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Inbound tourism: world
                                 International tourist arrivals and receipts, 1995-2011*

1100                                                                                                                   1.033
                   International tourist arrivals (million)
1000               International tourism receipts (US$ billion)                                      941
                                                                                                                 943
                                                                                               900         885         990
 900                                                                                     845                     928
                                                                                  800                919
                                                                                               858         853
 800                                                                        755

                                                                693   685
                                                   674    673
 700                                                                                     744
                                             625
                                       602                                        679
                               586
 600                   560                                                  634
               528

 500                                                                  533
                                                   475          485
                                             457          466
 400                   437     436     443
               403

 300
              1995                                 2000                           2005                           2010 2011*


Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourist arrivals
International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution
World                                                      (% change)
  15


  10


   5


   0


   -5


  -10


  -15

            2008            2009           2010     2011    2012*

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Share 2011 by regions
                      International Tourist arrivals   Americas,
  Asia and the
                                                   156 mn, 16%
   Pacific, 217
                                                          Africa, 50 mn,
    mn, 22%
                                                               5%

                                                            Middle East,
                                                             55 mn, 6%     International Tourism Receipts

                                                                                                             Americas,
                                                                                                            200 bn, 19%
       Europe, 504                                      Asia and the                                          Africa, 33 bn,
         mn, 51%                                         Pacific, 289                                              3%
                                                          bn, 28%
                                                                                                              Middle East,
                                                                                                               45 bn, 4%


                                                             Europe, 463
                                                               bn, 45%
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourist arrivals in Europe
                       first half of 2012

      • Europe consolidated its growth by 4%

      • Central and Eastern Europe (+7%) performed better than
        other European sub regions

      • Best performers with double digit growth: Georgia (54%),
        Kazakhstan (+15%), Russian Federation (+15%), Poland
        (+13%), Romania (+12%), Lithuania (+12%)

Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
International tourist arrivals in Europe
                       first half of 2012

      • Best performers in Western Europe: Germany and the
        Netherlands (both +8%) and France (+5%)

      • Demand on Southern and Mediterranean Europe (+2)
        slowed

      • Top destinations Spain, Portugal and the Balkan countries
        increased by 3%


Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
The Value of the Black Sea Countries

  • More than 84 million international tourists travelled to the
    Black Sea Countries in 2011 (around 17% of total tourist
    arrivals in Europe)

  • Turkey climbs one place to sixth in the raking of the top
    tourism destinations with 29,3 million international tourist
    arrivals in 2011

  • Russian Federation is rapidly growing as an inbound
    tourism destination and is a very attractive emerging
    outbound market for European destinations
The Value of the Black Sea Countries

  • The mega event of Euro 2012 very positively affected
    Ukrainian inbound tourism volume and highly increased its
    awareness as a tourism destination

  • Bulgaria and Romania have a systematic approach in
    increasing their inbound tourism volumes

  • In 2011, Georgia (+39%) showed the highest relative
    increase among the emerging destinations, continuing a
    trend of rapid growth in recent years
International tourist arrivals to increase
              by 43 million a year on average
International tourism, World                                                          International Tourist Arrivals, million
 2,000
                                                                                                                  1.8 bn
                                                                                                                   1.8 bn
 1,750


 1,500                                                                                1.4 bn
                                                                                       1.4 bn
 1,250
                                                                           1 bn
                                                                            1 bn
 1,000


   750


   500


   250


     0
         1980           1985            1990   1995   2000   2005   2010       2015        2020           2025           2030


source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Europe: International tourist arrivals still to grow
                                         from
  International Tourism, Europe
                                500 mn to almost 750 mn Tourist Arrivals, million
                                                      International
    800
                                                                    740 mn

    600
                                                                              620 mn
                                                                  500 mn
    400




    200




      0
          1980           1985            1990     1995   2000   2005   2010     2015   2020   2025   2030



   Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Europe: International tourist arrivals to increase
    by        13 million a year on average
  International Tourism, Europe                                                                                               International Tourist Arrivals, absolute change over previous year, million
   30
                                                                                                      27

   25                                                                                   22                                    22 22
                                                                                                                                      21

