is primarily engaged in
supply of precision surgical devices for ophthalmic and neurosurgery markets. The US is the
company’s key market, whereas disposable products are the focus segment with more than
87% contribution to total sales. Within the US, the company markets its products through
direct field force, whereas in the international markets it follows a combination of direct as
well as distributor sales model.
BUSINESS SEGMENTS AND THEIR PERFORMANCE
The company operates through two key segments — Ophthalmic and Neurosurgery. At the
end of the fiscal year 2015, ophthalmic segment contributed about 56% of the total revenue
while neurosurgery accounted for around 42%. Within the ophthalmic market, the company
is focused primarily on providing surgical products and procedures for vitreoretinal surgery. It
faces competition from big and small companies operating within the ophthalmic surgical
devices and equipment including Bausch & Lomb (subsidiary of Valeant Pharmaceuticals),
Alcon (subsidiary of Novartis) and Iridex Corporation. Source: Company reports
Figure 1: Business-wise revenue contribution Figure 2: Region-wise revenue contribution
100% = $75 mn 100% = $75 mn
56%
42%
2%
Ophthalmic Neurosurgery Other
70%
30%
Domestic International
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 2
In the neurosurgery segment the company operates through OEM partners and distributors to
drive sales of its products, with Codman and Stryker Corporation being two key long term
contracts. Revenue derived from sales to Codman was 23% and from Stryker were 18% of the
company’s net sales in FY2015. In the neurosurgery segment, it faces competition for its
bipolar electrosurgical systems and accessories sold by Codman from Valleylab division of
Covidien Ltd., Kirwan Surgical Products, Inc., Erbe Elektromedizin GmbH and the Aesculap
division of B. Braun Medical Inc. With respect to ultrasonic aspiration tips and accessories
supplied to Stryker, the competition in this segment is from Integra Life Sciences Holdings,
Corp., the manufacturer of the CUSATM and the SelectorTM ultrasonic aspirator systems, and
Misonix, Inc.
SYNERGETIC’S RECENT ACQUISITIONS
With a history of growing in-organically, the company has expanded its markets and product
portfolio through various targeted acquisitions. The most recent acquisition was of Sterimedix,
pursuant to its strategy of further expanding its presence in the growing ophthalmic market.
Table 2: Deals completed by Synergetics from 2013-15
Company Focus Deal Value Period
Sterimedix Limited Manufacturer of cannulas for
ophthalmic and non-surgical
procedures
$13.2 million December 2014
Private Company Original equipment
manufacturing
$1.4 million May 2014
M.I.S.S Ophthalmics Ltd. Ophthalmic distribution
company
$2.8 million July 2013
Source: Company reports
INDUSTRY DATA
OPHTHALMIC SURGICAL INSTRUMENTS MARKET
Technological advancements are the driving factor for growth within the global ophthalmic
surgical instruments industry. Driven by an increase in ophthalmic surgeries (~4%) and
increasing acceptance of micro-incision surgeries, the overall market is growing at a rapid
pace. Within this industry disposable instruments are gaining more prominence and are
expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% as per the estimates provided by the market research
firm, Market Scope. Synergetics has a strong presence within the disposables market where it
derives more than 85% of its sales for such products.
In the ophthalmic surgical market, vitreoretinal surgical market the focus area for Synergetics
has been pegged at $1.3 billion in 2014, and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4% during the
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 3
period 2014-2019 (source: Alcon presentation, June 2015). The overall ophthalmic surgical
market is estimated to grow at CAGR of 5% for the period 2014-2019, and includes three
main categories – Cataract, Vitreoretinal, and Refractive.
TABLE 4: KEY PLAYERS OPERATING IN OPHTHALMIC SURGICAL MARKET
Company Region
Alcon Inc. Switzerland
Abbott Medical Optics US
Baucsh & Lomb Inc. US
Carl Zeiss Meditec AG Germany
Haag Streit Switzerland
Topcon Corporation Japan
Johnson & Johnson US
Essilor International S.A. France
Nidek Co. Ltd. Japan
Zeimer Ophthalmic Systems AG Switzerland
Source: Ophthalmic Device Market Report by MarketsandMarkets.com dated April 2014
NEUROSURGICAL SURGICAL INSTRUMENTS MARKET
Global sales of neurological products are estimated to grow at ~4% driven by demand for
advanced surgical techniques, an aging population and better technologies. The
neurological surgical market is at present a small segment within the overall surgical
instruments market. Synergetics at present derives more than 95% of its sales in the
neurosurgery segment from its two supply agreements; one being with Codman and the
other is Stryker Corporation.
Key growth
drivers
Aging
population
Growing access
in emerging
markets
Advanced
technology
Improved
diagnostics and
visualization
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 4
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
RATIO ANALYSIS
Ratios 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Current ratio 6.47 3.52 6.53 5.59 6.88
Quick ratio 6.24 3.31 6.21 5.21 6.41
Total assets to total debt 17.98 77.22 NM NM NM
Working capital turnover 2.96 3.89 2.60 2.58 2.49
Total asset turnover 0.71 0.68 0.76 0.76 0.76
Return on assets 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.04
Return on equity 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.04 0.05
Return on capital employed 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.04 0.05
Gross margin 57.6% 58.9% 57.5% 51.5% 55.9%
Operating margin 11.7% 15.0% 14.1% 5.9% 7.1%
Net margin 11.0% 10.1% 9.3% 4.1% 4.7%
Source: Calculated from reported consolidated company numbers
REVENUE ANALYSIS
The company’s sales which had been growing in low single digits during the past two years,
has seen a significant jump in FY2015 primarily driven by inorganic growth factors. Inclusion of
the sales from the Sterimedix acquisition since December 2014 (Q2 2015) in the consolidated
figures is the key reason for Synergetics to record a growth of 15.8% to $75 million in sales
during FY2015. Domestic sales grew by 9.9% in FY2015 vis-à-vis FY2014 due to higher OEm
neurosurgery sales. In comparison international revenues jumped considerably (32.5%) in
FY2015 as compared to last year due to addition on sales from the acquired Sterimedix
business in the ophthalmic space.
Figure 3: Revenue and growth figures ($, million)
56
60 63 65
75
7.0% 7.8%
4.6%
3.1%
15.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sales Growth
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 5
On the segmental analysis, ophthalmic sales recorded a growth of 12.1% in FY 2015 vis-à-vis
FY2014, primarily backed by international sales (grew 28.3%) which contributed higher
revenues due to addition of Sterimedix products. However, strong international growth was
partially offset due to negative FX impact which led to otherwise lower foreign revenues from
direct and distributor sales.
In the Neurosurgery OEM segment, sales increased by 18.1% driven by strong product sales
across all categories to Codman, and strong product sales of disposable ultrasonic aspirator
tips and related accessories to Stryker Corporation.
PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS
In FY2015, the company’s operating margin increased by almost 100 basis points (bps) to
8.1% compared with 7.1% in FY2014. The margin expansion was primarily driven by
considerable decrease in the R&D cost (was 5.7% of sales in FY2015 vis-à-vis 8.0% in FY2014)
and improvement in sales and marketing expenses (lower in FY2015 to 20.5% of sales from
22.2% in FY2014). R&D expenses are expected to remain in the range of 6% to 8% from a
going forward perspective as well as the company rationalises its product pipeline.
Figure 4: Operating profit and margin figures ($, million)
The operating margin expansion was offset to some extent due to increase in cost of sales
(from 44.1% of sales in FY2014 to 46.4% in FY2015) and higher administrative expenses
(increased to 17.7% of sales in FY2015 from 16.9% in FY2014).
Net margin expanded considerably by 120 bps to 6.0% in FY2015 from 4.7% in FY2014. The
improvement was a trickle down impact of the expansion in operating margin.