   20                                   18
                                                                20
                                                                                                                         18
                                                                                                                                                             2010-2020              2020-2030
                                                 16
                                                      14
                                                                                   16
                                                                                                                                                     14     14 mn a year           12 mn a year
   15                     13
                                                                              11                                12
                               11                                                            10
                                                                         10
                                             9
   10                                                                7
                                                                                                  6
     5                3                                                                                                                    2
                  2                 2                                                                                2
         0
     0
                                                                                                           -1
    -5       -3
                                                           -6
   -10

   -15

   -20

   -25                                                                                                                                         -24
         1980                  1985                   1990                    1995                    2000                    2005                   2010      2015        2020        2025          2030


  source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
European outbound tourism also growing
            at a slower pace
Outbound tourism by region of origin                                                  International Tourist Arrivals, share, %
 70


 60
                                                                           Europe

 50


 40


 30                                                                 Asia and the Pacific


 20                                                                    Americas


 10
                                                                      Middle East

  0                                                                        Africa
      1980           1985            1990      1995   2000   2005   2010            2015        2020         2025         2030


source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
ravel between regions continues to grow slightly
       faster than within the same region
  International tourism by region of destination and origin                               International Tourist Arrivals, share, %
   100

    90

    80

    70                                                                                        within same region

    60

    50

    40

                                                                                                 between regions
    30

    20

    10

     0
         1980           1985            1990     1995         2000   2005   2010   2015          2020           2025          2030


  source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Europe continues to lead in international
                      arrivals received per 100 of population
International tourism by (sub)region of destination                                                                                                                                                                      International tourist arrivals received per 100 of population
    120
                          114
                                                                        1995
                                                                        2010
                                              103                       2030
    100




                     81
                                                                   80
      80

                                         71


                                                                                      65
                62                                            63

      60


                                                                                 48
                                   47                                                                      47                 47                   46
                                                         42
                                                                                                                                                                    40
      40                                                                    38                                                                                                          38

                                                                                                                                                               32
                                                                                                                       27                               28                                                28
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              27                26
                                                                                                      25
                                                                                                                                              22                                                                                           21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    21
      20                                                                                                                                                                           19                                                                             18
                                                                                               15                                                                                                    15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         12                                                        13
                                                                                                                   9                    9
                                                                                                                                                                             8                   8                                                            7                                        7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    6                                                          6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3                4                     4                     3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2                      2                     2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1               0     1




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source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
Opportunities and challenges: how to
                make it possible
Five key areas that mark the future:

• Tourism represents a powerful tool for social and economic development : through the creation
of job and enterprises, infrastructure development and the export revenues earned.
• In order to tap into this potential: raising awareness and to mainstream tourism in the political
agenda.
• Sustainability (social, economic and environment) is more important than ever,
• Keep track of the changing consumer: experienced demanding customers, demographic change
(ageing, migration and diversification of family structure), changing values and lifestyles,
• Enhance competitiveness by shaping an adequate business environment: innovation,
diversification of products, markets and segments, product development, ICT and technology in
general, marketing and promotion, research, evaluation, human resources development, quality, etc.
Thank you!