8.3 8.5
3.7
4.6
6.1
15.0%
14.1%
5.9%
7.1%
8.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EBIT EBIT Margin
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 6
FINANCIAL POSITION
Total assets witnessed growth in 2015 to reach $95.6 million, an increase of about 12.9% over
2014. The growth in total assets was largely attributable to significant increase in intangibles
(from $27.4 million to in 2014 $38.8 million in 2015) and property and equipment (from $8.8
million in 2014 to $10.5 million in 2015) as a result of consolidation of the acquired Sterimedix
assets. The growth was partially offset was a decrease in current assets (-4.5% y-o-y) mainly
due a drop in cash balance (-22.9% y-o-y) which was used to pay for the acquisitions
completed.
Liabilities in 2015 witnessed about 33.9% increase over 2014 to reach about $27.2 million; the
increase is largely due to 37.4% increase in current liabilities of the company, mainly
accounts payables (61.2%) and accrued expenses (25.7% y-o-y). Despite the increase in
current liabilities, current assets were more than sufficient to absorb the jump in 2015.
Increase in total liabilities was also due to jump in long term liabilities (from $13.2 million in
2014 to $17.5 million in 2015) due to addition of a contingent acquisition liability to the tune of
$2.8 million.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
($ thousand) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Profit and Loss
Net sales 52,010 55,657 60,014 62,796 64,769
Gross profit 29,960 32,781 34,519 32,371 36,229
Operating income 6,091 8,349 8,481 3,721 4,581
Net income 5,733 5,633 5,586 2,559 3,063
Balance Sheet
Cash and cash equivalents 18,669 18,399 12,680 12,470 15,443
Total current assets 41,066 44,250 42,227 44,797 48,483
Property and equipment, net 8,044 8,561 9,239 8,962 8,785
Total assets 73,095 81,310 78,763 82,693 84,715
Total current liabilities 6,349 12,586 6,467 8,011 7,049
Total debt 4,065 1,053 - - -
Total liabilities 28,869 30,646 22,285 22,541 20,291
Total stockholder's equity 44,226 50,664 56,478 60,152 64,424
Total liabilities and equity 73,095 81,310 78,763 82,693 84,715
Cash Flow
Cash from operating activities 27,309 4,787 (2,449) 3,665 5,666
Cash from investing activities 337 (2,341) (2,034) (3,758) (2,560)
Cash from financing activities (9,130) (2,676) (994) 137 97
Net change in cash balance 18,509 (270) (5,719) (210) 2,973
Closing cash balance 18,669 18,399 12,680 12,470 15,443
Source: Company reports
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 7
VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS: DEAL STRUCTURE AND ANALYSIS
Valeant deal structure
Details Comments
Date Acquisition closed on October 14, 2015, and trading of
Synergetics shares suspended
Acquisition price $6.5 per share, a premium of 48.1% over the stock’s closing
price prior to the deal being announced in September 2015
Total deal value $166 million
Mode Cash deal
Additional payments $1 per share in milestones, with a 50¢-per-share bonus tied to
an annual sales mark of $55 million in ophthalmic products by
June 30, 2018, and another 50¢ per share tied to annual
ophthalmic sales of $65 million by the same date; the 2nd
milestone would be pro-rated for sales between the 2 targets
Source: Company press releases and research
DEAL RATIONALE
The acquisition of Synergetics has been undertaken by Valeant Pharmaceuticals to further
leverage the position of its subsidiary company Bausch & Lomb’s presence in the fast
growing area of vitreoretinal (ophthalmic) surgery. Synergetics with its strong ophthalmic
product portfolio was a strong fit for Valeant Pharmaceuticals, who intends on providing a
broad array of surgical devices and instruments for catering to the needs of surgical retina
patients and has been on a spending spree as a part of its growth strategy.
DEAL ANALYSIS
Based on our analysis of the company we conclude the deal was undervalued by
approximately 40% at the present acquisition price. Based on our understanding the deal
value should have been concluded around $9.1 per share based on our valuation factoring
in the company’s strong fundamentals and high market potential in which it operates.
KEY INPUTS AND DRIVERS TO OUR VALUATION – OPTIMISTIC
Parameters Details
Revenue Grows at a CAGR of 7.8% for a five year period 2015-2020
Operating margin Expands ~ by 200 bps to 10% in 2020 from 8% in 2015
Cost of equity 6.0%
WACC 5.9%
Terminal growth 2.0%
Intermediate growth 4.0%
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 8
Source: Model assumptions
DCF VALUATION - OPTIMISTIC
Simplified forecasts
($, thousands) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Terminal value
EBIT
7,142 8,242 9,309 10,38
7
10,90
6
10,80
3
11,23
5
11,68
4
12,15
1
12,637
Tax expense
1,680 1,832 2,205 2,337 2,454 2,431 2,528 2,629 2,734 2,844
NOPLAT
5,461 6,411 6,411 7,104 8,050 8,372 8,707 9,055 9,417 9,794
Adjustments:
Depreciation and
amortization 2,974 3,242 3,469 3,677 3,861 4,015 4,176 4,343 4,517 4,697
Changes in
working capital -719
-
2,310
-
574
-
1,646
-
1,590
-
1,654
-
1,720
-
1,789
-
1,860 -1,935
Capital
expenditure
-
1,260
-
1,374
-
1,470
-
1,558
-
1,636
-
1,701
-
1,770
-
1,840
-
1,914 -1,990
Free cash flow
6,456 5,969 7,836 7,578 8,685 9,032 9,393 9,769 10,16
0
10,566
2,73,204
Discount factor
0.94 0.89 0.84 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.63 0.59 0.56
0.56
Discounted free
cash flow 6,094 5,318 6,589 6,015 6,507 6,387 6,270 6,155 6,042 5,931
1,53,350
Currency: USD $
Total Value 2,14,657
Less: Debt 1,925
Add: Cash 18,315
Total value to shareholders 2,32,971
No of shares outsanding 25,362
Fair price per share 9.19
Reflects the deal
was undervalued at
$6.5 in spite of a
premium of more
than 45% to the
prevailing share
price
Synergetics Inc.
BIZCON SERVICES LLP 9
DCF VALUATION - PESSIMISTIC
Simplified forecasts
($, thousands) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Terminal value
EBIT 6,217 7,235 8,231
9,244 9,707
9,522 9,807
10,10
2
10,40
5
10,717
Tax expense 1,680 1,832 2,205
2,337 2,454
2,407 2,479 2,554 2,630 2,709
NOPLAT 4,537 5,403 5,403
6,026 6,907
7,115 7,328 7,548 7,774 8,007
Adjustments:
Depreciation and
amortization
2,974 3,242 3,469
3,677 3,861
3,977 4,096 4,219 4,346 4,476
Changes in
working capital
-719 -
2,310
-574 -
1,646
-
1,590
-
1,638
-
1,687
-
1,738
-
1,790
-1,843
Capital
expenditure
-1,260 -
1,374
-
1,470
-
1,558
-
1,636
-
1,685
-
1,736
-
1,788
-
1,841
-1,897
Free cash flow 5,532 4,961 6,828
6,500 7,542
7,768 8,002 8,242 8,489 8,743 2,26,070
Discount factor 0.94 0.89 0.84 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.56
Discounted free
cash flow
5,221 4,420 5,742
5,159 5,651
5,494 5,341 5,192 5,048 4,908 1,26,894
Currency: USD $
Total Value 1,79,070
Less: Debt 1,925
Add: Cash 18,315
Total value to shareholders 1,97,384
No of shares outsanding 25,362
Fair price per share 7.78
Reflects the deal
was undervalued at
$6.5 in spite of a
premium of more
than 45% to the
prevailing share
price

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Synergetics financial analysis report

  • 1. Equity report to assess the fair value of stock through fundamental and quantitative analysis using DCF methods. Financial Analysis Sample Bizcon Services
  • 2. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 1 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF SYNERGETICS INC. Parameters Details Founding year 1991 Office Headquarters – Synergetics USA, Inc., 3845 Corporate Centre Drive, O'Fallon, Missouri, USA, 63368 Website www.synergeticsusa.com Incorporation type Public (Nasdaq – Ticker: SURG) Revenue (2015) $75.0 million Market Capitalisation $171.2 million (as on 15 October 2015, last trading day) No of employees 418 (as of July 2015) Geographic presence US, Australia, France, Germany, Italy, UK Source: Company reports and secondary research OVERVIEW US based, Synergetics Inc. (formerly Valley Forge Scientific Corp) is primarily engaged in supply of precision surgical devices for ophthalmic and neurosurgery markets. The