Mr. Beka Jakeli
Regional Programme
for Europe, UNWTO

Visit us at unwto.org

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Europe Tourism Outlook 2030

  • 1. Insert Trends Tourism presentation in Europe and its title here. Outlook by 2030 Type must be Arial regular
  • 2. Inbound tourism: world International tourist arrivals and receipts, 1995-2011* 1100 1.033 International tourist arrivals (million) 1000 International tourism receipts (US$ billion) 941 943 900 885 990 900 845 928 800 919 858 853 800 755 693 685 674 673 700 744 625 602 679 586 600 560 634 528 500 533 475 485 457 466 400 437 436 443 403 300 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011* Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
  • 3. International tourist arrivals International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution World (% change) 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 4. Share 2011 by regions International Tourist arrivals Americas, Asia and the 156 mn, 16% Pacific, 217 Africa, 50 mn, mn, 22% 5% Middle East, 55 mn, 6% International Tourism Receipts Americas, 200 bn, 19% Europe, 504 Asia and the Africa, 33 bn, mn, 51% Pacific, 289 3% bn, 28% Middle East, 45 bn, 4% Europe, 463 bn, 45% Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
  • 5. International tourist arrivals in Europe first half of 2012 • Europe consolidated its growth by 4% • Central and Eastern Europe (+7%) performed better than other European sub regions • Best performers with double digit growth: Georgia (54%), Kazakhstan (+15%), Russian Federation (+15%), Poland (+13%), Romania (+12%), Lithuania (+12%) Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
  • 6. International tourist arrivals in Europe first half of 2012 • Best performers in Western Europe: Germany and the Netherlands (both +8%) and France (+5%) • Demand on Southern and Mediterranean Europe (+2) slowed • Top destinations Spain, Portugal and the Balkan countries increased by 3% Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
  • 7. The Value of the Black Sea Countries • More than 84 million international tourists travelled to the Black Sea Countries in 2011 (around 17% of total tourist arrivals in Europe) • Turkey climbs one place to sixth in the raking of the top tourism destinations with 29,3 million international tourist arrivals in 2011 • Russian Federation is rapidly growing as an inbound tourism destination and is a very attractive emerging outbound market for European destinations
  • 8. The Value of the Black Sea Countries • The mega event of Euro 2012 very positively affected Ukrainian inbound tourism volume and highly increased its awareness as a tourism destination • Bulgaria and Romania have a systematic approach in increasing their inbound tourism volumes • In 2011, Georgia (+39%) showed the highest relative increase among the emerging destinations, continuing a trend of rapid growth in recent years
  • 9. International tourist arrivals to increase by 43 million a year on average International tourism, World International Tourist Arrivals, million 2,000 1.8 bn 1.8 bn 1,750 1,500 1.4 bn 1.4 bn 1,250 1 bn 1 bn 1,000 750 500 250 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 10. Europe: International tourist arrivals still to grow from International Tourism, Europe 500 mn to almost 750 mn Tourist Arrivals, million International 800 740 mn 600 620 mn 500 mn 400 200 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 11. Europe: International tourist arrivals to increase by 13 million a year on average International Tourism, Europe International Tourist Arrivals, absolute change over previous year, million 30 27 25 22 22 22 21 20 18 20 18 2010-2020 2020-2030 16 14 16 14 14 mn a year 12 mn a year 15 13 11 12 11 10 10 9 10 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 0 0 -1 -5 -3 -6 -10 -15 -20 -25 -24 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 12. European outbound tourism also growing at a slower pace Outbound tourism by region of origin International Tourist Arrivals, share, % 70 60 Europe 50 40 30 Asia and the Pacific 20 Americas 10 Middle East 0 Africa 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 13. ravel between regions continues to grow slightly faster than within the same region International tourism by region of destination and origin International Tourist Arrivals, share, % 100 90 80 70 within same region 60 50 40 between regions 30 20 10 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 14. Europe continues to lead in international arrivals received per 100 of population International tourism by (sub)region of destination International tourist arrivals received per 100 of population 120 114 1995 2010 103 2030 100 81 80 80 71 65 62 63 60 48 47 47 47 46 42 40 40 38 38 32 27 28 28 27 26 25 22 21 21 20 19 18 15 15 12 13 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 0 1 a e u. ic op 0 pe pe a a a E a a a fr a t ic si si ic ur a a ic an ic as A a r. o o ic ic si er A A fr er er E ni ur te ur fr al be E A fr A m t t m a m A i E as n E as A tr ed e h rn ce ib lA er A en A dl th n n t t E E ou ar /M he as O t er r h id ra th or h- as - C te th C t E S th rn t M ou or t N t es ou l/E nd en ou or or he N S W S N ta C ra S N t ou t es en S W C source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) ©
  • 15. Opportunities and challenges: how to make it possible Five key areas that mark the future: • Tourism represents a powerful tool for social and economic development : through the creation of job and enterprises, infrastructure development and the export revenues earned. • In order to tap into this potential: raising awareness and to mainstream tourism in the political agenda. • Sustainability (social, economic and environment) is more important than ever, • Keep track of the changing consumer: experienced demanding customers, demographic change (ageing, migration and diversification of family structure), changing values and lifestyles, • Enhance competitiveness by shaping an adequate business environment: innovation, diversification of products, markets and segments, product development, ICT and technology in general, marketing and promotion, research, evaluation, human resources development, quality, etc.
  • 16. Thank you! Mr. Beka Jakeli Regional Programme for Europe, UNWTO Visit us at unwto.org