US is the company’s key market, whereas disposable products are the focus segment with more than 87% contribution to total sales. Within the US, the company markets its products through direct field force, whereas in the international markets it follows a combination of direct as well as distributor sales model. BUSINESS SEGMENTS AND THEIR PERFORMANCE The company operates through two key segments — Ophthalmic and Neurosurgery. At the end of the fiscal year 2015, ophthalmic segment contributed about 56% of the total revenue while neurosurgery accounted for around 42%. Within the ophthalmic market, the company is focused primarily on providing surgical products and procedures for vitreoretinal surgery. It faces competition from big and small companies operating within the ophthalmic surgical devices and equipment including Bausch & Lomb (subsidiary of Valeant Pharmaceuticals), Alcon (subsidiary of Novartis) and Iridex Corporation. Source: Company reports Figure 1: Business-wise revenue contribution Figure 2: Region-wise revenue contribution 100% = $75 mn 100% = $75 mn 56% 42% 2% Ophthalmic Neurosurgery Other 70% 30% Domestic International
  • 3. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 2 In the neurosurgery segment the company operates through OEM partners and distributors to drive sales of its products, with Codman and Stryker Corporation being two key long term contracts. Revenue derived from sales to Codman was 23% and from Stryker were 18% of the company’s net sales in FY2015. In the neurosurgery segment, it faces competition for its bipolar electrosurgical systems and accessories sold by Codman from Valleylab division of Covidien Ltd., Kirwan Surgical Products, Inc., Erbe Elektromedizin GmbH and the Aesculap division of B. Braun Medical Inc. With respect to ultrasonic aspiration tips and accessories supplied to Stryker, the competition in this segment is from Integra Life Sciences Holdings, Corp., the manufacturer of the CUSATM and the SelectorTM ultrasonic aspirator systems, and Misonix, Inc. SYNERGETIC’S RECENT ACQUISITIONS With a history of growing in-organically, the company has expanded its markets and product portfolio through various targeted acquisitions. The most recent acquisition was of Sterimedix, pursuant to its strategy of further expanding its presence in the growing ophthalmic market. Table 2: Deals completed by Synergetics from 2013-15 Company Focus Deal Value Period Sterimedix Limited Manufacturer of cannulas for ophthalmic and non-surgical procedures $13.2 million December 2014 Private Company Original equipment manufacturing $1.4 million May 2014 M.I.S.S Ophthalmics Ltd. Ophthalmic distribution company $2.8 million July 2013 Source: Company reports INDUSTRY DATA OPHTHALMIC SURGICAL INSTRUMENTS MARKET Technological advancements are the driving factor for growth within the global ophthalmic surgical instruments industry. Driven by an increase in ophthalmic surgeries (~4%) and increasing acceptance of micro-incision surgeries, the overall market is growing at a rapid pace. Within this industry disposable instruments are gaining more prominence and are expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% as per the estimates provided by the market research firm, Market Scope. Synergetics has a strong presence within the disposables market where it derives more than 85% of its sales for such products. In the ophthalmic surgical market, vitreoretinal surgical market the focus area for Synergetics has been pegged at $1.3 billion in 2014, and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4% during the
  • 4. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 3 period 2014-2019 (source: Alcon presentation, June 2015). The overall ophthalmic surgical market is estimated to grow at CAGR of 5% for the period 2014-2019, and includes three main categories – Cataract, Vitreoretinal, and Refractive. TABLE 4: KEY PLAYERS OPERATING IN OPHTHALMIC SURGICAL MARKET Company Region Alcon Inc. Switzerland Abbott Medical Optics US Baucsh & Lomb Inc. US Carl Zeiss Meditec AG Germany Haag Streit Switzerland Topcon Corporation Japan Johnson & Johnson US Essilor International S.A. France Nidek Co. Ltd. Japan Zeimer Ophthalmic Systems AG Switzerland Source: Ophthalmic Device Market Report by MarketsandMarkets.com dated April 2014 NEUROSURGICAL SURGICAL INSTRUMENTS MARKET Global sales of neurological products are estimated to grow at ~4% driven by demand for advanced surgical techniques, an aging population and better technologies. The neurological surgical market is at present a small segment within the overall surgical instruments market. Synergetics at present derives more than 95% of its sales in the neurosurgery segment from its two supply agreements; one being with Codman and the other is Stryker Corporation. Key growth drivers Aging population Growing access in emerging markets Advanced technology Improved diagnostics and visualization
  • 5. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 4 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS RATIO ANALYSIS Ratios 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Current ratio 6.47 3.52 6.53 5.59 6.88 Quick ratio 6.24 3.31 6.21 5.21 6.41 Total assets to total debt 17.98 77.22 NM NM NM Working capital turnover 2.96 3.89 2.60 2.58 2.49 Total asset turnover 0.71 0.68 0.76 0.76 0.76 Return on assets 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.04 Return on equity 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.04 0.05 Return on capital employed 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.04 0.05 Gross margin 57.6% 58.9% 57.5% 51.5% 55.9% Operating margin 11.7% 15.0% 14.1% 5.9% 7.1% Net margin 11.0% 10.1% 9.3% 4.1% 4.7% Source: Calculated from reported consolidated company numbers REVENUE ANALYSIS The company’s sales which had been growing in low single digits during the past two years, has seen a significant jump in FY2015 primarily driven by inorganic growth factors. Inclusion of the sales from the Sterimedix acquisition since December 2014 (Q2 2015) in the consolidated figures is the key reason for Synergetics to record a growth of 15.8% to $75 million in sales during FY2015. Domestic sales grew by 9.9% in FY2015 vis-à-vis FY2014 due to higher OEm neurosurgery sales. In comparison international revenues jumped considerably (32.5%) in FY2015 as compared to last year due to addition on sales from the acquired Sterimedix business in the ophthalmic space. Figure 3: Revenue and growth figures ($, million) 56 60 63 65 75 7.0% 7.8% 4.6% 3.1% 15.8% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sales Growth
  • 6. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 5 On the segmental analysis, ophthalmic sales recorded a growth of 12.1% in FY 2015 vis-à-vis FY2014, primarily backed by international sales (grew 28.3%) which contributed higher revenues due to addition of Sterimedix products. However, strong international growth was partially offset due to negative FX impact which led to otherwise lower foreign revenues from direct and distributor sales. In the Neurosurgery OEM segment, sales increased by 18.1% driven by strong product sales across all categories to Codman, and strong product sales of disposable ultrasonic aspirator tips and related accessories to Stryker Corporation. PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS In FY2015, the company’s operating margin increased by almost 100 basis points (bps) to 8.1% compared with 7.1% in FY2014. The margin expansion was primarily driven by considerable decrease in the R&D cost (was 5.7% of sales in FY2015 vis-à-vis 8.0% in FY2014) and improvement in sales and marketing expenses (lower in FY2015 to 20.5% of sales from 22.2% in FY2014). R&D expenses are expected to remain in the range of 6% to 8% from a going forward perspective as well as the company rationalises its product pipeline. Figure 4: Operating profit and margin figures ($, million) The operating margin expansion was offset to some extent due to increase in cost of sales (from 44.1% of sales in FY2014 to 46.4% in FY2015) and higher administrative expenses (increased to 17.7% of sales in FY2015 from 16.9% in FY2014). Net margin expanded considerably by 120 bps to 6.0% in FY2015 from 4.7% in FY2014. The improvement was a trickle down impact of the expansion in operating margin. 8.3 8.5 3.7 4.6 6.1 15.0% 14.1% 5.9% 7.1% 8.1% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 EBIT EBIT Margin
  • 7. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 6 FINANCIAL POSITION Total assets witnessed growth in 2015 to reach $95.6 million, an increase of about 12.9% over 2014. The growth in total assets was largely attributable to significant increase in intangibles (from $27.4 million to in 2014 $38.8 million in 2015) and property and equipment (from $8.8 million in 2014 to $10.5 million in 2015) as a result of consolidation of the acquired Sterimedix assets. The growth was partially offset was a decrease in current assets (-4.5% y-o-y) mainly due a drop in cash balance (-22.9% y-o-y) which was used to pay for the acquisitions completed. Liabilities in 2015 witnessed about 33.9% increase over 2014 to reach about $27.2 million; the increase is largely due to 37.4% increase in current liabilities of the company, mainly accounts payables (61.2%) and accrued expenses (25.7% y-o-y). Despite the increase in current liabilities, current assets were more than sufficient to absorb the jump in 2015. Increase in total liabilities was also due to jump in long term liabilities (from $13.2 million in 2014 to $17.5 million in 2015) due to addition of a contingent acquisition liability to the tune of $2.8 million. FINANCIAL SUMMARY ($ thousand) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Profit and Loss Net sales 52,010 55,657 60,014 62,796 64,769 Gross profit 29,960 32,781 34,519 32,371 36,229 Operating income 6,091 8,349 8,481 3,721 4,581 Net income 5,733 5,633 5,586 2,559 3,063 Balance Sheet Cash and cash equivalents 18,669 18,399 12,680 12,470 15,443 Total current assets 41,066 44,250 42,227 44,797 48,483 Property and equipment, net 8,044 8,561 9,239 8,962 8,785 Total assets 73,095 81,310 78,763 82,693 84,715 Total current liabilities 6,349 12,586 6,467 8,011 7,049 Total debt 4,065 1,053 - - - Total liabilities 28,869 30,646 22,285 22,541 20,291 Total stockholder's equity 44,226 50,664 56,478 60,152 64,424 Total liabilities and equity 73,095 81,310 78,763 82,693 84,715 Cash Flow Cash from operating activities 27,309 4,787 (2,449) 3,665 5,666 Cash from investing activities 337 (2,341) (2,034) (3,758) (2,560) Cash from financing activities (9,130) (2,676) (994) 137 97 Net change in cash balance 18,509 (270) (5,719) (210) 2,973 Closing cash balance 18,669 18,399 12,680 12,470 15,443 Source: Company reports
  • 8. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 7 VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS: DEAL STRUCTURE AND ANALYSIS Valeant deal structure Details Comments Date Acquisition closed on October 14, 2015, and trading of Synergetics shares suspended Acquisition price $6.5 per share, a premium of 48.1% over the stock’s closing price prior to the deal being announced in September 2015 Total deal value $166 million Mode Cash deal Additional payments $1 per share in milestones, with a 50¢-per-share bonus tied to an annual sales mark of $55 million in ophthalmic products by June 30, 2018, and another 50¢ per share tied to annual ophthalmic sales of $65 million by the same date; the 2nd milestone would be pro-rated for sales between the 2 targets Source: Company press releases and research DEAL RATIONALE The acquisition of Synergetics has been undertaken by Valeant Pharmaceuticals to further leverage the position of its subsidiary company Bausch & Lomb’s presence in the fast growing area of vitreoretinal (ophthalmic) surgery. Synergetics with its strong ophthalmic product portfolio was a strong fit for Valeant Pharmaceuticals, who intends on providing a broad array of surgical devices and instruments for catering to the needs of surgical retina patients and has been on a spending spree as a part of its growth strategy. DEAL ANALYSIS Based on our analysis of the company we conclude the deal was undervalued by approximately 40% at the present acquisition price. Based on our understanding the deal value should have been concluded around $9.1 per share based on our valuation factoring in the company’s strong fundamentals and high market potential in which it operates. KEY INPUTS AND DRIVERS TO OUR VALUATION – OPTIMISTIC Parameters Details Revenue Grows at a CAGR of 7.8% for a five year period 2015-2020 Operating margin Expands ~ by 200 bps to 10% in 2020 from 8% in 2015 Cost of equity 6.0% WACC 5.9% Terminal growth 2.0% Intermediate growth 4.0%
  • 9. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 8 Source: Model assumptions DCF VALUATION - OPTIMISTIC Simplified forecasts ($, thousands) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Terminal value EBIT 7,142 8,242 9,309 10,38 7 10,90 6 10,80 3 11,23 5 11,68 4 12,15 1 12,637 Tax expense 1,680 1,832 2,205 2,337 2,454 2,431 2,528 2,629 2,734 2,844 NOPLAT 5,461 6,411 6,411 7,104 8,050 8,372 8,707 9,055 9,417 9,794 Adjustments: Depreciation and amortization 2,974 3,242 3,469 3,677 3,861 4,015 4,176 4,343 4,517 4,697 Changes in working capital -719 - 2,310 - 574 - 1,646 - 1,590 - 1,654 - 1,720 - 1,789 - 1,860 -1,935 Capital expenditure - 1,260 - 1,374 - 1,470 - 1,558 - 1,636 - 1,701 - 1,770 - 1,840 - 1,914 -1,990 Free cash flow 6,456 5,969 7,836 7,578 8,685 9,032 9,393 9,769 10,16 0 10,566 2,73,204 Discount factor 0.94 0.89 0.84 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.56 Discounted free cash flow 6,094 5,318 6,589 6,015 6,507 6,387 6,270 6,155 6,042 5,931 1,53,350 Currency: USD $ Total Value 2,14,657 Less: Debt 1,925 Add: Cash 18,315 Total value to shareholders 2,32,971 No of shares outsanding 25,362 Fair price per share 9.19 Reflects the deal was undervalued at $6.5 in spite of a premium of more than 45% to the prevailing share price
  • 10. Synergetics Inc. BIZCON SERVICES LLP 9 DCF VALUATION - PESSIMISTIC Simplified forecasts ($, thousands) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Terminal value EBIT 6,217 7,235 8,231 9,244 9,707 9,522 9,807 10,10 2 10,40 5 10,717 Tax expense 1,680 1,832 2,205 2,337 2,454 2,407 2,479 2,554 2,630 2,709 NOPLAT 4,537 5,403 5,403 6,026 6,907 7,115 7,328 7,548 7,774 8,007 Adjustments: Depreciation and amortization 2,974 3,242 3,469 3,677 3,861 3,977 4,096 4,219 4,346 4,476 Changes in working capital -719 - 2,310 -574 - 1,646 - 1,590 - 1,638 - 1,687 - 1,738 - 1,790 -1,843 Capital expenditure -1,260 - 1,374 - 1,470 - 1,558 - 1,636 - 1,685 - 1,736 - 1,788 - 1,841 -1,897 Free cash flow 5,532 4,961 6,828 6,500 7,542 7,768 8,002 8,242 8,489 8,743 2,26,070 Discount factor 0.94 0.89 0.84 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.67 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.56 Discounted free cash flow 5,221 4,420 5,742 5,159 5,651 5,494 5,341 5,192 5,048 4,908 1,26,894 Currency: USD $ Total Value 1,79,070 Less: Debt 1,925 Add: Cash 18,315 Total value to shareholders 1,97,384 No of shares outsanding 25,362 Fair price per share 7.78 Reflects the deal was undervalued at $6.5 in spite of a premium of more than 45% to the prevailing share price